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Also trades as: SURDF (OTC) · $vol 0M · SURYY (OTC) · $vol 0M

8830.T JPX

Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd.
1W: -2.9% 1M: -7.1% 3M: -17.4% YTD: -39.7% 1Y: -49.9% 3Y: -12.9% 5Y: -17.9%
¥3,089.00 ($19.57)
-91.00 (-2.86%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.7%
¥2863 ¥2976 ¥3089 ¥3202 ¥3315
JPX · Real Estate · Real Estate - Development · Tech Score Sell · Power 34 · ¥2.85T mcap · 576M float · 0.560% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
4
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. 8830.T receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: ROE (4/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B- B
2026-09-24 None ADDED
2026-09-23 EXISTED None
2026-08-10 C+ B-
2026-07-01 B- C+
2026-05-07 None ADDED
2026-05-06 EXISTED None
2026-04-27 B B-
2026-04-01 B- B
2026-01-13 B B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 38 Grade B
Profitability
41
Balance Sheet
37
Earnings Quality
92
Growth
50
Value
58
Momentum
72
Safety
15
Cash Flow
40
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. 8830.T scores highest in Earnings Quality (92/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.08
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-1.77
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.91
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 39.1/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.04x
Accruals: -0.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. 8830.T scores 1.08, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. 8830.T scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. 8830.T's score of -1.77 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. 8830.T's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. 8830.T receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 39.1/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). 8830.T's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
12.78x
PEG
0.67x
P/S
2.73x
P/B
1.11x
P/FCF
66.41x
P/OCF
18.32x
EV/EBITDA
19.60x
EV/Revenue
7.54x
EV/EBIT
24.12x
EV/FCF
130.46x
Earnings Yield
5.23%
FCF Yield
1.51%
Shareholder Yield
1.46%
Graham Number
$3717.30
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 12.8x earnings, 8830.T trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 5.2% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $3717.30 per share, suggesting a potential 20% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.700
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.918
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.313
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.152
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.998
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
9.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. 8830.T's ROE of 9.2% is driven by a balanced combination of operating margin, asset efficiency, and leverage.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
12.99%
Fair P/E
34.48x
Intrinsic Value
$7925.37
Price/Value
0.55x
Margin of Safety
44.58%
Premium
-44.58%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with 8830.T's realized 13.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. 8830.T trades at a -45% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $7925.37, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 34.5x compares to the current market P/E of 12.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$3089.00
Median 1Y
$2708.12
5th Pctile
$1300.47
95th Pctile
$5634.15
Ann. Volatility
44.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
ROE 8.6% 9.0% 9.2% 9.6% 9.6% 9.2% 9.3% 9.4% 9.3% 9.5% 9.2% 9.2% 9.7% 8.8% 8.6% 9.1% 8.8% 9.0% 9.6% 9.2% 9.16%
ROA 2.3% 2.4% 2.5% 2.6% 2.7% 2.6% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.8% 2.7% 2.7% 3.0% 2.7% 2.7% 2.9% 2.9% 3.0% 3.2% 3.1% 3.06%
ROIC 2.8% 3.0% 3.1% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.0% 3.0% 3.2% 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 3.1% 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% 3.28%
ROCE 4.0% 4.3% 4.4% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6% 4.5% 4.5% 4.7% 4.5% 4.5% 4.7% 4.5% 4.5% 4.8% 5.0% 5.2% 5.3% 5.0% 5.05%
Gross Margin 35.1% 35.2% 31.8% 26.3% 36.3% 35.5% 34.5% 27.6% 37.2% 36.0% 33.5% 30.4% 36.5% 34.7% 25.4% 25.6% 34.4% 28.8% 29.7% 23.2% 23.18%
Operating Margin 28.4% 28.3% 24.8% 17.7% 30.2% 27.8% 26.3% 18.4% 30.9% 28.4% 24.5% 21.0% 31.1% 25.8% 24.6% 24.1% 34.7% 27.5% 28.7% 22.0% 21.95%
Net Margin 19.6% 18.2% 16.3% 9.5% 21.7% 17.8% 18.6% 10.9% 22.5% 19.5% 17.9% 13.1% 23.6% 15.6% 15.3% 19.4% 25.2% 18.7% 22.9% 13.5% 13.52%
EBITDA Margin 34.5% 34.8% 31.3% 24.4% 36.6% 34.6% 35.6% 23.8% 41.2% 35.6% 32.8% 28.8% 36.9% 34.2% 31.8% 37.8% 44.6% 37.5% 43.6% 28.4% 28.37%
FCF Margin -9.9% -12.1% -14.0% -10.0% -6.2% 0.6% 7.5% 10.8% 14.1% 14.3% 14.9% 12.4% 9.2% 6.9% 4.3% 5.4% 6.6% 7.6% 8.7% 5.8% 5.78%
OCF Margin 26.8% 25.7% 24.4% 23.2% 22.5% 19.7% 17.2% 15.6% 14.1% 14.3% 14.9% 17.2% 18.3% 21.0% 22.7% 23.4% 24.5% 24.6% 25.1% 21.0% 20.96%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.69%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 8.86%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.82%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.58%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 3.26%
Cash ROA snapshot only 3.09%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 3.47%
CROIC snapshot only 0.96%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 19.83%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 28.70%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
P/E Ratio 14.15 13.53 10.67 10.16 10.49 9.74 9.03 8.45 9.83 10.34 11.28 15.21 11.27 24.90 25.93 27.32 27.07 30.31 16.62 19.11 12.783
P/S Ratio 2.08 2.07 1.64 1.63 1.73 1.60 1.53 1.46 1.72 1.85 2.00 2.79 2.13 4.49 4.51 5.16 5.21 6.04 3.62 3.84 2.729
P/B Ratio 1.16 1.15 0.94 0.94 0.97 0.87 0.80 0.76 0.86 0.92 0.98 1.31 1.03 2.10 2.14 2.42 2.32 2.63 1.51 1.64 1.114
P/FCF -20.90 -17.10 -11.71 -16.31 -27.85 265.93 20.48 13.48 12.17 12.94 13.44 22.54 23.18 64.87 105.95 95.84 78.74 79.32 41.69 66.41 66.410
P/OCF 7.76 8.07 6.71 7.02 7.72 8.11 8.92 9.35 12.17 12.94 13.44 16.17 11.62 21.36 19.92 22.07 21.31 24.53 14.44 18.32 18.318
EV/EBITDA 19.68 18.60 16.78 16.76 16.97 16.52 16.24 16.73 16.77 16.77 17.75 19.50 17.39 24.76 24.89 25.24 24.22 25.59 18.26 19.60 19.596
EV/Revenue 6.10 5.91 5.34 5.26 5.41 5.26 5.34 5.45 5.67 5.72 5.94 6.77 5.88 8.28 8.26 8.90 9.09 9.79 7.51 7.54 7.542
EV/EBIT 25.44 23.79 21.63 20.86 20.96 20.41 19.98 20.66 21.19 21.22 22.83 24.92 22.04 31.81 31.89 31.85 30.31 31.78 22.33 24.12 24.118
EV/FCF -61.37 -48.72 -38.16 -52.66 -86.94 873.48 71.31 50.45 40.22 39.97 39.84 54.80 63.93 119.57 193.77 165.25 137.34 128.60 86.59 130.46 130.458
Earnings Yield 7.1% 7.4% 9.4% 9.8% 9.5% 10.3% 11.1% 11.8% 10.2% 9.7% 8.9% 6.6% 8.9% 4.0% 3.9% 3.7% 3.7% 3.3% 6.0% 5.2% 5.23%
FCF Yield -4.8% -5.8% -8.5% -6.1% -3.6% 0.4% 4.9% 7.4% 8.2% 7.7% 7.4% 4.4% 4.3% 1.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 2.4% 1.5% 1.51%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.669
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.694
EV/OCF snapshot only 35.985
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 25.923
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 26.633
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 1.46%
Graham Number snapshot only $3717.30
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.43 1.49 1.64 1.47 1.64 1.69 1.55 1.29 1.28 1.07 1.14 1.26 1.16 1.22 1.24 1.41 1.31 1.27 0.15 0.13 0.131
Quick Ratio 0.39 0.43 0.40 0.36 0.39 0.45 0.39 0.35 0.35 0.31 0.31 0.23 0.18 0.20 0.20 0.24 0.18 0.18 0.15 0.13 0.131
Debt/Equity 2.33 2.23 2.20 2.18 2.13 2.09 2.09 2.19 2.09 2.04 2.03 1.93 1.85 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.75 1.66 1.66 1.61 1.609
Net Debt/Equity 2.24 2.12 2.12 2.09 2.05 1.98 2.00 2.09 1.99 1.92 1.92 1.88 1.82 1.77 1.77 1.75 1.73 1.63 1.63 1.59 1.585
Debt/Assets 0.63 0.62 0.62 0.61 0.62 0.61 0.62 0.62 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.59 0.59 0.58 0.59 0.58 0.58 0.56 0.57 0.55 0.553
Debt/EBITDA 13.52 12.72 12.10 12.09 12.02 12.10 12.11 12.86 12.32 12.05 12.42 11.79 11.28 11.55 11.49 10.88 10.46 9.97 9.66 9.77 9.766
Net Debt/EBITDA 12.98 12.07 11.63 11.57 11.53 11.49 11.58 12.26 11.69 11.34 11.76 11.48 11.09 11.33 11.28 10.60 10.33 9.81 9.47 9.62 9.621
Interest Coverage 11.53 12.43 13.01 13.61 14.04 14.17 14.57 14.84 15.02 15.29 14.81 14.64 20.44 29.45 59.59 50.66 24.77 16.78 13.28 12.15 12.154
Equity Multiplier 3.69 3.59 3.53 3.55 3.46 3.40 3.38 3.54 3.41 3.35 3.32 3.26 3.13 3.10 3.08 3.10 3.02 2.96 2.94 2.91 2.908
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.094
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 14.959
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.015
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.015
Defensive Interval snapshot only 3687.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.152
Inventory Turnover 0.96 0.96 0.98 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.89 0.83 0.85 0.87 0.85 0.76 0.85 0.83 0.86 0.78 0.80 0.82 1.71 1.62 1.622
Receivables Turnover 59.20 71.98 61.31 44.82 52.73 61.78 53.81 30.68 54.85 52.90 51.11 27.83 53.54 51.90 51.85 37.67 45.44 49.43 53.70 45.84 45.835
Payables Turnover 35.51 32.99 30.20 19.01 32.65 33.31 28.85 17.53 26.84 35.32 29.07 19.77 32.03 29.45 28.18 21.79 41.13 31.94 57.85 23.97 23.970
DSO 6 5 6 8 7 6 7 12 7 7 7 13 7 7 7 10 8 7 7 8 8.0 days
DIO 381 380 373 387 385 389 408 438 430 418 428 479 431 439 423 470 459 447 213 225 225.1 days
DPO 10 11 12 19 11 11 13 21 14 10 13 18 11 12 13 17 9 11 6 15 15.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 377 374 367 376 381 384 402 429 423 415 423 473 427 433 417 462 458 443 214 218 217.8 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.231
Operating Cycle snapshot only 233.0 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 17.876
Capital Intensity snapshot only 6.793
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue -14.4% -6.9% -2.8% 2.4% 9.5% 5.7% -0.0% 0.1% 1.8% 4.0% 4.6% 3.0% 8.5% 3.3% 5.9% 4.8% -3.7% 0.5% -1.3% 4.3% 4.29%
Net Income -17.0% -6.6% -9.2% 6.4% 23.2% 13.3% 10.6% 7.6% 7.6% 13.3% 9.5% 9.4% 17.4% 4.0% 3.7% 8.2% -2.0% 11.0% 23.3% 10.9% 10.88%
EPS -17.0% -6.6% -9.2% 6.4% 23.2% 13.3% 10.6% 7.6% 7.6% 13.3% 9.5% 9.4% 17.4% -48.0% -48.1% -45.6% -50.3% 13.0% 25.7% 13.0% 12.99%
FCF -6.4% -7.9% -2.2% -50.5% 31.5% 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 3.3% 23.7% 1.1% 17.8% -29.3% -50.0% -69.8% -54.3% -30.7% 10.5% 1.0% 11.9% 11.92%
EBITDA -3.7% 4.0% 7.6% 10.5% 12.6% 5.9% 3.3% 3.9% 8.1% 11.4% 6.5% 9.8% 8.4% 1.2% 4.9% 6.5% 6.9% 15.0% 22.3% 13.8% 13.78%
Op. Income -12.0% -3.1% 1.7% 6.7% 13.9% 5.9% 1.5% 3.2% 4.0% 7.4% 4.8% 5.6% 11.7% 3.1% 7.3% 6.6% 0.2% 8.5% 10.4% 10.3% 10.33%
OCF Growth snapshot only -6.58%
Asset Growth snapshot only 6.89%
Equity Growth snapshot only 13.96%
Debt Growth snapshot only 2.16%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.87%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 17.92%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -4.7% -3.9% -2.7% -2.5% -3.5% -3.9% -3.2% -2.5% -1.6% 0.7% 0.6% 1.8% 6.5% 4.3% 3.4% 2.6% 2.1% 2.6% 3.0% 4.0% 4.02%
Revenue 5Y -2.1% -1.7% -1.1% 0.3% 0.1% -0.3% -0.6% -0.2% -0.7% -0.5% -0.7% -0.9% -0.2% -1.0% 0.1% 0.0% -0.1% 1.2% 1.2% 2.9% 2.89%
EPS 3Y -0.1% 2.5% 8.8% 4.8% 3.8% 2.1% 2.8% 4.7% 3.3% 6.2% 3.2% 7.8% 15.9% -12.6% -14.4% -13.8% -14.4% -12.7% -10.6% -12.4% -12.38%
EPS 5Y 5.2% 6.3% 6.6% 7.8% 6.4% 5.3% 4.9% 6.2% 5.7% 6.7% 9.3% 6.3% 7.1% -8.9% -9.2% -7.3% -8.5% -6.8% -6.5% -5.1% -5.08%
Net Income 3Y -0.1% 2.5% 8.8% 4.8% 3.8% 2.1% 2.8% 4.7% 3.3% 6.2% 3.2% 7.8% 15.9% 10.1% 7.9% 8.4% 7.4% 9.3% 11.9% 9.5% 9.49%
Net Income 5Y 5.2% 6.3% 6.6% 7.8% 6.4% 5.3% 4.9% 6.2% 5.7% 6.7% 9.3% 6.3% 7.1% 4.6% 4.3% 6.3% 4.9% 6.7% 7.0% 8.5% 8.49%
EBITDA 3Y 8.2% 9.9% 11.9% 8.7% 6.6% 4.4% 5.4% 3.2% 5.4% 7.1% 5.8% 8.0% 9.6% 6.1% 4.9% 6.7% 7.8% 9.0% 11.0% 10.0% 9.97%
EBITDA 5Y 8.8% 10.0% 10.7% 9.3% 8.2% 7.4% 7.1% 9.0% 9.0% 9.4% 9.0% 7.9% 7.3% 5.1% 5.5% 5.1% 6.3% 7.4% 8.7% 8.9% 8.85%
Gross Profit 3Y -2.4% -1.2% 0.3% 0.0% -1.0% -1.5% -0.7% -0.8% 0.1% 2.3% 2.2% 4.9% 8.7% 5.6% 3.0% 1.3% -0.4% -1.4% -0.5% -0.7% -0.71%
Gross Profit 5Y 1.5% 2.2% 2.6% 3.0% 2.2% 1.7% 1.4% 2.0% 1.6% 1.9% 1.8% 1.9% 2.5% 1.4% 0.9% -0.5% -1.3% -1.1% -0.2% 1.3% 1.34%
Op. Income 3Y -1.0% 1.0% 2.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 1.4% 3.3% 2.7% 5.1% 9.8% 5.4% 4.5% 5.1% 5.2% 6.3% 7.5% 7.5% 7.48%
Op. Income 5Y 2.2% 3.5% 4.2% 4.4% 3.6% 2.8% 2.5% 3.2% 2.8% 3.2% 3.0% 2.9% 3.6% 2.3% 3.0% 3.0% 3.1% 4.3% 5.1% 6.4% 6.44%
FCF 3Y — — — — — -50.4% -1.0% 32.5% 1.0% — — — — — — — — 1.4% 8.2% -15.5% -15.54%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 35.5% 8.5% -9.4% 4.6% 33.0% — — — —
OCF 3Y 9.4% 7.6% 6.0% 1.6% -2.4% -8.8% -15.1% -16.6% -18.3% -16.4% -14.5% -10.1% -6.1% -2.5% 0.9% 2.9% 5.0% 10.4% 16.8% 14.8% 14.83%
OCF 5Y 28.3% 22.9% 18.6% 14.3% 10.5% 5.2% 0.1% -2.5% -5.1% -5.3% -5.4% -4.3% -3.4% -2.8% -2.3% -1.2% -0.2% 0.8% 1.9% -0.7% -0.67%
Assets 3Y 3.2% 3.9% 4.6% 4.2% 4.3% 4.4% 4.7% 6.2% 6.3% 6.7% 6.0% 5.6% 5.6% 5.0% 5.3% 5.0% 5.0% 5.3% 6.0% 4.1% 4.12%
Assets 5Y 4.0% 3.8% 3.5% 3.1% 3.2% 3.0% 3.3% 4.2% 4.7% 5.1% 5.7% 5.4% 5.4% 5.2% 5.1% 4.8% 4.6% 4.9% 5.1% 4.8% 4.84%
Equity 3Y 9.6% 10.0% 11.6% 10.6% 10.6% 10.3% 10.1% 11.6% 11.0% 11.2% 10.6% 10.9% 11.5% 10.3% 10.2% 9.9% 10.0% 10.3% 11.1% 11.1% 11.15%
Book Value 3Y 9.6% 10.0% 11.6% 10.6% 10.6% 10.3% 10.1% 11.6% 11.0% 11.2% 10.6% 10.9% 11.5% -12.4% -12.5% -12.6% -12.3% -11.9% -11.3% -11.1% -11.05%
Dividend 3Y 5.3% 5.6% 5.9% 5.4% 5.0% -5.3% -17.3% -35.1% — — — 9.8% — — — 27.9% 3.1% -8.8% -16.1% -16.0% -15.98%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.09 0.18 0.29 0.01 0.09 0.17 0.26 0.10 0.16 0.13 0.34 0.20 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.70 0.58 0.91 0.911
Earnings Stability 0.57 0.73 0.69 0.93 0.52 0.70 0.62 0.96 0.53 0.70 0.71 0.94 0.63 0.73 0.72 0.94 0.73 0.90 0.75 0.98 0.982
Margin Stability 0.93 0.92 0.93 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.97 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.96 0.93 0.935
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.93 0.97 0.96 0.97 0.91 0.95 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.93 0.98 0.99 0.97 0.99 0.96 0.91 0.96 0.956
Earnings Smoothness 0.81 0.93 0.90 0.94 0.79 0.88 0.90 0.93 0.93 0.88 0.91 0.91 0.84 0.96 0.96 0.92 0.98 0.90 0.79 0.90 0.897
ROE Trend -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.01 -0.00 -0.001
Gross Margin Trend 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.00 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.03 -0.04 -0.036
FCF Margin Trend -0.12 -0.14 -0.15 -0.09 -0.02 0.07 0.17 0.19 0.22 0.20 0.18 0.12 0.05 -0.01 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.03 -0.01 -0.03 -0.031
Sustainable Growth Rate 7.4% 7.8% 8.0% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 8.7% 9.1% 9.3% 9.5% 9.2% 8.9% 9.0% 7.8% 7.3% 7.8% 7.4% 7.6% 8.2% 7.8% 7.76%
Internal Growth Rate 2.0% 2.2% 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 2.6% 2.6% 2.8% 2.9% 2.8% 2.7% 2.8% 2.5% 2.3% 2.5% 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 2.7% 2.66%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.82 1.68 1.59 1.45 1.36 1.20 1.01 0.90 0.81 0.80 0.84 0.94 0.97 1.17 1.30 1.24 1.27 1.24 1.15 1.04 1.043
FCF/OCF -0.37 -0.47 -0.57 -0.43 -0.28 0.03 0.44 0.69 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.72 0.50 0.33 0.19 0.23 0.27 0.31 0.35 0.28 0.276
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.288
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.545
CapEx/Revenue 36.7% 37.8% 38.4% 33.2% 28.7% 19.1% 9.7% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.9% 9.1% 14.1% 18.4% 18.0% 17.8% 17.0% 16.4% 15.2% 15.18%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 2.103
Accruals Ratio -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.001
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.137
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.149
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.59%
Dividend/Share $34.99 $36.49 $37.99 $39.24 $40.49 $30.99 $21.49 $10.75 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $14.24 $28.49 $21.37 $28.51 $29.79 $31.19 $32.45 $33.65 $35.13 $49.00
Payout Ratio 13.3% 12.8% 12.7% 12.4% 12.4% 9.6% 6.5% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.8% 6.9% 11.2% 15.1% 14.6% 15.3% 15.1% 14.2% 15.3% 15.28%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — 2.6% 14.7% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 14.3% 29.2% 61.9% 51.4% 44.4% 39.4% 35.7% 53.1% 53.12%
Total Payout Ratio 13.3% 12.8% 12.7% 12.4% 12.4% 9.6% 6.5% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.8% 6.9% 11.2% 15.1% 16.7% 19.4% 21.0% 21.4% 28.0% 27.96%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.18 0.19 0.20 0.18 0.17 -0.14 -0.43 -0.72 — — — 0.33 — — — 3.16 1.16 0.50 0.17 0.17 0.165
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.66%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.66%
Total Shareholder Return 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 1.46%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.67 0.67 0.68 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.68 0.70 0.70 0.71 0.71 0.70 0.71 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.69 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.700
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.97 0.96 1.00 0.99 0.96 0.97 0.93 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.918
EBIT Margin 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.26 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.31 0.34 0.31 0.313
Asset Turnover 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.152
Equity Multiplier 3.78 3.69 3.64 3.66 3.57 3.49 3.45 3.55 3.44 3.38 3.35 3.39 3.27 3.22 3.20 3.18 3.07 3.02 3.00 3.00 2.998
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $263.93 $285.61 $299.70 $317.45 $325.27 $323.67 $331.38 $341.66 $350.08 $366.71 $362.73 $373.83 $411.09 $190.65 $188.20 $203.42 $204.32 $215.47 $236.54 $229.85 $229.85
Book Value/Share $3229.95 $3370.88 $3413.44 $3447.80 $3531.92 $3630.80 $3720.50 $3796.63 $3988.27 $4123.32 $4182.26 $4326.68 $4478.20 $2263.63 $2283.42 $2300.91 $2382.49 $2482.94 $2599.04 $2671.98 $2771.88
Tangible Book/Share $3096.83 $3237.87 $3280.18 $3312.78 $3397.37 $3495.40 $3584.52 $3663.08 $3854.32 $3989.03 $4047.09 $4181.46 $4326.50 $2187.79 $2207.58 $2224.23 $2305.17 $2405.28 $2521.11 $2593.18 $2593.18
Revenue/Share $1797.54 $1863.78 $1951.77 $1982.18 $1967.65 $1969.31 $1951.52 $1983.18 $2003.46 $2047.26 $2041.36 $2041.81 $2173.85 $1057.18 $1081.08 $1076.37 $1061.43 $1081.77 $1087.20 $1143.93 $1131.92
FCF/Share $-178.69 $-225.95 $-273.20 $-197.83 $-122.45 $11.86 $146.13 $214.20 $282.60 $293.05 $304.41 $252.29 $199.83 $73.20 $46.06 $57.99 $70.25 $82.35 $94.31 $66.13 $0.00
OCF/Share $481.50 $479.12 $476.74 $459.35 $441.95 $388.77 $335.56 $308.91 $282.60 $293.05 $304.41 $351.67 $398.59 $222.27 $244.94 $251.85 $259.63 $266.32 $272.38 $239.76 $0.00
Cash/Share $300.79 $386.91 $290.78 $319.43 $303.79 $383.17 $340.08 $390.60 $428.53 $495.48 $451.89 $219.25 $146.68 $78.20 $74.39 $105.09 $51.15 $66.88 $86.70 $63.99 $64.13
EBITDA/Share $557.24 $591.88 $621.33 $621.45 $627.34 $627.00 $641.65 $645.98 $677.95 $698.44 $683.31 $709.05 $734.59 $353.47 $358.63 $379.73 $398.37 $413.88 $447.16 $440.29 $440.29
Debt/Share $7533.44 $7530.76 $7516.27 $7511.50 $7539.37 $7587.50 $7768.13 $8309.14 $8355.25 $8417.41 $8488.04 $8358.82 $8289.73 $4082.59 $4119.76 $4130.33 $4167.78 $4125.09 $4321.12 $4299.80 $4299.80
Net Debt/Share $7232.65 $7143.85 $7225.49 $7192.07 $7235.59 $7204.33 $7428.06 $7918.54 $7926.72 $7921.93 $8036.15 $8139.57 $8143.05 $4004.39 $4045.37 $4025.24 $4116.63 $4058.21 $4234.42 $4235.81 $4235.81
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.084
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.550
Piotroski F-Score 6 6 5 8 9 9 7 5 6 5 5 7 6 7 7 7 5 7 7 7 7
Beneish M-Score -1.77 -2.30 -2.16 -2.32 -2.54 -2.32 -2.54 -1.91 -2.42 -3.29 -3.70 -3.70 -2.92 -2.51 -2.23 -2.55 -2.24 -2.05 -2.12 -1.77 -1.768
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.908
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 8.20%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-5009.34
EVA snapshot only $-429026213940.30
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 37.33 38.61 38.76 38.13 39.00 41.98 41.64 41.57 42.15 41.25 39.11 43.82 44.58 51.43 51.08 51.27 51.21 50.10 37.82 39.13 39.130
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only -12.143
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 42
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 44

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