— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

1046.HK HKSE

Universe Entertainment and Culture Group Company Limited
1W: -12.0% 1M: +95.6% 3M: +288.2% YTD: +340.0% 1Y: +300.0% 3Y: +94.1% 5Y: +212.0%
HK$1.31 ($0.17)
-0.01 (-0.38%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±13.0%
HK$1 HK$1 HK$1 HK$1 HK$2
HKSE · Communication Services · Entertainment · Tech Score Buy · Power 72 · HK$1.2B mcap · 236M float · 3.58% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C
Oct 05, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
3
P/E
1
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. 1046.HK receives an overall rating of C. Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-05 B- C
2026-10-02 B B-
2026-09-30 B- B
2026-09-25 B B-
2026-09-03 B- B
2026-08-21 B B-
2026-08-14 B- B
2026-07-14 None ADDED
2026-07-13 EXISTED None
2026-07-06 B B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 22 Grade D
Profitability
2
Balance Sheet
0
Earnings Quality
34
Growth
52
Value
32
Momentum
50
Safety
15
Cash Flow
24
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. 1046.HK scores highest in Growth (52/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.29
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
1.50
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.65
Bankruptcy prob: 1.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B+
Score: 31.5/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -0.17x
Accruals: -24.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. 1046.HK scores 0.29, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. 1046.HK scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. 1046.HK's score of 1.50 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. 1046.HK's implied 1.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. 1046.HK receives an estimated rating of B+ (score: 31.5/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-108.68x
PEG
0.05x
P/S
9.93x
P/B
5.17x
P/FCF
818.49x
P/OCF
10.26x
EV/EBITDA
0.73x
EV/Revenue
0.24x
EV/EBIT
-1.80x
EV/FCF
518.57x
Earnings Yield
-57.62%
FCF Yield
0.12%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. 1046.HK currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.021
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.602
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.134
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.944
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.587
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-53.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. 1046.HK's ROE of -53.4% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.944), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.02 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$1.32
Median 1Y
$1.08
5th Pctile
$0.26
95th Pctile
$4.55
Ann. Volatility
89.5%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
ROE 33.8% 6.7% -0.6% -1.9% -33.0% -18.4% -20.7% -23.8% -27.8% -20.6% -22.8% -10.1% 28.6% 12.4% 19.8% 0.4% -40.0% -34.6% -33.4% -53.4% -53.37%
ROA 24.2% 4.6% -0.4% -1.4% -23.8% -13.3% -15.5% -17.5% -17.8% -14.4% -16.4% -6.3% 14.3% 5.7% 8.9% 0.2% -16.9% -14.0% -13.6% -20.6% -20.63%
ROIC 1.0% 43.3% 55.3% 45.6% 1.5% -9.4% -18.5% -34.6% -73.6% -28.0% -61.8% -18.3% 1.5% 22.4% 35.9% -1.4% -27.5% -27.0% -19.3% -20.8% -20.81%
ROCE 34.7% 13.1% -2.8% -5.7% -41.5% -29.3% -39.7% -65.8% -83.0% -64.3% -53.5% -13.5% 29.6% 16.3% 23.2% 6.0% -52.4% -42.5% -39.2% -44.7% -44.74%
Gross Margin 90.0% 64.2% 63.6% 57.7% 60.6% 46.1% 62.2% 43.3% 3.7% 43.7% 21.5% 33.1% 44.1% 20.3% 16.0% 29.1% 11.5% 14.0% 31.2% 8.2% 8.17%
Operating Margin 82.0% 4.9% 5.0% -10.2% 8.3% -1.2% -67.0% -1.0% -2.1% 14.7% -21.4% 15.7% 33.9% -63.6% -28.8% -62.9% -10.8% 2.1% -16.2% -4.2% -4.23%
Net Margin 66.6% -1.3% -93.2% -53.6% -49.4% 1.0% -2.1% -1.6% -2.1% 19.6% -28.2% 20.4% 29.0% -58.6% -60.7% -76.3% -40.1% 0.2% -45.0% -29.8% -29.83%
EBITDA Margin 82.2% 7.1% -1.3% -81.9% -84.5% 37.9% -4.4% -3.0% -2.1% 38.8% -23.0% 54.3% 72.1% -51.1% -21.2% -38.6% 28.5% 77.8% -17.4% -3.9% -3.92%
FCF Margin -2.8% -36.4% -52.2% -54.0% -1.1% -79.3% -31.4% 60.7% 2.2% 95.2% 1.0% 33.8% 37.1% 27.1% -4.8% -10.9% -1.3% -28.0% -10.2% 0.0% 0.05%
OCF Margin -1.9% -35.3% -45.5% -47.9% -1.0% -67.2% -17.6% 77.2% 2.4% 1.2% 1.2% 69.8% 78.7% 1.4% 1.0% 1.3% 67.2% 5.9% 18.9% 3.7% 3.70%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -28.36%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -23.37%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -12.74%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -11.40%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -11.53%
Cash ROA snapshot only 5.46%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 23.07%
CROIC snapshot only 0.29%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -3.34%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -21.42%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 17.39%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
P/E Ratio 0.60 2.22 -20.42 -9.80 -0.91 -1.98 -1.64 -2.41 -2.15 -1.99 -1.82 -11.19 2.92 10.14 7.23 213.85 -1.42 -1.69 -3.21 -1.74 -108.678
P/S Ratio 0.15 0.18 0.14 0.23 0.70 1.05 1.03 1.87 2.81 0.93 0.91 1.13 0.45 0.88 0.77 0.65 0.74 0.42 0.70 0.38 9.927
P/B Ratio 0.14 0.11 0.08 0.13 0.23 0.32 0.31 0.73 1.09 0.70 0.74 1.39 0.73 1.19 1.30 0.85 0.71 0.71 1.29 1.27 5.171
P/FCF -5.57 -0.50 -0.27 -0.43 -0.61 -1.32 -3.27 3.08 1.26 0.97 0.87 3.35 1.21 3.24 -16.16 -6.00 -0.59 -1.49 -6.86 818.49 818.487
P/OCF — — — — — — — 2.43 1.16 0.81 0.78 1.62 0.57 0.62 0.76 0.48 1.10 7.02 3.70 10.26 10.257
EV/EBITDA -1.49 -0.94 -3.43 -4.52 1.06 1.11 0.97 -0.23 -0.78 -0.56 -0.47 4.45 -0.14 1.03 1.01 0.95 -19.29 0.29 1.09 0.73 0.732
EV/Revenue -0.61 -0.49 -0.86 -0.76 -0.77 -0.83 -1.04 0.33 1.55 0.39 0.21 0.78 -0.07 0.49 0.49 0.37 0.52 0.12 0.48 0.24 0.240
EV/EBIT -1.54 -2.01 18.70 7.22 0.61 0.84 0.79 -0.20 -0.73 -0.46 -0.31 -7.11 -0.39 4.05 3.55 8.15 -0.95 -0.50 -2.25 -1.80 -1.798
EV/FCF 22.08 1.34 1.65 1.41 0.68 1.04 3.32 0.54 0.70 0.41 0.20 2.32 -0.19 1.82 -10.23 -3.45 -0.41 -0.44 -4.73 518.57 518.571
Earnings Yield 1.7% 45.1% -4.9% -10.2% -1.1% -50.5% -60.9% -41.5% -46.5% -50.3% -55.1% -8.9% 34.2% 9.9% 13.8% 0.5% -70.5% -59.0% -31.2% -57.6% -57.62%
FCF Yield -18.0% -2.0% -3.7% -2.3% -1.6% -75.8% -30.6% 32.4% 79.1% 1.0% 1.1% 29.9% 82.8% 30.9% -6.2% -16.7% -1.7% -67.1% -14.6% 0.1% 0.12%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.055
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 6.086
EV/OCF snapshot only 6.498
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.831
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Current Ratio 4.22 2.48 2.04 2.90 2.50 3.62 5.19 3.02 1.05 1.19 1.03 0.99 1.11 0.55 0.42 0.29 0.30 0.51 0.46 0.73 0.734
Quick Ratio 4.17 2.41 2.00 2.86 2.48 3.58 5.14 2.96 1.02 1.15 0.99 0.97 1.09 0.54 0.41 0.28 0.29 0.50 0.45 0.73 0.729
Debt/Equity 0.02 0.10 0.02 0.06 0.05 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.034
Net Debt/Equity -0.71 -0.39 -0.60 -0.55 -0.49 -0.57 -0.62 -0.61 -0.49 -0.41 -0.57 -0.43 -0.85 -0.52 -0.48 -0.36 -0.21 -0.50 -0.40 -0.46 -0.464
Debt/Assets 0.01 0.07 0.01 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.015
Debt/EBITDA 0.04 0.34 0.12 0.64 -0.21 -0.11 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.09 -0.12 0.15 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.05 -1.19 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.031
Net Debt/EBITDA -1.87 -1.29 -3.98 -5.91 2.01 2.51 1.92 1.10 0.63 0.75 1.60 -1.96 -1.02 -0.80 -0.59 -0.70 8.22 -0.69 -0.49 -0.42 -0.424
Interest Coverage 1247.52 85.13 -8.55 -10.03 -51.52 -35.40 -39.74 -63.30 -102.71 -166.36 -711.30 -202.42 561.57 585.87 — 140.75 -467.51 -186.48 -109.26 -85.81 -85.808
Equity Multiplier 1.29 1.52 1.53 1.38 1.44 1.29 1.18 1.31 1.90 1.76 1.92 2.03 2.07 2.55 2.49 2.77 2.81 2.34 2.40 2.26 2.265
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.393
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 210.698
Cash to Debt snapshot only 14.786
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.046
Defensive Interval snapshot only 489.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Asset Turnover 0.94 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.31 0.25 0.25 0.23 0.14 0.31 0.33 0.63 0.93 0.66 0.83 0.55 0.33 0.57 0.62 0.94 0.944
Inventory Turnover 49.84 8.36 11.56 15.10 16.48 8.06 10.54 8.91 9.24 17.20 18.58 31.43 51.53 38.34 52.80 42.46 37.43 74.29 99.44 174.54 174.541
Receivables Turnover 27.40 6.15 3.60 10.04 1.95 2.66 2.16 4.16 0.86 3.01 5.54 5.33 13.82 12.50 15.25 5.64 4.16 22.49 22.63 18.58 18.576
Payables Turnover 54.45 1.15 0.77 1.28 2.71 1.04 0.89 1.15 1.72 4.23 12.68 31.07 16.10 14.73 21.21 16.54 8.25 19.92 26.24 39.07 39.065
DSO 13 59 101 36 187 137 169 88 424 121 66 68 26 29 24 65 88 16 16 20 19.6 days
DIO 7 44 32 24 22 45 35 41 40 21 20 12 7 10 7 9 10 5 4 2 2.1 days
DPO 7 318 473 285 135 351 408 318 212 86 29 12 23 25 17 22 44 18 14 9 9.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 14 -215 -340 -225 74 -168 -205 -189 252 56 57 68 11 14 14 51 53 3 6 12 12.4 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 22.007
Operating Cycle snapshot only 21.7 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 6.705
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.678
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Revenue 2.4% 68.9% 44.3% 77.7% -36.3% -30.8% -38.7% -55.0% -56.4% 2.2% 4.4% 1.2% 4.6% 1.0% 1.5% 6.4% -60.7% -11.5% -22.8% 46.7% 46.67%
Net Income 7.2% 6.0% 89.4% 78.9% -2.9% -5.5% -55.0% -13.7% 25.9% 9.7% 16.1% 72.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% -2.3% -3.5% -2.6% -106.4% -106.38%
EPS 4.4% 1.7% 98.9% 98.8% -1.1% -1.7% -9.0% -4.8% 55.6% 13.5% 16.1% 72.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% -2.3% -3.5% -2.6% -106.4% -106.38%
FCF -1.2% -2.2% -2.7% -12.2% -25.2% -51.0% 63.2% 1.5% 1.9% 2.2% 4.5% 19.8% -6.7% -42.5% -1.1% -1.3% -2.3% -1.9% -65.5% 1.0% 1.01%
EBITDA 8.2% 258.9% 7.6% 5.9% -2.1% -2.0% -3.6% -4.7% -19.0% 3.0% 57.4% 1.3% 2.4% 2.4% 3.8% 1.4% -1.0% -21.0% -28.6% 22.3% 22.33%
Op. Income 11.3% 10.8% 17.4% 13.1% -95.6% -1.2% -1.4% -1.4% -19.9% -70.3% -47.3% 47.3% 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% -1.7% -1.7% -1.4% -1.7% -1.68%
OCF Growth snapshot only -95.96%
Asset Growth snapshot only -52.96%
Equity Growth snapshot only -42.42%
Debt Growth snapshot only -19.31%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.00%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Revenue 3Y 33.6% 28.2% 29.2% 30.7% 10.7% 11.3% 10.1% 9.3% -1.5% 6.1% -2.6% 19.9% 15.8% 12.6% 17.5% 1.1% -1.4% 22.3% 26.8% 49.8% 49.84%
Revenue 5Y 43.4% 32.6% 23.3% 17.8% 10.5% 4.8% 0.4% -1.4% -7.9% 8.3% 6.7% 16.7% 27.1% 23.3% 28.7% 24.5% 16.0% 16.4% 12.5% 21.9% 21.88%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — -68.2% -40.5% — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y 92.0% -5.8% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — -2.6% 15.0% — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y 94.7% 25.8% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y 29.4% 31.5% 1.7% -12.6% — — — — — — — — 24.4% 9.5% 45.7% 34.1% — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y 1.1% 76.2% 30.6% -3.9% — — — — — — — -7.5% 23.3% 19.7% 27.2% 28.3% — — 80.0% — —
Gross Profit 3Y 82.7% 96.6% 1.0% 1.2% 83.4% 73.3% 62.6% 47.8% 8.9% 45.7% 11.7% 41.9% 3.4% -10.5% -9.3% -21.3% -37.2% -23.1% -16.5% -7.4% -7.35%
Gross Profit 5Y 80.0% 72.4% 57.4% 50.3% 32.4% 26.9% 24.2% 19.8% 3.4% 24.0% 22.0% 36.5% 58.4% 47.8% 48.0% 37.3% 2.4% 14.1% 2.8% 10.3% 10.33%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — -13.5% -30.6% -19.9% -41.2% — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y 6.4% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — 42.7% 52.2% 30.0% 28.3% — — — — — — — — -86.3% -86.31%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — 8.4% 43.7% 1.1% — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — 0.9% 23.1% 25.0% 33.2% — — — — — — — — -45.6% -45.57%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — 4.5% 19.4% 22.4% 22.8% 27.0% 49.1% 54.0% 43.0% 32.7% 2.6% -29.0% -5.7% — —
Assets 3Y 28.2% 51.3% 52.3% 60.3% 75.0% 66.8% 52.0% 28.2% 22.3% 18.9% 20.1% 24.0% 12.5% 1.3% -2.3% -4.2% -13.2% -16.0% -12.0% -11.9% -11.91%
Assets 5Y 18.1% 27.6% 25.1% 28.0% 31.8% 30.0% 25.1% 16.9% 15.6% 17.1% 16.0% 21.5% 31.1% 33.7% 28.4% 25.1% 19.1% 12.1% 13.3% 4.1% 4.14%
Equity 3Y 24.6% 38.3% 38.9% 50.2% 61.7% 61.8% 57.5% 36.2% 16.5% 8.9% 5.9% 4.6% -3.9% -14.8% -16.9% -24.0% -30.6% -31.1% -30.6% -26.6% -26.64%
Book Value 3Y 22.0% -14.7% -21.2% -34.8% -38.8% -46.8% -49.0% -59.4% -69.0% -70.8% -71.8% -70.2% -68.7% -55.9% -53.2% -44.1% -41.5% -32.1% -30.6% -26.6% -26.64%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — -77.4% — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Revenue Stability 0.56 0.84 0.79 0.46 0.31 0.35 0.17 0.12 0.01 0.27 0.10 0.30 0.21 0.48 0.44 0.47 0.24 0.68 0.48 0.76 0.755
Earnings Stability 0.16 0.01 0.21 0.32 0.14 0.24 0.37 0.40 0.24 0.38 0.54 0.20 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.01 0.07 0.071
Margin Stability 0.39 0.13 0.23 0.21 0.44 0.26 0.33 0.35 0.60 0.41 0.46 0.39 0.56 0.50 0.50 0.53 0.55 0.45 0.56 0.50 0.501
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.94 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend 0.36 0.13 0.13 0.13 -0.33 -0.17 -0.14 -0.22 -0.50 -0.30 -0.31 0.03 0.63 0.37 0.48 0.22 -0.37 -0.30 -0.29 -0.67 -0.670
Gross Margin Trend 0.36 0.61 0.56 0.56 0.18 0.12 0.06 0.06 -0.19 -0.26 -0.29 -0.31 -0.10 -0.12 -0.12 -0.09 -0.25 -0.25 -0.21 -0.23 -0.231
FCF Margin Trend -0.26 -0.56 -0.68 -0.64 -1.43 -0.87 -0.28 0.91 2.81 1.53 1.46 0.30 -0.17 0.19 -0.41 -0.58 -2.55 -0.89 -0.60 -0.11 -0.114
Sustainable Growth Rate 33.8% 6.7% — — — — — — — — — — 28.6% 12.4% 19.8% 0.4% — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate 32.0% 4.8% — — — — — — — — — — 16.7% 6.0% 9.7% 0.2% — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.08 -4.35 66.51 20.15 1.33 1.27 0.28 -0.99 -1.86 -2.47 -2.34 -6.92 5.13 16.30 9.50 441.83 -1.29 -0.24 -0.87 -0.17 -0.169
FCF/OCF 1.42 1.03 1.15 1.13 1.11 1.18 1.78 0.79 0.92 0.83 0.89 0.48 0.47 0.19 -0.05 -0.08 -1.86 -4.71 -0.54 0.01 0.013
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.002
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.113
CapEx/Revenue 0.8% 1.0% 6.7% 6.1% 11.1% 12.1% 13.8% 16.5% 20.3% 19.9% 13.3% 36.1% 41.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 1.9% 33.9% 29.1% 3.5% 3.48%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.075
Accruals Ratio 0.26 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.08 0.04 -0.11 -0.35 -0.51 -0.50 -0.55 -0.50 -0.59 -0.87 -0.75 -0.73 -0.39 -0.17 -0.25 -0.24 -0.241
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.091
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.064
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 62.9% 97.8% 1.4% 1.6% 24.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.30 $0.45 $0.45 $0.45 $0.15 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — 1.9% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 81.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 0 — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — -0.26 — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -1.1% -3.2% -6.9% -4.0% -2.1% -1.0% -65.2% -23.6% -4.5% -4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return -1.1% -3.2% -6.9% -4.0% -2.1% -1.0% -65.2% 39.4% 93.3% 1.3% 1.6% 24.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.77 0.91 47.09 5.61 0.90 1.00 1.01 0.99 0.98 0.92 0.99 0.95 0.83 0.69 0.78 0.07 0.95 0.99 1.01 1.02 1.021
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.85 0.37 0.00 0.04 0.67 0.54 0.47 0.47 0.63 0.58 0.76 0.96 1.01 1.02 0.99 0.96 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.60 1.602
EBIT Margin 0.40 0.24 -0.05 -0.11 -1.27 -0.98 -1.32 -1.68 -2.13 -0.86 -0.67 -0.11 0.18 0.12 0.14 0.05 -0.54 -0.25 -0.21 -0.13 -0.134
Asset Turnover 0.94 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.31 0.25 0.25 0.23 0.14 0.31 0.33 0.63 0.93 0.66 0.83 0.55 0.33 0.57 0.62 0.94 0.944
Equity Multiplier 1.40 1.47 1.47 1.34 1.39 1.39 1.34 1.35 1.56 1.43 1.39 1.60 2.00 2.18 2.23 2.40 2.37 2.47 2.45 2.59 2.587
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $4.38 $0.29 $-0.02 $-0.03 $-0.48 $-0.19 $-0.19 $-0.20 $-0.21 $-0.17 $-0.16 $-0.06 $0.14 $0.06 $0.09 $0.00 $-0.19 $-0.16 $-0.14 $-0.19 $-0.19
Book Value/Share $18.21 $6.19 $4.66 $2.55 $1.87 $1.19 $1.01 $0.65 $0.42 $0.47 $0.39 $0.44 $0.56 $0.53 $0.48 $0.45 $0.37 $0.37 $0.34 $0.26 $0.25
Tangible Book/Share $17.54 $5.18 $3.87 $2.24 $1.70 $1.10 $0.88 $0.55 $0.08 $0.14 $0.07 $0.06 $0.16 $-0.28 $-0.33 $-0.49 $-0.40 $-0.17 $0.34 $0.05 $0.05
Revenue/Share $16.98 $3.63 $2.79 $1.42 $0.63 $0.36 $0.30 $0.25 $0.16 $0.36 $0.32 $0.55 $0.91 $0.72 $0.81 $0.58 $0.36 $0.64 $0.62 $0.86 $0.13
FCF/Share $-0.47 $-1.32 $-1.46 $-0.77 $-0.71 $-0.29 $-0.10 $0.15 $0.36 $0.34 $0.33 $0.19 $0.34 $0.19 $-0.04 $-0.06 $-0.45 $-0.18 $-0.06 $0.00 $0.02
OCF/Share $-0.33 $-1.28 $-1.27 $-0.68 $-0.64 $-0.24 $-0.05 $0.20 $0.40 $0.41 $0.37 $0.38 $0.72 $1.01 $0.81 $0.79 $0.24 $0.04 $0.12 $0.03 $0.02
Cash/Share $13.30 $3.07 $2.88 $1.57 $1.02 $0.71 $0.63 $0.39 $0.21 $0.21 $0.24 $0.20 $0.50 $0.30 $0.24 $0.17 $0.09 $0.19 $0.15 $0.13 $0.23
EBITDA/Share $6.96 $1.88 $0.70 $0.24 $-0.46 $-0.27 $-0.33 $-0.36 $-0.33 $-0.25 $-0.14 $0.10 $0.46 $0.34 $0.39 $0.23 $-0.01 $0.27 $0.28 $0.28 $0.28
Debt/Share $0.30 $0.65 $0.08 $0.15 $0.10 $0.03 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.02 $0.02 $0.01 $0.02 $0.03 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01
Net Debt/Share $-13.01 $-2.42 $-2.80 $-1.42 $-0.92 $-0.68 $-0.63 $-0.39 $-0.21 $-0.19 $-0.22 $-0.19 $-0.48 $-0.28 $-0.23 $-0.16 $-0.08 $-0.19 $-0.13 $-0.12 $-0.12
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.290
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -3.469
Piotroski F-Score 5 3 2 2 0 2 3 4 4 3 4 5 8 7 7 6 4 5 4 5 5
Beneish M-Score 2.64 6.31 0.99 1.89 10.39 -2.64 -3.49 -4.81 0.91 -3.16 -1.34 1.72 2.90 -6.12 22.42 -6.76 -2.74 0.85 -4.09 1.50 1.500
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.645
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-0.09
EVA snapshot only $-38365180.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B+
Credit Score 82.83 65.80 35.00 35.57 35.84 36.42 37.36 45.25 41.60 41.85 43.17 47.90 76.32 72.45 54.12 57.19 24.84 26.46 24.90 31.53 31.530
Credit Grade snapshot only 14
Credit Trend snapshot only -25.658
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 650.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 31
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 21

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