Russia
+4.3
▼
vs 1w ago (+5.4)
Russia economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days,
releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
+4.3
1 Week Ago
+5.4
Releases (90d)
56
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with MOEX Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
- GDP Growth Rate YoY +8.13z
- Current Account +2.28z
- Producer Price Index MoM +2.02z
- S&P Global Services PMI +0.80z
- Unemployment Rate +1.41z
▼ Top Negative Surprises
- Unemployment Rate -1.41z
- Business Confidence -6.90z
- S&P Global Manufacturing PMI -0.82z
- Vehicle Sales YoY -0.71z
- Vehicle Sales YoY -0.71z
All Releases — 90 Day Window (56 events)
| Date | Event | Actual | Estimate | Surprise Z | Impact | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.3 | 0.2 | +8.127 | Medium | +203.16 |
| 2026-09-02 | Unemployment Rate | 2.3 | 2.2 | -1.411 | Medium | -57.29 |
| 2026-07-01 | Business Confidence | -2.1 | 0.2 | -6.898 | Low | -32.67 |
| 2026-09-01 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 48.8 | 50.4 | -0.821 | Medium | -32.58 |
| 2026-08-14 | Current Account | 21.4 | 8.0 | +2.284 | Low | +29.91 |
| 2026-08-19 | Producer Price Index MoM | -2.5 | 0.6 | +2.020 | Low | +29.69 |
| 2026-09-03 | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.3 | 48.8 | +0.798 | Low | +16.58 |
| 2026-09-04 | Vehicle Sales YoY | -7.3 | 5.0 | -0.708 | Low | -15.06 |
| 2026-09-04 | Vehicle Sales YoY | -7.3 | 5.0 | -0.708 | Low | -15.06 |
| 2026-07-01 | Unemployment Rate | 2.1 | 2.2 | +1.411 | Medium | +13.36 |
| 2026-07-22 | Industrial Production YoY | 0.6 | 0.1 | +1.189 | Low | +9.15 |
| 2026-09-03 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 50.6 | 49.5 | +0.431 | Low | +8.95 |
| 2026-09-02 | Corporate Profits | 11.7 | 12.9 | -0.416 | Low | -8.45 |
| 2026-07-29 | Corporate Profits | 11.3 | 9.4 | +0.904 | Low | +8.18 |
| 2026-08-12 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 0.6 | +0.322 | Medium | +8.06 |
| 2026-08-11 | Balance of Trade | 12.46 | 14.5 | -0.600 | Low | -7.33 |
| 2026-09-02 | Retail Sales YoY | 5.3 | 6.2 | -0.347 | Low | -7.04 |
| 2026-09-02 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 0.6 | 1.4 | -0.316 | Low | -6.41 |
| 2026-07-13 | Balance of Trade | 14.15 | 11.7 | +0.893 | Low | +5.58 |
| 2026-07-07 | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 720.4 | 748.0 | -0.987 | Low | -5.37 |
| 2026-07-01 | Retail Sales YoY | 7.8 | 5.3 | +1.127 | Low | +5.34 |
| 2026-07-10 | CPI MoM | 0.9 | 0.8 | -0.379 | Medium | -4.42 |
| 2026-07-01 | Corporate Profits | 8.85 | 7.6 | +0.736 | Low | +3.49 |
| 2026-06-19 | Interest Rate Decision | 14.25 | 14.0 | +0.461 | Medium | +3.31 |
| 2026-08-05 | Vehicle Sales YoY | 0.3 | 25.0 | -0.284 | Low | -3.02 |
| 2026-07-29 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.1 | 0.7 | +0.316 | Low | +2.86 |
| 2026-07-10 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.9 | 0.8 | -0.242 | Medium | -2.82 |
| 2026-07-22 | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.1 | -0.7 | -0.335 | Low | -2.58 |
| 2026-07-01 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 0.3 | 1.4 | -0.434 | Low | -2.06 |
| 2026-06-24 | Consumer Confidence | -13.0 | -16.0 | +0.509 | Low | +2.05 |
| 2026-07-29 | Business Confidence | -1.2 | -1.9 | +0.221 | Low | +2.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | Retail Sales YoY | 7.3 | 8.0 | -0.209 | Low | -1.89 |
| 2026-08-26 | Industrial Production YoY | 0.4 | 0.7 | -0.102 | Low | -1.76 |
| 2026-07-03 | Vehicle Sales YoY | 27.5 | 13.5 | +0.298 | Low | +1.48 |
| 2026-06-24 | Industrial Production YoY | -0.7 | 1.6 | -0.342 | Low | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-02 | Real Wage Growth YoY | 3.4 | 4.1 | -0.058 | Low | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-02 | Business Confidence | -1.0 | -1.1 | +0.055 | Low | +1.11 |
| 2026-08-19 | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.6 | 10.0 | +0.052 | Low | +0.77 |
| 2026-09-11 | Balance of Trade | 13.59 | 13.5 | +0.028 | Low | +0.71 |
| 2026-06-17 | Producer Price Index MoM | 2.5 | 4.0 | +0.147 | Low | +0.50 |
| 2026-07-01 | Real Wage Growth YoY | 5.1 | 7.1 | -0.095 | Low | -0.45 |
| 2026-07-29 | Real Wage Growth YoY | 4.5 | 4.2 | +0.024 | Low | +0.22 |
| 2026-06-17 | Producer Price Index YoY | 9.4 | 7.0 | -0.053 | Low | -0.18 |
| 2026-07-22 | Producer Price Index YoY | 10.5 | 10.0 | -0.008 | Low | -0.06 |
| 2026-06-17 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | -0.2 | -0.2 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-06-17 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | -0.2 | -0.2 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | Inflation Rate YoY | 6.0 | 6.0 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | CPI YoY | 6.0 | 6.0 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | Interest Rate Decision | 14.0 | 14.0 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | Interest Rate Decision | 14.0 | 14.0 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | Unemployment Rate | 2.2 | 2.2 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | Inflation Rate YoY | 6.0 | 6.0 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | Interest Rate Decision | 14.0 | 14.0 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.3 | 1.3 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | Inflation Rate YoY | 6.3 | 6.3 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |