— Know what they know.
/
Not Investment Advice
Economic Surprises › European Union
European Union +5.4 ▬ vs 1w ago (+5.5)
European Union economic data has been beating expectations. Over the past 90 days, releases have generally come in above analyst estimates, suggesting the economy may be stronger than consensus forecasts.
Current Score
+5.4
1 Week Ago
+5.5
Releases (90d)
152
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
▼ Top Negative Surprises
All Releases — 90 Day Window (152 events)
Date Event Actual Estimate Surprise Z Impact Contribution
2026-07-30 GDP Growth Rate YoY 1.0 0.5 +5.095 High +141.50
2026-08-14 Balance of Trade 8.6 -2.2 +4.406 Medium +115.37
2026-08-19 CPI MoM 0.2 2.8 +2.621 Medium +77.03
2026-07-30 Gross Domestic Product YoY 1.0 0.5 +3.978 Medium +73.64
2026-09-01 Core CPI YoY 2.4 2.5 +1.212 Medium +48.10
2026-07-30 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.4 0.2 +1.721 High +47.80
2026-07-16 Balance of Trade -7.8 -1.6 -3.478 Medium -46.60
2026-09-01 Unemployment Rate 6.4 6.3 -1.122 Medium -44.53
2026-09-04 Retail Sales MoM -0.6 0.3 -0.944 Medium -40.15
2026-08-21 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 52.8 51.8 +1.208 Medium +37.18
2026-08-14 Employment Change YoY 0.5 0.6 -0.844 High -33.16
2026-08-06 Retail Sales MoM -0.3 0.1 -1.259 Medium -27.39
2026-07-01 CPI YoY 2.8 3.0 +1.699 High +24.14
2026-07-31 Core CPI YoY 2.5 2.4 -1.262 Medium -23.92
2026-08-27 Private sector loans YoY 3.1 2.9 +1.319 Low +23.32
2026-09-07 GDP Growth Rate YoY 1.2 1.0 +1.019 Low +23.23
2026-08-19 Current Account s.a 35.1 22.1 +1.558 Low +22.89
2026-07-30 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.4 0.2 +1.221 Medium +22.60
2026-08-28 Selling Price Expectations 16.4 25.0 +1.181 Low +21.37
2026-07-30 Unemployment Rate 6.3 6.2 -1.140 Medium -21.11
2026-09-03 Producer Price Index YoY 5.8 4.7 -1.013 Low -21.05
2026-09-07 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.6 0.4 +0.861 Low +19.62
2026-07-01 Inflation Rate MoM -0.1 0.2 +1.855 Medium +17.57
2026-07-17 HICP YoY 2.1 2.2 +2.161 Low +14.82
2026-08-21 S&P Global Composite PMI 52.1 51.7 +0.457 Medium +14.08
2026-07-01 Core CPI YoY 2.4 2.5 +1.212 Medium +11.48
2026-07-15 Industrial Production MoM -0.2 0.2 -0.871 Medium -11.41
2026-08-13 Industrial Production MoM 0.0 -0.1 +0.436 Medium +11.15
2026-09-04 S&P Global Construction PMI 43.0 44.0 -0.520 Low -11.07
2026-07-02 Unemployment Rate 6.2 6.3 +1.122 Medium +10.88
2026-07-17 Current Account -6.2 8.5 -1.523 Low -10.44
2026-07-30 Consumer Inflation Expectation 30.3 38.0 +1.054 Low +9.76
2026-07-30 Selling Price Expectations 17.7 25.0 +1.003 Low +9.28
2026-09-04 Retail Sales YoY 0.6 1.1 -0.402 Low -8.56
2026-06-17 Core CPI YoY 2.6 2.5 -1.212 Medium -8.31
2026-08-27 Loans to Households YoY 3.1 2.9 +0.456 Low +8.06
2026-07-24 Consumer Inflation Expectation 3.0 3.7 +0.984 Low +7.93
2026-08-28 Consumer Inflation Expectation 33.0 36.0 +0.433 Low +7.84
2026-08-20 Construction Output YoY -0.7 0.6 -0.486 Low -7.30
2026-06-15 Balance of Trade -1.0 7.8 -1.013 Medium -6.63
2026-08-13 Industrial Production YoY 0.1 -0.8 +0.493 Low +6.31
2026-08-19 Current Account 46.9 32.0 +0.410 Low +6.03
2026-06-29 Private sector loans YoY 3.1 2.9 +1.319 Low +5.97
2026-08-27 Loans to Companies YoY 4.4 3.8 +0.335 Low +5.93
2026-08-21 Consumer Confidence -15.5 -16.3 +0.187 Medium +5.75
2026-08-21 S&P Global Services PMI 51.7 51.5 +0.180 Medium +5.54
2026-07-27 Private sector loans YoY 3.0 3.1 -0.617 Low -5.33
2026-09-07 Sentix Investors Sentiment 5.1 2.1 +0.226 Low +5.14
2026-09-03 Producer Price Index MoM 1.6 1.2 -0.236 Low -4.91
2026-06-29 Consumer Inflation Expectation 34.0 42.0 +0.991 Low +4.48
2026-08-10 Sentix Investors Sentiment 0.9 -0.7 +0.361 Low +4.31
2026-07-15 Industrial Production YoY -1.2 -0.5 -0.614 Low -4.02
2026-08-28 Services Sentiment 5.8 4.9 +0.199 Low +3.60
2026-09-01 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.4 2.5 +0.083 Medium +3.29
2026-07-23 Consumer Confidence -15.9 -16.8 +0.204 Medium +3.21
2026-07-01 Inflation Rate YoY 2.8 3.0 +0.223 High +3.17
2026-08-06 Retail Sales YoY 0.7 1.0 -0.266 Low -2.89
2026-07-23 New Car Sales YoY 13.6 9.9 +0.182 Medium +2.86
2026-08-21 Consumer Inflation Expectation 2.9 2.8 -0.186 Low -2.86
2026-06-29 Selling Price Expectations 22.3 27.0 +0.598 Low +2.70
2026-07-30 Services Sentiment 4.7 3.8 +0.256 Low +2.37
2026-09-03 S&P Global Composite PMI 52.0 52.1 -0.113 Low -2.36
2026-09-01 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 52.7 52.8 -0.119 Low -2.35
2026-07-20 Construction Output YoY 1.2 0.5 +0.314 Low +2.31
2026-06-26 Consumer Inflation Expectation 3.5 3.9 +0.534 Low +2.25
2026-06-29 Loans to Households YoY 3.1 2.9 +0.456 Low +2.06
2026-06-15 Industrial Production MoM 0.1 0.3 -0.290 Medium -1.90
2026-06-29 M3 Money Supply YoY 3.2 2.7 +0.410 Low +1.86
2026-09-03 S&P Global Services PMI 51.6 51.7 -0.090 Low -1.86
2026-07-27 Loans to Households YoY 3.0 3.1 -0.213 Low -1.84
2026-08-21 Negotiated Wage Growth 2.44 2.5 -0.059 Medium -1.81
2026-06-15 Industrial Production YoY 0.3 -1.7 +0.516 Low +1.69
2026-07-31 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.5 2.4 -0.086 Medium -1.64
2026-07-01 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.4 2.6 +0.159 Medium +1.51
2026-07-21 ZEW Economic Sentiment Index 23.4 11.2 +0.100 Medium +1.50
2026-06-16 ZEW Economic Sentiment Index 9.5 -7.2 +0.213 Medium +1.43
2026-06-18 Current Account 14.9 25.6 -0.368 Low -1.29
2026-06-18 Construction Output YoY 0.9 -1.6 +0.350 Low +1.23
2026-07-06 Retail Sales MoM 0.2 0.3 -0.105 Medium -1.12
2026-06-29 Loans to Companies YoY 4.0 3.6 +0.236 Low +1.07
2026-09-01 CPI 103.7 103.6 -0.044 Low -0.88
2026-08-28 Economic Sentiment 98.4 97.5 +0.024 Medium +0.87
2026-07-06 Producer Price Index YoY 5.9 5.7 -0.152 Low -0.81
2026-07-06 Sentix Investors Sentiment -3.1 -14.5 +0.124 Low +0.66
2026-08-18 ZEW Economic Sentiment Index 31.4 25.4 +0.022 Medium +0.62
2026-06-23 New Car Sales YoY 3.2 2.8 +0.069 Medium +0.55
2026-07-30 Industrial Sentiment -6.1 -7.0 +0.055 Low +0.51
2026-06-16 Wage Growth YoY 3.4 2.9 +0.143 Low +0.48
2026-07-27 Loans to Companies YoY 4.0 4.1 -0.052 Low -0.45
2026-07-30 Economic Sentiment 96.9 96.0 +0.024 Medium +0.45
2026-06-22 Consumer Confidence -17.7 -17.5 -0.043 Medium -0.33
2026-06-29 Services Sentiment 3.2 3.0 +0.072 Low +0.33
2026-06-17 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.6 2.5 -0.083 Low -0.28
2026-06-29 Economic Sentiment 95.0 94.3 +0.019 Medium +0.18
2026-07-17 CPI 103.02 103.07 +0.022 Low +0.15
2026-08-28 Industrial Sentiment -5.3 -5.2 -0.008 Low -0.15
2026-06-16 Labour Cost Index YoY 3.2 3.3 +0.040 Low +0.13
2026-06-29 Industrial Sentiment -7.7 -7.2 -0.030 Low -0.13
2026-08-19 CPI 103.24 103.22 -0.009 Low -0.13
2026-06-17 CPI 103.13 103.15 +0.009 Low +0.03
2026-06-17 Inflation Rate YoY 3.2 3.2 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-06-17 HICP MoM 0.3 0.3 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-06-17 CPI MoM 0.1 0.1 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-06-17 CPI YoY 3.2 3.2 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-06-17 Inflation Rate MoM 0.1 0.1 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-06-17 HICP YoY 2.3 2.3 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-06-29 Consumer Confidence -17.7 -17.7 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-07-01 CPI 103.07 103.07 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-06 Producer Price Index MoM 0.2 0.2 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-06 Retail Sales YoY 1.6 1.6 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-07-17 Inflation Rate YoY 2.8 2.8 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-17 HICP MoM 0.2 0.2 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-17 Core CPI YoY 2.4 2.4 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-07-17 Inflation Rate MoM -0.1 -0.1 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-17 CPI YoY 2.8 2.8 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-07-17 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.4 2.4 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-17 CPI MoM -0.1 -0.1 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-07-23 Interest Rate Decision 2.4 2.4 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-07-23 Deposit Facility Rate 2.25 2.25 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-07-23 Deposit Facility Rate 2.25 2.25 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-07-23 Marginal Lending Rate 2.65 2.65 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-07-23 Interest Rate Decision 2.4 2.4 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-07-27 M3 Money Supply YoY 3.3 3.3 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-07-30 Consumer Confidence -15.9 -15.9 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-07-31 CPI YoY 2.9 2.9 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-07-31 Inflation Rate MoM 0.2 0.2 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-07-31 Inflation Rate YoY 2.9 2.9 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-07-31 CPI 103.22 103.22 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-08-05 Producer Price Index YoY 4.6 4.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-08-05 Producer Price Index MoM -0.3 -0.3 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-08-14 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.4 0.4 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-08-14 Employment Change QoQ 0.1 0.1 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-08-14 Gross Domestic Product YoY 1.0 1.0 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-08-14 GDP Growth Rate YoY 1.0 1.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-08-14 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.4 0.4 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-08-19 Inflation Rate YoY 2.9 2.9 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-08-19 Core Inflation Rate YoY 2.5 2.5 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-08-19 Inflation Rate MoM 0.2 0.2 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-08-19 Core CPI YoY 2.5 2.5 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-08-19 HICP YoY 2.2 2.2 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-08-19 CPI YoY 2.9 2.9 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-08-20 Labour Cost Index YoY 3.0 3.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-08-27 M3 Money Supply YoY 3.4 3.4 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-08-28 Consumer Confidence -15.5 -15.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-09-01 Inflation Rate YoY 3.3 3.3 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-09-01 Inflation Rate MoM 0.4 0.4 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-09-01 CPI YoY 3.3 3.3 -0.000 High -0.00
2026-09-07 Employment Change YoY 0.5 0.5 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-09-07 Employment Change QoQ 0.1 0.1 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-09-10 Marginal Lending Rate 2.9 2.9 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-09-10 Deposit Facility Rate 2.5 2.5 +0.000 High +0.00
2026-09-10 Interest Rate Decision 2.65 2.65 +0.000 High +0.00

Sign in to InsiderStreet

You'll also get our free weekly newsletter with
smart money signals, market insights, and alpha ideas.
Unsubscribe anytime.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms