— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

ARFFX

Ariel Focus Investor
1W: -2.7% 1M: -8.4% 3M: -3.0% YTD: +7.0% 1Y: -4.6% 3Y: +47.2% 5Y: +31.5%
$18.89
+0.05 (+0.27%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±1.2%
$18 $19 $19 $19 $19
ETF NASDAQ · AUM $83.5M

Portfolio Health Summary

IS Overall Score
49.7
★★★★★
Altman Z-Score
2.42
Grey Zone
Weight Coverage
89%
of portfolio analyzed
Holdings Matched
27
with fundamental data

InsiderStreet Scorecard

★★★★★ 49.7
Profitability
48.4
Balance Sheet
54.1
Earnings Quality
63.6
Growth
49.0
Value
64.3
Momentum
65.6
Safety
61.8

Top Holdings: Score Breakdown

Risk & Quality Signals

Altman Z-Score
2.42
Grey Zone (1.81–2.99)
Piotroski F-Score
6.4 / 9
Moderate
Beneish M-Score
1.94
Possible Manipulator
Credit Score
—
Earnings Quality
63.6 / 100

Portfolio Valuation

P/E
12.52x
P/B
1.86x
P/S
2.29x
EV/EBITDA
13.53x
EV/Revenue
4.28x
P/FCF
8.30x
P/OCF
6.61x
PEG
1.35x
Earnings Yield
7.99%
FCF Yield
12.05%
OCF Yield
15.13%
Median P/E
18.53x

Growth & Shareholder Returns

Year-over-Year Growth

Revenue +14.2%
Net Income +28.7%
EPS +30.0%
FCF +20.4%
EBITDA +39.4%
Op. Income —

Compound Growth Rates

Rev CAGR 3Y +5.3%
Rev CAGR 5Y +5.1%
EPS CAGR 3Y +9.2%
EPS CAGR 5Y +5.1%
FCF CAGR 3Y +34.6%
FCF CAGR 5Y -0.1%
EBITDA CAGR 3Y +21.7%
EBITDA CAGR 5Y +3.0%
Payout Ratio
25.53%
Buyback Yield
2.83%
Dividend Yield
1.68%
Total Shareholder Return
4.16%

Earnings Stability

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$18.84
Median 1Y
$20.00
5th Pctile
$14.02
95th Pctile
$28.82
Ann. Volatility
22.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics
Valuation (12)
MetricValue
Portfolio P/E 12.52
Portfolio P/B 1.86
Portfolio P/S 2.29
EV/EBITDA 13.53
EV/Revenue 4.28
P/FCF 8.30
P/OCF 6.61
PEG 1.35
Earnings Yield 7.99%
FCF Yield 12.05%
OCF Yield 15.13%
Median P/E 18.53
Profitability & Returns (9)
MetricValue
Gross Margin 30.79%
Operating Margin 17.14%
Net Margin 18.21%
FCF Margin 26.02%
ROE 15.72%
ROA 2.45%
ROIC 7.67%
ROCE —
Asset Turnover —
Leverage & Solvency (6)
MetricValue
Debt/Equity 0.87
Debt/Assets 0.14
Net Debt/EBITDA 2.90
Interest Coverage 1.65
Current Ratio 1.03
Quick Ratio 0.85
Efficiency (4)
MetricValue
Asset Turnover —
Inventory Turnover —
Receivables Turnover —
Payables Turnover —
Growth — YoY (6)
MetricValue
Revenue Growth 14.25%
Net Income Growth 28.70%
EPS Growth 30.01%
FCF Growth 20.38%
EBITDA Growth 39.35%
Op. Income Growth —
Growth — CAGR (16)
MetricValue
Revenue CAGR 3Y 5.34%
Revenue CAGR 5Y 5.10%
Revenue CAGR 10Y —
EPS CAGR 3Y 9.24%
EPS CAGR 5Y 5.06%
EPS CAGR 10Y —
FCF CAGR 3Y 34.64%
FCF CAGR 5Y -0.06%
FCF CAGR 10Y —
EBITDA CAGR 3Y 21.73%
EBITDA CAGR 5Y 3.03%
EBITDA CAGR 10Y —
Net Income CAGR 3Y 7.27%
Net Income CAGR 5Y 2.91%
Op. Income CAGR 3Y —
Op. Income CAGR 5Y —
Quality Scores (13)
MetricValue
IS Overall 49.7
IS Profitability 48.4
IS Balance Sheet 54.1
IS Earnings Quality 63.6
IS Growth 49.0
IS Value 64.3
IS Momentum 65.6
IS Safety 61.8
IS Quality 63.6
Altman Z-Score 2.42
Piotroski F-Score 6.36
Beneish M-Score 1.94
Credit Score —
Dividends & Payout (4)
MetricValue
Dividend Yield 1.68%
Payout Ratio 25.53%
Buyback Yield 2.83%
Total Shareholder Return 4.16%
Growth Stability (4)
MetricValue
Revenue Stability 0.587
Earnings Stability 0.362
Earnings Persistence 0.707
Margin Stability 0.782
Medians (3)
MetricValue
Median P/E 18.53
Median P/B 1.70
Median Dividend Yield —
Coverage Meta (3)
MetricValue
Weight Coverage % 88.50%
Holdings Matched 27
Total Holdings 29

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms