FCTE
SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF
1W: +0.9%
1M: +3.8%
3M: +1.2%
YTD: +17.3%
1Y: +11.9%
$29.48
+0.22 (+0.74%)
Weekly Expected Move ±2.2%
$28
$29
$29
$30
$31
Overview
Chart
Holdings
Changes
Technicals
Analysis
Peers
Institutions
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Dividends
Weather
Portfolio Health Summary
IS Overall Score
71.2
★★★★★
Altman Z-Score
17.95
Safe
Weight Coverage
100%
of portfolio analyzed
Holdings Matched
20
with fundamental data
InsiderStreet Scorecard
★★★★★
71.2
Top Holdings: Score Breakdown
Risk & Quality Signals
Altman Z-Score
17.95
Safe Zone (>2.99)
Piotroski F-Score
7.3 / 9
Strong
Beneish M-Score
-2.28
Unlikely Manipulator
Credit Score
—
Earnings Quality
71.6 / 100
Portfolio Valuation
P/E
38.62x
P/B
23.53x
P/S
9.32x
EV/EBITDA
28.21x
EV/Revenue
9.52x
P/FCF
39.30x
P/OCF
33.60x
PEG
3.20x
Earnings Yield
2.59%
FCF Yield
2.54%
OCF Yield
2.98%
Median P/E
37.43x
Growth & Shareholder Returns
Year-over-Year Growth
Revenue
+18.6%
Net Income
+22.2%
EPS
+15.8%
FCF
+49.6%
EBITDA
+27.0%
Op. Income
—
Compound Growth Rates
Rev CAGR 3Y
+10.7%
Rev CAGR 5Y
+11.3%
EPS CAGR 3Y
+12.1%
EPS CAGR 5Y
+12.0%
FCF CAGR 3Y
+20.6%
FCF CAGR 5Y
+14.0%
EBITDA CAGR 3Y
+14.7%
EBITDA CAGR 5Y
+14.0%
Payout Ratio
28.15%
Buyback Yield
1.22%
Dividend Yield
0.85%
Total Shareholder Return
1.93%
Earnings Stability
Monte Carlo Price Simulation
Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 566 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.
Current Price
$29.49
Median 1Y
$31.50
5th Pctile
$23.12
95th Pctile
$42.87
Ann. Volatility
18.1%
25th–75th percentile
5th–95th percentile
Median path
Historical
All Ratios & Metrics
Valuation (12)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Portfolio P/E | 38.62 |
| Portfolio P/B | 23.53 |
| Portfolio P/S | 9.32 |
| EV/EBITDA | 28.21 |
| EV/Revenue | 9.52 |
| P/FCF | 39.30 |
| P/OCF | 33.60 |
| PEG | 3.20 |
| Earnings Yield | 2.59% |
| FCF Yield | 2.54% |
| OCF Yield | 2.98% |
| Median P/E | 37.43 |
Profitability & Returns (9)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 50.42% |
| Operating Margin | 30.20% |
| Net Margin | 24.14% |
| FCF Margin | 23.73% |
| ROE | 69.32% |
| ROA | 22.41% |
| ROIC | 45.12% |
| ROCE | — |
| Asset Turnover | — |
Leverage & Solvency (6)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.78 |
| Debt/Assets | 0.27 |
| Net Debt/EBITDA | 0.46 |
| Interest Coverage | 46.98 |
| Current Ratio | 1.28 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.04 |
Efficiency (4)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | — |
| Inventory Turnover | — |
| Receivables Turnover | — |
| Payables Turnover | — |
Growth — YoY (6)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 18.62% |
| Net Income Growth | 22.23% |
| EPS Growth | 15.82% |
| FCF Growth | 49.61% |
| EBITDA Growth | 27.00% |
| Op. Income Growth | — |
Growth — CAGR (16)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue CAGR 3Y | 10.69% |
| Revenue CAGR 5Y | 11.29% |
| Revenue CAGR 10Y | — |
| EPS CAGR 3Y | 12.08% |
| EPS CAGR 5Y | 12.03% |
| EPS CAGR 10Y | — |
| FCF CAGR 3Y | 20.61% |
| FCF CAGR 5Y | 14.00% |
| FCF CAGR 10Y | — |
| EBITDA CAGR 3Y | 14.68% |
| EBITDA CAGR 5Y | 14.03% |
| EBITDA CAGR 10Y | — |
| Net Income CAGR 3Y | 14.28% |
| Net Income CAGR 5Y | 12.75% |
| Op. Income CAGR 3Y | — |
| Op. Income CAGR 5Y | — |
Quality Scores (13)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| IS Overall | 71.2 |
| IS Profitability | 80.4 |
| IS Balance Sheet | 71.0 |
| IS Earnings Quality | 71.6 |
| IS Growth | 65.2 |
| IS Value | 38.6 |
| IS Momentum | 84.0 |
| IS Safety | 95.1 |
| IS Quality | 81.8 |
| Altman Z-Score | 17.95 |
| Piotroski F-Score | 7.28 |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.28 |
| Credit Score | — |
Dividends & Payout (4)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.85% |
| Payout Ratio | 28.15% |
| Buyback Yield | 1.22% |
| Total Shareholder Return | 1.93% |
Growth Stability (4)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Stability | 0.748 |
| Earnings Stability | 0.578 |
| Earnings Persistence | 0.835 |
| Margin Stability | 0.948 |
Medians (3)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median P/E | 37.43 |
| Median P/B | 13.95 |
| Median Dividend Yield | — |
Coverage Meta (3)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Weight Coverage % | 99.82% |
| Holdings Matched | 20 |
| Total Holdings | 20 |