— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

3538.T JPX

WILLPLUS Holdings Corporation
1W: -3.8% 1M: -2.2% 3M: +12.5% YTD: -4.7% 1Y: +0.2% 3Y: -7.2% 5Y: +10.2%
¥1,010.00 ($6.40)
+9.00 (+0.90%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±2.5%
¥952 ¥976 ¥1001 ¥1026 ¥1050
JPX · Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Dealerships · Tech Score Neutral · Power 53 · ¥9.1B mcap · 3M float · 0.716% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A-
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
3
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
4
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. 3538.T receives an overall rating of A-. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROA (4/5), P/E (4/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-24 None ADDED
2026-09-23 EXISTED None
2026-07-01 A A-
2026-05-07 None ADDED
2026-05-06 EXISTED None
2026-04-01 A- A
2026-01-05 None ADDED
2026-01-04 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 60 Grade C
Profitability
22
Balance Sheet
68
Earnings Quality
90
Growth
77
Value
88
Momentum
94
Safety
80
Cash Flow
36
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. 3538.T scores highest in Momentum (94/100) and lowest in Profitability (22/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
3.44
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-1.96
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.72
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A-
Score: 67.7/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.08x
Accruals: -0.3%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. 3538.T scores 3.44, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. 3538.T scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. 3538.T's score of -1.96 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. 3538.T's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. 3538.T receives an estimated rating of A- (score: 67.7/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). 3538.T's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
8.21x
PEG
-0.36x
P/S
0.09x
P/B
0.78x
P/FCF
7.86x
P/OCF
5.79x
EV/EBITDA
4.27x
EV/Revenue
0.19x
EV/EBIT
8.40x
EV/FCF
15.11x
Earnings Yield
16.05%
FCF Yield
12.72%
Shareholder Yield
10.61%
Graham Number
$2055.77
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 8.2x earnings, 3538.T trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 16.1% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $2055.77 per share, suggesting a potential 105% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.742
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.945
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.023
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
2.554
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.357
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
14.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. 3538.T's ROE of 14.0% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.36x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$6088.28
Price/Value
0.16x
Margin of Safety
83.82%
Premium
-83.82%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with 3538.T's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. At an intrinsic value of $6088.28, 3538.T appears undervalued with a 84% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 8.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$1001.00
Median 1Y
$971.64
5th Pctile
$529.06
95th Pctile
$1783.06
Ann. Volatility
36.5%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
ROE 13.3% 17.6% 19.9% 22.5% 23.1% 21.6% 21.0% 19.0% 17.8% 14.9% 14.3% 14.0% 12.8% 11.6% 9.9% 11.5% 12.1% 13.4% 15.5% 14.0% 13.97%
ROA 5.0% 6.8% 7.7% 9.1% 9.3% 9.4% 9.2% 8.7% 7.9% 6.9% 6.3% 6.2% 5.6% 5.1% 4.0% 4.0% 4.2% 4.6% 5.0% 4.2% 4.16%
ROIC 9.3% 12.7% 15.7% 18.9% 18.1% 19.6% 20.2% 19.5% 16.6% 12.8% 11.8% 10.5% 9.4% 7.8% 7.5% 6.6% 5.6% 5.6% 6.6% 7.7% 7.75%
ROCE 16.1% 21.2% 24.0% 27.5% 25.2% 24.6% 24.7% 23.0% 22.1% 17.6% 14.2% 13.9% 12.8% 11.9% 9.2% 9.2% 10.4% 11.4% 13.2% 10.7% 10.73%
Gross Margin 20.6% 20.6% 19.9% 19.9% 21.6% 21.7% 21.5% 20.3% 20.9% 19.6% 20.4% 17.8% 18.5% 19.5% 19.2% 21.2% 13.8% 14.2% 13.4% 14.8% 14.77%
Operating Margin 5.1% 6.8% 5.3% 5.1% 6.2% 7.4% 6.0% 4.3% 5.0% 4.5% 4.7% 3.1% 2.3% 3.1% 2.8% 4.2% 1.2% 2.1% 2.7% 2.1% 2.14%
Net Margin 3.3% 4.6% 3.6% 3.4% 4.2% 4.7% 3.9% 2.8% 3.3% 2.9% 3.5% 2.3% 1.8% 2.1% 1.9% 3.6% 1.4% 1.9% 1.9% 1.3% 1.34%
EBITDA Margin 8.2% 9.6% 8.5% 8.0% 9.2% 10.2% 9.1% 7.5% 8.0% 7.3% 8.7% 6.3% 6.1% 6.7% 6.5% 8.2% 4.4% 5.0% 5.3% 3.5% 3.51%
FCF Margin -0.5% 0.5% 1.5% 2.4% 3.3% 4.3% 5.4% 5.2% 5.2% 5.3% 5.6% 6.0% 6.2% 6.5% 3.5% 3.0% 2.1% 1.4% 2.6% 1.3% 1.29%
OCF Margin 2.6% 3.5% 4.5% 4.9% 5.6% 6.4% 7.1% 6.7% 6.3% 5.9% 5.7% 6.0% 6.2% 6.5% 3.7% 3.4% 2.6% 2.0% 3.2% 1.8% 1.75%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 12.71%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 15.21%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.29%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 9.87%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 5.79%
Cash ROA snapshot only 4.17%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 8.12%
CROIC snapshot only 5.98%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.67%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 2.19%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 11.94%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
P/E Ratio 5.55 5.16 8.59 5.64 5.70 5.02 4.81 4.96 6.55 7.11 7.93 8.41 9.37 8.35 10.74 9.33 8.64 6.73 5.67 6.23 8.210
P/S Ratio 0.13 0.16 0.30 0.21 0.23 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.24 0.23 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.20 0.22 0.22 0.18 0.14 0.11 0.10 0.094
P/B Ratio 0.70 0.84 1.57 1.15 1.20 0.99 0.93 0.87 1.09 1.00 1.08 1.12 1.14 0.93 1.04 1.07 1.02 0.89 0.86 0.83 0.776
P/FCF -24.64 29.26 19.65 8.89 6.74 4.60 3.64 3.73 4.61 4.27 4.44 4.13 3.89 3.06 6.16 7.39 8.91 10.23 4.39 7.86 7.863
P/OCF 4.98 4.41 6.54 4.30 4.02 3.14 2.74 2.90 3.86 3.86 4.35 4.13 3.89 3.06 5.85 6.48 7.03 6.96 3.61 5.79 5.787
EV/EBITDA 2.82 2.77 3.98 2.62 2.88 2.24 2.04 1.89 2.76 3.14 3.48 3.98 4.05 3.83 4.07 4.89 5.23 5.01 4.41 4.27 4.272
EV/Revenue 0.19 0.20 0.32 0.22 0.25 0.20 0.19 0.17 0.24 0.25 0.27 0.30 0.28 0.26 0.26 0.34 0.32 0.29 0.24 0.19 0.195
EV/EBIT 5.25 4.49 6.30 3.94 4.26 3.32 3.00 2.83 4.20 5.04 5.67 6.67 7.29 7.31 8.55 9.66 9.99 9.32 7.75 8.40 8.398
EV/FCF -35.35 38.24 21.50 9.42 7.58 4.63 3.47 3.28 4.59 4.67 4.90 4.94 4.55 4.03 7.39 11.39 15.75 21.14 9.20 15.11 15.113
Earnings Yield 18.0% 19.4% 11.6% 17.7% 17.5% 19.9% 20.8% 20.2% 15.3% 14.1% 12.6% 11.9% 10.7% 12.0% 9.3% 10.7% 11.6% 14.8% 17.6% 16.1% 16.05%
FCF Yield -4.1% 3.4% 5.1% 11.3% 14.8% 21.8% 27.5% 26.8% 21.7% 23.4% 22.5% 24.2% 25.7% 32.7% 16.2% 13.5% 11.2% 9.8% 22.8% 12.7% 12.72%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.850
EV/OCF snapshot only 11.123
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.390
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 9.342
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 10.61%
Graham Number snapshot only $2055.77
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Current Ratio 1.04 1.07 1.06 1.11 1.27 1.36 1.36 1.38 1.35 1.49 1.76 1.64 1.63 1.50 1.67 1.64 1.48 1.42 1.40 1.48 1.478
Quick Ratio 0.45 0.47 0.49 0.51 0.61 0.75 0.74 0.79 0.66 0.66 0.71 0.64 0.65 0.59 0.77 0.87 0.63 0.56 0.70 0.74 0.742
Debt/Equity 0.79 0.71 0.63 0.52 0.71 0.61 0.56 0.52 0.50 0.56 0.60 0.66 0.64 0.70 0.80 1.34 1.37 1.53 1.67 1.53 1.525
Net Debt/Equity 0.30 0.26 0.15 0.07 0.15 0.01 -0.04 -0.10 -0.00 0.09 0.11 0.22 0.19 0.30 0.21 0.58 0.79 0.95 0.94 0.76 0.765
Debt/Assets 0.30 0.30 0.26 0.23 0.30 0.28 0.26 0.25 0.23 0.27 0.25 0.27 0.26 0.29 0.30 0.41 0.41 0.45 0.46 0.44 0.444
Debt/EBITDA 2.22 1.80 1.46 1.11 1.50 1.36 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.62 1.76 1.96 1.94 2.18 2.61 3.99 3.97 4.17 4.11 4.09 4.088
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.85 0.65 0.34 0.15 0.32 0.01 -0.10 -0.26 -0.01 0.27 0.32 0.65 0.59 0.92 0.68 1.71 2.27 2.58 2.30 2.05 2.049
Interest Coverage 66.09 95.93 133.77 187.97 230.73 230.61 233.38 216.53 210.28 187.47 178.38 161.53 130.19 110.78 90.80 81.01 49.89 36.56 28.92 18.43 18.425
Equity Multiplier 2.62 2.41 2.43 2.25 2.38 2.20 2.16 2.11 2.14 2.11 2.38 2.43 2.42 2.43 2.61 3.27 3.38 3.40 3.61 3.43 3.435
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.457
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 36.222
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.499
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.069
Defensive Interval snapshot only 407.3 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Asset Turnover 2.13 2.26 2.23 2.43 2.35 2.37 2.27 2.23 2.14 2.16 2.02 2.09 2.15 2.12 1.97 1.71 1.96 2.23 2.45 2.55 2.554
Inventory Turnover 4.89 4.75 5.10 5.92 5.95 6.48 6.18 6.24 5.43 5.57 4.73 4.92 4.80 4.71 4.29 3.78 3.95 4.61 5.79 6.33 6.334
Receivables Turnover 133.73 246.54 191.86 210.18 165.32 231.80 191.22 186.64 177.99 177.47 231.52 171.41 209.30 194.02 188.64 39.91 44.02 68.72 42.76 37.10 37.100
Payables Turnover 10.51 11.75 12.02 28.96 15.18 19.17 17.08 16.66 14.48 18.71 12.55 30.85 12.35 14.61 10.33 18.99 11.16 16.57 16.12 19.74 19.744
DSO 3 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 9 8 5 9 10 9.8 days
DIO 75 77 72 62 61 56 59 59 67 66 77 74 76 78 85 97 92 79 63 58 57.6 days
DPO 35 31 30 13 24 19 21 22 25 20 29 12 30 25 35 19 33 22 23 18 18.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 43 47 43 51 39 39 40 39 44 48 50 65 48 54 52 87 68 63 49 49 49.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 9.996
Operating Cycle snapshot only 67.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 10.747
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.420
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 1.8% 8.3% 7.4% 16.3% 20.6% 10.4% 6.8% -2.6% -2.8% -1.1% 1.6% 11.1% 14.4% 14.7% 16.0% 8.2% 23.5% 42.3% 64.9% 85.6% 85.60%
Net Income -8.3% 25.9% 46.9% 91.1% 1.0% 46.1% 26.0% 1.1% -9.5% -20.5% -21.9% -16.0% -19.5% -14.1% -24.7% -13.6% 1.0% 22.1% 65.0% 28.3% 28.28%
EPS -8.1% 24.0% 46.5% 90.6% 1.0% 42.7% 23.6% -0.9% -9.6% -20.8% -22.3% -16.6% -20.0% -14.6% -25.1% -12.0% 8.8% 30.7% 77.2% 34.9% 34.90%
FCF 73.9% 1.2% 1.6% 2.8% 8.7% 8.0% 2.8% 1.1% 52.3% 21.2% 5.5% 28.7% 36.4% 40.9% -26.4% -46.5% -59.3% -70.6% 22.2% -19.5% -19.47%
EBITDA 45.3% 47.1% 52.6% 58.9% 60.9% 35.1% 20.0% 2.3% -3.8% -12.5% -12.7% -8.2% -7.9% -0.5% -5.2% 0.5% 8.9% 18.3% 40.4% 22.4% 22.36%
Op. Income -13.1% 24.3% 51.0% 97.3% 1.1% 51.3% 31.2% 3.3% -6.3% -19.2% -24.1% -21.1% -27.7% -23.9% -28.6% -20.0% -9.4% 4.2% 40.9% 23.7% 23.75%
OCF Growth snapshot only -4.03%
Asset Growth snapshot only 15.78%
Equity Growth snapshot only 10.30%
Debt Growth snapshot only 25.49%
Shares Change snapshot only -4.90%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 1.06%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 3Y 12.4% 14.8% 15.1% 16.5% 16.1% 14.8% 13.1% 10.0% 6.1% 5.7% 5.2% 8.0% 10.2% 7.8% 8.0% 5.4% 11.1% 17.3% 24.8% 30.7% 30.69%
Revenue 5Y — — 46.5% 29.3% 19.4% 12.3% 12.0% 11.0% 10.7% 10.6% 10.6% 11.4% 11.7% 11.4% 11.3% 9.8% 11.0% 14.0% 17.4% 20.4% 20.37%
EPS 3Y 2.6% 41.4% 17.3% 22.5% 25.8% 27.9% 31.4% 26.9% 18.9% 11.9% 12.0% 16.4% 13.5% -1.2% -10.4% -10.1% -7.7% -4.0% 1.0% -0.3% -0.34%
EPS 5Y — — 48.5% 47.8% 51.2% 20.8% 39.5% 31.7% 14.5% 26.2% 9.1% 8.7% 7.6% 7.2% 5.7% 8.5% 7.9% 9.4% 13.3% 13.3% 13.34%
Net Income 3Y 2.2% 13.3% 18.2% 23.4% 26.1% 29.8% 33.1% 28.5% 19.2% 13.5% 13.1% 17.5% 14.2% -0.1% -9.5% -9.8% -9.7% -5.9% -1.0% -2.4% -2.36%
Net Income 5Y — — 49.5% 48.7% 33.0% 22.1% 22.6% 15.8% 14.6% 11.1% 10.2% 9.8% 7.9% 8.3% 6.7% 9.0% 6.6% 8.9% 12.4% 12.5% 12.46%
EBITDA 3Y 23.5% 30.3% 34.6% 40.2% 41.6% 45.8% 48.2% 47.0% 31.0% 20.2% 16.9% 14.3% 12.6% 5.6% -0.2% -1.9% -1.2% 1.0% 5.1% 4.1% 4.14%
EBITDA 5Y — — 60.7% 53.5% 38.4% 28.5% 29.1% 24.3% 23.9% 21.2% 20.6% 20.9% 20.3% 22.0% 21.9% 24.0% 17.7% 15.4% 16.3% 12.9% 12.91%
Gross Profit 3Y 10.7% 12.6% 13.3% 14.9% 14.9% 14.7% 13.7% 11.9% 8.8% 7.0% 7.0% 8.0% 8.2% 6.0% 5.2% 4.3% 6.0% 8.3% 11.2% 13.8% 13.77%
Gross Profit 5Y — — 44.8% 28.4% 18.6% 11.9% 12.2% 11.1% 10.8% 9.9% 9.6% 9.7% 9.4% 9.4% 8.9% 9.2% 9.0% 9.7% 11.6% 12.7% 12.71%
Op. Income 3Y -1.7% 9.3% 14.4% 22.0% 24.1% 28.0% 30.5% 28.4% 19.8% 15.0% 14.6% 17.2% 12.6% -2.4% -10.8% -13.3% -15.0% -13.8% -8.6% -7.9% -7.89%
Op. Income 5Y — — 44.8% 40.3% 27.3% 18.4% 19.4% 14.4% 13.4% 9.8% 8.3% 8.2% 5.3% 5.2% 3.8% 6.0% 2.4% 3.8% 8.6% 9.8% 9.76%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.5% 43.5% 13.4% -5.5% -20.5% -1.7% -17.8% -17.83%
FCF 5Y — — — — 89.5% 67.1% 46.8% 59.5% 92.2% — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y 20.9% 40.3% 57.3% 90.6% 1.5% — — — — 9.1% 2.5% 77.8% 47.6% 32.5% 1.1% -7.0% -13.9% -20.3% -4.7% -16.3% -16.26%
OCF 5Y — — — 78.3% 55.6% 45.9% 38.7% 37.8% 37.8% 38.2% 39.6% 55.6% 82.8% — — — — 2.6% 1.1% 26.9% 26.90%
Assets 3Y 21.7% 20.3% 17.0% 14.5% 16.0% 11.2% 9.7% 8.3% 7.3% 6.0% 10.1% 12.4% 12.3% 13.7% 14.8% 23.7% 23.0% 24.7% 27.5% 26.0% 25.96%
Assets 5Y — — 15.5% 16.5% 16.0% 16.6% 15.7% 14.8% 15.5% 15.4% 15.6% 15.9% 14.9% 13.1% 13.4% 17.0% 17.3% 16.4% 17.9% 17.5% 17.47%
Equity 3Y 14.4% 15.1% 16.0% 16.3% 16.3% 17.4% 18.1% 17.7% 16.1% 16.3% 16.5% 16.8% 15.2% 13.4% 12.0% 9.3% 9.5% 7.8% 7.4% 7.1% 7.07%
Book Value 3Y 14.7% 43.6% 15.1% 15.4% 16.1% 15.7% 16.6% 16.2% 15.7% 14.7% 15.4% 15.6% 14.5% 12.2% 10.9% 9.0% 11.9% 9.9% 9.6% 9.3% 9.30%
Dividend 3Y -0.2% 25.5% 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% -0.3% -0.3% 7.3% 0.4% -9.9% -21.0% — — — 15.8% — — — 59.7% 27.7% 27.73%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue Stability 0.90 0.96 0.95 0.99 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.94 0.92 0.93 0.92 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.93 0.85 0.73 0.65 0.63 0.626
Earnings Stability 0.60 0.89 0.86 0.72 0.71 0.83 0.85 0.70 0.68 0.73 0.69 0.62 0.45 0.38 0.20 0.28 0.19 0.18 0.14 0.10 0.103
Margin Stability 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.97 0.93 0.91 0.87 0.85 0.853
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.97 0.90 0.81 0.50 0.50 0.82 0.90 1.00 0.96 0.92 0.91 0.94 0.92 0.94 0.90 0.95 1.00 0.91 0.50 0.89 0.887
Earnings Smoothness 0.91 0.77 0.62 0.37 0.31 0.63 0.77 0.99 0.90 0.77 0.75 0.83 0.78 0.85 0.72 0.85 0.99 0.80 0.51 0.75 0.752
ROE Trend -0.03 0.01 0.04 0.07 0.07 0.04 0.03 0.01 -0.00 -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 -0.04 -0.03 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.009
Gross Margin Trend -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.06 -0.055
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.02 -0.03 -0.032
Sustainable Growth Rate 11.1% 15.5% 17.9% 20.5% 21.3% 19.8% 19.3% 16.9% 16.1% 13.7% 13.6% 14.0% 12.8% 11.6% 8.8% 9.3% 8.9% 9.3% 11.5% 9.9% 9.94%
Internal Growth Rate 4.4% 6.4% 7.4% 9.1% 9.3% 9.5% 9.2% 8.4% 7.7% 6.8% 6.3% 6.6% 5.9% 5.4% 3.7% 3.4% 3.2% 3.3% 3.8% 3.1% 3.05%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.12 1.17 1.31 1.31 1.42 1.60 1.75 1.71 1.70 1.84 1.82 2.04 2.41 2.73 1.83 1.44 1.23 0.97 1.57 1.08 1.076
FCF/OCF -0.20 0.15 0.33 0.48 0.60 0.68 0.75 0.78 0.84 0.90 0.98 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.95 0.88 0.79 0.68 0.82 0.74 0.736
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.792
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.384
CapEx/Revenue 3.1% 3.0% 3.0% 2.5% 2.3% 2.0% 1.8% 1.5% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.46%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.206
Accruals Ratio -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.06 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.06 -0.05 -0.06 -0.08 -0.09 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 0.00 -0.03 -0.00 -0.003
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.067
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.881
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Dividend Yield 2.9% 2.2% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 2.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.1% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6% 4.60%
Dividend/Share $13.19 $13.54 $13.67 $13.76 $13.58 $13.68 $13.78 $17.31 $13.84 $10.38 $6.94 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $11.05 $22.11 $34.74 $45.81 $45.45 $45.54 $46.00
Payout Ratio 15.9% 11.5% 9.9% 8.5% 8.1% 8.2% 8.1% 10.8% 9.1% 7.8% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.2% 18.9% 26.4% 31.0% 26.0% 28.8% 28.80%
FCF Payout Ratio — 65.5% 22.8% 13.5% 9.6% 7.5% 6.1% 8.2% 6.4% 4.7% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 14.9% 27.2% 47.0% 20.1% 36.4% 36.35%
Total Payout Ratio 16.0% 11.5% 10.0% 8.5% 8.1% 8.2% 8.1% 10.8% 9.2% 7.8% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.2% 34.4% 55.6% 69.6% 69.7% 66.1% 66.06%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
Chowder Number 0.01 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.30 0.03 -0.23 -0.49 — — — 0.61 — — — 2.88 1.01 1.005
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 3.4% 5.7% 7.7% 6.0% 5.98%
Net Buyback Yield -0.6% -0.5% -0.3% -0.3% -0.2% -0.2% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1% 1.5% 3.1% 5.4% 7.4% 5.7% 5.67%
Total Shareholder Return 2.3% 1.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 1.6% 2.0% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 3.5% 6.2% 10.0% 12.0% 10.3% 10.29%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.66 0.67 0.66 0.66 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.68 0.67 0.69 0.68 0.74 0.742
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.94 0.945
EBIT Margin 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.023
Asset Turnover 2.13 2.26 2.23 2.43 2.35 2.37 2.27 2.23 2.14 2.16 2.02 2.09 2.15 2.12 1.97 1.71 1.96 2.23 2.45 2.55 2.554
Equity Multiplier 2.66 2.59 2.60 2.46 2.49 2.29 2.28 2.18 2.25 2.15 2.27 2.28 2.29 2.28 2.50 2.85 2.91 2.92 3.13 3.36 3.357
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $82.74 $117.24 $137.37 $161.15 $167.30 $167.36 $169.73 $159.75 $151.22 $132.59 $131.84 $133.26 $120.92 $113.23 $98.75 $117.23 $131.52 $147.97 $174.99 $158.14 $158.14
Book Value/Share $659.87 $720.56 $751.15 $791.47 $793.31 $844.53 $879.04 $909.71 $911.15 $943.70 $966.82 $997.16 $991.11 $1017.73 $1024.73 $1024.08 $1111.11 $1120.10 $1158.54 $1187.77 $1417.82
Tangible Book/Share $626.38 $689.01 $722.01 $764.17 $768.81 $822.23 $858.93 $891.74 $895.27 $929.60 $954.79 $987.18 $982.94 $1011.18 $1019.79 $1004.34 $1078.02 $1088.34 $1127.91 $1158.59 $1158.59
Revenue/Share $3545.86 $3898.60 $4000.61 $4285.39 $4230.22 $4205.42 $4187.03 $4089.85 $4106.30 $4145.14 $4230.46 $4513.55 $4664.60 $4727.27 $4884.02 $4975.36 $6200.60 $7195.34 $8646.36 $9710.20 $10648.74
FCF/Share $-18.65 $20.67 $60.07 $102.21 $141.39 $182.75 $224.15 $212.31 $214.99 $220.77 $235.18 $271.28 $291.24 $309.33 $172.16 $147.93 $127.61 $97.43 $225.95 $125.27 $0.00
OCF/Share $92.28 $137.23 $180.48 $211.30 $237.16 $267.48 $297.82 $272.56 $256.73 $244.11 $240.15 $271.28 $291.24 $309.33 $181.19 $168.67 $161.64 $143.27 $274.32 $170.22 $0.00
Cash/Share $318.86 $327.65 $364.25 $354.86 $441.33 $509.07 $531.68 $570.61 $460.94 $443.71 $477.36 $438.95 $441.32 $406.83 $602.73 $782.44 $650.72 $654.25 $848.91 $903.54 $1151.88
EBITDA/Share $234.00 $285.57 $324.61 $367.88 $372.61 $376.96 $381.90 $368.97 $357.83 $328.79 $331.36 $336.51 $327.56 $325.14 $312.57 $344.46 $384.05 $411.58 $471.35 $443.20 $443.20
Debt/Share $518.54 $513.38 $475.55 $409.33 $560.16 $514.42 $493.71 $475.66 $456.62 $533.18 $584.84 $658.27 $634.07 $707.45 $814.91 $1373.03 $1523.56 $1717.81 $1935.28 $1811.82 $1811.82
Net Debt/Share $199.69 $185.73 $111.30 $54.47 $118.83 $5.35 $-37.97 $-94.94 $-4.32 $89.47 $107.48 $219.32 $192.75 $300.63 $212.18 $590.59 $872.84 $1063.56 $1086.37 $908.28 $908.28
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.438
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 3.158
Piotroski F-Score 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 4 6 5 5 6 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.45 -2.24 -2.34 -2.83 -2.86 -2.69 -3.01 -2.96 -2.79 -2.34 -2.87 -2.34 -2.79 -3.07 -1.64 -0.30 3.27 1.82 2.09 -1.96 -1.963
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.723
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 11.76%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $180.70
EVA snapshot only $-431289394.04
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A-
Credit Score 70.94 72.30 77.58 79.50 80.47 85.47 86.10 85.61 86.19 86.15 82.55 83.18 82.58 80.85 76.55 69.08 65.32 62.56 69.36 67.71 67.713
Credit Grade snapshot only 7
Credit Trend snapshot only -1.366
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 175.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 71
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 56

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