Fed Interest Rate Decision High Impact %
United States · 110 historical releases · 106 with estimates
Latest Actual
4.0 %
Fed Interest Rate Decision
Previous
3.75 %
Change
+0.25
Historical Avg
1.99
110 releases
Range
0.25 — 5.5
Low — High
Beat Rate
0.9%
1 of 106
Miss Rate
0.9%
1 of 106
Historical Releases
All Releases
113
| Date | Period | Actual | Estimate | Previous | Change | Surprise % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-12-09 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-28 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | — | 4.0 | 4.0 | — | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.75 | +0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2026-07-29 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 0.0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-06-17 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 0.0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-04-29 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 0.0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-18 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 0.0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-28 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 0.0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-26 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | — | — | 3.75 | — | — |
| 2025-12-10 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 4.0 | -0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2025-10-29 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.25 | -0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2025-09-17 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4.25 | 4.25 | 4.5 | -0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2025-07-30 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-06-18 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-05-07 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-03-19 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2025-01-29 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2024-12-18 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.75 | -0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2024-11-07 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4.75 | 4.75 | 5.0 | -0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2024-09-18 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 5.0 | 5.25 | 5.5 | -0.5 | -4.76% |
| 2024-07-31 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2024-06-12 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2024-05-01 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2024-03-20 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2024-01-31 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2023-12-13 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% |
| 2023-11-01 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% |
| 2023-09-20 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2023-07-26 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.25 | +0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2023-06-14 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2023-05-03 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.0 | +0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2023-03-22 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 5.0 | 5.0 | 4.75 | +0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2023-02-01 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4.75 | 4.75 | 4.5 | +0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2022-12-14 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | 0.0% |
| 2022-11-02 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.25 | +0.75 | 0.0% |
| 2022-09-21 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.25 | 3.25 | 2.5 | +0.75 | 0.0% |
| 2022-07-27 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.75 | +0.75 | 0.0% |
| 2022-06-15 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.0 | +0.75 | +16.67% |
| 2022-05-04 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | +0.5 | 0.0% |
| 2022-03-16 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.25 | +0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2022-01-26 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2021-12-15 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2021-11-03 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2021-09-22 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2021-07-28 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2021-06-16 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2021-04-28 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2021-03-17 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2021-01-27 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2020-12-16 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2020-11-05 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2020-09-16 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2020-07-29 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2020-06-10 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2020-04-29 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2020-03-15 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | — | 1.25 | -1.0 | — |
| 2020-03-03 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 1.25 | — | 1.75 | -0.5 | — |
| 2020-01-29 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | — | 0.0% |
| 2019-12-11 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | — | 0.0% |
| 2019-10-30 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 1.75 | 1.75 | 2.0 | -0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2019-09-18 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.25 | -0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2019-07-31 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 2.25 | 2.25 | 2.5 | -0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2019-06-19 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2019-05-01 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2019-03-20 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2019-01-30 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2018-12-19 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.25 | +0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2018-11-08 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 2.25 | 2.25 | 2.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2018-09-26 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 2.25 | 2.25 | 2.0 | +0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2018-08-01 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | — | 0.0% |
| 2018-06-13 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.75 | +0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2018-05-02 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | — | 0.0% |
| 2018-03-21 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.5 | +0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2018-01-31 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2017-12-13 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.25 | +0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2017-11-01 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2017-09-20 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2017-07-26 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2017-06-14 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.0 | +0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2017-05-03 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0.0% |
| 2017-03-15 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.75 | +0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2017-02-01 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.75 | — | 0.0% |
| 2016-12-14 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.5 | +0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2016-11-02 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2016-09-21 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2016-07-27 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2016-06-15 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2016-04-27 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2016-03-16 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2016-01-27 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — | 0.0% |
| 2015-12-16 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.25 | +0.25 | 0.0% |
| 2015-10-28 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2015-09-17 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2015-07-29 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2015-06-17 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2015-04-29 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | — | 0.25 | — | — |
| 2015-03-18 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2015-01-28 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | — | 0.25 | — | — |
| 2014-12-17 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2014-10-29 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2014-09-17 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2014-07-30 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2014-06-18 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2014-04-30 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2014-03-19 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2014-01-29 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2013-12-18 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2013-10-30 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2013-09-18 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2013-07-31 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2013-06-19 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2013-05-01 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |
| 2013-03-20 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | 0.0% |