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2168.T JPX

Pasona Group Inc.
1W: -4.1% 1M: -14.2% 3M: -0.4% YTD: -29.3% 1Y: -29.7% 3Y: -3.2% 5Y: -23.4%
¥1,492.00 ($9.45)
-32.00 (-2.10%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.0%
¥1373 ¥1432 ¥1492 ¥1552 ¥1611
JPX · Industrials · Staffing & Employment Services · Tech Score Strong Sell · Power 29 · ¥55.7B mcap · 17M float · 1.61% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
5
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. 2168.T receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: P/B (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B- C+
2026-09-24 None ADDED
2026-09-23 EXISTED None
2026-05-18 C+ B-
2026-05-07 None ADDED
2026-05-06 EXISTED None
2026-03-30 B- C+
2026-03-30 C+ B-
2026-02-18 B- C+
2026-01-14 C+ B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 22 Grade D
Profitability
7
Balance Sheet
54
Earnings Quality
58
Growth
22
Value
58
Momentum
27
Safety
65
Cash Flow
12
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. 2168.T scores highest in Safety (65/100) and lowest in Profitability (7/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.63
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.74
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.22
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB+
Score: 46.1/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -0.77x
Accruals: -5.4%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. 2168.T scores 2.63, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. 2168.T scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. 2168.T's score of -2.74 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. 2168.T's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. 2168.T receives an estimated rating of BB+ (score: 46.1/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-16.54x
PEG
-0.16x
P/S
0.18x
P/B
0.44x
P/FCF
-6.83x
P/OCF
13.45x
EV/EBITDA
108.83x
EV/Revenue
-0.06x
EV/EBIT
5.45x
EV/FCF
1.33x
Earnings Yield
-9.71%
FCF Yield
-14.65%
Shareholder Yield
3.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. 2168.T currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.486
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.822
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.010
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.092
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.997
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-6.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. 2168.T's ROE of -6.1% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.092), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.49 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$1492.00
Median 1Y
$1386.38
5th Pctile
$751.53
95th Pctile
$2559.04
Ann. Volatility
39.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
ROE 13.4% 13.2% 16.3% 19.4% 13.9% 18.8% 20.8% 19.6% 16.8% 14.1% 10.9% 11.7% 9.8% 6.8% 2.7% 94.7% 95.8% 94.8% 95.1% -6.1% -6.11%
ROA 3.7% 3.5% 4.0% 4.6% 2.9% 4.4% 5.2% 4.9% 3.5% 2.9% 2.5% 2.5% 2.2% 1.4% 0.5% 33.3% 34.6% 34.5% 34.0% -3.1% -3.06%
ROIC 38.0% 39.1% 5.7% 66.2% -21.6% -31.5% 23.0% 36.7% 29.8% -65.2% 1.1% -85.5% 1.2% 34.0% 22.1% -4.4% 38.3% 15.6% 3.1% -3.4% -3.45%
ROCE 18.3% 18.3% 20.1% 21.0% 18.7% 22.6% 20.8% 18.7% 17.3% 15.7% 13.0% 12.7% 12.2% 10.4% 7.6% 54.1% 54.1% 55.1% 55.0% -1.8% -1.80%
Gross Margin 26.0% 24.8% 23.9% 24.4% 23.6% 25.2% 24.4% 24.8% 24.2% 24.6% 24.6% 24.9% 23.6% 23.8% 23.1% 24.3% 21.3% 22.6% 20.9% 22.6% 22.65%
Operating Margin 8.5% 4.4% 4.7% 6.0% 6.2% 7.0% 6.1% 5.0% 3.6% 3.7% 4.2% 3.9% 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 2.3% -0.6% 0.6% -1.8% 0.1% 0.05%
Net Margin 4.7% 0.3% 1.6% 1.3% 2.7% 2.6% 2.8% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 1.3% 2.3% 0.2% -0.0% -1.0% 1.1% -1.6% -3.3% -3.2% -3.1% -3.11%
EBITDA Margin 9.9% 4.4% 6.2% 6.5% 7.7% 8.4% 7.7% 6.6% 5.3% 6.3% 6.1% 6.4% 4.2% 3.6% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 1.6% -0.6% -1.5% -1.52%
FCF Margin 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.8% 2.2% 2.5% 2.8% 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 1.9% 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 1.9% 0.2% -1.6% -3.5% -4.0% -4.2% -4.22%
OCF Margin 3.1% 3.3% 3.5% 4.0% 4.4% 4.8% 5.2% 4.6% 4.1% 3.5% 3.0% 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 2.9% 2.6% 2.4% 2.1% 2.3% 2.1% 2.14%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 23.15%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 20.90%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 10.26%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -0.61%
Cash ROA snapshot only 2.50%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 23.39%
CROIC snapshot only -46.10%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -0.32%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -1.88%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 22.29%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
P/E Ratio 10.35 13.91 11.03 9.82 18.03 17.05 10.35 8.70 10.13 11.24 13.01 10.40 11.95 24.38 74.94 0.86 0.91 0.81 0.84 -10.30 -16.541
P/S Ratio 0.14 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.28 0.35 0.24 0.20 0.21 0.20 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.23 0.29 0.23 0.25 0.22 0.24 0.29 0.181
P/B Ratio 1.35 1.75 1.68 1.75 2.37 2.96 1.96 1.50 1.53 1.46 1.33 1.17 1.13 1.62 2.03 0.56 0.60 0.53 0.55 0.66 0.441
P/FCF 10.97 13.74 13.11 10.98 12.64 14.21 8.72 12.42 11.50 11.04 9.58 5.42 5.13 7.17 14.93 100.43 -16.11 -6.48 -5.99 -6.83 -6.826
P/OCF 4.63 5.74 5.42 5.02 6.19 7.33 4.67 4.50 5.02 5.69 6.09 5.42 5.13 7.17 10.05 8.92 10.57 10.57 10.32 13.45 13.452
EV/EBITDA 1.76 2.45 1.24 2.02 0.35 3.23 3.80 2.21 2.58 0.33 1.10 -0.06 0.64 2.88 4.91 -0.60 -0.44 -0.46 -0.35 108.83 108.825
EV/Revenue 0.11 0.15 0.08 0.14 0.02 0.23 0.29 0.17 0.18 0.02 0.07 -0.00 0.04 0.15 0.21 -0.19 -0.14 -0.15 -0.12 -0.06 -0.056
EV/EBIT 2.53 3.43 1.67 2.70 0.48 4.25 4.87 2.73 3.29 0.43 1.50 -0.08 0.88 4.23 8.09 -0.63 -0.46 -0.48 -0.37 5.45 5.446
EV/FCF 8.23 10.81 5.69 7.57 0.99 9.36 10.24 10.14 10.06 1.16 3.50 -0.11 1.17 4.53 10.77 -81.70 9.03 4.33 2.90 1.33 1.333
Earnings Yield 9.7% 7.2% 9.1% 10.2% 5.5% 5.9% 9.7% 11.5% 9.9% 8.9% 7.7% 9.6% 8.4% 4.1% 1.3% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% -9.7% -9.71%
FCF Yield 9.1% 7.3% 7.6% 9.1% 7.9% 7.0% 11.5% 8.0% 8.7% 9.1% 10.4% 18.4% 19.5% 13.9% 6.7% 1.0% -6.2% -15.4% -16.7% -14.6% -14.65%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.700
EV/OCF snapshot only -2.626
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only -0.257
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 3.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Current Ratio 1.66 1.65 1.48 1.54 1.26 1.35 1.60 1.57 1.51 1.29 1.39 1.34 1.33 1.30 1.26 2.35 2.34 2.16 2.15 2.15 2.154
Quick Ratio 1.62 1.59 1.44 1.50 1.24 1.33 1.54 1.53 1.47 1.27 1.37 1.32 1.30 1.27 1.23 2.33 2.32 2.14 2.13 2.13 2.127
Debt/Equity 0.96 0.96 0.92 0.89 0.86 0.77 1.02 1.06 1.02 0.95 1.13 1.08 1.05 1.01 1.19 0.29 0.28 0.26 0.25 0.24 0.242
Net Debt/Equity -0.34 -0.37 -0.95 -0.54 -2.19 -1.01 0.34 -0.28 -0.19 -1.30 -0.84 -1.20 -0.87 -0.60 -0.57 -1.01 -0.93 -0.88 -0.82 -0.79 -0.790
Debt/Assets 0.25 0.25 0.21 0.22 0.15 0.17 0.27 0.26 0.25 0.18 0.23 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.24 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.123
Debt/EBITDA 1.65 1.71 1.56 1.49 1.59 1.28 1.68 1.92 1.98 2.02 2.58 2.60 2.61 2.85 3.99 0.37 0.37 0.34 0.34 -204.22 -204.225
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.58 -0.66 -1.61 -0.91 -4.06 -1.68 0.56 -0.50 -0.37 -2.77 -1.92 -2.89 -2.16 -1.68 -1.90 -1.33 -1.23 -1.15 -1.08 666.22 666.219
Interest Coverage 62.72 56.79 57.86 58.61 54.19 69.94 76.81 76.51 63.24 53.52 45.79 42.18 37.49 29.59 21.21 243.00 252.53 259.52 275.35 -9.66 -9.659
Equity Multiplier 3.78 3.88 4.41 3.97 5.82 4.60 3.73 4.08 4.05 5.17 4.99 5.10 4.88 4.68 4.94 2.03 2.00 2.02 2.01 1.96 1.964
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.588
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -0.483
Cash to Debt snapshot only 4.262
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.400
Defensive Interval snapshot only 955.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Asset Turnover 2.62 2.58 2.38 2.29 1.88 2.12 2.19 2.06 1.71 1.62 1.75 1.55 1.62 1.45 1.41 1.24 1.26 1.24 1.20 1.09 1.092
Inventory Turnover 104.16 85.48 81.70 101.30 93.12 85.02 74.34 88.08 84.91 86.47 76.09 81.17 72.55 74.63 69.91 105.75 82.85 82.12 74.19 116.88 116.880
Receivables Turnover 8.79 8.16 8.13 7.71 7.44 7.17 7.00 8.60 6.93 6.27 6.11 9.11 6.97 6.28 6.09 9.55 7.05 6.28 6.12 9.20 9.203
Payables Turnover 72.53 60.09 64.62 41.65 63.39 58.06 60.47 36.58 52.85 49.71 52.78 34.78 54.95 53.56 52.84 50.16 86.10 84.92 82.11 77.99 77.989
DSO 42 45 45 47 49 51 52 42 53 58 60 40 52 58 60 38 52 58 60 40 39.7 days
DIO 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 5 4 5 5 5 3 4 4 5 3 3.1 days
DPO 5 6 6 9 6 6 6 10 7 7 7 10 7 7 7 7 4 4 4 5 4.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 40 43 44 42 47 49 51 37 50 55 58 34 51 56 58 34 52 58 60 38 38.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 5.726
Operating Cycle snapshot only 42.8 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 2.220
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.857
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 2.3% 1.6% 2.3% 2.9% 2.9% 7.1% 9.2% 9.4% 7.5% 4.4% 3.3% 1.8% 1.1% 0.1% -3.1% -4.3% -7.3% -9.9% -11.3% -13.3% -13.31%
Net Income 1.3% 1.6% 2.4% 10.4% 12.8% 63.1% 51.9% 27.1% 42.9% -10.3% -38.3% -29.3% -32.8% -46.5% -73.4% 14.7% 17.9% 25.2% 63.8% -1.1% -1.09%
EPS 1.3% 1.6% 2.4% 10.4% 12.7% 63.0% 51.7% 26.9% 42.7% -10.3% -38.3% -29.3% -32.8% -46.5% -73.4% 14.7% 17.9% 25.2% 63.9% -1.1% -1.09%
FCF 2.0% 67.3% 18.6% 45.7% 70.5% 93.3% 1.1% -0.5% -11.7% -23.9% -29.4% 93.7% 77.5% 78.8% -1.8% -93.0% -1.5% -2.0% -2.8% -16.9% -16.87%
EBITDA 88.9% 62.9% 61.4% 57.2% 4.3% 26.6% 25.8% 21.9% 20.0% -6.3% -17.1% -19.1% -16.4% -21.1% -32.0% 4.0% 4.1% 4.7% 5.8% -1.0% -1.00%
Op. Income 79.6% 81.4% 1.0% 88.5% 10.4% 20.9% 18.4% 10.7% 7.4% -20.4% -32.4% -34.9% -32.7% -30.9% -45.5% -52.7% -68.9% -75.4% -90.0% -1.2% -1.18%
OCF Growth snapshot only -28.45%
Asset Growth snapshot only -11.97%
Equity Growth snapshot only -9.13%
Debt Growth snapshot only -22.82%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.26%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 1.59%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 3Y 5.3% 3.8% 2.8% 2.4% 1.9% 2.7% 3.4% 3.8% 4.2% 4.3% 4.9% 4.7% 3.8% 3.8% 3.0% 2.2% 0.2% -2.0% -3.9% -5.5% -5.47%
Revenue 5Y 7.4% 6.5% 5.6% 4.9% 4.8% 5.2% 5.6% 5.5% 5.2% 4.6% 4.2% 3.7% 2.8% 2.5% 2.1% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% -0.2% -1.0% -0.99%
EPS 3Y 66.3% 53.9% 78.9% 74.0% 90.8% 71.4% 61.7% 63.3% 54.1% 55.6% 47.8% 1.2% 2.6% -7.9% -37.1% 1.4% 1.6% 1.3% 1.2% — —
EPS 5Y 97.6% 1.6% — 92.3% 1.8% — — — 49.2% 39.7% 39.9% 36.4% 46.1% 19.3% -7.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% — —
Net Income 3Y 69.7% 57.0% 78.9% 74.0% 90.9% 71.5% 61.8% 63.4% 54.2% 55.7% 47.8% 1.2% 2.7% -7.8% -37.1% 1.4% 1.6% 1.3% 1.2% — —
Net Income 5Y 1.0% 1.6% — 94.6% 1.9% — — — 51.1% 41.5% 39.9% 36.5% 46.2% 19.4% -7.0% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% — —
EBITDA 3Y 57.3% 48.4% 50.4% 51.7% 46.7% 49.6% 47.3% 42.9% 33.2% 24.5% 19.0% 15.7% 1.5% -2.2% -10.8% 70.7% 72.7% 61.9% 56.6% — —
EBITDA 5Y 43.5% 43.8% 47.8% 41.3% 40.3% 46.4% 49.0% 44.6% 37.2% 31.1% 28.9% 28.1% 26.0% 19.9% 12.5% 64.1% 59.0% 54.3% 50.8% — —
Gross Profit 3Y 11.3% 9.7% 8.6% 7.4% 5.7% 6.3% 6.3% 6.3% 6.4% 5.8% 6.3% 6.1% 3.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.7% -1.1% -3.9% -6.6% -8.9% -8.94%
Gross Profit 5Y 11.0% 10.7% 10.2% 9.5% 9.3% 9.5% 9.9% 9.6% 9.1% 7.9% 7.4% 6.4% 5.3% 4.6% 3.3% 2.5% 1.2% 0.0% -1.2% -2.5% -2.46%
Op. Income 3Y 46.3% 40.4% 43.8% 45.0% 38.2% 40.3% 38.8% 32.6% 28.7% 20.4% 17.5% 10.8% -7.2% -12.7% -24.2% -30.2% -39.2% -48.7% -66.7% — —
Op. Income 5Y 36.4% 39.0% 43.5% 38.9% 37.6% 42.6% 43.6% 37.5% 30.0% 21.7% 18.9% 17.1% 13.8% 8.7% -0.3% -6.4% -14.9% -21.6% -38.4% — —
FCF 3Y 71.1% 24.9% 7.6% 33.2% 76.7% 3.2% — 2.3% 65.7% 35.0% 21.5% 41.1% 38.8% 38.0% 14.1% -48.6% — — — — —
FCF 5Y 10.4% 1.3% -4.2% 9.4% 31.4% — — — 49.8% 23.4% 13.5% 35.4% 54.0% 1.5% — 36.9% — — — — —
OCF 3Y 43.7% 29.8% 20.9% 22.5% 23.8% 24.8% 25.7% 21.0% 17.1% 11.8% 6.9% 6.3% 4.1% 3.2% -3.0% -11.3% -18.7% -25.5% -26.8% -26.5% -26.48%
OCF 5Y 15.0% 9.7% 5.9% 15.2% 27.3% 46.6% 1.1% 53.2% 34.0% 21.1% 11.7% 10.1% 7.8% 6.4% 1.9% -0.3% -2.7% -5.4% -4.2% -7.4% -7.42%
Assets 3Y 11.2% 10.9% 17.9% 10.4% 27.6% 19.0% 15.7% 19.5% 18.7% 30.7% 30.7% 25.2% 24.7% 21.5% 16.2% 25.7% 7.9% 13.8% 18.4% 9.2% 9.16%
Assets 5Y 10.2% 11.4% 15.3% 12.2% 23.2% 19.2% 13.8% 16.6% 15.5% 21.0% 21.0% 19.6% 18.5% 16.5% 18.7% 20.3% 19.3% 19.6% 19.3% 13.5% 13.54%
Equity 3Y 22.6% 23.0% 24.9% 17.3% 14.5% 16.1% 18.3% 20.8% 13.4% 15.9% 17.2% 19.3% 14.5% 14.1% 11.9% 57.3% 54.0% 49.7% 45.6% 39.2% 39.24%
Book Value 3Y 20.1% 20.6% 24.9% 17.3% 14.4% 16.0% 18.2% 20.7% 13.3% 15.9% 17.1% 19.2% 14.5% 14.0% 11.9% 57.2% 54.0% 49.6% 45.6% 39.3% 39.35%
Dividend 3Y 6.2% 7.7% 11.4% 8.6% 6.2% 4.0% 2.1% 6.2% -2.7% -13.2% -26.7% — — — 5.2% — — — 58.8% 37.3% 37.32%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue Stability 0.91 0.87 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.88 0.89 0.91 0.97 0.98 0.94 0.91 0.90 0.87 0.73 0.64 0.40 0.13 0.01 0.01 0.009
Earnings Stability 0.76 0.81 0.79 0.55 0.89 0.87 0.86 0.76 0.93 0.86 0.66 0.64 0.72 0.37 0.04 0.49 0.46 0.45 0.42 0.09 0.092
Margin Stability 0.93 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.95 0.954
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.95 0.50 0.50 0.89 0.83 0.96 0.85 0.88 0.87 0.81 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness 0.22 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.88 0.52 0.59 0.76 0.65 0.89 0.53 0.66 0.61 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — —
ROE Trend 0.09 0.07 0.09 0.13 0.04 0.08 0.09 0.07 0.02 -0.02 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.09 -0.12 0.50 0.53 0.55 0.59 -0.44 -0.444
Gross Margin Trend 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.023
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.02 -0.04 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.059
Sustainable Growth Rate 11.6% 11.2% 14.2% 17.3% 12.0% 16.9% 19.0% 17.6% 15.2% 13.1% 10.3% 11.7% 9.8% 6.8% 2.0% 94.0% 94.7% 93.3% 93.7% — —
Internal Growth Rate 3.3% 3.1% 3.7% 4.3% 2.5% 4.1% 4.9% 4.6% 3.3% 2.7% 2.4% 2.6% 2.2% 1.4% 0.4% 49.3% 51.9% 51.5% 50.2% — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.23 2.43 2.04 1.96 2.91 2.33 2.22 1.93 2.02 1.97 2.14 1.92 2.33 3.40 7.46 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.08 -0.77 -0.766
FCF/OCF 0.42 0.42 0.41 0.46 0.49 0.52 0.54 0.36 0.44 0.52 0.64 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.67 0.09 -0.66 -1.63 -1.72 -1.97 -1.971
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.509
CapEx/Revenue 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 2.2% 2.3% 2.3% 2.4% 2.9% 2.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 2.4% 3.9% 5.6% 6.3% 6.4% 6.37%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 6.485
Accruals Ratio -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 0.30 0.32 0.32 0.31 -0.05 -0.054
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.147
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.308
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Dividend Yield 1.3% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.9% 1.8% 2.0% 5.03%
Dividend/Share $15.65 $16.90 $18.15 $18.45 $18.73 $19.02 $19.31 $22.09 $17.26 $12.44 $7.62 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $8.88 $17.76 $26.64 $35.51 $35.58 $46.01 $75.00
Payout Ratio 13.3% 14.8% 12.7% 10.6% 14.1% 10.2% 8.9% 10.0% 9.1% 7.4% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 24.9% 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% — —
FCF Payout Ratio 14.1% 14.6% 15.0% 11.9% 9.9% 8.5% 7.5% 14.3% 10.3% 7.3% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 84.5% — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 78.3% 1.1% 1.1% 73.3% 68.6% 29.6% 8.9% 10.0% 9.1% 7.4% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 51.9% 1.3% 1.8% 2.4% 2.2% — —
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
Chowder Number 0.29 0.34 0.39 0.29 0.21 0.13 0.07 0.21 -0.07 -0.34 -0.60 — — — 0.17 — — — 3.02 1.60 1.603
Buyback Yield 6.3% 7.0% 9.2% 6.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 1.0% 0.99%
Net Buyback Yield 5.5% 6.0% 7.9% 5.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 0.49%
Total Shareholder Return 6.8% 7.1% 9.1% 6.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 2.4% 1.8% 2.5% 2.50%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.33 0.32 0.35 0.41 0.34 0.38 0.40 0.39 0.37 0.36 0.31 0.36 0.33 0.28 0.16 0.90 0.91 0.92 0.92 1.49 1.486
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 0.97 0.97 0.95 1.00 1.00 0.97 0.97 1.82 1.822
EBIT Margin 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.31 -0.01 -0.010
Asset Turnover 2.62 2.58 2.38 2.29 1.88 2.12 2.19 2.06 1.71 1.62 1.75 1.55 1.62 1.45 1.41 1.24 1.26 1.24 1.20 1.09 1.092
Equity Multiplier 3.66 3.75 4.03 4.17 4.86 4.27 4.04 4.03 4.83 4.91 4.40 4.61 4.48 4.92 4.97 2.85 2.77 2.74 2.80 2.00 1.997
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $117.91 $114.53 $143.37 $173.43 $132.87 $186.63 $217.49 $220.07 $189.65 $167.33 $134.14 $155.69 $127.45 $89.59 $35.65 $2447.36 $2411.57 $2346.69 $2312.57 $-221.54 $-221.54
Book Value/Share $900.81 $908.38 $940.08 $975.49 $1009.17 $1076.69 $1147.86 $1276.04 $1256.35 $1289.81 $1316.03 $1378.39 $1351.30 $1347.10 $1315.55 $3789.85 $3683.67 $3606.62 $3544.00 $3452.67 $3544.01
Tangible Book/Share $725.74 $744.25 $781.66 $812.87 $826.96 $878.48 $624.28 $683.94 $654.29 $684.29 $651.44 $699.84 $668.39 $659.22 $622.72 $3661.95 $3545.42 $3450.08 $3367.14 $3257.77 $3257.77
Revenue/Share $8464.86 $8402.27 $8444.33 $8552.57 $8704.60 $8994.82 $9213.11 $9345.28 $9344.23 $9383.15 $9508.69 $9510.69 $9454.91 $9391.33 $9209.59 $9104.74 $8756.63 $8453.41 $8180.88 $7912.79 $8224.37
FCF/Share $111.22 $115.94 $120.67 $155.16 $189.51 $223.95 $258.35 $154.11 $167.12 $170.29 $182.31 $298.51 $296.77 $304.47 $178.99 $21.01 $-136.23 $-292.85 $-325.92 $-334.30 $-404.53
OCF/Share $263.45 $277.75 $292.06 $339.63 $386.95 $434.44 $481.87 $425.78 $382.84 $330.26 $286.43 $298.51 $296.77 $304.47 $265.89 $236.48 $207.72 $179.55 $189.06 $169.63 $77.23
Cash/Share $1166.08 $1214.73 $1756.81 $1394.15 $3070.84 $1919.48 $774.88 $1709.05 $1525.99 $2905.36 $2596.08 $3141.49 $2596.13 $2169.24 $2311.66 $4907.51 $4447.12 $4094.64 $3797.03 $3563.65 $2473.45
EBITDA/Share $521.44 $512.19 $554.30 $581.20 $543.46 $647.94 $696.83 $707.40 $651.35 $606.56 $577.54 $572.46 $544.59 $478.83 $392.52 $2884.33 $2796.02 $2744.01 $2677.24 $-4.09 $-4.09
Debt/Share $861.14 $874.84 $862.44 $864.64 $863.09 $832.48 $1167.75 $1357.14 $1286.64 $1222.96 $1487.97 $1489.02 $1420.48 $1365.43 $1566.86 $1080.63 $1021.86 $927.72 $899.53 $836.11 $836.11
Net Debt/Share $-304.94 $-339.89 $-894.37 $-529.51 $-2207.75 $-1087.01 $392.87 $-351.91 $-239.35 $-1682.41 $-1108.11 $-1652.47 $-1175.65 $-803.82 $-744.79 $-3826.88 $-3425.26 $-3166.92 $-2897.50 $-2727.54 $-2727.54
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.629
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 4.604
Piotroski F-Score 6 6 7 6 4 6 7 6 7 3 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 6 4 4
Beneish M-Score -2.69 -2.75 -2.59 -2.66 -2.29 -2.29 -2.08 -2.39 -2.31 -2.42 -2.60 -2.76 -2.56 -2.59 -2.66 -1.28 -1.39 -1.40 -1.36 -2.74 -2.737
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.217
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -2.06%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $1664.23
EVA snapshot only $-3811130000.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB+
Credit Score 79.60 78.96 73.29 73.32 62.90 73.23 78.38 68.84 69.14 60.31 57.79 59.20 59.02 59.54 57.51 81.01 79.36 80.01 79.45 46.15 46.147
Credit Grade snapshot only 11
Credit Trend snapshot only -34.861
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 400.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 19
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 37

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