— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

3816.HK HKSE

KFM Kingdom Holdings Limited
1W: -6.6% 1M: +32.5% 3M: +123.2% YTD: +160.1% 1Y: +1090.1% 3Y: +2231.3% 5Y: +1553.2%
HK$4.67 ($0.60)
+0.44 (+10.39%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±15.2%
HK$3 HK$4 HK$4 HK$5 HK$6
HKSE · Industrials · Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication · Tech Score Neutral · Power 67 · HK$2.5B mcap · 150M float · 0.592% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
Oct 05, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
4
ROA
5
D/E
2
P/E
3
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. 3816.HK receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: ROE (4/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), D/E (2/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-02 None ADDED
2026-09-20 EXISTED None
2026-09-16 None ADDED
2026-09-16 EXISTED None
2026-06-29 A- B+
2026-04-30 B+ A-
2026-04-27 A- B+
2026-04-08 None ADDED
2026-04-07 EXISTED None
2026-03-04 B+ A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 46 Grade C
Profitability
26
Balance Sheet
92
Earnings Quality
41
Growth
65
Value
90
Momentum
56
Safety
90
Cash Flow
13
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. 3816.HK scores highest in Balance Sheet (92/100) and lowest in Cash Flow (13/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
3.58
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-1.36
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.36
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A+
Score: 77.3/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: 0.15x
Accruals: 6.4%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. 3816.HK scores 3.58, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. 3816.HK scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. 3816.HK's score of -1.36 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. 3816.HK's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. 3816.HK receives an estimated rating of A+ (score: 77.3/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). 3816.HK's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
28.40x
PEG
0.22x
P/S
2.23x
P/B
3.77x
P/FCF
-6.80x
P/OCF
21.12x
EV/EBITDA
0.95x
EV/Revenue
0.09x
EV/EBIT
1.57x
EV/FCF
-4.48x
Earnings Yield
30.78%
FCF Yield
-14.71%
Shareholder Yield
2.48%
Graham Number
$1.44
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 28.4x earnings, 3816.HK commands a growth premium. An earnings yield of 30.8% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $1.44 per share, 195% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.773
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.948
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.060
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.715
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.472
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
11.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. 3816.HK's ROE of 11.2% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.715), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$0.84
Price/Value
0.38x
Margin of Safety
61.78%
Premium
-61.78%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with 3816.HK's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. 3816.HK trades at a -62% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $0.84, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 28.4x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$4.24
Median 1Y
$4.48
5th Pctile
$1.34
95th Pctile
$15.04
Ann. Volatility
74.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
ROE 7.5% -3.0% -9.7% -13.0% -6.5% 4.1% 11.6% 18.2% 18.0% 10.0% 7.9% 3.5% -15.5% -6.0% -3.6% -4.8% 13.5% 8.9% 6.5% 11.2% 11.16%
ROA 4.2% -1.7% -5.0% -6.6% -3.1% 2.0% 5.1% 9.3% 8.2% 5.2% 4.1% 2.0% -7.8% -3.8% -2.3% -3.1% 8.3% 5.9% 4.3% 7.6% 7.58%
ROIC 3.8% -8.8% -2.3% -9.8% 6.0% 9.5% 16.3% 27.8% 13.9% 12.6% 13.8% 10.0% -1.4% 14.6% 12.1% 11.3% 15.5% 6.8% 4.5% 6.3% 6.32%
ROCE 1.7% -5.1% -5.4% -6.8% 2.5% 10.3% 23.0% 25.9% 23.8% 20.1% 15.4% 9.6% 4.6% 9.4% 11.5% 10.1% 14.2% 12.3% 8.7% 12.9% 12.89%
Gross Margin 20.5% 21.3% 24.2% 23.5% 32.2% 27.9% 26.4% 23.6% 24.7% 22.9% 24.2% 20.6% 17.1% 15.7% 18.4% 15.3% 21.3% 14.6% 18.0% 18.2% 18.25%
Operating Margin -1.6% -6.2% 1.9% -0.0% 11.7% 7.2% 5.1% 1.6% 4.0% 1.4% 8.8% 1.8% 4.2% 4.6% 7.6% -1.8% 9.6% -4.8% 3.9% 2.0% 1.98%
Net Margin -0.7% -10.5% -0.6% -3.0% 5.3% 1.7% 6.1% 3.7% 6.0% -6.7% 6.3% -1.2% -25.0% 5.0% 9.6% -3.9% 9.4% -2.2% 5.8% 3.8% 3.83%
EBITDA Margin 3.3% -0.5% 5.5% 5.5% 15.9% 9.2% 9.1% 5.4% 16.9% 3.2% 16.7% 9.9% 14.0% 3.7% 16.7% 1.7% 16.8% 5.5% 9.1% 8.7% 8.65%
FCF Margin -2.7% -4.2% -3.0% -1.8% 2.0% 4.7% 4.1% 3.9% 4.3% 4.4% 5.8% 5.9% 1.5% -4.9% -10.0% -7.4% -2.6% 0.9% 5.9% -2.1% -2.11%
OCF Margin 5.0% 4.9% 4.7% 4.0% 6.6% 9.0% 7.6% 7.2% 7.0% 6.4% 9.4% 9.3% 8.0% 0.8% -6.2% -3.6% -1.1% 3.4% 8.4% 0.7% 0.68%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.04%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 2.10%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.86%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.50%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 5.03%
Cash ROA snapshot only 1.09%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 1.88%
CROIC snapshot only -5.83%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 2.29%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 5.72%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 2.76%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 12.50%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
P/E Ratio 21.38 -36.65 -11.88 -7.85 -11.29 15.72 4.96 2.84 2.22 3.34 3.18 6.78 -2.10 -4.60 -5.75 -5.44 1.86 4.45 4.24 3.25 28.398
P/S Ratio 0.43 0.28 0.32 0.28 0.20 0.17 0.14 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.12 0.11 0.09 0.11 0.10 0.17 0.12 0.14 2.228
P/B Ratio 1.61 1.15 1.29 1.17 0.77 0.62 0.55 0.46 0.38 0.33 0.24 0.23 0.34 0.28 0.21 0.27 0.24 0.38 0.27 0.35 3.770
P/FCF -16.05 -6.68 -10.68 -15.32 9.95 3.49 3.29 3.10 2.30 1.89 1.23 1.28 8.06 -2.18 -0.85 -1.55 -3.88 19.11 2.03 -6.80 -6.798
P/OCF 8.54 5.71 6.88 7.02 3.05 1.84 1.79 1.68 1.41 1.31 0.76 0.81 1.47 12.92 — — — 5.02 1.43 21.12 21.119
EV/EBITDA 12.42 14.34 9.80 4.31 3.53 2.10 1.53 0.48 0.83 -0.02 -0.37 -0.15 -0.65 -0.15 -0.13 -0.36 -0.49 0.79 0.34 0.95 0.945
EV/Revenue 0.47 0.34 0.38 0.15 0.25 0.19 0.15 0.05 0.09 -0.00 -0.04 -0.02 -0.07 -0.02 -0.01 -0.03 -0.05 0.09 0.03 0.09 0.095
EV/EBIT 104.44 -26.30 -27.68 -8.94 30.66 5.80 2.57 0.69 1.13 -0.04 -0.83 -0.48 -4.03 -0.37 -0.26 -0.66 -0.71 1.37 0.66 1.57 1.569
EV/FCF -17.76 -8.08 -12.66 -8.35 12.34 4.12 3.71 1.24 1.99 -0.05 -0.67 -0.29 -4.51 0.33 0.14 0.45 1.87 9.62 0.50 -4.48 -4.483
Earnings Yield 4.7% -2.7% -8.4% -12.7% -8.9% 6.4% 20.2% 35.2% 45.1% 30.0% 31.4% 14.7% -47.7% -21.7% -17.4% -18.4% 53.6% 22.5% 23.6% 30.8% 30.78%
FCF Yield -6.2% -15.0% -9.4% -6.5% 10.1% 28.6% 30.4% 32.2% 43.5% 52.8% 81.4% 78.2% 12.4% -45.8% -1.2% -64.7% -25.8% 5.2% 49.2% -14.7% -14.71%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.217
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.406
EV/OCF snapshot only 13.927
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 0.522
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 3.278
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 2.48%
Graham Number snapshot only $1.44
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Current Ratio 1.18 1.10 1.08 1.10 1.36 1.41 1.50 1.86 1.69 2.20 2.19 2.31 2.07 3.24 3.29 4.21 3.97 2.57 2.33 2.41 2.406
Quick Ratio 0.90 0.83 0.91 0.93 1.18 1.20 1.34 1.61 1.49 1.98 1.95 2.01 1.86 2.60 2.62 3.22 3.19 1.96 1.83 1.71 1.715
Debt/Equity 0.44 0.47 0.85 0.00 0.89 0.80 0.79 0.41 0.67 0.42 0.38 0.45 0.08 0.28 0.28 0.22 0.22 0.11 0.16 0.16 0.156
Net Debt/Equity 0.17 0.24 0.24 -0.53 0.19 0.11 0.07 -0.28 -0.05 -0.34 -0.37 -0.28 -0.53 -0.32 -0.25 -0.35 -0.36 -0.19 -0.20 -0.12 -0.119
Debt/Assets 0.23 0.25 0.37 0.00 0.38 0.37 0.34 0.23 0.32 0.26 0.24 0.27 0.04 0.19 0.19 0.16 0.15 0.07 0.11 0.10 0.103
Debt/EBITDA 3.03 4.89 5.42 0.00 3.28 2.33 1.97 1.07 1.70 1.20 1.08 1.28 0.28 1.02 1.05 1.03 0.93 0.45 0.84 0.64 0.641
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.19 2.49 1.53 -3.60 0.68 0.32 0.17 -0.73 -0.13 -0.97 -1.06 -0.79 -1.81 -1.14 -0.91 -1.60 -1.51 -0.78 -1.04 -0.49 -0.488
Interest Coverage — — — — — — — — 16.20 5.73 3.51 2.01 1.03 3.38 4.35 4.30 5.53 5.15 5.08 10.00 9.997
Equity Multiplier 1.89 1.86 2.26 2.19 2.33 2.20 2.32 1.79 2.07 1.62 1.59 1.66 1.86 1.54 1.51 1.42 1.41 1.47 1.53 1.52 1.519
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.722
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 16.596
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.761
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.329
Defensive Interval snapshot only 643.3 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Asset Turnover 2.09 2.22 1.85 1.87 1.74 1.91 1.84 2.17 1.85 2.07 1.84 1.80 1.40 1.61 1.57 1.48 1.51 1.54 1.51 1.72 1.715
Inventory Turnover 12.36 12.13 13.19 13.52 12.41 13.21 14.73 16.07 16.28 17.94 15.98 13.49 12.01 11.75 10.96 9.24 10.17 9.16 8.86 8.02 8.025
Receivables Turnover 9.59 11.47 9.02 10.06 8.30 10.57 9.36 9.54 8.05 11.22 8.90 8.25 7.23 8.41 7.23 8.78 9.70 8.35 7.10 9.26 9.261
Payables Turnover 9.71 14.26 11.28 12.67 10.61 13.77 12.44 13.68 12.11 17.00 13.87 13.71 10.01 11.61 12.26 12.78 11.46 10.00 9.56 11.10 11.104
DSO 38 32 40 36 44 35 39 38 45 33 41 44 50 43 50 42 38 44 51 39 39.4 days
DIO 30 30 28 27 29 28 25 23 22 20 23 27 30 31 33 40 36 40 41 45 45.5 days
DPO 38 26 32 29 34 27 29 27 30 21 26 27 36 31 30 29 32 37 38 33 32.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 30 36 36 34 39 36 34 34 38 31 38 45 44 43 54 53 42 47 54 52 52.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 5.304
Operating Cycle snapshot only 84.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 8.836
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.625
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 1.1% 38.2% -8.6% -12.7% -7.7% -1.5% 10.3% 14.9% 12.6% 7.0% -6.6% -16.3% -30.5% -35.3% -29.2% -26.9% -9.4% -7.4% -4.5% 10.7% 10.69%
Net Income -27.8% -1.2% -1.5% -1.9% -1.8% 2.4% 2.1% 2.4% 3.8% 1.6% -24.5% -78.1% -1.9% -1.6% -1.5% -2.4% 1.9% 2.5% 2.8% 3.3% 3.33%
EPS -27.8% -1.2% -1.5% -1.9% -1.8% 2.4% 2.1% 2.4% 3.8% 1.6% -24.5% -78.1% -1.9% -1.6% -1.5% -2.4% 1.9% 2.5% 2.8% 3.3% 3.33%
FCF 36.2% -9.6% 37.2% -5.6% 1.7% 2.1% 2.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.6% 29.6% 27.0% -76.3% -1.7% -2.2% -1.9% -2.6% 1.2% 1.6% 68.3% 68.29%
EBITDA 55.4% -40.5% -8.4% 3.2% 70.8% 2.9% 1.9% 2.2% 64.6% 3.3% -3.7% -1.3% -31.4% -21.1% -25.8% -42.8% -10.4% -7.7% -23.9% 21.0% 20.97%
Op. Income -23.3% -74.6% -1.1% -1.2% -19.4% 4.3% 8.6% 6.3% 1.1% -39.8% -45.7% -50.3% -40.2% 3.3% -9.5% -23.5% 26.0% -39.5% -54.7% -19.8% -19.81%
OCF Growth snapshot only 1.21%
Asset Growth snapshot only 15.59%
Equity Growth snapshot only 8.04%
Debt Growth snapshot only -24.46%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.00%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — 67.7% 30.3% 13.4% -2.0% -5.7% -10.3% -12.0% -10.0% -11.1% -10.9% -13.8% -14.2% -12.2% -12.19%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 23.6% 6.8% -2.7% -8.7% -7.4% -7.45%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — 44.7% 18.6% -7.6% -24.6% -35.1% — — — — — 32.8% -13.5% -11.1% -11.08%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 5.4% -6.4% -18.2% -2.6% -2.57%
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — 45.7% 18.6% -7.6% -24.6% -35.1% — — — — — 32.8% -13.5% -11.1% -11.08%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 5.4% -6.4% -18.2% -2.6% -2.57%
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — 60.9% 63.5% 33.6% 36.2% 49.0% 24.5% 46.8% 27.0% 22.4% 0.4% -9.1% -18.3% -11.9% -11.94%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 18.7% 21.9% 11.7% 7.4% 18.0% 18.01%
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — 72.2% 32.6% 15.7% -1.3% -5.4% -11.4% -16.2% -16.5% -19.4% -21.1% -25.3% -26.3% -23.6% -23.60%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 13.6% 0.3% -7.8% -13.8% -11.8% -11.77%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — 63.0% 9.6% -6.8% -18.2% -13.5% 0.9% 48.7% — — 17.1% -27.8% -39.4% -32.7% -32.70%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 10.5% -0.2% -12.8% -25.8% -16.8% -16.84%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -50.5% -3.5% — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — 1.2% 13.3% 4.5% 4.5% -5.5% 5.1% -51.1% — — — -37.6% -11.4% -60.0% -60.00%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -18.4% -7.1% -45.1% -45.09%
Assets 3Y — — — — — — — 2.2% 7.1% -1.0% -2.7% -0.9% -2.0% -3.1% -7.4% -6.8% -11.0% -10.8% -9.2% -3.3% -3.27%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -3.5% -3.0% -1.8% -1.9% -2.3% -2.31%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — 1.8% 0.9% -0.1% -0.2% 1.6% -1.6% 3.2% 5.9% 7.6% 5.2% 2.1% 4.3% 2.1% 2.11%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — 1.1% 0.9% -0.1% -0.2% 1.6% -1.6% 3.2% 5.9% 7.6% 5.2% 2.1% 4.3% 2.1% 2.11%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue Stability — — — 0.61 0.63 0.71 0.01 0.59 0.64 0.73 0.05 0.29 0.43 0.46 0.49 0.28 0.07 0.07 0.74 0.76 0.762
Earnings Stability — — — 0.45 0.88 0.32 0.08 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.25 0.23 0.15 0.07 0.02 0.02 0.06 0.00 0.000
Margin Stability — — — 0.93 0.93 0.90 0.89 0.90 0.94 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.91 0.86 0.83 0.82 0.85 0.83 0.81 0.80 0.799
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — — 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness 0.68 — — — — — — — — 0.12 0.72 0.00 — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend — — — -0.24 -0.16 -0.01 0.08 0.17 0.17 0.09 0.07 0.03 -0.21 -0.13 -0.13 -0.15 0.12 0.07 0.04 0.12 0.116
Gross Margin Trend — — — -0.02 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.02 -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.06 -0.08 -0.09 -0.06 -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.018
FCF Margin Trend — — — 0.06 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 -0.02 -0.10 -0.15 -0.12 -0.06 0.01 0.08 -0.01 -0.014
Sustainable Growth Rate 3.7% — — — — 4.1% 11.6% 18.2% 18.0% 10.0% 7.9% 3.5% — — — — 13.5% 8.9% 5.6% 10.3% 10.26%
Internal Growth Rate 2.1% — — — — 2.1% 5.3% 10.2% 9.0% 5.5% 4.3% 2.0% — — — — 9.1% 6.3% 3.8% 7.5% 7.49%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.50 -6.41 -1.73 -1.12 -3.70 8.54 2.77 1.69 1.57 2.55 4.20 8.35 -1.43 -0.36 4.17 1.70 -0.20 0.89 2.98 0.15 0.154
FCF/OCF -0.53 -0.86 -0.64 -0.46 0.31 0.53 0.54 0.54 0.61 0.69 0.62 0.64 0.18 -5.92 1.62 2.07 2.45 0.26 0.70 -3.11 -3.107
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.478
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.068
CapEx/Revenue 7.7% 9.0% 7.7% 5.8% 4.5% 4.2% 3.5% 3.3% 2.7% 2.0% 3.6% 3.4% 6.6% 5.8% 3.8% 3.8% 1.6% 2.5% 2.4% 2.6% 2.57%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.645
Accruals Ratio -0.06 -0.12 -0.14 -0.14 -0.15 -0.15 -0.09 -0.06 -0.05 -0.08 -0.13 -0.15 -0.19 -0.05 0.07 0.02 0.10 0.01 -0.08 0.06 0.064
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.221
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.232
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Dividend Yield 2.4% 2.3% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.3% 2.5% 1.03%
Dividend/Share $0.03 $0.02 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.01 $0.01 $0.04
Payout Ratio 51.1% — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 13.8% 8.1% 8.06%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — 0.0% 6.6% — —
Total Payout Ratio 51.1% — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 13.8% 8.1% 8.06%
Div. Increase Streak 1 0 0 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 0
Chowder Number 0.67 -0.37 -0.59 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 2.4% 2.3% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.3% 2.5% 2.48%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.72 -1.79 1.46 1.37 1.69 0.56 0.70 0.81 0.76 0.68 0.70 0.62 -110.07 -0.76 -0.36 -0.55 0.97 0.76 0.73 0.77 0.773
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 6.13 -0.33 1.34 1.52 -1.30 0.56 0.66 0.76 0.78 0.70 0.68 0.50 0.03 0.70 0.77 0.77 0.82 0.81 0.87 0.95 0.948
EBIT Margin 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.06 0.060
Asset Turnover 2.09 2.22 1.85 1.87 1.74 1.91 1.84 2.17 1.85 2.07 1.84 1.80 1.40 1.61 1.57 1.48 1.51 1.54 1.51 1.72 1.715
Equity Multiplier 1.81 1.76 1.96 1.96 2.10 2.03 2.29 1.96 2.19 1.91 1.94 1.72 1.97 1.58 1.55 1.54 1.63 1.50 1.52 1.47 1.472
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.06 $-0.02 $-0.08 $-0.10 $-0.05 $0.03 $0.09 $0.14 $0.15 $0.08 $0.07 $0.03 $-0.13 $-0.05 $-0.03 $-0.04 $0.12 $0.08 $0.06 $0.10 $0.10
Book Value/Share $0.86 $0.77 $0.73 $0.69 $0.77 $0.83 $0.81 $0.87 $0.88 $0.85 $0.90 $0.93 $0.82 $0.84 $0.86 $0.86 $0.90 $0.88 $0.92 $0.92 $1.14
Tangible Book/Share $0.81 $0.74 $0.67 $0.65 $0.74 $0.83 $0.81 $0.87 $0.88 $0.85 $0.90 $0.93 $0.82 $0.84 $0.86 $0.86 $0.90 $0.88 $0.92 $0.79 $0.79
Revenue/Share $3.23 $3.15 $2.94 $2.89 $2.98 $3.11 $3.24 $3.32 $3.36 $3.32 $3.03 $2.78 $2.33 $2.15 $2.15 $2.03 $2.11 $1.99 $2.05 $2.25 $1.74
FCF/Share $-0.09 $-0.13 $-0.09 $-0.05 $0.06 $0.15 $0.13 $0.13 $0.14 $0.15 $0.17 $0.16 $0.03 $-0.11 $-0.22 $-0.15 $-0.06 $0.02 $0.12 $-0.05 $-0.02
OCF/Share $0.16 $0.15 $0.14 $0.11 $0.20 $0.28 $0.25 $0.24 $0.23 $0.21 $0.28 $0.26 $0.19 $0.02 $-0.13 $-0.07 $-0.02 $0.07 $0.17 $0.02 $0.06
Cash/Share $0.23 $0.18 $0.44 $0.37 $0.55 $0.58 $0.59 $0.60 $0.63 $0.64 $0.67 $0.67 $0.49 $0.51 $0.46 $0.49 $0.52 $0.27 $0.33 $0.25 $0.20
EBITDA/Share $0.12 $0.07 $0.11 $0.10 $0.21 $0.29 $0.33 $0.33 $0.35 $0.30 $0.31 $0.33 $0.24 $0.23 $0.23 $0.19 $0.21 $0.22 $0.18 $0.23 $0.23
Debt/Share $0.37 $0.36 $0.62 $0.00 $0.69 $0.67 $0.64 $0.35 $0.59 $0.36 $0.34 $0.42 $0.07 $0.24 $0.24 $0.19 $0.20 $0.10 $0.15 $0.14 $0.14
Net Debt/Share $0.15 $0.18 $0.17 $-0.36 $0.14 $0.09 $0.06 $-0.24 $-0.05 $-0.29 $-0.33 $-0.26 $-0.43 $-0.27 $-0.21 $-0.30 $-0.32 $-0.17 $-0.19 $-0.11 $-0.11
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.580
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 5.539
Piotroski F-Score 5 5 4 4 5 7 9 8 8 8 7 5 5 5 3 3 5 5 6 7 7
Beneish M-Score -2.68 -3.32 -3.40 -3.28 -3.33 -3.13 -2.99 -2.79 -3.70 -3.39 -0.21 -3.21 -3.68 2.59 -0.67 -0.78 0.92 -2.78 -3.26 -1.36 -1.356
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.357
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 14.76%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $0.48
EVA snapshot only $-17958791.01
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A+
Credit Score 72.40 70.11 44.11 60.99 64.55 70.23 76.99 88.39 78.92 84.56 78.50 71.07 62.16 66.73 69.67 70.14 75.90 81.94 79.63 77.31 77.312
Credit Grade snapshot only 5
Credit Trend snapshot only 7.174
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 125.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 64
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 68

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