— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Economic Surprises United States
United States +1.2 ▬ vs 1w ago (+1.3)
United States economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days, releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
+1.2
1 Week Ago
+1.3
Releases (90d)
635
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with S&P 500 Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
Top Positive Surprises
Top Negative Surprises
All Releases — 90 Day Window (635 events)
Date Event Actual Estimate Surprise Z Impact Contribution
2026-03-06 Non Farm Payrolls -92.0 59.0 -3.245 High -168.15
2026-03-11 Monthly Budget Statement -308.0 -75.85 -3.774 Medium -146.35
2026-01-22 Personal Spending MoM 0.5 0.1 +5.356 High +102.77
2026-03-12 Exports 302.1 286.0 +2.523 Medium +100.11
2026-03-12 Housing Starts 1.487 1.35 +1.498 High +89.18
2026-03-12 Balance of Trade -54.5 -66.6 +2.117 Medium +84.00
2026-03-13 Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM 0.5 -0.4 +3.738 Low +75.91
2026-02-19 Balance of Trade -70.3 -55.5 -3.107 Medium -75.89
2026-01-29 Balance of Trade -56.8 -40.5 -4.689 Medium -70.51
2026-03-04 ISM Services PMI 56.1 53.5 +1.379 High +68.24
2026-02-02 ISM Manufacturing PMI 52.6 48.5 +2.628 High +65.02
2026-03-06 Nonfarm Payrolls Private -86.0 65.0 -3.691 Low -63.77
2026-03-06 Participation Rate 62.0 62.5 -1.827 Medium -63.11
2026-03-12 Goods Trade Balance Adv -80.8 -93.0 +1.422 Medium +56.42
2026-01-08 Balance of Trade -29.4 -58.9 +5.835 Medium +54.01
2026-03-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 63.0 68.3 +1.076 High +53.23
2026-03-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 63.0 68.3 +1.076 High +53.23
2026-03-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 63.0 68.3 +1.076 High +53.23
2026-02-18 Building Permits 4.3 -0.2 +2.211 Medium +52.78
2026-03-18 Producer Price Index MoM 0.7 0.3 -0.764 High -52.24
2026-03-13 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.7 1.4 -0.833 High -50.77
2026-03-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 56.1 53.5 +0.996 High +49.29
2026-03-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 56.1 53.5 +0.996 High +49.29
2026-03-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 56.1 53.5 +0.996 High +49.29
2026-01-22 Core PCE Price Index MoM 0.2 0.1 -2.566 High -49.25
2026-01-22 Core PCE Price Index MoM 0.2 0.1 -2.566 High -49.25
2026-03-18 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 6.156 0.4 +1.063 Medium +48.44
2026-03-13 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.7 1.4 -0.776 High -47.25
2026-03-19 Wholesale Inventories MoM -0.5 0.2 -2.025 Low -47.25
2026-02-26 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 10.0 -1.0 +3.256 Low +46.75
2026-02-19 Imports 357.6 347.0 +1.878 Medium +45.87
2026-03-12 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.7 2.1 +1.115 Medium +44.25
2026-01-21 Pending Home Sales YoY -3.0 0.2 -3.431 Medium -42.88
2026-03-06 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.1 3.0 -1.171 Medium -40.45
2026-03-06 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.1 3.0 -1.171 Medium -40.45
2026-03-06 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.1 3.0 -1.171 Medium -40.45
2026-03-06 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.1 3.0 -1.171 Medium -40.45
2026-03-12 Imports 356.6 351.0 +0.981 Medium +38.92
2026-03-17 API Crude Oil Stock Change 6.6 -0.6 +0.872 Medium +38.86
2026-03-17 API Crude Oil Stock Change 6.6 -0.6 +0.872 Medium +38.86
2026-02-19 Goods Trade Balance Adv -98.5 -86.0 -1.575 Medium -38.48
2026-02-24 CB Consumer Confidence 91.2 87.4 +0.894 High +36.76
2026-02-24 CB Consumer Confidence 91.2 87.4 +0.894 High +36.76
2026-02-24 CB Consumer Confidence 91.2 87.4 +0.894 High +36.76
2026-02-24 CB Consumer Confidence 91.2 87.4 +0.894 High +36.76
2026-02-06 Inflation Expectations 3.5 4.0 +2.029 Medium +36.70
2026-03-17 Pending Home Sales MoM 1.8 -0.5 +0.822 Medium +36.63
2026-03-02 ISM Manufacturing Prices 70.5 59.5 -2.325 Low -36.62
2026-03-13 Inflation Expectations 3.4 3.6 +0.902 Medium +36.62
2026-01-30 Chicago PMI 54.0 44.0 +2.353 Medium +36.21
2026-01-08 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 5.4 2.7 +3.903 Medium +36.13
2026-01-15 Import Prices MoM 0.4 -0.1 -3.191 Medium -34.72
2026-02-06 BoE Consumer Credit 24.05 9.0 +1.905 Medium +34.47
2026-02-06 BoE Consumer Credit 24.05 9.0 +1.905 Medium +34.47
2026-02-06 BoE Consumer Credit 24.05 9.0 +1.905 Medium +34.47
2026-02-20 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.2 52.4 -0.917 High -34.37
2026-02-20 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.2 52.4 -0.917 High -34.37
2026-03-10 Existing Home Sales 4.09 3.89 +0.596 High +33.89
2026-02-20 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 1.4 3.0 -0.889 High -33.34
2026-02-11 Non Farm Payrolls 130.0 70.0 +1.087 High +33.10
2026-02-20 Core PCE Price Index MoM 0.4 0.3 -0.855 High -32.08
2026-03-10 Existing Home Sales MoM 1.7 -0.8 +0.836 Medium +31.69
2026-02-06 Michigan Consumer Sentiment 57.3 55.0 +1.123 High +30.46
2026-03-13 Michigan Inflation Expectations 3.4 3.9 +1.474 Low +29.94
2026-01-27 CB Consumer Confidence 84.5 90.6 -1.384 High -29.81
2026-01-27 CB Consumer Confidence 84.5 90.6 -1.384 High -29.81
2026-02-27 Core PPI MoM 0.8 0.3 -1.006 Medium -29.57
2026-02-18 Housing Starts 1.404 1.33 +0.821 High +29.41
2026-02-20 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 1.4 2.8 -0.776 High -29.09
2026-02-20 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 1.4 2.8 -0.776 High -29.09
2026-02-20 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 1.4 2.8 -0.776 High -29.09
2026-03-06 Manufacturing Payrolls -12.0 3.0 -1.675 Low -28.94
2026-02-27 Chicago PMI 57.7 52.8 +0.961 Medium +28.24
2026-03-19 Initial Jobless Claims 205.0 215.0 +0.402 High +28.12
2026-03-06 Unemployment Rate 4.4 4.3 -0.542 High -28.09
2026-02-19 Goods Trade Balance -98.5 -86.0 -1.148 Medium -28.04
2026-02-19 Goods Trade Balance -98.5 -86.0 -1.148 Medium -28.04
2026-02-19 Goods Trade Balance -98.5 -86.0 -1.148 Medium -28.04
2026-02-19 Goods Trade Balance -98.5 -86.0 -1.148 Medium -28.04
