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Not Investment Advice

4343.T JPX

Aeon Fantasy Co., Ltd.
1W: -3.8% 1M: -7.1% 3M: +2.0% YTD: -4.3% 1Y: -31.5% 3Y: -1.9% 5Y: +21.6%
¥2,643.00 ($16.76)
-62.00 (-2.29%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.8%
¥2444 ¥2543 ¥2643 ¥2743 ¥2842
JPX · Consumer Cyclical · Leisure · Tech Score Sell · Power 32 · ¥52.3B mcap · 7M float · 0.936% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A-
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. 4343.T receives an overall rating of A-. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B+ A-
2026-09-24 None ADDED
2026-09-23 EXISTED None
2026-07-14 B B+
2026-05-07 None ADDED
2026-05-06 EXISTED None
2026-04-27 B+ B
2026-04-13 B B+
2026-04-01 B- B
2026-02-12 C+ B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 11 Grade D
Profitability
10
Balance Sheet
32
Earnings Quality
42
Growth
37
Value
33
Momentum
38
Safety
30
Cash Flow
18
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. 4343.T scores highest in Earnings Quality (42/100) and lowest in Profitability (10/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.62
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.93
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.30
Bankruptcy prob: 0.5%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B
Score: 28.3/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -11.62x
Accruals: -21.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. 4343.T scores 1.62, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. 4343.T scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. 4343.T's score of -2.93 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. 4343.T's implied 0.5% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. 4343.T receives an estimated rating of B (score: 28.3/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
14.40x
PEG
0.01x
P/S
0.54x
P/B
6.64x
P/FCF
20.98x
P/OCF
4.05x
EV/EBITDA
6.81x
EV/Revenue
0.95x
EV/EBIT
49.86x
EV/FCF
36.16x
Earnings Yield
-2.13%
FCF Yield
4.77%
Shareholder Yield
0.40%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 14.4x earnings, 4343.T trades at a reasonable valuation.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
-1.267
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.485
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.019
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.418
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
7.560
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-12.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. 4343.T's ROE of -12.6% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 7.56x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of -1.27 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$2643.00
Median 1Y
$2408.75
5th Pctile
$1184.48
95th Pctile
$4891.15
Ann. Volatility
41.2%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -40.4% -42.7% -32.9% -35.3% -37.5% -31.7% -24.0% -11.0% -19.8% -34.3% -32.3% -19.0% -9.6% 16.1% 20.6% 5.7% -2.4% -24.3% -22.9% -12.6% -12.61%
ROA -16.0% -16.9% -10.5% -10.2% -10.0% -8.6% -5.6% -2.4% -4.0% -6.9% -5.7% -3.6% -1.6% 2.6% 3.0% 0.9% -0.3% -3.4% -3.0% -1.7% -1.67%
ROIC -12.9% -14.6% -9.4% -7.9% -8.3% -7.8% -4.4% -1.2% 1.0% 2.3% 2.7% 6.2% -6.7% 4.4% 4.7% 2.2% -0.9% -66.0% -92.6% -11.8% -11.79%
ROCE -41.9% -44.9% -27.5% -29.9% -30.4% -21.0% -11.5% 1.6% -2.2% -9.9% -8.4% 1.1% 11.5% 26.5% 20.7% 15.1% 15.5% 7.5% 6.6% 7.1% 7.13%
Gross Margin -1.1% 6.3% -3.5% 2.5% -0.1% 10.3% 7.2% 11.0% 6.3% 12.8% 8.3% 16.9% 7.0% 16.5% 11.0% 17.7% 8.2% 15.6% 13.6% 12.9% 12.91%
Operating Margin -10.1% -1.5% -13.2% -5.5% -9.4% 3.0% -2.0% 3.3% -2.4% 4.9% -0.3% 9.5% -2.0% 8.7% 2.4% 10.1% -1.2% 7.4% 5.6% 5.4% 5.44%
Net Margin -10.4% -4.5% -15.7% -9.5% -8.2% 1.0% -3.8% 1.6% -10.8% -5.7% -1.1% 6.3% -4.5% 4.4% 0.3% 1.4% -7.6% -2.9% 0.7% 4.0% 4.01%
EBITDA Margin 8.2% 12.4% 4.1% 8.0% 10.4% 17.9% 14.7% 18.7% 4.8% 9.5% 13.6% 21.7% 11.6% 19.7% 17.5% 16.1% 11.3% 11.5% 15.4% 17.4% 17.36%
FCF Margin -0.1% -3.7% -6.0% -8.6% -11.3% -8.6% -5.9% 4.6% 14.1% 20.6% 26.5% 25.3% 24.8% 18.7% 13.2% 7.6% 2.2% 2.4% 2.5% 2.6% 2.64%
OCF Margin 21.4% 16.8% 9.4% 4.7% 0.3% 2.8% 5.0% 12.3% 19.1% 23.0% 26.5% 25.3% 24.8% 21.8% 19.3% 16.6% 14.0% 13.9% 13.8% 13.7% 13.67%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -9.69%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -16.90%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.45%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.77%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -10.27%
Cash ROA snapshot only 18.20%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 28.00%
CROIC snapshot only 5.40%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -5.76%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 0.93%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 8.23%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -4.71 -5.29 -7.34 -6.53 -6.28 -8.56 -15.69 -53.13 -27.93 -16.04 -23.27 -34.27 -63.87 36.05 27.47 92.23 -351.66 -30.30 -30.53 -47.04 14.396
P/S Ratio 0.88 1.06 0.76 0.64 0.58 0.64 0.76 1.05 0.82 0.74 0.92 0.82 0.65 0.58 0.52 0.55 0.71 0.63 0.59 0.55 0.545
P/B Ratio 2.45 2.93 2.92 2.84 2.94 3.29 4.39 6.37 6.25 6.79 9.14 7.32 6.76 5.69 5.56 5.27 8.83 8.32 7.31 6.31 6.643
P/FCF -963.03 -29.06 -12.66 -7.44 -5.13 -7.46 -12.81 22.92 5.77 3.62 3.46 3.24 2.60 3.09 3.96 7.26 32.39 26.80 23.81 20.98 20.977
P/OCF 4.13 6.33 8.07 13.68 184.98 22.93 14.97 8.50 4.27 3.24 3.46 3.24 2.60 2.65 2.71 3.33 5.08 4.53 4.31 4.05 4.047
EV/EBITDA 732.87 -224.95 15.00 13.61 11.94 9.66 8.83 8.90 8.12 8.78 10.70 8.78 6.62 5.20 4.83 5.56 6.55 6.80 7.12 6.81 6.812
EV/Revenue 1.35 1.57 1.26 1.14 1.06 1.02 1.15 1.40 1.14 1.04 1.26 1.13 0.95 0.89 0.86 0.91 1.07 0.96 0.97 0.95 0.954
EV/EBIT -6.08 -6.57 -11.46 -11.13 -11.26 -14.83 -33.97 312.46 -232.40 -52.50 -82.34 569.39 48.17 18.63 15.26 21.63 25.00 48.38 56.52 49.86 49.863
EV/FCF -1469.58 -42.90 -21.02 -13.24 -9.40 -11.90 -19.47 30.64 8.09 5.08 4.74 4.46 3.84 4.73 6.56 12.00 48.57 40.78 39.02 36.16 36.164
Earnings Yield -21.2% -18.9% -13.6% -15.3% -15.9% -11.7% -6.4% -1.9% -3.6% -6.2% -4.3% -2.9% -1.6% 2.8% 3.6% 1.1% -0.3% -3.3% -3.3% -2.1% -2.13%
FCF Yield -0.1% -3.4% -7.9% -13.4% -19.5% -13.4% -7.8% 4.4% 17.3% 27.6% 28.9% 30.8% 38.4% 32.3% 25.2% 13.8% 3.1% 3.7% 4.2% 4.8% 4.77%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.006
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 7.341
EV/OCF snapshot only 6.978
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 7.499
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 21.241
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.40%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.39 0.41 0.35 0.35 0.32 0.35 0.39 0.40 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.38 0.33 0.34 0.42 0.52 0.47 0.40 0.48 0.45 0.446
Quick Ratio 0.31 0.33 0.27 0.28 0.25 0.28 0.33 0.33 0.27 0.27 0.26 0.31 0.26 0.28 0.34 0.44 0.38 0.31 0.40 0.37 0.370
Debt/Equity 1.62 1.74 2.31 2.65 2.92 2.47 3.01 2.86 3.16 3.49 4.21 3.54 4.03 3.90 4.54 4.27 5.44 5.28 5.76 5.63 5.627
Net Debt/Equity 1.29 1.40 1.93 2.21 2.44 1.96 2.28 2.14 2.51 2.73 3.36 2.75 3.20 3.00 3.64 3.44 4.41 4.34 4.67 4.57 4.571
Debt/Assets 0.52 0.54 0.61 0.63 0.63 0.57 0.61 0.58 0.58 0.59 0.64 0.60 0.61 0.62 0.66 0.64 0.66 0.65 0.69 0.66 0.656
Debt/EBITDA 317.80 -90.35 7.14 7.15 6.48 4.54 3.98 2.99 2.93 3.22 3.60 3.08 2.68 2.34 2.38 2.72 2.69 2.83 3.42 3.52 3.521
Net Debt/EBITDA 252.62 -72.59 5.97 5.96 5.42 3.60 3.02 2.24 2.33 2.52 2.88 2.40 2.13 1.80 1.91 2.19 2.18 2.33 2.77 2.86 2.861
Interest Coverage -13.34 -13.98 -8.20 -8.27 -8.06 -6.53 -3.38 0.50 -0.59 -2.40 -2.03 0.28 2.76 6.52 5.85 4.22 4.03 2.25 2.28 2.19 2.190
Equity Multiplier 3.14 3.22 3.81 4.23 4.63 4.37 4.96 4.91 5.44 5.88 6.59 5.87 6.63 6.27 6.92 6.66 8.31 8.13 8.40 8.57 8.572
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.192
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 16.034
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.188
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.053
Defensive Interval snapshot only 423.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.86 0.84 1.01 1.04 1.09 1.14 1.16 1.23 1.36 1.48 1.45 1.48 1.58 1.65 1.60 1.53 1.60 1.65 1.55 1.42 1.418
Inventory Turnover 18.50 18.89 20.63 23.20 23.15 25.56 24.67 23.87 25.54 30.15 27.92 26.59 27.55 31.27 28.77 26.60 26.61 29.35 27.78 25.51 25.515
Receivables Turnover 267.43 195.43 535.66 301.37 307.02 271.57 278.67 262.52 296.52 302.32 294.76 296.17 375.46 121.69 385.52 363.55 44.16 134.79 412.39 362.28 362.277
Payables Turnover 31.92 42.04 105.31 40.46 38.28 39.24 38.72 28.92 32.90 34.44 33.10 25.48 33.17 32.25 35.99 25.58 37.74 35.10 39.06 32.01 32.015
DSO 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 8 3 1 1 1.0 days
DIO 20 19 18 16 16 14 15 15 14 12 13 14 13 12 13 14 14 12 13 14 14.3 days
DPO 11 9 3 9 10 9 9 13 11 11 11 14 11 11 10 14 10 10 9 11 11.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 10 13 15 8 7 6 7 4 4 3 3 1 3 3 3 0 12 5 5 4 3.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.317
Operating Cycle snapshot only 15.3 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 10.810
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.751
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue -36.7% -37.3% -5.8% 13.8% 21.8% 30.5% 13.0% 15.8% 20.2% 20.8% 19.6% 17.0% 12.9% 12.5% 10.7% 8.2% 8.6% 6.7% 6.5% 5.8% 5.82%
Net Income -7.2% -27.5% -2.1% 34.3% 39.9% 51.4% 47.2% 76.7% 62.0% 25.1% 2.0% -42.2% 60.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.3% 78.3% -2.4% -2.1% -3.1% -3.08%
EPS -7.2% -27.5% -2.1% 34.3% 39.9% 51.4% 47.2% 76.7% 62.0% 25.1% 2.0% -42.1% 60.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.3% 78.3% -2.4% -2.1% -3.1% -3.08%
FCF 98.3% 13.9% -1.5% -6.3% -149.4% -2.1% -11.6% 1.6% 2.5% 3.9% 6.4% 5.5% 98.1% 2.4% -45.0% -67.5% -90.4% -86.6% -79.9% -63.3% -63.25%
EBITDA -99.2% -1.0% -5.3% 4.5% 58.0% 20.8% 75.7% 1.2% 90.0% 35.7% 7.8% -4.4% 15.2% 60.9% 68.7% 38.1% 23.0% -11.6% -18.8% -9.7% -9.69%
Op. Income -2.4% -3.3% -3.1% 22.6% 35.7% 54.1% 61.0% 87.4% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 5.8% 5.8% 3.2% 2.7% 72.7% 73.2% 20.5% 22.3% -9.4% -9.38%
OCF Growth snapshot only -12.73%
Asset Growth snapshot only 14.01%
Equity Growth snapshot only -11.39%
Debt Growth snapshot only 16.78%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.14%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 33.55%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -12.0% -13.9% -8.8% -7.9% -7.3% -6.8% -5.5% -3.9% -2.5% -0.4% 8.4% 15.5% 18.2% 21.0% 14.3% 13.6% 13.8% 13.2% 12.1% 10.2% 10.22%
Revenue 5Y -2.5% -4.8% -2.1% -1.8% -1.8% -1.6% -1.0% -0.4% -0.0% 0.1% 0.5% 1.1% 1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 2.4% 2.6% 3.5% 8.4% 12.0% 12.02%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — -6.8% 1.8% -21.4% — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — -6.8% 1.9% -21.3% — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y -74.0% — -6.0% -7.9% 3.3% 13.8% 9.7% 5.5% -4.5% -9.8% 21.5% 1.3% 4.1% — 47.3% 42.2% 39.1% 24.5% 13.9% 6.0% 6.03%
EBITDA 5Y -45.8% — 13.9% 7.7% 7.4% 12.7% 16.1% 20.7% 14.5% 8.7% 9.5% 10.2% 19.3% 26.3% 19.2% 9.2% 4.3% 0.9% 19.7% 70.3% 70.33%
Gross Profit 3Y — — — -59.7% -55.7% -44.7% -30.6% -20.9% -15.6% -7.5% 21.9% — — — — 1.5% 1.4% 90.5% 55.4% 31.5% 31.46%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — -36.6% -35.1% -26.7% -17.0% -11.4% -9.4% -8.6% -7.8% -4.6% -1.9% 0.5% 2.1% 2.3% 2.7% 6.0% 25.2% — —
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — -56.6% -35.8% — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — -40.9% -32.3% -28.6% -16.3% -11.3% -5.0% -1.2% -0.9% -0.8% 6.2% — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -8.2% -8.21%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — 28.6% 31.7% 55.1% 88.8% — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y -0.3% -9.4% -20.8% -36.6% -74.2% -45.5% -32.0% -5.7% 11.9% 19.6% 26.2% 25.3% 24.2% 32.1% 45.4% 73.3% 3.0% 93.2% 56.6% 14.1% 14.13%
OCF 5Y 23.5% 10.4% -2.3% -17.3% -53.2% -28.0% -19.2% -3.4% 5.3% 9.9% 13.7% 13.4% 13.0% 11.4% 9.7% 7.4% 4.7% 4.4% 4.2% 4.0% 3.98%
Assets 3Y 5.1% 4.8% 4.5% 3.3% 2.3% 1.5% -0.5% -3.8% -4.9% -5.6% -3.2% -2.6% -2.5% -1.0% -0.4% 2.4% 2.5% 1.6% 4.0% 7.6% 7.62%
Assets 5Y 5.2% 5.6% 5.4% 5.2% 4.7% 3.4% 3.9% 2.3% 1.3% -0.0% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% 1.3% -0.1% -0.6% -0.1% -0.8% 1.9% 3.9% 3.89%
Equity 3Y -13.1% -15.6% -19.4% -23.0% -25.0% -25.8% -26.5% -27.1% -30.4% -33.2% -28.3% -22.7% -24.1% -20.7% -18.4% -12.0% -15.6% -17.4% -12.7% -10.6% -10.64%
Book Value 3Y -13.2% -15.7% -19.4% -23.1% -25.1% -25.8% -26.6% -27.2% -30.4% -33.2% -28.3% -22.7% -24.1% -20.8% -18.5% -12.1% -15.6% -17.4% -12.9% -10.7% -10.70%
Dividend 3Y -0.1% -1.7% -3.4% -5.3% -7.2% -7.6% -8.1% -16.2% -27.9% -41.5% — — — -30.7% — — — 58.7% 25.8% 10.0% 10.00%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.00 0.04 0.13 0.17 0.17 0.20 0.25 0.11 0.07 0.05 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.10 0.15 0.21 0.25 0.41 0.93 0.99 0.986
Earnings Stability 0.37 0.51 0.63 0.58 0.61 0.62 0.62 0.36 0.40 0.49 0.41 0.15 0.07 0.01 0.04 0.07 0.07 0.13 0.67 0.76 0.755
Margin Stability 0.23 0.07 0.33 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.45 0.49 0.57 0.61 0.34 0.335
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.50 0.50 0.90 0.99 0.83 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend -0.59 -0.58 -0.29 -0.24 -0.24 -0.10 0.06 0.32 0.27 0.05 -0.05 0.06 0.24 0.56 0.54 0.22 0.14 -0.14 -0.14 -0.06 -0.056
Gross Margin Trend -0.17 -0.18 -0.10 -0.05 -0.04 -0.00 0.02 0.07 0.10 0.11 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.003
FCF Margin Trend 0.02 -0.01 -0.04 -0.06 -0.10 -0.05 -0.02 0.10 0.20 0.27 0.32 0.27 0.23 0.13 0.03 -0.07 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.14 -0.138
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — 15.5% 19.3% 4.1% — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.6% 2.9% 0.7% — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -1.14 -0.84 -0.91 -0.48 -0.03 -0.37 -1.05 -6.25 -6.54 -4.95 -6.72 -10.57 -24.53 13.59 10.13 27.72 -69.16 -6.68 -7.08 -11.62 -11.622
FCF/OCF -0.00 -0.22 -0.64 -1.84 -36.05 -3.07 -1.17 0.37 0.74 0.90 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.86 0.68 0.46 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.193
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -2.242
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.976
CapEx/Revenue 21.5% 20.5% 15.3% 13.3% 11.6% 11.4% 10.9% 7.7% 5.0% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.1% 6.1% 9.0% 11.8% 11.6% 11.3% 11.0% 11.04%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.913
Accruals Ratio -0.34 -0.31 -0.20 -0.15 -0.10 -0.12 -0.11 -0.18 -0.30 -0.41 -0.44 -0.41 -0.41 -0.33 -0.28 -0.24 -0.23 -0.26 -0.24 -0.21 -0.211
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.280
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.215
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 2.3% 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 2.3% 1.9% 1.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.95%
Dividend/Share $49.93 $47.44 $44.96 $42.47 $39.99 $37.49 $34.99 $24.99 $15.00 $7.50 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $2.50 $4.98 $7.47 $10.00 $10.00 $9.95 $9.98 $25.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.8% 6.2% 29.2% — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — 16.1% 3.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.9% 2.3% 10.4% 9.6% 8.9% 8.3% 8.35%
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.8% 6.2% 29.2% — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 — — — 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
Chowder Number 0.02 -0.03 -0.08 -0.13 -0.18 -0.19 -0.21 -0.40 -0.62 -0.80 — — — -0.67 — — — 3.00 1.00 0.34 0.338
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 2.3% 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 2.3% 1.9% 1.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.40%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.79 0.79 0.84 0.85 0.87 0.94 1.10 4.32 2.21 1.65 1.73 4.66 -0.80 0.40 0.40 0.19 -0.08 -5.39 -7.42 -1.27 -1.267
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.07 1.07 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.15 1.30 -1.02 2.69 1.42 1.49 -2.59 0.64 0.85 0.83 0.77 0.58 0.19 0.15 0.49 0.485
EBIT Margin -0.22 -0.24 -0.11 -0.10 -0.09 -0.07 -0.03 0.00 -0.00 -0.02 -0.02 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.019
Asset Turnover 0.86 0.84 1.01 1.04 1.09 1.14 1.16 1.23 1.36 1.48 1.45 1.48 1.58 1.65 1.60 1.53 1.60 1.65 1.55 1.42 1.418
Equity Multiplier 2.52 2.52 3.15 3.46 3.73 3.70 4.30 4.54 4.99 4.98 5.63 5.33 5.98 6.08 6.76 6.27 7.43 7.09 7.63 7.56 7.560
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-455.13 $-469.47 $-290.85 $-286.50 $-273.61 $-228.04 $-153.56 $-66.88 $-103.85 $-170.82 $-150.42 $-95.01 $-40.57 $66.46 $79.92 $25.59 $-8.82 $-91.76 $-86.81 $-53.34 $-53.34
Book Value/Share $876.05 $847.31 $729.76 $659.42 $584.33 $593.10 $548.33 $558.02 $464.35 $403.57 $382.90 $444.72 $383.50 $421.36 $395.13 $447.79 $351.07 $334.00 $362.53 $397.35 $406.18
Tangible Book/Share $818.75 $787.24 $664.55 $590.94 $513.99 $518.33 $468.93 $476.10 $387.24 $330.77 $307.88 $368.56 $308.40 $351.56 $325.35 $379.37 $284.17 $275.33 $305.91 $341.79 $341.79
Revenue/Share $2430.54 $2333.75 $2821.78 $2930.77 $2960.19 $3043.98 $3187.68 $3392.33 $3557.64 $3677.39 $3811.14 $3966.49 $4016.40 $4133.99 $4204.42 $4277.93 $4361.72 $4411.29 $4468.71 $4533.33 $4851.24
FCF/Share $-2.23 $-85.40 $-168.58 $-251.69 $-334.84 $-261.43 $-188.05 $154.99 $502.38 $756.81 $1010.71 $1003.94 $995.13 $774.45 $553.70 $325.03 $95.71 $103.74 $111.29 $119.61 $0.00
OCF/Share $519.77 $392.15 $264.53 $136.87 $9.29 $85.08 $160.88 $417.89 $679.26 $845.25 $1010.71 $1003.94 $995.13 $902.90 $810.01 $709.33 $609.65 $613.39 $614.54 $619.91 $0.00
Cash/Share $291.04 $289.37 $277.57 $289.29 $279.29 $303.94 $399.25 $398.52 $300.87 $307.68 $323.95 $351.28 $319.24 $379.97 $354.83 $370.86 $362.70 $311.85 $395.30 $419.37 $419.92
EBITDA/Share $4.46 $-16.29 $236.18 $244.84 $263.50 $322.26 $414.72 $533.80 $500.70 $437.40 $447.22 $509.84 $576.82 $703.36 $752.30 $702.13 $709.12 $622.01 $609.83 $635.01 $635.01
Debt/Share $1418.95 $1471.66 $1686.77 $1749.72 $1707.55 $1464.50 $1651.79 $1594.97 $1465.16 $1410.31 $1611.51 $1572.68 $1545.88 $1644.62 $1792.53 $1911.78 $1910.88 $1761.97 $2087.47 $2235.85 $2235.85
Net Debt/Share $1127.91 $1182.29 $1409.20 $1460.42 $1428.26 $1160.56 $1252.54 $1196.45 $1164.28 $1102.63 $1287.56 $1221.41 $1226.63 $1264.64 $1437.71 $1540.93 $1548.18 $1450.12 $1692.17 $1816.48 $1816.48
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.615
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.993
Piotroski F-Score 2 2 3 5 5 5 6 7 7 6 5 4 5 7 7 7 6 5 5 3 3
Beneish M-Score -7.43 -3.54 11.28 -4.15 0.90 -3.11 -3.33 -3.51 -4.24 -4.55 -4.82 -4.72 -4.83 -1.29 -4.01 -3.73 15.70 -4.42 -3.51 -2.93 -2.933
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.298
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 11.66%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-2023.41
EVA snapshot only $-9556896871.20
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B
Credit Score 11.70 20.54 11.08 10.14 10.35 11.98 16.82 31.32 34.31 34.33 41.98 43.23 52.97 55.59 56.82 41.34 39.34 35.37 27.91 28.27 28.272
Credit Grade snapshot only 15
Credit Trend snapshot only -13.064
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 750.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 18
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 17

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