South Korea
+2.5
▬
vs 1w ago (+2.8)
South Korea economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days,
releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
+2.5
1 Week Ago
+2.8
Releases (90d)
71
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with KOSPI Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
- CPI MoM +2.74z
- CPI YoY +1.71z
- Producer Price Index MoM +1.12z
- Inflation Rate MoM +1.64z
- CPI YoY +0.80z
▼ Top Negative Surprises
- S&P Global Manufacturing PMI -0.69z
- Consumer Confidence -0.43z
- Business Confidence -0.31z
- Business Confidence -0.47z
- Producer Price Index MoM -0.48z
All Releases — 90 Day Window (71 events)
| Date | Event | Actual | Estimate | Surprise Z | Impact | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | CPI MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | +2.737 | Low | +27.79 |
| 2026-09-01 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.3 | 53.2 | -0.690 | Medium | -27.40 |
| 2026-08-03 | CPI YoY | 2.8 | 3.0 | +1.711 | Low | +17.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.4 | 0.3 | +1.118 | Low | +16.82 |
| 2026-08-03 | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | +1.643 | Low | +16.68 |
| 2026-09-01 | CPI YoY | 3.1 | 3.2 | +0.802 | Low | +15.92 |
| 2026-08-24 | Consumer Confidence | 104.5 | 107.0 | -0.430 | Medium | -14.18 |
| 2026-07-22 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.6 | 0.4 | +0.756 | Medium | +11.64 |
| 2026-08-25 | Business Confidence | 81.0 | 83.0 | -0.307 | Medium | -10.37 |
| 2026-07-30 | Retail Sales MoM | 2.7 | 0.5 | +0.847 | Low | +7.84 |
| 2026-08-03 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 3.0 | +0.303 | Medium | +6.15 |
| 2026-09-01 | CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | +0.304 | Low | +6.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 3.2 | +0.142 | Medium | +5.64 |
| 2026-07-14 | Unemployment Rate | 2.7 | 2.8 | +0.323 | Medium | +4.14 |
| 2026-06-24 | Business Confidence | 79.0 | 82.0 | -0.466 | Medium | -3.76 |
| 2026-07-30 | Industrial Production YoY | 5.8 | 2.5 | +0.405 | Low | +3.75 |
| 2026-09-01 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | +0.183 | Low | +3.62 |
| 2026-07-21 | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.0 | -0.2 | -0.479 | Low | -3.60 |
| 2026-07-22 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 3.7 | 3.5 | +0.222 | Medium | +3.41 |
| 2026-07-22 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.6 | 0.4 | +0.377 | Low | +2.90 |
| 2026-07-29 | Business Confidence | 82.0 | 81.0 | +0.157 | Medium | +2.85 |
| 2026-08-30 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.2 | -1.0 | +0.145 | Low | +2.74 |
| 2026-09-01 | Exports YoY | 68.7 | 62.6 | +0.063 | Medium | +2.51 |
| 2026-08-13 | Import Prices YoY | 18.7 | 31.0 | +0.154 | Low | +1.97 |
| 2026-06-29 | Industrial Production YoY | -0.9 | 2.2 | -0.433 | Low | -1.96 |
| 2026-08-30 | Industrial Production YoY | 3.6 | 5.0 | -0.086 | Low | -1.63 |
| 2026-06-29 | Industrial Production MoM | -3.0 | 1.7 | -0.333 | Low | -1.51 |
| 2026-08-05 | Current Account | 49.73 | 34.7 | +0.121 | Low | +1.29 |
| 2026-07-30 | Industrial Production MoM | 6.4 | 3.0 | +0.137 | Low | +1.26 |
| 2026-09-03 | Current Account | 42.08 | 50.0 | -0.044 | Low | -0.92 |
| 2026-07-22 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 3.7 | 3.5 | +0.119 | Low | +0.91 |
| 2026-08-20 | Producer Price Index YoY | 7.7 | 8.5 | +0.058 | Low | +0.87 |
| 2026-06-29 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.1 | 2.0 | -0.183 | Low | -0.83 |
| 2026-08-01 | Exports YoY | 62.8 | 59.0 | +0.042 | Medium | +0.81 |
| 2026-06-18 | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.8 | 1.5 | +0.224 | Low | +0.78 |
| 2026-08-30 | Retail Sales MoM | -2.4 | -2.0 | -0.039 | Low | -0.73 |
| 2026-07-27 | Consumer Confidence | 106.8 | 107.0 | -0.034 | Medium | -0.59 |
| 2026-09-01 | Balance of Trade | 34.75 | 30.7 | +0.028 | Low | +0.56 |
| 2026-06-22 | Consumer Confidence | 106.6 | 107.0 | -0.069 | Medium | -0.53 |
| 2026-09-01 | Imports YoY | 22.5 | 24.7 | -0.025 | Low | -0.49 |
| 2026-06-18 | Producer Price Index YoY | 8.5 | 7.2 | -0.112 | Low | -0.39 |
| 2026-07-07 | Current Account | 38.61 | 33.0 | +0.048 | Low | +0.26 |
| 2026-07-14 | Import Prices YoY | 20.6 | 23.0 | +0.041 | Low | +0.26 |
| 2026-06-15 | Import Prices YoY | 24.8 | 30.5 | +0.073 | Low | +0.24 |
| 2026-07-21 | Producer Price Index YoY | 8.6 | 8.2 | -0.030 | Low | -0.23 |
| 2026-07-01 | Balance of Trade | 36.15 | 29.9 | +0.045 | Low | +0.21 |
| 2026-08-13 | Export Prices YoY | 49.1 | 55.0 | +0.017 | Low | +0.21 |
| 2026-07-14 | Export Prices YoY | 48.9 | 52.2 | +0.010 | Low | +0.06 |
| 2026-08-01 | Balance of Trade | 30.32 | 29.59 | +0.005 | Low | +0.05 |
| 2026-08-18 | Exports YoY | 63.0 | 62.8 | +0.002 | Low | +0.03 |
| 2026-06-15 | Export Prices YoY | 46.9 | 45.0 | -0.007 | Low | -0.02 |
| 2026-06-15 | Exports YoY | 53.4 | 53.2 | +0.002 | Low | +0.01 |
| 2026-07-15 | Imports YoY | 30.0 | 30.1 | -0.001 | Low | -0.01 |
| 2026-07-15 | Exports YoY | 70.7 | 70.9 | -0.002 | Low | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-01 | Imports YoY | 26.5 | 26.6 | -0.001 | Low | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-15 | Balance of Trade | 30.39 | 30.32 | +0.000 | Low | +0.01 |
| 2026-06-15 | Balance of Trade | 27.04 | 26.95 | +0.001 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-06-15 | Imports YoY | 20.7 | 20.8 | -0.001 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 3.2 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | CPI MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | CPI YoY | 3.2 | 3.2 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | Balance of Trade | 36.09 | 36.15 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | Interest Rate Decision | 2.75 | 2.75 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | Interest Rate Decision | 2.75 | 2.75 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | Unemployment Rate | 2.8 | 2.8 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | Imports YoY | 26.5 | 26.5 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | Interest Rate Decision | 3.0 | 3.0 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.6 | 0.6 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 3.7 | 3.7 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | Unemployment Rate | 2.7 | 2.7 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |