Also trades as: 0H9G.L (LSE) · $vol 0M
AAP NYSE
Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
1W: +3.8%
1M: +15.9%
3M: -21.1%
YTD: +20.4%
1Y: -14.2%
3Y: -4.8%
5Y: -76.9%
$45.83
-0.77 (-1.65%)
Pre-Market: $45.20 (-0.62, -1.36%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.4%
$42
$44
$47
$49
$52
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 81% of companies Debt: 65.3% of company value Bonds: $469.2M held by 326 funds, 156 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the third-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 140 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $4.65 (down 90%), Advance Auto Parts, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $5.21B against a stock market value of $2.77B.
Distance to default 2.50 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-07-18, debt counted $1.69B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 58.7%; Altman Z'' 3.31. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $4.65 (down 90%), Advance Auto Parts, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $5.21B against a stock market value of $2.77B.
Distance to default 2.50 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-07-18, debt counted $1.69B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 58.7%; Altman Z'' 3.31. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Technical Signal Summary
Technical Signal
BULLISH
+51
BearishNeutralBullish
Trend (30%)
78
Momentum (25%)
80
Volume (20%)
81
Volatility (10%)
100
Patterns (15%)
38
Price vs SMA 20$42.67
Price vs SMA 50$43.05
Price vs SMA 200$51.20
EMA 9/21 Cross45.12/43.80
SMA 50/200 CrossDeath
ADX DirectionADX 25
Supertrend$41.33
Parabolic SAR$41.47
SMA Slope0.320
RSI60.4
Stochastic K/D87/92
Williams %R-23
CCI99
TSI vs Signal15.7
CMO20.7
ROC9.46%
OBV SignalAccum
Chaikin MF0.240
MFI60
Force Index402.8K
Elder Ray Bull2.84
AAP is trading above its 20-day and 50-day but below its 200-day moving average, showing a mixed trend. The 50-day MA is below the 200-day MA (death cross active). RSI at 60 shows bullish momentum. Volume analysis shows OBV is rising (accumulation) with Chaikin Money Flow positive at 0.240. The squeeze is off with positive momentum, suggesting upward pressure. ADX at 25 suggests the market is range-bound. Price is 28.6% below its 52-week high. 1 bearish pattern detected: Bearish Harami.
Moving Average Ribbon & Trend
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $42.67 | +$3.17 | +7.43% | Bullish |
| SMA 50 | $43.05 | +$2.79 | +6.48% | Bullish |
| SMA 200 | $51.20 | $5.36 | -10.47% | Bearish |
| EMA 9 | $45.12 | +$0.72 | +1.60% | Bullish |
| EMA 21 | $43.80 | +$2.04 | +4.66% | Bullish |
| EMA 50 | $44.79 | +$1.05 | +2.34% | Bullish |
| EMA 200 | $49.58 | $3.74 | -7.54% | Bearish |
| VWMA 20 | $42.67 | +$3.17 | +7.43% | Bullish |
| WMA 20 | $44.08 | +$1.76 | +3.99% | Bullish |
| DEMA 21 | $44.63 | +$1.21 | +2.71% | Bullish |
| TEMA 21 | $46.57 | $0.73 | -1.57% | Bearish |
Momentum Dashboard
Volume & Flow Analysis
Under Accumulation
OBV: Accumulation
CMF: Buying Pressure
Volatility & Range
52-Week
28.6% from high
20-Day
3.4% from high
Bollinger
80th pctile
Donchian
83th pctile
Turtle Long Stop: $42.30
Turtle Short Stop: $42.95
S2
$44.03
S1
$45.32
Pivot
$46.37
R1
$47.66
R2
$48.71
Candlestick Pattern Scanner
1 bearish: Bearish Harami
Bullish Patterns
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3 White Soldiers
—
Morning Star
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Bullish Engulfing
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Hammer
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Inverted Hammer
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Piercing Line
—
Bullish Harami
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Abandoned Baby
Bearish Patterns
—
3 Black Crows
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Evening Star
—
Bearish Engulfing
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Dark Cloud Cover
✘
Bearish Harami
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2 Black Gapping
Neutral
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Doji