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1419.T JPX

Tama Home Co., Ltd.
1W: -0.9% 1M: +0.2% 3M: -4.7% YTD: -25.4% 1Y: -22.1% 3Y: -10.3% 5Y: +51.9%
¥2,864.00 ($18.12)
-25.00 (-0.87%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±1.7%
¥2788 ¥2839 ¥2889 ¥2939 ¥2990
JPX · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction · Tech Score Neutral · Power 39 · ¥83.7B mcap · 14M float · 1.28% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
2
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. 1419.T receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (2/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-24 None ADDED
2026-09-23 EXISTED None
2026-07-16 B- C+
2026-07-01 B B-
2026-05-29 B- B
2026-05-11 B B-
2026-05-07 None ADDED
2026-05-06 EXISTED None
2026-04-13 B- B
2026-04-01 C+ B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 26 Grade C
Profitability
26
Balance Sheet
84
Earnings Quality
86
Growth
5
Value
38
Momentum
29
Safety
100
Cash Flow
14
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. 1419.T scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Growth (5/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
4.06
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-1.97
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.81
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A
Score: 72.3/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
50/100
OCF/NI: 0.80x
Accruals: 0.3%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. 1419.T scores 4.06, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. 1419.T scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. 1419.T's score of -1.97 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. 1419.T's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. 1419.T receives an estimated rating of A (score: 72.3/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). 1419.T's score of 50/100 is moderate — some divergence between reported earnings and underlying cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
68.76x
PEG
-3.84x
P/S
0.42x
P/B
2.81x
P/FCF
-25871.98x
P/OCF
87.63x
EV/EBITDA
17.18x
EV/Revenue
0.46x
EV/EBIT
31.94x
EV/FCF
-22883.98x
Earnings Yield
1.43%
FCF Yield
-0.00%
Shareholder Yield
7.90%
Graham Number
$1164.18
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 68.8x earnings, 1419.T is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $1164.18 per share, 148% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.530
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.973
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.014
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
2.208
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.507
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
4.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. 1419.T's ROE of 4.1% is driven by Asset Turnover (2.208), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.53 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$433.38
Price/Value
8.24x
Margin of Safety
-723.75%
Premium
723.75%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with 1419.T's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. 1419.T trades at a 724% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $433.38, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 68.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$2889.00
Median 1Y
$3244.35
5th Pctile
$1805.56
95th Pctile
$5827.56
Ann. Volatility
34.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
ROE 26.6% 28.3% 28.0% 30.3% 34.0% 33.1% 30.4% 29.1% 30.9% 29.8% 28.6% 26.5% 25.9% 19.2% 14.2% 23.9% 17.3% 15.9% 13.6% 4.1% 4.07%
ROA 5.2% 5.7% 5.7% 7.1% 7.8% 7.5% 7.2% 8.1% 8.4% 7.8% 7.9% 8.0% 7.8% 5.7% 4.2% 8.7% 5.6% 5.3% 4.0% 1.6% 1.63%
ROIC 27.3% 41.3% 41.1% 89.5% 68.4% 91.7% 54.0% 57.5% 64.6% 87.3% 40.1% 46.4% 28.7% 22.6% 13.0% 40.6% 22.5% 23.5% 14.9% 9.8% 9.85%
ROCE 24.3% 26.3% 27.2% 33.2% 39.0% 35.8% 33.9% 31.1% 34.5% 32.4% 31.1% 31.4% 31.3% 25.3% 18.5% 29.2% 20.0% 19.0% 13.9% 6.0% 6.04%
Gross Margin 23.9% 24.2% 24.3% 23.5% 24.2% 22.9% 22.1% 22.7% 23.0% 23.9% 24.7% 24.6% 22.4% 24.5% 23.6% 24.1% 23.1% 25.5% 25.7% 26.5% 26.46%
Operating Margin 3.0% 5.3% 3.9% 6.8% 5.3% 5.2% 2.5% 6.2% 4.8% 5.9% 2.0% 6.8% 2.6% 2.7% -3.9% 11.7% -10.2% 2.6% -8.8% 11.8% 11.77%
Net Margin 2.9% 3.4% 2.6% 3.9% 3.5% 3.6% 1.6% 4.6% 3.3% 3.9% 1.1% 4.4% 1.8% 1.6% -2.9% 8.4% -6.9% 1.2% -7.0% 7.1% 7.09%
EBITDA Margin 4.1% 6.2% 4.9% 6.6% 6.1% 5.5% 3.3% 7.1% 5.8% 6.6% 2.9% 7.4% 3.9% 3.6% -2.2% 12.4% -8.8% 3.7% -7.5% 11.4% 11.35%
FCF Margin 2.6% 1.2% -0.2% 1.7% 3.4% 5.1% 6.7% 5.2% 3.8% 2.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 1.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.7% -0.0% -0.00%
OCF Margin 3.5% 2.3% 1.0% 2.8% 4.4% 5.9% 7.3% 6.0% 4.4% 2.9% 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.4% 1.8% 1.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.59%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 17.39%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 21.28%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.40%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 17.72%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 4.46%
Cash ROA snapshot only 1.28%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 5.30%
CROIC snapshot only -0.02%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.09%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 1.39%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 23.40%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
P/E Ratio 6.00 5.86 7.12 7.19 7.83 6.88 7.25 7.32 7.18 7.26 10.23 10.57 12.15 15.14 25.24 13.20 21.43 20.29 22.97 70.02 68.762
P/S Ratio 0.15 0.16 0.20 0.24 0.27 0.24 0.23 0.25 0.24 0.25 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.47 0.47 0.49 0.44 0.42 0.52 0.422
P/B Ratio 1.49 1.52 1.83 1.97 2.41 2.08 2.03 1.96 2.06 1.99 2.76 2.64 3.07 2.92 3.65 3.02 3.72 3.27 3.20 3.02 2.811
P/FCF 5.67 13.90 -89.22 14.17 7.81 4.71 3.52 4.80 6.35 9.93 25.60 23.10 22.33 20.87 25.70 24.91 41.36 131.87 64.25 -25871.98 -25871.976
P/OCF 4.10 7.05 19.38 8.51 6.10 4.05 3.19 4.22 5.57 8.67 22.24 23.10 22.33 20.87 22.13 19.81 27.89 45.57 34.30 87.63 87.627
EV/EBITDA 3.37 2.60 3.25 2.77 3.47 2.79 3.31 3.24 3.17 2.81 5.26 4.97 6.44 7.46 12.13 6.48 10.81 9.28 10.88 17.18 17.182
EV/Revenue 0.15 0.13 0.17 0.16 0.21 0.16 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.31 0.30 0.36 0.36 0.49 0.40 0.46 0.40 0.42 0.46 0.456
EV/EBIT 4.16 3.14 3.85 3.21 3.95 3.07 3.66 3.56 3.49 3.18 6.02 5.71 7.57 9.18 15.98 7.63 14.22 12.33 15.35 31.94 31.939
EV/FCF 6.05 11.43 -75.21 9.33 6.11 3.22 2.73 3.48 4.61 6.50 22.50 19.12 21.52 19.92 26.54 21.25 38.97 119.15 63.94 -22883.98 -22883.976
Earnings Yield 16.7% 17.1% 14.0% 13.9% 12.8% 14.5% 13.8% 13.7% 13.9% 13.8% 9.8% 9.5% 8.2% 6.6% 4.0% 7.6% 4.7% 4.9% 4.4% 1.4% 1.43%
FCF Yield 17.6% 7.2% -1.1% 7.1% 12.8% 21.2% 28.4% 20.8% 15.7% 10.1% 3.9% 4.3% 4.5% 4.8% 3.9% 4.0% 2.4% 0.8% 1.6% -0.0% -0.00%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 3.119
EV/OCF snapshot only 77.507
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.791
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 22.250
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 7.90%
Graham Number snapshot only $1164.18
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Current Ratio 1.09 1.11 1.11 1.09 1.09 1.12 1.14 1.21 1.18 1.20 1.22 1.22 1.20 1.18 1.19 1.42 1.19 1.27 1.27 1.51 1.507
Quick Ratio 0.55 0.61 0.60 0.62 0.60 0.60 0.53 0.59 0.55 0.60 0.47 0.56 0.41 0.45 0.30 0.65 0.46 0.48 0.45 0.77 0.770
Debt/Equity 1.43 1.14 1.09 0.58 0.67 0.73 0.63 0.54 0.51 0.52 0.55 0.53 0.56 0.58 0.58 0.24 0.44 0.29 0.70 0.56 0.556
Net Debt/Equity 0.10 -0.27 -0.29 -0.67 -0.52 -0.66 -0.46 -0.54 -0.57 -0.69 -0.33 -0.46 -0.11 -0.13 0.12 -0.44 -0.22 -0.32 -0.02 -0.35 -0.349
Debt/Assets 0.29 0.24 0.23 0.15 0.17 0.18 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.17 0.10 0.15 0.11 0.20 0.21 0.206
Debt/EBITDA 3.03 2.38 2.30 1.23 1.23 1.43 1.33 1.24 1.07 1.12 1.20 1.20 1.22 1.56 1.86 0.60 1.36 0.92 2.38 3.58 3.576
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.21 -0.56 -0.61 -1.44 -0.96 -1.29 -0.96 -1.24 -1.20 -1.49 -0.73 -1.04 -0.24 -0.36 0.39 -1.12 -0.66 -0.99 -0.05 -2.24 -2.243
Interest Coverage 35.39 39.25 41.89 48.06 64.53 78.92 76.90 79.98 72.22 69.61 67.05 69.84 61.52 48.76 36.74 69.82 43.62 45.93 34.97 14.19 14.188
Equity Multiplier 4.88 4.68 4.72 3.83 3.99 4.17 3.85 3.40 3.46 3.52 3.46 3.20 3.22 3.27 3.38 2.34 2.94 2.75 3.45 2.70 2.695
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.691
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 26.374
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.627
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.000
Defensive Interval snapshot only 257.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Asset Turnover 2.17 2.06 1.99 2.16 2.27 2.18 2.22 2.35 2.46 2.24 2.30 2.36 2.52 2.27 2.23 2.46 2.47 2.44 2.17 2.21 2.208
Inventory Turnover 4.53 4.60 4.15 4.94 4.91 4.78 4.45 5.10 5.14 4.67 4.01 4.51 4.35 4.07 3.33 4.68 4.13 4.12 3.22 4.40 4.397
Receivables Turnover 178.03 172.38 177.80 44.31 40.52 50.70 66.11 38.76 43.56 51.96 67.38 75.90 199.71 169.53 118.55 117.77 199.53 184.97 116.15 115.35 115.346
Payables Turnover 12.76 10.98 11.25 11.22 12.54 10.80 11.72 11.66 12.16 10.27 11.63 11.12 11.61 10.23 11.93 10.54 12.39 11.07 13.10 9.44 9.438
DSO 2 2 2 8 9 7 6 9 8 7 5 5 2 2 3 3 2 2 3 3 3.2 days
DIO 81 79 88 74 74 76 82 72 71 78 91 81 84 90 110 78 88 88 113 83 83.0 days
DPO 29 33 32 33 29 34 31 31 30 36 31 33 31 36 31 35 29 33 28 39 38.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 54 48 58 50 54 50 56 50 49 50 65 53 54 56 82 46 61 57 89 47 47.5 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 10.753
Operating Cycle snapshot only 86.2 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 6.478
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.460
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 3.0% 2.6% 0.0% 4.2% 8.7% 12.5% 14.1% 10.4% 9.2% 7.0% 2.9% 6.4% 1.4% -3.0% -5.0% -3.3% -7.7% -6.1% -6.6% -18.9% -18.94%
Net Income -20.7% 30.8% 0.5% 40.3% 53.4% 41.3% 29.3% 15.6% 8.4% 7.4% 8.9% 5.2% -7.8% -30.4% -48.0% 0.4% -31.5% -18.1% -8.5% -83.1% -83.11%
EPS -19.4% 32.8% 0.5% 40.3% 53.4% 41.9% 30.0% 16.2% 8.9% 7.5% 9.4% 6.4% -6.8% -29.6% -47.6% 0.4% -31.5% -18.1% -8.5% -83.1% -83.11%
FCF -24.1% -73.3% -1.0% -55.8% 45.5% 3.9% 34.4% 2.5% 22.0% -46.3% -78.9% -68.4% -55.6% -30.9% 27.8% 16.4% -34.8% -82.6% -66.7% -1.0% -1.00%
EBITDA -12.6% 28.4% 2.8% 20.4% 42.6% 28.3% 18.9% 10.5% 0.8% 7.6% 9.7% 13.2% 2.0% -20.2% -34.6% -0.8% -29.7% -16.4% -10.6% -65.0% -64.96%
Op. Income -19.1% 18.1% 1.4% 11.4% 36.8% 27.8% 18.3% 8.1% -3.8% -1.1% -0.2% 11.5% -1.4% -24.8% -42.8% -5.1% -36.9% -23.2% -11.7% -67.3% -67.31%
OCF Growth snapshot only -79.75%
Asset Growth snapshot only 3.03%
Equity Growth snapshot only -10.57%
Debt Growth snapshot only 1.08%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.00%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 2.69%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 3Y 9.6% 8.0% 7.9% 9.1% 9.5% 9.5% 10.2% 8.8% 6.9% 7.3% 5.5% 7.0% 6.4% 5.3% 3.7% 4.3% 0.7% -0.8% -3.0% -5.9% -5.87%
Revenue 5Y 7.7% 8.2% 8.4% 9.5% 10.0% 10.3% 9.8% 8.9% 9.3% 8.7% 8.1% 8.8% 7.8% 6.4% 5.5% 5.8% 2.7% 2.4% 0.8% -0.8% -0.82%
EPS 3Y 60.4% 46.9% 53.3% 52.9% 42.7% 21.0% 20.3% 29.1% 10.4% 26.6% 12.6% 20.1% 15.9% 2.4% -9.4% 7.5% -11.4% -14.7% -19.4% -43.5% -43.50%
EPS 5Y — — — — — 86.2% 50.1% 56.6% 47.1% 37.1% 38.6% 34.6% 24.1% 6.1% -0.0% 18.1% -3.0% 3.2% -7.3% -21.7% -21.72%
Net Income 3Y 59.3% 45.9% 52.3% 51.9% 41.7% 20.1% 19.5% 28.2% 9.6% 25.7% 12.3% 19.5% 15.3% 1.9% -9.8% 6.9% -11.9% -15.1% -19.7% -43.7% -43.70%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — 85.3% 49.3% 55.8% 46.4% 36.4% 37.8% 33.6% 23.3% 5.3% -0.7% 17.3% -3.6% 2.5% -7.6% -22.0% -21.97%
EBITDA 3Y 35.0% 29.1% 29.7% 39.0% 39.0% 20.6% 22.3% 25.6% 7.9% 21.0% 10.3% 14.6% 13.6% 3.3% -5.1% 7.5% -10.2% -10.5% -13.7% -26.7% -26.72%
EBITDA 5Y 53.6% 58.8% 58.1% 54.6% 48.5% 38.5% 29.0% 30.2% 28.8% 24.4% 23.3% 27.4% 22.5% 8.5% 5.6% 17.3% -2.0% 3.4% -4.7% -12.1% -12.14%
Gross Profit 3Y 6.9% 6.2% 6.4% 8.2% 9.1% 7.1% 7.3% 6.3% 3.5% 6.1% 5.2% 7.3% 7.2% 5.9% 3.8% 4.1% 0.6% -0.1% -1.2% -2.6% -2.57%
Gross Profit 5Y 6.1% 6.6% 7.0% 8.0% 8.2% 8.1% 7.5% 6.7% 7.1% 6.9% 6.8% 8.4% 7.5% 5.4% 4.5% 5.1% 1.9% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.46%
Op. Income 3Y 30.8% 24.4% 23.5% 33.2% 34.8% 18.3% 20.3% 17.3% 2.1% 14.3% 6.2% 10.3% 9.1% -1.7% -12.3% 4.6% -15.7% -17.0% -20.4% -29.8% -29.80%
Op. Income 5Y 49.2% 52.7% 48.4% 43.6% 39.7% 33.1% 26.4% 25.0% 24.1% 19.5% 17.4% 23.3% 18.4% 4.3% -0.1% 11.3% -7.9% -2.9% -9.6% -16.1% -16.06%
FCF 3Y — — — — 1.6% 92.1% 76.7% 36.6% 10.5% -11.1% -32.8% -21.5% -7.6% 22.0% — 8.4% -29.3% -59.9% -55.2% — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 56.3% 21.4% 8.3% -1.3% -17.2% -39.0% -33.6% — —
OCF 3Y — — — 1.7% 80.0% 64.4% 57.7% 30.2% 8.2% -11.5% -32.3% -26.3% -17.1% -2.7% 31.5% -1.3% -25.8% -45.6% -46.6% -56.5% -56.53%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — 2.5% — — — — 67.7% 19.8% 7.3% 2.2% -2.2% -13.8% -26.8% -26.5% -34.7% -34.70%
Assets 3Y 4.8% 5.7% 4.6% 3.4% 3.1% 5.0% 2.4% 5.5% 2.7% 4.4% 2.4% 3.1% -0.4% -0.3% -2.3% -3.7% -3.7% -8.8% -2.3% -4.2% -4.23%
Assets 5Y 3.5% 4.8% 4.4% 3.6% 2.2% 4.4% 2.3% 4.7% 3.1% 5.0% 2.4% 4.2% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% -0.8% -2.9% -0.3% -1.9% -1.92%
Equity 3Y 20.2% 20.2% 23.3% 19.1% 22.8% 17.5% 21.0% 19.4% 18.4% 19.9% 17.2% 18.1% 14.5% 12.4% 9.1% 13.6% 6.6% 4.8% 1.4% 3.5% 3.52%
Book Value 3Y 21.0% 21.0% 24.2% 19.9% 23.6% 18.4% 21.8% 20.2% 19.2% 20.7% 17.5% 18.7% 15.1% 13.0% 9.7% 14.2% 7.2% 5.2% 1.7% 3.9% 3.89%
Dividend 3Y 12.2% 2.7% -4.8% 2.5% 9.5% 16.3% 22.7% 19.3% 4.1% -11.3% -28.8% — — — 8.1% — — — 1.1% 55.1% 55.07%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue Stability 0.93 0.98 0.95 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.96 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.96 0.99 0.98 0.90 0.80 0.89 0.57 0.40 0.08 0.00 0.004
Earnings Stability 0.90 0.94 0.95 0.99 0.90 0.94 0.94 0.99 0.88 0.93 0.92 0.97 0.72 0.45 0.08 0.90 0.02 0.02 0.18 0.06 0.059
Margin Stability 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.96 0.962
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.92 0.88 1.00 0.84 0.50 0.83 0.88 0.94 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.98 0.97 0.88 0.81 1.00 0.87 0.93 0.97 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.77 0.73 0.99 0.66 0.58 0.66 0.74 0.86 0.92 0.93 0.91 0.95 0.92 0.64 0.37 1.00 0.63 0.80 0.91 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend -0.03 -0.00 -0.04 0.05 0.00 0.05 -0.00 0.01 0.01 -0.01 0.00 -0.02 -0.05 -0.10 -0.13 -0.03 -0.10 -0.07 -0.07 -0.20 -0.196
Gross Margin Trend -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.015
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.02 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.02 0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.017
Sustainable Growth Rate 20.0% 22.4% 22.7% 24.5% 27.0% 25.7% 22.3% 21.1% 24.4% 25.5% 26.1% 26.5% 25.9% 19.2% 11.3% 17.9% 1.0% -8.8% -13.8% -18.5% -18.48%
Internal Growth Rate 4.1% 4.7% 4.8% 6.1% 6.6% 6.2% 5.5% 6.2% 7.1% 7.2% 7.7% 8.8% 8.4% 6.0% 3.4% 7.0% 0.3% — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.46 0.83 0.37 0.85 1.28 1.70 2.28 1.74 1.29 0.84 0.46 0.46 0.54 0.73 1.14 0.67 0.77 0.45 0.67 0.80 0.799
FCF/OCF 0.72 0.51 -0.22 0.60 0.78 0.86 0.91 0.88 0.88 0.87 0.87 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.86 0.80 0.67 0.35 0.53 -0.00 -0.003
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.003
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.222
CapEx/Revenue 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.59%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.481
Accruals Ratio -0.02 0.01 0.04 0.01 -0.02 -0.05 -0.09 -0.06 -0.02 0.01 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.02 -0.01 0.03 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.003
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.014
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.126
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.500
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Dividend Yield 4.1% 3.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.6% 3.3% 3.7% 3.8% 2.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 1.9% 4.4% 7.6% 8.8% 7.9% 4.34%
Dividend/Share $42.25 $40.48 $38.70 $46.51 $54.32 $62.40 $70.29 $77.83 $60.26 $42.68 $25.20 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $31.56 $76.51 $171.39 $266.27 $279.65 $282.18 $125.00
Payout Ratio 24.7% 20.7% 19.0% 19.1% 20.7% 22.5% 26.6% 27.5% 21.1% 14.3% 8.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 20.8% 25.3% 94.0% 1.6% 2.0% 5.5% 5.53%
FCF Payout Ratio 23.4% 49.2% — 37.7% 20.6% 15.4% 12.9% 18.1% 18.7% 19.6% 21.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 21.2% 47.8% 1.8% 10.1% 5.6% — —
Total Payout Ratio 33.6% 32.4% 33.9% 28.5% 26.5% 25.3% 26.6% 28.9% 22.4% 15.6% 10.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 26.5% 28.2% 98.8% 1.6% 2.0% 5.5% 5.53%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
Chowder Number 0.43 0.10 -0.13 0.08 0.31 0.57 0.84 0.70 0.13 -0.30 -0.63 — — — 0.25 — — — 7.95 2.77 2.767
Buyback Yield 1.5% 2.0% 2.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 1.5% 2.0% 2.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 5.6% 5.5% 4.8% 4.0% 3.4% 3.7% 3.7% 3.9% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 2.1% 4.6% 7.9% 8.8% 7.9% 7.90%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.67 0.67 0.66 0.69 0.65 0.66 0.66 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.66 0.66 0.65 0.63 0.69 0.72 0.68 0.68 0.53 0.530
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.97 0.973
EBIT Margin 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.014
Asset Turnover 2.17 2.06 1.99 2.16 2.27 2.18 2.22 2.35 2.46 2.24 2.30 2.36 2.52 2.27 2.23 2.46 2.47 2.44 2.17 2.21 2.208
Equity Multiplier 5.07 4.98 4.94 4.27 4.39 4.40 4.25 3.60 3.70 3.82 3.64 3.29 3.33 3.39 3.42 2.75 3.08 3.01 3.42 2.51 2.507
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $170.97 $195.11 $203.39 $243.35 $262.26 $276.93 $264.42 $282.65 $285.69 $297.77 $289.17 $300.64 $266.28 $209.53 $151.48 $301.91 $182.28 $171.59 $138.54 $50.99 $50.99
Book Value/Share $690.29 $753.20 $792.37 $887.43 $850.87 $915.40 $943.52 $1053.50 $993.37 $1083.49 $1071.85 $1203.07 $1053.32 $1087.02 $1046.56 $1321.08 $1048.50 $1064.95 $993.65 $1181.41 $1024.60
Tangible Book/Share $662.31 $725.43 $762.57 $855.08 $818.24 $878.89 $906.15 $1015.41 $954.67 $1044.56 $1032.63 $1163.26 $1013.34 $1046.52 $1006.34 $1281.34 $1009.41 $1026.69 $956.18 $1144.60 $1144.60
Revenue/Share $7068.32 $7081.05 $7143.96 $7404.04 $7681.27 $7997.58 $8192.28 $8215.86 $8433.10 $8563.69 $8465.33 $8833.37 $8642.78 $8400.79 $8097.07 $8545.97 $7977.55 $7889.93 $7558.66 $6927.54 $6821.44
FCF/Share $180.85 $82.31 $-16.23 $123.49 $263.21 $404.67 $545.43 $430.73 $322.83 $217.59 $115.58 $137.50 $144.89 $151.99 $148.80 $160.05 $94.43 $26.41 $49.54 $-0.14 $-2.62
OCF/Share $249.97 $162.34 $74.72 $205.75 $336.78 $469.82 $601.91 $490.52 $368.50 $249.14 $133.08 $137.50 $144.89 $151.99 $172.77 $201.23 $140.03 $76.42 $92.80 $40.74 $31.94
Cash/Share $915.88 $1064.78 $1090.07 $1109.49 $1014.91 $1268.74 $1026.30 $1142.19 $1064.89 $1307.45 $949.52 $1184.03 $709.11 $776.52 $480.95 $900.54 $689.80 $647.88 $706.77 $1069.43 $730.51
EBITDA/Share $324.69 $362.14 $375.44 $415.91 $463.17 $466.74 $448.59 $462.08 $469.28 $502.69 $494.01 $528.94 $484.09 $405.61 $325.61 $524.52 $340.31 $338.95 $291.10 $183.78 $183.78
Debt/Share $983.75 $861.83 $862.72 $512.09 $569.29 $667.90 $595.83 $571.04 $502.18 $560.81 $590.68 $636.32 $591.51 $632.08 $607.00 $315.20 $464.33 $312.20 $691.63 $657.13 $657.13
Net Debt/Share $67.86 $-202.95 $-227.36 $-597.40 $-445.62 $-600.84 $-430.47 $-571.14 $-562.72 $-746.65 $-358.85 $-547.70 $-117.60 $-144.44 $126.05 $-585.34 $-225.47 $-335.69 $-15.14 $-412.31 $-412.31
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 4.057
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 4.659
Piotroski F-Score 5 6 6 7 9 8 8 7 8 8 8 7 5 5 4 7 5 7 5 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.46 -2.38 -2.25 -2.41 -2.47 -2.81 -3.21 -3.20 -3.12 -2.97 -2.99 -2.51 -2.39 -1.82 -2.19 -2.73 -3.07 -3.07 -3.13 -1.97 -1.966
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.812
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 6.92%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $329.27
EVA snapshot only $-33792682.93
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A
Credit Score 63.87 61.82 61.18 72.66 80.74 84.58 85.03 89.01 90.72 83.22 75.40 77.25 78.23 76.00 76.09 95.25 80.82 81.44 73.01 72.32 72.315
Credit Grade snapshot only 6
Credit Trend snapshot only -22.933
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 150.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 64
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 65

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