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200869.SZ SHZ

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Company Limited
1W: +1.0% 1M: +2.7% 3M: -3.3% YTD: +1.4% 1Y: -10.7% 3Y: -17.5% 5Y: -36.2%
HK$7.97 ($1.02)
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
SHZ · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · Tech Score Neutral · Power 54 · HK$12.0B mcap · 317M float · 0.139% daily turnover

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade B
Profitability
17
Balance Sheet
88
Earnings Quality
74
Growth
16
Value
—
Momentum
52
Safety
—
Cash Flow
85

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-3.16
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-10.77
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A
Score: 71.2/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 20.08x
Accruals: -4.2%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. 200869.SZ scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. 200869.SZ's score of -3.16 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. 200869.SZ's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. 200869.SZ receives an estimated rating of A (score: 71.2/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). 200869.SZ's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
419.95x
PEG
-4.66x
P/S
2.52x
P/B
1.08x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$3.82
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 420.0x earnings, 200869.SZ is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $3.82 per share, 109% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.279
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.866
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.036
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.255
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.156
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
0.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. 200869.SZ's ROE of 0.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.255), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.28 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$0.35
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with 200869.SZ's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. 200869.SZ trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $0.35, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 420.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$7.97
Median 1Y
$7.35
5th Pctile
$5.38
95th Pctile
$10.06
Ann. Volatility
19.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 5.0% 4.8% 4.7% 4.7% 4.6% 4.3% 4.0% 4.3% 4.1% 5.0% 3.8% 3.7% 3.1% 2.8% 2.8% 2.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.26%
ROA 3.9% 3.8% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.4% 3.3% 3.5% 3.4% 4.0% 3.2% 3.1% 2.6% 2.4% 2.4% 2.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.22%
ROIC 5.1% 5.1% 5.2% 5.1% 4.9% 4.4% 4.1% 4.5% 4.5% 5.6% 4.4% 4.2% 3.6% 3.4% 3.4% 3.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.28%
ROCE 6.9% 6.7% 6.6% 6.4% 6.2% 5.8% 5.4% 5.9% 5.9% 7.0% 5.7% 5.6% 4.7% 4.2% 4.1% 3.8% 3.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 1.04%
Gross Margin 55.4% 58.6% 62.7% 50.9% 56.5% 56.2% 58.7% 59.5% 59.1% 59.5% 59.2% 62.8% 54.9% 54.4% 58.4% 61.3% 55.0% 45.1% 57.1% 53.8% 53.83%
Operating Margin 14.0% 7.6% 33.6% 10.4% 12.0% 4.1% 31.5% 15.0% 11.7% 10.1% 27.2% 13.1% 0.4% 10.2% 27.8% 7.2% 0.2% -15.0% 24.8% -0.2% -0.21%
Net Margin 10.0% 3.8% 24.9% 8.6% 8.8% 1.4% 24.5% 10.4% 7.3% 6.8% 19.6% 8.7% 0.4% 7.5% 19.6% 4.0% 0.3% -13.3% 16.9% -1.2% -1.15%
EBITDA Margin 24.7% 13.4% 39.9% 21.8% 21.4% 12.8% 38.7% 25.6% 22.3% 16.8% 37.6% 14.3% 0.9% 11.8% 28.1% 7.7% 12.9% 0.8% 24.8% 12.7% 12.75%
FCF Margin 21.5% 22.8% 22.9% 20.3% 13.6% 6.6% 5.5% 10.4% 14.0% 22.4% 15.7% 18.0% 13.8% 9.9% 13.2% 12.1% 16.0% 11.1% 16.2% 16.7% 16.68%
OCF Margin 27.0% 28.5% 27.8% 25.7% 19.0% 11.7% 11.2% 14.3% 17.6% 25.5% 19.0% 21.5% 17.1% 6.2% 8.9% 7.4% 11.3% 12.2% 17.2% 17.4% 17.43%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.17%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 3.08%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.87%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.77%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 0.23%
Cash ROA snapshot only 4.50%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 6.18%
CROIC snapshot only 5.91%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 0.80%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 3.11%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.73%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 23.13%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 419.951
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.525
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.078
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Graham Number snapshot only $3.82
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.28 2.26 2.61 2.40 2.64 2.74 3.25 3.01 2.90 2.79 3.61 3.60 3.60 3.43 4.25 4.05 3.86 3.76 4.25 4.07 4.071
Quick Ratio 0.98 1.09 1.29 1.13 1.15 1.30 1.61 1.36 1.34 1.50 1.86 1.57 1.52 1.65 2.06 1.85 1.76 1.81 2.15 1.99 1.986
Debt/Equity 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.044
Net Debt/Equity -0.03 -0.05 -0.08 -0.10 -0.08 -0.08 -0.10 -0.09 -0.12 -0.15 -0.14 -0.12 -0.12 -0.14 -0.15 -0.14 -0.14 -0.15 -0.16 -0.16 -0.158
Debt/Assets 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.038
Debt/EBITDA 1.05 0.97 0.95 0.86 0.87 0.80 0.79 0.68 0.64 0.54 0.54 0.45 0.54 0.55 0.66 0.76 0.80 1.01 0.99 1.16 1.159
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.32 -0.53 -0.80 -1.03 -0.83 -0.92 -1.20 -1.01 -1.27 -1.48 -1.58 -1.48 -1.86 -2.79 -3.47 -3.71 -2.99 -4.12 -4.80 -4.13 -4.132
Interest Coverage 24.83 25.62 25.48 27.21 34.94 28.14 26.48 27.12 22.32 21.75 18.03 18.27 16.71 15.19 17.75 16.00 16.85 9.65 8.32 5.28 5.284
Equity Multiplier 1.28 1.29 1.25 1.27 1.24 1.25 1.20 1.20 1.21 1.23 1.17 1.16 1.17 1.18 1.15 1.16 1.16 1.16 1.15 1.16 1.156
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.555
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 18.893
Cash to Debt snapshot only 4.566
FCF to Debt snapshot only 1.121
Defensive Interval snapshot only 628.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.33 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.255
Inventory Turnover 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.59 0.58 0.59 0.62 0.58 0.55 0.63 0.60 0.54 0.51 0.49 0.50 0.48 0.46 0.47 0.50 0.51 0.506
Receivables Turnover 22.57 16.65 24.22 20.83 24.59 12.34 20.26 18.37 23.57 7.72 17.31 20.61 15.15 6.17 14.20 18.22 9.35 11.11 8.75 10.80 10.799
Payables Turnover 3.85 3.39 3.44 3.97 3.71 3.37 4.14 3.84 3.37 3.66 4.55 3.87 3.23 3.13 4.21 3.72 3.23 3.66 4.40 4.39 4.392
DSO 16 22 15 18 15 30 18 20 15 47 21 18 24 59 26 20 39 33 42 34 33.8 days
DIO 644 637 642 615 624 620 590 632 665 579 607 673 713 743 730 768 800 773 737 722 721.7 days
DPO 95 108 106 92 98 108 88 95 108 100 80 94 113 117 87 98 113 100 83 83 83.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 565 551 551 541 541 541 520 556 572 526 547 596 624 685 669 690 726 707 695 672 672.4 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.575
Operating Cycle snapshot only 755.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.473
Capital Intensity snapshot only 3.874
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 5.3% 17.0% 7.4% 4.7% 5.7% -0.9% -2.5% -2.5% -4.5% 11.9% 4.6% 0.2% -3.3% -25.3% -19.4% -18.1% -15.5% -9.2% -7.4% -4.9% -4.91%
Net Income -34.6% 8.9% -1.7% -7.1% -6.9% -10.1% -13.6% -6.6% -9.0% 18.5% -4.8% -14.2% -24.5% -42.7% -26.3% -30.9% -19.0% -76.1% -80.1% -90.1% -90.13%
EPS -32.0% 12.1% -3.0% -8.3% -8.1% -10.5% -13.6% -6.6% -7.7% 19.6% -4.7% -11.2% -23.0% -41.2% -23.3% -30.4% -20.8% -75.6% -79.9% -89.9% -89.92%
FCF 1.8% 1.4% 11.2% -0.3% -32.9% -71.2% -76.5% -49.9% -1.7% 2.8% 2.0% 73.2% -5.0% -67.0% -32.6% -45.1% -2.2% 1.4% 14.0% 31.3% 31.34%
EBITDA -26.6% 4.0% -2.0% -7.0% -7.7% -7.7% -10.5% -2.7% -1.2% 14.7% 3.7% -12.3% -30.8% -51.1% -52.3% -52.0% -27.9% -31.7% -23.0% -4.4% -4.36%
Op. Income -32.8% 12.0% 1.3% -6.7% -7.0% -13.3% -19.1% -8.0% -7.5% 18.9% 3.0% -9.2% -23.5% -42.3% -28.6% -32.5% -19.5% -66.0% -68.6% -77.6% -77.61%
OCF Growth snapshot only 1.23%
Asset Growth snapshot only -2.45%
Equity Growth snapshot only -2.54%
Debt Growth snapshot only 45.37%
Shares Change snapshot only -2.07%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -37.64%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -8.1% -8.4% -7.3% -6.1% -5.2% -8.0% -2.3% 0.5% 2.0% 9.1% 3.1% 0.8% -0.8% -6.1% -6.3% -7.2% -7.9% -8.8% -7.9% -8.0% -7.95%
Revenue 5Y -3.9% -3.5% -3.4% -3.2% -2.9% -4.5% -4.3% -4.7% -4.8% -3.1% -4.1% -4.2% -4.7% -8.2% -4.7% -3.6% -2.8% -2.5% -3.9% -4.5% -4.45%
EPS 3Y -18.4% -22.5% -21.3% -22.0% -21.9% -26.3% -21.8% -18.5% -16.8% 6.3% -7.2% -8.7% -13.2% -14.3% -14.2% -16.7% -17.4% -44.5% -47.2% -60.3% -60.35%
EPS 5Y -11.8% -12.8% -12.1% -12.7% -13.0% -15.2% -15.4% -14.7% -14.3% -13.0% -16.7% -17.0% -19.4% -22.4% -18.9% -19.7% -18.9% -29.7% -34.2% -44.4% -44.35%
Net Income 3Y -19.3% -21.7% -20.9% -21.6% -21.6% -26.5% -21.7% -18.3% -17.9% 5.1% -6.8% -9.4% -13.8% -15.2% -15.4% -17.9% -17.7% -45.4% -48.1% -61.2% -61.17%
Net Income 5Y -11.8% -12.6% -12.0% -12.7% -13.1% -15.3% -15.2% -14.5% -14.9% -12.6% -16.5% -17.3% -19.8% -23.0% -19.5% -20.2% -19.5% -30.8% -34.7% -44.9% -44.90%
EBITDA 3Y -7.9% -10.7% -11.5% -13.8% -15.5% -20.4% -16.8% -13.8% -12.5% 3.2% -3.1% -7.4% -14.2% -19.7% -23.8% -25.7% -21.0% -27.4% -27.5% -26.2% -26.16%
EBITDA 5Y -4.7% -5.6% -5.2% -5.8% -6.6% -7.8% -7.7% -7.0% -6.6% -5.5% -8.4% -11.3% -16.2% -22.3% -22.2% -23.1% -19.7% -18.1% -19.7% -18.3% -18.28%
Gross Profit 3Y -11.8% -10.7% -9.2% -8.3% -7.5% -10.7% -5.6% -1.2% 2.3% 11.5% 5.3% 3.0% 0.5% -6.5% -7.1% -7.6% -8.4% -10.2% -8.9% -10.8% -10.75%
Gross Profit 5Y -7.0% -6.0% -5.6% -5.8% -5.6% -7.3% -7.3% -7.1% -6.6% -4.3% -5.1% -4.7% -5.6% -9.7% -6.2% -4.8% -3.1% -2.9% -4.5% -5.7% -5.69%
Op. Income 3Y -17.6% -20.1% -19.4% -20.6% -20.7% -25.8% -21.7% -17.7% -16.7% 4.9% -5.5% -8.0% -13.1% -15.9% -15.9% -17.4% -17.1% -38.4% -38.7% -48.4% -48.42%
Op. Income 5Y -10.4% -11.0% -10.4% -11.3% -12.2% -14.4% -14.8% -13.9% -13.6% -12.1% -15.3% -16.0% -18.8% -22.5% -18.8% -19.3% -18.7% -25.7% -28.3% -34.8% -34.81%
FCF 3Y 7.6% 12.7% 30.3% 11.2% 4.4% -22.5% 0.7% 61.7% 22.8% 37.2% -8.0% -4.7% -14.4% -28.8% -22.1% -21.9% -3.0% 8.3% 31.8% 7.7% 7.69%
FCF 5Y 37.6% 37.2% — 84.0% 24.2% -13.6% -20.9% -12.5% -3.8% 9.4% 9.2% 3.6% 1.2% -10.2% 15.5% 32.1% 11.4% -2.9% -9.8% -9.0% -9.00%
OCF 3Y 3.5% 4.9% 13.3% 4.0% -2.8% -18.2% 0.7% 22.1% 13.1% 27.6% -7.2% -6.0% -14.8% -43.4% -36.0% -38.6% -22.5% -7.6% 6.3% -1.7% -1.66%
OCF 5Y 2.7% 4.8% 10.7% 10.6% 1.9% -14.0% -16.9% -12.7% -6.1% 2.7% 0.3% -1.6% -5.2% -24.6% -7.4% -5.0% -5.4% -7.6% -11.6% -12.2% -12.17%
Assets 3Y 1.1% 0.9% 0.3% -0.2% -0.2% -1.2% -1.1% -1.2% -0.2% 0.6% -1.4% -2.7% -2.6% -2.4% -2.7% -2.9% -2.4% -2.9% -2.5% -2.5% -2.51%
Assets 5Y 3.9% 3.2% 2.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% -0.2% -0.3% 0.1% 0.3% -0.7% -1.7% -1.3% -1.7% -1.6% -1.7% -1.4% -1.7% -2.2% -2.3% -2.33%
Equity 3Y 3.7% 2.8% 2.2% 2.3% 2.2% 0.9% 1.0% 1.7% 1.6% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.2% -0.4% -0.7% -1.3% -1.2% -1.18%
Book Value 3Y 4.8% 1.8% 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 1.1% 0.9% 1.4% 3.0% 3.0% 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 0.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.9% 0.91%
Dividend 3Y -15.5% -18.0% -17.7% -17.3% 2.0% 3.6% 3.2% 27.7% 0.9% 2.0% 0.9% -15.3% 5.3% 4.5% 4.2% -7.3% -8.4% -7.5% -7.3% -13.4% -13.37%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.53 0.38 0.60 0.58 0.49 0.48 0.70 0.57 0.44 0.15 0.44 0.61 0.73 0.64 0.54 0.34 0.23 0.08 0.40 0.60 0.603
Earnings Stability 0.62 0.53 0.72 0.79 0.83 0.71 0.87 0.89 0.90 0.60 0.83 0.86 0.89 0.54 0.76 0.85 0.89 0.57 0.82 0.85 0.852
Margin Stability 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.99 0.97 0.97 0.95 0.952
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.86 0.96 0.99 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.95 0.97 0.96 0.93 0.98 0.94 0.90 0.83 0.89 0.88 0.92 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.58 0.91 0.98 0.93 0.93 0.89 0.85 0.93 0.91 0.83 0.95 0.85 0.72 0.46 0.70 0.63 0.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.029
Gross Margin Trend -0.03 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.04 -0.06 -0.059
FCF Margin Trend 0.12 0.12 0.09 0.08 -0.01 -0.10 -0.17 -0.10 -0.04 0.08 0.02 0.03 -0.00 -0.05 0.03 -0.02 0.02 -0.05 0.02 0.02 0.016
Sustainable Growth Rate 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.8% 1.4% 1.1% 1.0% -1.7% 1.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% -0.4% -0.7% -0.6% -0.2% -0.2% -2.0% -2.1% -1.5% -1.45%
Internal Growth Rate 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.1% 0.9% 0.8% — 0.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.01 2.25 2.20 2.13 1.61 1.02 1.00 1.24 1.57 2.10 1.87 2.18 1.95 0.67 0.95 0.89 1.35 4.95 8.58 20.08 20.082
FCF/OCF 0.80 0.80 0.82 0.79 0.72 0.57 0.49 0.73 0.80 0.88 0.83 0.84 0.81 1.59 1.48 1.63 1.41 0.91 0.94 0.96 0.957
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 19.220
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.358
CapEx/Revenue 5.5% 5.7% 4.9% 5.4% 5.3% 5.1% 5.7% 3.9% 3.6% 3.0% 3.3% 3.5% 3.3% 2.9% 2.3% 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 0.75%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.081
Accruals Ratio -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.02 -0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.03 -0.04 -0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.04 -0.042
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.023
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.659
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.47%
Dividend/Share $0.46 $0.44 $0.43 $0.44 $0.49 $0.48 $0.48 $0.92 $0.49 $0.50 $0.50 $0.57 $0.57 $0.56 $0.56 $0.44 $0.42 $0.43 $0.43 $0.27 $0.25
Payout Ratio 60.5% 60.4% 59.7% 62.4% 69.6% 74.1% 76.2% 1.4% 75.5% 64.1% 83.2% 97.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 3.9% 4.7% 6.7% 6.69%
FCF Payout Ratio 37.7% 33.6% 32.9% 37.2% 60.2% 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 60.4% 34.7% 53.9% 53.7% 72.7% 1.2% 86.9% 74.8% 56.4% 86.2% 57.7% 34.8% 34.79%
Total Payout Ratio 60.5% 60.4% 59.7% 62.4% 69.6% 74.1% 76.2% 1.4% 75.5% 64.1% 83.2% 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 1.1% 5.7% 6.8% 12.6% 12.64%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.71 0.70 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.72 0.74 0.72 0.70 0.71 0.68 0.67 0.68 0.71 0.71 0.70 0.70 0.46 0.42 0.28 0.279
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.91 0.90 0.87 0.866
EBIT Margin 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.16 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.036
Asset Turnover 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.33 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.255
Equity Multiplier 1.28 1.28 1.26 1.28 1.26 1.27 1.23 1.24 1.23 1.24 1.18 1.18 1.19 1.20 1.16 1.16 1.16 1.17 1.15 1.16 1.156
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.76 $0.73 $0.73 $0.70 $0.70 $0.65 $0.63 $0.66 $0.64 $0.78 $0.60 $0.58 $0.50 $0.46 $0.46 $0.41 $0.39 $0.11 $0.09 $0.04 $0.04
Book Value/Share $15.26 $15.16 $15.52 $15.16 $15.27 $15.29 $15.69 $15.39 $15.70 $15.82 $15.92 $15.83 $15.82 $15.88 $16.25 $15.89 $15.30 $15.77 $15.90 $15.81 $16.07
Tangible Book/Share $14.11 $14.10 $14.45 $14.12 $14.24 $14.30 $14.71 $14.43 $14.74 $14.87 $14.98 $14.87 $14.86 $14.94 $15.31 $14.95 $14.41 $14.85 $15.00 $14.90 $14.90
Revenue/Share $5.67 $5.73 $5.76 $5.83 $5.92 $5.66 $5.61 $5.68 $5.73 $6.40 $5.88 $5.89 $5.65 $4.90 $4.94 $4.86 $4.68 $4.53 $4.62 $4.72 $4.76
FCF/Share $1.22 $1.31 $1.32 $1.18 $0.81 $0.37 $0.31 $0.59 $0.80 $1.44 $0.93 $1.06 $0.78 $0.49 $0.65 $0.59 $0.75 $0.50 $0.75 $0.79 $0.78
OCF/Share $1.53 $1.63 $1.60 $1.50 $1.12 $0.66 $0.63 $0.81 $1.01 $1.63 $1.12 $1.27 $0.97 $0.30 $0.44 $0.36 $0.53 $0.55 $0.80 $0.82 $0.81
Cash/Share $2.16 $2.27 $2.64 $2.75 $2.43 $2.39 $2.70 $2.40 $2.75 $3.24 $2.98 $2.48 $2.44 $2.69 $2.88 $2.77 $2.71 $2.88 $3.14 $3.20 $3.21
EBITDA/Share $1.57 $1.51 $1.51 $1.45 $1.43 $1.39 $1.35 $1.41 $1.44 $1.61 $1.40 $1.28 $1.01 $0.81 $0.70 $0.62 $0.72 $0.56 $0.54 $0.61 $0.61
Debt/Share $1.66 $1.47 $1.43 $1.26 $1.24 $1.11 $1.07 $0.97 $0.92 $0.87 $0.76 $0.58 $0.55 $0.44 $0.46 $0.47 $0.57 $0.57 $0.54 $0.70 $0.70
Net Debt/Share $-0.50 $-0.81 $-1.21 $-1.50 $-1.19 $-1.27 $-1.63 $-1.43 $-1.82 $-2.38 $-2.22 $-1.90 $-1.89 $-2.25 $-2.42 $-2.30 $-2.14 $-2.31 $-2.60 $-2.50 $-2.50
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 7 9 7 6 7 6 4 6 7 9 8 8 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.69 -2.48 -2.64 -2.64 -2.57 -2.57 -2.62 -2.65 -2.72 -2.54 -2.33 -3.02 -2.93 -2.05 -2.42 -1.95 -1.78 -2.70 -2.77 -3.16 -3.159
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -10.767
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 1.17%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $6.18
EVA snapshot only $-840354672.23
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A
Credit Score 76.04 78.55 77.11 79.10 78.77 80.02 77.52 79.53 78.22 79.10 76.43 77.51 76.44 77.61 76.75 77.32 75.29 73.10 73.85 71.18 71.175
Credit Grade snapshot only 6
Credit Trend snapshot only -6.142
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 150.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 68
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 58

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