Netherlands Economic Surprise Index
+4.2 ▬ vs 1w ago (+4.7)
Netherlands economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days,
releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
+4.2
1 Week Ago
+4.7
Releases (90d)
39
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with AEX Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
- Manufacturing Production MoM +1.61z
- NEVI Manufacturing PMI +1.27z
- Unemployment Rate +0.75z
- Retail Sales YoY +0.67z
- GDP Growth Rate QoQ +0.85z
▼ Top Negative Surprises
- CPI YoY -2.71z
- Unemployment Rate -0.79z
- Manufacturing Production MoM -1.32z
- CPI YoY -1.27z
- NEVI Manufacturing PMI -0.56z
All Releases — 90 Day Window (39 events)
| Date | Event | Actual | Estimate | Surprise Z | Impact | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 3.3 | -0.6 | +1.612 | Low | +26.58 |
| 2026-10-01 | NEVI Manufacturing PMI | 55.6 | 53.6 | +1.270 | Low | +17.41 |
| 2026-09-17 | Unemployment Rate | 4.0 | 4.1 | +0.748 | Medium | +14.85 |
| 2026-10-01 | Retail Sales YoY | 3.5 | 2.5 | +0.669 | Low | +9.17 |
| 2026-07-31 | CPI YoY | 3.1 | 2.9 | -2.715 | Low | -8.89 |
| 2026-08-20 | Unemployment Rate | 4.0 | 3.9 | -0.787 | Medium | -8.17 |
| 2026-08-10 | Manufacturing Production MoM | -1.3 | 0.3 | -1.322 | Low | -5.45 |
| 2026-07-30 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.4 | 0.2 | +0.851 | Medium | +5.44 |
| 2026-08-11 | CPI YoY | 3.2 | 3.1 | -1.270 | Low | -5.36 |
| 2026-09-23 | Current Account | 16.91 | 14.5 | +0.467 | Low | +5.33 |
| 2026-09-23 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.6 | 0.4 | +0.426 | Low | +4.85 |
| 2026-09-01 | NEVI Manufacturing PMI | 53.8 | 54.7 | -0.560 | Low | -3.84 |
| 2026-09-01 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 3.1 | -0.277 | Medium | -3.80 |
| 2026-10-08 | Household Consumption YoY | 2.1 | 1.0 | +0.213 | Low | +3.44 |
| 2026-07-31 | Business Confidence | 2.4 | 1.0 | +1.037 | Low | +3.39 |
| 2026-07-31 | Business Confidence | 2.4 | 1.0 | +1.037 | Low | +3.39 |
| 2026-07-30 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.4 | 0.2 | +1.000 | Low | +3.20 |
| 2026-09-30 | Business Confidence | 4.2 | 3.2 | +0.231 | Low | +3.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 1.6 | 0.7 | +0.319 | Low | +2.69 |
| 2026-09-23 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.6 | 1.3 | +0.214 | Low | +2.44 |
| 2026-07-31 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 2.9 | -0.296 | Medium | -1.94 |
| 2026-08-28 | Business Confidence | 3.7 | 2.8 | +0.238 | Low | +1.49 |
| 2026-09-22 | Consumer Confidence | -33.0 | -34.0 | +0.037 | Medium | +0.83 |
| 2026-08-21 | Consumer Confidence | -34.0 | -36.0 | +0.071 | Medium | +0.75 |
| 2026-08-11 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 3.1 | -0.139 | Low | -0.58 |
| 2026-07-30 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.3 | 1.2 | +0.077 | Medium | +0.49 |
| 2026-10-12 | Balance of Trade | 8.3 | 8.1 | +0.026 | Low | +0.47 |
| 2026-09-01 | Retail Sales YoY | 2.8 | 2.7 | +0.062 | Low | +0.42 |
| 2026-08-11 | Balance of Trade | 10.4 | 11.4 | -0.094 | Low | -0.40 |
| 2026-09-09 | Household Consumption YoY | 1.2 | 1.4 | -0.028 | Low | -0.23 |
| 2026-08-03 | Retail Sales YoY | 2.9 | 3.0 | -0.056 | Low | -0.20 |
| 2026-08-06 | Household Consumption YoY | 1.7 | 1.8 | -0.011 | Low | -0.04 |
| 2026-09-11 | Balance of Trade | 10.91 | 10.9 | +0.001 | Low | +0.01 |
| 2026-08-11 | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.6 | 1.6 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 3.3 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.4 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | Unemployment Rate | 4.0 | 4.0 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-10-22 | Consumer Confidence | -34.0 | -34.0 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |