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2782.T JPX

Seria Co., Ltd.
1W: -3.8% 1M: +1.1% 3M: +23.1% YTD: +7.1% 1Y: +47.4% 3Y: +104.3% 5Y: +21.9%
¥4,475.00 ($28.37)
-115.00 (-2.51%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.5%
¥4070 ¥4272 ¥4475 ¥4678 ¥4880
JPX · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores · Tech Score Neutral · Power 52 · ¥280.5B mcap · 44M float · 0.678% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
4
ROA
5
D/E
2
P/E
3
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. 2782.T receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: ROE (4/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (2/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 A B+
2026-09-24 None ADDED
2026-09-23 EXISTED None
2026-07-01 A- A
2026-05-07 None ADDED
2026-05-06 EXISTED None
2026-04-22 B+ A-
2026-04-01 A B+
2026-03-23 A- A
2026-03-17 A A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 68 Grade A
Profitability
51
Balance Sheet
98
Earnings Quality
82
Growth
64
Value
80
Momentum
77
Safety
100
Cash Flow
63
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. 2782.T scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Profitability (51/100). An overall grade of A places 2782.T among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
8.36
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-1.94
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-12.08
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AAA
Score: 97.6/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 0.86x
Accruals: 1.9%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. 2782.T scores 8.36, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. 2782.T scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. 2782.T's score of -1.94 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. 2782.T's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. 2782.T receives an estimated rating of AAA (score: 97.6/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). 2782.T's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
17.49x
PEG
0.25x
P/S
1.06x
P/B
2.97x
P/FCF
21.78x
P/OCF
14.54x
EV/EBITDA
7.68x
EV/Revenue
0.75x
EV/EBIT
9.78x
EV/FCF
17.87x
Earnings Yield
8.00%
FCF Yield
4.59%
Shareholder Yield
2.31%
Graham Number
$3141.35
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 17.5x earnings, 2782.T trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 8.0% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $3141.35 per share, 42% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.956
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.997
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.076
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.907
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.320
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
18.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. 2782.T's ROE of 18.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.907), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.96 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$11189.11
Price/Value
0.32x
Margin of Safety
67.51%
Premium
-67.51%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with 2782.T's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. 2782.T actually compounded EPS at 20.3% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. 2782.T trades at a -68% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $11189.11, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 17.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$4475.00
Median 1Y
$4455.19
5th Pctile
$2642.19
95th Pctile
$7507.18
Ann. Volatility
31.4%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 18.6% 18.4% 18.2% 18.1% 17.6% 16.1% 15.4% 13.6% 12.4% 10.8% 9.9% 9.2% 9.3% 9.8% 10.5% 10.7% 16.2% 15.5% 15.6% 18.3% 18.30%
ROA 13.8% 13.6% 13.7% 13.6% 13.2% 12.0% 11.8% 10.4% 9.5% 8.2% 7.6% 7.1% 7.1% 7.6% 8.1% 8.3% 12.4% 11.9% 12.2% 13.9% 13.86%
ROIC 44.7% 43.8% 40.0% 42.5% 41.1% 39.1% 35.1% 32.0% 28.0% 25.0% 21.7% 20.3% 19.9% 22.5% 25.1% 24.0% 28.3% 24.6% 23.2% 25.0% 24.97%
ROCE 23.6% 23.1% 22.9% 22.7% 22.2% 21.2% 20.3% 18.2% 16.7% 14.7% 13.5% 12.7% 12.8% 13.2% 14.0% 14.0% 15.0% 14.0% 14.1% 18.7% 18.68%
Gross Margin 43.4% 43.6% 43.2% 43.4% 43.4% 43.5% 42.8% 42.1% 41.6% 41.2% 41.2% 41.1% 41.3% 39.4% 41.2% 39.1% 39.5% 39.5% 39.3% 39.8% 39.80%
Operating Margin 12.2% 10.2% 10.1% 10.2% 11.2% 8.5% 8.3% 7.1% 8.6% 5.0% 5.8% 5.7% 8.6% 6.8% 6.8% 6.4% 8.9% 6.3% 6.9% 8.9% 8.85%
Net Margin 8.3% 7.4% 6.8% 7.1% 7.8% 5.8% 5.7% 4.7% 5.8% 3.0% 3.8% 3.8% 5.8% 4.1% 4.6% 4.2% 14.3% 4.0% 4.6% 6.0% 6.03%
EBITDA Margin 13.9% 12.2% 11.9% 12.2% 13.4% 11.0% 10.4% 9.2% 10.7% 7.4% 7.9% 7.9% 10.6% 8.1% 8.9% 8.2% 11.1% 7.7% 8.9% 10.8% 10.83%
FCF Margin 5.6% 6.0% 6.3% 6.7% 7.1% 6.9% 6.7% 6.0% 5.4% 5.0% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.0% 3.7% 3.3% 2.9% 3.6% 4.0% 4.2% 4.18%
OCF Margin 8.2% 8.5% 8.7% 9.0% 9.3% 9.1% 8.9% 7.6% 6.4% 5.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.6% 4.8% 5.0% 5.2% 5.8% 6.2% 6.3% 6.25%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 12.88%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 13.77%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 9.75%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 15.74%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 14.86%
Cash ROA snapshot only 12.23%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 29.14%
CROIC snapshot only 19.46%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 5.36%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 7.61%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 29.31%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 17.90 17.82 18.83 17.53 15.07 13.40 12.06 14.03 17.25 18.08 17.36 17.78 20.86 22.26 20.32 23.74 12.69 11.43 12.15 12.51 17.489
P/S Ratio 1.30 1.31 1.36 1.30 1.10 0.92 0.79 0.84 0.95 0.87 0.76 0.74 0.87 0.98 0.93 1.11 0.88 0.79 0.84 0.91 1.059
P/B Ratio 3.14 3.08 3.23 2.99 2.50 2.07 1.79 1.85 2.09 1.90 1.68 1.60 1.89 2.14 2.08 2.47 2.03 1.73 1.85 2.41 2.965
P/FCF 23.00 21.83 21.49 19.33 15.46 13.29 11.78 13.94 17.72 17.49 16.95 16.32 19.21 24.53 25.48 33.58 29.88 22.05 21.12 21.78 21.776
P/OCF 15.76 15.43 15.60 14.37 11.75 10.09 8.94 11.05 14.90 15.88 16.95 16.32 19.21 21.35 19.31 22.10 16.90 13.53 13.57 14.54 14.543
EV/EBITDA 8.42 8.41 9.06 8.24 6.70 5.35 4.54 5.20 6.68 6.43 5.77 5.66 7.27 8.38 7.56 9.62 6.81 5.90 6.60 7.68 7.682
EV/Revenue 1.05 1.05 1.12 1.04 0.84 0.65 0.53 0.57 0.69 0.61 0.51 0.48 0.62 0.73 0.67 0.86 0.62 0.53 0.60 0.75 0.746
EV/EBIT 9.95 9.93 10.76 9.76 7.98 6.43 5.50 6.41 8.41 8.40 7.73 7.69 9.87 11.20 9.98 12.65 8.87 7.72 8.64 9.78 9.785
EV/FCF 18.55 17.55 17.71 15.46 11.77 9.38 7.93 9.48 12.88 12.19 11.38 10.69 13.75 18.20 18.41 26.09 21.07 14.87 15.04 17.87 17.875
Earnings Yield 5.6% 5.6% 5.3% 5.7% 6.6% 7.5% 8.3% 7.1% 5.8% 5.5% 5.8% 5.6% 4.8% 4.5% 4.9% 4.2% 7.9% 8.7% 8.2% 8.0% 8.00%
FCF Yield 4.3% 4.6% 4.7% 5.2% 6.5% 7.5% 8.5% 7.2% 5.6% 5.7% 5.9% 6.1% 5.2% 4.1% 3.9% 3.0% 3.3% 4.5% 4.7% 4.6% 4.59%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.251
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 2.429
EV/OCF snapshot only 11.937
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.889
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 9.590
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 2.31%
Graham Number snapshot only $3141.35
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 3.34 3.37 3.77 3.79 3.76 3.64 3.98 4.06 4.06 3.97 4.10 4.10 3.97 3.96 4.19 4.24 3.96 3.91 4.31 3.18 3.183
Quick Ratio 2.57 2.59 2.83 2.90 2.93 2.83 3.05 3.12 3.15 3.04 3.02 3.04 3.00 2.99 3.12 3.19 2.99 2.96 3.21 2.14 2.135
Debt/Equity 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.008
Net Debt/Equity -0.61 -0.60 -0.57 -0.60 -0.60 -0.61 -0.58 -0.59 -0.57 -0.58 -0.55 -0.55 -0.54 -0.55 -0.58 -0.55 -0.60 -0.56 -0.53 -0.43 -0.432
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.006
Debt/EBITDA 0.00 0.08 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.03 0.031
Net Debt/EBITDA -2.02 -2.05 -1.93 -2.06 -2.10 -2.22 -2.21 -2.45 -2.51 -2.80 -2.83 -2.98 -2.88 -2.92 -2.90 -2.76 -2.85 -2.85 -2.67 -1.68 -1.677
Interest Coverage 1724.58 1633.46 1775.08 1830.25 1817.17 1915.18 1842.82 1869.50 1730.10 1709.11 1567.00 1495.44 1711.75 1811.00 2192.43 1977.50 2053.50 2034.50 2057.00 3185.17 3185.167
Equity Multiplier 1.35 1.35 1.31 1.32 1.32 1.33 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.29 1.29 1.30 1.30 1.29 1.29 1.30 1.31 1.28 1.35 1.354
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.615
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 4057.000
Cash to Debt snapshot only 55.205
FCF to Debt snapshot only 13.893
Defensive Interval snapshot only 216.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.91 1.85 1.90 1.84 1.81 1.75 1.78 1.73 1.72 1.70 1.74 1.71 1.72 1.72 1.77 1.77 1.79 1.72 1.77 1.91 1.907
Inventory Turnover 6.69 6.57 6.31 6.28 6.62 6.33 6.15 6.14 6.51 6.24 6.01 5.98 6.31 6.16 5.94 6.10 6.43 6.18 6.15 6.08 6.076
Receivables Turnover 556.94 631.08 573.93 572.52 464.99 420.80 366.28 297.10 185.11 154.72 135.99 95.38 62.56 59.44 60.72 52.39 44.23 39.09 42.38 37.66 37.659
Payables Turnover 10.62 10.81 10.94 10.96 10.35 10.39 10.91 10.65 10.20 10.12 10.87 11.01 10.09 10.48 11.28 11.95 11.06 11.19 12.03 11.68 11.682
DSO 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 4 6 6 6 7 8 9 9 10 9.7 days
DIO 55 56 58 58 55 58 59 59 56 59 61 61 58 59 61 60 57 59 59 60 60.1 days
DPO 34 34 33 33 35 35 33 34 36 36 34 33 36 35 32 31 33 33 30 31 31.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 21 22 25 25 21 23 27 26 22 25 30 32 27 31 35 36 32 36 38 39 38.5 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 9.342
Operating Cycle snapshot only 69.8 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 6.027
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.511
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 11.4% 10.6% 9.5% 8.3% 5.8% 3.7% 2.2% 1.2% 1.3% 2.1% 2.4% 2.8% 3.4% 5.1% 6.4% 7.9% 7.6% 5.9% 4.9% 8.0% 8.00%
Net Income 24.4% 22.0% 14.6% 15.7% 6.3% -2.9% -6.9% -17.7% -23.5% -28.3% -32.0% -29.3% -22.0% -4.2% 11.5% 22.1% 80.1% 66.0% 57.6% 67.8% 67.82%
EPS 24.4% 22.0% 14.6% 15.7% 6.3% -2.6% -6.2% -17.1% -22.9% -28.0% -32.0% -29.3% -22.0% -4.2% 11.5% 22.1% 80.1% 66.0% 57.6% 1.0% 1.01%
FCF 15.3% 20.2% 24.8% 29.1% 33.1% 20.0% 8.7% -8.8% -23.6% -26.5% -31.9% -23.4% -13.0% -15.9% -13.1% -20.8% -29.6% -5.1% 13.7% 36.4% 36.36%
EBITDA 27.3% 19.6% 14.0% 14.2% 6.2% 0.9% -2.9% -11.3% -16.1% -20.6% -23.2% -20.7% -14.6% -3.6% 7.4% 13.7% 15.2% 10.2% 6.3% 17.0% 17.02%
Op. Income 23.9% 20.8% 14.6% 15.3% 5.0% -1.7% -6.7% -16.5% -21.2% -26.2% -29.0% -26.4% -19.5% -2.1% 12.1% 22.2% 23.1% 11.3% 6.7% 17.5% 17.54%
OCF Growth snapshot only 34.37%
Asset Growth snapshot only -4.95%
Equity Growth snapshot only -9.48%
Debt Growth snapshot only -55.55%
Shares Change snapshot only -16.70%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 60.07%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 7.8% 8.0% 8.0% 7.9% 7.6% 6.9% 6.6% 6.1% 6.1% 5.4% 4.7% 4.0% 3.5% 3.6% 3.7% 3.9% 4.1% 4.3% 4.6% 6.2% 6.20%
Revenue 5Y 9.1% 8.9% 8.7% 8.4% 8.0% 7.4% 6.9% 6.4% 6.1% 5.9% 5.7% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.7% 5.8% 5.8% 5.4% 5.1% 5.6% 5.59%
EPS 3Y 7.6% 9.2% 9.6% 10.7% 9.8% 7.6% 6.5% 2.8% 0.6% -5.0% -9.9% -12.1% -13.9% -12.4% -10.7% -10.5% 2.7% 4.6% 6.1% 20.3% 20.26%
EPS 5Y 14.0% 13.1% 11.4% 10.6% 8.9% 0.4% 4.8% 2.3% 0.4% -1.8% -3.4% -4.4% -4.5% -3.0% -1.7% -1.3% 7.4% 6.4% 5.2% 10.8% 10.78%
Net Income 3Y 7.6% 9.2% 9.6% 10.7% 9.8% 7.5% 6.2% 2.6% 0.4% -5.3% -10.1% -12.4% -14.1% -12.6% -10.9% -10.8% 2.4% 4.5% 6.1% 13.2% 13.15%
Net Income 5Y 14.0% 13.1% 11.4% 10.6% 8.9% 6.3% 4.6% 2.1% 0.3% -2.0% -3.6% -4.6% -4.6% -3.1% -1.9% -1.4% 7.3% 6.2% 5.0% 6.6% 6.64%
EBITDA 3Y 14.0% 15.2% 15.9% 16.9% 16.2% 14.6% 11.9% 7.3% 4.3% -1.4% -5.3% -7.0% -8.7% -8.3% -7.1% -7.2% -6.2% -5.5% -4.3% 1.8% 1.81%
EBITDA 5Y 16.7% 15.9% 14.5% 13.8% 12.3% 10.8% 9.2% 7.2% 5.7% 4.1% 3.0% 2.4% 2.4% 2.9% 3.0% 2.2% 2.2% 0.3% -0.6% 1.3% 1.35%
Gross Profit 3Y 8.0% 8.2% 8.2% 8.0% 7.7% 7.0% 6.6% 5.8% 5.4% 4.3% 3.3% 2.4% 1.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.3% 1.1% 1.4% 1.3% 3.3% 3.31%
Gross Profit 5Y 9.6% 9.4% 9.2% 8.8% 8.3% 7.7% 7.0% 6.3% 5.8% 5.3% 4.9% 4.5% 4.4% 4.3% 4.4% 4.3% 4.1% 3.7% 3.1% 3.7% 3.70%
Op. Income 3Y 7.7% 8.9% 9.4% 10.7% 9.6% 7.6% 6.2% 2.8% 0.8% -4.3% -8.8% -10.9% -12.6% -10.7% -9.4% -9.1% -7.9% -7.0% -5.3% 1.9% 1.86%
Op. Income 5Y 12.8% 12.1% 10.8% 10.1% 8.5% 6.6% 4.8% 2.4% 0.7% -1.3% -2.8% -3.6% -3.5% -2.1% -0.9% -0.5% 0.3% -0.9% -1.9% 0.3% 0.33%
FCF 3Y 0.7% 4.0% 7.2% 10.3% 13.3% 12.9% 12.4% 9.0% 5.4% 2.0% -2.6% -3.4% -4.0% -9.5% -13.7% -17.9% -22.3% -16.3% -12.4% -6.1% -6.13%
FCF 5Y 12.8% 13.3% 13.6% 14.0% 14.3% 11.4% 8.8% 4.7% 0.8% -0.2% -1.9% -1.3% -0.7% -2.3% -3.4% -4.7% -6.4% -3.3% -1.8% -0.5% -0.52%
OCF 3Y 4.7% 6.6% 8.4% 10.2% 12.0% 11.2% 10.4% 5.1% -0.7% -6.6% -13.8% -14.6% -15.3% -15.6% -14.9% -14.5% -14.3% -10.1% -7.4% -0.6% -0.61%
OCF 5Y 13.2% 13.3% 13.3% 13.3% 13.4% 10.9% 8.7% 3.9% -1.0% -3.6% -7.3% -7.0% -6.6% -5.8% -4.4% -3.2% -2.2% -0.8% -0.3% 0.1% 0.11%
Assets 3Y 12.3% 12.2% 11.9% 12.1% 11.8% 10.2% 10.3% 9.8% 8.9% 7.7% 7.1% 6.4% 5.6% 4.8% 5.1% 4.5% 3.3% 4.9% 4.7% 1.1% 1.14%
Assets 5Y 14.2% 14.3% 13.8% 13.8% 12.4% 11.6% 11.5% 10.7% 9.8% 9.2% 9.1% 8.8% 8.5% 7.7% 7.9% 7.6% 6.6% 6.9% 6.4% 3.9% 3.87%
Equity 3Y 12.8% 12.8% 12.9% 12.8% 12.3% 11.3% 11.2% 10.6% 10.2% 9.1% 8.3% 7.6% 7.0% 6.2% 5.8% 5.2% 3.8% 5.3% 5.2% -0.2% -0.23%
Book Value 3Y 12.8% 12.8% 12.9% 12.8% 12.3% 11.4% 11.5% 10.9% 10.4% 9.4% 8.6% 7.9% 7.3% 6.5% 6.1% 5.5% 4.1% 5.5% 5.2% 6.0% 6.03%
Dividend 3Y 3.2% 3.2% 3.1% 3.0% 2.9% 3.7% 4.4% -5.0% -16.2% -34.4% — — — -0.0% — — — 59.0% 26.0% 17.0% 16.98%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.95 0.98 0.99 0.95 0.954
Earnings Stability 0.85 0.88 0.91 0.90 0.87 0.86 0.81 0.48 0.22 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.14 0.19 0.23 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.017
Margin Stability 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.961
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.90 0.91 0.94 0.94 0.97 0.99 0.97 0.93 0.91 0.89 0.87 0.88 0.91 0.98 0.95 0.91 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.78 0.80 0.86 0.85 0.94 0.97 0.93 0.81 0.73 0.67 0.62 0.66 0.75 0.96 0.89 0.80 0.43 0.50 0.55 0.49 0.494
ROE Trend 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.10 0.096
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.012
FCF Margin Trend -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.003
Sustainable Growth Rate 13.2% 13.1% 12.8% 12.8% 12.3% 10.8% 9.9% 9.5% 9.6% 9.4% 9.9% 9.2% 9.3% 8.5% 7.8% 6.8% 10.9% 10.5% 10.6% 13.0% 13.01%
Internal Growth Rate 10.8% 10.7% 10.7% 10.7% 10.1% 8.7% 8.2% 7.8% 7.9% 7.7% 8.2% 7.6% 7.7% 7.0% 6.5% 5.6% 9.2% 8.8% 9.0% 10.9% 10.93%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.14 1.16 1.21 1.22 1.28 1.33 1.35 1.27 1.16 1.14 1.02 1.09 1.09 1.04 1.05 1.07 0.75 0.84 0.90 0.86 0.860
FCF/OCF 0.69 0.71 0.73 0.74 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.79 0.84 0.91 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.87 0.76 0.66 0.57 0.61 0.64 0.67 0.668
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.574
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.644
CapEx/Revenue 2.6% 2.5% 2.4% 2.3% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 2.3% 2.3% 2.2% 2.1% 2.08%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.995
Accruals Ratio -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.019
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.151
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.496
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 2.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 2.5% 2.8% 2.6% 2.3% 1.79%
Dividend/Share $55.00 $56.25 $57.50 $58.75 $60.00 $62.71 $65.51 $50.39 $35.27 $17.64 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $17.50 $34.99 $52.49 $69.99 $69.99 $69.99 $84.03 $80.00
Payout Ratio 29.2% 29.0% 29.5% 29.2% 30.0% 33.1% 35.9% 30.2% 22.9% 12.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.4% 25.2% 36.4% 32.3% 32.3% 32.0% 28.9% 28.91%
FCF Payout Ratio 37.6% 35.5% 33.7% 32.1% 30.8% 32.9% 35.0% 30.0% 23.5% 12.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.8% 31.6% 51.5% 76.1% 62.3% 55.7% 50.3% 50.34%
Total Payout Ratio 29.2% 29.0% 29.5% 29.2% 30.0% 36.2% 42.2% 37.1% 30.4% 17.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.4% 25.2% 36.4% 32.3% 32.3% 32.0% 28.9% 28.91%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 — — — 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
Chowder Number 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.14 0.16 -0.13 -0.40 -0.71 — — — -0.00 — — — 3.03 1.03 0.36 0.356
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 2.7% 3.5% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 2.5% 2.8% 2.6% 2.3% 2.31%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.68 0.68 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.99 1.00 1.00 0.96 0.956
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.997
EBIT Margin 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.076
Asset Turnover 1.91 1.85 1.90 1.84 1.81 1.75 1.78 1.73 1.72 1.70 1.74 1.71 1.72 1.72 1.77 1.77 1.79 1.72 1.77 1.91 1.907
Equity Multiplier 1.35 1.35 1.32 1.33 1.33 1.34 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.30 1.29 1.30 1.30 1.29 1.29 1.30 1.31 1.28 1.32 1.320
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $188.07 $194.17 $194.70 $201.46 $199.93 $189.21 $182.67 $167.09 $154.15 $136.28 $124.27 $118.17 $120.24 $130.56 $138.61 $144.25 $216.52 $216.79 $218.46 $290.63 $290.63
Book Value/Share $1073.90 $1123.54 $1134.96 $1182.85 $1203.83 $1223.26 $1233.27 $1265.89 $1274.57 $1295.14 $1287.73 $1314.43 $1324.97 $1356.15 $1356.76 $1388.66 $1356.16 $1435.44 $1437.66 $1509.09 $1509.14
Tangible Book/Share $1072.78 $1122.46 $1133.88 $1181.62 $1202.50 $1221.94 $1231.98 $1264.56 $1273.31 $1293.60 $1285.39 $1312.19 $1322.15 $1353.22 $1353.73 $1384.95 $1353.24 $1428.62 $1431.06 $1496.68 $1496.68
Revenue/Share $2596.00 $2646.13 $2690.29 $2725.21 $2746.77 $2753.05 $2772.46 $2779.85 $2804.79 $2822.44 $2840.27 $2857.92 $2899.14 $2966.55 $3023.26 $3083.13 $3120.44 $3141.00 $3172.67 $3997.46 $4225.17
FCF/Share $146.40 $158.52 $170.64 $182.76 $194.88 $190.87 $187.04 $168.10 $150.09 $140.85 $127.30 $128.73 $130.62 $118.45 $110.58 $101.97 $91.97 $112.39 $125.72 $166.93 $124.16
OCF/Share $213.63 $224.33 $235.03 $245.73 $256.42 $251.35 $246.53 $212.08 $178.56 $155.08 $127.30 $128.73 $130.62 $136.11 $145.90 $154.95 $162.61 $183.15 $195.68 $249.95 $172.25
Cash/Share $652.09 $706.66 $663.64 $726.15 $738.03 $770.62 $739.68 $768.15 $744.74 $771.91 $726.90 $742.30 $729.16 $773.41 $805.10 $786.16 $833.68 $826.08 $781.46 $663.28 $663.28
EBITDA/Share $322.50 $330.64 $333.64 $342.96 $342.35 $334.66 $326.44 $306.54 $289.38 $266.83 $250.79 $243.08 $247.12 $257.18 $269.37 $276.46 $284.72 $283.41 $286.41 $388.41 $388.41
Debt/Share $0.00 $27.47 $19.74 $19.32 $19.01 $26.24 $18.39 $18.05 $17.68 $25.27 $17.88 $17.04 $16.99 $23.60 $23.59 $22.51 $23.60 $18.98 $16.96 $12.02 $12.02
Net Debt/Share $-652.09 $-679.20 $-643.90 $-706.83 $-719.02 $-744.39 $-721.28 $-750.10 $-727.06 $-746.64 $-709.03 $-725.27 $-712.18 $-749.80 $-781.50 $-763.64 $-810.08 $-807.10 $-764.51 $-651.27 $-651.27
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 8.356
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 14.048
Piotroski F-Score 7 9 8 8 8 7 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 8 7 5 7 7 7 7
Beneish M-Score -2.35 -2.42 -2.45 -2.36 -2.34 -1.85 -1.73 -1.20 -0.31 -0.52 -0.56 -0.27 -0.76 0.91 0.44 -0.06 -0.32 -2.21 -2.20 -1.94 -1.937
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -12.083
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 23.02%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $773.27
EVA snapshot only $8046421406.09
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AAA
Credit Score 89.00 95.90 97.49 96.74 97.55 96.68 97.60 96.93 96.98 96.82 96.90 96.82 96.84 96.68 96.80 96.01 97.43 96.64 97.42 97.56 97.561
Credit Grade snapshot only 1
Credit Trend snapshot only 1.550
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 50.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 100
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 91

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