— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

2199.HK HKSE

Regina Miracle International (Holdings) Limited
1W: +6.7% 1M: +8.9% 3M: +45.5% YTD: +3.2% 1Y: +48.0% 3Y: +6.7% 5Y: +0.4%
HK$2.48 ($0.32)
-0.08 (-3.12%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±5.4%
HK$2 HK$2 HK$3 HK$3 HK$3
HKSE · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Manufacturers · Tech Score Buy · Power 66 · HK$3.1B mcap · 288M float · 0.107% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A-
Oct 05, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
3
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
4
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. 2199.HK receives an overall rating of A-. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROA (4/5), P/E (4/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-02 B+ A-
2026-09-25 A- B+
2026-07-02 A A-
2026-06-30 A- A
2026-06-24 A A-
2026-05-12 A- A
2026-04-13 A A-
2026-04-08 None ADDED
2026-04-07 EXISTED None
2026-04-01 A- A

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 39 Grade C
Profitability
26
Balance Sheet
53
Earnings Quality
63
Growth
14
Value
88
Momentum
50
Safety
65
Cash Flow
42
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. 2199.HK scores highest in Value (88/100) and lowest in Growth (14/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.89
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.86
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.34
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB+
Score: 49.2/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 5.04x
Accruals: -15.0%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. 2199.HK scores 2.89, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. 2199.HK scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. 2199.HK's score of -2.86 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. 2199.HK's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. 2199.HK receives an estimated rating of BB+ (score: 49.2/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). 2199.HK's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
10.61x
PEG
0.20x
P/S
0.39x
P/B
0.96x
P/FCF
1.97x
P/OCF
1.28x
EV/EBITDA
2.57x
EV/Revenue
0.37x
EV/EBIT
4.65x
EV/FCF
5.22x
Earnings Yield
15.53%
FCF Yield
50.69%
Shareholder Yield
8.90%
Graham Number
$3.94
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 10.6x earnings, 2199.HK trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 15.5% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $3.94 per share, suggesting a potential 54% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.983
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.278
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.081
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.691
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.619
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
9.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. 2199.HK's ROE of 9.7% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.691), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.98 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$2.27
Price/Value
0.76x
Margin of Safety
24.26%
Premium
-24.26%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with 2199.HK's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. 2199.HK trades at a -24% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $2.27, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 10.6x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$2.56
Median 1Y
$2.12
5th Pctile
$1.00
95th Pctile
$4.48
Ann. Volatility
45.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
ROE 8.4% 9.6% 12.3% 15.6% 12.2% 16.6% 18.9% 20.3% 19.8% 14.3% 13.9% 17.0% 19.7% 31.0% 27.3% 23.1% 15.0% 8.1% 9.7% 9.75%
ROA 4.9% 5.6% 6.5% 8.0% 6.4% 8.3% 8.8% 9.0% 8.3% 5.6% 5.3% 6.3% 7.5% 11.4% 10.4% 8.5% 5.8% 3.1% 3.7% 3.72%
ROIC 8.6% 8.4% 9.3% 11.5% 8.0% 10.2% 10.7% 11.3% 11.5% 9.4% 9.1% 10.6% 13.0% 19.6% 19.4% 19.4% 18.1% 15.6% 17.1% 17.11%
ROCE 10.2% 13.8% 21.6% 29.1% 27.4% 32.3% 28.5% 25.1% 21.5% 14.0% 11.6% 12.5% 14.3% 23.4% 21.1% 20.9% 18.7% 15.9% 17.2% 17.20%
Gross Margin 25.3% 18.7% 20.3% 20.7% 21.3% 21.5% 21.4% 20.2% 20.6% 16.1% 20.3% 21.9% 22.9% 23.7% 20.5% 22.2% 21.3% 23.6% 21.8% 21.82%
Operating Margin 12.3% 1.5% 5.3% 4.4% 6.2% 5.7% 5.9% 5.8% 7.0% 1.6% 6.9% 9.2% 10.2% 12.0% 7.4% 10.6% 7.2% 6.7% 8.9% 8.86%
Net Margin 8.7% 1.1% 2.9% 3.4% 4.7% 4.4% 4.6% 4.5% 4.6% -1.3% 4.6% 6.2% 6.2% 6.8% 2.2% 3.0% 1.0% 1.7% 3.0% 3.01%
EBITDA Margin 15.0% 5.6% 17.9% 8.5% 11.0% 11.1% 11.3% 14.2% 16.5% 11.4% 15.4% 15.9% 16.0% 18.7% 15.1% 15.7% 13.9% 15.4% 13.4% 13.37%
FCF Margin -19.5% -15.3% -15.7% -12.0% -10.7% -9.5% -9.0% -9.0% -6.8% -7.5% -3.6% -3.2% 2.0% 6.7% 9.5% 9.8% 8.8% 7.0% 7.2% 7.18%
OCF Margin -1.5% 3.8% 2.0% 4.2% 6.2% 7.2% 8.5% 9.1% 9.1% 6.9% 8.4% 7.6% 10.3% 13.6% 15.6% 14.8% 14.3% 12.4% 11.1% 11.10%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 16.45%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 15.90%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.28%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 11.75%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 15.66%
Cash ROA snapshot only 18.54%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 24.87%
CROIC snapshot only 16.11%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 7.63%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 2.24%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 3.82%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 9.59%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
P/E Ratio 49.55 42.82 18.62 16.32 20.44 12.13 10.87 9.91 6.18 5.39 5.83 5.58 7.98 4.85 3.74 3.80 4.35 9.41 6.44 10.609
P/S Ratio 4.33 2.25 0.83 0.68 0.65 0.47 0.47 0.45 0.28 0.18 0.20 0.22 0.36 0.29 0.21 0.18 0.15 0.19 0.14 0.387
P/B Ratio 4.17 4.10 2.29 2.54 2.41 1.94 1.94 1.93 1.21 0.76 0.79 0.89 1.42 1.38 0.95 0.89 0.68 0.76 0.67 0.963
P/FCF -22.24 -14.67 -5.26 -5.65 -6.10 -4.98 -5.19 -5.03 -4.11 -2.43 -5.50 -6.96 17.96 4.40 2.20 1.88 1.75 2.66 1.97 1.973
P/OCF — 59.20 41.12 16.25 10.62 6.59 5.52 4.95 3.08 2.62 2.35 2.93 3.51 2.16 1.33 1.24 1.08 1.49 1.28 1.277
EV/EBITDA 29.26 22.08 7.37 6.72 7.50 5.46 6.46 5.78 4.00 3.57 3.41 3.37 3.99 2.99 2.54 2.55 2.48 2.81 2.57 2.568
EV/Revenue 4.39 2.37 0.98 0.80 0.82 0.65 0.68 0.69 0.53 0.48 0.50 0.51 0.60 0.50 0.42 0.42 0.40 0.42 0.37 0.375
EV/EBIT 36.12 26.91 10.12 8.30 8.13 5.57 5.66 6.13 5.32 6.50 8.22 7.52 8.33 5.14 4.40 4.47 4.47 5.26 4.65 4.649
EV/FCF -22.58 -15.46 -6.20 -6.66 -7.60 -6.83 -7.53 -7.65 -7.79 -6.42 -13.88 -15.87 29.86 7.46 4.43 4.31 4.54 6.05 5.22 5.218
Earnings Yield 2.0% 2.3% 5.4% 6.1% 4.9% 8.2% 9.2% 10.1% 16.2% 18.5% 17.1% 17.9% 12.5% 20.6% 26.8% 26.3% 23.0% 10.6% 15.5% 15.53%
FCF Yield -4.5% -6.8% -19.0% -17.7% -16.4% -20.1% -19.3% -19.9% -24.3% -41.1% -18.2% -14.4% 5.6% 22.7% 45.6% 53.3% 57.2% 37.7% 50.7% 50.69%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.199
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.672
EV/OCF snapshot only 3.379
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.683
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 4.518
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 8.90%
Graham Number snapshot only $3.94
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Current Ratio 1.49 1.25 1.12 1.09 1.01 1.00 1.22 1.20 1.30 1.56 1.37 1.71 1.68 1.41 2.20 2.11 1.99 1.84 1.81 1.813
Quick Ratio 1.03 0.72 0.65 0.64 0.63 0.60 0.74 0.69 0.72 0.95 0.84 1.05 0.98 0.79 1.11 1.20 1.18 1.06 1.10 1.098
Debt/Equity 0.42 0.44 0.57 0.61 0.75 0.90 1.03 1.17 1.29 1.50 1.47 1.33 1.21 1.21 1.16 1.30 1.27 1.22 1.38 1.382
Net Debt/Equity 0.06 0.22 0.41 0.46 0.59 0.72 0.87 1.01 1.08 1.24 1.20 1.14 0.94 0.96 0.97 1.16 1.08 0.97 1.09 1.095
Debt/Assets 0.24 0.25 0.30 0.31 0.36 0.40 0.43 0.46 0.49 0.53 0.52 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.47 0.49 0.50 0.47 0.49 0.492
Debt/EBITDA 2.89 2.24 1.55 1.36 1.88 1.84 2.37 2.30 2.24 2.69 2.52 2.21 2.05 1.55 1.53 1.62 1.79 1.99 2.02 2.016
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.44 1.13 1.12 1.02 1.48 1.48 2.00 1.98 1.89 2.22 2.06 1.89 1.59 1.23 1.28 1.44 1.53 1.57 1.60 1.597
Interest Coverage 14.05 18.67 18.07 25.04 25.60 32.42 20.80 19.96 14.69 7.04 9.13 10.99 25.26 10.85 5.29 3.30 1.64 1.36 1.39 1.388
Equity Multiplier 1.72 1.72 1.89 1.96 2.10 2.26 2.38 2.55 2.65 2.86 2.85 2.81 2.59 2.61 2.45 2.63 2.55 2.60 2.81 2.811
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.471
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.513
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.208
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.244
Defensive Interval snapshot only 339.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Asset Turnover 0.56 1.06 1.46 1.92 1.99 2.13 2.04 1.96 1.83 1.65 1.57 1.59 1.67 1.89 1.86 1.77 1.65 1.57 1.69 1.691
Inventory Turnover 2.74 4.78 7.01 9.33 10.98 11.08 11.21 10.87 10.36 9.45 9.27 9.04 8.51 9.70 9.39 9.20 8.31 7.64 8.20 8.202
Receivables Turnover 4.51 10.41 10.77 14.05 14.86 19.41 16.31 16.74 16.08 13.93 12.91 11.64 15.36 17.19 17.99 12.12 13.71 14.17 16.87 16.866
Payables Turnover 7.36 10.76 15.95 16.41 25.07 23.15 26.02 21.89 25.10 21.90 24.69 20.91 24.62 26.25 32.92 23.56 25.05 20.21 30.00 30.004
DSO 81 35 34 26 25 19 22 22 23 26 28 31 24 21 20 30 27 26 22 21.6 days
DIO 133 76 52 39 33 33 33 34 35 39 39 40 43 38 39 40 44 48 45 44.5 days
DPO 50 34 23 22 15 16 14 17 15 17 15 17 15 14 11 15 15 18 12 12.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 165 78 63 43 43 36 41 39 43 48 53 54 52 45 48 54 56 55 54 54.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 3.282
Operating Cycle snapshot only 66.1 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 16.365
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.599
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue — — — — 3.1% 1.4% 67.4% 23.7% 19.5% 5.2% 1.5% 6.6% 13.6% 36.1% 31.8% 18.3% 4.0% -13.1% -8.4% -8.44%
Net Income — — — — 50.4% 80.9% 62.2% 36.0% 69.4% -9.4% -20.5% -7.1% 12.9% 1.4% 1.2% 43.2% -18.5% -71.7% -63.8% -63.82%
EPS — — — — 48.6% 80.9% 62.2% 36.0% 69.4% -9.4% -20.5% -7.1% 12.9% 1.4% 1.2% 43.2% -18.5% -71.7% -63.8% -63.82%
FCF — — — — -1.3% -50.8% 4.1% 7.2% 24.1% 17.4% 59.7% 62.1% 1.3% 2.2% 4.5% 4.6% 3.6% -8.9% -30.6% -30.65%
EBITDA — — — — 2.0% 1.7% 33.1% 23.7% 46.0% 18.7% 40.4% 34.8% 28.4% 67.9% 49.8% 29.9% 11.3% -21.3% -19.2% -19.19%
Op. Income — — — — 52.3% 78.8% 40.4% 21.0% 60.3% 2.0% 1.2% 19.5% 41.0% 1.5% 1.3% 83.1% 30.9% -29.1% -23.1% -23.15%
OCF Growth snapshot only -34.98%
Asset Growth snapshot only 2.44%
Equity Growth snapshot only -10.81%
Debt Growth snapshot only 6.14%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.00%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -43.96%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 77.3% 51.5% 30.8% 16.0% 12.2% 7.6% 7.0% 6.99%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 41.7% 58.7% 41.0% 21.9% 15.9% -14.4% -14.5% -14.46%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 42.2% 58.7% 41.0% 21.9% 15.9% -14.4% -14.5% -14.46%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 77.2% 75.2% 40.9% 29.4% 27.8% 16.2% 19.3% 19.34%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 66.0% 51.5% 32.3% 17.9% 15.2% 9.2% 8.7% 8.70%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 51.0% 66.3% 49.3% 38.3% 43.6% 22.2% 22.2% 22.17%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.3% 1.6% 76.9% 48.5% 29.0% 17.0% 17.00%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 27.1% 26.9% 20.6% 17.4% 12.6% 12.8% 8.5% 8.55%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 10.9% 10.5% 10.6% 6.4% 5.5% 7.6% 2.7% 2.66%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 10.4% 10.5% 10.6% 6.4% 5.5% 7.6% 2.7% 2.66%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.5% -9.0% 32.3% 51.8% 19.0% 31.4% -17.6% -17.55%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — 0.90 0.81 0.78 0.93 0.86 0.91 0.91 0.97 0.95 0.53 0.61 0.611
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — 0.96 0.56 0.22 0.50 0.96 0.76 0.69 0.80 0.68 0.10 0.07 0.066
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — 0.88 0.94 0.95 0.97 0.89 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.97 0.95 0.94 0.937
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — 0.50 0.96 0.92 0.97 0.95 0.50 0.50 0.83 0.93 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — 0.60 0.42 0.53 0.69 0.48 0.90 0.77 0.93 0.88 0.16 0.26 0.64 0.80 0.00 0.06 0.063
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — 0.10 0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0.02 0.13 0.10 0.06 -0.03 -0.13 -0.09 -0.092
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.013
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — 0.08 0.05 0.09 0.07 0.11 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.11 0.07 0.04 0.042
Sustainable Growth Rate 8.4% 6.9% 8.4% 10.6% 6.3% 11.4% 13.4% 14.2% 13.3% 7.6% 9.0% 13.9% 13.9% 26.6% 17.2% 12.9% 5.8% -1.2% 4.2% 4.16%
Internal Growth Rate 5.1% 4.2% 4.6% 5.7% 3.4% 6.0% 6.6% 6.7% 5.9% 3.1% 3.6% 5.5% 5.6% 10.8% 7.0% 5.0% 2.3% — 1.6% 1.62%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.17 0.72 0.45 1.00 1.92 1.84 1.97 2.00 2.01 2.06 2.48 1.91 2.27 2.25 2.80 3.07 4.04 6.30 5.04 5.040
FCF/OCF 13.21 -4.03 -7.82 -2.87 -1.74 -1.32 -1.06 -0.98 -0.75 -1.08 -0.43 -0.42 0.20 0.49 0.61 0.66 0.61 0.56 0.65 0.648
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 3.264
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.760
CapEx/Revenue 18.0% 19.1% 17.7% 16.2% 16.9% 16.7% 17.5% 18.1% 15.9% 14.4% 12.0% 10.8% 8.3% 6.9% 6.1% 5.0% 5.5% 5.4% 5.0% 5.01%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.767
Accruals Ratio 0.06 0.02 0.04 -0.00 -0.06 -0.07 -0.09 -0.09 -0.08 -0.06 -0.08 -0.06 -0.10 -0.14 -0.19 -0.18 -0.18 -0.16 -0.15 -0.150
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.113
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.768
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.6% 1.7% 2.0% 2.4% 2.6% 2.7% 3.0% 5.3% 8.6% 6.0% 3.2% 3.7% 3.0% 9.9% 11.6% 14.1% 12.2% 8.9% 6.56%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.06 $0.08 $0.11 $0.13 $0.12 $0.12 $0.14 $0.15 $0.15 $0.12 $0.08 $0.16 $0.12 $0.27 $0.27 $0.26 $0.26 $0.15 $0.16
Payout Ratio 0.0% 27.7% 31.9% 31.9% 48.6% 31.7% 29.0% 29.9% 32.5% 46.4% 34.8% 18.1% 29.6% 14.3% 37.0% 44.2% 61.2% 1.1% 57.3% 57.27%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — 66.6% 13.0% 21.7% 21.8% 24.6% 32.3% 17.5% 17.55%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 27.7% 31.9% 31.9% 48.6% 31.7% 29.0% 29.9% 32.5% 46.4% 34.8% 18.1% 29.6% 14.3% 37.0% 44.2% 61.2% 1.1% 57.3% 57.27%
Div. Increase Streak — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — 1.10 0.50 0.31 0.19 0.41 0.01 -0.41 0.06 -0.22 1.41 2.62 0.83 1.39 -0.35 -0.351
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -8.5% -8.9% -15.8% -13.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return -8.5% -8.3% -14.1% -12.0% 2.4% 2.6% 2.7% 3.0% 5.3% 8.6% 6.0% 3.2% 3.7% 3.0% 9.9% 11.6% 14.1% 12.2% 8.9% 8.90%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.77 0.76 0.71 0.74 0.76 0.79 0.89 0.92 0.93 1.00 0.91 0.87 0.86 0.81 0.82 0.80 0.88 1.05 0.98 0.983
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.93 0.79 0.65 0.58 0.42 0.43 0.40 0.44 0.49 0.46 0.61 0.68 0.73 0.78 0.71 0.64 0.45 0.23 0.28 0.278
EBIT Margin 0.12 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.081
Asset Turnover 0.56 1.06 1.46 1.92 1.99 2.13 2.04 1.96 1.83 1.65 1.57 1.59 1.67 1.89 1.86 1.77 1.65 1.57 1.69 1.691
Equity Multiplier 1.72 1.72 1.89 1.96 1.92 2.00 2.15 2.27 2.38 2.57 2.62 2.69 2.62 2.73 2.63 2.72 2.57 2.61 2.62 2.619
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.19 $0.20 $0.26 $0.34 $0.28 $0.37 $0.43 $0.46 $0.47 $0.33 $0.34 $0.43 $0.53 $0.81 $0.74 $0.62 $0.43 $0.23 $0.27 $0.27
Book Value/Share $2.20 $2.11 $2.14 $2.19 $2.34 $2.29 $2.39 $2.38 $2.38 $2.37 $2.51 $2.70 $2.97 $2.85 $2.90 $2.63 $2.75 $2.85 $2.58 $2.53
Tangible Book/Share $2.17 $2.07 $2.10 $2.15 $2.31 $2.25 $2.35 $2.34 $2.34 $2.33 $2.47 $2.67 $2.94 $2.82 $2.87 $2.61 $2.73 $2.82 $2.56 $2.56
Revenue/Share $2.13 $3.86 $5.92 $8.22 $8.61 $9.36 $9.91 $10.17 $10.30 $9.85 $10.06 $10.84 $11.70 $13.41 $13.25 $12.82 $12.17 $11.65 $12.14 $6.30
FCF/Share $-0.41 $-0.59 $-0.93 $-0.99 $-0.93 $-0.89 $-0.89 $-0.91 $-0.70 $-0.74 $-0.36 $-0.35 $0.23 $0.89 $1.26 $1.25 $1.07 $0.81 $0.87 $0.40
OCF/Share $-0.03 $0.15 $0.12 $0.34 $0.53 $0.67 $0.84 $0.93 $0.94 $0.68 $0.84 $0.82 $1.20 $1.82 $2.07 $1.90 $1.74 $1.45 $1.35 $0.60
Cash/Share $0.78 $0.46 $0.34 $0.33 $0.37 $0.41 $0.38 $0.38 $0.48 $0.62 $0.68 $0.52 $0.81 $0.71 $0.55 $0.38 $0.51 $0.72 $0.74 $0.76
EBITDA/Share $0.32 $0.41 $0.78 $0.98 $0.94 $1.12 $1.04 $1.21 $1.37 $1.32 $1.46 $1.63 $1.76 $2.22 $2.19 $2.12 $1.95 $1.75 $1.77 $1.77
Debt/Share $0.92 $0.93 $1.21 $1.33 $1.76 $2.06 $2.47 $2.78 $3.07 $3.56 $3.69 $3.61 $3.60 $3.44 $3.36 $3.43 $3.49 $3.48 $3.57 $3.57
Net Debt/Share $0.14 $0.47 $0.88 $1.00 $1.39 $1.65 $2.09 $2.40 $2.59 $2.94 $3.01 $3.09 $2.79 $2.73 $2.81 $3.05 $2.98 $2.76 $2.83 $2.83
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.888
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 3.242
Piotroski F-Score 2 3 3 4 5 7 8 7 7 5 5 6 9 8 9 8 6 5 5 5
Beneish M-Score — — — — -2.18 -19.76 -2.60 -2.57 -2.75 -1.78 -2.14 -3.02 -2.29 -2.16 -2.52 -4.17 -2.44 -3.03 -2.86 -2.861
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.339
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 19.67%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-1.83
EVA snapshot only $471084743.98
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB+
Credit Score 75.04 75.28 68.82 75.22 71.75 72.23 71.12 68.04 63.31 58.51 56.38 59.61 67.78 72.57 73.92 69.70 60.65 52.34 49.22 49.225
Credit Grade snapshot only 11
Credit Trend snapshot only -24.697
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 400.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 31
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 41

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