Chicago Fed National Activity Index Medium Impact
United States · 148 historical releases · 110 with estimates
Latest Actual
-0.2
Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Mar)
Previous
0.03
Change
-0.23
Historical Avg
-0.06
148 releases
Range
-16.74 — 4.11
Low — High
Beat Rate
39.1%
43 of 110
Miss Rate
59.1%
65 of 110
Historical Releases
All Releases
158
| Date | Period | Actual | Estimate | Previous | Change | Surprise % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun) | — | -0.5 | — | — | — |
| 2026-06-25 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May) | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-26 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Apr) | — | -0.3 | -0.2 | — | — |
| 2026-05-25 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Apr) | — | — | -0.2 | — | — |
| 2026-04-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Mar) | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.03 | -0.23 | -200.0% |
| 2026-03-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Feb) | -0.11 | 0.27 | 0.2 | -0.31 | -140.74% |
| 2026-02-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec) | -0.21 | 0.1 | -0.15 | -0.06 | -310.0% |
| 2026-02-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jan) | 0.18 | 0.3 | -0.21 | +0.39 | -40.0% |
| 2026-01-26 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec) | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-01-26 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct) | -0.42 | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-01-26 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Nov) | -0.04 | — | -0.42 | +0.38 | — |
| 2025-12-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Sep) | -0.21 | -0.4 | -0.31 | +0.1 | +47.5% |
| 2025-12-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Nov) | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-11-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Sep) | — | -0.4 | -0.12 | — | — |
| 2025-11-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct) | — | -0.2 | — | — | — |
| 2025-10-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Sep) | — | -0.4 | -0.12 | — | — |
| 2025-09-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Aug) | -0.12 | -0.17 | -0.28 | +0.16 | +29.41% |
| 2025-08-25 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jul) | -0.19 | -0.2 | -0.18 | -0.01 | +5.0% |
| 2025-07-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun) | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.16 | +0.06 | 0.0% |
| 2025-06-26 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May) | -0.28 | -0.1 | -0.36 | +0.08 | -180.0% |
| 2025-05-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Apr) | -0.25 | -0.2 | 0.03 | -0.28 | -25.0% |
| 2025-04-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Mar) | -0.03 | 0.11 | 0.24 | -0.27 | -127.27% |
| 2025-03-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Feb) | 0.18 | 0.08 | -0.08 | +0.26 | +125.0% |
| 2025-02-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jan) | -0.03 | 0.21 | 0.18 | -0.21 | -114.29% |
| 2025-01-27 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec) | 0.15 | 0.1 | -0.01 | +0.16 | +50.0% |
| 2024-12-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Nov) | -0.12 | -0.1 | -0.5 | +0.38 | -20.0% |
| 2024-11-25 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct) | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.27 | -0.13 | -100.0% |
| 2024-10-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Sep) | -0.28 | 0.2 | -0.01 | -0.27 | -240.0% |
| 2024-09-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Aug) | 0.12 | -0.2 | -0.42 | +0.54 | +160.0% |
| 2024-08-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jul) | -0.34 | 0.03 | -0.09 | -0.25 | -1233.33% |
| 2024-07-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun) | 0.05 | -0.09 | 0.23 | -0.18 | +155.56% |
| 2024-06-25 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May) | 0.18 | -0.4 | -0.26 | +0.44 | +145.0% |
| 2024-05-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Apr) | -0.23 | 0.16 | -0.04 | -0.19 | -243.75% |
| 2024-04-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Mar) | 0.15 | 0.09 | 0.09 | +0.06 | +66.67% |
| 2024-03-25 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Feb) | 0.05 | -0.9 | -0.54 | +0.59 | +105.56% |
| 2024-02-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jan) | -0.3 | -0.19 | 0.02 | -0.32 | -57.89% |
| 2024-01-25 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec) | -0.15 | 0.1 | 0.01 | -0.16 | -250.0% |
| 2023-12-26 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Nov) | 0.03 | -0.3 | -0.66 | +0.69 | +110.0% |
| 2023-11-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct) | -0.49 | -0.01 | -0.02 | -0.47 | -4800.0% |
| 2023-10-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Sep) | 0.02 | 0.05 | -0.22 | +0.24 | -60.0% |
| 2023-09-25 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Aug) | -0.16 | 0.15 | 0.07 | -0.23 | -206.67% |
| 2023-08-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jul) | 0.12 | -0.4 | -0.33 | +0.45 | +130.0% |
| 2023-07-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun) | -0.32 | 0.03 | -0.28 | -0.04 | -1166.67% |
| 2023-06-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May) | -0.15 | 0.15 | 0.14 | -0.29 | -200.0% |
| 2023-05-25 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Apr) | 0.07 | 0.2 | -0.37 | +0.44 | -65.0% |
| 2023-04-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Mar) | -0.19 | -0.02 | -0.19 | — | -850.0% |
| 2023-03-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Feb) | -0.19 | 0.26 | 0.23 | -0.42 | -173.08% |
| 2023-02-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jan) | 0.23 | -0.25 | -0.46 | +0.69 | +192.0% |
| 2023-01-26 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec) | -0.49 | 0.1 | -0.51 | +0.02 | -590.0% |
| 2023-01-26 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Nov) | -0.51 | -0.18 | -0.05 | -0.46 | -183.33% |
| 2022-11-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct) | -0.05 | 0.1 | 0.17 | -0.22 | -150.0% |
| 2022-10-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Sep) | 0.1 | 0.12 | 0.1 | — | -16.67% |
| 2022-09-26 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Aug) | — | 0.24 | 0.29 | -0.29 | — |
| 2022-08-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jul) | 0.27 | -0.02 | -0.25 | +0.52 | +1450.0% |
| 2022-07-25 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun) | -0.19 | 0.05 | -0.19 | — | -480.0% |
| 2022-06-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May) | 0.01 | 0.32 | 0.4 | -0.39 | -96.88% |
| 2022-05-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Apr) | 0.47 | 0.35 | 0.36 | +0.11 | +34.29% |
| 2022-04-25 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Mar) | 0.44 | 0.4 | 0.54 | -0.1 | +10.0% |
| 2022-03-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Feb) | 0.51 | 0.75 | 0.59 | -0.08 | -32.0% |
| 2022-02-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jan) | 0.69 | 0.15 | 0.07 | +0.62 | +360.0% |
| 2022-01-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec) | -0.15 | 0.49 | 0.44 | -0.59 | -130.61% |
| 2021-12-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Nov) | 0.37 | 0.51 | 0.75 | -0.38 | -27.45% |
| 2021-11-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct) | 0.76 | 0.9 | -0.18 | +0.94 | -15.56% |
| 2021-10-25 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Sep) | -0.13 | 0.18 | 0.05 | -0.18 | -172.22% |
| 2021-09-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Aug) | 0.29 | — | 0.75 | -0.46 | — |
| 2021-08-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jul) | 0.53 | 0.1 | -0.01 | +0.54 | +430.0% |
| 2021-07-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun) | 0.09 | 0.45 | 0.26 | -0.17 | -80.0% |
| 2021-06-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May) | 0.29 | 0.15 | -0.09 | +0.38 | +93.33% |
| 2021-05-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Apr) | 0.24 | 2.5 | 1.71 | -1.47 | -90.4% |
| 2021-04-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Mar) | 1.71 | 0.97 | -1.2 | +2.91 | +76.29% |
| 2021-03-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Feb) | -1.09 | 0.78 | 0.75 | -1.84 | -239.74% |
| 2021-02-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jan) | 0.66 | 0.39 | 0.41 | +0.25 | +69.23% |
| 2021-01-25 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec) | 0.52 | 0.1 | 0.31 | +0.21 | +420.0% |
| 2020-12-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Nov) | 0.27 | 0.4 | 1.01 | -0.74 | -32.5% |
| 2020-11-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct) | 0.83 | 0.1 | 0.32 | +0.51 | +730.0% |
| 2020-10-26 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Sep) | 0.27 | 0.39 | 1.11 | -0.84 | -30.77% |
| 2020-09-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Aug) | 0.79 | 1.95 | 2.54 | -1.75 | -59.49% |
| 2020-08-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jul) | 1.18 | 2.73 | 5.33 | -4.15 | -56.78% |
| 2020-07-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun) | 4.11 | 3.2 | 3.5 | +0.61 | +28.44% |
| 2020-06-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May) | 2.61 | -4.0 | -17.89 | +20.5 | +165.25% |
| 2020-05-26 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Apr) | -16.74 | -3.0 | -4.97 | -11.77 | -458.0% |
| 2020-04-20 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Mar) | -4.19 | -4.0 | 0.06 | -4.25 | -4.75% |
| 2020-03-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Feb) | 0.16 | -0.4 | -0.33 | +0.49 | +140.0% |
| 2020-02-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jan) | -0.25 | -0.92 | -0.51 | +0.26 | +72.83% |
| 2020-01-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec) | -0.35 | -0.3 | 0.41 | -0.76 | -16.67% |
| 2019-12-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Nov) | 0.56 | -0.09 | -0.76 | +1.32 | +722.22% |
| 2019-11-25 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct) | -0.71 | -0.43 | -0.45 | -0.26 | -65.12% |
| 2019-10-28 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Sep) | -0.45 | -0.37 | 0.15 | -0.6 | -21.62% |
| 2019-09-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Aug) | 0.1 | -0.35 | -0.41 | +0.51 | +128.57% |
| 2019-08-26 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jul) | -0.36 | 0.11 | 0.03 | -0.39 | -427.27% |
| 2019-07-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun) | -0.02 | 0.1 | -0.03 | +0.01 | -120.0% |
| 2019-06-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May) | -0.05 | 0.1 | -0.48 | +0.43 | -150.0% |
| 2019-05-20 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Apr) | -0.45 | -0.33 | 0.05 | -0.5 | -36.36% |
| 2019-04-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Mar) | -0.15 | 2.55 | -0.31 | +0.16 | -105.88% |
| 2019-03-25 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Feb) | -0.29 | -0.25 | -0.25 | -0.04 | -16.0% |
| 2019-02-25 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jan) | -0.43 | 0.11 | 0.05 | -0.48 | -490.91% |
| 2019-01-28 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec) | 0.27 | 0.15 | 0.21 | +0.06 | +80.0% |
| 2018-12-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Nov) | 0.22 | — | — | +0.22 | — |
| 2018-11-26 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct) | 0.24 | — | 0.14 | +0.1 | — |
| 2018-10-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Sep) | 0.17 | — | 0.27 | -0.1 | — |
| 2018-09-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Aug) | 0.18 | 0.02 | 0.18 | — | +800.0% |
| 2018-08-27 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jul) | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.48 | -0.35 | 0.0% |
| 2018-07-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun) | 0.43 | 0.25 | -0.45 | +0.88 | +72.0% |
| 2018-06-25 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May) | -0.15 | 0.09 | 0.42 | -0.57 | -266.67% |
| 2018-05-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Apr) | 0.34 | 0.14 | 0.32 | +0.02 | +142.86% |
| 2018-04-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Mar) | 0.1 | 0.27 | 0.98 | -0.88 | -62.96% |
| 2018-03-26 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Feb) | 0.88 | 0.15 | 0.02 | +0.86 | +486.67% |
| 2018-02-26 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jan) | 0.12 | 0.2 | 0.14 | -0.02 | -40.0% |
| 2018-01-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec) | 0.27 | 0.44 | 0.11 | +0.16 | -38.64% |
| 2017-12-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Nov) | 0.15 | 0.09 | 0.76 | -0.61 | +66.67% |
| 2017-11-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct) | 0.65 | 0.2 | 0.36 | +0.29 | +225.0% |
| 2017-10-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Sep) | 0.17 | -0.1 | -0.37 | +0.54 | +270.0% |
| 2017-09-25 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Aug) | -0.31 | — | 0.03 | -0.34 | — |
| 2017-08-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jul) | -0.01 | — | 0.16 | -0.17 | — |
| 2017-07-27 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun) | 0.13 | 0.35 | -0.3 | +0.43 | -62.86% |
| 2017-06-26 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May) | -0.26 | 0.2 | 0.57 | -0.83 | -230.0% |
| 2017-05-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Apr) | 0.49 | 0.25 | 0.07 | +0.42 | +96.0% |
| 2017-04-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Mar) | 0.08 | 0.3 | 0.27 | -0.19 | -73.33% |
| 2017-03-20 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Feb) | 0.34 | 0.03 | -0.02 | +0.36 | +1033.33% |
| 2017-02-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jan) | -0.05 | 0.1 | 0.18 | -0.23 | -150.0% |
| 2017-01-26 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec) | 0.14 | — | -0.33 | +0.47 | — |
| 2016-12-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Nov) | -0.27 | -0.15 | -0.05 | -0.22 | -80.0% |
| 2016-11-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct) | -0.08 | — | -0.23 | +0.15 | — |
| 2016-10-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Sep) | -0.14 | — | -0.72 | +0.58 | — |
| 2016-09-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Aug) | -0.55 | — | 0.24 | -0.79 | — |
| 2016-08-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jul) | 0.27 | 0.2 | 0.05 | +0.22 | +35.0% |
| 2016-07-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun) | 0.16 | -0.2 | -0.56 | +0.72 | +180.0% |
| 2016-06-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May) | -0.51 | — | 0.05 | -0.56 | — |
| 2016-05-19 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Apr) | 0.1 | — | -0.55 | +0.65 | — |
| 2016-04-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Mar) | -0.44 | — | -0.38 | -0.06 | — |
| 2016-03-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Feb) | -0.29 | — | 0.41 | -0.7 | — |
| 2016-02-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jan) | 0.28 | — | -0.34 | +0.62 | — |
| 2016-01-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec) | -0.22 | — | -0.36 | +0.14 | — |
| 2015-12-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Nov) | -0.3 | 0.1 | -0.17 | -0.13 | -400.0% |
| 2015-11-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct) | -0.04 | 0.08 | -0.29 | +0.25 | -150.0% |
| 2015-10-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Sep) | -0.37 | — | -0.39 | +0.02 | — |
| 2015-09-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Aug) | -0.41 | — | 0.51 | -0.92 | — |
| 2015-08-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jul) | 0.34 | — | -0.07 | +0.41 | — |
| 2015-07-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun) | 0.08 | — | — | — | — |
| 2015-06-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May) | -0.17 | — | — | — | — |
| 2015-05-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Apr) | -0.15 | — | — | — | — |
| 2015-04-20 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Mar) | -0.42 | 0.1 | — | — | -520.0% |
| 2015-03-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Feb) | -0.11 | — | — | — | — |
| 2015-02-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jan) | 0.13 | — | — | — | — |
| 2015-01-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec) | -0.05 | — | — | — | — |
| 2014-12-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Nov) | 0.73 | — | — | — | — |
| 2014-11-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct) | 0.14 | — | 0.47 | -0.33 | — |
| 2014-10-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Sep) | 0.47 | -0.01 | — | — | +4800.0% |
| 2014-09-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Aug) | -0.21 | — | — | — | — |
| 2014-08-25 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jul) | 0.39 | 0.2 | — | — | +95.0% |
| 2014-07-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun) | 0.12 | — | — | — | — |
| 2014-06-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May) | 0.21 | — | — | — | — |
| 2014-05-22 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Apr) | -0.32 | — | — | — | — |
| 2014-04-21 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Mar) | 0.2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2014-03-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Feb) | 0.14 | — | — | — | — |
| 2014-02-24 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jan) | -0.39 | — | — | — | — |
| 2013-11-12 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Sep) | 0.14 | — | — | — | — |
| 2013-09-23 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Aug) | 0.14 | — | — | — | — |