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Economic Surprises › France
France -3.8 ▬ vs 1w ago (-4.0)
France economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days, releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
-3.8
1 Week Ago
-4.0
Releases (90d)
100
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with CAC 40 Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
▼ Top Negative Surprises
All Releases — 90 Day Window (100 events)
Date Event Actual Estimate Surprise Z Impact Contribution
2026-08-28 Gross Domestic Product YoY 0.5 0.7 -1.494 Medium -54.04
2026-08-28 Consumer Spending MoM 0.5 0.1 +1.481 Medium +53.59
2026-08-28 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.0 0.2 -1.418 Medium -51.30
2026-07-31 CPI MoM 0.6 0.3 -2.667 Medium -50.53
2026-08-21 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.5 50.0 +1.125 Medium +34.62
2026-07-30 Consumer Spending MoM 0.4 -0.1 +1.852 Medium +34.28
2026-07-31 HICP MoM 0.6 0.3 -1.744 Medium -33.05
2026-08-21 S&P Global Services PMI 48.4 49.8 -0.973 Medium -29.94
2026-09-07 Foreign Exchange Reserves 380.694 357.4 +1.238 Low +28.21
2026-09-04 S&P Global Construction PMI 37.3 42.0 -1.286 Low -27.36
2026-09-09 Industrial Production MoM -0.4 0.3 -0.522 Medium -24.94
2026-08-21 Business Confidence 103.0 101.0 +0.774 Medium +23.84
2026-07-31 Inflation Rate MoM 0.6 0.3 -1.218 Medium -23.08
2026-08-28 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.0 0.2 -1.112 Low -20.12
2026-08-21 S&P Global Composite PMI 48.8 49.5 -0.558 Medium -17.16
2026-09-08 Balance of Trade -6.7 -6.0 -0.357 Medium -16.66
2026-08-28 Inflation Rate YoY 2.4 2.2 -0.292 High -15.82
2026-07-10 CPI MoM -0.3 -0.2 +1.333 Medium +15.55
2026-07-31 Inflation Rate YoY 2.1 1.8 -0.534 High -15.19
2026-09-08 Current Account -4.7 -2.0 -0.633 Low -14.76
2026-08-25 Consumer Confidence 86.0 87.0 -0.435 Medium -14.69
2026-07-30 Gross Domestic Product YoY 0.7 0.8 -0.653 Medium -12.10
2026-08-28 Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM 0.8 0.5 -0.655 Low -11.85
2026-07-02 New Car Sales YoY 11.4 1.0 +2.422 Low +11.74
2026-08-27 Unemployment Benefit Claims 21.5 10.0 -0.326 Medium -11.52
2026-07-30 Household Consumption MoM 0.4 -0.1 +1.231 Low +11.40
2026-07-07 Balance of Trade -6.9 -5.2 -1.001 Medium -10.89
2026-07-31 Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM 0.6 0.3 -1.092 Low -10.34
2026-09-08 Imports 61.3 60.5 +0.422 Low +9.84
2026-07-28 Consumer Confidence 86.0 85.0 +0.445 Medium +7.87
2026-08-07 Balance of Trade -5.8 -6.5 +0.330 Medium +7.34
2026-08-28 Inflation Rate MoM 0.7 0.6 -0.203 Medium -7.34
2026-07-08 Foreign Exchange Reserves 355.389 381.1 -1.281 Low -7.13
2026-06-30 CPI YoY 1.8 2.1 +1.448 Low +6.70
2026-08-07 Unemployment Rate 8.3 8.2 -0.290 Medium -6.46
2026-06-30 Inflation Rate YoY 1.8 2.1 +0.458 High +6.36
2026-09-03 S&P Global Services PMI 48.0 48.4 -0.286 Low -5.94
2026-09-01 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.1 51.5 -0.291 Low -5.78
2026-06-26 Unemployment Benefit Claims 15.5 -12.0 -0.650 Medium -5.48
2026-06-30 Consumer Spending MoM 0.5 0.2 +0.555 Medium +5.14
2026-09-03 S&P Global Composite PMI 48.5 48.8 -0.242 Low -5.04
2026-07-30 GDP Growth Rate YoY 0.7 0.8 -0.177 High -4.92
2026-08-28 Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY 2.7 2.5 -0.268 Low -4.84
2026-07-07 Exports 53.6 55.1 -0.848 Low -4.61
2026-07-31 Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY 2.4 2.1 -0.478 Low -4.53
2026-07-23 Business Climate Indicator 97.0 95.0 +0.544 Low +4.28
2026-08-27 Producer Price Index MoM 1.1 0.6 -0.241 Low -4.26
2026-09-02 New Car Sales YoY 7.4 4.0 +0.198 Low +4.02
2026-09-08 Exports 54.7 54.4 +0.172 Low +4.01
2026-08-07 Exports 54.5 55.1 -0.339 Low -3.78
2026-06-25 Consumer Confidence 84.0 83.0 +0.456 Medium +3.76
2026-07-10 Inflation Rate MoM -0.3 -0.2 +0.609 Low +3.55
2026-08-05 Industrial Production MoM 0.1 0.3 -0.149 Medium -3.17
2026-06-23 Business Confidence 100.0 101.0 -0.387 Medium -3.05
2026-07-28 Unemployment Benefit Claims 5.9 15.0 +0.172 Medium +3.04
2026-08-27 Producer Price Index YoY 3.4 2.7 -0.147 Low -2.61
2026-06-30 Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY 2.0 2.4 +0.558 Low +2.58
2026-07-07 Imports 60.5 61.4 -0.468 Low -2.55
2026-07-08 Current Account -0.1 -1.8 +0.443 Low +2.46
2026-07-08 Current Account -0.1 -1.8 +0.443 Low +2.46
2026-08-27 Jobseekers Total 3143.0 3131.5 -0.128 Low -2.26
2026-08-07 Current Account -1.4 -2.4 +0.195 Low +2.17
2026-08-07 Imports 60.4 60.7 -0.158 Low -1.76
2026-08-24 New Car Sales YoY 9.0 6.2 +0.105 Low +1.73
2026-06-30 Household Consumption MoM 0.5 0.2 +0.369 Low +1.71
2026-07-03 Industrial Production MoM -0.1 -0.4 +0.168 Medium +1.67
2026-06-30 Producer Price Index MoM -0.3 1.5 +0.347 Low +1.61
2026-07-31 HICP YoY 2.4 2.1 -0.159 Low -1.50
2026-07-31 Producer Price Index MoM -0.6 -0.4 +0.145 Low +1.37
2026-06-26 Jobseekers Total 3115.6 3088.1 -0.310 Low -1.31
2026-08-04 Budget Balance -106.8 -104.0 -0.106 Low -1.10
2026-06-23 Business Climate Indicator 94.0 95.0 -0.272 Low -1.07
2026-06-30 Producer Price Index YoY 3.0 4.6 +0.198 Low +0.92
2026-06-30 HICP YoY 2.0 2.4 +0.185 Low +0.86
2026-08-07 Foreign Exchange Reserves 357.05 355.7 +0.072 Low +0.80
2026-09-02 Budget Balance -145.9 -147.0 +0.030 Low +0.60
2026-07-02 Budget Balance -93.3 -96.0 +0.111 Low +0.54
2026-07-31 Producer Price Index YoY 2.6 2.7 +0.021 Low +0.20
2026-07-28 Jobseekers Total 3121.5 3120.0 -0.017 Low -0.15
2026-07-10 CPI YoY 1.8 1.8 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-10 Inflation Rate YoY 1.8 1.8 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-10 HICP YoY 2.0 2.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-10 HICP MoM -0.3 -0.3 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-07-10 Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY 2.0 2.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-10 Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM -0.3 -0.3 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-23 Business Confidence 101.0 101.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-07-30 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.2 0.2 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-07-30 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.2 0.2 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-08-06 Non-Farm Payrolls QoQ -0.1 -0.1 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-08-14 Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM 0.6 0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-08-14 Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY 2.4 2.4 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-08-14 Inflation Rate YoY 2.1 2.1 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-08-14 HICP MoM 0.6 0.6 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-08-14 Inflation Rate MoM 0.6 0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-08-14 CPI MoM 0.6 0.6 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-08-14 CPI YoY 2.1 2.1 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-08-14 HICP YoY 2.4 2.4 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-08-21 Business Climate Indicator 98.0 98.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-08-28 GDP Growth Rate YoY 0.7 0.7 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-08-28 CPI MoM 0.7 0.7 -0.000 Medium -0.00

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms