Malaysia Economic Surprise Index
+3.0 ▬ vs 1w ago (+3.9)
Malaysia economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days,
releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
+3.0
1 Week Ago
+3.9
Releases (90d)
40
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
- Inflation Rate YoY +0.60z
- Unemployment Rate +1.35z
- Inflation Rate MoM +0.44z
- Inflation Rate YoY +1.64z
- Industrial Production YoY +2.98z
▼ Top Negative Surprises
- S&P Global Manufacturing PMI -1.39z
- Coincident Index MoM -0.58z
- Inflation Rate YoY -0.64z
- Inflation Rate MoM -0.44z
- Balance of Trade -0.34z
All Releases — 90 Day Window (40 events)
| Date | Event | Actual | Estimate | Surprise Z | Impact | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.8 | 1.9 | +0.604 | Medium | +25.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | Unemployment Rate | 2.9 | 3.0 | +1.350 | Low | +22.27 |
| 2026-10-01 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49.9 | 51.0 | -1.386 | Low | -19.01 |
| 2026-10-19 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.2 | +0.441 | Medium | +18.33 |
| 2026-08-17 | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.8 | 2.1 | +1.639 | Medium | +15.89 |
| 2026-10-23 | Coincident Index MoM | -0.1 | 0.2 | -0.585 | Low | -13.33 |
| 2026-09-18 | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.9 | 1.8 | -0.637 | Medium | -12.94 |
| 2026-08-11 | Industrial Production YoY | 6.5 | 2.0 | +2.978 | Low | +12.57 |
| 2026-10-09 | Industrial Production YoY | 5.0 | 3.5 | +0.567 | Low | +9.36 |
| 2026-09-18 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | -0.441 | Medium | -8.96 |
| 2026-08-17 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.0 | 0.3 | +0.882 | Medium | +8.55 |
| 2026-10-19 | Balance of Trade | 33.72 | 45.0 | -0.345 | Low | -7.17 |
| 2026-08-14 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 6.0 | 5.8 | +0.682 | Medium | +6.17 |
| 2026-09-25 | Coincident Index MoM | -0.1 | 0.5 | -0.468 | Low | -5.59 |
| 2026-10-16 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 5.3 | 4.9 | +0.280 | Low | +5.43 |
| 2026-09-01 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 50.2 | 50.8 | -0.759 | Low | -5.20 |
| 2026-10-09 | Retail Sales YoY | 6.5 | 6.0 | +0.167 | Low | +2.75 |
| 2026-10-23 | Leading Index MoM | 0.2 | 0.4 | -0.103 | Low | -2.36 |
| 2026-08-13 | Construction Output YoY | 8.8 | 4.0 | +0.478 | Low | +2.11 |
| 2026-08-20 | Balance of Trade | 22.5 | 17.5 | +0.393 | Low | +2.04 |
| 2026-09-18 | Balance of Trade | 28.1 | 25.3 | +0.152 | Low | +1.55 |
| 2026-09-11 | Retail Sales YoY | 6.4 | 7.0 | -0.172 | Low | -1.48 |
| 2026-09-09 | Industrial Production YoY | 4.7 | 5.4 | -0.172 | Low | -1.42 |
| 2026-09-18 | Imports YoY | 41.1 | 33.3 | +0.127 | Low | +1.29 |
| 2026-09-25 | Leading Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | +0.103 | Low | +1.23 |
| 2026-08-24 | Leading Index MoM | 0.02 | 0.4 | -0.197 | Low | -1.12 |
| 2026-08-24 | Coincident Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | +0.195 | Low | +1.11 |
| 2026-09-18 | Exports YoY | 45.5 | 38.0 | +0.060 | Low | +0.61 |
| 2026-08-14 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 2.5 | 2.0 | +0.131 | Low | +0.59 |
| 2026-08-14 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 6.0 | 5.8 | +0.118 | Low | +0.54 |
| 2026-08-12 | Retail Sales YoY | 6.6 | 7.0 | -0.114 | Low | -0.49 |
| 2026-08-20 | Imports YoY | 36.4 | 32.4 | +0.067 | Low | +0.35 |
| 2026-09-28 | Producer Price Index YoY | 10.7 | 10.3 | -0.018 | Low | -0.23 |
| 2026-08-28 | Producer Price Index YoY | 9.7 | 9.1 | -0.030 | Low | -0.19 |
| 2026-08-20 | Exports YoY | 38.0 | 34.3 | +0.033 | Low | +0.17 |
| 2026-08-14 | Current Account | 10.8 | 8.9 | +0.028 | Low | +0.13 |
| 2026-08-11 | Unemployment Rate | 3.0 | 3.0 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | Interest Rate Decision | 2.75 | 2.75 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | Interest Rate | 2.75 | 2.75 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | Unemployment Rate | 3.0 | 3.0 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |