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Economic Surprises › Indonesia
Indonesia +2.2 ▬ vs 1w ago (+2.7)
Indonesia economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days, releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
+2.2
1 Week Ago
+2.7
Releases (90d)
51
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
▼ Top Negative Surprises
All Releases — 90 Day Window (51 events)
Date Event Actual Estimate Surprise Z Impact Contribution
2026-03-02 Inflation Rate YoY 4.76 4.0 -1.455 Medium -45.84
2026-02-05 GDP Growth Rate YoY 5.39 5.01 +1.261 Medium +22.29
2026-03-02 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.63 2.5 -1.357 Low -21.37
2026-01-09 Car Sales YoY 25.7 1.9 +4.215 Low +19.96
2026-03-02 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 53.8 52.0 +1.250 Low +19.68
2026-02-05 Gross Domestic Product YoY 5.39 5.01 +2.139 Low +18.91
2026-02-04 Gross Domestic Product YoY 5.39 5.01 +2.139 Low +18.48
2026-02-05 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.86 0.68 +1.991 Low +17.60
2026-02-04 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.86 0.68 +1.991 Low +17.20
2026-02-02 Exports YoY 11.64 -2.4 +1.284 Low +10.59
2026-01-02 Inflation Rate YoY 2.92 2.5 -1.287 Medium -10.37
2026-02-05 Full Year GDP Growth 5.11 5.0 +0.501 Medium +8.86
2026-01-02 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.38 2.2 -2.135 Low -8.60
2026-02-02 Inflation Rate YoY 3.55 3.8 +0.504 Medium +8.31
2026-02-02 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.45 2.37 -0.881 Low -7.26
2026-03-09 Consumer Confidence 125.2 128.0 -0.383 Low -7.08
2026-03-09 Consumer Confidence 125.2 128.0 -0.383 Low -7.08
2026-02-02 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 52.6 51.4 +0.843 Low +6.95
2026-01-02 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.2 53.6 -1.617 Low -6.51
2026-03-10 Retail Sales YoY 5.7 4.0 +0.292 Low +5.54
2026-02-02 Imports YoY 10.81 -0.7 +0.601 Low +4.96
2026-03-02 Balance of Trade 0.95 2.76 -0.135 Medium -4.25
2026-02-09 Consumer Confidence 127.0 123.9 +0.438 Low +4.24
2026-02-20 Current Account -2.5 2.0 -0.307 Low -3.84
2026-02-20 Current Account -2.5 2.0 -0.307 Low -3.84
2026-01-08 Motorbike Sales YoY 14.5 3.6 +0.822 Low +3.80
2026-02-02 Inflation Rate MoM -0.15 0.3 +0.355 Low +2.93
2026-02-05 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.86 0.68 +0.304 Low +2.69
2026-02-10 Retail Sales YoY 3.5 5.5 -0.250 Low -2.48
2026-03-02 Exports YoY 3.39 11.07 -0.152 Low -2.40
2026-02-20 Current Account -0.7 2.0 -0.184 Low -2.30
2026-01-02 Inflation Rate MoM 0.64 0.2 -0.521 Low -2.10
2026-01-12 Retail Sales YoY 6.3 4.0 +0.395 Low +2.01
2026-03-17 Loan Growth YoY 9.37 10.1 -0.081 Low -1.80
2026-01-15 Loan Growth YoY 9.69 7.6 +0.307 Low +1.67
2026-01-09 Consumer Confidence 123.5 125.0 -0.210 Low -0.99
2026-02-06 Property Price Index YoY 0.83 1.0 -0.090 Low -0.82
2026-01-02 Tourist Arrivals YoY 9.79 7.5 +0.145 Low +0.59
2026-02-19 Loan Growth YoY 9.96 9.6 +0.042 Low +0.51
2026-03-02 Imports YoY 18.21 13.23 +0.014 Low +0.22
2026-02-02 Balance of Trade 2.52 2.45 +0.006 Medium +0.10
2026-01-05 Balance of Trade 2.66 2.7 -0.003 Medium -0.03
2026-01-21 Interest Rate Decision 4.75 4.75 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-01-21 Lending Facility Rate 5.5 5.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-01-21 Deposit Facility Rate 3.75 3.75 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-19 Lending Facility Rate 5.5 5.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-19 Deposit Facility Rate 3.75 3.75 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-19 Interest Rate Decision 4.75 4.75 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-17 Interest Rate Decision 4.75 4.75 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-17 Deposit Facility Rate 3.75 3.75 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-17 Lending Facility Rate 5.5 5.5 +0.000 Low +0.00

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms