Switzerland
-5.8
▬
vs 1w ago (-6.0)
Switzerland economic data has been missing expectations. Over the past 90 days,
releases have generally fallen short of analyst estimates, suggesting the economy may be weaker than consensus forecasts.
Current Score
-5.8
1 Week Ago
-6.0
Releases (90d)
56
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with SMI Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
- Retail Sales MoM +1.81z
- Producer Price Index MoM +0.75z
- Producer Price Index MoM +0.75z
- Producer Price Index MoM +0.75z
- Producer Price Index MoM +0.75z
▼ Top Negative Surprises
- Inflation Rate YoY -4.43z
- CPI -2.84z
- Unemployment Rate -0.99z
- Unemployment Rate -2.12z
- procure.ch Manufacturing PMI -0.92z
All Releases — 90 Day Window (56 events)
| Date | Event | Actual | Estimate | Surprise Z | Impact | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.1 | -0.1 | -4.435 | Medium | -146.29 |
| 2026-03-04 | CPI | 0.1 | -0.1 | -2.844 | Low | -46.91 |
| 2026-03-05 | Unemployment Rate | 3.2 | 3.1 | -0.990 | Medium | -33.42 |
| 2026-01-09 | Unemployment Rate | 3.1 | 2.9 | -2.116 | High | -30.07 |
| 2026-03-02 | procure.ch Manufacturing PMI | 47.4 | 50.0 | -0.921 | Medium | -29.02 |
| 2026-03-02 | Retail Sales MoM | 1.1 | -0.2 | +1.808 | Low | +28.48 |
| 2026-02-23 | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | +0.750 | Medium | +20.08 |
| 2026-02-23 | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | +0.750 | Medium | +20.08 |
| 2026-02-23 | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | +0.750 | Medium | +20.08 |
| 2026-02-23 | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | +0.750 | Medium | +20.08 |
| 2026-01-05 | procure.ch Manufacturing PMI | 45.8 | 49.9 | -1.456 | High | -18.86 |
| 2026-02-06 | Unemployment Rate | 3.2 | 3.1 | -0.990 | Medium | -17.91 |
| 2026-02-27 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.601 | Medium | -17.66 |
| 2026-02-27 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.601 | Medium | -17.66 |
| 2026-02-27 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.601 | Medium | -17.66 |
| 2026-02-23 | Producer & Import Prices MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | +1.203 | Low | +16.11 |
| 2026-02-25 | Economic Sentiment Index | 9.8 | -1.0 | +1.129 | Low | +15.85 |
| 2026-02-23 | Producer & Import Prices YoY | -2.2 | -1.1 | +1.031 | Low | +13.82 |
| 2026-03-19 | Balance of Trade | 4.4 | 4.0 | +0.248 | Medium | +11.59 |
| 2026-02-19 | Industrial Production YoY | -0.7 | 2.1 | -0.457 | Medium | -11.16 |
| 2026-03-02 | Retail Sales YoY | -1.1 | 2.7 | -0.347 | Medium | -10.93 |
| 2026-02-27 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 0.8 | 1.0 | -0.326 | Medium | -9.59 |
| 2026-03-04 | CPI | 0.6 | 0.5 | -0.284 | Medium | -9.38 |
| 2026-03-04 | CPI | 0.6 | 0.5 | -0.284 | Medium | -9.38 |
| 2026-01-29 | Balance of Trade | 3.0 | 3.8 | -0.523 | Medium | -7.86 |
| 2026-01-20 | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.2 | 0.2 | +0.500 | Medium | +6.10 |
| 2026-02-19 | Balance of Trade | 3.6 | 3.3 | +0.226 | Medium | +5.52 |
| 2026-02-02 | procure.ch Manufacturing PMI | 48.8 | 47.9 | +0.333 | Medium | +5.49 |
| 2026-01-08 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.968 | Low | -4.48 |
| 2026-02-02 | Retail Sales MoM | 1.0 | 0.4 | +0.417 | Low | +3.44 |
| 2026-03-04 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 0.5 | -0.194 | Low | -3.19 |
| 2026-01-20 | Producer & Import Prices YoY | -1.8 | -1.3 | +0.397 | Low | +2.42 |
| 2026-01-28 | Economic Sentiment Index | -4.7 | 5.5 | -0.194 | Low | -1.43 |
| 2026-03-17 | Producer & Import Prices YoY | -2.7 | -2.6 | +0.040 | Low | +0.88 |
| 2026-03-09 | Consumer Confidence | -30.0 | -29.0 | -0.019 | Medium | -0.69 |
| 2026-02-02 | Retail Sales YoY | 2.9 | 2.5 | +0.039 | Medium | +0.65 |
| 2026-02-09 | Consumer Confidence | -30.0 | -31.0 | +0.017 | Medium | +0.34 |
| 2026-01-12 | Consumer Confidence | -31.0 | -33.0 | +0.033 | Medium | +0.33 |
| 2026-01-05 | Retail Sales YoY | 2.3 | 2.5 | -0.020 | High | -0.26 |
| 2026-02-26 | Non Farm Payrolls | 5.544 | 5.54 | +0.018 | Low | +0.25 |
| 2026-02-26 | Non Farm Payrolls | 5.544 | 5.54 | +0.018 | Low | +0.25 |
| 2026-02-27 | KOF Leading Indicators | 104.2 | 103.0 | +0.009 | Medium | +0.25 |
| 2025-12-23 | Economic Sentiment Index | 6.2 | 10.0 | -0.040 | Low | -0.13 |
| 2025-12-30 | KOF Leading Indicators | 103.4 | 101.4 | +0.015 | Medium | +0.11 |
| 2026-01-30 | KOF Leading Indicators | 102.5 | 103.0 | -0.004 | Medium | -0.06 |
| 2026-01-05 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | +0.000 | High | +0.00 |
| 2026-01-08 | CPI | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-01-08 | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-01-20 | Producer & Import Prices MoM | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-02-09 | SECO Consumer Climate | -30.0 | -30.0 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-02-09 | SECO Consumer Climate | -30.0 | -30.0 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-02-09 | SECO Consumer Climate | -30.0 | -30.0 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-02-13 | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-02-13 | CPI | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-02-16 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0.2 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-02-27 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0.2 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |