Indonesia
+12.8
▲
vs 1w ago (+5.5)
Indonesia economic data has been beating expectations. Over the past 90 days,
releases have generally come in above analyst estimates, suggesting the economy may be stronger than consensus forecasts.
Current Score
+12.8
1 Week Ago
+5.5
Releases (90d)
51
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
- Interest Rate Decision +2.53z
- Deposit Facility Rate +2.12z
- Car Sales YoY +2.60z
- Inflation Rate YoY +1.48z
- Lending Facility Rate +2.02z
▼ Top Negative Surprises
- Foreign Exchange Reserves -3.37z
- Foreign Exchange Reserves -3.37z
- S&P Global Manufacturing PMI -1.00z
- Inflation Rate YoY -1.46z
- Retail Sales YoY -0.35z
All Releases — 90 Day Window (51 events)
| Date | Event | Actual | Estimate | Surprise Z | Impact | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Interest Rate Decision | 5.25 | 5.0 | +2.527 | Medium | +123.46 |
| 2026-05-20 | Deposit Facility Rate | 4.25 | 4.0 | +2.123 | Low | +51.86 |
| 2026-05-10 | Car Sales YoY | 55.0 | -7.0 | +2.600 | Low | +50.42 |
| 2026-05-04 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.42 | 3.0 | +1.481 | Medium | +50.00 |
| 2026-05-20 | Lending Facility Rate | 6.0 | 5.75 | +2.022 | Low | +49.39 |
| 2026-05-05 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 5.61 | 5.3 | +0.969 | Medium | +33.47 |
| 2026-04-08 | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 148.2 | 164.0 | -3.369 | Low | -31.19 |
| 2026-04-08 | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 148.2 | 164.0 | -3.369 | Low | -31.19 |
| 2026-05-05 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 5.61 | 5.3 | +1.679 | Low | +29.00 |
| 2026-05-05 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | -0.77 | -0.97 | +1.551 | Low | +26.78 |
| 2026-05-04 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49.1 | 50.5 | -1.005 | Low | -16.96 |
| 2026-03-02 | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.76 | 4.0 | -1.456 | Medium | -11.46 |
| 2026-05-04 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.44 | 2.5 | +0.629 | Low | +10.61 |
| 2026-04-01 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.52 | 2.63 | +1.096 | Low | +8.63 |
| 2026-04-01 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.52 | 2.63 | +1.096 | Low | +8.63 |
| 2026-05-12 | Retail Sales YoY | 3.4 | 6.8 | -0.349 | Low | -7.09 |
| 2026-04-01 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 50.1 | 51.2 | -0.779 | Low | -6.13 |
| 2026-03-02 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.63 | 2.5 | -1.362 | Low | -5.36 |
| 2026-03-02 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.8 | 52.0 | +1.255 | Low | +4.94 |
| 2026-04-10 | Consumer Confidence | 122.9 | 120.0 | +0.427 | Low | +4.14 |
| 2026-05-05 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.77 | -0.97 | +0.239 | Low | +4.13 |
| 2026-04-01 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.48 | 3.6 | +0.255 | Medium | +4.02 |
| 2026-04-22 | Loan Growth YoY | 9.49 | 7.5 | +0.301 | Low | +3.85 |
| 2026-05-04 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.13 | 0.8 | +0.200 | Low | +3.37 |
| 2026-05-11 | Consumer Confidence | 123.0 | 122.0 | +0.145 | Low | +2.88 |
| 2026-05-08 | Property Price Index YoY | 0.62 | 0.5 | +0.131 | Low | +2.42 |
| 2026-03-09 | Consumer Confidence | 125.2 | 128.0 | -0.387 | Low | -1.79 |
| 2026-03-09 | Consumer Confidence | 125.2 | 128.0 | -0.387 | Low | -1.79 |
| 2026-05-04 | Balance of Trade | 3.32 | 4.2 | -0.043 | Medium | -1.47 |
| 2026-03-10 | Retail Sales YoY | 5.7 | 4.0 | +0.297 | Low | +1.41 |
| 2026-04-01 | Exports YoY | 1.01 | 3.2 | -0.151 | Low | -1.19 |
| 2026-03-02 | Balance of Trade | 0.95 | 2.76 | -0.136 | Medium | -1.07 |
| 2026-02-20 | Current Account | -2.5 | 2.0 | -0.307 | Low | -0.96 |
| 2026-02-20 | Current Account | -2.5 | 2.0 | -0.307 | Low | -0.96 |
| 2026-05-20 | Loan Growth YoY | 9.98 | 9.7 | +0.033 | Low | +0.80 |
| 2026-04-13 | Retail Sales YoY | 6.5 | 5.9 | +0.071 | Low | +0.74 |
| 2026-04-13 | Retail Sales YoY | 6.5 | 5.9 | +0.071 | Low | +0.74 |
| 2026-03-02 | Exports YoY | 3.39 | 11.07 | -0.153 | Low | -0.60 |
| 2026-02-20 | Current Account | -0.7 | 2.0 | -0.184 | Low | -0.58 |
| 2026-05-04 | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 10.5 | 9.8 | +0.034 | Low | +0.58 |
| 2026-04-01 | Balance of Trade | 1.28 | 1.55 | -0.036 | Medium | -0.57 |
| 2026-03-17 | Loan Growth YoY | 9.37 | 10.1 | -0.082 | Low | -0.46 |
| 2026-04-01 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.41 | 0.46 | +0.026 | Low | +0.20 |
| 2026-03-02 | Imports YoY | 18.21 | 13.23 | +0.014 | Low | +0.05 |
| 2026-04-01 | Imports YoY | 10.85 | 11.2 | -0.001 | Low | -0.01 |
| 2026-03-17 | Interest Rate Decision | 4.75 | 4.75 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-03-17 | Lending Facility Rate | 5.5 | 5.5 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-03-17 | Deposit Facility Rate | 3.75 | 3.75 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-04-22 | Deposit Facility Rate | 3.75 | 3.75 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-04-22 | Lending Facility Rate | 5.5 | 5.5 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-04-22 | Interest Rate Decision | 4.75 | 4.75 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |