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Economic Surprises › Spain
Spain -0.4 ▬ vs 1w ago (-0.8)
Spain economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days, releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
-0.4
1 Week Ago
-0.8
Releases (90d)
89
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with IBEX 35 Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
▼ Top Negative Surprises
All Releases — 90 Day Window (89 events)
Date Event Actual Estimate Surprise Z Impact Contribution
2026-08-28 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.9 3.8 +3.819 Low +69.10
2026-07-30 CPI YoY 3.5 3.2 -2.008 Medium -37.18
2026-07-28 Unemployment Rate 9.87 10.7 +1.939 Medium +34.28
2026-08-13 HICP MoM 0.0 -0.1 -2.174 Low -27.80
2026-08-13 CPI MoM 0.3 0.2 -1.975 Low -25.26
2026-09-03 S&P Global Services PMI 57.8 59.0 -0.593 Medium -24.64
2026-09-02 Employment Change 44.419 15.4 +0.524 Medium +21.30
2026-08-28 CPI YoY 4.3 4.2 -0.510 Medium -18.45
2026-09-01 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 49.5 50.1 -0.464 Medium -18.43
2026-09-01 New Car Sales YoY 11.8 2.5 +0.921 Low +18.27
2026-09-01 New Car Sales YoY 11.8 2.5 +0.921 Low +18.27
2026-08-28 HICP YoY 4.5 4.6 +0.477 Medium +17.25
2026-09-10 Consumer Confidence 84.1 81.5 +0.352 Medium +17.21
2026-07-30 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.7 0.6 +0.900 Medium +16.66
2026-08-13 Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM 0.0 -0.1 -1.238 Low -15.84
2026-08-13 CPI YoY 3.6 3.5 -0.612 Medium -15.66
2026-09-03 S&P Global Composite PMI 55.8 57.4 -0.717 Low -14.91
2026-08-13 HICP YoY 3.9 3.8 -0.577 Medium -14.77
2026-07-30 Gross Domestic Product YoY 2.7 2.5 +1.542 Low +14.28
2026-08-28 Retail Sales MoM -0.9 0.5 -0.747 Low -13.51
2026-07-30 GDP Growth Rate YoY 2.7 2.5 +0.484 High +13.44
2026-07-30 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.7 0.6 +0.467 High +12.98
2026-08-28 CPI MoM 0.7 0.6 -0.658 Low -11.91
2026-08-04 Employment Change 19.5 -20.3 +0.546 Medium +11.34
2026-07-30 HICP YoY 3.8 3.7 -0.593 Medium -10.97
2026-08-28 Retail Sales YoY -0.3 0.9 -0.560 Low -10.13
2026-07-30 HICP MoM -0.1 -0.2 -1.087 Low -10.06
2026-08-28 HICP MoM 0.6 0.8 +0.543 Low +9.83
2026-08-03 Tourist Arrivals YoY 2.9 9.8 -0.791 Low -8.03
2026-08-03 New Car Sales YoY 3.7 -1.7 +0.786 Low +7.98
2026-07-30 Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM -0.1 -0.2 -0.619 Low -5.73
2026-08-13 Inflation Rate MoM 0.3 0.2 -0.443 Low -5.66
2026-08-28 Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM 0.6 0.8 +0.309 Low +5.60
2026-08-28 Inflation Rate MoM 0.7 0.6 -0.148 Medium -5.34
2026-07-30 Core Inflation Rate YoY 3.0 2.9 -0.556 Low -5.15
2026-08-25 Producer Price Index YoY 9.2 5.8 -0.289 Low -4.89
2026-07-28 Retail Sales MoM 0.3 -0.3 +0.534 Low +4.72
2026-08-28 Business Confidence -3.9 -3.0 -0.128 Medium -4.62
2026-08-28 Business Confidence -3.9 -3.0 -0.128 Medium -4.62
2026-06-29 Inflation Rate MoM 0.6 0.4 -0.443 Medium -4.00
2026-07-14 Consumer Confidence 81.2 79.0 +0.307 Medium +3.93
2026-09-01 Tourist Arrivals YoY 4.6 4.0 +0.168 Low +3.34
2026-07-02 Tourist Arrivals YoY 9.5 6.0 +0.655 Low +3.18
2026-06-29 Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM 0.6 0.4 -0.619 Low -2.80
2026-07-01 New Car Sales YoY 7.8 2.5 +0.525 Low +2.49
2026-09-10 Industrial Production YoY 2.3 1.6 +0.091 Low +2.22
2026-07-28 Retail Sales YoY 0.5 1.1 -0.229 Low -2.02
2026-08-28 Inflation Rate YoY 4.3 4.2 -0.054 Medium -1.95
2026-08-06 Industrial Production YoY 1.1 2.5 -0.116 Low -1.26
2026-07-30 Inflation Rate YoY 3.5 3.4 -0.067 Medium -1.23
2026-07-24 Producer Price Index YoY 7.0 10.1 +0.152 Low +1.22
2026-06-29 Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY 3.6 3.3 -0.265 Low -1.20
2026-08-28 Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY 4.5 4.6 +0.063 Low +1.14
2026-08-13 Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY 3.9 3.8 -0.077 Low -0.98
2026-08-13 Inflation Rate YoY 3.6 3.5 -0.065 Low -0.83
2026-07-02 Employment Change -28.7 -40.8 +0.083 Medium +0.80
2026-07-30 Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY 3.8 3.7 -0.079 Low -0.73
2026-08-31 Current Account 2.41 3.6 -0.037 Low -0.72
2026-07-31 Current Account 1.84 4.5 -0.066 Low -0.63
2026-07-21 Balance of Trade -8.24 -4.7 -0.041 Medium -0.62
2026-06-25 Producer Price Index YoY 10.5 8.1 -0.146 Low -0.60
2026-06-29 Business Confidence -2.4 -2.1 -0.061 Medium -0.55
2026-07-03 Industrial Production YoY 3.4 2.3 +0.099 Low +0.49
2026-06-29 Retail Sales MoM 0.6 1.0 -0.107 Low -0.48
2026-06-23 Balance of Trade -5.2 -2.5 -0.059 Medium -0.47
2026-07-03 Consumer Confidence 77.7 78.0 -0.042 Medium -0.42
2026-08-18 Balance of Trade -7.69 -6.3 -0.012 Medium -0.35
2026-06-30 Current Account 1.88 4.3 -0.063 Low -0.29
2026-07-30 Business Confidence -2.6 -2.7 +0.016 Medium +0.29
2026-06-29 Retail Sales YoY 1.3 1.2 +0.035 Low +0.16
2026-06-25 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.6 0.6 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-06-25 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.6 0.6 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-06-25 GDP Growth Rate YoY 2.7 2.7 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-06-25 Gross Domestic Product YoY 2.7 2.7 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-06-29 Inflation Rate YoY 3.2 3.2 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-06-29 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.9 2.9 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-06-29 CPI YoY 3.2 3.2 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-07-15 HICP MoM 0.6 0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-15 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.9 2.9 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-15 HICP YoY 3.6 3.6 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-07-15 Inflation Rate MoM 0.6 0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-15 CPI MoM 0.6 0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-15 CPI YoY 3.2 3.2 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-07-15 Inflation Rate YoY 3.2 3.2 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-15 Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM 0.6 0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-15 Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY 3.6 3.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-30 CPI MoM 0.2 0.2 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-30 Inflation Rate MoM 0.2 0.2 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-08-13 Core Inflation Rate YoY 3.0 3.0 -0.000 Low -0.00

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms