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Economic Surprises › Poland
Poland +0.0 ▬ vs 1w ago (+0.2)
Poland economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days, releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
+0.0
1 Week Ago
+0.2
Releases (90d)
74
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
▼ Top Negative Surprises
All Releases — 90 Day Window (74 events)
Date Event Actual Estimate Surprise Z Impact Contribution
2026-03-18 Consumer Confidence -12.2 -9.5 -1.981 Low -45.16
2026-03-16 Current Account 1153.0 -300.0 +1.618 Low +35.21
2026-03-16 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.7 2.5 -1.499 Low -32.62
2026-03-16 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.5 2.7 +1.388 Low +30.21
2026-01-22 Industrial Production YoY 7.3 -1.3 +4.034 Low +25.80
2026-03-02 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 47.1 49.2 -1.273 Low -20.05
2026-02-19 Employment Growth YoY -0.8 -0.5 -1.598 Low -19.52
2026-02-20 Business Confidence -3.2 -8.5 +1.516 Low +18.96
2026-03-16 Balance of Trade 378.0 -1500.0 +0.686 Low +14.94
2026-03-20 Business Confidence -5.2 -7.0 +0.625 Low +14.93
2026-02-13 Inflation Rate YoY 2.2 2.0 -0.618 Medium -13.15
2026-02-19 Industrial Production YoY -1.5 2.4 -0.991 Low -12.10
2026-02-12 Gross Domestic Product YoY 4.0 3.9 +0.577 Medium +11.99
2026-02-12 Gross Domestic Product YoY 4.0 3.9 +0.577 Medium +11.99
2026-02-12 Gross Domestic Product YoY 4.0 3.9 +0.577 Medium +11.99
2026-02-13 CPI 2.2 2.0 -1.020 Low -10.85
2025-12-23 Unemployment Rate 5.6 5.7 +1.689 Medium +10.80
2026-02-19 Corporate Sector Wages YoY 6.1 7.2 -0.845 Low -10.32
2026-03-19 Corporate Sector Wages YoY 6.1 6.6 -0.419 Low -9.78
2026-03-13 CPI 2.1 2.2 +0.464 Low +9.42
2026-01-22 Business Confidence -4.1 -10.0 +1.435 Low +9.18
2026-02-13 Balance of Trade -2298.0 -900.0 -0.851 Low -9.05
2026-01-13 Balance of Trade -1087.0 -300.0 -1.438 Low -7.47
2026-02-23 M3 Money Supply YoY 10.0 10.4 -0.533 Low -7.15
2026-02-23 M3 Money Supply YoY 10.0 10.4 -0.533 Low -7.15
2026-02-23 M3 Money Supply YoY 10.0 10.4 -0.533 Low -7.15
2026-02-23 M3 Money Supply YoY 10.0 10.4 -0.533 Low -7.15
2026-02-23 M3 Money Supply YoY 10.0 10.4 -0.533 Low -7.15
2026-01-22 Corporate Sector Wages YoY 8.6 7.2 +1.076 Low +6.88
2026-02-13 Inflation Rate MoM 0.6 0.8 +0.234 Medium +4.99
2026-02-19 Producer Price Index YoY -2.6 -2.3 +0.394 Low +4.81
2026-02-19 Employment Growth YoY -0.8 -0.7 -0.381 Low -4.65
2026-01-16 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.7 2.8 +0.669 Low +3.73
2025-12-31 Inflation Rate YoY 2.4 2.6 +0.476 Medium +3.66
2025-12-31 Inflation Rate MoM 0.0 0.1 +0.938 Low +3.61
2026-01-26 M3 Money Supply YoY 10.4 10.8 -0.514 Low -3.60
2026-01-13 Current Account -460.0 450.0 -0.675 Low -3.51
2026-02-12 GDP Growth Rate YoY 4.0 3.9 +0.162 Medium +3.37
2026-03-19 Producer Price Index YoY -2.3 -2.4 -0.126 Low -2.93
2026-02-23 Retail Sales YoY 4.4 3.1 +0.214 Low +2.87
2025-12-22 Business Confidence -11.6 -8.5 -0.887 Low -2.77
2026-01-02 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 48.5 49.5 -0.603 Low -2.43
2026-03-19 Industrial Production YoY 1.5 1.3 +0.094 Low +2.19
2026-01-22 Employment Growth YoY -0.7 -0.8 +0.333 Low +2.13
2026-01-16 CPI 2.7 2.8 +0.364 Low +2.03
2026-01-26 Retail Sales YoY 5.3 3.5 +0.263 Low +1.84
2026-02-13 Current Account -1698.0 -1250.0 -0.120 Low -1.27
2026-02-02 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 48.8 49.0 -0.122 Low -1.00
2026-02-18 Consumer Confidence -9.1 -9.2 +0.076 Low +0.90
2025-12-22 M3 Money Supply YoY 10.6 10.4 +0.267 Low +0.83
2026-01-22 Producer Price Index YoY -2.5 -2.4 +0.126 Low +0.80
2026-01-22 Consumer Confidence -9.6 -9.5 -0.073 Low -0.47
2025-12-22 Retail Sales YoY 3.1 3.9 -0.105 Low -0.33
2026-01-14 Interest Rate Decision 4.0 4.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-01-15 Inflation Rate YoY 2.4 2.4 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-01-27 Unemployment Rate 5.7 5.7 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-01-30 Full Year GDP Growth 3.6 3.6 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-04 Interest Rate Decision 4.0 4.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 1.0 1.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-24 Unemployment Rate 6.0 6.0 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-02-24 Unemployment Rate 6.0 6.0 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-03-02 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 1.0 1.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-02 Gross Domestic Product YoY 4.0 4.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-02 Gross Domestic Product YoY 4.0 4.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-02 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 1.0 1.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-02 GDP Growth Rate YoY 4.0 4.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-02 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 1.0 1.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-02 Gross Domestic Product YoY 4.0 4.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-02 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 1.0 1.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-04 Interest Rate Decision 3.75 3.75 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-13 Inflation Rate MoM 0.3 0.3 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-03-13 Inflation Rate YoY 2.1 2.1 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-03-16 CPI 2.5 2.5 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-19 Employment Growth YoY -0.8 -0.8 +0.000 Low +0.00

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms