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Economic Surprises Philippines
Philippines -5.7 ▼ vs 1w ago (-3.8)
Philippines economic data has been missing expectations. Over the past 90 days, releases have generally fallen short of analyst estimates, suggesting the economy may be weaker than consensus forecasts.
Current Score
-5.7
1 Week Ago
-3.8
Releases (90d)
46
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
Top Positive Surprises
Top Negative Surprises
All Releases — 90 Day Window (46 events)
Date Event Actual Estimate Surprise Z Impact Contribution
2026-09-04 Business Confidence -20.3 2.0 -3.669 Low -78.03
2026-09-08 Unemployment Rate 6.0 5.0 -1.020 Medium -47.61
2026-09-01 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 54.9 52.0 +1.649 Low +32.72
2026-08-07 Gross Domestic Product YoY 2.3 2.8 -1.893 Low -21.08
2026-07-07 Inflation Rate MoM -0.3 0.05 +3.762 Low +20.47
2026-08-07 GDP Growth Rate YoY 2.3 2.8 -0.742 Medium -16.54
2026-08-07 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.6 0.9 -1.021 Low -11.37
2026-08-06 Unemployment Rate 4.9 4.5 -0.454 Medium -9.87
2026-08-07 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.6 0.9 -0.429 Medium -9.54
2026-08-13 Foreign Direct Investment 0.2 0.4 -0.724 Low -9.26
2026-07-07 CPI MoM -0.3 0.1 +1.587 Low +8.64
2026-09-10 Foreign Direct Investment 0.4 0.51 -0.312 Low -7.63
2026-07-07 Foreign Exchange Reserves 104.8 102.0 +1.223 Low +6.66
2026-09-04 Inflation Rate YoY 6.1 6.0 -0.145 Medium -6.16
2026-08-27 Budget Balance -106.3 -220.0 +0.267 Low +4.73
2026-08-27 Budget Balance -106.3 -220.0 +0.267 Low +4.73
2026-07-10 Foreign Direct Investment 0.3 0.6 -0.724 Low -4.22
2026-07-07 Core Inflation Rate YoY 4.4 4.1 -0.637 Low -3.46
2026-07-31 Business Confidence 0.0 -45.0 +0.329 Low +3.12
2026-08-28 Balance of Trade -5.973 -4.4 -0.166 Low -3.01
2026-08-05 Inflation Rate YoY 6.2 6.3 +0.138 Medium +2.93
2026-07-07 Inflation Rate YoY 6.4 6.6 +0.263 Medium +2.86
2026-08-05 Inflation Rate MoM 0.1 0.2 +0.269 Low +2.86
2026-09-04 Inflation Rate MoM 0.6 0.5 -0.107 Low -2.29
2026-09-04 Industrial Production YoY 9.6 14.0 -0.108 Low -2.29
2026-08-05 Core Inflation Rate YoY 4.2 4.1 -0.212 Low -2.26
2026-08-06 Industrial Production YoY 13.5 10.0 +0.120 Low +1.30
2026-08-05 CPI YoY 6.2 6.3 +0.116 Low +1.24
2026-07-07 CPI YoY 6.4 6.6 +0.222 Low +1.21
2026-07-08 Unemployment Rate 4.8 4.7 -0.109 Medium -1.21
2026-06-26 Business Confidence -25.2 -45.0 +0.145 Low +0.61
2026-07-30 Balance of Trade -4.939 -4.4 -0.057 Low -0.53
2026-06-29 Consumer Confidence -42.0 -30.0 -0.109 Low -0.49
2026-07-01 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 50.9 51.0 -0.058 Low -0.27
2026-07-07 Industrial Production YoY 13.5 12.0 +0.043 Low +0.23
2026-07-23 Budget Balance -264.3 -280.0 +0.029 Low +0.23
2026-06-30 Balance of Trade -5.481 -5.75 +0.022 Low +0.10
2026-06-25 Budget Balance -198.5 -200.0 +0.004 Low +0.02
2026-06-25 Budget Balance -198.5 -200.0 +0.004 Low +0.02
2026-06-25 Budget Balance -198.5 -200.0 +0.004 Low +0.02
2026-06-18 Interest Rate Decision 4.75 4.75 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-06-30 Producer Price Index YoY 2.9 2.9 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-30 Producer Price Index YoY 3.0 3.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-08-27 Interest Rate Decision 5.0 5.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-08-28 Producer Price Index YoY 3.0 3.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-09-04 Core Inflation Rate YoY 4.1 4.1 -0.000 Low -0.00

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms