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Economic Surprises › Brazil
Brazil +2.7 ▲ vs 1w ago (+0.0)
Brazil economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days, releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
+2.7
1 Week Ago
+0.0
Releases (90d)
108
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with Bovespa Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
▼ Top Negative Surprises
All Releases — 90 Day Window (108 events)
Date Event Actual Estimate Surprise Z Impact Contribution
2026-07-28 CPI MoM 0.06 0.19 +2.060 Low +51.50
2026-07-10 CPI YoY 4.64 4.8 +1.015 Medium +33.50
2026-07-28 IPCA mid-month CPI YoY 4.52 4.67 +1.331 Low +33.28
2026-07-10 Inflation Rate YoY 4.64 4.8 +1.003 Medium +33.08
2026-07-28 Foreign Direct Investment 9.07 5.0 +1.190 Low +29.76
2026-07-13 Business Confidence 44.4 46.3 -0.764 Medium -27.03
2026-05-26 Current Account -1.77 -0.2 -4.375 Low -25.51
2026-07-28 CPI YoY 4.52 4.67 +0.979 Low +24.46
2026-07-10 CPI MoM 0.16 0.31 +1.457 Low +24.03
2026-07-10 Inflation Rate MoM 0.16 0.31 +0.651 Medium +21.46
2026-05-28 Producer Price Index YoY 1.07 -1.2 -3.310 Low -20.22
2026-07-28 IPCA mid-month CPI MoM 0.06 0.2 +0.796 Low +19.91
2026-07-03 Industrial Production MoM -0.2 0.3 -0.458 Medium -12.86
2026-05-06 S&P Global Services PMI 52.3 49.0 +1.623 Medium +11.92
2026-06-01 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 49.1 53.0 -1.658 Low -11.11
2026-06-03 S&P Global Composite PMI 49.5 52.7 -1.528 Low -10.72
2026-06-30 Gross Debt to GDP 81.1 80.6 -0.757 Low -9.91
2026-06-03 S&P Global Services PMI 50.4 51.9 -0.697 Medium -9.77
2026-07-03 Industrial Production YoY 0.2 1.3 -0.663 Low -9.30
2026-05-28 Unemployment Rate 5.8 5.9 +0.752 Medium +9.19
2026-07-01 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 50.8 49.5 +0.592 Low +7.93
2026-07-16 Retail Sales MoM 0.1 0.5 -0.195 Medium -7.40
2026-06-16 Retail Sales MoM -1.5 -0.6 -0.366 Medium -6.94
2026-06-12 CPI YoY 4.72 4.66 -0.392 Medium -6.78
2026-06-26 Foreign Direct Investment 7.97 5.75 +0.565 Low +6.74
2026-06-12 Inflation Rate YoY 4.72 4.66 -0.387 Medium -6.69
2026-06-30 Producer Price Index YoY 1.99 2.8 +0.506 Low +6.63
2026-04-30 Gross Domestic Product MoM 80.1 79.6 +0.935 Medium +5.98
2026-05-26 Foreign Direct Investment 8.91 5.3 +0.996 Low +5.81
2026-06-30 Budget Balance -163.679 -148.3 -0.422 Low -5.52
2026-06-30 Net Payrolls 72.96 115.0 -0.386 Low -5.06
2026-05-04 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 52.6 49.5 +1.411 Low +4.95
2026-05-27 IPCA mid-month CPI YoY 4.64 4.55 -0.820 Low -4.89
2026-05-29 Budget Balance -60.139 -50.7 -0.757 Low -4.73
2026-06-12 New Car Sales MoM 10.6 3.5 +0.547 Low +4.72
2026-04-30 Budget Balance -199.539 -148.0 -1.416 Low -4.53
2026-05-29 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 1.1 1.0 +0.354 Medium +4.43
2026-05-15 Business Confidence 47.2 46.0 +0.486 Medium +4.40
2026-07-16 Retail Sales YoY 0.4 1.2 -0.226 Low -4.28
2026-05-06 S&P Global Composite PMI 52.4 50.1 +1.155 Low +4.24
2026-06-24 FGV Consumer Confidence 88.7 90.0 -0.360 Low -4.11
2026-05-28 Net Payrolls 85.89 230.0 -0.662 Low -4.05
2026-07-03 S&P Global Services PMI 51.3 51.6 -0.140 Medium -3.93
2026-07-07 New Car Sales MoM -0.8 -7.0 +0.239 Low +3.68
2026-05-27 CPI YoY 4.64 4.55 -0.603 Low -3.60
2026-06-30 Producer Price Index MoM -0.3 1.8 +0.254 Low +3.33
2026-06-03 Industrial Production YoY 2.7 1.7 +0.461 Low +3.23
2026-05-07 Industrial Production MoM 0.1 -0.2 +0.412 Medium +3.10
2026-05-27 CPI MoM 0.62 0.53 -0.511 Low -3.05
2026-06-03 Industrial Production MoM 0.7 0.4 +0.206 Medium +2.89
2026-05-18 IBC-BR Economic Activity -0.7 -0.2 -0.595 Low -2.88
2026-07-02 IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM 0.18 0.3 +0.205 Low +2.81
2026-04-29 Producer Price Index YoY -1.54 -3.0 -0.852 Low -2.66
2026-04-30 Gross Debt to GDP 80.1 79.6 -0.767 Low -2.45
2026-06-12 CPI MoM 0.58 0.53 -0.284 Low -2.45
2026-06-25 CPI MoM 0.41 0.44 +0.205 Low +2.39
2026-05-29 Gross Domestic Product MoM 80.4 80.3 +0.185 Medium +2.32
2026-06-12 Inflation Rate MoM 0.58 0.53 -0.127 Medium -2.19
2026-07-03 S&P Global Composite PMI 50.7 51.0 -0.148 Low -2.08
2026-04-29 Producer Price Index MoM 2.37 0.6 -0.642 Low -2.01
2026-06-25 IPCA mid-month CPI YoY 4.8 4.82 +0.172 Low +2.01
2026-04-29 Net Payrolls 228.21 150.0 +0.551 Low +1.72
2026-05-28 Bank Lending MoM 0.3 0.8 -0.278 Low -1.70
2026-06-30 Nominal Budget Balance -163.679 -148.3 -0.126 Low -1.65
2026-06-16 Retail Sales YoY 1.0 2.0 -0.170 Low -1.61
2026-06-26 Current Account -3.19 -4.16 +0.130 Low +1.55
2026-06-15 Business Confidence 46.7 46.5 +0.080 Medium +1.48
2026-06-25 CPI YoY 4.8 4.82 +0.126 Low +1.47
2026-05-29 Nominal Budget Balance -60.139 -50.7 -0.227 Low -1.42
2026-07-27 FGV Consumer Confidence 88.3 88.5 -0.056 Low -1.38
2026-04-30 Nominal Budget Balance -199.539 -148.0 -0.424 Low -1.36
2026-05-26 FGV Consumer Confidence 88.8 89.6 -0.223 Low -1.30
2026-05-25 FGV Consumer Confidence 88.8 89.6 -0.223 Low -1.27
2026-05-25 FGV Consumer Confidence 88.8 89.6 -0.223 Low -1.27
2026-05-29 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 1.1 1.0 +0.098 Medium +1.23
2026-05-12 CPI YoY 4.39 4.41 +0.138 Medium +1.17
2026-05-12 Inflation Rate YoY 4.39 4.41 +0.136 Medium +1.15
2026-05-27 IPCA mid-month CPI MoM 0.62 0.53 -0.193 Low -1.15
2026-05-05 IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM 0.4 1.0 +0.308 Low +1.11
2026-06-29 IGP-M Inflation MoM -0.5 -0.45 +0.084 Low +1.08
2026-05-29 Gross Debt to GDP 80.4 80.3 -0.152 Low -0.95
2026-06-25 IPCA mid-month CPI MoM 0.41 0.44 +0.078 Low +0.90
2026-07-07 Car Production MoM -3.0 -13.0 +0.058 Low +0.89
2026-05-08 New Car Sales MoM -7.8 -27.0 +0.192 Low +0.74
2026-07-28 Current Account -2.33 -2.45 +0.027 Low +0.68
2026-05-07 Industrial Production YoY 4.3 3.5 +0.179 Low +0.67
2026-05-13 Retail Sales YoY 4.0 2.75 +0.154 Low +0.67
2026-05-28 Producer Price Index MoM 2.63 1.8 -0.100 Low -0.61
2026-05-12 CPI MoM 0.67 0.7 +0.129 Low +0.54
2026-05-12 Inflation Rate MoM 0.67 0.7 +0.058 Medium +0.49
2026-06-02 IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM 0.45 0.4 -0.064 Low -0.44
2026-06-17 IBC-BR Economic Activity 0.5 0.6 -0.040 Low -0.38
2026-06-12 Car Production MoM 6.3 4.5 +0.030 Low +0.26
2026-05-28 IGP-M Inflation MoM 0.84 0.8 -0.038 Low -0.23
2026-04-29 IGP-M Inflation MoM 2.73 2.5 -0.070 Low -0.22
2026-07-06 Balance of Trade 9.76 9.9 -0.006 Medium -0.17
2026-07-03 Balance of Trade 9.76 9.9 -0.006 Medium -0.16
2026-06-03 Balance of Trade 7.82 7.65 +0.009 Medium +0.13
2026-05-08 Car Production MoM -9.5 -15.0 +0.028 Low +0.11
2026-05-07 Balance of Trade 10.54 10.9 -0.013 Medium -0.10
2026-04-29 Interest Rate Decision 14.5 14.5 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-04-30 Unemployment Rate 6.1 6.1 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-05-29 GDP Growth Rate YoY 1.8 1.8 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-05-29 Gross Domestic Product YoY 1.8 1.8 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-06-17 Interest Rate Decision 14.25 14.25 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-06-17 Interest Rate Decision 14.25 14.25 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-06-26 Unemployment Rate 5.6 5.6 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-07-01 Bank Lending MoM 0.6 0.6 +0.000 Low +0.00

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms