ABG NYSE
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.
1W: +1.9%
1M: -6.5%
3M: -28.1%
YTD: -26.2%
1Y: -28.1%
3Y: -16.4%
5Y: -18.4%
$194.99
+22.03 (+12.74%)
After Hours: $194.90 (-0.09, -0.05%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.8%
$152
$163
$173
$183
$193
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 64% of companies Debt: 64.0% of company value Bonds: $433.6M held by 256 funds, 129 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $17.71 (down 90%), Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $5.53B against a stock market value of $3.10B.
Distance to default 3.91 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $3.79B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 33.7%; Altman Z 2.52. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $17.71 (down 90%), Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $5.53B against a stock market value of $3.10B.
Distance to default 3.91 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $3.79B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 33.7%; Altman Z 2.52. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Cash Flow
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Analysis
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Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+18.3% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+17.5% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+18.3%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+17.5%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-16.9%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
64%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛈️
+1.0%
Midterm
⛅
+2.2%
45% win
50% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+3.5%
Midterm
☀️
+7.5%
60% win
48% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+4.5%
Midterm
☀️
+6.6%
60% win
62% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+14.7%
Midterm
☀️
+17.5%
75% win
60% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
+14.8%
Midterm
☀️
+14.6%
45% win
46% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
+12.7%
Midterm
☀️
+10.3%
50% win
43% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+21.7%
Midterm
☀️
+15.0%
65% win
48% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
+19.3%
Midterm
☀️
+15.4%
50% win
40% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+19.0%
Midterm
☀️
+12.2%
50% win
39% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+14.9%
Midterm
☀️
+18.4%
48% win
64% vol
Now:
+13.2%
Nov
20yr
💨
+19.3%
Midterm
☀️
+27.9%
70% win
57% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+2.3%
Midterm
⛅
+2.0%
60% win
53% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -16.9%