— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

6997.T JPX

Nippon Chemi-Con Corporation
1W: -9.9% 1M: -20.2% 3M: -57.3% YTD: +51.8% 1Y: +89.6% 3Y: +62.1% 5Y: -11.8%
¥2,501.00 ($15.81)
+158.00 (+6.74%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±10.2%
¥1863 ¥2103 ¥2343 ¥2583 ¥2823
JPX · Technology · Hardware, Equipment & Parts · Tech Score Sell · Power 33 · ¥52.2B mcap · 23M float · 5.66% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
Oct 05, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
2
ROA
3
D/E
1
P/E
2
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. 6997.T receives an overall rating of C+. Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (2/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-24 None ADDED
2026-09-23 EXISTED None
2026-08-10 B C+
2026-08-03 B- B
2026-07-01 B B-
2026-05-20 B- B
2026-05-07 None ADDED
2026-05-06 EXISTED None
2026-03-30 C+ B-
2026-03-24 B- C+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 9 Grade D
Profitability
12
Balance Sheet
46
Earnings Quality
37
Growth
21
Value
43
Momentum
0
Safety
50
Cash Flow
18
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. 6997.T scores highest in Safety (50/100) and lowest in Momentum (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.85
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-1.95
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.89
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B+
Score: 32.7/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: -5.54x
Accruals: 2.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. 6997.T scores 1.85, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. 6997.T scores 2/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. 6997.T's score of -1.95 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. 6997.T's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. 6997.T receives an estimated rating of B+ (score: 32.7/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). 6997.T's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
16.92x
PEG
0.01x
P/S
0.38x
P/B
1.03x
P/FCF
-10.83x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
18.35x
EV/Revenue
1.45x
EV/EBIT
56.93x
EV/FCF
-14.67x
Earnings Yield
0.46%
FCF Yield
-9.23%
Shareholder Yield
0.08%
Graham Number
$1164.21
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 16.9x earnings, 6997.T trades at a reasonable valuation. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $1164.21 per share, 101% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.509
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.383
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.025
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.799
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.878
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
1.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. 6997.T's ROE of 1.1% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.799), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.51 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$216.30
Price/Value
25.38x
Margin of Safety
-2438.13%
Premium
2438.13%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with 6997.T's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. 6997.T trades at a 2438% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $216.30, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 16.9x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$2343.00
Median 1Y
$2038.60
5th Pctile
$874.04
95th Pctile
$4788.85
Ann. Volatility
54.5%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -4.7% 4.5% 9.0% 9.9% -28.7% -25.3% -31.8% -28.6% 8.0% 4.8% -22.2% -49.8% -44.8% -41.2% -15.1% 3.7% 1.7% 0.1% -1.1% 1.1% 1.14%
ROA -1.6% 1.5% 3.0% 3.4% -8.7% -8.2% -10.5% -9.6% 2.3% 1.4% -5.7% -12.1% -12.9% -12.7% -4.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% -0.4% 0.4% 0.39%
ROIC 0.5% 3.1% 5.6% 6.2% 8.8% 8.9% 13.2% 12.9% 10.9% 9.5% 14.6% 11.7% 10.3% 8.0% 6.2% 3.6% 2.4% 0.4% 2.5% 1.8% 1.78%
ROCE -1.1% 3.5% 6.2% 7.4% -14.3% -11.1% -15.6% -13.9% 7.2% 5.3% -6.3% -18.8% -18.4% -17.2% -3.0% 5.0% 3.8% 2.9% 2.3% 3.2% 3.17%
Gross Margin 20.7% 20.5% 21.4% 21.2% 23.7% 22.6% 21.9% 21.7% 24.5% 23.0% 21.8% 20.7% 21.5% 20.5% 19.7% 20.8% 18.4% 18.5% 17.3% 19.1% 19.09%
Operating Margin 4.3% 5.1% 5.4% 5.1% 7.2% 7.2% 17.6% 6.2% 9.7% 9.4% 7.1% 6.9% 5.8% 6.4% 1.8% 4.3% 1.4% 4.6% 0.5% 4.4% 4.41%
Net Margin 2.5% 4.8% 4.5% 3.0% -44.9% 4.1% -5.9% 4.6% 6.0% 0.5% -33.6% -22.8% 1.8% 2.4% 1.5% -1.2% -0.2% 0.1% -0.6% 2.3% 2.28%
EBITDA Margin 9.2% 12.4% 10.6% 9.7% -39.4% 11.3% 0.4% 10.3% 11.5% 6.9% -27.6% -15.8% 9.4% 11.7% 9.2% 7.6% 6.9% 9.0% 6.3% 9.0% 9.03%
FCF Margin -1.6% -1.5% -1.3% -1.2% -1.1% -0.8% -0.6% 1.7% 4.0% 5.9% 7.8% 7.9% 8.3% 2.9% -3.2% -10.3% -17.9% -15.7% -13.0% -9.9% -9.85%
OCF Margin 3.6% 3.1% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 4.1% 5.7% 6.7% 7.8% 7.9% 8.3% 4.5% 0.2% -4.8% -10.3% -8.0% -5.4% -2.7% -2.74%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -20.60%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -16.75%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -3.63%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -4.49%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 1.49%
Cash ROA snapshot only -2.11%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -3.27%
CROIC snapshot only -11.74%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.49%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 0.97%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 3.21%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 15.54%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -16.51 19.28 13.00 9.35 -2.98 -3.17 -2.16 -2.50 8.76 18.74 -2.73 -1.64 -1.25 -1.46 -4.90 14.22 24.08 520.10 -43.20 215.74 16.923
P/S Ratio 0.31 0.35 0.45 0.35 0.27 0.27 0.24 0.25 0.20 0.26 0.15 0.20 0.17 0.21 0.25 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.20 1.07 0.377
P/B Ratio 0.75 0.76 1.00 0.79 0.91 0.86 0.75 0.76 0.62 0.85 0.67 1.08 0.58 0.59 0.63 0.41 0.39 0.34 0.48 2.32 1.030
P/FCF -19.40 -23.68 -34.04 -28.84 -24.99 -33.04 -39.45 14.33 4.98 4.49 1.97 2.51 2.09 7.00 -7.75 -1.67 -0.93 -1.00 -1.58 -10.83 -10.829
P/OCF 8.54 11.35 18.06 17.32 17.54 13.58 9.60 6.08 3.49 3.93 1.97 2.51 2.09 4.57 115.15 — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA 10.90 7.67 6.69 5.32 -18.02 -22.72 -10.85 -13.31 5.57 7.25 134.31 -9.75 -6.16 -7.45 19.34 5.48 6.25 7.35 8.33 18.35 18.346
EV/Revenue 0.59 0.66 0.67 0.56 0.49 0.51 0.49 0.51 0.47 0.54 0.37 0.57 0.44 0.50 0.55 0.52 0.56 0.60 0.62 1.45 1.446
EV/EBIT -67.95 24.61 14.84 10.74 -6.31 -7.46 -5.37 -6.14 11.33 15.84 -10.10 -5.84 -3.90 -4.46 -25.60 12.58 16.57 25.05 35.15 56.93 56.930
EV/FCF -36.83 -44.25 -50.48 -45.91 -44.77 -62.11 -81.31 29.08 11.73 9.15 4.70 7.28 5.31 16.96 -17.12 -5.11 -3.13 -3.83 -4.79 -14.67 -14.674
Earnings Yield -6.1% 5.2% 7.7% 10.7% -33.6% -31.6% -46.2% -40.0% 11.4% 5.3% -36.6% -61.1% -80.0% -68.4% -20.4% 7.0% 4.2% 0.2% -2.3% 0.5% 0.46%
FCF Yield -5.2% -4.2% -2.9% -3.5% -4.0% -3.0% -2.5% 7.0% 20.1% 22.3% 50.7% 39.8% 47.9% 14.3% -12.9% -59.9% -1.1% -1.0% -63.5% -9.2% -9.23%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.005
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 2.422
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 7.872
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 51.215
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.08%
Graham Number snapshot only $1164.21
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.75 1.50 1.50 1.49 1.17 1.39 1.29 1.33 1.36 1.65 1.44 1.27 1.38 1.40 1.47 1.75 1.87 1.43 1.34 1.43 1.429
Quick Ratio 1.18 1.03 1.02 1.01 0.77 0.94 0.85 0.87 0.90 1.09 0.96 0.84 0.97 1.01 0.93 1.12 1.15 0.88 0.82 0.90 0.897
Debt/Equity 1.15 1.12 0.96 0.97 1.33 1.32 1.40 1.28 1.34 1.40 1.73 2.95 1.83 1.69 1.27 1.34 1.38 1.40 1.42 1.22 1.221
Net Debt/Equity 0.67 0.66 0.48 0.47 0.72 0.76 0.80 0.78 0.84 0.88 0.93 2.04 0.90 0.83 0.76 0.85 0.91 0.97 0.97 0.82 0.823
Debt/Assets 0.40 0.41 0.37 0.37 0.35 0.37 0.40 0.38 0.41 0.43 0.39 0.55 0.49 0.52 0.44 0.46 0.47 0.48 0.47 0.43 0.431
Debt/EBITDA 8.80 6.04 4.36 4.11 -14.71 -18.43 -9.80 -11.07 5.09 5.88 144.72 -9.22 -7.62 -8.85 17.77 5.81 6.64 7.81 8.19 7.13 7.126
Net Debt/EBITDA 5.16 3.56 2.18 1.98 -7.96 -10.63 -5.58 -6.75 3.20 3.69 77.90 -6.38 -3.74 -4.37 10.58 3.69 4.39 5.43 5.59 4.81 4.807
Interest Coverage -1.03 2.35 4.18 4.93 -7.63 -7.33 -8.87 -8.08 4.54 3.35 -3.86 -9.74 -8.28 -7.82 -1.28 2.01 1.62 1.24 0.95 1.53 1.531
Equity Multiplier 2.90 2.70 2.64 2.64 3.76 3.52 3.50 3.36 3.24 3.24 4.43 5.37 3.71 3.26 2.87 2.93 2.97 2.90 3.05 2.83 2.830
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.365
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 4.752
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.325
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.175
Defensive Interval snapshot only 959.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.84 0.79 0.87 0.90 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.96 1.00 1.02 1.00 1.00 0.93 0.90 0.86 0.81 0.75 0.73 0.78 0.80 0.799
Inventory Turnover 3.44 3.44 3.46 3.72 3.78 3.82 3.72 3.67 3.74 3.87 3.78 3.78 3.75 3.83 3.33 3.25 3.03 3.18 3.04 3.24 3.240
Receivables Turnover 4.93 4.67 5.12 5.24 5.25 4.99 4.99 4.85 5.03 5.09 5.09 4.90 5.35 5.17 5.02 4.68 5.23 4.96 5.38 4.91 4.907
Payables Turnover 12.30 8.60 11.77 13.68 11.81 11.91 12.18 11.87 11.46 12.92 13.88 14.04 13.58 10.14 13.00 14.17 13.49 9.46 13.24 12.60 12.598
DSO 74 78 71 70 70 73 73 75 73 72 72 74 68 71 73 78 70 74 68 74 74.4 days
DIO 106 106 106 98 97 96 98 100 98 94 97 96 97 95 110 112 121 115 120 113 112.7 days
DPO 30 42 31 27 31 31 30 31 32 28 26 26 27 36 28 26 27 39 28 29 29.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 151 142 146 141 135 138 141 144 138 138 142 145 139 130 154 165 163 150 160 158 158.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.781
Operating Cycle snapshot only 187.0 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 5.473
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.302
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue -8.8% -3.3% 9.8% 14.6% 22.6% 26.7% 20.8% 20.6% 18.2% 15.4% 13.2% 9.5% 0.2% -6.9% -15.6% -21.1% -20.5% -18.6% -10.5% 1.0% 1.02%
Net Income 37.5% 1.3% 1.8% 2.3% -5.0% -6.9% -4.8% -4.2% 1.3% 1.2% 41.7% -32.1% -7.1% -10.4% 24.4% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 91.6% -58.5% -58.51%
EPS 44.5% 1.3% 1.6% 2.0% -4.4% -6.9% -4.8% -4.2% 1.3% 1.2% 41.7% -32.1% -6.9% -9.9% 27.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 91.7% -65.4% -65.36%
FCF 92.5% 90.7% 87.2% 78.5% 16.1% 30.0% 45.1% 2.7% 5.4% 9.2% 15.7% 3.9% 1.1% -53.2% -1.3% -2.0% -2.7% -5.3% -2.6% 3.0% 3.01%
EBITDA 37.3% 1.7% 2.2% 1.8% -1.6% -1.3% -1.5% -1.4% 4.7% 4.8% 1.1% -68.8% -1.8% -1.8% 7.7% 2.3% 2.0% 2.0% 1.4% -16.7% -16.68%
Op. Income 1.5% 2.0% 3.3% 7.0% 14.2% 2.0% 1.7% 1.3% 1.1% 96.0% -2.5% -5.2% -27.4% -42.5% -43.8% -55.2% -61.3% -62.3% -55.2% -39.6% -39.56%
OCF Growth snapshot only 42.46%
Asset Growth snapshot only 8.24%
Equity Growth snapshot only 12.12%
Debt Growth snapshot only 2.27%
Shares Change snapshot only 19.78%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -5.3% -6.0% -4.5% -4.2% -2.2% -0.2% 2.8% 6.1% 9.8% 12.2% 14.5% 14.8% 13.2% 10.8% 4.9% 1.4% -2.0% -4.4% -5.1% -4.4% -4.44%
Revenue 5Y -2.0% -1.3% 0.6% 1.7% 2.9% 3.8% 4.1% 4.3% 4.2% 4.0% 3.5% 3.0% 2.1% 1.4% 0.8% 0.6% 1.0% 1.4% 2.5% 3.8% 3.81%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -31.8% — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — 9.5% — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -30.6% — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — 14.4% — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y 36.0% — — — — — — — 46.4% 50.6% -50.9% — — — -31.1% -1.7% — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — 41.9% — — — — — 1.3% 24.1% 21.4% 23.4% 19.5% 17.1% 17.10%
Gross Profit 3Y -10.3% -8.5% -5.0% -2.5% 1.6% 5.4% 11.2% 16.6% 22.7% 27.5% 28.4% 26.9% 21.0% 14.6% 5.8% 0.8% -5.0% -8.8% -10.5% -10.6% -10.63%
Gross Profit 5Y -4.3% -1.4% 2.5% 5.3% 6.1% 6.1% 5.7% 5.3% 5.9% 6.0% 5.8% 5.6% 4.4% 3.6% 3.9% 4.7% 5.2% 5.9% 5.7% 5.8% 5.83%
Op. Income 3Y -54.8% -20.1% -6.9% -0.4% 8.5% 19.6% 77.8% 2.4% — — — — 1.8% 49.5% 13.9% -0.6% -16.2% -24.8% -37.4% -36.4% -36.43%
Op. Income 5Y -32.0% 6.4% 36.4% 76.3% 30.9% 21.4% 26.4% 21.3% 24.0% 24.3% 16.2% 16.7% 14.2% 14.1% 25.2% 75.5% — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — -4.3% 23.7% 50.1% 1.1% — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y -15.2% -17.5% -20.1% -23.2% -27.0% 76.4% — — — — — — 49.6% 25.3% -53.6% — — — — — —
OCF 5Y -18.2% -20.3% -22.7% -25.3% -28.4% -22.1% -16.3% -3.9% 7.0% 12.0% 16.9% 18.4% 19.9% 67.6% — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y -3.7% -0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 2.6% 4.1% 6.3% 8.4% 8.0% 5.2% 7.7% 7.8% 10.5% 7.4% 3.3% 2.4% 2.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.79%
Assets 5Y -1.5% 0.3% 1.3% 2.4% 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 3.2% 2.5% 2.6% 3.9% 2.7% 4.8% 4.6% 3.4% 3.8% 4.1% 3.1% 4.0% 5.6% 5.65%
Equity 3Y -11.6% 1.7% 3.1% 4.8% -6.2% -2.3% 0.4% 4.9% 6.1% 8.4% -0.3% -7.7% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% -1.1% 10.6% 8.1% 5.1% 6.7% 6.68%
Book Value 3Y -15.0% -5.4% -4.2% -2.6% -12.8% -9.1% -6.7% -2.5% -1.3% 0.8% -7.3% -14.2% -2.6% -0.8% -0.8% -2.8% 8.7% 6.2% 3.3% -1.3% -1.28%
Dividend 3Y -3.9% -15.5% -26.2% -41.4% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.09 0.08 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.19 0.27 0.28 0.26 0.27 0.24 0.24 0.23 0.24 0.20 0.17 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.102
Earnings Stability 0.00 0.10 0.16 0.16 0.18 0.01 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.17 0.00 0.05 0.01 0.32 0.21 0.09 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.001
Margin Stability 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.89 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.86 0.85 0.87 0.88 0.90 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.87 0.86 0.86 0.87 0.872
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.85 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.90 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.17 0.173
ROE Trend 0.16 0.10 0.17 0.15 -0.24 -0.22 -0.32 -0.30 0.25 0.16 -0.11 -0.55 -0.35 -0.29 0.17 0.51 0.21 0.18 0.18 0.33 0.325
Gross Margin Trend -0.00 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.032
FCF Margin Trend 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.07 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.00 -0.07 -0.15 -0.24 -0.20 -0.15 -0.09 -0.087
Sustainable Growth Rate — 3.7% 8.5% 9.7% — — — — 8.0% 4.8% — — — — — 3.7% 1.7% 0.0% — 0.9% 0.95%
Internal Growth Rate — 1.2% 2.9% 3.4% — — — — 2.3% 1.4% — — — — — 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% — 0.3% 0.33%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -1.93 1.70 0.72 0.54 -0.17 -0.23 -0.23 -0.41 2.51 4.77 -1.38 -0.65 -0.60 -0.32 -0.04 -4.00 -15.00 -266.01 11.44 -5.54 -5.545
FCF/OCF -0.44 -0.48 -0.53 -0.60 -0.70 -0.41 -0.24 0.42 0.70 0.88 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.65 -14.85 2.13 1.73 1.96 2.40 3.59 3.593
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -19.922
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only -0.348
CapEx/Revenue 5.2% 4.6% 3.8% 3.2% 2.6% 2.8% 3.1% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 3.4% 5.4% 7.5% 7.7% 7.6% 7.1% 7.11%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.331
Accruals Ratio -0.05 -0.01 0.01 0.02 -0.10 -0.10 -0.13 -0.14 -0.03 -0.05 -0.14 -0.20 -0.21 -0.17 -0.05 0.05 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.03 0.026
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.098
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -0.381
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.82%
Dividend/Share $26.63 $18.09 $12.03 $6.02 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.69 $3.38 $4.22 $20.00
Payout Ratio — 18.0% 5.9% 2.6% — — — — 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 97.3% — 16.6% 16.59%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio — 18.1% 5.9% 2.6% — — — — 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — 0.1% 0.2% 1.0% — 16.8% 16.78%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 0.01 -0.24 -0.50 -0.75 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% -3.5% -5.1% -9.5% -15.3% -10.8% -8.1% -3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -14.0% -25.3% -58.5% -83.7% -67.8% -34.3% -3.1% -3.10%
Total Shareholder Return 1.5% -2.6% -4.7% -9.2% -15.3% -10.8% -8.1% -3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -14.0% -25.3% -58.5% -83.7% -67.6% -34.0% -3.0% -3.02%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.24 0.90 0.89 0.82 1.10 1.16 1.13 1.14 0.63 0.50 1.33 1.15 1.13 1.12 1.33 0.57 0.53 0.07 4.39 0.51 0.509
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.75 0.76 0.86 0.88 1.08 1.08 1.06 1.06 0.87 0.83 1.17 1.07 1.08 1.13 1.77 0.51 0.38 0.19 -0.06 0.38 0.383
EBIT Margin -0.01 0.03 0.04 0.05 -0.08 -0.07 -0.09 -0.08 0.04 0.03 -0.04 -0.10 -0.11 -0.11 -0.02 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.025
Asset Turnover 0.84 0.79 0.87 0.90 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.96 1.00 1.02 1.00 1.00 0.93 0.90 0.86 0.81 0.75 0.73 0.78 0.80 0.799
Equity Multiplier 2.99 3.06 3.00 2.94 3.30 3.08 3.03 2.98 3.47 3.37 3.92 4.12 3.47 3.25 3.50 3.81 3.31 3.07 2.96 2.88 2.878
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-110.87 $100.73 $205.31 $231.21 $-600.35 $-597.95 $-785.07 $-746.50 $177.68 $112.19 $-457.32 $-986.04 $-1051.18 $-997.03 $-333.59 $73.46 $40.45 $1.73 $-27.57 $25.45 $25.45
Book Value/Share $2446.77 $2550.54 $2677.07 $2750.74 $1966.77 $2190.67 $2264.36 $2460.35 $2502.13 $2478.42 $1857.57 $1499.19 $2263.00 $2486.45 $2615.74 $2529.05 $2527.87 $2627.50 $2499.28 $2367.25 $2393.01
Tangible Book/Share $2358.76 $2468.44 $2593.67 $2665.34 $1880.28 $2101.45 $2169.30 $2360.26 $2402.07 $2372.59 $1747.89 $1388.91 $2150.03 $2376.92 $2503.15 $2419.68 $2419.29 $2519.44 $2390.88 $2267.18 $2267.18
Revenue/Share $5938.12 $5475.61 $5937.49 $6168.79 $6578.99 $6920.30 $7171.09 $7441.56 $7777.95 $7983.16 $8116.54 $8146.22 $7576.74 $7058.93 $6607.10 $6101.54 $5878.04 $5744.09 $5826.72 $5145.80 $5625.86
FCF/Share $-94.34 $-82.02 $-78.42 $-74.98 $-71.55 $-57.30 $-43.04 $130.04 $312.60 $468.12 $633.13 $642.30 $629.62 $208.12 $-210.89 $-626.07 $-1049.85 $-902.31 $-755.83 $-506.96 $0.00
OCF/Share $214.16 $171.03 $147.76 $124.83 $101.92 $139.40 $176.89 $306.59 $445.72 $534.69 $633.13 $642.30 $629.62 $318.91 $14.20 $-293.73 $-606.74 $-460.83 $-315.36 $-141.09 $0.00
Cash/Share $1160.69 $1172.59 $1291.81 $1377.56 $1200.59 $1221.15 $1361.29 $1227.11 $1241.23 $1289.14 $1479.61 $1360.26 $2103.56 $2121.33 $1341.79 $1232.55 $1177.67 $1117.60 $1131.56 $940.26 $940.26
EBITDA/Share $318.82 $473.29 $591.78 $646.60 $-177.81 $-156.68 $-322.65 $-284.17 $658.79 $590.40 $22.14 $-479.71 $-542.16 $-474.00 $186.68 $582.91 $525.37 $469.75 $434.61 $405.49 $405.49
Debt/Share $2804.88 $2859.59 $2581.64 $2657.84 $2616.12 $2887.11 $3162.99 $3144.39 $3352.00 $3469.16 $3204.67 $4422.25 $4131.45 $4194.66 $3317.27 $3384.36 $3486.09 $3669.95 $3559.76 $2889.60 $2889.60
Net Debt/Share $1644.19 $1687.00 $1289.83 $1280.28 $1415.53 $1665.96 $1801.70 $1917.28 $2110.77 $2180.02 $1725.06 $3061.99 $2027.89 $2073.33 $1975.48 $2151.81 $2308.42 $2552.35 $2428.20 $1949.35 $1949.35
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.850
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 2.680
Piotroski F-Score 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 8 7 6 3 3 2 4 5 4 4 1 2 2
Beneish M-Score -2.82 -2.27 -2.20 -2.26 -2.69 -4.10 -2.87 -2.77 -2.44 -2.58 -3.08 -3.48 -3.60 -8.38 -2.98 -2.54 -2.11 -1.99 -2.02 -1.95 -1.952
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.888
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 4.42%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-623.36
EVA snapshot only $-9075947693.51
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B+
Credit Score 21.87 31.29 37.56 36.49 21.00 23.38 23.88 24.55 37.30 40.33 18.63 24.63 26.76 24.85 16.14 28.36 25.27 20.71 17.72 32.70 32.695
Credit Grade snapshot only 14
Credit Trend snapshot only 4.333
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 650.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 15
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 18

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