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AAON NASDAQ

AAON, Inc.
1W: -6.0% 1M: -20.5% 3M: -24.4% YTD: -10.3% 1Y: -30.1% 3Y: +35.7% 5Y: +53.8%
$75.83
+5.03 (+7.10%)
After Hours: $75.50 (-0.33, -0.44%)
Weekly Expected Move ±6.8%
$60 $64 $69 $74 $78
NASDAQ · Industrials · Industrial - Machinery · Tech Score Strong Sell · Power 33 · $5.8B mcap · 69M float · 1.62% daily turnover · Short 46% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 54% of companies Debt: 7.4% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.69 (down 99.0%), AAON, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $463.9M against a stock market value of $5.84B.
Distance to default 5.48 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $235.7M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 59.3%; Altman Z 6.63. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+10.9% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛅
Partly Cloudy
+2.1% YTD avg
2026 Now
🌧️
Rainy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+10.9%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+2.1%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-3.9%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
46%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
🌫️
+0.1%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.8%
45% win 39% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+1.8%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.0%
70% win 43% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+6.9%
Midterm
⛅
+1.4%
70% win 50% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+8.4%
Midterm
⛅
+3.9%
55% win 37% vol
May
20yr
💨
+8.5%
Midterm
☁️
+0.5%
65% win 47% vol
Jun
20yr
🌫️
+10.9%
Midterm
☀️
+6.5%
55% win 35% vol
Jul
20yr
🌫️
+10.8%
Midterm
☀️
+5.1%
45% win 35% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
+9.8%
Midterm
⛅
+3.1%
45% win 44% vol
Sep
20yr
🌫️
+9.5%
Midterm
☁️
-0.6%
45% win 40% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+12.9%
Midterm
⛅
+3.8%
67% win 46% vol
Now: -8.4%
Nov
20yr
💨
+23.5%
Midterm
☀️
+17.0%
95% win 47% vol
Dec
20yr
🌫️
+0.1%
Midterm
🌫️
+0.1%
60% win 37% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -3.9%

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms