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Economic Surprises › South Korea
South Korea +4.1 ▬ vs 1w ago (+4.3)
South Korea economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days, releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
+4.1
1 Week Ago
+4.3
Releases (90d)
82
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with KOSPI Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
▼ Top Negative Surprises
All Releases — 90 Day Window (82 events)
Date Event Actual Estimate Surprise Z Impact Contribution
2026-04-22 GDP Growth Rate YoY 3.6 2.7 +1.275 Medium +33.39
2026-04-22 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 1.7 1.0 +1.046 Medium +27.39
2026-04-27 Business Confidence 74.0 69.0 +0.911 Medium +26.79
2026-04-22 Consumer Confidence 99.2 105.0 -1.014 Medium -26.54
2026-04-01 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 52.6 51.3 +1.039 Medium +16.75
2026-04-14 Import Prices YoY 18.4 4.1 -1.310 Low -14.26
2026-04-14 Unemployment Rate 2.7 2.9 +0.615 Medium +13.39
2026-05-07 Current Account 37.33 11.4 +0.624 Low +11.55
2026-03-03 Retail Sales MoM 2.3 0.2 +2.023 Low +8.34
2026-04-22 Gross Domestic Product YoY 3.6 2.7 +0.636 Low +8.33
2026-05-04 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 53.6 53.0 +0.464 Low +8.02
2026-03-26 Business Confidence 71.0 68.0 +0.555 Medium +7.79
2026-04-29 Retail Sales MoM 1.8 0.5 +0.501 Low +7.71
2026-04-22 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 1.7 1.0 +0.497 Low +6.51
2026-04-01 Inflation Rate YoY 2.2 2.4 +0.374 Medium +6.03
2026-03-24 Consumer Confidence 107.0 105.0 +0.350 Medium +4.68
2026-02-24 Business Confidence 72.0 75.0 -0.503 Medium -3.53
2026-03-30 Industrial Production YoY -2.2 6.0 -0.415 Low -3.19
2026-03-16 Import Prices YoY 1.2 0.5 -0.526 Low -2.93
2026-03-03 Industrial Production YoY 7.1 2.2 +0.676 Low +2.79
2026-03-03 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.1 51.5 -0.318 Medium -2.63
2026-04-14 Export Prices YoY 28.7 11.2 -0.234 Low -2.55
2026-03-03 Industrial Production MoM -1.9 0.5 -0.571 Low -2.36
2026-03-09 GDP Growth Rate QoQ -0.2 -0.3 +0.498 Low +2.36
2026-04-01 Inflation Rate MoM 0.3 0.6 +0.272 Low +2.19
2026-03-05 Current Account 13.26 5.0 +0.453 Low +1.96
2026-03-05 Inflation Rate YoY 2.0 2.1 +0.214 Medium +1.85
2026-03-30 Industrial Production MoM 5.4 1.8 +0.238 Low +1.83
2026-04-07 Current Account 23.19 14.0 +0.180 Low +1.67
2026-03-30 Retail Sales MoM 0.0 1.1 -0.193 Low -1.48
2026-03-23 Producer Price Index YoY 2.4 1.8 -0.202 Low -1.32
2026-02-23 Consumer Confidence 112.1 111.0 +0.182 Medium +1.25
2026-05-01 Exports YoY 48.0 45.3 +0.038 Medium +1.22
2026-03-09 Gross Domestic Product QoQ -0.2 -0.3 +0.237 Low +1.12
2026-03-09 Gross Domestic Product QoQ -0.2 -0.3 +0.237 Low +1.12
2026-03-09 GDP Growth Rate YoY 1.6 1.7 -0.225 Low -1.07
2026-03-01 Exports YoY 29.0 24.0 +0.132 Medium +1.04
2026-05-14 Export Prices YoY 40.8 31.0 -0.047 Low -1.03
2026-05-14 Import Prices YoY 20.2 23.0 +0.046 Low +1.00
2026-04-29 Industrial Production MoM 0.3 0.2 +0.059 Low +0.92
2026-02-23 Producer Price Index MoM 0.6 0.4 -0.237 Low -0.81
2026-04-01 Exports YoY 48.3 44.9 +0.048 Medium +0.78
2026-05-01 Imports YoY 16.7 14.5 +0.041 Low +0.66
2026-03-23 Producer Price Index MoM 0.6 0.5 -0.095 Low -0.62
2026-03-05 Inflation Rate MoM 0.3 0.4 +0.136 Low +0.59
2026-04-01 Imports YoY 13.2 18.0 -0.072 Low -0.58
2026-03-09 Gross Domestic Product YoY 1.6 1.7 -0.112 Low -0.53
2026-03-09 Gross Domestic Product YoY 1.6 1.7 -0.112 Low -0.53
2026-03-01 Balance of Trade 15.5 10.0 +0.114 Low +0.45
2026-03-01 Imports YoY 7.5 13.0 -0.114 Low -0.45
2026-04-21 Producer Price Index MoM 1.6 1.5 -0.032 Low -0.40
2026-04-01 Balance of Trade 25.74 21.2 +0.044 Low +0.36
2026-03-06 CPI 2.0 2.1 +0.077 Low +0.34
2026-03-05 CPI 2.0 2.1 +0.077 Low +0.33
2026-03-05 CPI 2.0 2.1 +0.077 Low +0.33
2026-03-16 Export Prices YoY 10.7 8.1 -0.048 Low -0.27
2026-04-29 Industrial Production YoY 3.6 3.8 -0.016 Low -0.25
2026-02-23 Producer Price Index YoY 1.9 1.7 -0.071 Low -0.24
2026-04-21 Producer Price Index YoY 4.1 4.0 -0.015 Low -0.19
2026-04-15 Exports YoY 49.2 48.3 +0.012 Low +0.13
2026-05-01 Balance of Trade 23.77 23.0 +0.007 Low +0.11
2026-03-15 Exports YoY 28.7 29.0 -0.007 Low -0.04
2026-04-15 Balance of Trade 26.24 25.74 +0.004 Low +0.04
2026-02-19 Imports YoY 11.6 11.7 -0.002 Low -0.01
2026-02-19 Exports YoY 33.8 33.9 -0.002 Low -0.01
2026-02-19 Imports YoY 11.6 11.7 -0.002 Low -0.01
2026-02-19 Exports YoY 33.8 33.9 -0.002 Low -0.01
2026-03-15 Balance of Trade 15.38 15.51 -0.002 Low -0.01
2026-02-19 Balance of Trade 8.72 8.74 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-02-19 Balance of Trade 8.72 8.74 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-02-25 Interest Rate Decision 2.5 2.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-26 Interest Rate Decision 2.5 2.5 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-26 Interest Rate Decision 2.5 2.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-26 Interest Rate Decision 2.5 2.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-15 Imports YoY 7.5 7.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-17 Unemployment Rate 2.9 2.9 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-04-10 Interest Rate Decision 2.5 2.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-04-10 Interest Rate Decision 2.5 2.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-04-15 Imports YoY 13.2 13.2 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-05-05 Inflation Rate YoY 2.6 2.6 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-05-05 Inflation Rate MoM 0.5 0.5 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-05-12 Unemployment Rate 2.8 2.8 -0.000 Medium -0.00

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms