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Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: AAVVF (OTC) · $vol 1M

AAV.TO TSX

Advantage Energy Ltd.
1W: +0.6% 1M: -9.9% 3M: -4.4% YTD: -9.8% 1Y: -5.3% 3Y: +5.3% 5Y: +117.0%
C$10.14 ($7.11)
+0.29 (+2.94%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.5%
C$9 C$10 C$10 C$11 C$11
TSX · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Tech Score Strong Sell · Power 30 · C$1.7B mcap · 144M float · 0.572% daily turnover

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 3Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
3
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
2
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. AAV.TO receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: ROA (5/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B B+
2026-07-30 B+ B
2026-07-16 A- B+
2026-07-10 B+ A-
2026-05-04 B B+
2026-04-01 B- B
2026-02-10 B B-
2026-01-03 B- B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 45 Grade A
Profitability
54
Balance Sheet
49
Earnings Quality
71
Growth
58
Value
56
Momentum
87
Safety
15
Cash Flow
35
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AAV.TO scores highest in Momentum (87/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). An overall grade of A places AAV.TO among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.78
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.76
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.65
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B+
Score: 30.2/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 4.47x
Accruals: -9.2%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. AAV.TO scores 0.78, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AAV.TO scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. AAV.TO's score of -2.76 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AAV.TO's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AAV.TO receives an estimated rating of B+ (score: 30.2/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). AAV.TO's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
19.98x
PEG
0.34x
P/S
2.43x
P/B
0.96x
P/FCF
-13.55x
P/OCF
4.92x
EV/EBITDA
6.92x
EV/Revenue
3.96x
EV/EBIT
15.85x
EV/FCF
-20.32x
Earnings Yield
4.55%
FCF Yield
-7.38%
Shareholder Yield
0.23%
Graham Number
$10.19
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 20.0x earnings, AAV.TO trades at a reasonable valuation. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $10.19 per share, suggesting a potential 0% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.716
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.672
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.250
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.221
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.843
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
4.9%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AAV.TO's ROE of 4.9% is driven by a balanced combination of operating margin, asset efficiency, and leverage.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$18.05
Price/Value
0.57x
Margin of Safety
42.88%
Premium
-42.88%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with AAV.TO's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. AAV.TO trades at a -43% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $18.05, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 20.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$10.07
Median 1Y
$11.24
5th Pctile
$4.83
95th Pctile
$26.39
Ann. Volatility
52.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 7.2% 32.9% 34.2% 44.3% 44.0% 22.4% 23.0% 11.9% 11.2% 6.5% 6.1% 5.1% 2.9% 1.4% -1.9% 3.3% 3.7% 3.2% 6.7% 4.9% 4.89%
ROA 4.8% 23.3% 23.9% 31.3% 30.8% 16.1% 16.4% 8.5% 7.8% 4.5% 4.2% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% -1.1% 1.9% 2.1% 1.8% 3.6% 2.7% 2.65%
ROIC 9.0% 10.5% 13.3% 20.2% 23.5% 24.0% 21.7% 13.4% 9.9% 5.5% 4.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.9% 2.3% 2.6% 2.5% 2.6% 2.3% 2.6% 2.64%
ROCE 8.2% 29.2% 31.0% 38.6% 38.8% 21.9% 22.8% 12.5% 11.8% 7.5% 7.2% 5.4% 4.1% 3.0% 0.8% 5.1% 5.3% 5.0% 7.8% 6.3% 6.31%
Gross Margin 74.0% 78.1% 72.0% 77.5% 73.6% 73.7% 65.9% 61.8% 66.6% 33.6% 28.6% 5.6% -2.9% 57.4% 63.7% 58.4% -0.9% 23.1% 64.2% 58.9% 58.89%
Operating Margin 47.4% 53.1% 49.9% 62.9% 53.2% 52.8% 33.6% 17.7% 30.3% 19.9% 21.2% -3.4% -10.4% 12.7% 27.8% 11.7% -10.1% 16.4% 22.6% 19.6% 19.61%
Net Margin 32.1% 2.3% 10.7% 51.9% 17.2% 50.4% 20.1% 2.3% 19.8% 29.4% 18.0% -12.2% -5.3% 10.4% -13.0% 43.5% -0.0% 5.7% 14.3% 22.1% 22.07%
EBITDA Margin 64.8% 3.1% 33.1% 81.0% 38.0% 84.0% 54.5% 35.5% 60.2% 78.0% 62.2% 41.1% 58.1% 54.7% 17.4% 1.0% 60.2% 49.9% 55.7% 63.1% 63.12%
FCF Margin 13.7% 17.3% 17.5% 17.8% 23.6% 27.0% 23.4% 15.8% 10.0% 7.5% 7.4% 13.2% 3.6% -16.6% -11.1% -8.4% -7.5% -4.9% -15.4% -19.5% -19.50%
OCF Margin 45.8% 45.4% 48.7% 48.0% 51.0% 52.1% 53.8% 52.5% 55.2% 59.7% 54.5% 57.6% 51.2% 42.3% 44.8% 45.2% 50.2% 52.6% 53.0% 53.7% 53.67%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.32%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 12.36%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.39%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.44%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.61%
Cash ROA snapshot only 11.33%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 13.97%
CROIC snapshot only -5.08%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 10.14%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 16.78%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 7.73%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.66%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 16.86 3.59 4.02 2.69 3.29 5.20 3.90 7.95 9.15 14.35 17.06 20.83 34.59 75.73 -59.35 39.52 31.46 37.70 17.14 21.99 19.976
P/S Ratio 3.14 3.00 3.01 1.99 2.14 1.83 1.47 2.06 2.54 2.69 3.10 3.28 3.23 3.20 2.97 3.16 2.82 2.94 2.89 2.64 2.427
P/B Ratio 1.16 1.01 1.17 0.99 1.23 1.13 0.88 0.97 1.03 0.94 1.04 1.03 0.97 1.01 1.13 1.27 1.13 1.18 1.11 1.05 0.961
P/FCF 22.89 17.32 17.19 11.16 9.07 6.76 6.25 13.04 25.44 35.96 42.08 24.94 88.56 -19.23 -26.67 -37.73 -37.38 -59.57 -18.69 -13.55 -13.555
P/OCF 6.86 6.62 6.18 4.14 4.20 3.51 2.73 3.91 4.60 4.51 5.69 5.70 6.31 7.56 6.62 6.99 5.61 5.59 5.44 4.92 4.924
EV/EBITDA 6.32 2.44 2.67 1.83 2.20 3.19 2.51 4.35 4.61 5.69 6.33 7.65 7.75 8.24 10.30 7.71 7.36 7.88 6.19 6.92 6.920
EV/Revenue 3.55 3.29 3.20 2.08 2.22 1.98 1.67 2.41 2.91 3.31 3.81 4.73 4.76 4.51 4.06 4.18 4.02 4.21 4.10 3.96 3.961
EV/EBIT 11.92 2.92 3.18 2.12 2.57 4.12 3.23 6.50 7.07 10.85 12.68 16.71 21.35 28.55 114.78 20.51 18.89 21.26 12.84 15.85 15.854
EV/FCF 25.83 18.98 18.29 11.70 9.43 7.31 7.11 15.26 29.12 44.21 51.69 35.96 130.66 -27.16 -36.55 -49.97 -53.31 -85.26 -26.57 -20.32 -20.319
Earnings Yield 5.9% 27.9% 24.9% 37.2% 30.4% 19.2% 25.6% 12.6% 10.9% 7.0% 5.9% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% -1.7% 2.5% 3.2% 2.7% 5.8% 4.5% 4.55%
FCF Yield 4.4% 5.8% 5.8% 9.0% 11.0% 14.8% 16.0% 7.7% 3.9% 2.8% 2.4% 4.0% 1.1% -5.2% -3.7% -2.7% -2.7% -1.7% -5.4% -7.4% -7.38%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.336
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.061
EV/OCF snapshot only 7.380
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 9.534
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 27.113
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.23%
Graham Number snapshot only $10.19
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.66 0.88 0.40 1.13 0.81 1.66 0.82 1.01 1.21 1.25 0.72 0.76 0.75 0.65 0.51 0.67 0.40 0.39 0.38 0.34 0.340
Quick Ratio 0.66 0.88 0.40 1.13 0.81 1.66 0.82 1.01 1.21 1.25 0.72 0.76 0.75 0.65 0.51 0.67 0.40 0.39 0.38 0.34 0.340
Debt/Equity 0.18 0.11 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.12 0.13 0.17 0.17 0.23 0.25 0.47 0.47 0.43 0.45 0.46 0.49 0.52 0.49 0.55 0.551
Net Debt/Equity 0.15 0.10 0.07 0.05 0.05 0.09 0.12 0.16 0.15 0.22 0.24 0.46 0.46 0.41 0.42 0.41 0.48 0.51 0.47 0.52 0.523
Debt/Assets 0.12 0.08 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.09 0.09 0.12 0.12 0.15 0.17 0.27 0.27 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.27 0.29 0.26 0.29 0.293
Debt/EBITDA 0.85 0.25 0.17 0.14 0.14 0.32 0.32 0.64 0.69 1.12 1.24 2.41 2.54 2.48 2.98 2.09 2.25 2.42 1.91 2.43 2.428
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.72 0.21 0.16 0.08 0.08 0.24 0.30 0.63 0.58 1.06 1.18 2.34 2.50 2.40 2.78 1.89 2.20 2.37 1.83 2.30 2.303
Interest Coverage 5.52 27.64 31.39 44.59 50.48 23.50 21.96 10.89 8.59 5.56 4.96 4.28 2.51 1.65 0.38 2.22 2.43 2.23 3.54 2.98 2.975
Equity Multiplier 1.47 1.37 1.38 1.36 1.41 1.42 1.43 1.45 1.47 1.48 1.50 1.74 1.76 1.80 1.84 1.81 1.80 1.82 1.87 1.88 1.879
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.091
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 6.817
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.051
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.140
Defensive Interval snapshot only 244.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.26 0.28 0.32 0.42 0.47 0.46 0.44 0.33 0.28 0.24 0.23 0.20 0.19 0.20 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.21 0.22 0.221
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 10.93 12.78 12.29 11.29 13.38 14.09 16.14 8.93 9.55 7.93 9.66 10.59 8.96 7.97 8.62 11.48 11.34 8.43 7.21 9.14 9.142
Payables Turnover 2.54 2.47 2.36 2.79 2.72 3.26 2.77 2.96 2.21 3.13 3.38 5.16 4.70 4.07 3.55 4.49 3.48 3.56 2.75 3.31 3.314
DSO 33 29 30 32 27 26 23 41 38 46 38 34 41 46 42 32 32 43 51 40 39.9 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 144 148 154 131 134 112 132 123 165 117 108 71 78 90 103 81 105 102 133 110 110.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -110 -119 -125 -99 -107 -86 -109 -82 -127 -70 -70 -36 -37 -44 -61 -49 -73 -59 -82 -70 -70.2 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.230
Cash Velocity snapshot only 14.011
Capital Intensity snapshot only 4.739
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 63.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 96.0% 61.0% -8.9% -30.0% -43.8% -43.7% -29.4% -22.2% -5.0% 16.7% 32.7% 38.3% 32.2% 8.7% 3.5% 3.48%
Net Income 1.2% 2.4% 25.0% 53.1% 6.7% -17.7% -19.2% -68.1% -70.2% -70.0% -72.8% -57.0% -73.9% -78.6% -1.3% -32.7% 32.8% 1.4% 4.7% 55.6% 55.61%
EPS 1.2% 2.4% 23.7% 53.5% 7.0% -11.8% -7.6% -63.4% -66.4% -67.4% -71.1% -54.2% -73.0% -78.1% -1.3% -39.9% 32.8% 1.4% 4.6% 56.6% 56.61%
FCF 1.9% 2.5% 32.8% 1.4% 2.8% 2.1% 1.2% -19.4% -70.4% -84.4% -82.3% -41.1% -71.6% -3.1% -2.8% -1.8% -3.9% 60.7% -51.0% -1.4% -1.41%
EBITDA 1.8% 3.8% 5.5% 5.2% 3.0% -9.9% -10.9% -55.7% -56.3% -47.3% -49.0% -21.1% -24.2% -10.5% -23.5% 16.4% 23.0% 28.9% 82.7% 9.2% 9.19%
Op. Income 7.6% 20.9% 5.2% 4.1% 2.4% 1.5% 81.0% -28.2% -53.7% -73.8% -76.1% -69.9% -83.1% -76.9% -42.9% -5.0% 1.3% 2.0% 21.4% 13.3% 13.35%
OCF Growth snapshot only 22.89%
Asset Growth snapshot only 9.60%
Equity Growth snapshot only 5.32%
Debt Growth snapshot only 26.92%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.63%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 24.5% 29.3% 32.8% 46.0% 54.0% 56.4% 57.1% 45.3% 36.2% 30.2% 23.1% 15.4% 6.4% 1.5% 1.9% -5.2% -9.0% -11.0% -10.6% -1.0% -1.04%
Revenue 5Y 25.3% 24.9% 23.2% 26.6% 29.9% 33.0% 33.1% 29.6% 24.5% 19.0% 16.2% 14.9% 14.7% 15.3% 20.6% 23.5% 22.1% 22.6% 18.8% 16.1% 16.14%
EPS 3Y 1.1% 2.3% 5.2% 2.0% 5.2% — — — — — — 1.1% -10.4% -60.2% — -53.5% -50.7% -44.5% -31.1% -24.5% -24.48%
EPS 5Y 66.6% — 1.0% 56.5% 54.7% 29.3% 43.1% 47.3% 91.2% 59.2% 1.3% 36.5% 85.1% — — — — — — 53.7% 53.74%
Net Income 3Y 1.2% 2.3% 5.3% 2.1% 5.3% — — — — — — 94.9% -15.5% -62.5% — -54.8% -53.0% -46.1% -31.6% -23.4% -23.35%
Net Income 5Y 68.8% — 1.1% 57.8% 55.3% 28.9% 40.9% 44.9% 88.3% 55.7% 1.2% 31.6% 80.9% — — — — — — 50.6% 50.62%
EBITDA 3Y 18.1% 64.9% 70.4% 79.4% 90.7% 88.5% — — — — 43.6% 29.5% 9.6% -24.8% -29.7% -25.9% -25.9% -15.3% -10.7% 0.1% 0.07%
EBITDA 5Y 18.9% 54.4% 36.2% 33.7% 33.4% 18.3% 23.8% 19.7% 23.4% 16.3% 17.6% 15.1% 18.1% 25.9% — — — — 32.9% 22.5% 22.48%
Gross Profit 3Y 46.5% 52.0% 54.9% 71.3% 81.8% 78.9% 81.2% 64.7% 49.6% 35.6% 15.4% -4.0% -32.5% -28.0% -17.2% -18.0% -21.0% -27.2% -26.8% -16.9% -16.93%
Gross Profit 5Y 73.9% 54.4% 41.1% 39.5% 42.0% 46.3% 46.8% 44.5% 37.1% 24.8% 16.9% 9.0% -5.4% 1.2% 15.8% 23.8% 21.2% 17.6% 10.7% 6.9% 6.91%
Op. Income 3Y — 2.0% 1.5% 1.8% 2.6% 2.0% 3.4% 4.7% 1.4% 1.4% 39.2% 3.4% -35.5% -47.0% -37.3% -41.0% -43.4% -43.4% -45.1% -31.3% -31.26%
Op. Income 5Y — 1.4% 56.8% 49.3% 55.2% 69.7% 80.5% — — 75.6% 48.0% 36.4% 30.5% 11.4% 64.4% 1.2% 39.9% 57.9% 13.3% 3.6% 3.57%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — 1.3% 4.0% -31.6% — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y 20.4% 12.4% 9.9% 16.0% 48.3% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y 8.6% 11.7% 25.0% 32.4% 41.7% 47.7% 55.6% 50.0% 46.5% 47.5% 29.4% 21.4% 10.4% -0.8% -0.9% -7.0% -9.5% -10.7% -11.0% -0.3% -0.31%
OCF 5Y 4.7% 5.0% 7.4% 13.2% 16.4% 21.9% 21.1% 17.3% 19.0% 15.1% 14.7% 12.3% 9.2% 6.9% 15.6% 22.2% 25.2% 28.8% 21.7% 18.0% 18.03%
Assets 3Y -2.3% 4.0% 4.3% 7.1% 7.5% 6.8% 12.7% 13.1% 14.1% 14.4% 14.3% 21.1% 21.1% 13.9% 13.2% 11.8% 11.3% 11.5% 13.3% 14.2% 14.17%
Assets 5Y 1.2% 5.9% 5.9% 7.1% 6.5% 5.6% 5.1% 5.5% 5.8% 5.4% 5.4% 9.8% 10.0% 10.1% 13.8% 14.5% 14.5% 14.9% 15.5% 15.9% 15.93%
Equity 3Y -5.6% 3.0% 3.5% 6.1% 5.8% 5.9% 13.7% 14.2% 15.3% 14.4% 14.4% 15.6% 13.9% 3.9% 2.8% 1.6% 2.5% 2.7% 3.7% 4.7% 4.73%
Book Value 3Y -7.8% 1.6% 2.1% 5.4% 4.6% 6.1% 16.4% 17.6% 18.7% 18.1% 19.7% 23.9% 20.8% 10.3% 9.1% 4.6% 7.7% 5.7% 4.5% 3.2% 3.19%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.84 0.67 0.58 0.50 0.57 0.63 0.71 0.75 0.63 0.49 0.48 0.42 0.28 0.20 0.29 0.31 0.18 0.14 0.18 0.55 0.550
Earnings Stability 0.08 0.05 0.13 0.17 0.21 0.21 0.37 0.26 0.30 0.22 0.33 0.19 0.16 0.08 0.10 0.09 0.06 0.00 0.08 0.11 0.112
Margin Stability 0.55 0.65 0.74 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.75 0.77 0.78 0.77 0.72 0.57 0.65 0.72 0.70 0.57 0.64 0.72 0.72 0.724
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.87 0.87 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — 0.00 0.00 0.81 0.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.00 — 0.61 0.72 0.16 — 0.56 0.565
ROE Trend 0.22 0.43 0.44 0.51 0.49 0.21 0.09 -0.07 -0.11 -0.18 -0.20 -0.19 -0.22 -0.13 -0.16 -0.05 -0.03 -0.01 0.04 0.01 0.007
Gross Margin Trend 0.20 0.23 0.20 0.20 0.16 0.13 0.08 0.01 -0.04 -0.17 -0.26 -0.37 -0.54 -0.40 -0.21 -0.04 0.07 -0.01 -0.03 -0.01 -0.010
FCF Margin Trend 0.29 0.33 0.27 0.27 0.29 0.30 0.14 -0.02 -0.09 -0.15 -0.13 -0.04 -0.13 -0.34 -0.27 -0.23 -0.14 -0.00 -0.14 -0.22 -0.219
Sustainable Growth Rate 7.2% 32.9% 34.2% 44.3% 44.0% 22.4% 23.0% 11.9% 11.2% 6.5% 6.1% 5.1% 2.9% 1.4% — 3.3% 3.7% 3.2% 6.7% 4.9% 4.89%
Internal Growth Rate 5.1% 30.4% 31.4% 45.5% 44.4% 19.2% 19.6% 9.3% 8.4% 4.7% 4.3% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8% — 1.9% 2.1% 1.8% 3.7% 2.7% 2.72%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.46 0.54 0.65 0.65 0.78 1.48 1.43 2.03 1.99 3.18 3.00 3.65 5.49 10.02 -8.96 5.66 5.61 6.74 3.15 4.47 4.467
FCF/OCF 0.30 0.38 0.36 0.37 0.46 0.52 0.44 0.30 0.18 0.13 0.14 0.23 0.07 -0.39 -0.25 -0.19 -0.15 -0.09 -0.29 -0.36 -0.363
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -1.622
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.938
CapEx/Revenue 32.1% 28.0% 31.2% 30.2% 27.4% 25.1% 30.3% 36.7% 45.2% 52.2% 47.1% 44.4% 47.5% 58.9% 55.9% 53.6% 57.7% 57.5% 68.5% 73.2% 73.17%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 2.268
Accruals Ratio -0.07 0.11 0.08 0.11 0.07 -0.08 -0.07 -0.09 -0.08 -0.10 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.07 -0.11 -0.09 -0.09 -0.10 -0.08 -0.09 -0.092
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.152
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.734
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 22.1% 71.2% 82.6% 1.4% 1.1% 1.2% 96.2% 96.0% 1.3% 1.0% — 11.6% 11.8% 12.7% 3.4% 5.0% 4.95%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.0% 6.7% 13.7% 21.2% 17.2% 11.9% 8.0% 5.6% 4.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.23%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.0% 6.7% 13.7% 21.2% 17.2% 11.9% 8.0% 5.6% 0.9% -0.0% -2.5% -3.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.23%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.0% 6.7% 13.7% 21.2% 17.2% 11.9% 8.0% 5.6% 0.9% -0.0% -2.5% -3.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.23%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.75 0.75 0.72 0.68 0.66 0.89 0.71 0.72 0.70 0.73 0.72 0.716
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.80 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.96 0.96 0.91 0.88 0.82 0.80 0.77 0.61 0.40 -1.58 0.55 0.59 0.56 0.72 0.67 0.672
EBIT Margin 0.30 1.13 1.01 0.98 0.87 0.48 0.52 0.37 0.41 0.31 0.30 0.28 0.22 0.16 0.04 0.20 0.21 0.20 0.32 0.25 0.250
Asset Turnover 0.26 0.28 0.32 0.42 0.47 0.46 0.44 0.33 0.28 0.24 0.23 0.20 0.19 0.20 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.21 0.22 0.221
Equity Multiplier 1.49 1.41 1.43 1.42 1.43 1.39 1.41 1.40 1.44 1.45 1.47 1.60 1.62 1.64 1.68 1.77 1.78 1.81 1.86 1.84 1.843
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.38 $2.06 $2.16 $2.98 $3.02 $1.82 $2.00 $1.09 $1.01 $0.59 $0.58 $0.50 $0.27 $0.13 $-0.18 $0.30 $0.36 $0.31 $0.66 $0.47 $0.47
Book Value/Share $5.50 $7.31 $7.42 $8.10 $8.06 $8.40 $8.88 $8.96 $9.02 $9.10 $9.49 $10.05 $9.69 $9.80 $9.63 $9.28 $10.07 $9.93 $10.13 $9.84 $10.52
Tangible Book/Share $5.48 $7.30 $7.40 $8.09 $8.04 $8.38 $8.85 $8.93 $8.99 $9.07 $9.45 $10.02 $9.66 $9.77 $9.59 $9.26 $9.93 $9.80 $10.00 $9.72 $9.72
Revenue/Share $2.04 $2.47 $2.89 $4.03 $4.64 $5.18 $5.33 $4.21 $3.65 $3.17 $3.18 $3.16 $2.93 $3.08 $3.66 $3.75 $4.05 $3.99 $3.89 $3.90 $4.18
FCF/Share $0.28 $0.43 $0.51 $0.72 $1.09 $1.40 $1.25 $0.66 $0.36 $0.24 $0.23 $0.42 $0.11 $-0.51 $-0.41 $-0.31 $-0.31 $-0.20 $-0.60 $-0.76 $-0.82
OCF/Share $0.93 $1.12 $1.41 $1.93 $2.36 $2.70 $2.86 $2.21 $2.01 $1.89 $1.73 $1.82 $1.50 $1.30 $1.64 $1.69 $2.03 $2.10 $2.06 $2.09 $2.24
Cash/Share $0.15 $0.13 $0.03 $0.23 $0.28 $0.26 $0.06 $0.02 $0.24 $0.11 $0.12 $0.12 $0.07 $0.12 $0.28 $0.41 $0.11 $0.10 $0.19 $0.28 $0.30
EBITDA/Share $1.14 $3.33 $3.47 $4.58 $4.69 $3.21 $3.54 $2.33 $2.30 $1.84 $1.92 $1.96 $1.80 $1.69 $1.44 $2.03 $2.21 $2.13 $2.58 $2.23 $2.23
Debt/Share $0.97 $0.84 $0.59 $0.62 $0.67 $1.04 $1.13 $1.50 $1.58 $2.07 $2.37 $4.71 $4.57 $4.18 $4.30 $4.25 $4.97 $5.17 $4.92 $5.42 $5.42
Net Debt/Share $0.82 $0.71 $0.56 $0.39 $0.38 $0.77 $1.07 $1.48 $1.34 $1.96 $2.26 $4.59 $4.49 $4.06 $4.02 $3.84 $4.86 $5.06 $4.73 $5.14 $5.14
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.785
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.464
Piotroski F-Score 8 7 6 8 7 6 6 4 5 4 4 4 4 5 4 6 7 5 6 6 6
Beneish M-Score -1.69 -0.82 -0.83 0.76 -1.07 -1.99 -2.71 -3.29 -3.18 -2.66 -2.11 2.38 -15.16 -2.56 -2.74 -2.73 -1.62 -2.26 -2.72 -2.76 -2.758
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.650
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 6.50%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-7.64
EVA snapshot only $-198091694.18
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B+
Credit Score 53.36 83.94 83.28 87.14 86.30 81.64 81.18 69.26 64.58 59.19 47.27 39.29 34.51 30.74 26.63 33.41 33.80 31.20 39.49 30.22 30.217
Credit Grade snapshot only 14
Credit Trend snapshot only -3.192
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 650.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 21
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 20

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms