South Korea
-0.1
▲
vs 1w ago (-1.2)
South Korea economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days,
releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
-0.1
1 Week Ago
-1.2
Releases (90d)
75
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with KOSPI Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
- GDP Growth Rate QoQ +0.75z
- Consumer Confidence +1.93z
- S&P Global Manufacturing PMI +1.33z
- Business Confidence +1.21z
- Unemployment Rate +0.32z
▼ Top Negative Surprises
- S&P Global Manufacturing PMI -2.07z
- Retail Sales MoM -1.92z
- CPI MoM -1.72z
- Business Confidence -0.46z
- Producer Price Index MoM -0.48z
All Releases — 90 Day Window (75 events)
| Date | Event | Actual | Estimate | Surprise Z | Impact | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.1 | 55.0 | -2.070 | Medium | -55.46 |
| 2026-07-22 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.6 | 0.4 | +0.752 | Medium | +32.75 |
| 2026-05-21 | Consumer Confidence | 106.1 | 96.0 | +1.931 | Medium | +20.06 |
| 2026-06-01 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 54.8 | 53.0 | +1.333 | Medium | +17.86 |
| 2026-05-26 | Business Confidence | 80.0 | 73.0 | +1.210 | Medium | +14.11 |
| 2026-05-28 | Retail Sales MoM | -3.6 | 0.4 | -1.915 | Low | -11.69 |
| 2026-07-14 | Unemployment Rate | 2.7 | 2.8 | +0.321 | Medium | +11.61 |
| 2026-06-01 | CPI MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -1.715 | Low | -11.49 |
| 2026-06-24 | Business Confidence | 79.0 | 82.0 | -0.462 | Medium | -10.52 |
| 2026-07-21 | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.0 | -0.2 | -0.482 | Low | -10.24 |
| 2026-07-22 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 3.7 | 3.5 | +0.221 | Medium | +9.61 |
| 2026-07-22 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.6 | 0.4 | +0.377 | Low | +8.21 |
| 2026-06-29 | Industrial Production YoY | -0.9 | 2.2 | -0.430 | Low | -5.50 |
| 2026-06-01 | CPI YoY | 3.1 | 3.0 | -0.782 | Low | -5.24 |
| 2026-06-29 | Industrial Production MoM | -3.0 | 1.7 | -0.331 | Low | -4.24 |
| 2026-05-20 | Producer Price Index MoM | 2.5 | 1.0 | -0.722 | Low | -3.67 |
| 2026-07-22 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 3.7 | 3.5 | +0.119 | Low | +2.59 |
| 2026-06-01 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -0.365 | Low | -2.45 |
| 2026-05-28 | Industrial Production MoM | -0.7 | 0.3 | -0.399 | Low | -2.44 |
| 2026-05-07 | Current Account | 37.33 | 11.4 | +0.631 | Low | +2.37 |
| 2026-06-29 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.1 | 2.0 | -0.182 | Low | -2.33 |
| 2026-06-18 | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.8 | 1.5 | +0.225 | Low | +2.23 |
| 2026-06-01 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 3.0 | -0.151 | Medium | -2.02 |
| 2026-06-08 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 3.8 | 3.6 | +0.215 | Low | +1.69 |
| 2026-07-27 | Consumer Confidence | 106.8 | 107.0 | -0.034 | Medium | -1.68 |
| 2026-04-29 | Retail Sales MoM | 1.8 | 0.5 | +0.498 | Low | +1.56 |
| 2026-05-04 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.6 | 53.0 | +0.444 | Low | +1.56 |
| 2026-06-22 | Consumer Confidence | 106.6 | 107.0 | -0.069 | Medium | -1.49 |
| 2026-05-20 | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.9 | 5.0 | -0.233 | Low | -1.19 |
| 2026-06-18 | Producer Price Index YoY | 8.5 | 7.2 | -0.111 | Low | -1.10 |
| 2026-06-08 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 3.8 | 3.6 | +0.116 | Low | +0.91 |
| 2026-06-01 | Exports YoY | 53.2 | 48.4 | +0.064 | Medium | +0.86 |
| 2026-07-07 | Current Account | 38.61 | 33.0 | +0.047 | Low | +0.73 |
| 2026-07-14 | Import Prices YoY | 20.6 | 23.0 | +0.040 | Low | +0.72 |
| 2026-06-08 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.8 | 1.7 | +0.089 | Low | +0.70 |
| 2026-06-15 | Import Prices YoY | 24.8 | 30.5 | +0.072 | Low | +0.66 |
| 2026-07-21 | Producer Price Index YoY | 8.6 | 8.2 | -0.030 | Low | -0.64 |
| 2026-05-28 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.5 | 2.2 | -0.097 | Low | -0.59 |
| 2026-07-01 | Balance of Trade | 36.15 | 29.9 | +0.044 | Low | +0.59 |
| 2026-06-08 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.8 | 1.7 | +0.044 | Low | +0.35 |
| 2026-06-04 | Current Account | 28.29 | 34.0 | -0.047 | Low | -0.33 |
| 2026-05-01 | Exports YoY | 48.0 | 45.3 | +0.038 | Medium | +0.25 |
| 2026-05-14 | Import Prices YoY | 20.2 | 23.0 | +0.047 | Low | +0.21 |
| 2026-05-14 | Export Prices YoY | 40.8 | 31.0 | -0.048 | Low | -0.21 |
| 2026-04-29 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | +0.060 | Low | +0.19 |
| 2026-07-14 | Export Prices YoY | 48.9 | 52.2 | +0.010 | Low | +0.18 |
| 2026-06-01 | Balance of Trade | 26.95 | 24.3 | +0.023 | Low | +0.15 |
| 2026-05-01 | Imports YoY | 16.7 | 14.5 | +0.042 | Low | +0.14 |
| 2026-06-01 | Imports YoY | 20.8 | 21.5 | -0.009 | Low | -0.06 |
| 2026-06-15 | Export Prices YoY | 46.9 | 45.0 | -0.006 | Low | -0.06 |
| 2026-04-29 | Industrial Production YoY | 3.6 | 3.8 | -0.016 | Low | -0.05 |
| 2026-05-01 | Balance of Trade | 23.77 | 23.0 | +0.007 | Low | +0.02 |
| 2026-06-15 | Exports YoY | 53.4 | 53.2 | +0.002 | Low | +0.02 |
| 2026-06-15 | Imports YoY | 20.7 | 20.8 | -0.001 | Low | -0.01 |
| 2026-06-15 | Balance of Trade | 27.04 | 26.95 | +0.001 | Low | +0.01 |
| 2026-05-05 | CPI YoY | 2.6 | 2.6 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-05-05 | CPI MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-05-05 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-05-05 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.6 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-05-12 | Unemployment Rate | 2.8 | 2.8 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | Balance of Trade | 23.76 | 23.77 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | Imports YoY | 16.7 | 16.7 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | Exports YoY | 48.0 | 48.0 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-05-28 | Interest Rate Decision | 2.5 | 2.5 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-06-08 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 3.6 | 3.6 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-06-08 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.7 | 1.7 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-06-10 | Unemployment Rate | 2.8 | 2.8 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | Exports YoY | 70.9 | 70.9 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | Imports YoY | 30.1 | 30.1 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 3.2 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | CPI MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | CPI YoY | 3.2 | 3.2 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | Interest Rate Decision | 2.75 | 2.75 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | Interest Rate Decision | 2.75 | 2.75 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |