Netherlands
+13.7
▬
vs 1w ago (+14.6)
Netherlands economic data has been beating expectations. Over the past 90 days,
releases have generally come in above analyst estimates, suggesting the economy may be stronger than consensus forecasts.
Current Score
+13.7
1 Week Ago
+14.6
Releases (90d)
47
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with AEX Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
- Unemployment Rate +2.21z
- Household Consumption YoY +3.17z
- Gross Domestic Product YoY +2.46z
- Business Confidence +1.04z
- Business Confidence +1.04z
▼ Top Negative Surprises
- Balance of Trade -0.42z
- Business Confidence -0.73z
- Business Confidence -0.73z
- Business Confidence -0.73z
- GDP Growth Rate QoQ -0.42z
All Releases — 90 Day Window (47 events)
| Date | Event | Actual | Estimate | Surprise Z | Impact | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Unemployment Rate | 3.8 | 4.1 | +2.206 | Medium | +83.58 |
| 2026-07-08 | Household Consumption YoY | 1.8 | 0.1 | +3.167 | Low | +49.88 |
| 2026-07-01 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.4 | 1.2 | +2.460 | Low | +32.95 |
| 2026-06-30 | Business Confidence | 1.3 | -3.0 | +1.040 | Low | +13.61 |
| 2026-06-29 | Business Confidence | 1.3 | -3.0 | +1.040 | Low | +13.30 |
| 2026-06-29 | Business Confidence | 1.3 | -3.0 | +1.040 | Low | +13.30 |
| 2026-06-29 | Business Confidence | 1.3 | -3.0 | +1.040 | Low | +13.30 |
| 2026-07-01 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.2 | 0.1 | +0.953 | Low | +12.77 |
| 2026-07-01 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0.1 | +0.844 | Low | +11.31 |
| 2026-06-01 | NEVI Manufacturing PMI | 55.9 | 53.8 | +1.324 | Low | +8.87 |
| 2026-05-21 | Unemployment Rate | 3.9 | 4.0 | +0.754 | Medium | +7.83 |
| 2026-07-13 | Balance of Trade | 6.66 | 11.2 | -0.416 | Low | -7.35 |
| 2026-07-23 | Consumer Confidence | -35.0 | -40.0 | +0.154 | Medium | +6.86 |
| 2026-05-08 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 2.8 | 0.4 | +1.523 | Low | +5.86 |
| 2026-05-06 | Household Consumption YoY | 0.9 | 0.1 | +1.490 | Low | +5.47 |
| 2026-07-10 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.1 | -0.6 | +0.296 | Low | +4.89 |
| 2026-05-29 | Business Confidence | -2.0 | -1.0 | -0.726 | Low | -4.53 |
| 2026-06-01 | Retail Sales YoY | 3.4 | 2.4 | +0.672 | Low | +4.50 |
| 2026-05-28 | Business Confidence | -2.0 | -1.0 | -0.726 | Low | -4.43 |
| 2026-05-28 | Business Confidence | -2.0 | -1.0 | -0.726 | Low | -4.43 |
| 2026-05-04 | NEVI Manufacturing PMI | 54.4 | 52.5 | +1.228 | Low | +4.31 |
| 2026-07-01 | NEVI Manufacturing PMI | 55.5 | 55.1 | +0.246 | Low | +3.30 |
| 2026-05-01 | Retail Sales YoY | 2.9 | 1.8 | +0.985 | Low | +3.23 |
| 2026-04-30 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.422 | Medium | -2.70 |
| 2026-06-22 | Consumer Confidence | -39.0 | -43.0 | +0.115 | Medium | +2.49 |
| 2026-04-30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 2.6 | -0.320 | Medium | -2.05 |
| 2026-07-01 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.4 | 1.2 | +0.153 | Low | +2.05 |
| 2026-07-01 | Current Account | 26.28 | 25.1 | +0.127 | Low | +1.70 |
| 2026-06-02 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.5 | 3.6 | +0.116 | Medium | +1.59 |
| 2026-04-30 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.477 | Low | -1.52 |
| 2026-05-21 | Consumer Confidence | -46.0 | -42.0 | -0.117 | Medium | -1.22 |
| 2026-06-09 | Household Consumption YoY | 1.0 | 0.6 | +0.124 | Low | +1.00 |
| 2026-05-01 | Business Confidence | -0.7 | -1.0 | +0.218 | Low | +0.71 |
| 2026-04-30 | Business Confidence | -0.7 | -1.0 | +0.218 | Low | +0.70 |
| 2026-04-30 | Business Confidence | -0.7 | -1.0 | +0.218 | Low | +0.70 |
| 2026-06-04 | Balance of Trade | 10.7 | 11.5 | -0.071 | Low | -0.51 |
| 2026-04-30 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.2 | 1.3 | -0.070 | Medium | -0.45 |
| 2026-05-20 | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.1 | 1.1 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-05-20 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 2.8 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-05-20 | CPI YoY | 2.8 | 2.8 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-06-09 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-06-09 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.5 | 3.5 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-06-09 | CPI YoY | 3.5 | 3.5 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | Retail Sales YoY | 2.9 | 2.9 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | CPI YoY | 2.9 | 2.9 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 2.9 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |