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3877.T JPX

Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co., Ltd.
1W: -2.0% 1M: -4.8% 3M: +6.5% YTD: +5.9% 1Y: +29.1% 3Y: +79.2% 5Y: +111.2%
¥2,143.00 ($13.58)
-45.00 (-2.06%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±2.4%
¥2042 ¥2093 ¥2143 ¥2193 ¥2244
JPX · Basic Materials · Paper, Lumber & Forest Products · Tech Score Neutral · Power 44 · ¥26.9B mcap · 7M float · 0.532% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
3
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
5
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. 3877.T receives an overall rating of A. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROA (5/5), P/B (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-24 None ADDED
2026-09-23 EXISTED None
2026-08-10 A- A
2026-07-01 A A-
2026-06-24 A- A
2026-06-04 A A-
2026-05-20 A- A
2026-05-18 B+ A-
2026-05-07 None ADDED
2026-05-06 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 25 Grade B
Profitability
7
Balance Sheet
38
Earnings Quality
57
Growth
20
Value
55
Momentum
55
Safety
30
Cash Flow
36
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. 3877.T scores highest in Earnings Quality (57/100) and lowest in Profitability (7/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.51
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.72
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B
Score: 29.1/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 69.76x
Accruals: -9.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. 3877.T scores 1.51, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. 3877.T scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. 3877.T's score of -2.57 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. 3877.T's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. 3877.T receives an estimated rating of B (score: 29.1/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). 3877.T's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
8.96x
PEG
0.05x
P/S
0.24x
P/B
0.44x
P/FCF
5.77x
P/OCF
2.27x
EV/EBITDA
11.11x
EV/Revenue
0.49x
EV/EBIT
-47.88x
EV/FCF
12.43x
Earnings Yield
0.63%
FCF Yield
17.34%
Shareholder Yield
5.04%
Graham Number
$1174.81
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 9.0x earnings, 3877.T trades at a deep value multiple. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $1174.81 per share, 82% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
-0.448
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.314
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.010
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.915
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.037
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
0.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. 3877.T's ROE of 0.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.915), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of -0.45 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$108.23
Price/Value
18.59x
Margin of Safety
-1758.93%
Premium
1758.93%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with 3877.T's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. 3877.T trades at a 1759% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $108.23, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 9.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$2143.00
Median 1Y
$2251.61
5th Pctile
$1386.54
95th Pctile
$3666.36
Ann. Volatility