2026-03-13 Personal Spending MoM 0.4 0.3 +0.446 High +27.19
2026-03-19 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.3 2.7 -0.578 Medium -26.97
2026-02-26 Kansas Fed Composite Index 5.0 1.0 +1.861 Low +26.73
2026-03-04 ISM Services New Orders 58.6 52.5 +1.618 Low +26.68
2026-02-20 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.2 52.6 -1.065 Medium -26.63
2026-02-05 JOLTs Job Openings 6.542 7.2 -0.954 High -25.28
2026-02-06 Consumer Credit Change 24.05 8.0 +2.733 Low +24.72
2026-02-05 Challenger Job Cuts 108.435 43.0 -2.701 Low -23.87
2026-02-20 GDP Price Index QoQ 3.7 2.8 -0.953 Medium -23.82
2026-03-12 Housing Starts MoM 7.2 -2.4 +0.597 Medium +23.69
2026-02-11 Nonfarm Payrolls Private 172.0 70.0 +2.315 Low +23.51
2026-01-23 Michigan Consumer Sentiment 56.4 54.0 +1.193 High +23.43
2026-02-12 Existing Home Sales 3.91 4.18 -0.749 High -23.35
2026-03-13 JOLTs Job Openings 6.946 6.7 +0.383 High +23.34
2026-01-15 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 12.6 -2.0 +2.138 Medium +23.26
2026-01-30 Core PPI MoM 0.7 0.2 -1.509 Medium -23.23
2026-03-13 Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations 3.2 3.4 +1.087 Low +22.07
2026-02-02 ISM Manufacturing Employment 48.1 44.8 +1.336 Medium +22.04
2026-03-13 JOLTs Job Quits 3.1 3.26 -1.082 Low -21.97
2026-03-13 Michigan Current Conditions 57.8 55.2 +1.079 Low +21.90
2026-02-18 Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM 0.9 0.3 +0.875 Medium +20.88
2026-01-08 Imports 331.4 344.0 -2.251 Medium -20.84
2026-02-03 API Crude Oil Stock Change -11.1 0.7 -1.226 Medium -20.69
2026-02-02 ISM Manufacturing New Orders 57.1 47.9 +2.507 Low +20.67
2026-02-24 House Price Index 440.4 443.6 -1.474 Low -20.20
2026-01-30 Producer Price Index MoM 0.5 0.2 -0.859 High -19.84
2025-12-30 House Price Index YoY 1.7 0.9 +5.236 Low +19.68
2026-03-03 Total Vehicle Sales 15.8 15.2 +1.219 Low +19.65
2026-02-20 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash 51.2 52.6 -0.764 Medium -19.10
2026-01-09 U-6 Unemployment Rate 8.4 8.8 +1.336 High +18.98
2026-03-18 Core PPI MoM 0.5 0.3 -0.403 Medium -18.35
2026-03-16 Industrial Production MoM 0.2 0.1 +0.419 Medium +18.25
2026-01-14 Existing Home Sales MoM 5.1 -1.6 +1.121 High +17.88
2026-02-19 Initial Jobless Claims 206.0 225.0 +0.730 Medium +17.82
2026-02-10 Business Inventories MoM 0.1 0.2 -0.886 Medium -17.58
2026-02-11 U-6 Unemployment Rate 8.0 8.5 +1.728 Low +17.55
2026-01-08 Unit Labour Costs QoQ -1.9 1.0 +1.874 Medium +17.35
2026-02-27 PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM 0.3 0.1 -1.181 Low -17.35
2026-01-08 Exports 302.0 290.0 +1.854 Medium +17.17
2026-01-21 Pending Home Sales MoM -9.3 1.4 -1.366 Medium -17.08
2026-03-02 ISM Manufacturing PMI 52.4 51.8 +0.360 High +17.01
2026-02-27 Producer Price Index MoM 0.5 0.3 -0.382 High -16.84
2026-03-19 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 210.75 213.75 +0.235 High +16.47
2026-01-27 S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY 1.4 1.2 +1.144 Medium +16.43
2026-02-25 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 15.989 1.8 +0.582 Medium +16.33
2026-03-18 PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY 3.5 3.3 -0.712 Low -16.22
2026-02-20 S&P Global Services PMI Flash 52.3 53.0 -0.648 Medium -16.21
2026-01-15 NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 7.7 1.0 +0.992 High +16.19
2026-02-11 Unemployment Rate 4.3 4.4 +0.530 High +16.14
2026-02-17 NAHB Housing Market Index 36.0 38.0 -0.688 Medium -16.04
2026-02-19 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.0 3.6 -0.650 Medium -15.89
2026-02-19 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.0 3.6 -0.650 Medium -15.89
2026-02-19 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.0 3.6 -0.650 Medium -15.89
2026-02-19 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.0 3.6 -0.650 Medium -15.89
2026-03-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders 58.6 53.5 +0.954 Low +15.73
2026-03-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders 58.6 53.5 +0.954 Low +15.73
2026-03-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders 58.6 53.5 +0.954 Low +15.73
2026-01-14 PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY 3.5 2.8 -2.935 Low -15.61
2026-02-20 S&P Global Services PMI 52.3 53.0 -0.414 High -15.53
2026-02-20 S&P Global Services PMI 52.3 53.0 -0.414 High -15.53
2026-03-05 Import Prices YoY -0.1 0.5 +0.917 Low +15.48
2026-01-07 ISM Services PMI 54.4 52.3 +1.140 High +15.46
2026-03-16 NAHB Housing Market Index 38.0 37.0 +0.353 Medium +15.37
2026-03-13 GDP Sales QoQ 0.4 1.2 -0.756 Low -15.35
2026-02-23 Factory Orders ex Transportation 0.4 0.1 +1.137 Low +15.23
2026-02-19 Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM 0.2 0.1 +0.620 Medium +15.15
2026-03-06 Retail Sales YoY 3.2 2.0 +0.873 Low +15.09
2026-02-04 ADP Employment Change 22.0 48.0 -0.867 Medium -14.98
2026-02-11 Participation Rate 62.5 62.3 +0.733 Medium +14.88
2026-03-13 Michigan Consumer Sentiment 55.5 55.0 +0.244 High +14.87
2026-02-13 Inflation Rate MoM 0.2 0.3 +0.464 High +14.81
2026-03-05 Challenger Job Cuts 48.307 95.0 +0.872 Low +14.72
2026-02-11 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 8.53 0.8 +0.713 Medium +14.49
2026-03-04 ISM Services Prices 63.0 66.0 +0.873 Low +14.40
2026-03-03 RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index 47.5 50.1 -0.871 Low -14.03
2026-01-16 Industrial Production MoM 0.4 0.1 +1.258 Medium +14.01
2026-03-06 BoE Consumer Credit 8.05 12.4 -0.400 Medium -13.81
2026-03-06 BoE Consumer Credit 8.05 12.4 -0.400 Medium -13.81
2026-03-06 BoE Consumer Credit 8.05 12.4 -0.400 Medium -13.81
2026-03-04 ADP Employment Change 63.0 50.0 +0.416 Medium +13.73
2026-02-05 Initial Jobless Claims 231.0 212.0 -0.774 Medium -13.69
2026-02-13 CPI s.a 326.588 326.3 -0.640 Medium -13.62
2026-02-11 Government Payrolls -42.0 8.0 -1.310 Low -13.30
2026-01-09 Housing Starts 1.246 1.33 -0.932 High -13.25
2026-01-14 Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM 0.3 -0.1 +2.481 Low +13.19
2026-02-20 PCE Price Index MoM 0.4 0.3 -0.524 Medium -13.11
2026-01-29 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 4.2 5.4 -0.867 Medium -13.04
2026-02-06 Michigan Inflation Expectations 3.5 4.0 +1.438 Low +13.00
2026-02-06 Michigan Current Conditions 58.3 54.9 +1.418 Low +12.83
2026-03-05 Nonfarm Productivity QoQ 2.8 1.9 +0.378 Medium +12.76
2026-03-13 Durable Goods Orders MoM 0.4 1.2 -0.209 High -12.75
2026-01-15 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 205.0 215.0 +0.780 High +12.73
2026-01-22 Personal Income MoM 0.1 0.3 -0.660 High -12.67
2026-02-27 Core PPI YoY 3.6 3.0 -0.859 Low -12.62
2026-01-21 Construction Spending MoM -0.6 -0.1 -2.002 Low -12.51
2026-03-13 Real Consumer Spending 2.0 2.4 -0.602 Low -12.22
2026-02-10 Export Prices MoM 0.3 0.1 -0.609 Medium -12.09
2026-03-13 Personal Income MoM 0.4 0.5 -0.198 High -12.07
2026-02-10 Employment Cost Index QoQ 0.7 0.8 +0.607 Medium +12.05
2026-03-04 ISM Services Business Activity 59.9 57.0 +0.726 Low +11.97
2026-02-20 Inflation Expectations 3.3 3.4 +0.477 Medium +11.93
2026-02-20 Inflation Expectations 3.3 3.4 +0.477 Medium +11.93
2026-01-07 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 54.4 52.2 +0.864 High +11.72
2026-02-20 Inflation Expectations 3.4 3.5 +0.464 Medium +11.59
2026-02-20 Inflation Expectations 3.4 3.5 +0.464 Medium +11.59
2026-01-13 CPI s.a 326.03 325.7 -0.735 High -11.45
2026-02-23 Chicago Fed National Activity Index -0.21 0.1 -0.420 Medium -11.26
2026-02-10 Employment Cost - Wages QoQ 0.7 0.8 +0.566 Medium +11.23
2026-01-15 Initial Jobless Claims 198.0 215.0 +0.683 High +11.15
2026-02-10 Retail Sales MoM -0.1 0.4 -0.558 Medium -11.07
2026-03-19 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 18.1 10.0 +0.237 Medium +11.07
2026-01-16 NAHB Housing Market Index 37.0 40.0 -0.980 Medium -10.91
2026-01-14 PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY 3.4 2.9 -2.024 Low -10.76
2026-01-22 Core PCE Price Index YoY 2.8 2.7 -0.559 High -10.72
2026-03-06 Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM 0.4 0.2 +0.620 Low +10.71
2026-02-09 Consumer Inflation Expectation 3.1 3.4 +1.104 Low +10.70
2026-03-13 PCE Price Index YoY 2.8 2.9 +0.260 Medium +10.57
2026-02-18 Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM 0.9 0.3 +0.875 Low +10.44
2026-02-18 Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM 0.9 0.3 +0.875 Low +10.44
2026-02-18 Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM 0.9 0.3 +0.875 Low +10.44
2026-02-20 S&P Global Services PMI 52.3 53.0 -0.414 Medium -10.35
2026-01-22 Core PCE Price Index YoY 2.7 2.8 +0.539 High +10.34
2026-02-04 Total Vehicle Sales 14.9 15.5 -1.196 Low -10.33
2026-01-13 CPI 324.05 323.8 -0.662 High -10.31
2026-02-24 API Crude Oil Stock Change 11.4 1.85 +0.375 Medium +10.29
2026-03-05 Export Prices MoM 0.6 0.3 -0.305 Medium -10.29
2026-03-12 Building Permits -5.4 -1.5 -0.255 Medium -10.14
2026-02-20 GDP Sales QoQ 1.2 4.1 -0.802 Low -10.03
2026-01-21 Construction Spending MoM 0.5 0.1 +1.602 Low +10.01
2026-01-14 Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM 0.4 0.1 +0.608 High +9.70
2026-02-04 ISM Services New Orders 53.1 57.7 -1.110 Low -9.59
2026-02-19 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change -9.014 2.1 -0.391 Medium -9.55
2026-01-09 Housing Starts MoM -4.6 0.8 -1.007 Medium -9.54
2026-01-09 Nonfarm Payrolls Private 37.0 64.0 -0.670 High -9.53
2025-12-31 Initial Jobless Claims 199.0 220.0 +0.825 High +9.52
2026-03-02 ISM Manufacturing Employment 48.8 48.0 +0.302 Medium +9.52
2026-03-11 CPI s.a 327.46 327.57 +0.244 Medium +9.45
2026-01-14 Business Inventories MoM 0.3 0.2 +0.886 Medium +9.42
2025-12-30 S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY 1.3 1.1 +1.248 Medium +9.38
2026-03-06 Average Hourly Earnings MoM 0.4 0.3 +0.270 Medium +9.34
2026-02-23 Factory Orders MoM -0.7 -0.5 -0.345 Medium -9.23
2026-02-10 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.7 4.2 -0.465 Medium -9.22
2026-02-10 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.7 4.2 -0.465 Medium -9.22
2026-02-13 Inflation Rate YoY 2.4 2.5 +0.288 High +9.20
2025-12-23 Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index -6.0 1.0 -2.864 Low -9.16
2026-03-04 ISM Services Employment 51.8 50.2 +0.548 Low +9.04
2026-03-18 PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM 0.5 0.3 -0.394 Low -8.97
2026-02-13 CPI 325.25 325.41 +0.421 Medium +8.96
2026-01-29 Factory Orders MoM 2.7 1.6 +0.592 Medium +8.90
2026-02-06 Inflation Expectations 3.4 3.3 -0.492 Medium -8.90
2026-01-13 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.6 2.7 +0.569 High +8.87
2026-01-14 Current Account -226.4 -238.4 +0.832 Medium +8.85
2026-02-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 66.6 65.0 -0.341 High -8.84
2026-02-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 66.6 65.0 -0.341 High -8.84
2026-01-13 Core Inflation Rate MoM 0.2 0.3 +0.566 High +8.82
2026-03-05 Unit Labour Costs QoQ 2.8 2.0 -0.258 Medium -8.73
2026-03-18 Factory Orders ex Transportation 0.4 0.2 +0.379 Low +8.64
2026-01-23 Michigan Current Conditions 55.4 52.4 +1.311 Low +8.58
2026-02-11 Average Weekly Hours 34.3 34.2 +0.842 Low +8.55
2026-01-09 Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations 3.4 3.1 -1.788 Low -8.47
2026-01-07 JOLTs Job Openings 7.146 7.6 -0.623 High -8.46
2025-12-29 Pending Home Sales YoY 2.6 -0.6 +1.144 Medium +8.40
2026-02-18 Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM -2.5 -4.3 +0.695 Low +8.30
2026-02-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment 50.3 52.3 -0.475 Medium -8.21
2026-02-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment 50.3 52.3 -0.475 Medium -8.21
2026-02-20 Michigan Consumer Sentiment 56.6 57.3 -0.328 Medium -8.20
2026-02-12 Existing Home Sales MoM -8.4 -3.4 -0.394 Medium -8.18
2026-03-05 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 215.75 222.0 +0.472 Low +7.97
2025-12-30 Chicago PMI 43.5 39.5 +1.048 Medium +7.88
2026-01-14 PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM 0.7 0.2 -1.476 Low -7.85
2026-03-06 Consumer Credit Change 8.05 12.0 -0.448 Low -7.75
2026-03-06 Retail Sales MoM 0.3 0.2 +0.223 Medium +7.71
2026-02-10 Import Prices YoY 0.0 0.2 +0.764 Low +7.58
2026-02-18 Industrial Production MoM 0.7 0.4 +0.314 Medium +7.51
2026-03-09 Consumer Inflation Expectation 3.0 3.1 +0.404 Low +7.47
2026-02-18 Capacity Utilization 76.2 76.5 -0.625 Low -7.46
2026-02-24 Dallas Fed Services Index -3.2 1.6 -0.541 Low -7.41
2026-01-09 Unemployment Rate 4.4 4.5 +0.518 High +7.36
2025-12-30 House Price Index MoM 0.4 0.1 +1.939 Low +7.29
2026-02-23 Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index 0.2 -3.5 +0.272 Medium +7.29
2026-02-20 S&P Global Composite PMI Flash 52.3 52.6 -0.290 Medium -7.24
2025-12-23 Corporate Profits QoQ 4.4 1.0 +1.111 Medium +7.10
2026-03-11 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 3.824 1.1 +0.183 Medium +7.09
2026-02-19 Pending Home Sales MoM -0.8 1.3 -0.289 Medium -7.05
2025-12-23 GDP Price Index QoQ 3.7 2.7 -1.098 Medium -7.02
2026-01-09 Participation Rate 62.4 62.6 -0.729 Medium -6.91
2026-01-07 ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment 52.0 49.0 +0.761 Medium +6.88
2026-01-07 ISM Services New Orders 57.9 52.2 +1.520 Low +6.88
2026-03-16 NY Empire State Manufacturing Index -0.2 3.2 -0.157 Medium -6.85
2026-02-11 Manufacturing Payrolls 5.0 -5.0 +0.670 Low +6.80
2026-02-20 Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations 3.3 3.4 +0.543 Low +6.79
2026-02-04 ISM Services Prices 66.6 64.0 -0.781 Low -6.74
2026-02-20 PCE Price Index YoY 2.9 2.8 -0.270 Medium -6.74
2026-03-10 NFIB Business Optimism Index 98.8 99.7 -0.354 Low -6.71
2026-02-19 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 16.3 8.5 +0.269 Medium +6.57
2026-01-09 Building Permits 6.4 0.8 +0.688 Medium +6.52
2026-02-20 Core PCE Price Index YoY 3.0 2.9 -0.520 Low -6.50
2026-02-19 Exports 287.3 289.0 -0.264 Medium -6.44
2026-01-14 Core PPI MoM 0.0 0.2 +0.604 Medium +6.42
2026-01-22 Personal Spending MoM 0.5 0.4 +0.335 High +6.42
2026-02-26 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change -52.0 -36.0 -0.445 Low -6.38
2025-12-29 Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index -10.9 -2.5 -0.865 Medium -6.36
2026-03-06 U-6 Unemployment Rate 7.9 8.0 +0.367 Low +6.34
2026-01-23 Inflation Expectations 3.3 3.4 +0.477 Medium +6.25
2026-01-23 Leading Index MoM -0.1 -0.2 +0.474 Medium +6.20
2026-01-23 Leading Index MoM -0.3 -0.2 -0.474 Medium -6.20
2026-01-14 Existing Home Sales 4.35 4.21 +0.386 High +6.15
2026-01-08 BoE Consumer Credit 4.23 10.1 -0.662 Medium -6.13
2026-02-19 Pending Home Sales YoY -0.4 2.4 -0.250 Medium -6.11
2026-03-10 API Crude Oil Stock Change -1.7 1.4 -0.161 Medium -6.10
2026-01-14 Producer Price Index MoM 0.1 0.3 +0.382 High +6.09
2026-03-18 Producer Price Index YoY 3.4 2.9 -0.263 Low -5.99
2026-03-04 S&P Global Services PMI 51.7 52.3 -0.360 Low -5.93
2026-02-24 House Price Index MoM 0.1 0.3 -0.431 Low -5.91
2026-02-24 House Price Index MoM 0.1 0.3 -0.431 Low -5.91
2026-02-24 Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index -10.0 -4.0 -0.430 Low -5.90
2026-01-07 JOLTs Job Quits 3.161 2.99 +1.261 Low +5.70
2026-02-04 ISM Services Employment 50.3 52.3 -0.658 Low -5.68
2026-02-11 Average Hourly Earnings MoM 0.4 0.3 +0.270 Medium +5.49
2026-02-20 Michigan Current Conditions 56.6 57.7 -0.437 Low -5.46
2026-03-16 Manufacturing Production MoM 0.2 0.1 +0.248 Low +5.40
2025-12-23 Industrial Production MoM -0.1 0.1 -0.839 Medium -5.36
2026-03-13 Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air 0.0 0.5 -0.262 Low -5.31
2026-03-17 Pending Home Sales YoY -0.8 -1.8 +0.119 Medium +5.31
2026-03-18 Core PPI YoY 3.9 3.7 -0.232 Low -5.29
2026-01-07 ISM Services Employment 52.0 48.7 +1.165 Low +5.27
2026-02-10 Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM 0.0 0.3 -0.257 Medium -5.11
2026-02-06 Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations 3.4 3.3 -0.560 Low -5.06
2026-02-18 Building Permits -1.6 1.388 -0.212 Medium -5.05
2025-12-23 Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air 0.5 -0.1 +1.570 Low +5.02
2026-01-08 Challenger Job Cuts 35.553 89.0 +1.066 Low +4.93
2026-01-08 Challenger Job Cuts 35.553 89.0 +1.066 Low +4.93
2026-03-02 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.6 51.2 +0.313 Low +4.92
2025-12-23 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 4.3 3.3 +0.505 High +4.85
2026-02-20 S&P Global Composite PMI 52.3 52.6 -0.193 Medium -4.83
2026-01-23 Michigan Consumer Expectations 57.0 55.0 +0.735 Low +4.81
2025-12-31 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 218.75 224.25 +0.411 High +4.75
2026-01-08 Nonfarm Productivity QoQ 4.9 3.0 +0.505 Medium +4.68
2026-01-23 S&P Global Services PMI 52.5 52.9 -0.237 High -4.66
2026-01-27 House Price Index MoM 0.6 0.3 +0.646 Low +4.64
2026-03-12 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 212.0 215.0 +0.234 Low +4.64
2026-01-07 ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders 57.9 52.6 +1.008 Low +4.56
2026-01-30 Core PPI YoY 3.3 2.9 -0.592 Low -4.56
2026-03-16 Capacity Utilization 76.3 76.2 +0.209 Low +4.55
2025-12-23 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 4.3 3.3 +0.470 High +4.51
2026-03-13 Michigan Consumer Expectations 54.1 54.7 -0.222 Low -4.50
2026-02-12 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 219.5 214.0 -0.431 Low -4.48
2026-03-04 S&P Global Composite PMI 51.9 52.3 -0.259 Low -4.27
2026-01-22 Initial Jobless Claims 200.0 195.0 -0.222 High -4.25
2026-02-24 Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index -13.0 -6.0 -0.301 Low -4.13
2026-02-04 ISM Services PMI 53.8 53.5 +0.159 High +4.12
2026-03-06 Average Hourly Earnings YoY 3.8 3.7 +0.119 Medium +4.12
2026-02-20 Michigan Inflation Expectations 3.4 3.5 +0.329 Low +4.11
2026-01-26 Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM 0.5 0.3 +0.292 Medium +4.09
2026-01-09 Michigan Current Conditions 52.4 50.5 +0.862 Low +4.08
2026-02-12 Initial Jobless Claims 227.0 222.0 -0.195 Medium -4.04
2026-01-09 Average Weekly Hours 34.2 34.3 -0.840 Low -3.98
2026-01-09 Housing Starts 1.306 1.33 -0.266 High -3.79
2026-01-09 Inflation Expectations 4.2 4.1 -0.396 Medium -3.75
2026-02-27 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.0 3.1 -0.126 Medium -3.70
2026-02-27 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.0 3.1 -0.126 Medium -3.70
2026-03-03 API Crude Oil Stock Change 5.6 2.19 +0.113 Medium +3.65
2026-01-08 Consumer Credit Change 4.23 10.0 -0.786 Low -3.64
2026-01-08 Consumer Inflation Expectation 3.4 3.2 -0.782 Low -3.62
2026-01-22 PCE Price Index YoY 2.8 2.7 -0.280 Medium -3.58
2026-01-23 Michigan Inflation Expectations 4.0 4.2 +0.548 Low +3.58
2025-12-23 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.0 3.5 -0.558 Medium -3.57
2026-01-09 Michigan Consumer Sentiment 54.0 53.5 +0.251 High +3.56
2026-01-14 Retail Sales MoM 0.6 0.4 +0.223 High +3.56
2026-01-23 Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations 3.3 3.4 +0.543 Low +3.56
2026-03-13 Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM 0.4 0.5 -0.087 Medium -3.55
2026-02-04 ISM Services Business Activity 57.4 55.8 +0.409 Low +3.53
2026-01-16 Capacity Utilization 76.3 76.0 +0.629 Low +3.50
2026-02-26 Initial Jobless Claims 212.0 215.0 +0.121 Medium +3.46
2026-03-13 Real Consumer Spending QoQ 2.0 2.4 -0.170 Low -3.46
2025-12-24 Initial Jobless Claims 214.0 223.0 +0.349 High +3.42
2026-03-16 Industrial Production YoY 1.4 2.1 -0.156 Low -3.39
2026-01-05 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.7 3.0 -0.390 Medium -3.37
2026-02-18 Durable Goods Orders MoM -1.4 -2.0 +0.094 High +3.37
2026-01-05 ISM Manufacturing PMI 47.9 48.3 -0.257 High -3.34
2026-02-05 JOLTs Job Quits 3.204 3.15 +0.378 Low +3.34
2026-01-12 Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat 1.68 1.65 +0.647 Low +3.28
2026-03-13 GDP Price Index QoQ 3.8 3.7 -0.080 Medium -3.25
2026-01-14 Core PPI MoM 0.3 0.2 -0.302 Medium -3.21
2026-03-12 Initial Jobless Claims 213.0 215.0 +0.080 Medium +3.19
2026-02-02 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 52.4 51.9 +0.386 Low +3.18
2026-01-15 Import Prices YoY 0.1 0.4 +0.573 Low +3.12
2025-12-29 Pending Home Sales MoM 3.3 1.0 +0.411 Medium +3.02
2026-03-19 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change 35.0 31.0 +0.129 Low +3.01
2026-01-09 Non Farm Payrolls 50.0 60.0 -0.211 High -3.00
2026-01-07 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change -3.831 1.1 -0.331 Medium -2.99
2026-03-02 ISM Manufacturing New Orders 55.8 55.0 +0.190 Low +2.99
2026-01-22 Kansas Fed Composite Index 0.0 4.0 -0.465 Low -2.98
2026-02-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders 53.1 55.0 -0.346 Low -2.98
2026-02-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 53.8 53.5 +0.115 High +2.98
2026-02-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 53.8 53.5 +0.115 High +2.98
2026-02-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders 53.1 55.0 -0.346 Low -2.98
2026-03-13 Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoM 0.5 -0.4 +0.145 Low +2.94
2026-01-26 Durable Goods Orders MoM 5.3 3.7 +0.136 High +2.86
2026-01-05 ISM Manufacturing Employment 44.9 44.1 +0.329 Medium +2.84
2026-01-07 ADP Employment Change 41.0 47.0 -0.204 High -2.77
2026-01-16 Manufacturing Production MoM 0.2 -0.2 +0.496 Low +2.76
2026-01-13 API Crude Oil Stock Change 5.27 -2.0 +0.264 Medium +2.75
2025-12-23 CB Consumer Confidence 89.1 91.0 -0.429 Medium -2.74
2026-03-05 Initial Jobless Claims 213.0 215.0 +0.080 Medium +2.71
2026-02-03 RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index 48.8 47.9 +0.315 Low +2.66
2026-01-22 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index -2.0 5.0 -0.414 Low -2.65
2026-01-14 Core PPI YoY 2.9 2.6 -0.496 Low -2.63
2026-02-27 Producer Price Index YoY 2.9 2.6 -0.176 Low -2.58
2026-02-02 ISM Manufacturing Prices 59.0 60.5 +0.312 Low +2.57
2026-01-05 Total Vehicle Sales 16.0 15.7 +0.590 Low +2.55
2026-01-14 Core PPI YoY 3.0 2.7 -0.477 Low -2.54
2026-01-29 Initial Jobless Claims 209.0 205.0 -0.169 Medium -2.54
2026-03-16 Manufacturing Production YoY 1.3 2.0 -0.117 Low -2.54
2026-02-18 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.6 3.7 -0.105 Medium -2.52
2026-02-18 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.6 3.7 -0.105 Medium -2.52
2026-02-18 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.6 3.7 -0.105 Medium -2.52
2026-01-28 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change -2.296 1.75 -0.171 Medium -2.51
2026-02-11 Average Hourly Earnings YoY 3.7 3.6 +0.123 Medium +2.49
2026-01-23 S&P Global Services PMI Flash 52.5 52.3 +0.188 Medium +2.46
2026-02-11 Monthly Budget Statement -95.0 -86.5 -0.121 Medium -2.46
2026-01-07 ISM Services Business Activity 56.0 54.0 +0.528 Low +2.39
2026-01-22 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 201.5 203.0 +0.124 High +2.38
2026-02-10 NFIB Business Optimism Index 99.3 99.9 -0.236 Low -2.34
2026-01-09 Average Hourly Earnings YoY 3.8 3.6 +0.245 Medium +2.32
2026-01-14 Retail Sales YoY 3.3 3.0 +0.146 High +2.32
2026-01-09 Government Payrolls 13.0 -10.0 +0.482 Low +2.28
2025-12-23 Industrial Production YoY 2.5 1.0 +0.701 Low +2.24
2026-02-20 Core PCE Prices QoQ 2.7 2.6 -0.180 Low -2.24
2025-12-23 Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index -11.0 -3.0 -0.688 Low -2.20
2026-03-06 Government Payrolls -6.0 -15.0 +0.126 Low +2.17
2026-01-06 API Crude Oil Stock Change -2.8 1.2 -0.242 Medium -2.14
2026-02-03 IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism 48.8 47.9 +0.244 Low +2.06
2026-02-03 IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism 48.8 47.9 +0.244 Low +2.06
2026-02-03 IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism 48.8 47.9 +0.244 Low +2.06
2026-01-09 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 5.1 5.4 -0.217 Medium -2.05
2026-01-12 Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn 13.28 13.1 +0.400 Low +2.03
2026-01-30 Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 411.0 412.0 -0.263 Low -2.03
2026-01-14 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 3.391 -2.2 +0.188 Medium +2.00
2025-12-23 Real Consumer Spending QoQ 3.5 2.2 +0.604 Low +1.93
2026-03-12 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change -38.0 -42.0 +0.095 Low +1.89
2026-02-19 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 219.0 221.0 +0.152 Low +1.85
2026-01-13 RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index 47.2 48.2 -0.348 Low -1.81
2026-03-18 Producer Price Index 153.231 152.6 -0.077 Low -1.75
2026-01-07 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 64.3 64.9 +0.128 High +1.74
2026-01-15 Export Prices YoY 3.3 2.3 -0.319 Low -1.73
2025-12-24 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 216.75 219.0 +0.172 High +1.69
2026-01-14 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 5.3 5.1 +0.153 Medium +1.63
2025-12-30 House Price Index 436.7 435.8 +0.422 Low +1.59
2026-01-07 ISM Services Prices 64.3 65.5 +0.352 Low +1.59
2026-02-05 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 212.25 210.0 -0.180 Low -1.59
2026-02-18 Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air 0.6 0.4 +0.131 Low +1.56
2026-03-05 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change -132.0 -121.0 -0.091 Low -1.53
2026-01-30 PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM 0.4 0.3 -0.197 Low -1.51
2025-12-23 Industrial Production YoY 2.2 1.1 +0.468 Low +1.50
2026-02-18 Manufacturing Production MoM 0.6 0.4 +0.124 Low +1.48
2026-02-23 Chicago Fed National Activity Index 0.18 0.3 -0.054 Medium -1.45
2026-02-19 EIA Distillate Stocks Change -4.566 -1.4 -0.117 Low -1.43
2025-12-23 Durable Goods Orders MoM -2.2 -1.5 -0.146 High -1.41
2026-01-09 Michigan Consumer Expectations 55.0 54.2 +0.298 Low +1.41
2025-12-23 Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM 0.2 0.3 -0.146 High -1.40
2026-01-13 IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism 47.2 48.2 -0.269 Low -1.40
2025-12-23 GDP Sales QoQ 4.6 7.4 -0.429 Low -1.37
2025-12-23 Capacity Utilization 76.0 75.8 +0.420 Low +1.34
2026-02-18 Manufacturing Production YoY 2.4 1.8 +0.111 Low +1.33
2026-01-30 Producer Price Index YoY 3.0 2.7 -0.169 Low -1.30
2026-03-19 New Home Sales 0.587 0.72 -0.018 High -1.26
2026-03-04 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 3.475 2.3 +0.038 Medium +1.24
2026-01-27 API Crude Oil Stock Change -0.25 1.45 -0.085 Medium -1.22
2026-01-09 Building Permits -0.2 0.7 -0.126 Medium -1.20
2025-12-23 Manufacturing Production YoY 1.9 0.9 +0.370 Low +1.18
2026-02-18 Industrial Production YoY 2.3 1.9 +0.098 Low +1.18
2025-12-23 Manufacturing Production YoY 2.1 1.0 +0.367 Low +1.17
2026-01-15 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change -71.0 -90.0 +0.211 Low +1.15
2026-01-08 Initial Jobless Claims 208.0 210.0 +0.082 High +1.14
2026-02-04 S&P Global Composite PMI 53.0 52.8 +0.128 Low +1.11
2026-01-08 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 211.75 210.75 -0.080 High -1.10
2025-12-31 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change -38.0 -53.0 +0.283 Low +1.09
2026-01-06 S&P Global Services PMI 52.5 52.9 -0.237 Low -1.05
2026-01-14 Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM 0.5 0.4 +0.064 High +1.03
2026-02-04 S&P Global Services PMI 52.7 52.5 +0.119 Low +1.03
2026-03-04 EIA Distillate Stocks Change 0.429 -2.6 +0.060 Low +1.00
2026-02-20 Real Consumer Spending QoQ 2.4 2.6 -0.079 Low -0.98
2026-02-20 New Home Sales -1.7 -2.8 +0.038 Medium +0.96
2026-01-09 Manufacturing Payrolls -8.0 -5.0 -0.201 Low -0.95
2026-02-04 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change -3.455 -2.0 -0.054 Medium -0.93
2026-03-11 EIA Distillate Stocks Change -1.349 -0.7 -0.048 Low -0.93
2026-01-21 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 5.4 5.3 +0.074 Medium +0.92
2026-01-14 Producer Price Index YoY 3.0 2.7 -0.169 Low -0.90
2026-02-23 Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM -2.4 -2.5 +0.066 Low +0.89
2026-02-23 Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM -2.4 -2.5 +0.066 Low +0.89
2026-02-23 Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM -2.4 -2.5 +0.066 Low +0.89
2026-02-23 Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM -2.4 -2.5 +0.066 Low +0.89
2026-02-24 Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index 4.1 6.0 -0.063 Low -0.86
2026-01-06 S&P Global Composite PMI 52.7 53.0 -0.192 Low -0.85
2026-02-26 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 220.25 221.0 +0.057 Low +0.82
2026-03-18 EIA Distillate Stocks Change -2.527 -1.5 -0.035 Low -0.81
2025-12-23 Manufacturing Production MoM 0.0 -0.1 +0.248 Low +0.79
2025-12-23 Manufacturing Production MoM -0.4 -0.2 -0.248 Low -0.79
2026-02-10 Export Prices YoY 3.1 2.8 -0.079 Low -0.78
2025-12-30 Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index 0.1 -4.0 +0.203 Low +0.76
2026-01-22 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 4.4 4.3 +0.039 High +0.74
2026-01-23 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash 51.9 52.0 -0.055 Medium -0.72
2026-03-18 Net Long-Term TIC Flows 15.5 71.6 -0.016 Medium -0.71
2026-01-22 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 4.4 4.3 +0.036 High +0.69
2026-01-16 Industrial Production YoY 2.0 2.7 -0.121 Low -0.68
2025-12-31 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change -1.934 -0.9 -0.085 Medium -0.65
2026-01-07 Factory Orders MoM -1.3 -1.2 -0.072 Medium -0.65
2025-12-29 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 0.405 -2.4 +0.086 Medium +0.63
2026-01-28 EIA Distillate Stocks Change 0.329 -0.55 +0.083 Low +0.61
2026-01-05 ISM Manufacturing New Orders 47.7 47.2 +0.138 Low +0.60
2026-02-19 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change -3.213 -0.3 -0.025 Medium -0.60
2026-01-07 Factory Orders ex Transportation -0.2 -0.3 +0.126 Low +0.57
2026-02-11 EIA Distillate Stocks Change -2.703 -1.3 -0.056 Low -0.57
2026-03-11 Budget Balance -308.0 -304.4 -0.015 Medium -0.57
2026-03-11 Budget Balance -308.0 -304.4 -0.015 Medium -0.57
2025-12-23 Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoM -1.5 -0.8 -0.056 High -0.54
2026-02-20 PCE Prices QoQ 2.9 2.8 -0.043 Low -0.54
2026-01-27 Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index -6.0 -8.0 +0.072 Low +0.51
2026-02-27 Producer Price Index 152.174 151.9 -0.033 Low -0.49
2025-12-23 Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM 0.2 0.3 -0.146 Low -0.47
2026-01-05 ISM Manufacturing Prices 58.5 59.0 +0.107 Low +0.46
2026-03-05 Export Prices YoY 2.6 2.7 +0.027 Low +0.46
2026-01-30 Producer Price Index 151.472 151.0 -0.058 Low -0.45
2025-12-30 Dallas Fed Services Index -3.3 -2.0 -0.117 Low -0.44
2026-01-13 Monthly Budget Statement -145.0 -150.0 +0.041 Medium +0.43
2025-12-22 Chicago Fed National Activity Index -0.21 -0.4 +0.064 Medium +0.40
2026-01-07 EIA Distillate Stocks Change 5.594 2.2 +0.080 Low +0.36
2026-02-05 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change -360.0 -374.0 +0.037 Low +0.33
2026-02-06 Michigan Consumer Expectations 56.6 56.7 -0.036 Low -0.32
2026-02-12 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change -249.0 -257.0 +0.031 Low +0.32
2026-02-18 Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoM -2.5 -4.3 +0.027 Low +0.32
2026-01-14 Producer Price Index YoY 2.8 2.7 -0.056 Low -0.30
2026-01-09 Housing Starts MoM 1.2 1.0 +0.030 Medium +0.28
2026-03-18 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change -5.436 -1.6 -0.006 Medium -0.28
2025-12-31 EIA Distillate Stocks Change 4.977 2.2 +0.065 Low +0.25
2026-01-14 EIA Distillate Stocks Change -0.029 -0.2 +0.044 Low +0.24
2026-01-08 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change -119.0 -114.0 -0.044 Low -0.20
2026-02-11 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change 1.16 -0.4 +0.010 Medium +0.20
2026-02-19 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change -144.0 -146.0 +0.014 Low +0.17
2026-01-22 GDP Sales QoQ 4.5 4.6 -0.025 Low -0.16
2026-01-22 Corporate Profits QoQ 4.7 4.4 +0.022 Low +0.14
2026-01-14 Producer Price Index 150.705 150.5 -0.025 Low -0.13
2026-01-12 Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy 3.29 3.28 +0.024 Low +0.12
2026-02-11 Budget Balance -95.0 -94.6 -0.005 Medium -0.11
2026-02-11 Budget Balance -95.0 -94.6 -0.005 Medium -0.11
2026-02-11 Budget Balance -95.0 -94.6 -0.005 Medium -0.11
2026-02-11 Budget Balance -95.0 -94.6 -0.005 Medium -0.11
2025-12-29 EIA Distillate Stocks Change 0.202 0.4 -0.026 Low -0.09
2026-01-14 Producer Price Index 150.332 150.2 -0.016 Low -0.09
2026-03-04 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change -1.704 -0.8 -0.003 Medium -0.09
2026-02-17 NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 7.1 7.0 +0.002 Medium +0.05
2025-12-29 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change -166.0 -168.0 +0.012 Low +0.04
2025-12-31 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change 5.845 1.9 +0.005 Medium +0.04
2026-01-07 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change 7.702 2.9 +0.004 Medium +0.04
2026-01-13 New Home Sales 0.738 0.72 +0.002 High +0.04
2026-01-13 New Home Sales 0.737 0.72 +0.002 High +0.04
2026-01-13 Budget Balance -145.0 -144.5 -0.004 Medium -0.04
2026-03-11 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change -3.654 -2.6 -0.001 Medium -0.04
2025-12-29 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change 2.862 1.1 +0.004 Medium +0.03
2026-01-14 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change 8.977 4.0 +0.003 Medium +0.03
2026-01-28 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change 0.224 1.3 -0.002 Medium -0.03
2026-03-19 Building Permits 1.386 1.376 +0.001 Low +0.02
2026-02-20 Building Permits 1.455 1.448 +0.000 Low +0.01
2025-12-23 PCE Prices QoQ 2.8 2.8 -0.000 Low -0.00
2025-12-23 Core PCE Prices QoQ 2.9 2.9 -0.000 Low -0.00
2025-12-23 Capacity Utilization 75.9 75.9 +0.000 Low +0.00
2025-12-23 Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index -7.0 -7.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2025-12-24 Continuing Jobless Claims 1923.0 1900.0 -0.000 High -0.00
2025-12-30 S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM -0.3 -0.3 +0.000 Low +0.00
2025-12-31 Continuing Jobless Claims 1866.0 1915.0 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-01-02 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.8 51.8 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-01-07 Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM -1.5 -1.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-01-08 Continuing Jobless Claims 1914.0 1900.0 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-01-08 Wholesale Inventories MoM 0.2 0.2 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-01-09 Average Hourly Earnings MoM 0.3 0.3 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-01-09 Michigan Inflation Expectations 4.2 4.2 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-01-13 NFIB Business Optimism Index 99.5 99.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-01-13 Building Permits 1.411 1.412 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-01-13 Inflation Rate MoM 0.3 0.3 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-01-13 Inflation Rate YoY 2.7 2.7 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-01-14 Producer Price Index MoM 0.2 0.2 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-01-14 PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM 0.2 0.2 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-01-15 Continuing Jobless Claims 1884.0 1890.0 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-01-16 Manufacturing Production YoY 2.0 2.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-01-22 GDP Price Index QoQ 3.7 3.7 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-01-22 Core PCE Prices QoQ 2.9 2.9 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-01-22 Continuing Jobless Claims 1849.0 1880.0 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-01-22 PCE Prices QoQ 2.8 2.8 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-01-22 Real Consumer Spending QoQ 3.5 3.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-01-22 Real Consumer Spending 3.5 3.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-01-22 Personal Income MoM 0.3 0.3 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-01-22 PCE Price Index MoM 0.2 0.2 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-01-22 PCE Price Index MoM 0.2 0.2 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-01-22 PCE Price Index YoY 2.7 2.7 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-01-22 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 5.4 5.4 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-01-23 S&P Global Composite PMI Flash 52.8 52.8 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-01-23 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.9 51.9 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-01-26 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 5.4 5.4 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-01-28 Fed Interest Rate Decision 3.75 3.75 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-01-29 Nonfarm Productivity QoQ 4.9 4.9 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-01-29 Continuing Jobless Claims 1827.0 1860.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-01-29 Unit Labour Costs QoQ -1.9 -1.9 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-01-29 Wholesale Inventories MoM 0.2 0.2 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-01-30 PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY 3.5 3.5 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-02-02 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 4.2 4.2 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-02 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 4.2 4.2 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-05 Continuing Jobless Claims 1844.0 1850.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-10 Import Prices MoM 0.1 0.1 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-02-10 Employment Cost - Benefits QoQ 0.7 0.7 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-02-12 Continuing Jobless Claims 1862.0 1850.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-02-13 Core Inflation Rate MoM 0.3 0.3 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-02-13 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.5 2.5 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-02-19 Leading Index MoM -0.2 -0.2 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-19 Leading Index MoM -0.2 -0.2 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-19 Wholesale Inventories MoM 0.2 0.2 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-19 Continuing Jobless Claims 1869.0 1860.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-02-19 Leading Index MoM -0.2 -0.2 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-19 Leading Index MoM -0.2 -0.2 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-20 Personal Income MoM 0.3 0.3 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-02-20 Personal Spending MoM 0.4 0.4 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-02-20 Michigan Consumer Expectations 56.6 56.6 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-24 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.1 3.1 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-24 S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM -0.1 -0.1 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-24 House Price Index YoY 1.8 1.8 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-24 S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY 1.4 1.4 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-24 House Price Index YoY 1.8 1.8 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-24 Wholesale Inventories MoM 0.2 0.2 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-24 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.1 3.1 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-24 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.1 3.1 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-26 Continuing Jobless Claims 1833.0 1860.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-27 PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY 3.4 3.4 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-02-27 Construction Spending MoM 0.3 0.3 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-02 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.0 3.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-02 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.0 3.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-02 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.0 3.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-05 Continuing Jobless Claims 1868.0 1850.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-05 Import Prices MoM 0.2 0.2 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-03-06 Average Weekly Hours 34.3 34.3 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-06 Business Inventories MoM 0.1 0.1 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-11 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.5 2.5 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-03-11 Inflation Rate MoM 0.3 0.3 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-03-11 Inflation Rate YoY 2.4 2.4 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-03-11 Core Inflation Rate MoM 0.2 0.2 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-03-11 CPI 326.79 326.79 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-03-12 Continuing Jobless Claims 1850.0 1850.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-13 PCE Prices QoQ 2.9 2.9 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-13 Core PCE Prices QoQ 2.7 2.7 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-13 PCE Price Index MoM 0.3 0.3 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-03-13 Core PCE Price Index MoM 0.4 0.4 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-03-13 Core PCE Price Index YoY 3.1 3.1 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-13 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.7 2.7 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-18 Factory Orders MoM 0.1 0.1 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-18 Fed Interest Rate Decision 3.75 3.75 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-03-19 Continuing Jobless Claims 1857.0 1850.0 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-03-19 Leading Index MoM -0.1 -0.1 +0.000 Low +0.00

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