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Not Investment Advice

3864.T JPX

Mitsubishi Paper Mills Limited
1W: +0.2% 1M: +0.8% 3M: +20.9% YTD: +73.7% 1Y: +87.0% 3Y: +124.5% 5Y: +257.1%
¥1,223.00 ($7.75)
-27.00 (-2.16%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.2%
¥1145 ¥1184 ¥1223 ¥1262 ¥1301
JPX · Basic Materials · Paper, Lumber & Forest Products · Tech Score Buy · Power 58 · ¥53.6B mcap · 18M float · 1.09% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
3
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
5
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. 3864.T receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: ROA (5/5), P/B (5/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-24 None ADDED
2026-09-23 EXISTED None
2026-08-31 B B+
2026-08-14 B+ B
2026-08-10 B- B+
2026-07-27 B B-
2026-07-02 B- B
2026-07-01 B B-
2026-05-18 C+ B
2026-05-12 B- C+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 38 Grade B
Profitability
16
Balance Sheet
52
Earnings Quality
81
Growth
47
Value
88
Momentum
79
Safety
15
Cash Flow
35
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. 3864.T scores highest in Value (88/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.17
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.58
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.94
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB
Score: 41.1/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.29x
Accruals: -0.7%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. 3864.T scores 1.17, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. 3864.T scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. 3864.T's score of -2.58 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. 3864.T's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. 3864.T receives an estimated rating of BB (score: 41.1/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). 3864.T's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
9.97x
PEG
-0.03x
P/S
0.34x
P/B
0.52x
P/FCF
9.60x
P/OCF
6.32x
EV/EBITDA
8.32x
EV/Revenue
0.65x
EV/EBIT
13.72x
EV/FCF
23.30x
Earnings Yield
12.22%
FCF Yield
10.42%
Shareholder Yield
0.88%
Graham Number
$2564.14
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 10.0x earnings, 3864.T trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 12.2% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $2564.14 per share, suggesting a potential 110% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.551
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.253
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.047
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.742
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.311
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
5.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. 3864.T's ROE of 5.6% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.742), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.55 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$4761.32
Price/Value
0.21x
Margin of Safety
78.75%
Premium
-78.75%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with 3864.T's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. 3864.T actually compounded EPS at 115.2% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. At an intrinsic value of $4761.32, 3864.T appears undervalued with a 79% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 10.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$1223.00
Median 1Y
$1277.24
5th Pctile
$669.74
95th Pctile
$2428.55
Ann. Volatility
37.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -3.0% -4.1% -3.4% 0.1% 1.9% 1.7% 2.6% 0.8% -6.4% -0.8% 1.3% 1.9% 5.5% 5.1% 3.9% 2.8% 8.6% 4.9% 3.5% 5.6% 5.61%
ROA -0.8% -1.2% -1.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 0.2% -1.9% -0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 1.7% 1.8% 1.4% 1.0% 3.1% 2.0% 1.4% 2.4% 2.43%
ROIC -0.7% -1.0% -0.2% 0.1% 0.4% -0.1% -0.5% -0.2% -0.9% 0.5% 3.0% 3.2% 4.3% 2.0% 1.7% 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.93%
ROCE -0.3% -1.1% -0.5% 1.5% 2.3% 1.9% 2.5% 2.1% -2.1% -0.4% 0.8% 1.4% 3.4% 6.0% 5.2% 5.0% 10.2% 8.4% 7.3% 5.9% 5.87%
Gross Margin 14.2% 15.9% 15.0% 15.2% 14.0% 12.7% 12.0% 13.8% 10.6% 15.5% 12.4% 15.8% 13.6% 16.4% 11.6% 14.6% 14.8% 16.4% 9.7% 12.9% 12.86%
Operating Margin -0.6% 2.0% -0.0% 0.7% -0.2% -0.9% -1.6% 0.6% -1.6% 4.2% 0.7% 3.5% 1.8% 5.2% -0.2% 2.3% 3.3% 5.0% -3.1% 1.0% 1.02%
Net Margin -2.2% 1.6% -2.8% 3.2% 0.4% 1.3% -1.1% 0.5% -8.4% 7.7% 1.9% 1.5% -4.4% 9.5% -0.1% -0.5% 6.0% 4.5% -3.3% 5.6% 5.59%
EBITDA Margin 5.5% 7.2% 3.8% 3.1% 6.2% 5.4% 4.7% 5.7% -3.5% 8.2% 7.4% 7.4% -3.9% 17.1% 4.8% 6.1% 12.8% 11.7% 1.2% 4.5% 4.51%
FCF Margin 1.6% 2.7% 3.6% 4.4% 5.2% 3.1% 1.2% 2.1% 3.0% 5.4% 7.9% 8.0% 8.0% 7.7% 7.3% 6.8% 6.5% 5.3% 4.1% 2.8% 2.79%
OCF Margin 6.0% 6.6% 7.1% 7.2% 7.4% 5.6% 3.9% 4.2% 4.5% 6.1% 7.9% 8.0% 8.0% 7.9% 7.7% 7.5% 7.4% 6.4% 5.4% 4.2% 4.23%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.20%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 2.11%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.35%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.71%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 0.92%
Cash ROA snapshot only 3.12%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 4.20%
CROIC snapshot only 2.77%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 0.94%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 5.93%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.34%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 11.87%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -7.19 -6.33 -7.53 177.10 11.94 12.06 7.37 21.62 -2.82 -25.74 26.30 18.78 6.15 6.30 10.97 9.94 3.48 6.59 9.13 8.18 9.973
P/S Ratio 0.08 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.19 0.12 0.13 0.16 0.16 0.27 0.342
P/B Ratio 0.23 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.21 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.18 0.20 0.32 0.34 0.32 0.29 0.39 0.26 0.27 0.34 0.34 0.43 0.518
P/FCF 4.84 3.71 2.59 2.10 1.51 2.33 5.54 2.88 1.94 1.30 1.44 1.55 1.46 1.77 2.58 1.81 2.07 3.04 3.97 9.60 9.597
P/OCF 1.33 1.49 1.33 1.29 1.05 1.30 1.70 1.45 1.28 1.14 1.44 1.55 1.46 1.72 2.43 1.65 1.81 2.53 3.04 6.32 6.324
EV/EBITDA 12.89 12.77 12.43 12.70 11.09 11.48 11.15 9.60 17.43 13.56 12.92 11.44 10.89 7.40 9.14 8.66 4.82 6.09 6.54 8.32 8.320
EV/Revenue 0.67 0.61 0.64 0.62 0.56 0.54 0.54 0.53 0.52 0.51 0.57 0.54 0.54 0.52 0.59 0.53 0.50 0.54 0.53 0.65 0.650
EV/EBIT -358.60 -79.90 -204.48 63.19 40.45 45.68 35.68 43.05 -45.80 -246.63 121.59 71.09 28.93 12.92 16.49 15.59 6.97 9.49 10.70 13.72 13.720
EV/FCF 41.07 23.00 17.58 14.01 10.90 17.19 45.23 25.01 17.43 9.44 7.23 6.82 6.69 6.82 8.13 7.78 7.68 10.07 12.90 23.30 23.296
Earnings Yield -13.9% -15.8% -13.3% 0.6% 8.4% 8.3% 13.6% 4.6% -35.5% -3.9% 3.8% 5.3% 16.3% 15.9% 9.1% 10.1% 28.8% 15.2% 11.0% 12.2% 12.22%
FCF Yield 20.7% 27.0% 38.6% 47.6% 66.2% 42.9% 18.1% 34.8% 51.5% 76.8% 69.6% 64.6% 68.6% 56.5% 38.7% 55.1% 48.3% 32.9% 25.2% 10.4% 10.42%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.432
EV/OCF snapshot only 15.351
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 4.793
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 38.376
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.88%
Graham Number snapshot only $2564.14
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.90 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.92 0.99 1.00 0.95 0.93 0.98 0.97 0.96 1.00 1.03 1.00 0.90 0.900
Quick Ratio 0.50 0.48 0.47 0.49 0.51 0.53 0.51 0.51 0.53 0.53 0.54 0.52 0.53 0.58 0.55 0.50 0.58 0.56 0.50 0.41 0.414
Debt/Equity 1.92 1.58 1.58 1.53 1.48 1.34 1.40 1.42 1.54 1.39 1.41 1.31 1.30 0.94 0.92 0.89 0.87 0.85 0.85 0.66 0.665
Net Debt/Equity 1.70 1.33 1.43 1.38 1.32 1.21 1.31 1.33 1.41 1.28 1.30 1.15 1.16 0.83 0.84 0.84 0.73 0.78 0.76 0.61 0.611
Debt/Assets 0.51 0.47 0.47 0.46 0.44 0.43 0.44 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.46 0.43 0.42 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.31 0.306
Debt/EBITDA 12.84 12.72 11.71 11.97 10.70 10.99 10.46 9.07 16.89 12.75 11.23 10.11 9.57 6.21 6.84 7.06 4.21 4.65 5.05 5.32 5.318
Net Debt/EBITDA 11.37 10.71 10.60 10.80 9.55 9.92 9.78 8.50 15.49 11.69 10.35 8.84 8.52 5.48 6.23 6.64 3.52 4.25 4.53 4.89 4.893
Interest Coverage -0.39 -1.70 -0.74 2.58 3.99 3.67 5.07 4.25 -4.30 -0.75 1.60 2.29 4.70 8.36 6.86 6.16 12.37 9.80 8.70 8.43 8.427
Equity Multiplier 3.79 3.33 3.36 3.35 3.38 3.10 3.20 3.29 3.48 3.15 3.10 3.07 3.09 2.59 2.56 2.47 2.48 2.44 2.42 2.17 2.169
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.061
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 13.897
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.080
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.067
Defensive Interval snapshot only 654.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.74 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.80 0.86 0.88 0.89 0.91 0.95 0.94 0.90 0.88 0.84 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.79 0.79 0.74 0.742
Inventory Turnover 3.05 3.14 3.14 3.23 3.37 3.85 3.83 3.71 3.90 4.01 3.88 3.54 3.64 3.60 3.46 3.37 3.56 3.60 3.44 3.27 3.268
Receivables Turnover 4.28 5.45 4.62 4.56 4.29 5.21 4.90 4.55 4.47 4.77 4.60 4.42 4.08 4.09 4.04 4.29 4.09 4.01 4.39 4.74 4.744
Payables Turnover 6.24 6.87 7.58 7.34 6.43 7.23 7.65 6.62 6.58 6.84 7.75 6.47 6.14 6.18 6.24 6.20 5.66 6.12 5.76 6.27 6.267
DSO 85 67 79 80 85 70 75 80 82 77 79 83 90 89 90 85 89 91 83 77 76.9 days
DIO 120 116 116 113 108 95 95 98 93 91 94 103 100 101 105 108 103 102 106 112 111.7 days
DPO 58 53 48 50 57 50 48 55 55 53 47 56 59 59 58 59 64 60 63 58 58.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 147 130 147 143 137 114 122 124 120 114 126 129 130 132 137 135 127 133 126 130 130.4 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.528
Operating Cycle snapshot only 188.6 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 30.080
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.356
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue -15.2% -16.6% -13.2% -3.6% 4.7% 12.1% 15.9% 15.9% 16.6% 15.2% 11.4% 4.8% -2.4% -7.7% -10.0% -10.1% -9.1% -9.1% -9.9% -10.6% -10.55%
Net Income -1.7% -4.2% -7.3% 1.1% 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 5.2% -4.6% -1.5% -46.9% 1.5% 1.9% 8.3% 2.6% 69.7% 85.6% 4.2% -5.6% 1.4% 1.36%
EPS -1.7% -4.2% -7.3% 1.1% 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 5.2% -4.7% -1.5% -46.0% 1.5% 1.9% 8.3% 2.6% 69.6% 85.5% 4.1% -5.7% 1.4% 1.36%
FCF -69.1% -40.9% 2.1% 75.9% 2.3% 31.3% -61.7% -44.7% -33.4% 99.0% 6.3% 3.0% 1.6% 31.5% -17.0% -23.4% -26.2% -36.6% -48.8% -63.3% -63.30%
EBITDA -1.3% -34.1% -23.9% -4.1% 2.6% 9.1% 9.9% 30.7% -32.3% -7.5% 0.6% -9.3% 62.5% 74.4% 32.1% 15.5% 91.4% 13.4% 13.2% 14.3% 14.35%
Op. Income -1.7% -1.9% -1.3% 2.0% 1.8% 86.0% -2.5% -2.1% -2.7% 4.9% 3.0% 4.5% 3.9% 4.6% 1.4% 28.0% -4.5% -15.6% -31.9% -35.5% -35.50%
OCF Growth snapshot only -49.38%
Asset Growth snapshot only 1.31%
Equity Growth snapshot only 15.59%
Debt Growth snapshot only -13.90%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.01%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 1.33%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -6.0% -7.0% -6.9% -5.7% -4.8% -3.7% -2.3% -0.8% 1.2% 2.5% 3.9% 5.4% 6.0% 6.0% 5.1% 3.0% 1.1% -1.1% -3.4% -5.5% -5.52%
Revenue 5Y -5.1% -5.6% -5.4% -4.2% -3.1% -2.1% -1.2% -0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% -0.4% -1.1% -1.3% -1.6% -1.7% -2.0% -1.9% -1.2% -1.20%
EPS 3Y — — — -69.7% 29.0% 46.3% 29.6% -29.8% — — 42.1% — — — — 2.0% 84.0% 59.1% 22.1% 1.2% 1.15%
EPS 5Y — — — -51.1% -16.9% -6.1% -2.7% -16.2% — — -21.5% -15.5% 48.4% 64.7% 33.2% 7.9% 21.6% 40.8% 57.5% — —
Net Income 3Y — — — -66.9% 29.0% 46.2% 29.4% -29.9% — — 41.2% — — — — 2.0% 82.9% 58.3% 21.5% 1.1% 1.14%
Net Income 5Y — — — -48.4% -12.4% -1.0% 2.5% -11.7% — — -17.6% -11.2% 47.9% 64.0% 32.7% 7.5% 21.1% 40.2% 56.9% — —
EBITDA 3Y 46.2% 29.0% 45.4% 60.0% 1.2% 1.9% 41.6% 19.2% -11.8% -12.7% -5.6% 4.4% 4.1% 20.7% 13.5% 11.0% 28.2% 22.3% 14.6% 6.2% 6.19%
EBITDA 5Y 21.0% 12.1% 12.3% 15.1% 12.8% 16.8% 18.0% 21.5% 16.8% 16.7% 27.7% 37.2% 64.5% 1.1% 30.4% 12.2% 16.4% 5.6% 4.7% 8.5% 8.47%
Gross Profit 3Y -9.7% -11.2% -8.5% -6.0% -3.8% -4.3% -5.0% -4.8% -5.8% -3.2% -0.9% 3.0% 6.1% 7.6% 4.1% 0.6% -0.3% -0.8% -2.0% -4.5% -4.49%
Gross Profit 5Y -5.1% -6.5% -6.7% -5.9% -5.7% -6.0% -5.6% -4.9% -5.1% -3.3% -2.7% -2.0% -0.6% -0.9% -1.6% -2.7% -2.7% -3.5% -3.4% -2.5% -2.53%
Op. Income 3Y — — — 19.8% — — — — — -21.2% 23.5% — — — — 68.8% 67.7% — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — -29.7% -27.2% — — — — -11.6% 12.1% 45.2% — — 50.9% 24.9% 20.3% 18.2% 25.5% — —
FCF 3Y -41.6% -27.9% -14.2% 1.5% 22.1% -1.6% -31.1% -19.3% -11.9% 15.6% 41.8% 56.8% 80.2% 50.9% 32.4% 18.9% 9.1% 18.4% 45.8% 3.7% 3.66%
FCF 5Y — 23.8% 9.2% 4.2% 1.5% -10.3% -27.2% -19.7% -15.1% -0.4% 12.0% 18.0% 26.3% 20.1% 14.7% 9.8% 5.9% 5.2% 3.9% 1.6% 1.64%
OCF 3Y -20.5% -16.0% -11.0% -5.6% 0.5% -10.8% -22.7% -22.1% -21.6% -8.5% 4.4% 10.3% 17.1% 12.5% 8.2% 4.2% 1.2% 3.6% 7.6% -5.3% -5.31%
OCF 5Y 20.6% 12.0% 6.8% 3.2% 0.6% -6.7% -14.6% -14.5% -14.3% -6.6% 0.2% 2.4% 4.5% 1.2% -1.8% -4.6% -6.7% -7.6% -8.8% -10.6% -10.56%
Assets 3Y -2.4% -4.1% -3.6% -2.2% -1.8% -2.5% -1.9% 0.1% -0.1% 2.3% 2.0% 2.4% 0.3% 4.0% 3.7% 0.8% 1.3% -1.2% -3.2% -0.3% -0.30%
Assets 5Y -2.8% -2.8% -2.5% -1.3% -1.9% -1.8% -1.2% -0.9% -0.6% -0.9% -0.4% 0.0% -0.6% 0.2% 0.0% -0.4% -0.5% -0.4% -1.4% 0.8% 0.79%
Equity 3Y 1.6% 1.7% 2.5% 3.1% 5.6% 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 6.0% 7.6% 8.8% 7.5% 13.1% 13.5% 11.5% 12.3% 7.0% 6.2% 14.6% 14.60%
Book Value 3Y -7.0% -6.9% -6.2% -5.7% 5.6% 1.7% 2.4% 1.6% 1.5% 6.7% 8.3% 9.5% 8.2% 13.8% 14.2% 12.2% 13.0% 7.5% 6.7% 15.2% 15.15%
Dividend 3Y 0.1% -2.3% -4.6% -6.6% 0.0% -9.0% -20.5% -36.9% — — — — — — — — — 71.9% 44.9% 33.3% 33.27%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.77 0.76 0.83 0.83 0.71 0.51 0.38 0.21 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.09 0.03 0.032
Earnings Stability 0.00 0.57 0.82 0.49 0.07 0.24 0.19 0.23 0.26 0.32 0.06 0.07 0.00 0.20 0.30 0.25 0.20 0.52 0.61 0.91 0.912
Margin Stability 0.95 0.94 0.96 0.95 0.93 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.90 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.92 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.94 0.94 0.96 0.961
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.98 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — 0.00 — — 0.39 0.16 — — 0.00 0.48 0.40 0.96 0.94 0.19 0.192
ROE Trend -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.02 -0.06 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.07 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.08 0.03 0.01 0.03 0.031
Gross Margin Trend -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.002
FCF Margin Trend -0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 -0.00 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 0.02 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.05 -0.046
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — -0.2% 1.5% 1.4% 2.4% 0.7% — — 1.3% 1.9% 5.5% 5.0% 3.8% 2.6% 8.3% 4.6% 3.1% 5.2% 5.21%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.2% — — 0.4% 0.6% 1.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.9% 3.1% 1.9% 1.3% 2.3% 2.31%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -5.42 -4.24 -5.66 137.69 11.32 9.29 4.33 14.96 -2.20 -22.51 18.29 12.13 4.22 3.66 4.51 6.02 1.92 2.61 3.01 1.29 1.294
FCF/OCF 0.27 0.40 0.51 0.61 0.70 0.56 0.31 0.50 0.66 0.88 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.97 0.94 0.91 0.88 0.83 0.77 0.66 0.659
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.853
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.542
CapEx/Revenue 4.3% 4.0% 3.4% 2.8% 2.2% 2.5% 2.7% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 1.44%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.470
Accruals Ratio -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.007
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.046
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.521
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 1.80%
Dividend/Share $4.99 $4.99 $4.99 $4.99 $4.99 $3.76 $2.51 $1.25 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.27 $2.55 $3.82 $5.09 $6.36 $7.63 $8.91 $22.00
Payout Ratio — — — 2.5% 19.4% 15.3% 6.6% 10.1% — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 3.5% 7.3% 3.2% 6.4% 11.0% 7.2% 7.20%
FCF Payout Ratio 8.2% 5.2% 3.8% 3.0% 2.5% 2.9% 4.9% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.8% 1.3% 1.9% 3.0% 4.8% 8.4% 8.45%
Total Payout Ratio — — — 2.5% 19.4% 17.0% 8.8% 16.9% — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 3.5% 7.3% 3.2% 6.4% 11.0% 7.2% 7.20%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 — — — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0
Chowder Number 0.33 0.23 0.15 0.08 0.02 -0.24 -0.49 -0.75 — — — — — — — — — 4.01 2.01 1.34 1.342
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 1.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.88%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.65 1.28 1.70 0.09 0.63 0.71 0.74 0.30 1.47 0.57 2.44 1.53 1.30 0.60 0.56 0.51 0.63 0.53 0.45 0.55 0.551
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 3.56 1.59 2.35 0.61 0.75 0.73 0.80 0.76 1.23 2.33 0.38 0.56 0.79 0.88 0.85 0.72 0.86 0.82 0.80 1.25 1.253
EBIT Margin -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.047
Asset Turnover 0.74 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.80 0.86 0.88 0.89 0.91 0.95 0.94 0.90 0.88 0.84 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.79 0.79 0.74 0.742
Equity Multiplier 3.68 3.42 3.49 3.51 3.58 3.21 3.27 3.32 3.43 3.13 3.15 3.18 3.27 2.84 2.80 2.75 2.75 2.52 2.50 2.31 2.311
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-41.18 $-56.70 $-45.50 $1.99 $25.75 $24.63 $38.24 $12.42 $-95.19 $-13.05 $20.64 $30.95 $86.50 $95.23 $73.75 $52.49 $160.42 $99.11 $69.57 $123.67 $123.67
Book Value/Share $1303.92 $1408.41 $1391.63 $1445.53 $1441.90 $1563.97 $1545.27 $1547.43 $1520.38 $1646.55 $1679.60 $1721.27 $1650.48 $2076.60 $2072.26 $2044.29 $2079.21 $1945.20 $1879.08 $2362.84 $2363.60
Tangible Book/Share $1268.25 $1372.80 $1354.26 $1407.22 $1400.21 $1522.09 $1499.70 $1495.85 $1465.08 $1592.17 $1623.82 $1669.44 $1602.44 $2031.98 $2030.94 $2006.49 $2045.26 $1914.67 $1852.07 $2345.00 $2345.00
Revenue/Share $3750.27 $3634.88 $3647.71 $3796.14 $3926.25 $4087.49 $4246.69 $4418.36 $4675.24 $4790.18 $4805.98 $4703.08 $4560.06 $4418.07 $4318.79 $4225.95 $4139.95 $4014.28 $3887.04 $3779.80 $3574.19
FCF/Share $61.20 $96.75 $132.30 $167.84 $203.39 $127.46 $50.91 $93.32 $138.34 $258.11 $377.57 $375.46 $365.37 $339.16 $313.14 $287.39 $269.34 $214.70 $160.03 $105.45 $0.00
OCF/Share $223.39 $240.40 $257.40 $274.41 $291.42 $228.84 $165.48 $185.78 $209.83 $293.86 $377.57 $375.46 $365.37 $348.76 $332.34 $316.18 $307.72 $258.48 $209.19 $160.03 $0.00
Cash/Share $285.46 $351.59 $209.19 $217.90 $230.62 $203.27 $141.16 $139.72 $192.99 $190.31 $186.93 $283.49 $237.68 $228.57 $169.78 $110.28 $295.99 $142.35 $164.74 $125.66 $125.66
EBITDA/Share $194.95 $174.35 $187.20 $185.12 $200.01 $190.89 $206.60 $243.04 $138.30 $179.57 $211.25 $223.75 $224.52 $312.84 $278.79 $258.23 $429.34 $354.59 $315.42 $295.27 $295.27
Debt/Share $2502.87 $2218.57 $2192.78 $2216.73 $2140.66 $2097.65 $2162.06 $2205.04 $2335.53 $2290.02 $2373.29 $2261.39 $2149.54 $1942.57 $1907.66 $1824.02 $1807.34 $1650.37 $1593.73 $1570.31 $1570.31
Net Debt/Share $2217.41 $1866.99 $1983.58 $1998.83 $1910.04 $1894.37 $2020.90 $2065.32 $2142.54 $2099.71 $2186.36 $1977.90 $1911.86 $1714.00 $1737.88 $1713.74 $1511.34 $1508.02 $1428.99 $1444.66 $1444.66
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.174
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.702
Piotroski F-Score 4 5 6 8 7 8 8 8 5 6 7 9 7 6 5 6 7 6 6 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.62 -2.73 -2.93 -2.58 -2.65 -2.08 -2.13 -2.36 -2.30 -2.71 -2.67 -2.77 -2.83 -2.46 -2.49 -2.63 -2.60 -2.88 -2.94 -2.58 -2.581
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.941
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 13.90%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-893.58
EVA snapshot only $-15134371991.05
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB
Credit Score 11.66 12.36 13.24 22.69 28.17 27.70 29.94 26.67 14.69 16.76 24.78 27.93 31.25 41.06 38.75 39.41 53.31 50.95 46.40 41.07 41.069
Credit Grade snapshot only 12
Credit Trend snapshot only 1.659
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 475.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 45
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 25

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms