Switzerland
+6.2
▬
vs 1w ago (+6.2)
Switzerland economic data has been beating expectations. Over the past 90 days,
releases have generally come in above analyst estimates, suggesting the economy may be stronger than consensus forecasts.
Current Score
+6.2
1 Week Ago
+6.2
Releases (90d)
54
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with SMI Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
- Unemployment Rate +1.96z
- CPI MoM +2.10z
- Retail Sales YoY +1.73z
- Retail Sales MoM +1.69z
- Retail Sales YoY +0.84z
▼ Top Negative Surprises
- Industrial Production YoY -2.62z
- Economic Sentiment Index -1.85z
- procure.ch Manufacturing PMI -0.67z
- GDP Growth Rate YoY -1.14z
- Unemployment Rate -1.05z
All Releases — 90 Day Window (54 events)
| Date | Event | Actual | Estimate | Surprise Z | Impact | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Unemployment Rate | 2.9 | 3.1 | +1.963 | Medium | +59.05 |
| 2026-07-02 | CPI MoM | 0.0 | 0.1 | +2.096 | Medium | +57.48 |
| 2026-05-21 | Industrial Production YoY | -7.1 | 0.5 | -2.615 | Medium | -27.17 |
| 2026-06-01 | Retail Sales YoY | 1.6 | 0.2 | +1.734 | Medium | +23.23 |
| 2026-07-01 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | -0.1 | +1.686 | Low | +22.59 |
| 2026-07-01 | Retail Sales YoY | 3.5 | 0.8 | +0.836 | Medium | +22.40 |
| 2026-06-24 | Economic Sentiment Index | -25.0 | 1.5 | -1.852 | Low | -21.11 |
| 2026-07-01 | procure.ch Manufacturing PMI | 54.3 | 56.5 | -0.674 | Medium | -18.06 |
| 2026-06-01 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 0.3 | 1.0 | -1.136 | Medium | -15.23 |
| 2026-06-04 | Unemployment Rate | 3.0 | 2.9 | -1.049 | Medium | -15.07 |
| 2026-06-01 | procure.ch Manufacturing PMI | 57.3 | 54.0 | +1.058 | Medium | +14.18 |
| 2026-06-02 | Balance of Trade | 3.2 | 2.3 | +0.980 | Medium | +13.44 |
| 2026-07-02 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.0 | 0.1 | +0.979 | Low | +13.43 |
| 2026-05-12 | Producer & Import Prices MoM | 0.8 | 0.1 | -2.678 | Low | -11.30 |
| 2026-06-04 | CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | +0.699 | Medium | +10.03 |
| 2026-06-15 | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.4 | 0.4 | +0.522 | Medium | +9.67 |
| 2026-06-04 | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.6 | 0.8 | +0.559 | Medium | +8.03 |
| 2026-06-23 | Current Account | 15.5 | 11.9 | +0.332 | Medium | +7.39 |
| 2026-05-07 | Unemployment Rate | 3.0 | 3.1 | +0.982 | Medium | +7.38 |
| 2026-06-15 | Producer & Import Prices MoM | -0.4 | 0.4 | +0.765 | Low | +7.08 |
| 2026-06-01 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.7 | 0.5 | +0.509 | Medium | +6.82 |
| 2026-05-04 | procure.ch Manufacturing PMI | 54.5 | 52.0 | +0.832 | Medium | +5.84 |
| 2026-05-08 | SECO Consumer Climate | -40.0 | -46.0 | +0.599 | Medium | +4.61 |
| 2026-05-05 | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.6 | 0.8 | +0.559 | Medium | +4.02 |
| 2026-05-28 | Non Farm Payrolls | 5.537 | 5.4 | +0.634 | Low | +3.87 |
| 2026-07-14 | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.3 | -0.5 | -0.104 | Medium | -3.78 |
| 2026-06-01 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.1 | -0.2 | +0.422 | Low | +2.82 |
| 2026-07-14 | Producer & Import Prices MoM | -0.3 | -0.5 | -0.153 | Low | -2.77 |
| 2026-07-21 | Balance of Trade | 3.8 | 3.9 | -0.064 | Medium | -2.73 |
| 2026-06-04 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | +0.326 | Low | +2.34 |
| 2026-05-12 | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.8 | 0.4 | -0.261 | Medium | -2.20 |
| 2026-06-04 | CPI YoY | 0.6 | 0.8 | +0.255 | Low | +1.83 |
| 2026-06-01 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.4 | 0.5 | -0.236 | Low | -1.58 |
| 2026-07-14 | Producer & Import Prices YoY | -2.1 | -1.9 | +0.061 | Low | +1.10 |
| 2026-06-15 | Producer & Import Prices YoY | -1.8 | -1.5 | +0.115 | Low | +1.07 |
| 2026-05-05 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.4 | +0.245 | Low | +0.88 |
| 2026-05-01 | Retail Sales YoY | 0.5 | 1.0 | -0.124 | Medium | -0.81 |
| 2026-05-01 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | -0.187 | Low | -0.61 |
| 2026-06-30 | KOF Leading Indicators | 101.2 | 98.2 | +0.023 | Medium | +0.60 |
| 2026-05-08 | Consumer Confidence | -40.0 | -46.0 | +0.074 | Medium | +0.57 |
| 2026-05-12 | Producer & Import Prices YoY | -2.0 | -2.6 | -0.133 | Low | -0.56 |
| 2026-07-10 | Consumer Confidence | -36.0 | -35.0 | -0.016 | Medium | -0.53 |
| 2026-07-10 | Consumer Confidence | -36.0 | -35.0 | -0.016 | Medium | -0.53 |
| 2026-05-27 | Economic Sentiment Index | -11.1 | -24.0 | +0.056 | Low | +0.34 |
| 2026-04-30 | KOF Leading Indicators | 97.9 | 95.9 | +0.016 | Medium | +0.10 |
| 2026-04-29 | Economic Sentiment Index | -30.3 | -40.0 | +0.025 | Low | +0.08 |
| 2026-05-05 | CPI MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-05-07 | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 715.7 | 722.0 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-05-18 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.5 | 0.5 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-05-29 | KOF Leading Indicators | 98.0 | 98.0 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-06-15 | Consumer Confidence | -38.0 | -38.0 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | CPI YoY | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 758.794 | 710.5 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |