— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

1428.HK HKSE

Bright Smart Securities & Commodities Group Limited
1W: -5.6% 1M: -8.7% 3M: -6.2% YTD: -26.0% 1Y: -47.7% 3Y: +498.2% 5Y: +954.0%
HK$6.70 ($0.85)
-0.14 (-2.12%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.1%
HK$6 HK$6 HK$7 HK$7 HK$7
HKSE · Financial Services · Financial - Capital Markets · Tech Score Sell · Power 34 · HK$11.4B mcap · 838M float · 1.21% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. 1428.HK receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-07-24 B+ B
2026-07-02 B B+
2026-04-08 None ADDED
2026-04-07 EXISTED None
2026-02-24 B- B
2026-02-24 B B-
2026-02-24 B- B
2026-01-12 B B-
2026-01-06 B- B
2026-01-03 B B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 41 Grade B
Profitability
95
Balance Sheet
45
Earnings Quality
68
Growth
16
Value
77
Momentum
43
Safety
100
Cash Flow
64
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. 1428.HK scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Growth (16/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
8.25
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.46
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.40
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA-
Score: 82.1/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.16x
Accruals: -2.5%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. 1428.HK scores 8.25, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. 1428.HK scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. 1428.HK's score of -2.46 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. 1428.HK's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. 1428.HK receives an estimated rating of AA- (score: 82.1/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). 1428.HK's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
17.17x
PEG
2.06x
P/S
8.95x
P/B
5.23x
P/FCF
3.78x
P/OCF
3.42x
EV/EBITDA
5.99x
EV/Revenue
4.16x
EV/EBIT
4.92x
EV/FCF
6.97x
Earnings Yield
25.11%
FCF Yield
26.43%
Shareholder Yield
30.07%
Graham Number
$3.71
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 17.2x earnings, 1428.HK trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 25.1% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $3.71 per share, 80% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.917
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.731
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.845
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.269
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
4.765
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
72.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. 1428.HK's ROE of 72.7% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 4.76x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.92 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
7.12%
Fair P/E
22.75x
Intrinsic Value
$15.77
Price/Value
0.18x
Margin of Safety
82.50%
Premium
-82.50%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with 1428.HK's realized 7.1% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. At an intrinsic value of $15.77, 1428.HK appears undervalued with a 82% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 22.7x compares to the current market P/E of 17.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$6.70
Median 1Y
$7.47
5th Pctile
$1.86
95th Pctile
$30.40
Ann. Volatility
83.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
ROE 38.7% 35.8% 37.5% 30.3% 28.1% 33.7% 37.3% 37.4% 35.8% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 2.6% 3.1% 2.5% 2.1% 1.5% 60.2% 67.6% 72.7% 72.71%
ROA 9.3% 10.6% 9.8% 4.5% 7.2% 8.6% 12.4% 11.7% 10.1% 24.6% 20.8% 44.7% 70.1% 83.7% 28.7% 34.0% 26.4% 14.0% 15.1% 15.3% 15.26%
ROIC 15.4% 13.5% 13.3% 9.2% 6.4% 7.5% 14.5% 15.0% 16.4% 20.5% 3.8% 8.5% 10.8% 14.0% 17.3% 21.7% 23.1% 31.1% 44.3% 29.6% 29.57%
ROCE 27.7% 25.5% 21.7% 13.9% 7.4% 7.1% 12.4% 13.6% 15.0% 17.7% 4.6% 11.3% 15.8% 18.9% 19.9% 19.4% 19.6% 51.3% 22.5% 1.2% 1.17%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 83.0% 84.0% 85.3% 85.9% 85.5% 84.2% 83.4% 87.6% 88.5% 85.5% 1.0% 73.4% 73.39%
Operating Margin 61.1% 44.9% 51.6% 50.0% 58.2% 60.2% 57.7% 53.2% 58.2% 44.8% 47.9% 43.1% 43.3% 45.1% 56.4% 75.5% 70.3% 89.5% 84.2% 1.0% 1.01%
Net Margin 49.5% 39.6% 42.8% 41.5% 53.0% 54.8% 50.5% 47.7% 42.0% 2.9% 2.4% 2.0% 2.5% 2.9% 42.7% 58.9% 47.1% 55.5% 58.6% 69.5% 69.49%
EBITDA Margin -1.6% 0.2% -1.8% -2.2% 3.6% 3.4% -0.8% 1.0% 67.2% 72.3% 73.5% 71.2% 68.7% 67.1% 63.4% 81.1% 75.8% 0.5% 89.9% 1.1% 1.07%
FCF Margin 1.6% 10.0% -32.2% 6.7% -4.0% -3.4% -45.2% 83.1% 2.3% 3.4% -8.6% -2.1% -63.6% -44.2% 8.1% 3.6% 1.8% 1.6% 1.7% 59.6% 59.61%
OCF Margin 1.6% 11.7% -30.4% 6.8% -4.0% -3.4% -43.7% 85.9% 2.4% 3.4% -8.5% -2.1% -62.6% -43.3% 8.1% 3.6% 1.8% 1.6% 1.7% 66.0% 66.00%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.86%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 1.24%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 33.56%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 41.64%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 27.38%
Cash ROA snapshot only 17.82%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 25.16%
CROIC snapshot only 22.73%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 77.57%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 61.76%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 10.49%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
P/E Ratio 1.08 1.06 1.54 1.16 1.11 0.87 0.52 0.59 0.41 0.19 0.25 0.23 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.35 0.79 1.99 3.06 3.98 17.167
P/S Ratio 0.47 0.46 0.68 0.51 0.50 0.43 0.27 0.30 0.20 0.22 0.44 0.46 0.32 0.30 0.26 0.57 0.85 1.02 1.68 2.26 8.953
P/B Ratio 0.30 0.28 0.44 0.31 0.28 0.26 0.17 0.19 0.13 0.23 0.55 0.57 0.40 0.35 0.27 0.81 1.74 1.62 3.22 3.12 5.231
P/FCF 0.29 4.60 -2.11 0.08 -0.12 -0.12 -0.59 0.37 0.09 0.06 -0.05 -0.22 -0.50 -0.69 0.03 0.16 0.47 0.66 1.01 3.78 3.784
P/OCF 0.29 3.95 — 0.08 — — — 0.35 0.09 0.06 — — — — 0.03 0.16 0.46 0.65 1.01 3.42 3.418
EV/EBITDA -253.56 -314.43 -228.60 -264.93 3330.27 401.19 166.38 110.80 9.57 4.08 19.82 6.50 3.92 2.80 2.45 3.04 3.87 4.22 4.25 5.99 5.994
EV/Revenue 1.76 2.10 2.48 3.82 5.71 5.21 2.15 2.06 1.76 1.56 11.52 4.64 2.80 1.97 1.67 2.14 2.80 2.51 2.78 4.16 4.156
EV/EBIT 1.50 1.83 2.44 4.41 9.07 9.33 3.77 3.57 3.05 2.73 19.59 6.88 4.23 3.04 2.61 3.56 4.36 3.46 3.53 4.92 4.915
EV/FCF 1.10 20.93 -7.72 0.57 -1.41 -1.51 -4.75 2.47 0.75 0.46 -1.35 -2.17 -4.40 -4.45 0.21 0.60 1.54 1.62 1.67 6.97 6.971
Earnings Yield 92.6% 94.0% 64.8% 86.2% 90.0% 1.1% 1.9% 1.7% 2.4% 5.3% 3.9% 4.4% 7.6% 7.9% 7.7% 2.9% 1.3% 50.4% 32.7% 25.1% 25.11%
FCF Yield 3.4% 21.7% -47.5% 13.2% -8.1% -8.0% -1.7% 2.7% 11.5% 15.4% -19.6% -4.6% -2.0% -1.5% 30.8% 6.3% 2.1% 1.5% 99.2% 26.4% 26.43%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 2.060
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 3.131
EV/OCF snapshot only 6.297
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 4.745
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 4.915
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 30.07%
Graham Number snapshot only $3.71
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Current Ratio 13.18 11.84 18.96 17.97 9.21 8.25 9.79 11.98 9.21 7.34 4.69 4.05 6.32 6.11 7.76 9.77 7.41 0.12 9.62 1.22 1.217
Quick Ratio 13.18 11.84 18.96 17.97 9.21 8.25 9.79 -0.26 9.21 7.34 4.69 4.05 6.32 6.11 7.76 9.77 7.41 0.12 9.62 1.22 1.217
Debt/Equity 1.08 1.25 1.46 2.32 3.14 3.10 1.42 1.25 1.15 1.67 14.14 5.40 3.47 2.13 1.71 2.58 4.39 2.68 2.65 2.95 2.945
Net Debt/Equity 0.81 1.01 1.16 2.05 2.97 2.90 1.22 1.11 1.01 1.39 13.90 5.17 3.16 1.90 1.47 2.25 4.00 2.38 2.12 2.63 2.627
Debt/Assets 0.40 0.45 0.48 0.60 0.65 0.65 0.48 0.46 0.46 0.49 0.88 0.73 0.65 0.54 0.51 0.58 0.65 0.55 0.39 0.58 0.575
Debt/EBITDA -247.49 -305.47 -209.18 -260.04 3220.93 392.74 170.21 106.12 9.61 4.19 19.40 6.12 3.81 2.65 2.41 2.57 2.96 2.83 2.11 3.07 3.072
Net Debt/EBITDA -185.54 -245.25 -166.23 -229.58 3039.23 368.12 145.82 94.44 8.47 3.50 19.07 5.86 3.47 2.36 2.07 2.24 2.70 2.51 1.69 2.74 2.740
Interest Coverage — — — — — — — — 20.07 8.20 5.51 4.71 4.62 5.02 5.44 6.24 5.61 7.06 9.49 14.37 14.369
Equity Multiplier 2.69 2.79 3.03 3.87 4.87 4.79 2.99 2.69 2.51 3.40 16.08 7.44 5.37 3.95 3.38 4.46 6.77 4.90 6.79 5.12 5.121
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.077
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 11.784
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.108
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.280
Defensive Interval snapshot only 13555.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Asset Turnover 0.21 0.24 0.22 0.10 0.16 0.17 0.24 0.23 0.21 0.21 0.12 0.22 0.29 0.35 0.14 0.21 0.25 0.27 0.28 0.27 0.269
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — 0.00 — — — 1.96 — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover (trade) — — — — — — — — 0.57 0.70 0.16 0.35 0.32 0.39 0.15 0.22 0.27 0.52 0.31 0.30 0.297
Payables Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.12 0.21 0.24 0.30 0.26 0.26 0.21 0.20 0.32 0.08 0.16 0.165
DSO (trade) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 638 521 2286 1049 1152 943 2459 1632 1375 707 1186 1230 1229.9 days
DIO — — — — — — — — 0 0 0 186 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO — — — — — — — — 5162 3078 1735 1493 1224 1423 1431 1768 1799 1133 4313 2215 2215.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle (trade) — — — — — — — — -4524 -2558 551 -258 -71 -480 1029 -136 -425 -425 -3127 -986 -985.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 33.704
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.344
Capital Intensity snapshot only 3.704
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 96.2% 69.8% 55.4% 39.0% 10.1% 27.9% 32.1% 36.3% 46.8% 23.7% 26.3% 42.3% 44.2% 42.7% 18.8% -6.1% -13.3% -18.3% -13.0% -16.1% -16.05%
Net Income 1.7% 1.1% 82.0% 55.1% 13.1% 44.9% 52.6% 60.2% 60.0% 2.0% 3.3% 4.5% 6.1% 1.9% 39.9% -24.3% -61.4% -82.6% -76.3% -70.7% -70.70%
EPS 66.1% 58.7% 33.2% 49.1% 12.9% 44.9% 52.6% 60.2% 60.0% 2.0% 3.3% 4.5% 6.1% 1.9% 39.9% -24.3% -61.4% -82.6% -76.3% -70.7% -70.70%
FCF 1.6% 1.1% 77.3% 1.7% -3.8% -44.8% -85.8% -83.2% 1.8% 2.2% -22.9% -4.7% -1.4% -1.2% 2.1% 2.6% 3.5% 3.9% -82.1% -86.0% -85.97%
EBITDA -1.1% -1.2% -9.9% -31.0% 1.3% 3.5% 2.6% 2.8% 156.1% 35.4% 55.8% 53.7% 4.6% 1.6% 39.1% -7.2% -12.2% -31.1% -16.3% -17.4% -17.40%
Op. Income 1.6% 1.1% 86.8% 58.2% 8.7% 37.9% 43.2% 48.4% 63.2% 17.5% 11.5% 17.9% 12.1% 20.4% 9.2% 8.7% 21.1% 31.9% 48.0% 28.6% 28.60%
OCF Growth snapshot only -84.51%
Asset Growth snapshot only -0.50%
Equity Growth snapshot only -13.41%
Debt Growth snapshot only -1.10%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.00%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -10.75%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 3Y — — 1.7% 1.0% 72.6% 62.5% 61.6% 54.1% 46.9% 39.0% 37.4% 39.2% 32.6% 31.2% 25.6% 22.1% 22.4% 13.0% 9.3% 3.9% 3.90%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — 99.7% 74.2% 61.2% 49.9% 44.7% 37.4% 31.7% 25.6% 21.8% 16.3% 16.27%
EPS 3Y — — 88.0% 70.1% 51.9% 53.7% 60.1% 59.8% 44.2% 90.0% 1.1% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.1% 88.7% 63.8% 14.4% 12.2% 7.1% 7.12%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 99.1% 89.5% 76.5% 52.5% 28.1% 23.5% 24.0% 24.04%
Net Income 3Y — — 1.7% 1.3% 1.0% 98.3% 1.1% 89.0% 70.1% 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.1% 88.7% 63.8% 14.4% 12.2% 7.1% 7.12%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% 1.3% 1.2% 95.2% 68.3% 35.5% 31.4% 25.0% 25.02%
EBITDA 3Y — — — — -72.2% -48.7% -47.8% -35.6% 54.4% 1.5% 8.3% — — — — — 8.2% 3.0% 3.0% 2.5% 2.47%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — 98.3% 91.0% 80.2% 66.8% 62.2% 68.5% 78.5% 94.3% 2.9% — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — 1.7% 1.0% 72.6% 62.5% 61.6% 54.1% 44.7% 34.7% 31.3% 31.7% 25.7% 24.4% 19.0% 15.8% 16.4% 7.6% 5.6% -0.6% -0.59%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — 94.3% 68.5% 56.1% 45.2% 40.0% 33.1% 27.8% 22.0% 19.3% 13.2% 13.23%
Op. Income 3Y — — 1.5% 1.1% 85.6% 81.8% 90.3% 79.1% 67.4% 50.5% 43.9% 40.4% 25.7% 24.9% 20.3% 23.9% 30.3% 23.1% 21.7% 18.1% 18.12%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — 91.2% 75.3% 63.5% 53.4% 53.0% 49.1% 44.8% 40.2% 36.9% 31.1% 31.07%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -1.2% — — — -7.0% -6.99%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -1.2% — — — -4.8% -4.84%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.3% — — — — — —
Assets 3Y — — 16.9% 69.3% 1.0% 99.6% 64.7% 35.1% 6.6% 11.9% 71.1% -4.0% 32.0% 19.7% 11.0% -3.2% -10.9% -17.6% -0.1% -0.7% -0.69%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — 48.7% 55.3% 52.9% 43.8% 36.3% 19.4% 5.3% 8.9% 7.4% -15.5% -15.55%
Equity 3Y — — 71.8% 70.8% 71.5% 74.8% 57.9% 56.9% 54.6% 23.7% 19.1% 7.0% 4.9% 6.6% 6.9% -7.6% -20.1% -18.2% -24.0% -19.9% -19.91%
Book Value 3Y — — 20.2% 27.4% 28.0% 35.5% 22.4% 32.6% 31.1% 12.6% 7.3% 5.6% 4.8% 6.7% 6.9% -7.6% -20.1% -18.2% -24.0% -19.9% -19.91%
Dividend 3Y — — -11.1% -5.2% -13.6% -10.3% -12.0% -4.0% -0.6% 90.8% 82.7% 1.0% 92.7% -24.9% -41.7% -7.1% 2.4% 46.9% 88.1% -3.7% -3.72%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue Stability 0.98 0.99 1.00 1.00 0.95 0.99 1.00 1.00 0.95 0.99 1.00 0.98 0.95 0.97 1.00 0.94 0.88 0.83 0.84 0.59 0.588
Earnings Stability 0.93 0.97 0.95 0.97 0.94 0.99 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.78 0.65 0.59 0.55 0.69 0.82 0.71 0.44 0.29 0.33 0.23 0.231
Margin Stability 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.98 0.95 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.92 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.915
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.95 0.82 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.84 0.90 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.07 0.29 0.42 0.57 0.88 0.63 0.58 0.54 0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.67 0.72 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend 0.08 0.04 0.06 0.07 -0.00 0.04 0.03 0.08 0.05 0.95 1.84 2.19 2.79 1.98 0.86 0.91 0.51 -1.17 -1.07 -1.62 -1.619
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.04 -0.09 -0.13 -0.15 -0.13 -0.10 -0.09 -0.07 -0.04 -0.02 0.04 0.03 0.026
FCF Margin Trend 5.25 1.91 0.81 14.07 -2.18 -2.18 0.81 3.93 3.56 5.10 -8.17 -5.92 0.22 -0.43 12.60 4.22 0.97 0.06 1.90 -0.12 -0.121
Sustainable Growth Rate 30.3% 28.2% 27.2% 22.1% 19.7% 26.1% 27.4% 28.2% 25.0% 31.1% 81.9% 1.3% 1.8% 2.8% 2.3% 1.3% 24.5% -52.5% -71.7% -14.4% -14.36%
Internal Growth Rate 7.8% 9.1% 7.6% 3.4% 5.3% 7.1% 10.0% 9.7% 7.6% 8.0% 11.2% 39.2% 95.6% 3.0% 36.2% 26.0% 4.4% — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
OCF/Net Income 3.73 0.27 -0.69 15.36 -8.97 -6.95 -0.86 1.66 4.83 2.90 -4.99 -1.06 -0.26 -0.18 4.02 2.20 1.70 3.05 3.04 1.16 1.165
FCF/OCF 0.98 0.86 1.06 1.00 1.01 1.00 1.03 0.97 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.90 0.903
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.052
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.952
CapEx/Revenue 2.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 2.2% 1.6% 1.5% 2.8% 2.2% 2.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.4% 0.40%
Accruals Ratio -0.25 0.08 0.17 -0.65 0.72 0.68 0.23 -0.08 -0.39 -0.47 1.24 0.92 0.88 0.99 -0.87 -0.41 -0.18 -0.29 -0.31 -0.03 -0.025
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.139
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.967
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Dividend Yield 20.2% 19.9% 17.9% 23.3% 26.9% 25.9% 50.5% 42.0% 72.4% 3.7% 2.0% 1.6% 2.3% 80.9% 56.2% 1.1% 1.1% 94.2% 67.4% 30.1% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.07 $0.07 $0.09 $0.09 $0.10 $0.10 $0.14 $0.14 $0.17 $0.97 $1.16 $1.16 $1.21 $0.41 $0.23 $0.93 $1.30 $1.30 $1.53 $0.83 $0.00
Payout Ratio 21.8% 21.1% 27.5% 27.0% 29.9% 22.6% 26.4% 24.7% 30.1% 70.0% 51.6% 37.1% 30.3% 10.3% 7.3% 39.3% 84.2% 1.9% 2.1% 1.2% 1.20%
FCF Payout Ratio 5.9% 91.5% — 1.8% — — — 15.3% 6.3% 24.2% — — — — 1.8% 17.9% 49.7% 61.7% 67.9% 1.1% 1.14%
Total Payout Ratio 21.8% 21.1% 27.5% 27.0% 29.9% 22.6% 26.4% 24.7% 30.1% 70.0% 51.6% 37.1% 30.3% 10.3% 7.3% 39.3% 84.2% 1.9% 2.1% 1.2% 1.20%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 2.06 2.56 1.23 1.28 0.82 0.81 0.97 0.88 1.33 11.97 9.36 8.96 8.46 0.23 -0.24 0.93 1.14 3.11 6.33 0.19 0.193
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 20.2% 19.9% 17.9% 23.3% 26.9% 25.9% 50.5% 42.0% 72.4% 3.7% 2.0% 1.6% 2.3% 80.9% 56.2% 1.1% 1.1% 94.2% 67.4% 30.1% 30.07%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.84 0.85 0.85 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.88 3.19 8.19 22.40 — — 20.30 5.80 2.56 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.917
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.44 0.45 0.51 0.59 0.83 1.02 1.03 1.03 0.97 0.65 0.36 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.46 0.65 0.78 0.76 0.73 0.731
EBIT Margin 1.17 1.15 1.02 0.87 0.63 0.56 0.57 0.58 0.58 0.57 0.59 0.67 0.66 0.65 0.64 0.60 0.64 0.72 0.79 0.85 0.845
Asset Turnover 0.21 0.24 0.22 0.10 0.16 0.17 0.24 0.23 0.21 0.21 0.12 0.22 0.29 0.35 0.14 0.21 0.25 0.27 0.28 0.27 0.269
Equity Multiplier 4.18 3.39 3.83 6.71 3.89 3.92 3.00 3.20 3.54 4.21 8.15 4.69 3.72 3.71 8.61 6.10 5.86 4.30 4.48 4.76 4.765
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.31 $0.32 $0.34 $0.35 $0.35 $0.46 $0.53 $0.56 $0.56 $1.38 $2.24 $3.12 $4.00 $4.00 $3.14 $2.37 $1.54 $0.69 $0.74 $0.69 $0.69
Book Value/Share $1.13 $1.20 $1.22 $1.30 $1.38 $1.55 $1.60 $1.72 $1.77 $1.12 $1.04 $1.26 $1.30 $1.46 $1.49 $1.02 $0.70 $0.85 $0.70 $0.88 $1.28
Tangible Book/Share $1.13 $1.20 $1.22 $1.33 $1.37 $1.55 $1.60 $1.72 $1.76 $1.12 $1.04 $1.25 $1.30 $1.45 $1.49 $1.02 $0.70 $0.85 $0.70 $0.88 $0.88
Revenue/Share $0.71 $0.74 $0.79 $0.80 $0.78 $0.94 $1.04 $1.09 $1.15 $1.17 $1.31 $1.55 $1.66 $1.66 $1.56 $1.46 $1.44 $1.36 $1.35 $1.22 $0.75
FCF/Share $1.14 $0.07 $-0.25 $5.39 $-3.17 $-3.24 $-0.47 $0.91 $2.69 $4.00 $-11.21 $-3.31 $-1.05 $-0.74 $12.60 $5.20 $2.62 $2.11 $2.25 $0.73 $-0.24
OCF/Share $1.16 $0.09 $-0.24 $5.41 $-3.15 $-3.23 $-0.45 $0.94 $2.71 $4.02 $-11.18 $-3.30 $-1.04 $-0.72 $12.61 $5.21 $2.63 $2.12 $2.26 $0.81 $-0.24
Cash/Share $0.31 $0.30 $0.37 $0.35 $0.24 $0.30 $0.33 $0.24 $0.24 $0.31 $0.25 $0.29 $0.40 $0.34 $0.37 $0.34 $0.27 $0.26 $0.37 $0.28 $0.30
EBITDA/Share $-0.00 $-0.00 $-0.01 $-0.01 $0.00 $0.01 $0.01 $0.02 $0.21 $0.45 $0.76 $1.11 $1.18 $1.17 $1.06 $1.03 $1.04 $0.81 $0.89 $0.85 $0.85
Debt/Share $1.22 $1.50 $1.78 $3.00 $4.32 $4.81 $2.28 $2.15 $2.03 $1.87 $14.77 $6.78 $4.51 $3.10 $2.56 $2.63 $3.07 $2.28 $1.87 $2.61 $2.61
Net Debt/Share $0.92 $1.21 $1.42 $2.65 $4.08 $4.51 $1.95 $1.91 $1.78 $1.56 $14.52 $6.48 $4.11 $2.77 $2.19 $2.30 $2.80 $2.02 $1.50 $2.32 $2.32
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 8.248
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 3.740
Piotroski F-Score 5 4 4 7 1 2 4 6 7 6 3 3 5 5 8 8 7 4 7 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.80 -1.93 -1.35 -7.49 0.10 0.97 -0.96 -2.61 -4.54 -5.80 2.19 2.01 1.60 2.04 -13.15 -6.45 -4.18 -5.64 -4.13 -2.46 -2.464
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.403
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 1.25%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $0.79
EVA snapshot only $1066007277.33
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA-
Credit Score 87.77 82.85 82.13 89.48 81.84 81.42 81.86 85.04 90.00 89.50 74.39 79.23 78.44 80.09 89.26 89.49 89.69 89.15 89.82 82.07 82.070
Credit Grade snapshot only 4
Credit Trend snapshot only -7.421
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 100.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 76
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 80

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms