Indonesia
+1.0
▲
vs 1w ago (-1.2)
Indonesia economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days,
releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
+1.0
1 Week Ago
-1.2
Releases (90d)
48
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
- Exports YoY +6.48z
- Retail Sales YoY +0.89z
- Retail Sales YoY +0.89z
- Inflation Rate YoY +0.77z
- GDP Growth Rate YoY +0.62z
▼ Top Negative Surprises
- Interest Rate Decision -2.09z
- Core Inflation Rate YoY -1.12z
- Retail Sales YoY -1.78z
- Lending Facility Rate -1.72z
- Deposit Facility Rate -1.70z
All Releases — 90 Day Window (48 events)
| Date | Event | Actual | Estimate | Surprise Z | Impact | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Exports YoY | 8.84 | 0.25 | +6.479 | Low | +65.79 |
| 2026-07-22 | Interest Rate Decision | 5.75 | 6.0 | -2.094 | Medium | -32.22 |
| 2026-09-01 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.92 | 2.8 | -1.116 | Low | -22.15 |
| 2026-08-11 | Retail Sales YoY | -3.0 | 1.8 | -1.784 | Low | -21.79 |
| 2026-09-10 | Retail Sales YoY | 1.1 | -3.3 | +0.892 | Low | +21.79 |
| 2026-09-10 | Retail Sales YoY | 1.1 | -3.3 | +0.892 | Low | +21.79 |
| 2026-08-03 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.88 | 3.2 | +0.774 | Medium | +15.71 |
| 2026-07-22 | Lending Facility Rate | 6.5 | 6.75 | -1.722 | Low | -13.25 |
| 2026-08-05 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 5.29 | 5.1 | +0.619 | Medium | +13.17 |
| 2026-07-22 | Deposit Facility Rate | 4.75 | 5.0 | -1.699 | Low | -13.08 |
| 2026-08-21 | Current Account | -12.5 | -1.8 | -0.822 | Low | -12.65 |
| 2026-08-05 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 5.29 | 5.1 | +1.125 | Low | +11.96 |
| 2026-09-01 | Balance of Trade | 0.13 | -0.3 | +0.301 | Medium | +11.95 |
| 2026-07-09 | Retail Sales YoY | -3.9 | 2.0 | -1.973 | Low | -11.25 |
| 2026-09-01 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49.8 | 50.5 | -0.511 | Low | -10.14 |
| 2026-07-01 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.76 | 2.6 | -1.603 | Low | -7.59 |
| 2026-09-01 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.19 | 3.13 | -0.148 | Medium | -5.89 |
| 2026-08-03 | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.14 | 0.1 | +0.579 | Low | +5.88 |
| 2026-07-08 | Consumer Confidence | 117.8 | 125.0 | -1.035 | Low | -5.76 |
| 2026-08-05 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 3.73 | 3.5 | +0.521 | Low | +5.54 |
| 2026-09-09 | Consumer Confidence | 118.5 | 117.0 | +0.230 | Low | +5.50 |
| 2026-07-01 | Balance of Trade | -1.61 | 1.2 | -0.492 | Medium | -4.66 |
| 2026-07-01 | Balance of Trade | -1.61 | 1.2 | -0.492 | Medium | -4.66 |
| 2026-08-07 | Property Price Index YoY | 1.32 | 0.8 | +0.370 | Low | +4.12 |
| 2026-08-03 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.76 | 2.8 | +0.372 | Low | +3.78 |
| 2026-07-22 | Loan Growth YoY | 12.67 | 9.0 | +0.474 | Low | +3.65 |
| 2026-07-01 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.34 | 3.2 | -0.339 | Medium | -3.21 |
| 2026-09-01 | Exports YoY | 6.05 | 3.4 | +0.147 | Low | +2.92 |
| 2026-08-03 | Balance of Trade | -0.45 | -0.79 | +0.090 | Medium | +1.84 |
| 2026-07-01 | Exports YoY | -5.73 | 6.4 | -0.357 | Low | -1.69 |
| 2026-07-01 | Exports YoY | -5.73 | 6.4 | -0.357 | Low | -1.69 |
| 2026-08-10 | Consumer Confidence | 116.8 | 116.0 | +0.124 | Low | +1.48 |
| 2026-08-07 | Property Price Index YoY | 0.69 | 0.8 | -0.078 | Low | -0.87 |
| 2026-08-05 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 3.73 | 3.5 | +0.077 | Low | +0.82 |
| 2026-07-07 | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 145.6 | 145.0 | +0.146 | Low | +0.79 |
| 2026-08-19 | Loan Growth YoY | 13.58 | 13.0 | +0.052 | Low | +0.76 |
| 2026-08-19 | Loan Growth YoY | 13.58 | 13.0 | +0.052 | Low | +0.76 |
| 2026-07-01 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.44 | 0.3 | -0.113 | Low | -0.53 |
| 2026-09-01 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.21 | 0.2 | -0.012 | Low | -0.24 |
| 2026-08-03 | Imports YoY | 34.27 | 25.3 | +0.013 | Low | +0.13 |
| 2026-09-01 | Imports YoY | 27.02 | 24.1 | +0.005 | Low | +0.09 |
| 2026-07-01 | Imports YoY | 22.16 | 19.5 | +0.005 | Low | +0.02 |
| 2026-06-18 | Lending Facility Rate | 6.5 | 6.5 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-06-18 | Deposit Facility Rate | 4.75 | 4.75 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-06-18 | Interest Rate Decision | 5.75 | 5.75 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | Lending Facility Rate | 6.5 | 6.5 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | Interest Rate Decision | 5.75 | 5.75 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | Deposit Facility Rate | 4.75 | 4.75 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |