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Economic Surprises › Poland
Poland +2.1 ▬ vs 1w ago (+1.2)
Poland economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days, releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
+2.1
1 Week Ago
+1.2
Releases (90d)
76
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
▼ Top Negative Surprises
All Releases — 90 Day Window (76 events)
Date Event Actual Estimate Surprise Z Impact Contribution
2026-04-21 Producer Price Index YoY -0.8 -0.1 +10.490 Low +131.12
2026-04-23 M3 Money Supply YoY 11.5 9.8 +2.377 Low +31.12
2026-03-31 Inflation Rate MoM 1.0 0.2 -3.645 Low -28.04
2026-05-20 Consumer Confidence -11.3 -13.5 +1.137 Low +27.77
2026-04-13 Balance of Trade -1025.0 250.0 -2.607 Low -27.09
2026-04-16 CPI YoY 2.7 2.5 -1.900 Low -21.16
2026-03-31 Inflation Rate YoY 3.0 2.5 -1.243 Medium -19.12
2026-05-18 CPI YoY 3.0 2.9 -0.819 Low -19.11
2026-05-14 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.5 0.9 -0.414 Medium -17.61
2026-04-16 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.7 2.5 -1.498 Low -16.68
2026-04-30 Inflation Rate YoY 3.2 3.5 +0.533 Medium +16.39
2026-05-14 GDP Growth Rate YoY 3.4 3.6 -0.353 Medium -15.01
2026-04-13 Current Account -990.0 399.0 -1.166 Low -12.11
2026-03-18 Consumer Confidence -12.2 -9.5 -1.983 Low -11.30
2026-04-21 Industrial Production YoY 9.4 4.2 +0.756 Low +9.45
2026-04-23 Consumer Confidence -14.1 -12.8 -0.709 Low -9.28
2026-03-16 Current Account 1153.0 -300.0 +1.622 Low +8.83
2026-03-16 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.7 2.5 -1.498 Low -8.15
2026-04-01 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 48.7 47.1 +1.017 Low +8.01
2026-03-16 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.5 2.7 +1.387 Low +7.55
2026-04-22 Business Confidence -4.4 -5.6 +0.583 Low +7.45
2026-05-15 Balance of Trade -497.0 -1300.0 +0.316 Low +6.87
2026-04-30 Inflation Rate MoM 0.6 1.0 +0.364 Low +5.61
2026-03-13 CPI YoY 2.1 2.2 +1.080 Low +5.48
2026-02-20 Business Confidence -3.2 -8.5 +1.695 Low +5.30
2026-03-23 M3 Money Supply YoY 10.6 10.0 +0.822 Low +5.26
2026-03-23 M3 Money Supply YoY 10.6 10.0 +0.822 Low +5.26
2026-03-02 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 47.1 49.2 -1.278 Low -5.03
2026-03-02 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 47.1 49.2 -1.278 Low -5.03
2026-04-23 Retail Sales YoY 8.7 5.0 +0.382 Low +5.00
2026-04-21 Employment Growth YoY -0.9 -0.8 -0.334 Low -4.18
2026-03-20 Business Confidence -5.2 -7.0 +0.699 Low +4.17
2026-05-15 Current Account -234.0 -520.0 +0.184 Low +4.01
2026-03-16 Balance of Trade 378.0 -1500.0 +0.640 Low +3.48
2026-04-21 Corporate Sector Wages YoY 6.6 6.3 +0.264 Low +3.31
2026-03-19 Corporate Sector Wages YoY 6.1 6.6 -0.421 Low -2.45
2026-03-13 CPI 2.1 2.2 +0.464 Low +2.35
2026-05-04 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 48.8 48.6 +0.123 Low +2.08
2026-02-23 M3 Money Supply YoY 10.0 10.4 -0.527 Low -1.77
2026-02-23 M3 Money Supply YoY 10.0 10.4 -0.527 Low -1.77
2026-02-23 M3 Money Supply YoY 10.0 10.4 -0.527 Low -1.77
2026-02-23 M3 Money Supply YoY 10.0 10.4 -0.527 Low -1.77
2026-02-23 M3 Money Supply YoY 10.0 10.4 -0.527 Low -1.77
2026-04-15 Inflation Rate MoM 1.1 1.0 -0.091 Low -0.99
2026-02-23 Retail Sales YoY 4.4 3.1 +0.216 Low +0.72
2026-03-23 Retail Sales YoY 5.0 6.1 -0.093 Low -0.59
2026-03-23 Retail Sales YoY 5.0 6.1 -0.093 Low -0.59
2026-03-19 Industrial Production YoY 1.5 1.3 +0.094 Low +0.55
2026-03-19 Producer Price Index YoY -2.3 -2.4 -0.062 Low -0.36
2026-02-24 Unemployment Rate 6.0 6.0 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-02-24 Unemployment Rate 6.0 6.0 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-03-02 Gross Domestic Product YoY 4.0 4.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-02 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 1.0 1.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-02 Gross Domestic Product YoY 4.0 4.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-02 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 1.0 1.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-02 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 1.0 1.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-02 GDP Growth Rate YoY 4.0 4.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-02 Gross Domestic Product YoY 4.0 4.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-02 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 1.0 1.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-04 Interest Rate Decision 3.75 3.75 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-13 Inflation Rate MoM 0.3 0.3 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-03-13 Inflation Rate YoY 2.1 2.1 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-03-16 CPI YoY 2.5 2.5 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-16 CPI 2.5 2.5 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-19 Employment Growth YoY -0.8 -0.8 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-24 Unemployment Rate 6.1 6.1 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-03-24 Unemployment Rate 6.1 6.1 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-04-09 Interest Rate Decision 3.75 3.75 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-04-15 CPI YoY 3.0 3.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-15 Inflation Rate YoY 3.0 3.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-24 Unemployment Rate 6.1 6.1 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-05-06 Interest Rate Decision 3.75 3.75 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-05-15 Inflation Rate YoY 3.2 3.2 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-05-15 Inflation Rate MoM 0.6 0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-05-15 CPI YoY 3.2 3.2 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-05-18 Core Inflation Rate YoY 3.0 3.0 -0.000 Low -0.00

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms