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Economic Surprises United States
United States +0.0 ▬ vs 1w ago (-0.5)
United States economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days, releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
+0.0
1 Week Ago
-0.5
Releases (90d)
652
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with S&P 500 Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
Top Positive Surprises
Top Negative Surprises
All Releases — 90 Day Window (652 events)
Date Event Actual Estimate Surprise Z Impact Contribution
2026-04-30 Employment Cost - Benefits QoQ 1.2 0.4 -3.889 Medium -122.51
2026-05-19 Pending Home Sales YoY 3.2 -0.5 +1.576 Medium +76.99
2026-04-30 Employment Cost - Wages QoQ 0.8 0.5 -2.421 Medium -76.26
2026-05-12 CPI 333.02 332.3 -1.829 Medium -76.02
2026-04-29 Housing Starts MoM 10.8 -0.7 +2.414 Medium +74.30
2026-04-15 NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 11.0 -0.5 +3.309 Medium +73.69
2026-04-30 Leading Index MoM 0.3 -0.2 +2.315 Medium +72.91
2026-04-29 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change -6.233 -0.2 -2.230 Medium -68.64
2026-04-10 Michigan Consumer Sentiment 47.6 52.0 -2.255 High -67.11
2026-04-29 Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM 0.5 -0.2 +2.173 Medium +66.88
2026-03-31 House Price Index YoY 1.6 -0.2 +8.395 Low +66.10
2026-05-13 Producer Price Index MoM 1.4 0.5 -1.034 High -65.97
2026-04-21 Pending Home Sales MoM 1.5 0.1 +2.460 Medium +62.93
2026-04-03 Non Farm Payrolls 178.0 60.0 +2.453 High +62.12
2026-05-08 Non Farm Payrolls 115.0 62.0 +1.066 High +60.62
2026-05-13 Core PPI MoM 1.0 0.3 -1.408 Medium -59.90
2026-05-04 Factory Orders MoM 1.5 0.5 +1.712 Medium +59.16
2026-04-30 Leading Index MoM -0.6 -0.2 -1.852 Medium -58.33
2026-04-16 Industrial Production MoM -0.5 0.1 -2.482 Medium -56.57
2026-04-01 Business Inventories MoM -0.1 0.1 -3.429 Medium -55.26
2026-04-29 Housing Starts 1.502 1.4 +1.077 High +49.74
2026-04-30 Personal Income MoM 0.6 0.3 +0.988 High +46.67
2026-05-12 CPI s.a 332.407 331.9 -1.114 Medium -46.29
2026-05-13 PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY 4.4 3.7 -2.171 Low -46.18
2026-04-29 Wholesale Inventories MoM 1.4 0.4 +1.442 Medium +44.39
2026-03-06 Non Farm Payrolls -92.0 59.0 -3.193 High -42.33
2026-05-15 Manufacturing Production YoY 1.3 0.2 +1.816 Low +40.45
2026-05-08 Michigan Consumer Sentiment 48.2 49.5 -0.700 High -39.78
2026-04-28 CB Consumer Confidence 92.8 89.0 +0.880 High +39.69
2026-04-28 S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM 0.4 -0.2 +2.594 Low +39.01
2026-04-23 S&P Global Composite PMI 52.0 49.9 +1.434 Medium +38.43
2026-04-09 Personal Income MoM -0.1 0.3 -1.317 High -38.30
2026-03-11 Monthly Budget Statement -308.0 -75.85 -3.799 Medium -37.69
2026-04-28 S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY 0.9 1.1 -1.247 Medium -37.50
2026-04-07 Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM -1.2 0.3 -3.911 Low -36.20
2026-05-18 NAHB Housing Market Index 37.0 35.0 +0.747 Medium +35.68
2026-05-12 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.8 2.7 -0.572 High -35.63
2026-05-12 Core Inflation Rate MoM 0.4 0.3 -0.569 High -35.45
2026-05-08 Michigan Current Conditions 47.8 52.0 -1.830 Low -34.68
2026-04-24 Michigan Consumer Sentiment 49.8 47.6 +1.232 Medium +33.77
2026-04-30 Initial Jobless Claims 189.0 215.0 +1.050 Medium +33.08
2026-05-01 ISM Manufacturing Employment 46.4 49.0 -0.970 Medium -31.28
2026-04-23 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 54.0 52.5 +1.156 Medium +30.97
2026-05-05 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 70.7 73.7 +0.569 High +30.16
2026-05-05 JOLTs Job Quits 3.171 2.95 +1.644 Low +29.07
2026-04-10 Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations 4.8 4.2 -1.452 Medium -28.81
2026-05-14 Export Prices MoM 3.3 1.1 -0.614 Medium -26.74
2026-03-27 Inflation Expectations 3.8 3.4 -1.850 Medium -26.57
2026-05-05 ISM Services New Orders 53.5 60.0 -1.489 Low -26.32
2026-04-02 Exports 314.8 304.0 +1.595 Medium +26.31
2026-04-29 Housing Starts 1.356 1.41 -0.566 High -26.15
2026-05-15 Industrial Production YoY 1.4 0.4 +1.173 Low +26.12
2026-03-12 Exports 302.1 286.0 +2.528 Medium +25.66
2026-04-06 ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment 45.2 51.0 -1.409 Medium -25.49
2026-05-14 Import Prices MoM 1.9 1.0 -0.577 Medium -25.13
2026-05-07 Consumer Credit Change 24.86 12.5 +1.349 Low +24.97
2026-04-03 Participation Rate 61.9 62.3 -1.464 Medium -24.71
2026-03-02 ISM Manufacturing Prices 70.5 60.6 -2.042 High -24.69
2026-05-15 Industrial Production MoM 0.7 0.3 +0.551 Medium +24.57
2026-05-08 Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations 4.5 4.8 +0.635 Medium +24.07
2026-04-15 NAHB Housing Market Index 34.0 37.0 -1.061 Medium -23.62
2026-04-30 Chicago PMI 49.2 53.0 -0.745 Medium -23.47
2026-04-06 Total Vehicle Sales 16.3 15.0 +2.575 Low +23.29
2026-03-12 Housing Starts 1.487 1.35 +1.501 High +22.86
2026-04-30 GDP Sales QoQ 1.6 0.7 +1.450 Low +22.83
2026-04-29 Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air 3.3 0.5 +1.478 Low +22.74
2026-04-02 Imports 372.1 364.0 +1.374 Medium +22.66
2026-04-10 Michigan Inflation Expectations 4.8 4.0 -2.274 Low -22.56
2026-03-31 CB Consumer Confidence 91.8 87.8 +0.939 High +22.18
2026-04-23 S&P Global Services PMI 51.3 50.0 +0.826 Medium +22.13
2026-04-03 Nonfarm Payrolls Private 186.0 70.0 +2.587 Low +21.83
2026-04-03 Total Vehicle Sales 16.3 15.0 +2.575 Low +21.73
2026-03-12 Balance of Trade -54.5 -66.6 +2.129 Medium +21.62
2026-03-25 Current Account -190.7 -211.0 +1.569 Medium +21.51
2026-04-06 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 70.7 67.0 -0.772 High -20.94
2026-05-12 Budget Balance 215.0 157.2 +0.475 Medium +19.73
2026-02-19 Balance of Trade -70.3 -55.5 -3.125 Medium -19.53
2026-04-30 Employment Cost Index QoQ 0.9 0.8 -0.611 Medium -19.26
2026-05-05 ISM Services Employment 48.0 45.0 +1.089 Low +19.25
2026-05-13 Core PPI YoY 5.2 4.3 -0.902 Low -19.19
2026-04-10 Michigan Consumer Expectations 46.1 51.0 -1.931 Low -19.16
2026-05-08 Nonfarm Payrolls Private 123.0 75.0 +0.999 Low +18.93
2026-04-06 ISM Services Employment 45.2 51.7 -2.054 Low -18.58
2026-05-14 Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM 0.5 0.1 +0.832 Low +18.10
2026-04-02 Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 411.0 420.0 -2.186 Low -18.02
2026-03-31 House Price Index 441.0 436.0 +2.277 Low +17.93
2026-03-04 ISM Services PMI 56.1 53.5 +1.413 High +17.89
2026-05-08 Michigan Inflation Expectations 4.5 4.9 +0.928 Low +17.58
2026-04-30 GDP Price Index QoQ 4.5 3.8 -0.549 Medium -17.28
2026-04-29 Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM -0.3 0.7 -1.117 Low -17.20
2026-03-27 Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations 3.8 3.4 -1.196 Medium -17.17
2026-03-25 Import Prices YoY 1.3 0.3 -2.497 Low -17.12
2026-03-31 Dallas Fed Services Index -13.3 -1.0 -2.172 Low -17.10
2026-04-10 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.6 2.7 +0.572 High +17.01
2026-04-10 Michigan Current Conditions 50.1 54.2 -1.714 Low -17.01
2026-04-10 Factory Orders MoM 0.0 -0.2 +0.856 Medium +16.99
2026-04-29 Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM 0.9 0.4 +0.550 Medium +16.93
2026-04-10 Core Inflation Rate MoM 0.2 0.3 +0.569 High +16.92
2026-04-09 Wholesale Inventories MoM 0.8 -0.4 +1.731 Low +16.78
2026-04-07 RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index 42.8 48.1 -1.801 Low -16.67
2026-05-07 Challenger Job Cuts 83.387 56.0 -0.873 Low -16.16
2026-03-06 Participation Rate 62.0 62.5 -1.824 Medium -16.12
2026-03-06 Nonfarm Payrolls Private -86.0 65.0 -3.627 Low -16.03
2026-05-08 Average Weekly Hours 34.3 34.2 +0.844 Low +15.98
2026-04-07 Durable Goods Orders MoM -1.4 -0.5 -0.568 High -15.77
2026-04-03 Government Payrolls -8.0 1.0 -1.861 Low -15.71
2026-05-14 Retail Sales YoY 4.9 3.3 +0.717 Low +15.59
2026-04-28 API Crude Oil Stock Change -1.79 0.3 -0.513 Medium -15.42
2026-04-30 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 207.5 220.0 +0.963 Low +15.16
2026-04-24 Michigan Current Conditions 52.5 50.1 +1.086 Low +14.88
2026-05-07 Construction Spending MoM -0.2 0.2 -0.803 Low -14.87
2026-05-07 Construction Spending MoM 0.6 0.2 +0.803 Low +14.87
2026-04-21 Business Inventories MoM 0.4 0.3 +0.571 Medium +14.62
2026-03-12 Goods Trade Balance Adv -80.8 -93.0 +1.435 Medium +14.57
2026-05-08 U-6 Unemployment Rate 8.2 8.0 -0.766 Low -14.51
2026-04-06 ISM Services PMI 54.0 55.0 -0.529 High -14.35
2026-05-14 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 4.0 3.7 +0.329 Medium +14.32
2026-04-16 Capacity Utilization 75.7 76.3 -1.253 Low -14.29
2026-04-27 Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index -2.3 -0.8 -0.486 Medium -14.29
2026-04-01 ADP Employment Change 62.0 40.0 +0.884 Medium +14.25
2026-04-07 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 1.3 1.6 -0.761 Medium -14.09
2026-03-25 Import Prices MoM 1.3 0.5 -1.027 Medium -14.07
2026-05-15 Capacity Utilization 76.1 75.8 +0.631 Low +14.05
2026-04-21 Pending Home Sales YoY -1.1 0.7 -0.548 Medium -14.01
2026-05-08 Participation Rate 61.8 61.7 +0.370 Medium +14.01
2026-04-09 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.5 0.7 -0.479 High -13.94
2026-03-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 63.0 68.3 +1.084 High +13.72
2026-03-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 63.0 68.3 +1.084 High +13.72
2026-03-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 63.0 68.3 +1.084 High +13.72
2026-04-03 Unemployment Rate 4.3 4.4 +0.533 High +13.49
2026-04-09 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.5 0.7 -0.462 High -13.45
2026-03-18 Producer Price Index MoM 0.7 0.3 -0.766 High -13.40
2026-04-07 IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism 42.8 48.1 -1.423 Low -13.17
2026-03-13 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.7 1.4 -0.839 High -13.07
2026-03-25 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 6.926 0.5 +0.950 Medium +13.03
2026-05-13 PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM 0.6 0.3 -0.606 Low -12.90
2026-05-07 Nonfarm Productivity QoQ 0.8 1.4 -0.345 Medium -12.78
2026-03-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 56.1 53.5 +1.002 High +12.69
2026-03-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 56.1 53.5 +1.002 High +12.69
2026-03-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 56.1 53.5 +1.002 High +12.69
2026-03-13 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.7 1.4 -0.809 High -12.61
2026-04-21 Retail Sales YoY 4.0 2.4 +0.985 Low +12.60
2026-03-18 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 6.156 0.4 +1.064 Medium +12.41
2026-05-12 Inflation Rate YoY 3.8 3.7 -0.196 High -12.22
2026-04-14 NFIB Business Optimism Index 95.8 98.6 -1.117 Low -12.15
2026-03-19 Wholesale Inventories MoM -0.5 0.2 -2.019 Low -12.05
2026-02-26 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 10.0 -1.0 +3.255 Low +11.96
2026-04-24 Michigan Consumer Expectations 48.1 46.1 +0.872 Low +11.95
2026-05-05 ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders 53.5 57.3 -0.669 Low -11.82
2026-02-19 Imports 357.6 347.0 +1.886 Medium +11.79
2026-03-12 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.7 2.1 +1.159 Medium +11.77
2026-03-24 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 52.4 51.3 +0.867 Medium +11.62
2026-05-01 ISM Manufacturing Prices 84.6 80.0 -0.719 Low -11.58
2026-05-05 ISM Services Business Activity 55.9 53.5 +0.644 Low +11.39
2026-04-03 Manufacturing Payrolls 15.0 -5.0 +1.340 Low +11.31
2026-04-10 Factory Orders ex Transportation 1.2 0.3 +1.140 Low +11.31
2026-04-16 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 26.7 10.0 +0.490 Medium +11.18
2026-05-15 Manufacturing Production MoM 0.6 0.2 +0.501 Low +11.15
2026-05-14 Initial Jobless Claims 211.0 205.0 -0.254 Medium -11.06
2026-03-06 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.1 3.0 -1.217 Medium -10.76
2026-03-06 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.1 3.0 -1.217 Medium -10.76
2026-03-06 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.1 3.0 -1.217 Medium -10.76
2026-03-06 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.1 3.0 -1.217 Medium -10.76
2026-03-12 Goods Trade Balance -80.8 -93.0 +1.057 Medium +10.74
2026-04-02 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 1.6 1.9 -0.641 Medium -10.57
2026-03-23 Construction Spending MoM -0.3 0.1 -1.606 Low -10.51
2026-04-14 Core PPI MoM 0.1 0.5 +0.483 Medium +10.51
2026-04-30 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2.0 2.3 -0.219 High -10.34
2026-05-15 NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 19.6 7.5 +0.232 Medium +10.34
2026-03-31 API Crude Oil Stock Change 10.263 -1.3 +0.655 Medium +10.31
2026-05-08 Average Hourly Earnings MoM 0.2 0.3 -0.272 Medium -10.31
2026-04-14 Producer Price Index MoM 0.5 1.1 +0.313 High +10.23
2026-04-10 CPI 330.21 330.41 +0.511 Medium +10.14
2026-05-08 Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations 3.4 3.5 +0.533 Low +10.11
2026-03-17 API Crude Oil Stock Change 6.6 -0.6 +0.883 Medium +10.06
2026-03-17 API Crude Oil Stock Change 6.6 -0.6 +0.883 Medium +10.06
2026-03-12 Imports 356.6 351.0 +0.985 Medium +10.00
2026-02-19 Goods Trade Balance Adv -98.5 -86.0 -1.591 Medium -9.94
2026-05-11 Existing Home Sales MoM 0.2 2.1 -0.245 Medium -9.93
2026-04-28 House Price Index MoM 0.0 0.2 -0.650 Low -9.77
2026-03-27 Michigan Inflation Expectations 3.8 3.4 -1.338 Low -9.60
2026-02-24 CB Consumer Confidence 91.2 87.4 +0.896 High +9.43
2026-02-24 CB Consumer Confidence 91.2 87.4 +0.896 High +9.43
2026-02-24 CB Consumer Confidence 91.2 87.4 +0.896 High +9.43
2026-02-24 CB Consumer Confidence 91.2 87.4 +0.896 High +9.43
2026-04-07 Consumer Inflation Expectation 3.4 3.7 +1.018 Low +9.43
2026-03-26 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 11.0 2.0 +1.331 Low +9.34
2026-05-14 Business Inventories MoM 0.9 0.8 +0.214 Medium +9.33
2026-03-02 ISM Manufacturing Prices 70.5 59.5 -2.311 Low -9.31
2026-03-17 Pending Home Sales MoM 1.8 -0.5 +0.808 Medium +9.21
2026-04-06 ISM Services Business Activity 53.9 58.0 -1.015 Low -9.18
2026-04-15 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change -0.913 0.2 -0.411 Medium -9.16
2026-03-13 Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM 0.5 -0.4 +1.760 Low +9.14
2026-04-14 API Crude Oil Stock Change 6.1 -1.3 +0.419 Medium +9.12
2026-03-13 Inflation Expectations 3.4 3.6 +0.874 Medium +9.08
2026-05-05 Exports 320.9 319.1 +0.253 Medium +8.96
2026-02-20 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.2 52.4 -0.926 High -8.89
2026-02-20 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.2 52.4 -0.926 High -8.89
2026-05-08 Manufacturing Payrolls -2.0 5.0 -0.469 Low -8.89
2026-05-08 Average Hourly Earnings YoY 3.6 3.8 -0.234 Medium -8.88
2026-04-29 Durable Goods Orders MoM 0.8 0.5 +0.189 High +8.74
2026-03-10 Existing Home Sales 4.09 3.89 +0.600 High +8.73
2026-03-26 Kansas Fed Composite Index 11.0 3.0 +1.240 Low +8.70
2026-05-07 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 203.25 209.0 +0.466 Low +8.63
2026-04-30 PCE Prices QoQ 4.5 3.1 -0.547 Low -8.61
2026-05-01 ISM Manufacturing PMI 52.7 53.0 -0.178 High -8.59
2026-02-20 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 1.4 3.0 -0.895 High -8.58
2026-04-15 Import Prices MoM 0.8 2.0 +0.385 Medium +8.57
2026-04-23 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 210.75 219.0 +0.638 Low +8.55
2026-04-10 CPI s.a 330.293 330.1 -0.426 Medium -8.46
2026-05-04 Factory Orders ex Transportation 1.6 0.7 +0.489 Low +8.44
2026-03-25 Export Prices MoM 1.5 0.5 -0.614 Medium -8.42
2026-03-31 S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY 1.2 1.3 -0.528 Medium -8.31
2026-02-20 Core PCE Price Index MoM 0.4 0.3 -0.862 High -8.27
2026-05-05 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.7 3.5 +0.232 Medium +8.20
2026-03-10 Existing Home Sales MoM 1.7 -0.8 +0.845 Medium +8.19
2026-03-10 Existing Home Sales MoM 1.7 -0.8 +0.845 Medium +8.19
2026-04-06 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 54.0 54.8 -0.301 High -8.17
2026-03-24 S&P Global Composite PMI 51.4 50.5 +0.607 Medium +8.14
2026-04-21 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 1.2 1.3 -0.312 Medium -7.99
2026-05-07 Initial Jobless Claims 200.0 205.0 +0.212 Medium +7.84
2026-02-20 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 1.4 2.8 -0.809 High -7.76
2026-02-20 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 1.4 2.8 -0.809 High -7.76
2026-02-20 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 1.4 2.8 -0.809 High -7.76
2026-03-13 Michigan Inflation Expectations 3.4 3.9 +1.458 Low +7.57
2026-02-27 Core PPI MoM 0.8 0.3 -1.006 Medium -7.56
2026-04-24 Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations 3.5 3.4 -0.549 Low -7.53
2026-03-06 Manufacturing Payrolls -12.0 3.0 -1.675 Low -7.40
2026-04-16 Initial Jobless Claims 207.0 215.0 +0.323 Medium +7.36
2026-04-13 Existing Home Sales 3.98 4.06 -0.230 High -7.34
2026-04-23 Chicago Fed National Activity Index -0.2 0.2 -0.273 Medium -7.33
2026-02-19 Goods Trade Balance -98.5 -86.0 -1.172 Medium -7.32
2026-02-19 Goods Trade Balance -98.5 -86.0 -1.172 Medium -7.32
2026-02-19 Goods Trade Balance -98.5 -86.0 -1.172 Medium -7.32
2026-02-19 Goods Trade Balance -98.5 -86.0 -1.172 Medium -7.32
2026-05-13 Producer Price Index YoY 6.0 4.9 -0.344 Low -7.32
2026-04-01 ISM Manufacturing Prices 78.3 73.0 -0.908 Low -7.31
2026-04-16 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 209.75 218.0 +0.641 Low +7.31
2026-05-14 Import Prices YoY 4.2 2.9 -0.336 Low -7.31
2026-02-27 Chicago PMI 57.7 52.8 +0.965 Medium +7.25
2026-03-06 Unemployment Rate 4.4 4.3 -0.545 High -7.23
2026-04-09 Initial Jobless Claims 219.0 210.0 -0.372 Medium -7.22
2026-03-19 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.3 2.7 -0.601 Medium -7.17
2026-04-03 Average Weekly Hours 34.2 34.3 -0.841 Low -7.10
2026-05-01 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.5 3.7 -0.219 Medium -7.07
2026-03-13 Personal Spending MoM 0.4 0.3 +0.449 High +7.00
2026-04-30 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 2.0 2.2 -0.147 High -6.95
2026-03-23 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.0 2.3 -0.529 Medium -6.93
2026-04-01 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 5.451 0.8 +0.430 Medium +6.93
2026-02-20 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.2 52.6 -1.077 Medium -6.89
2026-02-26 Kansas Fed Composite Index 5.0 1.0 +1.859 Low +6.83
2026-04-03 S&P Global Services PMI 49.8 51.1 -0.808 Low -6.82
2026-04-02 Initial Jobless Claims 202.0 212.0 +0.410 Medium +6.76
2026-03-04 ISM Services New Orders 58.6 52.5 +1.597 Low +6.74
2026-03-31 Chicago PMI 52.8 55.0 -0.416 Medium -6.55
2026-04-06 ISM Services New Orders 60.6 57.6 +0.716 Low +6.48
2026-04-21 API Crude Oil Stock Change -4.4 -1.0 -0.250 Medium -6.40
2026-04-30 Real Consumer Spending QoQ 1.6 2.6 -0.400 Low -6.30
2026-04-02 Balance of Trade -57.3 -59.2 +0.376 Medium +6.20
2026-04-03 S&P Global Composite PMI 50.3 51.4 -0.729 Low -6.16
2026-03-27 Michigan Consumer Expectations 51.7 54.0 -0.856 Low -6.15
2026-02-20 GDP Price Index QoQ 3.7 2.8 -0.957 Medium -6.12
2026-04-06 ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders 60.6 56.8 +0.674 Low +6.10
2026-05-01 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 54.5 54.0 +0.375 Low +6.04
2026-05-19 API Crude Oil Stock Change -9.1 -3.4 -0.123 Medium -6.03
2026-03-13 JOLTs Job Openings 6.946 6.7 +0.386 High +6.01
2026-03-12 Housing Starts MoM 7.2 -2.4 +0.588 Medium +5.97
2026-04-28 Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index -2.0 4.0 -0.394 Low -5.93
2026-03-13 Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations 3.4 3.6 +0.565 Medium +5.87
2026-05-06 ADP Employment Change 109.0 99.0 +0.162 Medium +5.87
2026-04-24 Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations 4.7 4.8 +0.212 Medium +5.81
2026-03-13 Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations 3.2 3.4 +1.098 Low +5.71
2026-04-16 Manufacturing Production MoM -0.1 0.1 -0.501 Low -5.71
2026-03-13 JOLTs Job Quits 3.1 3.26 -1.077 Low -5.60
2026-03-13 Michigan Current Conditions 57.8 55.2 +1.067 Low +5.55
2026-05-14 Export Prices YoY 8.8 6.6 -0.248 Low -5.39
2026-05-11 Existing Home Sales 4.02 4.05 -0.086 High -5.27
2026-03-02 ISM Manufacturing PMI 52.4 51.7 +0.425 High +5.13
2026-03-30 Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index -0.2 0.7 -0.334 Medium -5.13
2026-04-22 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 1.925 -1.2 +0.193 Medium +5.04
2026-02-24 House Price Index 440.4 443.6 -1.432 Low -5.02
2026-05-13 Producer Price Index 156.496 154.6 -0.236 Low -5.02
2026-03-27 Michigan Consumer Sentiment 53.3 54.0 -0.345 Medium -4.96
2026-04-09 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 209.5 216.0 +0.510 Low +4.94
2026-03-13 Durable Goods Orders MoM 0.0 1.2 -0.316 High -4.92
2026-05-05 API Crude Oil Stock Change -8.1 -2.8 -0.139 Medium -4.92
2026-02-20 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash 51.2 52.6 -0.764 Medium -4.89
2026-04-07 Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM 0.8 0.5 +0.264 Medium +4.89
2026-03-03 Total Vehicle Sales 15.8 15.2 +1.173 Low +4.84
2026-03-19 Initial Jobless Claims 205.0 215.0 +0.404 Medium +4.82
2026-04-02 Challenger Job Cuts 60.62 90.0 +0.583 Low +4.80
2026-04-08 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 3.081 0.7 +0.251 Medium +4.76
2026-05-08 Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 410.0 409.0 +0.249 Low +4.72
2026-03-18 Core PPI MoM 0.5 0.3 -0.402 Medium -4.69
2026-03-24 Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index 9.0 -13.0 +0.699 Low +4.69
2026-03-16 Industrial Production MoM 0.2 0.1 +0.414 Medium +4.61
2026-04-13 Existing Home Sales MoM -3.6 -2.0 -0.216 Medium -4.60
2026-04-03 Average Hourly Earnings MoM 0.2 0.3 -0.272 Medium -4.59
2026-02-19 Initial Jobless Claims 206.0 225.0 +0.733 Medium +4.58
2026-02-27 PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM 0.3 0.1 -1.213 Low -4.56
2026-03-02 ISM Manufacturing PMI 52.4 51.8 +0.363 High +4.39
2026-02-27 Producer Price Index MoM 0.5 0.3 -0.383 High -4.32
2026-02-19 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.0 3.6 -0.676 Medium -4.23
2026-02-19 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.0 3.6 -0.676 Medium -4.23
2026-02-19 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.0 3.6 -0.676 Medium -4.23
2026-02-19 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.0 3.6 -0.676 Medium -4.23
2026-02-25 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 15.989 1.8 +0.583 Medium +4.18
2026-02-20 S&P Global Services PMI Flash 52.3 53.0 -0.648 Medium -4.15
2026-04-02 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 207.75 214.0 +0.495 Low +4.08
2026-05-05 Balance of Trade -60.3 -60.9 +0.115 Medium +4.08
2026-03-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders 58.6 53.5 +0.961 Low +4.06
2026-03-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders 58.6 53.5 +0.961 Low +4.06
2026-03-04 ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders 58.6 53.5 +0.961 Low +4.06
2026-03-18 PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY 3.5 3.3 -0.696 Low -4.06
2026-04-03 Average Hourly Earnings YoY 3.5 3.7 -0.241 Medium -4.06
2026-02-20 S&P Global Services PMI 52.3 53.0 -0.420 High -4.03
2026-02-20 S&P Global Services PMI 52.3 53.0 -0.420 High -4.03
2026-05-05 Imports 381.2 380.5 +0.114 Medium +4.02
2026-03-16 NAHB Housing Market Index 38.0 37.0 +0.354 Medium +3.94
2026-03-06 Retail Sales YoY 3.2 2.0 +0.887 Low +3.92
2026-02-23 Factory Orders ex Transportation 0.4 0.1 +1.140 Low +3.91
2026-03-13 GDP Sales QoQ 0.4 1.2 -0.752 Low -3.91
2026-02-19 Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM 0.2 0.1 +0.621 Medium +3.88
2026-03-05 Import Prices YoY -0.1 0.5 +0.899 Low +3.88
2026-03-04 ISM Services Prices 63.0 66.0 +0.898 Low +3.79
2026-03-05 Challenger Job Cuts 48.307 95.0 +0.877 Low +3.79
2026-03-13 Michigan Consumer Sentiment 55.5 55.0 +0.242 High +3.78
2026-04-21 Retail Sales MoM 1.7 1.4 +0.097 High +3.71
2026-04-30 Core PCE Prices QoQ 4.3 4.1 -0.229 Low -3.61
2026-05-01 ISM Manufacturing New Orders 54.1 53.2 +0.224 Low +3.61
2026-04-14 PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY 3.6 3.5 -0.328 Low -3.57
2026-03-04 ADP Employment Change 63.0 50.0 +0.418 Medium +3.53
2026-03-06 BoE Consumer Credit 8.05 12.4 -0.400 Medium -3.53
2026-03-06 BoE Consumer Credit 8.05 12.4 -0.400 Medium -3.53
2026-03-06 BoE Consumer Credit 8.05 12.4 -0.400 Medium -3.53
2026-03-03 RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index 47.5 50.1 -0.848 Low -3.50
2026-05-05 S&P Global Composite PMI 51.7 52.0 -0.197 Low -3.48
2026-04-14 Core PPI YoY 3.8 4.1 +0.315 Low +3.43
2026-05-19 Pending Home Sales MoM 1.4 1.0 +0.070 Medium +3.43
2026-03-31 S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM -0.1 -0.2 +0.432 Low +3.40
2026-02-20 PCE Price Index MoM 0.4 0.3 -0.530 Medium -3.39
2026-04-29 Goods Trade Balance Adv -87.87 -87.0 -0.109 Medium -3.37
2026-03-24 S&P Global Services PMI 51.1 51.5 -0.247 Medium -3.31
2026-03-05 Nonfarm Productivity QoQ 2.8 1.9 +0.382 Medium +3.30
2026-04-14 PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM 0.2 0.4 +0.303 Low +3.30
2026-05-13 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change -4.306 -2.1 -0.078 Medium -3.30
2026-04-01 Retail Sales YoY 3.7 2.9 +0.408 Low +3.29
2026-05-05 S&P Global Services PMI 51.0 51.3 -0.186 Low -3.28
2026-04-01 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 1.9 2.0 -0.203 Medium -3.27
2026-04-16 Industrial Production YoY 0.7 1.8 -0.287 Low -3.27
2026-04-24 Michigan Inflation Expectations 4.7 4.8 +0.237 Low +3.25
2026-02-27 Core PPI YoY 3.6 3.0 -0.862 Low -3.24
2026-03-13 Real Consumer Spending 2.0 2.4 -0.620 Low -3.22
2026-05-04 Total Vehicle Sales 15.9 16.0 -0.186 Low -3.21
2026-05-08 Michigan Consumer Expectations 48.5 48.1 +0.167 Low +3.17
2026-03-31 Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn 9.02 9.14 -0.395 Low -3.11
2026-03-04 ISM Services Business Activity 59.9 57.0 +0.731 Low +3.08
2026-03-13 Personal Income MoM 0.4 0.5 -0.198 High -3.08
2026-03-25 Export Prices YoY 3.5 2.2 -0.439 Low -3.01
2026-02-20 Inflation Expectations 3.3 3.4 +0.463 Medium +2.96
2026-02-20 Inflation Expectations 3.3 3.4 +0.463 Medium +2.96
2026-04-09 Corporate Profits QoQ 5.7 3.9 +0.152 Medium +2.95
2026-02-23 Chicago Fed National Activity Index -0.21 0.1 -0.424 Medium -2.91
2026-04-01 ISM Manufacturing New Orders 53.5 55.0 -0.361 Low -2.91
2026-04-01 ISM Manufacturing PMI 52.7 52.5 +0.119 High +2.89
2026-02-20 Inflation Expectations 3.4 3.5 +0.449 Medium +2.87
2026-02-20 Inflation Expectations 3.4 3.5 +0.449 Medium +2.87
2026-05-05 ISM Services PMI 53.6 53.7 -0.054 High -2.87
2026-03-19 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 18.1 10.0 +0.238 Medium +2.84
2026-04-16 Manufacturing Production YoY 0.5 2.0 -0.248 Low -2.82
2026-05-07 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change 63.0 74.0 -0.152 Low -2.82
2026-04-01 Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM 0.5 0.3 +0.173 Medium +2.79
2026-05-07 Unit Labour Costs QoQ 2.3 2.6 +0.075 Medium +2.79
2026-03-24 Richmond Fed Services Index 9.0 -13.0 +0.413 Low +2.77
2026-03-06 Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM 0.4 0.2 +0.621 Low +2.74
2026-03-13 PCE Price Index YoY 2.8 2.9 +0.263 Medium +2.73
2026-03-24 API Crude Oil Stock Change 2.3 -1.3 +0.204 Medium +2.73
2026-04-09 GDP Sales QoQ 0.3 0.4 -0.282 Low -2.73
2026-05-05 ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment 48.0 48.3 -0.077 Medium -2.72
2026-05-14 Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM 0.4 0.5 -0.124 Low -2.70
2026-02-20 S&P Global Services PMI 52.3 53.0 -0.420 Medium -2.68
2026-02-24 API Crude Oil Stock Change 11.4 1.85 +0.380 Medium +2.67
2026-03-05 Export Prices MoM 0.6 0.3 -0.307 Medium -2.65
2026-02-20 GDP Sales QoQ 1.2 4.1 -0.798 Low -2.55
2026-03-23 Chicago Fed National Activity Index -0.11 0.27 -0.192 Medium -2.52
2026-03-02 ISM Manufacturing New Orders 55.8 53.3 +0.622 Low +2.50
2026-03-02 ISM Manufacturing Employment 48.8 48.0 +0.305 Medium +2.46
2026-02-19 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change -9.014 2.1 -0.391 Medium -2.45
2026-03-11 CPI s.a 327.46 327.57 +0.245 Medium +2.43
2026-03-06 Average Hourly Earnings MoM 0.4 0.3 +0.272 Medium +2.40
2026-04-21 Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM 1.9 1.4 +0.093 Medium +2.38
2026-03-18 PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM 0.5 0.3 -0.404 Low -2.36
2026-02-23 Factory Orders MoM -0.7 -0.5 -0.342 Medium -2.35
2026-03-05 Unit Labour Costs QoQ 2.8 2.0 -0.261 Medium -2.25
2026-03-18 Factory Orders ex Transportation 0.4 0.2 +0.380 Low +2.22
2026-03-31 Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat 1.3 1.31 -0.281 Low -2.21
2026-03-04 ISM Services Employment 51.8 50.2 +0.521 Low +2.20
2026-04-23 Initial Jobless Claims 214.0 212.0 -0.082 Medium -2.20
2026-04-01 Retail Sales MoM 0.6 0.5 +0.090 High +2.18
2026-04-14 Producer Price Index YoY 4.0 4.6 +0.200 Low +2.18
2026-04-28 Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 3.0 2.0 +0.144 Low +2.17
2026-05-05 JOLTs Job Openings 6.866 6.84 +0.040 High +2.12
2026-02-20 Michigan Consumer Sentiment 56.6 57.3 -0.326 Medium -2.08
2026-03-05 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 215.75 222.0 +0.477 Low +2.06
2026-05-05 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 53.6 53.7 -0.038 High -2.04
2026-03-06 Retail Sales MoM -0.2 -0.3 +0.150 High +1.99
2026-03-06 Consumer Credit Change 8.05 12.0 -0.449 Low -1.98
2026-03-24 Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 0.0 -5.0 +0.289 Low +1.94
2026-03-09 Consumer Inflation Expectation 3.0 3.1 +0.405 Low +1.92
2026-04-29 Housing Starts MoM -3.0 -5.2 +0.062 Medium +1.91
2026-05-14 Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM 0.7 0.6 +0.043 Medium +1.89
2026-02-23 Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index 0.2 -3.5 +0.274 Medium +1.88
2026-02-24 Dallas Fed Services Index -3.2 1.6 -0.530 Low -1.86
2026-02-20 S&P Global Composite PMI Flash 52.3 52.6 -0.290 Medium -1.85
2026-04-16 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change 59.0 51.0 +0.161 Low +1.83
2026-03-11 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 3.824 1.1 +0.183 Medium +1.82
2026-04-09 Real Consumer Spending 1.9 2.0 -0.186 Low -1.80
2026-04-06 ISM Services Prices 70.7 70.0 -0.197 Low -1.79
2026-02-19 Pending Home Sales MoM -0.8 1.3 -0.284 Medium -1.77
2026-02-20 Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations 3.3 3.4 +0.549 Low +1.76
2026-02-20 PCE Price Index YoY 2.9 2.8 -0.272 Medium -1.74
2026-03-10 NFIB Business Optimism Index 98.8 99.7 -0.355 Low -1.72
2026-03-16 NY Empire State Manufacturing Index -0.2 3.2 -0.153 Medium -1.70
2026-05-12 NFIB Business Optimism Index 95.9 96.1 -0.082 Low -1.70
2026-03-06 U-6 Unemployment Rate 7.9 8.0 +0.383 Low +1.69
2026-02-19 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 16.3 8.5 +0.269 Medium +1.68
2026-02-20 Core PCE Price Index YoY 3.0 2.9 -0.524 Low -1.68
2026-04-01 Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM 0.4 0.2 +0.208 Low +1.68
2026-02-26 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change -52.0 -36.0 -0.455 Low -1.67
2026-02-19 Exports 287.3 289.0 -0.264 Medium -1.65
2026-03-26 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change -54.0 -44.0 -0.233 Low -1.63
2026-04-14 Producer Price Index 154.006 155.2 +0.148 Low +1.61
2026-03-10 API Crude Oil Stock Change -1.7 1.4 -0.163 Medium -1.58
2026-02-19 Pending Home Sales YoY -0.4 2.4 -0.248 Medium -1.55
2026-03-24 Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index -2.0 -17.0 +0.232 Low +1.55
2026-03-04 S&P Global Services PMI 51.7 52.3 -0.364 Low -1.54
2026-03-18 Producer Price Index YoY 3.4 2.9 -0.264 Low -1.54
2026-03-02 ISM Manufacturing Employment 48.8 48.3 +0.189 Medium +1.53
2026-02-24 House Price Index MoM 0.1 0.3 -0.433 Low -1.52
2026-02-24 House Price Index MoM 0.1 0.3 -0.433 Low -1.52
2026-02-24 Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index -10.0 -4.0 -0.433 Low -1.52
2026-04-09 GDP Price Index QoQ 3.7 3.8 +0.078 Medium +1.52
2026-02-27 Construction Spending MoM -0.2 -0.1 -0.402 Low -1.51
2026-03-31 JOLTs Job Quits 2.974 3.0 -0.190 Low -1.50
2026-05-05 ISM Services Prices 70.7 71.0 +0.083 Low +1.48
2026-03-19 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 210.75 213.75 +0.238 Low +1.42
2026-03-16 Manufacturing Production MoM 0.2 0.1 +0.250 Low +1.39
2026-02-20 Michigan Current Conditions 56.6 57.7 -0.432 Low -1.38
2026-03-13 Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air 0.0 0.5 -0.264 Low -1.37
2026-03-18 Core PPI YoY 3.9 3.7 -0.233 Low -1.36
2026-03-31 JOLTs Job Openings 6.882 6.92 -0.058 High -1.36
2026-03-17 Pending Home Sales YoY -0.8 -1.8 +0.118 Medium +1.35
2026-04-28 Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index 4.3 3.0 +0.088 Low +1.32
2026-04-23 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change 103.0 94.0 +0.098 Low +1.31
2026-05-08 Government Payrolls -8.0 -12.0 +0.069 Low +1.31
2026-03-02 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.6 51.2 +0.316 Low +1.27
2026-02-20 S&P Global Composite PMI 52.3 52.6 -0.194 Medium -1.24
2026-04-07 Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air 0.6 0.4 +0.132 Low +1.22
2026-03-12 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 212.0 215.0 +0.236 Low +1.20
2026-03-25 EIA Distillate Stocks Change 3.032 -1.3 +0.175 Low +1.20
2026-05-13 EIA Distillate Stocks Change 0.19 -2.83 +0.056 Low +1.19
2026-05-12 Monthly Budget Statement 215.0 220.0 -0.028 Medium -1.17
2026-03-16 Capacity Utilization 76.3 76.2 +0.209 Low +1.16
2026-03-13 Michigan Consumer Expectations 54.1 54.7 -0.220 Low -1.15
2026-04-10 Monthly Budget Statement -164.1 -156.75 -0.058 Medium -1.15
2026-03-24 Unit Labour Costs QoQ 4.4 3.5 -0.168 Low -1.12
2026-03-04 S&P Global Composite PMI 51.9 52.3 -0.261 Low -1.10
2026-02-24 Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index -13.0 -6.0 -0.307 Low -1.08
2026-03-31 Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index 1.3 4.0 -0.136 Low -1.07
2026-04-02 Goods Trade Balance Adv -83.5 -84.0 +0.065 Medium +1.07
2026-03-06 Average Hourly Earnings YoY 3.8 3.7 +0.120 Medium +1.06
2026-04-01 EIA Distillate Stocks Change -2.111 -0.6 -0.132 Low -1.06
2026-04-29 Goods Trade Balance -87.87 -87.5 -0.034 Medium -1.05
2026-02-20 Michigan Inflation Expectations 3.4 3.5 +0.325 Low +1.04
2026-04-10 Budget Balance -164.0 -157.8 -0.051 Medium -1.01
2026-05-12 API Crude Oil Stock Change -2.188 -1.65 -0.024 Medium -1.00
2026-02-27 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.0 3.1 -0.131 Medium -0.98
2026-02-27 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.0 3.1 -0.131 Medium -0.98
2026-03-03 API Crude Oil Stock Change 5.6 2.19 +0.115 Medium +0.95
2026-03-13 Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM 0.4 0.5 -0.088 Medium -0.91
2026-03-13 Real Consumer Spending QoQ 2.0 2.4 -0.173 Low -0.90
2026-02-26 Initial Jobless Claims 212.0 215.0 +0.121 Medium +0.89
2026-04-28 House Price Index YoY 1.7 1.6 +0.058 Low +0.88
2026-03-16 Industrial Production YoY 1.4 2.1 -0.156 Low -0.87
2026-04-09 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change 50.0 46.0 +0.089 Low +0.86
2026-03-13 GDP Price Index QoQ 3.8 3.7 -0.081 Medium -0.84
2026-03-26 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 210.5 212.0 +0.120 Low +0.84
2026-04-29 EIA Distillate Stocks Change -4.494 -2.2 -0.055 Low -0.84
2026-03-12 Initial Jobless Claims 213.0 215.0 +0.081 Medium +0.82
2026-05-06 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change -2.314 -3.3 +0.022 Medium +0.80
2026-03-19 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change 35.0 31.0 +0.132 Low +0.79
2026-04-02 Goods Trade Balance -83.5 -84.0 +0.048 Medium +0.79
2026-03-02 ISM Manufacturing New Orders 55.8 55.0 +0.193 Low +0.78
2026-05-08 Wholesale Inventories MoM 1.3 1.4 -0.041 Low -0.78
2026-03-13 Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoM 0.5 -0.4 +0.145 Low +0.75
2026-03-05 Initial Jobless Claims 213.0 215.0 +0.081 Medium +0.70
2026-02-27 Producer Price Index YoY 2.9 2.6 -0.177 Low -0.67
2026-04-28 Richmond Fed Services Index 9.0 11.0 -0.044 Low -0.67
2026-04-07 Consumer Credit Change 9.48 10.0 -0.071 Low -0.66
2026-04-21 Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM 0.6 0.8 -0.052 Low -0.66
2026-04-23 Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 10.0 12.0 -0.049 Low -0.66
2026-03-16 Manufacturing Production YoY 1.3 2.0 -0.116 Low -0.64
2026-04-01 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 52.3 52.4 -0.077 Low -0.62
2026-04-01 ISM Manufacturing Employment 48.7 48.6 +0.038 Medium +0.61
2026-04-29 Building Permits 1.538 1.36 +0.013 High +0.60
2026-02-20 Core PCE Prices QoQ 2.7 2.6 -0.181 Low -0.58
2026-04-23 Kansas Fed Composite Index 10.0 11.0 -0.042 Low -0.57
2026-03-06 Government Payrolls -6.0 -15.0 +0.124 Low +0.55
2026-03-24 Nonfarm Productivity QoQ 1.8 2.0 -0.081 Low -0.54
2026-04-08 EIA Distillate Stocks Change -3.144 -1.5 -0.057 Low -0.54
2026-03-12 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change -38.0 -42.0 +0.098 Low +0.50
2026-04-02 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change 36.0 34.0 +0.060 Low +0.50
2026-04-09 Real Consumer Spending QoQ 1.9 2.0 -0.052 Low -0.50
2026-02-19 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 219.0 221.0 +0.153 Low +0.48
2026-03-18 Producer Price Index 153.231 152.6 -0.080 Low -0.46
2026-04-15 Export Prices MoM 1.6 1.5 -0.020 Medium -0.46
2026-05-14 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 203.75 203.5 -0.021 Low -0.45
2026-05-06 EIA Distillate Stocks Change -1.294 -2.4 +0.024 Low +0.44
2026-04-15 Export Prices YoY 5.6 5.9 +0.038 Low +0.42
2026-04-15 Import Prices YoY 2.1 2.0 -0.037 Low -0.42
2026-03-05 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change -132.0 -121.0 -0.093 Low -0.40
2026-02-19 EIA Distillate Stocks Change -4.566 -1.4 -0.119 Low -0.37
2026-02-23 Chicago Fed National Activity Index 0.18 0.3 -0.055 Medium -0.37
2026-03-04 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 3.475 2.3 +0.038 Medium +0.32
2026-04-15 Net Long-Term TIC Flows 58.6 36.6 +0.012 Medium +0.27
2026-02-20 Real Consumer Spending QoQ 2.4 2.6 -0.080 Low -0.26
2026-03-04 EIA Distillate Stocks Change 0.429 -2.6 +0.061 Low +0.26
2026-02-20 New Home Sales -1.7 -2.8 +0.039 Medium +0.25
2026-04-22 EIA Distillate Stocks Change -3.427 -2.5 -0.019 Low -0.25
2026-03-11 EIA Distillate Stocks Change -1.349 -0.7 -0.049 Low -0.24
2026-02-24 Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index 4.1 6.0 -0.064 Low -0.22
2026-03-19 New Home Sales 0.587 0.72 -0.018 Medium -0.22
2026-02-26 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 220.25 221.0 +0.057 Low +0.21
2026-03-18 EIA Distillate Stocks Change -2.527 -1.5 -0.036 Low -0.21
2026-04-30 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change 79.0 80.0 -0.013 Low -0.20
2026-03-18 Net Long-Term TIC Flows 15.5 71.6 -0.016 Medium -0.18
2026-04-15 EIA Distillate Stocks Change -3.122 -2.4 -0.016 Low -0.18
2026-05-05 New Home Sales 0.682 0.65 +0.005 Medium +0.17
2026-02-19 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change -3.213 -0.3 -0.025 Medium -0.15
2026-03-11 Budget Balance -308.0 -304.4 -0.015 Medium -0.15
2026-03-11 Budget Balance -308.0 -304.4 -0.015 Medium -0.15
2026-04-29 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change -6.075 -2.1 -0.005 Medium -0.15
2026-02-20 PCE Prices QoQ 2.9 2.8 -0.043 Low -0.14
2026-04-22 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change -4.57 -1.5 -0.005 Medium -0.14
2026-05-05 New Home Sales 0.635 0.61 +0.004 Medium +0.14
2026-02-27 Producer Price Index 152.174 151.9 -0.035 Low -0.13
2026-03-05 Export Prices YoY 2.6 2.7 +0.028 Low +0.12
2026-02-23 Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM -2.4 -2.5 +0.031 Low +0.11
2026-02-23 Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM -2.4 -2.5 +0.031 Low +0.11
2026-02-23 Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM -2.4 -2.5 +0.031 Low +0.11
2026-02-23 Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM -2.4 -2.5 +0.031 Low +0.11
2026-04-15 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change -6.328 -2.1 -0.005 Medium -0.11
2026-03-18 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change -5.436 -1.6 -0.006 Medium -0.07
2026-04-29 Building Permits 1.372 1.39 -0.001 High -0.06
2026-05-13 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change -4.084 -2.85 -0.001 Medium -0.05
2026-02-19 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change -144.0 -146.0 +0.014 Low +0.04
2026-03-12 Building Permits 1.376 1.41 -0.002 High -0.04
2026-04-01 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change -0.585 -1.9 +0.002 Medium +0.03
2026-04-28 Dallas Fed Services Index -9.9 -10.0 +0.002 Low +0.03
2026-03-04 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change -1.704 -0.8 -0.003 Medium -0.02
2026-05-05 Building Permits 1.363 1.35 +0.001 Low +0.02
2026-05-06 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change -2.504 -2.1 -0.000 Medium -0.02
2026-03-11 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change -3.654 -2.6 -0.001 Medium -0.01
2026-03-25 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change -2.593 -2.1 -0.001 Medium -0.01
2026-04-08 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change -1.589 -1.4 -0.000 Medium -0.01
2026-02-19 Leading Index MoM -0.2 -0.2 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-19 Leading Index MoM -0.2 -0.2 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-19 Wholesale Inventories MoM 0.2 0.2 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-19 Continuing Jobless Claims 1869.0 1860.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-02-19 Leading Index MoM -0.2 -0.2 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-19 Leading Index MoM -0.2 -0.2 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-20 Building Permits 1.455 1.448 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-20 Personal Spending MoM 0.4 0.4 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-02-20 Personal Income MoM 0.3 0.3 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-02-20 Michigan Consumer Expectations 56.6 56.6 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-24 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.1 3.1 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-24 House Price Index YoY 1.8 1.8 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-24 S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY 1.4 1.4 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-24 House Price Index YoY 1.8 1.8 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-24 S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM -0.1 -0.1 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-24 Wholesale Inventories MoM 0.2 0.2 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-24 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.1 3.1 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-24 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.1 3.1 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-26 Continuing Jobless Claims 1833.0 1860.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-27 PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY 3.4 3.4 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-02-27 Construction Spending MoM 0.3 0.3 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-02 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.0 3.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-02 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.0 3.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-02 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.0 3.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-05 Import Prices MoM 0.2 0.2 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-03-05 Continuing Jobless Claims 1868.0 1850.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-06 Average Weekly Hours 34.3 34.3 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-06 Business Inventories MoM 0.1 0.1 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-11 Inflation Rate YoY 2.4 2.4 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-03-11 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.5 2.5 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-03-11 CPI 326.79 326.79 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-03-11 Core Inflation Rate MoM 0.2 0.2 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-03-11 Inflation Rate MoM 0.3 0.3 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-03-12 Continuing Jobless Claims 1850.0 1850.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-13 Core PCE Price Index MoM 0.4 0.4 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-03-13 PCE Prices QoQ 2.9 2.9 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-13 Core PCE Prices QoQ 2.7 2.7 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-13 PCE Price Index MoM 0.3 0.3 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-03-13 Core PCE Price Index YoY 3.1 3.1 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-13 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.7 2.7 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-18 Factory Orders MoM 0.1 0.1 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-18 Fed Interest Rate Decision 3.75 3.75 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-03-19 Building Permits 1.386 1.376 +0.001 Low +0.00
2026-03-19 Continuing Jobless Claims 1857.0 1850.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-19 Leading Index MoM -0.1 -0.1 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-26 Initial Jobless Claims 210.0 210.0 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-03-26 Continuing Jobless Claims 1819.0 1850.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-27 Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations 3.2 3.2 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-27 Michigan Current Conditions 55.8 55.8 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-31 House Price Index MoM 0.1 0.1 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-31 Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy 2.1 2.1 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-04-01 Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM 0.3 0.3 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-04-02 Continuing Jobless Claims 1841.0 1840.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-03 U-6 Unemployment Rate 8.0 8.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-09 Core PCE Price Index YoY 3.0 3.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-09 PCE Prices QoQ 2.9 2.9 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-09 Core PCE Price Index MoM 0.4 0.4 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-04-09 Continuing Jobless Claims 1794.0 1840.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-04-09 Core PCE Prices QoQ 2.7 2.7 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-09 Personal Spending MoM 0.5 0.5 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-04-09 PCE Price Index YoY 2.8 2.8 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-04-09 PCE Price Index MoM 0.4 0.4 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-04-09 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 1.3 1.3 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-04-10 Inflation Rate YoY 3.3 3.3 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-04-10 Inflation Rate MoM 0.9 0.9 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-04-10 Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations 3.4 3.4 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-16 Continuing Jobless Claims 1818.0 1810.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-21 Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM 0.3 0.3 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-04-23 Continuing Jobless Claims 1821.0 1820.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-28 House Price Index 441.4 441.4 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-04-29 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 1.2 1.2 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-04-29 Fed Interest Rate Decision 3.75 3.75 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-04-30 Core PCE Price Index MoM 0.3 0.3 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-04-30 Continuing Jobless Claims 1785.0 1820.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-04-30 PCE Price Index MoM 0.7 0.7 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-04-30 Core PCE Price Index YoY 3.2 3.2 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-30 Personal Spending MoM 0.9 0.9 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-04-30 PCE Price Index YoY 3.5 3.5 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-05-07 Continuing Jobless Claims 1766.0 1800.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-05-07 Consumer Inflation Expectation 3.6 3.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-05-07 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.7 3.7 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-05-08 Unemployment Rate 4.3 4.3 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-05-08 Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3.7 3.7 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-05-12 Inflation Rate MoM 0.6 0.6 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-05-14 Retail Sales MoM 0.5 0.5 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-05-14 Continuing Jobless Claims 1782.0 1790.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-05-14 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change 85.0 85.0 +0.000 Low +0.00

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