Russia
+2.5
▬
vs 1w ago (+2.1)
Russia economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days,
releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
+2.5
1 Week Ago
+2.1
Releases (90d)
65
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with MOEX Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
- Unemployment Rate +1.42z
- S&P Global Manufacturing PMI +0.96z
- Industrial Production YoY +1.19z
- Retail Sales YoY +3.34z
- CPI MoM +2.02z
▼ Top Negative Surprises
- Business Confidence -6.82z
- Producer Price Index YoY -8.54z
- Foreign Exchange Reserves -0.99z
- CPI MoM -0.38z
- Producer Price Index MoM -2.04z
All Releases — 90 Day Window (65 events)
| Date | Event | Actual | Estimate | Surprise Z | Impact | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Business Confidence | -2.1 | 0.2 | -6.820 | Low | -91.37 |
| 2026-05-20 | Producer Price Index YoY | 5.5 | -0.1 | -8.535 | Low | -43.33 |
| 2026-07-01 | Unemployment Rate | 2.1 | 2.2 | +1.422 | Medium | +38.11 |
| 2026-07-01 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 50.3 | 48.5 | +0.963 | Medium | +25.80 |
| 2026-07-22 | Industrial Production YoY | 0.6 | 0.1 | +1.185 | Low | +25.79 |
| 2026-06-03 | Retail Sales YoY | 6.5 | 2.7 | +3.343 | Low | +23.45 |
| 2026-05-15 | CPI MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | +2.020 | Medium | +18.28 |
| 2026-05-15 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | -0.2 | -0.5 | +1.976 | Medium | +17.87 |
| 2026-07-13 | Balance of Trade | 14.15 | 11.7 | +0.888 | Low | +15.70 |
| 2026-07-07 | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 720.4 | 748.0 | -0.987 | Low | -15.19 |
| 2026-07-01 | Retail Sales YoY | 7.8 | 5.3 | +1.120 | Low | +15.01 |
| 2026-07-10 | CPI MoM | 0.9 | 0.8 | -0.379 | Medium | -12.50 |
| 2026-05-15 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | +1.280 | Medium | +11.58 |
| 2026-04-29 | Retail Sales YoY | 6.2 | 2.5 | +3.515 | Low | +10.98 |
| 2026-05-20 | Producer Price Index MoM | 6.1 | 1.0 | -2.042 | Low | -10.36 |
| 2026-07-01 | Corporate Profits | 8.85 | 7.6 | +0.731 | Low | +9.79 |
| 2026-06-19 | Interest Rate Decision | 14.25 | 14.0 | +0.459 | Medium | +9.32 |
| 2026-05-15 | Inflation Rate YoY | 5.6 | 5.8 | +1.023 | Medium | +9.26 |
| 2026-06-10 | Inflation Rate YoY | 5.3 | 5.4 | +0.550 | Medium | +9.06 |
| 2026-05-15 | CPI YoY | 5.6 | 5.8 | +0.971 | Medium | +8.79 |
| 2026-06-10 | CPI YoY | 5.3 | 5.4 | +0.522 | Medium | +8.60 |
| 2026-04-29 | Unemployment Rate | 2.2 | 2.3 | +1.360 | Medium | +8.50 |
| 2026-06-11 | Balance of Trade | 11.43 | 14.9 | -0.987 | Low | -8.33 |
| 2026-07-10 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.9 | 0.8 | -0.240 | Medium | -7.92 |
| 2026-07-22 | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.1 | -0.7 | -0.343 | Low | -7.47 |
| 2026-06-24 | Consumer Confidence | -13.0 | -16.0 | +0.509 | Low | +5.81 |
| 2026-07-01 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 0.3 | 1.4 | -0.431 | Low | -5.78 |
| 2026-04-29 | Corporate Profits | 3.35 | 5.0 | -1.467 | Low | -4.58 |
| 2026-05-08 | Vehicle Sales YoY | 10.8 | -3.5 | +1.164 | Low | +4.48 |
| 2026-04-29 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.8 | 0.5 | +1.426 | Low | +4.46 |
| 2026-04-29 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.8 | 0.5 | +1.426 | Low | +4.46 |
| 2026-06-01 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 48.8 | 48.2 | +0.323 | Medium | +4.33 |
| 2026-07-03 | Vehicle Sales YoY | 27.5 | 13.5 | +0.296 | Low | +4.15 |
| 2026-06-24 | Industrial Production YoY | -0.7 | 1.6 | -0.341 | Low | -3.88 |
| 2026-07-03 | S&P Global Services PMI | 48.2 | 49.0 | -0.256 | Low | -3.59 |
| 2026-04-29 | Business Confidence | -3.2 | -1.1 | -1.132 | Low | -3.54 |
| 2026-05-14 | Balance of Trade | 13.97 | 11.75 | +0.801 | Low | +3.54 |
| 2026-07-03 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 48.9 | 49.5 | -0.235 | Low | -3.30 |
| 2026-06-03 | Business Confidence | -1.0 | -3.0 | +0.395 | Low | +2.77 |
| 2026-06-03 | S&P Global Services PMI | 48.7 | 49.5 | -0.253 | Low | -1.78 |
| 2026-06-03 | Corporate Profits | 5.19 | 5.5 | -0.251 | Low | -1.76 |
| 2026-05-18 | Current Account | 12.2 | 16.0 | -0.358 | Low | -1.73 |
| 2026-05-06 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 49.1 | 48.0 | +0.445 | Low | +1.63 |
| 2026-06-17 | Producer Price Index MoM | 2.5 | 4.0 | +0.150 | Low | +1.46 |
| 2026-05-22 | M2 Money Supply YoY | 12.3 | 12.0 | +0.266 | Low | +1.41 |
| 2026-06-03 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 49.2 | 48.7 | +0.199 | Low | +1.40 |
| 2026-06-05 | Vehicle Sales YoY | 18.0 | 11.0 | +0.181 | Low | +1.33 |
| 2026-07-01 | Real Wage Growth YoY | 5.1 | 7.1 | -0.094 | Low | -1.27 |
| 2026-04-29 | Real Wage Growth YoY | 8.6 | 4.0 | +0.386 | Low | +1.21 |
| 2026-05-06 | S&P Global Services PMI | 49.7 | 48.9 | +0.256 | Low | +0.94 |
| 2026-06-17 | Producer Price Index YoY | 9.4 | 7.0 | -0.052 | Low | -0.51 |
| 2026-05-04 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 48.1 | 48.0 | +0.054 | Medium | +0.38 |
| 2026-06-03 | Real Wage Growth YoY | 8.1 | 7.1 | +0.047 | Low | +0.33 |
| 2026-05-27 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.9 | 1.6 | +0.044 | Low | +0.27 |
| 2026-06-03 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.3 | 1.4 | -0.039 | Low | -0.27 |
| 2026-07-22 | Producer Price Index YoY | 10.5 | 10.0 | -0.008 | Low | -0.17 |
| 2026-06-03 | Unemployment Rate | 2.2 | 2.2 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-06-10 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-06-10 | CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-06-17 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | -0.2 | -0.2 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-06-17 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | -0.2 | -0.2 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | Inflation Rate YoY | 6.0 | 6.0 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | CPI YoY | 6.0 | 6.0 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | Interest Rate Decision | 14.0 | 14.0 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | Interest Rate Decision | 14.0 | 14.0 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |