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Not Investment Advice

3878.T JPX

Tomoegawa Co., Ltd.
1W: +11.9% 1M: +9.6% 3M: +24.2% YTD: +24.4% 1Y: +37.1% 3Y: +40.3% 5Y: +27.2%
¥969.00 ($6.14)
-25.00 (-2.52%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±5.9%
¥856 ¥912 ¥969 ¥1026 ¥1082
JPX · Basic Materials · Paper, Lumber & Forest Products · Tech Score Buy · Power 73 · ¥9.5B mcap · 4M float · 1.58% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
4
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
5
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. 3878.T receives an overall rating of A. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (4/5), ROA (5/5), P/B (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-24 None ADDED
2026-09-23 EXISTED None
2026-08-31 A- A
2026-08-28 A A-
2026-08-03 A- A
2026-05-07 None ADDED
2026-05-06 EXISTED None
2026-04-30 A A-
2026-04-24 A- A
2026-04-01 B+ A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 33 Grade B
Profitability
24
Balance Sheet
61
Earnings Quality
75
Growth
39
Value
88
Momentum
70
Safety
30
Cash Flow
26
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. 3878.T scores highest in Value (88/100) and lowest in Profitability (24/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.25
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.44
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.16
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB+
Score: 46.9/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 2.70x
Accruals: -3.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. 3878.T scores 1.25, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. 3878.T scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. 3878.T's score of -2.44 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. 3878.T's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. 3878.T receives an estimated rating of BB+ (score: 46.9/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). 3878.T's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
7.71x
PEG
0.09x
P/S
0.26x
P/B
0.51x
P/FCF
49.83x
P/OCF
3.19x
EV/EBITDA
4.55x
EV/Revenue
0.46x
EV/EBIT
9.38x
EV/FCF
107.19x
Earnings Yield
11.60%
FCF Yield
2.01%
Shareholder Yield
10.01%
Graham Number
$1958.73
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 7.7x earnings, 3878.T trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 11.6% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $1958.73 per share, suggesting a potential 102% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.509
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.993
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.049
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.733
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.902
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
5.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. 3878.T's ROE of 5.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.733), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.51 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
1.63%
Fair P/E
11.77x
Intrinsic Value
$1064.59
Price/Value
0.73x
Margin of Safety
26.73%
Premium
-26.73%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with 3878.T's realized 1.6% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. 3878.T trades at a -27% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $1064.59, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 11.8x compares to the current market P/E of 7.7x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$969.00
Median 1Y
$896.08
5th Pctile
$453.35
95th Pctile
$1785.08
Ann. Volatility
40.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -8.3% -11.2% -0.9% 13.6% 17.0% 13.2% 17.9% 15.2% 13.8% 10.6% 4.4% 4.4% 1.1% 4.1% 4.0% 6.4% 7.8% 5.0% 4.6% 5.3% 5.26%
ROA -1.8% -2.7% -0.2% 3.3% 4.3% 3.9% 5.7% 4.9% 4.6% 3.4% 1.5% 1.4% 0.4% 1.3% 1.3% 2.1% 2.5% 1.6% 1.5% 1.8% 1.81%
ROIC 2.2% -0.1% 2.0% 7.8% 9.3% 7.0% 9.2% 7.9% 8.5% 7.2% 5.3% 5.1% 3.3% 4.2% 3.9% 5.3% 5.5% 3.6% 3.8% 3.8% 3.78%
ROCE 1.1% -1.6% 2.7% 8.9% 11.1% 9.4% 11.9% 11.2% 10.5% 9.6% 6.4% 6.5% 4.5% 5.7% 5.4% 6.1% 6.9% 5.3% 4.9% 5.7% 5.69%
Gross Margin 16.9% 21.4% 21.1% 21.3% 21.0% 19.2% 23.3% 19.8% 24.7% 20.3% 23.2% 22.0% 20.9% 21.5% 23.2% 24.6% 22.9% 20.7% 24.2% 25.8% 25.76%
Operating Margin 2.3% 7.5% 5.7% 7.7% 6.9% 4.0% 8.6% 5.1% 7.5% 2.7% 5.2% 4.4% 2.2% 4.0% 4.0% 6.7% 3.9% -1.1% 4.3% 8.7% 8.67%
Net Margin 2.5% 3.7% 5.5% 5.1% 7.3% 2.3% 12.9% 1.2% 5.9% -3.6% 4.1% 1.1% 0.3% 1.6% 4.1% 4.8% 2.7% -2.9% 3.6% 5.9% 5.88%
EBITDA Margin 10.1% 11.0% 14.6% 13.8% 16.5% 10.2% 20.6% 10.0% 13.7% 4.4% 12.0% 10.0% 7.4% 9.1% 11.5% 12.8% 10.9% 4.3% 10.7% 13.7% 13.69%
FCF Margin -8.0% -3.4% 0.8% 4.9% 8.7% 8.5% 7.8% 7.9% 8.3% 8.9% 9.6% 9.7% 9.8% 9.1% 8.5% 7.9% 7.1% 4.9% 2.7% 0.4% 0.43%
OCF Margin -0.3% 3.2% 6.6% 9.7% 12.7% 12.2% 11.1% 10.2% 9.6% 9.6% 9.6% 9.7% 9.8% 10.4% 11.1% 11.6% 12.1% 10.4% 8.7% 6.7% 6.68%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.16%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 8.06%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.71%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.81%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 3.15%
Cash ROA snapshot only 4.52%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 8.78%
CROIC snapshot only 0.56%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 2.88%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 4.86%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 4.33%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 14.70%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -10.42 -6.83 -84.67 6.47 4.44 4.96 2.55 3.55 3.35 4.71 10.80 10.87 62.96 15.19 18.03 8.18 6.27 9.67 9.58 8.62 7.705
P/S Ratio 0.25 0.26 0.25 0.27 0.24 0.25 0.18 0.21 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.30 0.27 0.32 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.21 0.256
P/B Ratio 0.94 0.68 0.65 0.71 0.60 0.61 0.41 0.49 0.43 0.49 0.48 0.50 0.74 0.61 0.71 0.50 0.46 0.48 0.44 0.41 0.514
P/FCF -3.11 -7.51 29.13 5.55 2.74 2.95 2.28 2.69 2.29 2.24 2.15 2.12 3.01 2.94 3.74 2.79 2.90 4.30 7.38 49.83 49.830
P/OCF — 7.89 3.72 2.78 1.88 2.05 1.60 2.08 1.97 2.09 2.15 2.12 3.01 2.58 2.88 1.88 1.70 2.02 2.27 3.19 3.193
EV/EBITDA 10.00 12.70 6.62 4.22 3.23 3.51 2.26 2.75 2.56 3.58 4.15 4.40 6.15 5.08 5.57 4.55 4.18 4.75 4.57 4.55 4.553
EV/Revenue 0.69 0.59 0.52 0.52 0.45 0.48 0.35 0.40 0.35 0.44 0.42 0.44 0.52 0.49 0.53 0.46 0.46 0.47 0.44 0.46 0.459
EV/EBIT 83.12 -45.95 24.36 7.58 5.21 5.86 3.44 4.25 4.07 5.84 7.98 8.56 14.73 10.48 11.78 9.80 8.32 10.96 10.83 9.38 9.375
EV/FCF -8.70 -17.28 61.42 10.71 5.16 5.71 4.45 5.00 4.25 4.93 4.33 4.54 5.28 5.36 6.21 5.91 6.54 9.61 16.63 107.19 107.191
Earnings Yield -9.6% -14.6% -1.2% 15.4% 22.5% 20.2% 39.2% 28.2% 29.9% 21.2% 9.3% 9.2% 1.6% 6.6% 5.5% 12.2% 15.9% 10.3% 10.4% 11.6% 11.60%
FCF Yield -32.1% -13.3% 3.4% 18.0% 36.5% 33.9% 43.8% 37.2% 43.7% 44.5% 46.6% 47.2% 33.2% 34.0% 26.7% 35.9% 34.5% 23.3% 13.6% 2.0% 2.01%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.093
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.433
EV/OCF snapshot only 6.869
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.953
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 11.021
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 10.01%
Graham Number snapshot only $1958.73
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.99 1.17 1.15 1.19 1.24 1.44 1.49 1.46 1.46 1.34 1.33 1.24 1.24 1.23 1.26 1.20 1.22 1.19 1.22 1.07 1.070
Quick Ratio 0.61 0.73 0.69 0.68 0.75 0.88 0.89 0.87 0.84 0.77 0.77 0.73 0.74 0.75 0.73 0.66 0.71 0.68 0.69 0.64 0.639
Debt/Equity 2.28 1.24 1.07 0.95 0.88 0.93 0.75 0.76 0.69 0.89 0.88 0.96 0.98 0.87 0.80 0.81 0.89 0.91 0.92 0.81 0.809
Net Debt/Equity 1.68 0.89 0.72 0.66 0.54 0.57 0.39 0.42 0.37 0.58 0.49 0.57 0.56 0.50 0.47 0.56 0.57 0.59 0.56 0.48 0.476
Debt/Assets 0.43 0.35 0.31 0.29 0.27 0.29 0.26 0.26 0.24 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.28 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.28 0.282
Debt/EBITDA 8.72 10.03 5.20 2.92 2.51 2.77 2.11 2.27 2.21 2.99 3.80 3.92 4.67 3.96 3.79 3.51 3.63 4.07 4.19 4.14 4.137
Net Debt/EBITDA 6.42 7.19 3.48 2.04 1.52 1.70 1.10 1.27 1.18 1.95 2.09 2.35 2.65 2.29 2.22 2.40 2.32 2.63 2.54 2.44 2.436
Interest Coverage 0.98 -1.68 2.99 10.77 16.10 10.73 13.69 12.41 10.87 11.33 7.69 7.42 5.09 7.26 6.85 7.22 8.35 6.46 5.93 6.83 6.829
Equity Multiplier 5.27 3.54 3.41 3.27 3.23 3.23 2.91 2.93 2.86 3.06 3.10 3.27 3.31 3.11 3.04 2.95 2.99 3.02 3.07 2.86 2.864
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.278
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 14.062
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.411
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.010
Defensive Interval snapshot only 687.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.74 0.73 0.75 0.80 0.79 0.78 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.79 0.76 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.74 0.77 0.76 0.75 0.74 0.73 0.733
Inventory Turnover 2.97 3.16 3.07 3.25 3.39 3.39 3.37 3.30 3.14 3.03 2.88 2.85 2.89 2.92 2.73 2.82 2.89 2.94 2.74 2.85 2.847
Receivables Turnover 4.45 4.29 5.06 5.45 5.02 4.72 5.35 5.26 5.21 5.03 5.17 4.77 5.18 5.01 5.11 5.07 5.17 5.28 5.42 5.25 5.255
Payables Turnover 4.89 4.95 4.86 5.46 4.77 4.59 4.60 4.66 4.29 4.61 4.46 4.53 4.47 4.59 4.23 4.74 4.79 4.67 4.43 4.74 4.744
DSO 82 85 72 67 73 77 68 69 70 73 71 76 70 73 71 72 71 69 67 69 69.5 days
DIO 123 116 119 112 108 108 108 111 116 121 127 128 126 125 134 129 126 124 133 128 128.2 days
DPO 75 74 75 67 76 79 79 78 85 79 82 81 82 80 86 77 76 78 82 77 76.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 130 127 116 112 104 105 97 102 101 114 116 124 115 118 119 125 121 115 118 121 120.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.911
Operating Cycle snapshot only 197.7 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 5.830
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.478
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue -6.7% -0.7% 2.9% 10.5% 11.8% 6.6% 9.2% 6.8% 3.8% 4.2% -1.6% -4.4% -3.3% -1.4% 0.8% 3.9% 4.3% 2.2% 1.8% 4.1% 4.10%
Net Income 67.6% -3.3% -1.4% 2.4% 3.5% 2.4% 27.2% 53.7% 8.8% -12.1% -73.1% -69.8% -92.0% -59.1% -6.9% 47.2% 6.3% 26.3% 18.4% -3.9% -3.90%
EPS 68.0% -3.2% -1.4% 2.4% 3.5% 2.4% 26.5% 52.1% 6.4% -13.2% -73.1% -70.2% -92.0% -59.1% -6.9% 47.2% 6.4% 29.8% 21.8% 1.6% 1.63%
FCF -87.6% 31.7% 1.1% 1.8% 2.2% 3.6% 9.1% 73.9% -1.6% 9.7% 21.4% 17.4% 14.9% 0.7% -10.8% -15.9% -24.8% -45.0% -68.1% -94.3% -94.33%
EBITDA 51.2% -54.6% -10.6% 1.3% 1.2% 2.2% 1.1% 24.6% 2.0% -7.0% -35.7% -33.5% -40.5% -22.9% -4.6% 6.0% 37.1% 5.3% 4.2% 2.7% 2.73%
Op. Income -4.0% 76.6% 2.8% 2.8% 4.3% 133.1% 1.7% 12.4% -6.0% 3.5% -25.6% -23.1% -44.6% -35.2% -28.0% -11.2% 34.6% -12.0% -3.4% 2.4% 2.40%
OCF Growth snapshot only -40.21%
Asset Growth snapshot only 18.08%
Equity Growth snapshot only 21.52%
Debt Growth snapshot only 21.04%
Shares Change snapshot only -5.45%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 15.61%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -5.7% -3.6% -2.2% -0.7% 0.4% -0.7% 1.3% 2.1% 2.7% 3.3% 3.4% 4.1% 3.9% 3.1% 2.7% 2.0% 1.5% 1.6% 0.3% 1.1% 1.11%
Revenue 5Y -2.6% -1.7% -0.8% 0.5% 0.7% 0.2% -0.0% -0.1% -0.6% -0.1% 0.1% -0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 4.0% 4.05%
EPS 3Y — — — 1.9% — — — — — 40.0% — — — — — -12.7% -14.2% -22.7% -32.7% -23.6% -23.64%
EPS 5Y — — — — — 45.5% 26.3% 14.1% 9.2% 27.8% 14.1% 62.1% — — — — — 7.9% — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — 1.9% — — — — — 41.7% — — — — — -11.9% -14.0% -23.1% -33.3% -24.7% -24.68%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — 45.6% 26.8% 14.2% 9.6% 28.3% 14.5% 62.7% — — — — — 8.0% — — —
EBITDA 3Y -14.7% -16.9% 6.8% 41.2% 82.4% 1.2% 1.1% 69.9% 51.4% 10.2% 7.0% 24.0% 10.9% 31.5% 9.4% -4.2% -5.9% -8.9% -13.9% -10.2% -10.18%
EBITDA 5Y 7.9% -7.4% 5.8% 17.6% 16.0% 14.6% 13.5% 9.8% 7.3% 11.0% 10.8% 18.5% 29.8% 51.0% 42.7% 28.2% 23.1% 1.7% 4.0% 15.8% 15.75%
Gross Profit 3Y -15.6% -7.9% -3.4% 3.2% 7.6% 3.5% 7.8% 7.1% 10.4% 13.4% 15.7% 22.1% 18.9% 13.9% 9.5% 5.7% 4.4% 5.2% 3.3% 5.3% 5.27%
Gross Profit 5Y -2.2% -1.1% 2.3% 6.1% 5.1% 3.0% 2.3% 0.9% 1.0% 3.4% 3.4% 4.6% 5.0% 3.9% 5.1% 5.7% 7.5% 8.8% 10.8% 15.5% 15.47%
Op. Income 3Y — — -2.1% 49.5% 1.3% 43.4% 81.7% 64.8% 1.1% — — — — — 13.4% -8.5% -11.2% -16.1% -19.7% -11.3% -11.25%
Op. Income 5Y — — 54.4% — 34.3% 18.1% 12.4% 5.3% 4.4% 15.8% 13.7% 23.6% 43.4% 14.6% 26.3% 25.0% 46.7% — — — —
FCF 3Y — — -51.7% -15.1% 3.5% 27.9% 79.0% — — — — — — — 1.2% 19.8% -5.3% -15.3% -29.8% -61.7% -61.74%
FCF 5Y — — -5.1% 84.9% 43.1% 29.3% 25.5% 9.4% 7.8% 6.8% 6.5% 4.6% 4.6% 18.2% 44.1% — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — -31.6% -13.8% -3.5% 5.7% 14.7% 19.9% 26.7% 37.2% 51.6% 75.1% 1.3% — 52.0% 21.9% 8.5% -0.2% -3.6% -7.6% -12.2% -12.18%
OCF 5Y — -9.4% 1.9% 12.5% 16.5% 14.3% 12.4% 4.5% 2.0% 1.0% -0.0% -1.6% -1.8% 5.7% 11.3% 18.2% 26.7% 30.7% 37.8% 55.5% 55.47%
Assets 3Y 2.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 4.5% 4.0% 4.6% 3.2% -0.9% 1.7% 2.9% 2.2% 4.0% 4.5% 3.6% 3.4% 1.9% 2.8% 6.5% 6.55%
Assets 5Y 0.8% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.9% 2.6% 2.7% 2.6% 1.9% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 1.5% 3.6% 3.8% 3.2% 3.7% 0.8% 1.9% 5.3% 5.33%
Equity 3Y -14.7% -2.4% -1.1% 0.1% 3.9% 11.6% 16.7% 17.9% 17.6% 15.5% 19.3% 21.9% 19.3% 8.5% 8.6% 7.2% 6.1% 4.2% 1.0% 7.3% 7.35%
Book Value 3Y -14.5% -2.1% -0.8% 0.3% 3.8% 11.2% 15.8% 17.5% 16.3% 14.2% 17.9% 20.5% 18.3% 7.6% 7.7% 6.4% 5.8% 4.7% 1.9% 8.8% 8.84%
Dividend 3Y -0.3% -9.3% -20.6% -36.9% — — — — — — — — — — — — — 56.3% 21.9% 4.4% 4.44%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.62 0.60 0.39 0.04 0.01 0.06 0.06 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.07 0.09 0.17 0.11 0.27 0.44 0.73 0.87 0.72 0.77 0.768
Earnings Stability 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.11 0.11 0.14 0.29 0.31 0.38 0.36 0.47 0.45 0.51 0.42 0.11 0.06 0.12 0.121
Margin Stability 0.85 0.93 0.92 0.86 0.86 0.90 0.89 0.85 0.84 0.87 0.87 0.83 0.83 0.87 0.89 0.91 0.90 0.88 0.86 0.81 0.813
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.97 0.81 0.50 0.89 0.93 0.98 0.984
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — 0.58 0.92 0.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.93 0.62 0.00 0.77 0.83 0.96 0.960
ROE Trend 0.05 -0.02 0.11 0.30 0.30 0.14 0.17 0.15 0.11 0.09 -0.03 -0.08 -0.12 -0.07 -0.06 -0.03 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.01 -0.005
Gross Margin Trend -0.03 -0.01 0.01 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.010
FCF Margin Trend -0.10 -0.03 0.03 0.09 0.15 0.13 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.06 0.05 0.03 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.06 -0.08 -0.084
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — 13.0% 17.0% 13.2% 17.9% 15.2% 13.8% 10.6% 4.4% 4.4% 1.1% 3.8% 3.3% 5.3% 6.4% 3.7% 3.5% 4.3% 4.27%
Internal Growth Rate — — — 3.3% 4.5% 4.1% 6.0% 5.2% 4.8% 3.5% 1.5% 1.4% 0.4% 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.5% 1.49%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.11 -0.87 -22.74 2.32 2.36 2.42 1.59 1.70 1.70 2.26 5.03 5.13 20.92 5.89 6.27 4.34 3.69 4.78 4.23 2.70 2.701
FCF/OCF 31.47 -1.05 0.13 0.50 0.69 0.69 0.70 0.78 0.86 0.93 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.88 0.77 0.68 0.59 0.47 0.31 0.06 0.064
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.173
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.663
CapEx/Revenue 7.7% 6.6% 5.8% 4.8% 4.0% 3.7% 3.3% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 2.6% 3.8% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.3% 6.26%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.206
Accruals Ratio -0.02 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.06 -0.06 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.03 -0.031
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.080
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.994
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 3.5% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 0.9% 2.0% 2.9% 2.6% 2.6% 2.2% 1.55%
Dividend/Share $25.12 $18.84 $12.56 $6.28 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $4.92 $9.84 $14.75 $19.97 $19.01 $17.80 $17.06 $15.00
Payout Ratio — — — 4.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 17.1% 16.6% 18.0% 25.6% 25.4% 18.9% 18.86%
FCF Payout Ratio — — 48.0% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 3.5% 5.7% 8.3% 11.4% 19.5% 1.1% 1.09%
Total Payout Ratio — — — 4.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 56.4% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 86.4% 86.36%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 — — — — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0
Chowder Number 0.02 -0.23 -0.49 -0.74 — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.79 0.79 0.12 0.115
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.1% 5.3% 11.3% 15.9% 13.2% 11.5% 7.8% 7.83%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% -6.9% -14.1% -18.7% -27.5% -20.6% -19.7% -8.9% -1.7% -0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.1% 5.3% 11.3% 15.9% 13.2% 11.5% 7.8% 7.83%
Total Shareholder Return 3.5% -4.5% -12.5% -17.9% -27.5% -20.6% -19.7% -8.9% -1.7% -0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.7% 6.2% 13.3% 18.8% 15.8% 14.1% 10.0% 10.01%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) -88.12 1.83 -0.20 0.67 0.66 0.65 0.73 0.68 0.70 0.61 0.41 0.42 0.16 0.44 0.46 0.65 0.66 0.54 0.54 0.51 0.509
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.03 1.59 0.67 0.91 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.89 0.88 0.83 0.87 0.86 0.87 0.89 0.94 0.94 0.99 0.993
EBIT Margin 0.01 -0.01 0.02 0.07 0.09 0.08 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.049
Asset Turnover 0.74 0.73 0.75 0.80 0.79 0.78 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.79 0.76 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.74 0.77 0.76 0.75 0.74 0.73 0.733
Equity Multiplier 4.71 4.12 4.08 4.09 4.00 3.37 3.13 3.08 3.03 3.15 3.00 3.09 3.07 3.09 3.07 3.10 3.14 3.07 3.06 2.90 2.902
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-69.72 $-113.92 $-9.00 $133.55 $175.97 $161.25 $229.87 $203.12 $187.16 $139.91 $61.90 $60.46 $15.04 $57.27 $57.66 $89.00 $111.09 $74.37 $70.22 $90.45 $90.45
Book Value/Share $776.67 $1136.92 $1176.18 $1219.38 $1291.43 $1317.15 $1428.59 $1462.17 $1447.39 $1352.42 $1394.17 $1312.02 $1286.08 $1417.51 $1469.29 $1466.78 $1529.28 $1511.30 $1512.78 $1885.13 $2388.39
Tangible Book/Share $725.05 $1083.81 $1130.09 $1175.89 $1249.81 $1274.54 $1386.55 $1420.10 $1409.69 $1314.72 $1356.95 $1273.84 $1249.25 $1378.17 $1420.01 $1408.35 $1461.55 $1435.15 $1435.02 $1802.84 $1802.84
Revenue/Share $2930.16 $3042.59 $3090.75 $3209.94 $3267.69 $3203.93 $3291.95 $3391.65 $3316.54 $3294.75 $3238.92 $3194.96 $3205.57 $3248.67 $3265.93 $3319.25 $3395.07 $3414.06 $3418.33 $3654.42 $3786.68
FCF/Share $-233.38 $-103.61 $26.16 $155.87 $284.96 $271.24 $256.68 $268.26 $273.98 $293.58 $311.64 $310.29 $314.72 $295.56 $277.94 $261.09 $240.10 $167.22 $91.25 $15.65 $0.00
OCF/Share $-7.42 $98.59 $204.60 $310.51 $415.55 $390.98 $365.30 $346.10 $318.77 $315.98 $311.64 $310.29 $314.72 $337.31 $361.44 $386.34 $409.63 $355.81 $296.76 $244.28 $0.00
Cash/Share $467.44 $401.49 $417.80 $351.63 $450.37 $471.53 $510.84 $487.46 $466.68 $419.73 $553.56 $502.94 $545.75 $522.32 $489.54 $376.92 $489.69 $488.33 $547.21 $626.85 $626.85
EBITDA/Share $203.02 $140.92 $242.77 $395.52 $455.30 $441.13 $505.54 $487.95 $454.05 $404.88 $324.85 $319.93 $270.18 $312.22 $309.90 $339.21 $376.06 $338.01 $332.27 $368.54 $368.54
Debt/Share $1770.99 $1414.00 $1262.31 $1156.71 $1141.41 $1220.69 $1067.49 $1106.81 $1004.14 $1208.65 $1233.82 $1254.74 $1260.53 $1237.49 $1176.06 $1191.11 $1363.57 $1376.45 $1391.28 $1524.75 $1524.75
Net Debt/Share $1303.54 $1012.52 $844.51 $805.08 $691.04 $749.16 $556.65 $619.35 $537.46 $788.93 $680.26 $751.81 $714.78 $715.17 $686.53 $814.19 $873.87 $888.12 $844.07 $897.90 $897.90
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.252
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.327
Piotroski F-Score 3 6 6 8 8 7 8 7 8 5 4 4 4 6 6 8 7 6 7 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.54 -3.90 -2.83 -2.77 -2.77 -2.56 -2.61 -2.45 -2.75 -2.94 -2.79 -2.81 -2.70 -2.66 -2.68 -2.87 -2.73 -2.68 -2.84 -2.44 -2.442
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.156
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 8.65%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-600.74
EVA snapshot only $-1696934193.92
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB+
Credit Score 12.52 14.93 31.72 53.22 57.38 57.03 56.32 57.16 57.07 56.49 52.93 53.27 48.97 54.21 51.77 53.29 54.50 48.87 48.93 46.92 46.916
Credit Grade snapshot only 11
Credit Trend snapshot only -6.375
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 400.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 53
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 31

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