— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: CHRHF (OTC) · $vol 0M

2285.HK HKSE

Chervon Holdings Limited
1W: +14.8% 1M: +46.2% 3M: +43.6% YTD: +15.7% 1Y: +25.1% 3Y: +19.4%
HK$28.92 ($3.69)
+1.40 (+5.09%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±12.7%
HK$22 HK$25 HK$29 HK$33 HK$36
HKSE · Industrials · Industrial - Machinery · Tech Score Strong Buy · Power 71 · HK$14.7B mcap · 126M float · 1.21% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A-
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
3
ROA
5
D/E
2
P/E
4
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. 2285.HK receives an overall rating of A-. Strongest factors: ROA (5/5), P/E (4/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-07 B+ A-
2026-09-03 A- B+
2026-08-19 B A-
2026-07-31 B- B
2026-07-27 B B-
2026-07-13 B- B
2026-07-06 B B-
2026-06-22 B- B
2026-05-19 A- B-
2026-05-12 B+ A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade A+
Profitability
61
Balance Sheet
91
Earnings Quality
76
Growth
78
Value
—
Momentum
95
Safety
—
Cash Flow
45

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
9/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.52
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.05
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A
Score: 73.3/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.09x
Accruals: -1.2%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. 2285.HK scores 9/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. 2285.HK's score of -2.52 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. 2285.HK's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. 2285.HK receives an estimated rating of A (score: 73.3/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). 2285.HK's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
17.17x
PEG
-0.62x
P/S
1.08x
P/B
1.71x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$4.93
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 17.2x earnings, 2285.HK trades at a reasonable valuation. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $4.93 per share, 486% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.827
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.910
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.094
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.854
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.883
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
24.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. 2285.HK's ROE of 24.6% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.854), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$19.38
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with 2285.HK's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. 2285.HK trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $19.38, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 17.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1142 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$28.92
Median 1Y
$21.16
5th Pctile
$7.33
95th Pctile
$60.78
Ann. Volatility
64.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
ROE 7.3% 10.4% 13.5% 17.2% 3.7% 6.7% 7.6% 11.9% 21.2% 24.6% 24.61%
ROA 2.8% 4.8% 6.9% 9.8% 1.7% 3.3% 3.9% 6.7% 11.5% 13.1% 13.07%
ROIC 11.8% 14.1% 18.1% 22.6% 1.9% 7.1% 7.8% 15.1% 25.7% 28.4% 28.39%
ROCE -70.2% -17.3% 20.9% 63.3% 81.5% 51.8% 20.1% -10.1% 23.7% 28.0% 27.96%
Gross Margin 27.4% 28.9% 31.8% 32.1% 23.5% 32.9% 36.2% 33.3% 32.4% 39.3% 39.28%
Operating Margin 8.1% 8.7% 10.4% 9.2% -14.9% 10.7% 7.1% 13.1% 0.3% 13.3% 13.33%
Net Margin 6.6% 6.3% 7.7% 6.7% -13.6% 7.5% 5.3% 10.4% 0.3% 10.3% 10.33%
EBITDA Margin 8.3% 12.1% 12.4% 10.0% -12.1% 13.3% 12.5% 15.3% 2.7% 16.5% 16.53%
FCF Margin 2.7% -4.1% -0.0% -5.1% -12.1% -4.0% -5.3% 2.0% 4.3% 3.7% 3.68%
OCF Margin 7.8% 1.8% 4.3% -0.2% -6.8% 0.1% -0.2% 6.3% 7.9% 7.7% 7.67%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 13.39%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.00%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 14.78%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 20.67%
Cash ROA snapshot only 14.16%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 29.17%
CROIC snapshot only 13.99%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 7.47%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 8.52%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 4.94%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 22.20%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — 17.167
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — 1.076
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — 1.715
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — —
Graham Number snapshot only $4.93
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.44 1.85 2.02 1.99 1.98 1.79 1.93 2.15 2.18 1.98 1.976
Quick Ratio 0.93 1.11 1.09 1.16 1.18 1.09 1.16 1.41 1.47 1.48 1.482
Debt/Equity 0.57 0.43 0.37 0.26 0.35 0.35 0.30 0.33 0.29 0.27 0.267
Net Debt/Equity -0.31 -0.17 -0.14 -0.12 0.04 -0.05 -0.02 -0.16 -0.10 -0.13 -0.126
Debt/Assets 0.22 0.20 0.19 0.15 0.19 0.18 0.16 0.18 0.16 0.15 0.148
Debt/EBITDA 6.17 2.77 1.79 1.00 2.81 2.05 1.37 1.14 0.76 0.65 0.647
Net Debt/EBITDA -3.32 -1.11 -0.69 -0.46 0.33 -0.27 -0.09 -0.56 -0.27 -0.31 -0.306
Interest Coverage -14.07 -29.06 5.55 12.85 8.18 6.38 5.63 -3.52 11.73 26.03 26.033
Equity Multiplier 2.58 2.19 1.97 1.75 1.87 1.98 1.92 1.81 1.81 1.80 1.800
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.572
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 34.517
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.474
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.458
Defensive Interval snapshot only 396.3 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.43 0.73 1.01 1.45 1.23 1.40 1.63 1.83 1.87 1.85 1.854
Inventory Turnover 1.08 1.65 2.02 3.25 2.98 3.17 3.38 4.32 4.60 4.95 4.947
Receivables Turnover 3.09 5.05 8.60 8.99 7.36 7.38 8.94 10.25 8.34 6.79 6.793
Payables Turnover 2.15 2.84 4.54 8.46 6.41 5.77 7.01 11.62 10.39 8.40 8.404
DSO 118 72 42 41 50 49 41 36 44 54 53.7 days
DIO 338 221 181 112 123 115 108 85 79 74 73.8 days
DPO 169 129 80 43 57 63 52 31 35 43 43.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 287 165 143 110 115 101 97 89 88 84 84.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 9.064
Operating Cycle snapshot only 127.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 8.452
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.542
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue — — — — 1.7% 93.2% 67.2% 26.7% 43.6% 34.6% 34.59%
Net Income — — — — -44.3% -30.9% -41.2% -31.5% 5.5% 3.1% 3.08%
EPS — — — — -55.7% -33.8% -43.5% -31.6% 5.5% 3.1% 3.13%
FCF — — — — -12.9% -90.5% -354.6% 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.23%
EBITDA — — — — 61.5% 24.1% 15.0% 7.7% 2.2% 1.7% 1.68%
Op. Income — — — — -6.9% -3.7% -23.2% -23.1% 3.1% 1.9% 1.94%
OCF Growth snapshot only 183.09%
Asset Growth snapshot only 0.90%
Equity Growth snapshot only 10.77%
Debt Growth snapshot only -15.31%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.02%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 98.23%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — 0.99 0.99 0.991
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — 0.62 0.63 0.626
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — 0.89 0.87 0.874
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — 0.43 0.63 0.48 0.63 0.00 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — 0.15 0.15 0.150
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — 0.06 0.06 0.065
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — 0.09 0.08 0.078
Sustainable Growth Rate 7.3% 10.4% 11.7% 15.5% -2.5% 0.9% 2.1% 0.7% 13.4% 14.3% 14.33%
Internal Growth Rate 2.9% 5.0% 6.3% 9.7% — 0.4% 1.1% 0.4% 7.9% 8.2% 8.23%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.18 0.27 0.63 -0.03 -4.98 0.02 -0.08 1.72 1.27 1.09 1.088
FCF/OCF 0.35 -2.32 -0.01 22.54 1.77 -72.07 28.02 0.31 0.55 0.48 0.480
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.522
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.618
CapEx/Revenue 5.1% 5.9% 4.3% 4.9% 5.3% 4.1% 5.1% 4.3% 3.5% 4.0% 3.99%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.308
Accruals Ratio -0.01 0.03 0.03 0.10 0.10 0.03 0.04 -0.05 -0.03 -0.01 -0.012
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.013
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.106
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — 2.67%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.04 $0.03 $0.11 $0.11 $0.11 $0.22 $0.15 $0.21 $0.10
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 13.7% 9.9% 1.7% 87.0% 72.7% 94.0% 36.9% 41.8% 41.79%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% — — — — — — 1.8% 52.4% 80.0% 80.03%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 13.7% 9.9% 1.7% 89.8% 76.1% 97.8% 39.1% 44.4% 44.36%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.90 0.87 0.88 0.87 1.02 0.95 0.90 0.87 0.85 0.83 0.827
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -0.11 -0.56 0.60 0.29 0.03 0.11 0.35 -1.16 0.86 0.91 0.910
EBIT Margin -0.69 -0.13 0.13 0.27 0.39 0.22 0.08 -0.04 0.08 0.09 0.094
Asset Turnover 0.43 0.73 1.01 1.45 1.23 1.40 1.63 1.83 1.87 1.85 1.854
Equity Multiplier 2.58 2.19 1.97 1.75 2.19 2.07 1.94 1.78 1.84 1.88 1.883
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.14 $0.18 $0.26 $0.35 $0.06 $0.12 $0.15 $0.24 $0.41 $0.50 $0.50
Book Value/Share $1.96 $1.77 $1.93 $2.02 $1.88 $1.92 $2.03 $1.97 $2.00 $2.15 $2.15
Tangible Book/Share $1.96 $1.77 $1.93 $2.02 $1.80 $1.91 $2.02 $1.96 $1.98 $2.13 $2.13
Revenue/Share $2.18 $2.84 $3.84 $5.15 $4.64 $5.25 $6.17 $6.52 $6.70 $7.14 $3.44
FCF/Share $0.06 $-0.12 $-0.00 $-0.26 $-0.56 $-0.21 $-0.33 $0.13 $0.29 $0.26 $0.07
OCF/Share $0.17 $0.05 $0.16 $-0.01 $-0.32 $0.00 $-0.01 $0.41 $0.53 $0.55 $0.20
Cash/Share $1.73 $1.07 $0.99 $0.78 $0.58 $0.76 $0.64 $0.97 $0.79 $0.84 $0.84
EBITDA/Share $0.18 $0.28 $0.40 $0.53 $0.23 $0.33 $0.44 $0.57 $0.76 $0.89 $0.89
Debt/Share $1.12 $0.76 $0.72 $0.53 $0.66 $0.67 $0.61 $0.65 $0.58 $0.57 $0.57
Net Debt/Share $-0.61 $-0.31 $-0.28 $-0.25 $0.08 $-0.09 $-0.04 $-0.32 $-0.20 $-0.27 $-0.27
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 4 3 3 2 4 5 4 6 9 9 9
Beneish M-Score — — — — -1.25 -1.70 -1.48 -2.67 -2.64 -2.52 -2.517
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.050
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 30.01%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $1.20
EVA snapshot only $174709241.73
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A
Credit Score 30.19 36.18 58.55 60.53 55.86 54.57 54.67 44.89 73.59 73.31 73.312
Credit Grade snapshot only 6
Credit Trend snapshot only 18.738
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 150.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 56
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 66

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