29.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -4.8% -2.2% 1.8% 4.4% 5.8% 2.6% 4.1% 4.5% 2.2% 6.1% 5.2% 7.3% 10.0% 6.9% 5.8% 5.7% 5.5% 3.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.27%
ROA -1.8% -0.9% 0.7% 1.8% 2.2% 1.0% 1.6% 1.9% 0.9% 2.5% 2.2% 3.1% 4.2% 2.9% 2.6% 2.5% 2.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.13%
ROIC -1.2% -0.3% 1.6% 3.4% 4.1% 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 1.2% 2.9% 3.0% 4.4% 5.7% 5.2% 4.3% 4.8% 4.1% 2.4% 1.0% 1.7% 1.75%
ROCE -2.2% -1.1% 1.7% 3.0% 4.4% 3.2% 3.4% 3.7% 1.4% 3.6% 3.8% 6.0% 8.7% 6.7% 6.1% 6.6% 6.1% 2.5% 1.5% -1.5% -1.49%
Gross Margin 16.1% 23.8% 16.4% 14.0% 16.8% 14.4% 17.0% 13.1% 8.4% 17.0% 15.3% 18.7% 14.6% 16.8% 12.7% 20.2% 11.8% 16.0% 11.2% 12.9% 12.94%
Operating Margin -0.6% 7.4% 3.6% 1.4% 3.6% 1.7% 4.6% 1.6% -2.8% 6.5% 4.5% 8.1% 4.1% 6.3% 1.7% 9.2% 0.7% 4.8% -0.2% 1.8% 1.79%
Net Margin -1.2% 6.6% 3.2% 0.4% 1.7% 0.3% 5.9% 1.4% -2.8% 7.2% 4.0% 5.8% 2.2% 1.9% 2.0% 5.2% 1.9% -2.9% -0.2% 1.8% 1.80%
EBITDA Margin 6.9% 13.1% 11.5% 8.6% 11.1% 8.2% 11.0% 8.1% 1.3% 7.2% 10.4% 14.3% 8.7% 8.3% 8.7% 14.4% 6.1% -1.3% 5.9% 7.1% 7.11%
FCF Margin 3.3% 2.8% 2.3% 1.8% 1.3% 2.2% 3.1% 5.6% 7.9% 9.3% 10.8% 10.7% 10.7% 9.3% 7.9% 6.3% 5.0% 4.6% 4.3% 4.0% 3.98%
OCF Margin 10.3% 9.5% 8.3% 7.5% 6.7% 7.3% 7.7% 8.9% 9.8% 10.2% 10.8% 10.7% 10.7% 11.2% 11.7% 11.8% 12.2% 11.5% 10.7% 10.1% 10.12%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.27%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 4.32%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.90%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.49%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 1.73%
Cash ROA snapshot only 9.53%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 12.44%
CROIC snapshot only 4.89%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.42%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -0.32%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.34%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 10.90%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -5.90 -13.20 16.72 6.47 3.92 8.51 5.18 4.73 10.36 3.96 5.89 4.31 4.18 6.24 5.80 4.95 6.05 10.00 16.62 158.01 8.956
P/S Ratio 0.16 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.15 0.15 0.20 0.21 0.17 0.14 0.17 0.16 0.18 0.23 0.241
P/B Ratio 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.28 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.30 0.30 0.40 0.42 0.33 0.27 0.32 0.31 0.35 0.42 0.445
P/FCF 4.94 6.03 7.26 8.68 9.00 5.40 3.66 1.96 1.40 1.23 1.35 1.42 1.88 2.30 2.15 2.24 3.38 3.42 4.13 5.77 5.765
P/OCF 1.58 1.79 1.96 2.06 1.79 1.65 1.45 1.25 1.13 1.12 1.35 1.42 1.88 1.91 1.46 1.21 1.38 1.38 1.64 2.27 2.265
EV/EBITDA 10.15 8.76 6.39 5.42 4.65 4.94 4.82 4.84 6.68 6.71 7.34 5.71 5.31 4.84 4.68 4.25 4.76 5.85 7.24 11.11 11.115
EV/Revenue 0.66 0.63 0.59 0.55 0.52 0.49 0.47 0.46 0.47 0.45 0.49 0.47 0.53 0.50 0.47 0.43 0.45 0.41 0.46 0.49 0.494
EV/EBIT -35.01 -60.32 40.16 21.11 13.76 18.06 16.92 15.14 44.78 17.72 18.31 11.11 8.81 10.28 10.61 9.27 11.39 25.77 49.59 -47.88 -47.882
EV/FCF 20.16 22.48 26.35 30.84 38.83 21.89 15.39 8.24 5.92 4.89 4.57 4.38 4.99 5.38 5.88 6.79 9.05 8.90 10.80 12.43 12.426
Earnings Yield -17.0% -7.6% 6.0% 15.5% 25.5% 11.7% 19.3% 21.1% 9.7% 25.3% 17.0% 23.2% 23.9% 16.0% 17.2% 20.2% 16.5% 10.0% 6.0% 0.6% 0.63%
FCF Yield 20.2% 16.6% 13.8% 11.5% 11.1% 18.5% 27.3% 50.9% 71.6% 81.3% 73.8% 70.2% 53.2% 43.6% 46.5% 44.6% 29.6% 29.2% 24.2% 17.3% 17.34%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.053
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.420
EV/OCF snapshot only 4.882
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.805
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 27.437
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 5.04%
Graham Number snapshot only $1174.81
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.99 1.12 1.12 1.17 1.14 1.14 1.17 1.24 1.17 1.14 1.09 1.11 1.08 1.15 1.13 1.13 1.02 1.05 1.01 1.21 1.212
Quick Ratio 0.71 0.84 0.82 0.88 0.84 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.83 0.80 0.74 0.75 0.74 0.82 0.81 0.78 0.72 0.72 0.67 0.79 0.787
Debt/Equity 1.10 1.13 1.08 1.04 1.00 0.98 0.93 0.91 0.89 0.85 0.82 0.79 0.76 0.75 0.71 0.67 0.64 0.65 0.63 0.53 0.534
Net Debt/Equity 0.89 0.80 0.77 0.71 0.73 0.68 0.66 0.67 0.72 0.70 0.71 0.63 0.66 0.56 0.57 0.55 0.54 0.50 0.56 0.48 0.483
Debt/Assets 0.42 0.43 0.42 0.42 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.33 0.33 0.32 0.32 0.31 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.28 0.276
Debt/EBITDA 9.43 9.05 6.53 5.67 4.89 5.40 5.15 4.97 6.27 6.16 5.95 4.80 3.79 3.73 3.73 3.44 3.54 4.75 5.02 6.59 6.593
Net Debt/EBITDA 7.66 6.41 4.63 3.90 3.57 3.72 3.68 3.68 5.11 5.02 5.17 3.85 3.31 2.77 2.97 2.84 2.98 3.60 4.47 5.96 5.958
Interest Coverage -6.75 -3.65 5.03 8.57 12.20 8.75 9.62 11.45 4.18 10.92 11.74 18.85 27.35 22.01 19.30 19.99 16.46 6.19 3.41 -3.30 -3.299
Equity Multiplier 2.64 2.60 2.55 2.49 2.56 2.51 2.41 2.42 2.48 2.38 2.32 2.35 2.33 2.32 2.23 2.14 2.17 2.14 2.07 1.93 1.934
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.077
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 14.210
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.096
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.136
Defensive Interval snapshot only 885.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.67 0.67 0.72 0.74 0.73 0.73 0.76 0.79 0.82 0.86 0.89 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.89 0.92 0.91 0.915
Inventory Turnover 4.62 4.51 4.59 5.19 5.23 5.76 5.64 5.61 5.80 6.23 6.17 5.30 5.40 5.52 5.72 5.31 5.53 5.57 5.94 5.70 5.696
Receivables Turnover 3.49 3.88 4.52 4.70 3.89 4.10 4.26 4.48 3.87 4.22 4.41 4.31 3.73 3.87 3.96 4.06 3.72 4.07 4.13 4.08 4.081
Payables Turnover 4.93 5.13 6.47 7.34 5.50 6.15 6.60 6.70 5.47 6.38 7.48 5.76 5.24 5.44 6.23 5.63 5.34 5.44 6.27 6.70 6.702
DSO 105 94 81 78 94 89 86 81 94 86 83 85 98 94 92 90 98 90 88 89 89.4 days
DIO 79 81 79 70 70 63 65 65 63 59 59 69 68 66 64 69 66 66 61 64 64.1 days
DPO 74 71 56 50 66 59 55 54 67 57 49 63 70 67 59 65 68 67 58 54 54.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 109 104 104 98 97 93 95 92 91 88 93 90 96 93 97 94 96 88 92 99 99.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.264
Operating Cycle snapshot only 153.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 35.392
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.062
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue -17.1% -13.9% -5.1% 3.7% 9.7% 10.0% 7.3% 9.6% 13.4% 17.3% 17.0% 13.2% 7.3% 2.0% 0.4% 1.9% 2.3% 3.0% 3.1% -0.6% -0.56%
Net Income -1.9% -2.1% 2.4% 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.4% 7.2% -60.7% 1.4% 34.1% 71.0% 3.9% 21.3% 19.4% -17.3% -41.0% -52.4% -62.7% -95.0% -94.96%
EPS -1.9% -2.1% 2.4% 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.4% 7.2% -60.7% 1.4% 38.2% 76.3% 4.0% 23.1% 19.4% -17.3% -41.0% -51.5% -61.5% -94.8% -94.81%
FCF 79.2% 28.8% -7.3% -34.4% -55.5% -13.1% 45.6% 2.5% 5.7% 3.9% 3.1% 1.1% 45.9% 2.5% -26.0% -39.6% -52.5% -48.8% -44.4% -37.5% -37.46%
EBITDA -36.3% -32.7% -1.7% 53.6% 87.0% 50.2% 12.7% 3.9% -28.9% -19.4% -19.8% -3.3% 54.8% 56.5% 49.5% 25.8% -3.8% -30.0% -33.9% -56.3% -56.27%
Op. Income -1.5% -1.2% 14.2% 4.9% 3.8% 7.8% 59.6% 1.7% -68.5% 10.3% 1.2% 60.1% 4.5% 1.4% 1.0% 36.4% -19.4% -24.5% -23.4% -66.9% -66.87%
OCF Growth snapshot only -14.40%
Asset Growth snapshot only -5.57%
Equity Growth snapshot only 4.71%
Debt Growth snapshot only -16.10%
Shares Change snapshot only -2.96%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 46.07%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -4.9% -4.8% -3.1% -2.3% -2.3% -2.3% -2.1% -1.0% 1.0% 3.6% 6.0% 8.8% 10.1% 9.6% 8.0% 8.1% 7.6% 7.2% 6.6% 4.7% 4.67%
Revenue 5Y -4.1% -3.9% -3.0% -2.1% -1.3% -0.8% -0.3% 0.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.7% 2.9% 2.5% 2.2% 2.0% 2.3% 2.5% 3.1% 4.3% 5.4% 5.44%
EPS 3Y — — — — — 20.7% 12.3% 8.8% -25.3% 50.0% 1.2% — — — 57.5% 16.1% 5.2% 13.5% -14.1% -57.7% -57.69%
EPS 5Y — — -8.6% 11.1% 14.7% 0.2% — — — — — — — 39.5% 18.5% 13.4% 4.3% 15.0% 38.7% — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — 20.7% 12.3% 8.8% -25.3% 49.2% 1.2% — — — 55.9% 14.9% 4.1% 11.5% -15.8% -58.5% -58.54%
Net Income 5Y — — -8.6% 11.1% 14.7% 0.2% — — — — — — — 38.7% 17.8% 12.7% 3.7% 13.9% 37.0% — —
EBITDA 3Y 53.9% — — — — 1.1% 40.7% 16.4% -5.4% -6.6% -3.8% 15.6% 27.2% 23.7% 10.6% 8.1% 1.9% -4.1% -7.5% -19.0% -18.97%
EBITDA 5Y 4.7% 8.2% 12.2% 14.7% 19.5% 18.3% 24.8% 33.0% 37.1% — — — — 64.8% 27.3% 13.9% 4.8% -2.3% -2.6% -3.2% -3.23%
Gross Profit 3Y -7.4% -3.4% 1.2% 3.2% 3.8% -3.5% -3.9% -4.9% -10.0% -6.0% -4.5% 5.0% 11.3% 8.4% 3.7% 4.8% 2.5% 6.9% 5.0% -0.9% -0.85%
Gross Profit 5Y -6.4% -5.4% -4.4% -3.8% -2.7% -5.2% -3.5% -2.7% -4.1% -1.0% -0.2% 2.6% 4.5% 2.7% 1.0% 1.0% -1.1% -0.8% -0.1% 0.6% 0.59%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — 93.3% 28.6% -22.2% 8.0% 22.6% — — — 48.6% 30.4% 11.5% 25.6% 16.4% -10.2% -10.24%
Op. Income 5Y — — -4.3% 5.7% 18.4% 9.6% 36.4% 49.2% — — — — — — 71.5% 36.0% 15.7% 17.8% 23.5% — —
FCF 3Y -28.7% -28.3% -27.8% -26.9% -25.4% -7.5% 8.9% 43.4% 74.8% 76.4% 77.1% 69.7% 63.2% 63.5% 64.3% 65.0% 66.9% 37.0% 19.2% -6.8% -6.77%
FCF 5Y 33.3% — — — — — 5.3% 2.5% 1.6% 9.4% 17.7% 23.8% 32.3% 31.8% 31.5% 30.7% 29.9% 23.6% 18.0% 13.0% 13.02%
OCF 3Y -14.1% -12.9% -11.4% -9.5% -7.0% -2.9% 1.2% 8.9% 16.1% 16.4% 16.4% 14.0% 11.7% 15.9% 20.7% 25.7% 31.5% 25.0% 18.9% 9.4% 9.44%
OCF 5Y -1.1% -2.9% -4.8% -6.8% -8.9% -8.9% -8.9% -7.0% -5.6% -1.7% 2.4% 5.6% 9.4% 11.1% 12.9% 14.6% 16.5% 13.3% 10.3% 7.3% 7.32%
Assets 3Y -3.1% -0.7% 0.4% -0.5% 0.5% -0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 2.2% 3.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% -0.0% -0.9% -1.4% -1.38%
Assets 5Y -2.9% -1.4% -0.9% -1.3% -1.2% -1.3% -1.1% -1.2% -1.3% -0.5% 0.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.17%
Equity 3Y -5.5% -1.3% -0.0% -0.3% 1.1% 0.1% 1.8% 1.4% 0.9% 2.2% 3.7% 5.8% 6.2% 5.5% 5.6% 6.1% 6.2% 5.4% 4.2% 6.2% 6.22%
Book Value 3Y -5.5% -1.3% -0.0% -0.3% 1.1% 0.1% 1.8% 1.4% 0.9% 2.7% 4.8% 6.9% 7.3% 6.5% 6.7% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 6.4% 8.4% 8.39%
Dividend 3Y -0.0% -4.4% -9.1% -14.5% -20.6% -18.5% -15.7% -19.7% -26.4% -40.3% — — — 44.3% — — — 62.6% 30.4% 14.6% 14.62%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.51 0.63 0.74 0.51 0.32 0.29 0.24 0.04 0.00 0.05 0.20 0.32 0.31 0.30 0.32 0.40 0.53 0.67 0.84 0.89 0.889
Earnings Stability 0.06 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.07 0.31 0.29 0.22 0.59 0.61 0.65 0.56 0.54 0.70 0.43 0.25 0.41 0.35 0.15 0.148
Margin Stability 0.91 0.93 0.92 0.91 0.89 0.90 0.93 0.94 0.87 0.89 0.88 0.92 0.89 0.93 0.90 0.92 0.87 0.89 0.88 0.91 0.910
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.86 0.50 0.50 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.84 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — 0.00 — — — 0.19 0.93 0.13 0.17 0.71 0.48 0.00 0.81 0.82 0.81 0.48 0.29 0.09 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend -0.01 -0.04 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.06 0.02 0.03 0.06 0.02 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.03 -0.06 -0.060
Gross Margin Trend -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -0.025
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.045
Sustainable Growth Rate — — 0.7% 3.6% 5.1% 2.0% 3.4% 4.1% 1.9% 6.0% 5.2% 7.3% 10.0% 6.5% 5.1% 4.6% 4.1% 1.7% 0.7% -1.1% -1.12%
Internal Growth Rate — — 0.3% 1.4% 2.0% 0.8% 1.4% 1.7% 0.8% 2.5% 2.3% 3.2% 4.4% 2.9% 2.3% 2.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -3.73 -7.37 8.54 3.13 2.18 5.16 3.58 3.79 9.20 3.53 4.35 3.02 2.22 3.26 3.96 4.11 4.39 7.25 10.10 69.76 69.756
FCF/OCF 0.32 0.30 0.27 0.24 0.20 0.31 0.40 0.64 0.81 0.91 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.83 0.68 0.54 0.41 0.40 0.40 0.39 0.393
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 27.406
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 2.277
CapEx/Revenue 7.0% 6.6% 6.1% 5.7% 5.4% 5.0% 4.7% 3.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.9% 3.7% 5.4% 7.2% 6.9% 6.5% 6.1% 6.14%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.122
Accruals Ratio -0.09 -0.07 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.07 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.09 -0.09 -0.09 -0.091
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.029
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.469
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 5.0% 4.2% 3.6% 3.1% 3.1% 2.9% 2.9% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 2.1% 3.7% 4.1% 4.5% 4.1% 3.3% 5.13%
Dividend/Share $49.81 $43.60 $37.38 $31.16 $24.94 $23.64 $22.40 $16.16 $9.92 $5.04 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $14.92 $29.85 $44.77 $59.69 $62.13 $64.19 $65.40 $110.00
Payout Ratio — — 59.5% 19.9% 12.2% 24.9% 15.1% 9.6% 12.3% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 12.2% 18.3% 25.0% 44.8% 68.0% 5.1% 5.14%
FCF Payout Ratio 24.9% 25.3% 25.8% 26.7% 28.0% 15.8% 10.6% 4.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.9% 4.5% 8.3% 14.0% 15.3% 16.9% 18.7% 18.74%
Total Payout Ratio — — 59.5% 19.9% 12.2% 24.9% 15.1% 9.6% 12.3% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 12.2% 18.3% 25.0% 53.4% 93.5% 8.0% 7.97%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0
Chowder Number 0.05 -0.08 -0.21 -0.34 -0.47 -0.43 -0.37 -0.46 -0.59 -0.78 — — — 1.93 — — — 3.13 1.13 0.45 0.450
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 1.5% 1.8% 1.79%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 1.5% 1.8% 1.79%
Total Shareholder Return 5.0% 4.2% 3.6% 3.1% 3.1% 2.9% 2.9% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 2.1% 3.7% 4.1% 5.3% 5.6% 5.0% 5.04%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.27 0.96 0.83 1.04 0.94 0.74 0.79 0.77 0.90 0.98 1.01 0.89 0.82 0.74 0.71 0.72 0.73 0.96 1.09 -0.45 -0.448
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.15 1.27 0.80 0.88 0.87 0.71 0.99 0.99 1.14 1.15 0.91 0.95 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.85 0.97 1.03 1.05 0.31 0.314
EBIT Margin -0.02 -0.01 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.02 0.01 -0.01 -0.010
Asset Turnover 0.67 0.67 0.72 0.74 0.73 0.73 0.76 0.79 0.82 0.86 0.89 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.89 0.92 0.91 0.915
Equity Multiplier 2.58 2.55 2.49 2.51 2.60 2.56 2.48 2.45 2.52 2.44 2.36 2.38 2.40 2.35 2.27 2.25 2.24 2.23 2.15 2.04 2.037
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-167.72 $-78.80 $62.77 $156.83 $204.77 $94.85 $148.69 $168.16 $80.45 $232.21 $205.48 $296.52 $404.02 $285.80 $245.26 $245.27 $238.39 $138.55 $94.35 $12.73 $12.73
Book Value/Share $3411.31 $3551.09 $3595.36 $3620.97 $3629.28 $3634.11 $3733.63 $3783.48 $3734.75 $3929.57 $4049.27 $4197.83 $4216.87 $4293.70 $4361.66 $4464.29 $4477.11 $4478.16 $4496.52 $4817.37 $4817.61
Tangible Book/Share $3391.31 $3532.66 $3578.50 $3603.96 $3597.97 $3605.24 $3706.52 $3757.41 $3711.00 $3907.42 $4028.73 $4175.59 $4196.79 $4272.54 $4342.66 $4447.30 $4460.43 $4463.04 $4482.98 $4796.12 $4796.12
Revenue/Share $6095.06 $6137.68 $6419.85 $6572.80 $6683.80 $6739.97 $6889.59 $7203.60 $7580.66 $8045.07 $8312.05 $8407.08 $8387.49 $8326.69 $8342.54 $8564.62 $8578.37 $8738.80 $8871.76 $8776.51 $8895.49
FCF/Share $200.22 $172.43 $144.64 $116.84 $89.05 $149.66 $210.67 $405.32 $596.84 $746.96 $893.75 $896.99 $897.92 $776.71 $661.64 $541.50 $426.90 $405.18 $379.79 $348.98 $0.00
OCF/Share $625.02 $580.47 $535.92 $491.30 $446.76 $489.06 $532.66 $637.85 $739.95 $819.69 $893.75 $896.99 $897.92 $931.85 $971.92 $1006.93 $1047.48 $1004.72 $953.22 $888.24 $0.00
Cash/Share $705.17 $1166.67 $1133.86 $1176.11 $981.60 $1111.63 $988.69 $887.22 $614.14 $617.46 $437.45 $654.05 $406.03 $823.97 $632.99 $514.39 $449.06 $708.89 $313.65 $247.98 $247.98
EBITDA/Share $397.83 $442.32 $596.33 $664.56 $744.03 $663.44 $672.32 $690.26 $529.01 $544.23 $555.75 $688.34 $844.10 $863.82 $830.91 $865.77 $812.06 $616.43 $566.86 $390.16 $390.16
Debt/Share $3752.36 $4003.37 $3895.66 $3765.07 $3637.97 $3579.51 $3460.15 $3429.49 $3315.96 $3350.95 $3308.73 $3307.25 $3201.34 $3219.52 $3099.46 $2975.24 $2871.99 $2927.97 $2848.11 $2572.47 $2572.47
Net Debt/Share $3047.19 $2836.70 $2761.80 $2588.96 $2656.37 $2467.87 $2471.46 $2542.27 $2701.81 $2733.49 $2871.27 $2653.20 $2795.31 $2395.55 $2466.47 $2460.85 $2422.93 $2219.08 $2534.46 $2324.49 $2324.49
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.513
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.462
Piotroski F-Score 4 5 7 8 8 7 9 8 7 8 7 8 8 7 7 8 6 6 6 7 7
Beneish M-Score -2.97 -2.87 -2.62 -2.49 -2.47 -2.23 -2.61 -2.53 -2.10 -2.64 -2.57 -2.80 -2.93 -2.73 -2.74 -2.89 -2.77 -3.03 -2.94 -2.57 -2.574
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.717
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -1.99%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-573.16
EVA snapshot only $-7405060000.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B
Credit Score 16.59 17.35 34.40 37.96 41.19 38.70 40.05 52.20 34.70 50.31 51.53 55.07 58.11 59.39 58.50 56.30 56.89 48.87 43.66 29.11 29.111
Credit Grade snapshot only 15
Credit Trend snapshot only -27.192
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 750.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 28
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 13

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