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Economic Surprises › South Korea
South Korea +0.2 ▬ vs 1w ago (+0.5)
South Korea economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days, releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
+0.2
1 Week Ago
+0.5
Releases (90d)
86
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with KOSPI Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
▼ Top Negative Surprises
All Releases — 90 Day Window (86 events)
Date Event Actual Estimate Surprise Z Impact Contribution
2026-02-10 Unemployment Rate 3.0 4.1 +2.377 Medium +47.18
2026-01-13 Unemployment Rate 4.0 2.7 -4.267 Medium -44.33
2026-03-03 Retail Sales MoM 2.3 0.2 +2.005 Low +32.32
2026-01-21 GDP Growth Rate QoQ -0.3 0.8 -2.056 Medium -25.70
2026-01-21 Gross Domestic Product QoQ -0.3 0.1 -2.839 Low -17.75
2026-02-24 Business Confidence 72.0 75.0 -0.499 Medium -13.69
2026-01-21 GDP Growth Rate YoY 1.5 2.0 -0.958 Medium -11.97
2026-03-16 Import Prices YoY 1.2 0.5 -0.526 Low -11.46
2026-03-03 Industrial Production YoY 7.1 2.2 +0.672 Low +10.82
2026-03-03 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.1 51.5 -0.317 Medium -10.21
2026-02-12 Import Prices YoY -1.2 0.8 +0.940 Low +9.77
2026-02-02 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.2 50.5 +0.565 Medium +9.32
2026-03-09 GDP Growth Rate QoQ -0.2 -0.3 +0.498 Low +9.23
2026-03-03 Industrial Production MoM -1.9 0.5 -0.567 Low -9.14
2026-03-05 Current Account 13.26 5.0 +0.448 Low +7.56
2026-03-05 Inflation Rate YoY 2.0 2.1 +0.212 Medium +7.17
2025-12-23 Consumer Confidence 109.9 104.0 +1.039 Medium +6.65
2026-02-23 Consumer Confidence 112.1 111.0 +0.182 Medium +4.86
2026-03-09 Gross Domestic Product QoQ -0.2 -0.3 +0.237 Low +4.38
2026-03-09 Gross Domestic Product QoQ -0.2 -0.3 +0.237 Low +4.38
2026-03-09 GDP Growth Rate YoY 1.6 1.7 -0.225 Low -4.17
2026-03-01 Exports YoY 29.0 24.0 +0.131 Medium +4.03
2026-02-02 Inflation Rate YoY 2.0 2.1 +0.212 Medium +3.50
2026-02-23 Producer Price Index MoM 0.6 0.4 -0.234 Low -3.13
2026-01-01 Exports YoY 13.4 8.3 +0.386 Medium +3.04
2025-12-30 CPI 0.3 0.2 -0.805 Low -3.03
2026-01-19 Producer Price Index MoM 0.4 0.2 -0.467 Low -2.79
2025-12-29 Business Confidence 70.0 72.0 -0.347 Medium -2.55
2026-01-21 Gross Domestic Product YoY 1.5 1.9 -0.394 Low -2.46
2026-03-05 Inflation Rate MoM 0.3 0.4 +0.135 Low +2.28
2025-12-29 Retail Sales MoM -3.3 -0.8 -0.597 Low -2.19
2026-01-29 Industrial Production MoM 1.7 0.5 +0.284 Low +2.13
2026-03-09 Gross Domestic Product YoY 1.6 1.7 -0.110 Low -2.04
2026-03-09 Gross Domestic Product YoY 1.6 1.7 -0.110 Low -2.04
2026-01-29 Industrial Production YoY -0.3 -2.1 +0.258 Low +1.94
2026-03-01 Imports YoY 7.5 13.0 -0.113 Low -1.74
2026-03-01 Balance of Trade 15.5 10.0 +0.112 Low +1.73
2026-01-14 Import Prices YoY 0.3 1.5 +0.301 Low +1.60
2026-02-01 Balance of Trade 8.74 4.6 +0.184 Low +1.48
2025-12-29 Industrial Production YoY -1.4 4.6 -0.393 Low -1.44
2025-12-30 Inflation Rate YoY 2.3 2.4 +0.186 Medium +1.40
2026-02-01 Exports YoY 33.9 29.9 +0.084 Medium +1.36
2026-01-02 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 50.1 49.9 +0.163 Medium +1.32
2026-03-06 CPI 2.0 2.1 +0.077 Low +1.32
2026-03-05 CPI 2.0 2.1 +0.077 Low +1.29
2026-03-05 CPI 2.0 2.1 +0.077 Low +1.29
2026-01-21 Consumer Confidence 110.8 110.2 +0.100 Medium +1.25
2026-03-16 Export Prices YoY 10.7 8.1 -0.047 Low -1.03
2025-12-30 Inflation Rate MoM 0.3 0.2 -0.270 Low -1.02
2026-01-01 Imports YoY 4.6 2.4 +0.245 Low +0.97
2026-02-23 Producer Price Index YoY 1.9 1.7 -0.070 Low -0.94
2026-02-12 Export Prices YoY 7.8 5.1 -0.078 Low -0.81
2026-02-05 Current Account 18.7 14.0 +0.091 Low +0.80
2026-01-14 Export Prices YoY 5.5 3.0 -0.122 Low -0.65
2026-02-02 CPI 2.0 2.1 +0.077 Low +0.63
2026-01-07 Current Account 12.24 8.9 +0.102 Low +0.46
2026-02-01 Imports YoY 11.7 14.6 -0.053 Low -0.43
2026-01-19 Producer Price Index YoY 1.9 1.7 -0.070 Low -0.42
2026-01-31 Imports YoY 11.7 14.6 -0.053 Low -0.42
2026-01-01 Balance of Trade 12.18 9.0 +0.072 Low +0.28
2026-03-15 Exports YoY 28.7 29.0 -0.007 Low -0.14
2025-12-29 Industrial Production MoM 0.6 0.7 -0.017 Low -0.06
2026-03-15 Balance of Trade 15.38 15.51 -0.002 Low -0.04
2026-01-15 Exports YoY 13.3 13.4 -0.005 Low -0.03
2026-02-18 Imports YoY 11.6 11.7 -0.002 Low -0.03
2026-02-19 Imports YoY 11.6 11.7 -0.002 Low -0.03
2026-02-19 Imports YoY 11.6 11.7 -0.002 Low -0.03
2026-02-18 Exports YoY 33.8 33.9 -0.002 Low -0.02
2026-02-19 Exports YoY 33.8 33.9 -0.002 Low -0.02
2026-02-19 Exports YoY 33.8 33.9 -0.002 Low -0.02
2026-02-18 Balance of Trade 8.72 8.74 -0.000 Low -0.01
2026-02-19 Balance of Trade 8.72 8.74 -0.000 Low -0.01
2026-02-19 Balance of Trade 8.72 8.74 -0.000 Low -0.01
2026-01-15 Balance of Trade 12.17 12.18 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-01-15 Imports YoY 4.6 4.6 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-01-15 Interest Rate Decision 2.5 2.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-01-15 Interest Rate Decision 2.5 2.5 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-02 CPI 0.4 0.4 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-02-02 Inflation Rate MoM 0.4 0.4 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-02-02 CPI 0.4 0.4 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-02-25 Interest Rate Decision 2.5 2.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-26 Interest Rate Decision 2.5 2.5 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-26 Interest Rate Decision 2.5 2.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-26 Interest Rate Decision 2.5 2.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-15 Imports YoY 7.5 7.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-17 Unemployment Rate 2.9 2.9 -0.000 Medium -0.00

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms