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7780.T JPX

Menicon Co., Ltd.
1W: +1.2% 1M: -6.5% 3M: +7.7% YTD: +4.6% 1Y: +52.3% 3Y: -24.6% 5Y: -52.8%
¥1,790.00 ($11.35)
+4.00 (+0.22%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.2%
¥1635 ¥1710 ¥1786 ¥1862 ¥1937
JPX · Healthcare · Medical - Instruments & Supplies · Tech Score Neutral · Power 42 · ¥132.5B mcap · 59M float · 0.410% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
3
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. 7780.T receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: ROA (5/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-24 None ADDED
2026-09-23 EXISTED None
2026-09-03 B- B
2026-08-19 B B-
2026-08-17 B- B
2026-05-14 B B-
2026-05-07 None ADDED
2026-05-06 EXISTED None
2026-03-18 B- B
2026-03-16 B B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 49 Grade B
Profitability
35
Balance Sheet
75
Earnings Quality
79
Growth
47
Value
72
Momentum
77
Safety
50
Cash Flow
35
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. 7780.T scores highest in Earnings Quality (79/100) and lowest in Cash Flow (35/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.18
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.35
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB
Score: 56.2/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 2.57x
Accruals: -4.2%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. 7780.T scores 2.18, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. 7780.T scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. 7780.T's score of -2.57 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. 7780.T's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. 7780.T receives an estimated rating of BBB (score: 56.2/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). 7780.T's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
18.55x
PEG
0.34x
P/S
1.04x
P/B
1.38x
P/FCF
-51.05x
P/OCF
9.22x
EV/EBITDA
8.90x
EV/Revenue
1.39x
EV/EBIT
21.47x
EV/FCF
-70.63x
Earnings Yield
4.22%
FCF Yield
-1.96%
Shareholder Yield
2.23%
Graham Number
$1425.03
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 18.5x earnings, 7780.T trades at a reasonable valuation. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $1425.03 per share, 25% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.588
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.114
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.065
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.639
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.124
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
5.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. 7780.T's ROE of 5.7% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.639), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.59 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$2695.27
Price/Value
0.62x
Margin of Safety
38.45%
Premium
-38.45%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with 7780.T's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. 7780.T trades at a -38% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $2695.27, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 18.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$1786.00
Median 1Y
$1711.09
5th Pctile
$938.85
95th Pctile
$3118.38
Ann. Volatility
36.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 9.3% 10.4% 10.9% 10.4% 10.4% 10.1% 10.6% 10.9% 11.5% 10.4% 9.4% 8.5% 6.6% 5.8% 5.9% 5.9% 6.0% 6.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.74%
ROA 5.4% 5.6% 5.7% 5.5% 5.6% 5.0% 5.1% 5.3% 5.7% 5.2% 4.3% 4.0% 3.1% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.6% 3.1% 2.7% 2.7% 2.70%
ROIC 9.1% 8.9% 9.0% 8.8% 9.1% 8.5% 8.8% 8.9% 9.5% 8.9% 7.4% 6.6% 5.2% 5.4% 5.1% 4.9% 5.4% 5.1% 4.2% 4.1% 4.07%
ROCE 9.8% 8.2% 8.6% 8.4% 8.8% 9.3% 8.7% 9.2% 9.8% 9.3% 7.4% 6.8% 5.9% 5.9% 5.8% 5.9% 5.0% 5.1% 4.8% 4.8% 4.77%
Gross Margin 53.3% 52.8% 52.9% 53.8% 51.6% 53.0% 54.0% 54.0% 53.4% 50.9% 53.0% 51.8% 52.6% 52.7% 54.8% 53.5% 53.8% 52.2% 53.2% 54.3% 54.25%
Operating Margin 11.0% 5.2% 10.6% 10.3% 11.3% 7.5% 12.8% 12.6% 13.1% 5.3% 9.2% 8.9% 7.8% 4.9% 8.9% 9.2% 10.0% 4.9% 6.5% 10.6% 10.59%
Net Margin 7.9% 4.5% 7.0% 7.0% 7.4% 4.4% 7.9% 7.9% 9.2% 1.9% 5.5% 5.9% 4.3% -0.1% 5.9% 6.1% 4.8% 1.7% 3.3% 6.9% 6.89%
EBITDA Margin 17.2% 11.8% 17.9% 17.7% 17.1% 15.3% 19.6% 18.9% 20.4% 11.5% 15.8% 9.1% 15.3% 7.1% 15.5% 16.5% 20.9% 7.9% 14.5% 18.6% 18.60%
FCF Margin 2.6% 1.6% 0.5% -0.4% -1.3% -1.7% -2.2% 1.6% 5.3% 9.5% 13.5% 13.4% 13.5% 8.0% 2.7% -2.6% -7.9% -5.9% -3.9% -2.0% -1.96%
OCF Margin 10.3% 10.7% 10.7% 10.9% 10.9% 11.1% 11.3% 11.9% 12.7% 13.1% 13.5% 13.4% 13.5% 12.6% 11.8% 10.9% 9.9% 10.2% 10.6% 10.9% 10.87%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.39%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 7.85%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.96%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.02%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 3.34%
Cash ROA snapshot only 6.60%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 9.34%
CROIC snapshot only -1.69%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 4.73%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 7.20%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 4.77%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 45.32%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 44.74 39.31 48.47 54.91 41.34 35.41 35.31 31.76 27.34 30.33 29.19 23.81 36.60 26.02 22.57 24.44 22.19 17.58 17.61 23.70 18.549
P/S Ratio 2.63 2.71 3.35 3.63 2.71 2.29 2.37 2.20 2.02 2.03 1.78 1.34 1.62 1.02 0.90 1.00 0.94 0.81 0.70 1.00 1.038
P/B Ratio 3.85 3.84 4.96 5.42 4.09 3.43 3.54 3.25 2.95 3.00 2.61 1.93 2.33 1.44 1.27 1.38 1.28 1.15 1.01 1.29 1.379
P/FCF 99.65 171.46 613.71 -897.98 -211.92 -131.72 -109.10 141.47 37.81 21.32 13.26 9.99 11.96 12.69 33.42 -38.88 -11.90 -13.88 -17.89 -51.05 -51.046
P/OCF 25.56 25.45 31.35 33.31 24.86 20.58 20.91 18.53 15.87 15.45 13.26 9.99 11.96 8.07 7.70 9.12 9.50 7.98 6.62 9.22 9.220
EV/EBITDA 16.93 16.92 20.90 22.86 17.09 14.05 14.19 13.07 11.46 12.16 11.83 10.87 14.15 10.36 9.75 9.29 8.09 7.12 7.09 8.90 8.898
EV/Revenue 2.64 2.76 3.43 3.71 2.77 2.38 2.48 2.32 2.14 2.14 1.97 1.54 1.83 1.22 1.15 1.27 1.22 1.09 1.06 1.39 1.386
EV/EBIT 29.44 27.96 34.52 38.76 28.83 23.69 23.54 21.10 18.37 19.87 19.85 16.86 23.36 18.46 17.45 18.63 17.96 15.94 17.10 21.47 21.466
EV/FCF 100.02 174.28 628.77 -916.14 -216.48 -137.11 -113.92 149.21 39.96 22.49 14.63 11.45 13.49 15.26 42.45 -49.48 -15.53 -18.52 -27.10 -70.63 -70.627
Earnings Yield 2.2% 2.5% 2.1% 1.8% 2.4% 2.8% 2.8% 3.1% 3.7% 3.3% 3.4% 4.2% 2.7% 3.8% 4.4% 4.1% 4.5% 5.7% 5.7% 4.2% 4.22%
FCF Yield 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% -0.1% -0.5% -0.8% -0.9% 0.7% 2.6% 4.7% 7.5% 10.0% 8.4% 7.9% 3.0% -2.6% -8.4% -7.2% -5.6% -2.0% -1.96%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.340
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.499
EV/OCF snapshot only 12.757
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 2.597
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 17.204
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 2.23%
Graham Number snapshot only $1425.03
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.17 3.12 3.14 2.91 2.97 2.83 3.68 3.38 3.41 3.19 3.93 3.77 3.91 1.71 1.76 1.71 2.21 3.12 3.13 2.32 2.316
Quick Ratio 1.55 2.43 2.40 2.22 2.29 2.13 2.93 2.64 2.66 2.48 3.12 2.98 3.08 1.34 1.35 1.28 1.78 2.32 2.24 1.54 1.543
Debt/Equity 0.43 0.74 0.73 0.72 0.67 0.63 0.82 0.78 0.74 0.72 0.95 0.91 0.89 0.87 0.87 0.85 1.12 0.87 0.90 0.85 0.848
Net Debt/Equity 0.01 0.06 0.12 0.11 0.09 0.14 0.16 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.27 0.28 0.30 0.29 0.34 0.38 0.39 0.38 0.52 0.49 0.494
Debt/Assets 0.25 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.33 0.32 0.39 0.37 0.36 0.35 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.39 0.40 0.40 0.47 0.40 0.42 0.40 0.401
Debt/EBITDA 1.89 3.22 3.00 2.96 2.74 2.50 3.17 2.96 2.71 2.76 3.90 4.47 4.78 5.17 5.29 4.49 5.40 4.05 4.18 4.24 4.237
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.06 0.27 0.50 0.45 0.36 0.55 0.60 0.68 0.62 0.63 1.11 1.38 1.60 1.74 2.07 1.99 1.89 1.78 2.41 2.47 2.467
Interest Coverage 34.05 30.59 30.19 27.98 24.64 30.36 25.42 26.32 29.96 27.00 22.00 18.77 14.69 11.44 12.92 13.46 12.18 11.01 9.56 9.22 9.223
Equity Multiplier 1.74 2.08 2.05 2.06 2.00 1.96 2.11 2.08 2.04 2.04 2.25 2.21 2.17 2.20 2.18 2.14 2.40 2.18 2.15 2.11 2.114
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.939
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 22.249
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.418
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.030
Defensive Interval snapshot only 324.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.92 0.81 0.83 0.83 0.85 0.78 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.78 0.70 0.70 0.71 0.70 0.66 0.66 0.63 0.66 0.66 0.64 0.639
Inventory Turnover 2.94 2.84 2.85 2.87 3.07 3.02 3.06 3.06 3.08 3.12 3.09 3.11 3.12 3.05 2.93 2.85 2.85 2.82 2.76 2.38 2.383
Receivables Turnover 8.64 8.56 9.07 9.20 8.91 9.24 9.30 9.54 8.76 9.43 9.34 9.08 8.48 9.13 8.96 8.68 8.41 9.21 8.82 8.32 8.317
Payables Turnover 10.23 9.42 8.91 10.07 10.26 10.40 9.63 10.03 9.29 9.85 9.49 9.52 8.90 9.36 9.03 9.09 8.43 8.95 8.88 9.55 9.552
DSO 42 43 40 40 41 40 39 38 42 39 39 40 43 40 41 42 43 40 41 44 43.9 days
DIO 124 128 128 127 119 121 119 119 119 117 118 117 117 120 125 128 128 129 132 153 153.1 days
DPO 36 39 41 36 36 35 38 36 39 37 38 38 41 39 40 40 43 41 41 38 38.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 131 132 127 131 124 125 121 121 121 119 119 119 119 121 125 130 128 128 133 159 158.8 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.255
Operating Cycle snapshot only 197.0 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 3.626
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.646
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 0.7% 2.0% 8.2% 11.9% 15.2% 16.2% 13.7% 13.8% 10.7% 10.0% 8.6% 7.8% 6.7% 5.4% 5.5% 3.9% 4.5% 4.6% 3.1% 4.1% 4.14%
Net Income 5.0% 46.6% 48.8% 44.4% 28.4% 8.9% 10.5% 19.3% 24.9% 13.8% -1.1% -12.4% -36.2% -38.5% -30.8% -24.8% -0.4% 23.9% 2.6% 7.9% 7.94%
EPS 4.8% 46.4% 37.8% 32.9% 18.4% 0.5% 10.4% 19.0% 24.4% 12.6% -1.7% -12.9% -36.3% -33.2% -30.8% -24.9% -0.1% 19.0% 11.0% 19.8% 19.80%
FCF 22.7% -29.1% -75.6% -1.2% -1.6% -2.3% -5.5% 5.4% 5.6% 7.0% 7.7% 8.3% 1.7% -11.3% -78.8% -1.2% -1.6% -1.8% -2.5% 20.3% 20.26%
EBITDA 20.6% 21.7% 23.5% 24.6% 19.7% 21.0% 20.8% 24.8% 27.3% 14.2% 3.7% -14.2% -26.1% -29.4% -25.4% 0.3% 22.3% 35.2% 31.2% 18.8% 18.81%
Op. Income 9.7% 15.3% 21.2% 24.3% 17.3% 22.8% 24.9% 35.8% 35.5% 21.1% 3.8% -11.2% -28.0% -25.8% -19.9% -12.1% 10.9% 12.3% 3.5% 8.4% 8.36%
OCF Growth snapshot only 3.59%
Asset Growth snapshot only 10.92%
Equity Growth snapshot only 12.02%
Debt Growth snapshot only 12.19%
Shares Change snapshot only -9.90%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 48.16%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 3.6% 4.0% 5.2% 5.8% 7.0% 7.4% 7.9% 8.2% 8.7% 9.2% 10.1% 11.1% 10.8% 10.5% 9.2% 8.4% 7.3% 6.6% 5.7% 5.3% 5.27%
Revenue 5Y 11.1% 5.1% 5.8% 6.1% 6.7% 6.8% 7.0% 7.1% 7.3% 7.5% 7.6% 7.8% 7.6% 7.5% 7.6% 7.2% 7.5% 7.5% 7.8% 8.2% 8.22%
EPS 3Y 9.6% 27.8% 34.5% 33.4% 30.3% 16.0% 16.4% 9.8% 15.6% 18.3% 14.4% 11.3% -2.1% -8.9% -9.1% -8.0% -7.5% -3.6% -9.0% -7.8% -7.81%
EPS 5Y 21.1% 21.0% 18.5% 19.3% 18.9% 16.9% 15.3% 12.4% 14.2% 18.7% 21.4% 19.7% 11.9% 3.3% 1.4% -2.8% -0.4% 5.7% 2.8% 4.4% 4.38%
Net Income 3Y 12.3% 30.8% 38.0% 40.4% 37.1% 21.9% 19.5% 15.6% 18.9% 22.0% 17.6% 14.7% 0.8% -8.6% -8.9% -7.7% -7.4% -4.6% -11.1% -10.7% -10.73%
Net Income 5Y 21.8% 21.8% 20.9% 22.0% 21.6% 20.6% 18.7% 16.0% 17.8% 22.7% 23.5% 23.6% 15.5% 4.9% 3.1% 0.3% 1.4% 6.7% 2.9% 4.1% 4.14%
EBITDA 3Y 33.8% 46.2% 51.7% 54.0% 52.7% 42.3% 33.4% 24.1% 22.5% 18.9% 15.7% 10.1% 4.0% -0.8% -2.2% 2.4% 4.8% 2.9% 0.5% 0.7% 0.74%
EBITDA 5Y 28.6% 24.3% 24.7% 27.8% 28.3% 31.3% 30.3% 27.6% 29.5% 34.0% 34.3% 31.4% 27.3% 18.4% 12.9% 10.5% 10.7% 9.9% 8.7% 9.7% 9.71%
Gross Profit 3Y 2.9% 3.6% 5.0% 5.6% 6.7% 7.3% 7.9% 8.1% 8.8% 8.9% 9.9% 10.6% 10.3% 10.0% 9.1% 8.6% 7.9% 7.2% 5.8% 5.4% 5.42%
Gross Profit 5Y 10.2% 4.2% 5.0% 5.4% 5.9% 6.4% 6.6% 6.7% 7.1% 7.3% 7.3% 7.3% 7.2% 7.4% 7.5% 7.3% 7.5% 7.5% 7.8% 8.4% 8.39%
Op. Income 3Y 18.2% 22.6% 25.9% 26.8% 26.2% 21.4% 20.7% 17.8% 20.3% 19.7% 16.3% 14.4% 4.6% 3.4% 1.3% 2.0% 2.7% 0.3% -4.9% -5.4% -5.43%
Op. Income 5Y 18.0% 18.6% 18.4% 21.4% 21.9% 20.6% 21.4% 19.5% 21.3% 22.4% 20.9% 19.7% 14.4% 10.0% 7.9% 5.0% 6.9% 7.4% 5.5% 7.4% 7.38%
FCF 3Y 15.3% -9.7% -39.7% — — — — -8.1% 46.9% 76.0% 95.0% 93.1% 91.1% 89.6% 86.3% — — — — — —
FCF 5Y 34.9% -0.6% -25.4% — — — — -3.8% 31.7% 41.4% 46.2% 42.1% 38.6% 27.7% 5.6% — — — — — —
OCF 3Y 18.8% 16.2% 14.0% 12.2% 10.6% 13.4% 16.2% 20.3% 25.1% 24.8% 24.1% 22.8% 21.4% 16.8% 12.7% 8.5% 3.7% 3.6% 3.4% 2.2% 2.16%
OCF 5Y 22.4% 12.3% 9.8% 7.9% 6.2% 9.2% 12.3% 16.5% 21.5% 19.8% 18.2% 16.4% 14.7% 13.9% 13.2% 12.4% 11.1% 10.7% 10.4% 10.1% 10.12%
Assets 3Y 11.1% 20.9% 17.4% 18.0% 18.1% 18.7% 20.8% 21.0% 21.5% 20.4% 22.9% 22.8% 19.9% 12.4% 13.5% 12.5% 17.6% 12.7% 7.8% 10.8% 10.79%
Assets 5Y 8.1% 13.0% 12.9% 13.3% 12.6% 12.6% 14.5% 14.7% 15.4% 16.3% 17.2% 17.5% 17.2% 18.1% 17.3% 16.8% 20.2% 16.5% 14.5% 16.5% 16.54%
Equity 3Y 12.4% 15.0% 15.3% 14.9% 15.6% 16.4% 17.5% 14.2% 14.3% 11.7% 12.3% 12.3% 11.4% 10.3% 11.2% 11.2% 10.8% 8.7% 7.1% 10.2% 10.25%
Book Value 3Y 9.8% 12.3% 12.3% 9.2% 9.9% 10.7% 14.4% 8.5% 11.0% 8.4% 9.2% 9.0% 8.3% 10.0% 11.0% 10.8% 10.7% 9.9% 9.8% 13.9% 13.86%
Dividend 3Y 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% -2.4% -2.8% -1.3% 2.5% -8.6% -16.9% -35.5% — — — 12.6% — — — 60.4% 29.1% 13.7% 13.72%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.86 0.98 0.98 0.94 0.91 0.90 0.90 0.86 0.88 0.89 0.92 0.91 0.93 0.93 0.97 0.97 0.99 0.99 0.97 0.96 0.956
Earnings Stability 0.78 0.87 0.80 0.73 0.82 0.93 0.89 0.79 0.86 0.97 0.91 0.79 0.50 0.30 0.23 0.13 0.02 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.000
Margin Stability 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.00 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.00 0.99 0.991
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.98 0.81 0.80 0.82 0.89 0.96 0.96 0.92 0.90 0.94 1.00 0.95 0.86 0.85 0.88 0.90 1.00 0.90 0.99 0.97 0.968
Earnings Smoothness 0.95 0.62 0.61 0.64 0.75 0.91 0.90 0.82 0.78 0.87 0.99 0.87 0.56 0.52 0.64 0.72 1.00 0.79 0.97 0.92 0.924
ROE Trend 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.014
Gross Margin Trend -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.005
FCF Margin Trend -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.04 -0.03 -0.10 -0.17 -0.15 -0.12 -0.07 -0.074
Sustainable Growth Rate 7.4% 8.7% 9.1% 8.6% 8.7% 8.4% 8.8% 9.6% 10.6% 10.0% 9.4% 8.5% 6.6% 5.2% 4.7% 4.1% 3.8% 4.4% 3.5% 3.6% 3.65%
Internal Growth Rate 4.5% 4.8% 5.0% 4.8% 4.9% 4.3% 4.4% 4.8% 5.5% 5.2% 4.5% 4.1% 3.2% 2.5% 2.2% 1.9% 1.7% 2.1% 1.6% 1.7% 1.75%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.75 1.54 1.55 1.65 1.66 1.72 1.69 1.71 1.72 1.96 2.20 2.38 3.06 3.23 2.93 2.68 2.34 2.20 2.66 2.57 2.570
FCF/OCF 0.26 0.15 0.05 -0.04 -0.12 -0.16 -0.19 0.13 0.42 0.72 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.64 0.23 -0.23 -0.80 -0.57 -0.37 -0.18 -0.181
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.464
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.698
CapEx/Revenue 7.7% 9.1% 10.1% 11.3% 12.2% 12.9% 13.5% 10.3% 7.4% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.6% 9.0% 13.5% 17.7% 16.1% 14.5% 12.8% 12.83%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.675
Accruals Ratio -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.042
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.024
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.756
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 1.5% 1.57%
Dividend/Share $13.05 $13.27 $12.45 $12.66 $12.87 $13.70 $14.47 $11.24 $8.03 $3.99 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $6.24 $11.52 $17.22 $23.12 $23.98 $24.94 $25.51 $28.00
Payout Ratio 19.8% 16.9% 16.3% 16.9% 16.5% 17.3% 17.2% 12.6% 8.3% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.5% 20.1% 29.5% 37.4% 33.8% 39.2% 36.4% 36.44%
FCF Payout Ratio 44.1% 73.5% 2.1% — — — — 56.1% 11.4% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 29.8% — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 19.8% 16.9% 16.3% 16.9% 16.5% 21.9% 25.8% 20.7% 15.7% 8.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.5% 20.1% 29.5% 37.4% 38.9% 51.0% 52.8% 52.81%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0
Chowder Number 0.13 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.07 0.12 0.17 -0.11 -0.37 -0.70 — — — 0.44 — — — 3.02 1.02 0.35 0.350
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.69%
Net Buyback Yield -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1% -0.1% -0.2% -0.2% -0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.16%
Total Shareholder Return 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 1.5% 1.8% 2.3% 1.7% 1.70%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.68 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.69 0.65 0.65 0.64 0.65 0.64 0.64 0.65 0.60 0.64 0.64 0.63 0.66 0.60 0.58 0.59 0.588
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.94 0.93 0.94 0.95 0.94 1.13 1.11 1.11 1.114
EBIT Margin 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.065
Asset Turnover 0.92 0.81 0.83 0.83 0.85 0.78 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.78 0.70 0.70 0.71 0.70 0.66 0.66 0.63 0.66 0.66 0.64 0.639
Equity Multiplier 1.72 1.87 1.90 1.89 1.88 2.01 2.08 2.07 2.02 2.00 2.19 2.15 2.10 2.13 2.21 2.17 2.29 2.19 2.17 2.12 2.124
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $65.86 $78.75 $76.28 $75.10 $77.97 $79.18 $84.21 $89.34 $97.00 $89.15 $82.77 $77.82 $61.81 $59.57 $57.27 $58.44 $61.74 $70.89 $63.56 $70.01 $70.01
Book Value/Share $766.26 $806.15 $745.79 $761.35 $788.17 $818.46 $841.00 $873.30 $898.53 $901.62 $924.07 $959.32 $972.61 $1073.08 $1020.18 $1036.91 $1069.64 $1085.60 $1111.83 $1289.21 $1296.70
Tangible Book/Share $663.90 $644.69 $594.92 $615.71 $647.71 $676.73 $698.42 $731.10 $759.58 $763.01 $786.45 $824.17 $839.76 $919.92 $880.63 $866.03 $900.23 $892.84 $916.72 $1106.43 $1106.43
Revenue/Share $1119.23 $1140.57 $1103.99 $1135.39 $1189.15 $1223.82 $1254.00 $1288.47 $1311.79 $1331.61 $1354.19 $1380.99 $1396.76 $1525.20 $1428.84 $1432.71 $1462.87 $1531.88 $1593.76 $1655.97 $1720.83
FCF/Share $29.57 $18.05 $6.02 $-4.59 $-15.21 $-21.28 $-27.25 $20.06 $70.14 $126.80 $182.25 $185.49 $189.11 $122.14 $38.68 $-36.72 $-115.13 $-89.78 $-62.56 $-32.50 $0.00
OCF/Share $115.26 $121.60 $117.93 $123.79 $129.63 $136.23 $142.22 $153.18 $167.04 $174.98 $182.25 $185.49 $189.11 $192.15 $167.96 $156.50 $144.29 $156.17 $169.16 $179.94 $0.00
Cash/Share $318.43 $548.46 $453.33 $461.25 $458.63 $403.73 $561.45 $523.24 $511.03 $498.90 $627.92 $602.92 $572.39 $615.78 $542.14 $488.67 $775.31 $530.16 $423.30 $456.66 $459.00
EBITDA/Share $174.68 $185.93 $181.26 $184.03 $192.72 $207.72 $218.74 $229.03 $244.52 $234.57 $225.52 $195.41 $180.35 $179.90 $168.37 $195.62 $221.17 $233.58 $238.99 $257.96 $257.96
Debt/Share $329.36 $599.39 $544.07 $544.66 $528.12 $518.44 $693.00 $678.55 $661.79 $647.46 $878.77 $873.24 $861.43 $929.27 $891.33 $877.85 $1193.57 $946.80 $999.57 $1093.06 $1093.06
Net Debt/Share $10.93 $50.92 $90.73 $83.41 $69.49 $114.71 $131.55 $155.31 $150.76 $148.56 $250.85 $270.32 $289.04 $313.49 $349.18 $389.18 $418.26 $416.64 $576.28 $636.40 $636.40
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.183
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 4.112
Piotroski F-Score 3 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 4 4 4 5 7 6 5 6 7 7 7
Beneish M-Score -2.55 -2.47 -2.29 -2.39 -2.33 -2.54 -2.59 -2.51 -2.58 -2.65 -2.64 -2.59 -2.69 -2.69 -2.62 -2.63 -2.60 -2.61 -2.63 -2.57 -2.571
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.354
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 5.46%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-310.00
EVA snapshot only $-8518285039.37
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB
Credit Score 83.90 78.27 79.82 78.98 80.12 80.80 77.66 79.77 83.01 82.17 78.95 72.08 69.80 58.95 56.53 56.35 55.13 61.15 57.69 56.17 56.173
Credit Grade snapshot only 9
Credit Trend snapshot only -0.172
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 275.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 36
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 53

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