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Economic Surprises › India
India +0.8 ▲ vs 1w ago (-0.3)
India economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days, releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
+0.8
1 Week Ago
-0.3
Releases (90d)
95
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with Nifty 50 Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
▼ Top Negative Surprises
All Releases — 90 Day Window (95 events)
Date Event Actual Estimate Surprise Z Impact Contribution
2026-05-20 Infrastructure Output YoY 1.7 -0.5 +2.559 Low +63.97
2026-04-23 HSBC Manufacturing PMI 55.9 54.0 +1.617 Medium +43.32
2026-03-24 HSBC Manufacturing PMI 53.8 56.8 -2.427 Medium -32.51
2026-05-12 Inflation Rate YoY 3.48 3.8 +0.775 Medium +32.21
2026-05-14 WPI Fuel YoY 24.71 3.0 -1.472 Low -32.04
2026-04-17 Bank Loan Growth YoY 16.1 12.8 +2.736 Low +31.91
2026-04-15 Balance of Trade -20.67 -32.75 +1.077 Medium +23.98
2026-05-06 HSBC India Services PMI 58.8 57.9 +1.281 Low +23.17
2026-05-14 WPI Inflation YoY 8.3 4.4 -0.903 Low -19.66
2026-03-24 HSBC Composite PMI 56.5 58.7 -1.311 Medium -17.57
2026-05-04 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 54.7 55.9 -1.013 Low -17.50
2026-05-04 HSBC Manufacturing PMI 54.7 55.9 -0.986 Low -17.04
2026-03-24 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 53.8 56.8 -2.493 Low -16.70
2026-05-06 HSBC Services PMI 58.8 57.5 +0.903 Low +16.34
2026-03-24 S&P Global Composite PMI 56.5 58.7 -1.213 Medium -16.25
2026-04-23 S&P Global Composite PMI 58.3 57.5 +0.450 Medium +12.07
2026-04-23 HSBC Services PMI 57.9 57.3 +0.418 Medium +11.21
2026-04-15 Imports 59.6 65.0 -1.005 Low -11.19
2026-03-24 HSBC India Services PMI 57.2 58.3 -1.555 Low -10.42
2026-03-24 HSBC Services PMI 57.2 58.3 -0.754 Medium -10.10
2026-04-02 HSBC Manufacturing PMI 53.9 55.2 -1.082 Low -8.92
2026-04-10 Foreign Exchange Reserves 697.12 710.0 -0.882 Low -8.75
2026-05-14 WPI Manufacturing YoY 4.62 3.9 -0.368 Low -8.00
2026-04-20 Infrastructure Output YoY -0.4 4.7 -0.631 Low -7.89
2026-03-24 S&P Global Services PMI 56.5 58.7 -1.102 Low -7.38
2026-02-27 Gross Domestic Product YoY 7.8 7.2 +0.933 Medium +7.01
2026-02-27 Gross Domestic Product YoY 7.8 7.2 +0.933 Medium +7.01
2026-02-27 Gross Domestic Product YoY 7.8 7.2 +0.933 Medium +7.01
2026-05-15 Balance of Trade -28.38 -27.0 -0.149 Medium -6.65
2026-02-27 GDP Growth Rate YoY 7.8 7.2 +0.541 High +6.10
2026-03-16 Unemployment Rate 4.9 5.1 +0.988 Low +5.50
2026-05-12 Inflation Rate MoM 0.27 0.6 +0.257 Low +5.34
2026-04-13 Inflation Rate YoY 3.4 3.48 +0.212 Medium +4.50
2026-04-06 HSBC India Services PMI 57.5 57.2 +0.432 Low +3.91
2026-04-15 Exports 38.92 38.0 +0.337 Low +3.76
2026-04-15 WPI Inflation YoY 3.88 3.0 -0.299 Low -3.33
2026-03-12 Inflation Rate YoY 3.21 3.1 -0.327 Medium -3.32
2026-03-30 External Debt 765.5 749.0 -0.403 Low -3.10
2026-03-30 External Debt 765.5 749.0 -0.403 Low -3.10
2026-02-27 Fiscal Year GDP Growth 7.6 7.4 +0.398 Medium +2.99
2026-03-12 CPI 3.21 3.1 -0.281 Medium -2.85
2026-03-12 CPI 3.21 3.1 -0.281 Medium -2.85
2026-04-06 HSBC Composite PMI 57.0 56.5 +0.310 Low +2.80
2026-04-06 S&P Global Composite PMI 57.0 56.5 +0.286 Low +2.59
2026-04-06 S&P Global Services PMI 57.0 56.5 +0.260 Low +2.35
2026-03-02 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 56.9 57.5 -0.492 Low -1.98
2026-03-30 Industrial Production YoY 5.2 4.2 +0.117 Medium +1.80
2026-03-04 HSBC India Services PMI 58.1 58.4 -0.423 Low -1.79
2026-03-04 HSBC India Services PMI 58.1 58.4 -0.423 Low -1.79
2026-03-03 HSBC India Services PMI 58.1 58.4 -0.423 Low -1.75
2026-03-20 Infrastructure Output YoY 2.3 4.4 -0.278 Low -1.70
2026-04-28 Industrial Production YoY 4.1 3.7 +0.053 Medium +1.60
2026-03-12 Inflation Rate MoM 0.11 0.3 +0.296 Low +1.50
2026-04-13 Inflation Rate MoM 0.26 0.2 -0.140 Low -1.49
2026-03-04 HSBC Services PMI 58.1 58.6 -0.341 Low -1.44
2026-04-15 WPI Manufacturing YoY 3.39 3.2 -0.118 Low -1.32
2026-03-02 Industrial Production YoY 4.8 6.5 -0.129 Medium -1.04
2026-03-16 Balance of Trade -27.1 -28.0 +0.094 Medium +1.04
2026-03-04 HSBC Composite PMI 58.9 59.3 -0.236 Low -1.00
2026-05-06 S&P Global Composite PMI 58.2 58.3 -0.056 Low -1.00
2026-03-04 Services PMI 58.9 59.3 -0.234 Low -0.99
2026-03-04 Services PMI 58.9 59.3 -0.234 Low -0.99
2026-03-03 Services PMI 58.9 59.3 -0.234 Low -0.97
2026-03-04 S&P Global Composite PMI 58.9 59.3 -0.218 Low -0.92
2026-05-06 S&P Global Services PMI 58.2 58.3 -0.050 Low -0.91
2026-04-28 Manufacturing Production YoY 4.3 5.6 -0.030 Medium -0.89
2026-03-04 S&P Global Services PMI 58.9 59.3 -0.198 Low -0.84
2026-04-15 WPI Food Index YoY 1.85 2.4 +0.075 Low +0.84
2026-04-02 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 53.9 53.8 +0.088 Low +0.72
2026-04-15 WPI Fuel YoY 1.05 1.5 +0.061 Low +0.68
2026-04-06 HSBC Services PMI 57.5 57.4 +0.070 Low +0.63
2026-03-02 Industrial Production YoY 4.8 6.5 -0.129 Low -0.52
2026-03-16 Balance of Trade -27.1 -28.0 +0.094 Low +0.52
2026-03-02 Manufacturing PMI 56.9 57.5 -0.122 Low -0.49
2026-03-02 Manufacturing PMI 56.9 57.5 -0.122 Low -0.49
2026-03-01 Manufacturing PMI 56.9 57.5 -0.122 Low -0.48
2026-02-20 Infrastructure Output YoY 4.0 3.2 +0.145 Low +0.46
2026-03-02 Manufacturing Production YoY 4.8 7.8 -0.049 Medium -0.40
2026-03-16 WPI Inflation YoY 2.13 2.0 -0.066 Low -0.37
2026-05-14 WPI Food Index YoY 2.31 2.2 -0.016 Low -0.36
2026-03-16 WPI Manufacturing YoY 2.92 3.0 +0.053 Low +0.30
2026-03-30 Manufacturing Production YoY 6.0 5.6 +0.009 Medium +0.14
2026-03-16 WPI Fuel YoY -3.78 -3.6 +0.010 Low +0.06
2026-03-16 WPI Food Index YoY 1.85 1.9 +0.009 Low +0.05
2026-02-27 Government Budget Value -9814.0 -12500.0 +0.011 Low +0.04
2026-03-30 Government Budget Value -12526.5 -13100.0 +0.002 Low +0.02
2026-03-31 Government Budget Value -12526.5 -13100.0 +0.002 Low +0.02
2026-02-20 HSBC Manufacturing PMI 57.5 57.5 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-20 HSBC Services PMI 58.4 58.4 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-20 HSBC Composite PMI 59.3 59.3 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-02 HSBC Manufacturing PMI 56.9 56.9 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-04-08 Cash Reserve Ratio 3.0 3.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-04-08 RBI Interest Rate Decision 5.25 5.25 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-04-08 Interest Rate Decision 5.25 5.25 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-04-15 Unemployment Rate 5.1 5.1 -0.000 Low -0.00

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms