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ADES NASDAQ

Advanced Emissions Solutions, Inc.
1W: -1.7% 1M: +6.6% 3M: +18.2% 1Y: +10.8% 3Y: -42.1% 5Y: -69.3%
$3.36
Last traded 2024-02-28 — delisted
NASDAQ · Industrials · Industrial - Pollution & Treatment Controls · $111.7M mcap · 24M float · 0.443% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
43.7 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: -23.8%  ·  5Y Avg: 0.7%
Cost Advantage ★
61
Intangibles
25
Switching Cost
47
Network Effect
35
Scale
55
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. ADES shows a Weak competitive edge (43.7/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. Negative ROIC of -23.8% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 5Hold: 2Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 25 Grade D
Profitability
12
Balance Sheet
52
Earnings Quality
26
Growth
34
Value
33
Momentum
36
Safety
50
Cash Flow
20
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. ADES scores highest in Balance Sheet (52/100) and lowest in Profitability (12/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.91
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-3.40
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.36
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 39.7/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 0.00x
Accruals: -20.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. ADES scores 1.91, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. ADES scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. ADES's score of -3.40 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. ADES's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. ADES receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 39.7/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-2.67x
PEG
-0.00x
P/S
0.91x
P/B
0.84x
P/FCF
578.47x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
-3.92x
EV/Revenue
1.22x
EV/EBIT
-143.79x
EV/FCF
612.57x
Earnings Yield
-36.72%
FCF Yield
0.17%
Shareholder Yield
0.11%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. ADES currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.000
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
49.850
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.008
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.477
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.344
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-27.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. ADES's ROE of -27.1% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.477), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.00 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$3.38
Median 1Y
$2.52
5th Pctile
$0.89
95th Pctile
$7.13
Ann. Volatility
62.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE -4.7% 36.6% 48.8% 52.0% 36.1% 22.6% 2.1% -4.2% -7.0% -11.7% -11.8% -7.7% -1.6% 3.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% -27.3% -27.8% -27.1% -27.15%
ROA -3.0% 24.5% 32.6% 36.4% 26.4% 17.2% 1.6% -3.3% -5.2% -9.0% -9.0% -5.9% -1.2% 2.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% -20.4% -20.8% -20.2% -20.19%
ROIC 30.5% -0.4% 4.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.6% -11.9% -9.7% -10.6% -12.0% -11.6% -7.7% -1.5% 8.1% 7.9% 1.7% 0.7% -24.5% -25.0% -23.8% -23.76%
ROCE 46.9% 75.7% 77.4% 47.6% 34.1% 20.4% 1.3% -5.3% -5.7% -8.1% -7.7% -4.1% -0.0% 2.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.5% -0.5% -1.4% -0.6% -0.56%
Gross Margin 40.9% 32.3% 37.8% 28.9% 18.5% 19.5% 24.1% 25.4% 17.4% 25.0% 30.6% 49.8% 38.6% 36.7% 36.4% 33.3% 28.8% 13.6% 34.2% 38.5% 38.52%
Operating Margin 1.6% 2.2% 11.4% 2.6% -12.6% -1.0% -9.2% -14.4% -50.6% -29.8% -8.5% 11.0% 5.8% 11.6% 2.4% -5.4% -2.4% -1.7% -3.4% -0.2% -0.23%
Net Margin 65.1% 84.5% 84.1% 19.0% -10.3% 8.4% -7.6% -13.5% -36.1% -28.6% -7.3% 11.7% 4.7% 11.3% 0.7% -7.5% -1.9% -1.7% -2.9% -2.5% -2.45%
EBITDA Margin 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 30.4% -5.5% 5.5% -2.2% -5.3% -36.4% -12.7% 4.4% 27.0% 13.6% -20.5% 10.4% 3.3% 10.5% -1.6% 5.5% 11.6% 11.63%
FCF Margin 80.2% 52.8% 42.1% 19.7% -0.1% 4.6% -4.8% -14.5% -38.0% -48.8% -50.1% -44.5% 2.8% 38.0% 40.3% 45.2% 28.6% -2.3% 1.9% 0.2% 0.20%
OCF Margin 89.7% 61.8% 50.3% 25.9% 5.8% 8.7% 1.5% -5.9% -26.6% -31.1% -29.2% -16.8% 1.6% 11.9% 7.4% 4.1% 7.8% -2.3% 2.6% -0.1% -0.09%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -12.16%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 0.05%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -8.84%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -9.16%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -23.76%
Cash ROA snapshot only -0.05%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -0.06%
CROIC snapshot only 0.14%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -33.99%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -42.32%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 4.62%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 20.04%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 3.10%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio -21.49 3.82 2.15 2.03 2.60 2.94 16.74 -7.51 -4.38 -2.72 -3.03 -8.02 -40.51 19.69 16.78 44.65 161.27 -2.68 -2.63 -2.72 -2.667
P/S Ratio 1.43 1.74 1.34 1.22 1.08 0.78 0.46 0.44 0.48 0.55 0.60 0.99 1.12 0.99 1.19 1.16 1.16 1.17 1.15 1.15 0.905
P/B Ratio 1.01 1.17 0.84 0.83 0.79 0.60 0.35 0.32 0.29 0.29 0.32 0.55 0.58 0.56 0.66 0.65 0.65 0.84 0.84 0.85 0.841
P/FCF 1.78 3.29 3.19 6.18 -1226.88 17.02 -9.50 -2.99 -1.27 -1.12 -1.20 -2.22 39.86 2.60 2.96 2.56 4.05 -51.58 61.60 578.47 578.475
P/OCF 1.59 2.81 2.67 4.71 18.56 9.02 30.35 — — — — — 69.77 8.29 16.20 28.57 14.88 — 44.96 — —
EV/EBITDA 1.33 1.00 0.48 0.75 0.75 0.48 -1.47 8.70 -1.36 -2.07 -3.59 -68.54 8.84 16.12 16.60 63.78 119.79 -3.61 -3.55 -3.92 -3.916
EV/Revenue 1.19 1.38 0.72 0.64 0.45 0.18 -0.11 -0.17 0.11 0.27 0.38 0.85 0.86 0.97 1.23 1.18 1.18 1.19 1.19 1.22 1.221
EV/EBIT 1.53 1.09 0.52 0.83 0.85 0.58 -6.14 2.03 -0.90 -1.47 -2.26 -9.63 -2081.91 16.93 16.27 44.48 126.77 -152.43 -56.30 -143.79 -143.791
EV/FCF 1.48 2.61 1.71 3.24 -507.74 3.81 2.38 1.14 -0.30 -0.55 -0.76 -1.91 30.82 2.55 3.04 2.62 4.14 -52.65 63.60 612.57 612.572
Earnings Yield -4.7% 26.2% 46.6% 49.3% 38.5% 34.0% 6.0% -13.3% -22.8% -36.7% -33.0% -12.5% -2.5% 5.1% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6% -37.4% -38.0% -36.7% -36.72%
FCF Yield 56.2% 30.4% 31.3% 16.2% -0.1% 5.9% -10.5% -33.4% -78.5% -89.2% -83.5% -45.0% 2.5% 38.5% 33.8% 39.0% 24.7% -1.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.17%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.846
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 4.239
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.11%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.95 2.80 4.15 4.79 5.88 5.49 4.47 4.42 5.22 4.16 4.15 3.75 2.89 1.17 1.12 1.10 1.10 1.04 1.02 1.03 1.027
Quick Ratio 1.72 2.50 3.92 4.44 5.33 4.90 3.87 3.68 4.22 3.20 3.31 2.90 2.28 0.74 0.62 0.65 0.71 0.66 0.58 0.61 0.605
Debt/Equity 0.19 0.11 0.08 0.07 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.03 0.20 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.09 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.055
Net Debt/Equity -0.17 -0.24 -0.39 -0.40 -0.46 -0.47 -0.44 -0.44 -0.22 -0.15 -0.12 -0.08 -0.13 -0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.050
Debt/Assets 0.13 0.08 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.03 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.07 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.040
Debt/EBITDA 0.31 0.12 0.09 0.12 0.21 0.34 1.48 -2.34 -3.95 -2.73 -3.18 -25.72 1.80 1.49 1.19 4.52 8.27 -0.24 -0.23 -0.24 -0.242
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.27 -0.26 -0.42 -0.68 -1.06 -1.67 -7.34 31.62 4.47 2.16 2.04 11.04 -2.59 -0.34 0.48 1.43 2.40 -0.07 -0.11 -0.22 -0.218
Interest Coverage 15.42 32.32 53.30 52.06 75.17 99.08 6.20 -24.92 -15.48 -11.08 -7.17 -2.92 -0.03 1.44 1.83 0.62 0.30 -0.69 -38.04 -0.74 -0.743
Equity Multiplier 1.53 1.36 1.29 1.26 1.26 1.27 1.30 1.29 1.45 1.34 1.32 1.32 1.28 1.31 1.30 1.31 1.28 1.37 1.38 1.39 1.385
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.020
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -27.292
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.097
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.026
Defensive Interval snapshot only 86.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.45 0.54 0.52 0.60 0.63 0.65 0.60 0.56 0.47 0.45 0.45 0.48 0.44 0.48 0.47 0.47 0.44 0.47 0.47 0.48 0.477
Inventory Turnover 4.22 4.25 6.81 7.40 8.15 8.01 8.15 6.27 4.99 4.07 4.18 3.59 3.69 3.57 3.58 3.81 4.72 4.93 4.25 4.37 4.374
Receivables Turnover 6.03 4.43 5.28 6.33 7.63 7.94 6.61 7.11 8.44 8.11 6.72 6.60 8.49 9.79 8.16 7.64 7.85 8.06 7.80 6.94 6.939
Payables Turnover 5.57 6.71 6.53 5.39 8.66 7.28 6.11 4.94 7.06 4.75 4.33 4.38 11.68 9.46 10.33 10.56 — — — — —
DSO 61 82 69 58 48 46 55 51 43 45 54 55 43 37 45 48 47 45 47 53 52.6 days
DIO 87 86 54 49 45 46 45 58 73 90 87 102 99 102 102 96 77 74 86 83 83.4 days
DPO 66 54 56 68 42 50 60 74 52 77 84 83 31 39 35 35 0 0 0 0 —
Cash Conversion Cycle 82 114 67 39 50 41 40 36 65 58 57 74 111 101 111 109 124 119 133 136 —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.888
Operating Cycle snapshot only 136.0 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 136.248
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.888
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 11.7% 33.3% 48.4% 62.9% 50.0% 40.9% 25.4% 2.7% -7.8% -15.9% -14.3% -3.7% 16.2% 32.4% 27.7% 22.2% 7.4% -2.4% 1.2% 1.9% 1.86%
Net Income -1.2% 3.8% 5.7% 4.0% 10.4% -17.6% -94.5% -1.1% -1.2% -1.6% -7.2% -1.1% 70.9% 1.3% 1.5% 1.3% 1.3% -9.5% -7.3% -17.6% -17.63%
EPS -1.2% 3.8% 5.6% 3.9% 10.4% -18.0% -94.5% -1.1% -1.2% -1.4% -4.6% -14.8% 81.6% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% -8.4% -7.4% -17.4% -17.40%
FCF 9.8% -12.8% -14.4% -58.6% -1.0% -87.7% -1.1% -1.8% -396.4% -9.9% -7.9% -1.9% 1.1% 2.0% 2.0% 2.2% 9.9% -1.1% -95.3% -99.6% -99.55%
EBITDA -32.4% 97.5% 1.7% 95.0% -0.2% -62.7% -93.4% -1.0% -1.1% -1.3% -2.2% 36.9% 2.4% 1.6% 1.9% 2.8% -89.2% -6.4% -5.6% -18.1% -18.10%
Op. Income -60.2% 98.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 2.0% -2.0% -3.0% -15.1% -45.2% -3.2% -67.5% 79.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% -9.6% -6.8% -12.3% -12.34%
OCF Growth snapshot only -1.02%
Asset Growth snapshot only -18.11%
Equity Growth snapshot only -22.40%
Debt Growth snapshot only -8.62%
Shares Change snapshot only 1.43%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 29.8% 92.5% 85.1% 61.2% 38.9% 29.8% 19.5% 13.7% 15.6% 16.5% 16.8% 17.2% 17.1% 16.2% 11.1% 6.5% 4.8% 2.8% 3.5% 6.2% 6.22%
Revenue 5Y 2.1% 6.5% 7.9% 14.6% 24.2% 16.2% 23.3% 23.6% 24.8% 53.3% 46.8% 32.9% 23.5% 19.5% 13.3% 11.6% 14.0% 15.4% 15.6% 14.9% 14.92%
EPS 3Y — 3.3% 18.7% 19.4% 1.6% -5.7% -55.3% — — — — — — -55.5% -59.2% -71.5% -79.4% — — — —
EPS 5Y — 1.4% 28.6% -5.5% -12.0% -18.9% -48.7% — — — — — — -38.2% -35.6% -47.9% -54.5% — — — —
Net Income 3Y — 0.1% 15.9% 19.6% 1.4% -5.6% -55.1% — — — — — — -44.3% -46.2% -62.7% -72.9% — — — —
Net Income 5Y — 1.3% 24.1% -9.0% -15.3% -21.6% -49.9% — — — — — — -29.3% -23.8% -38.4% -46.1% — — — —
EBITDA 3Y 7.4% 25.2% 33.6% 20.6% 2.5% -13.1% -49.2% — — — — — -44.0% -59.1% -59.1% -70.3% -73.3% — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — 62.7% 37.0% 16.9% 6.6% -2.8% -28.3% — — — — — -28.3% -34.5% -32.9% -54.2% -58.1% — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y 63.7% 56.6% 45.0% 25.2% 16.5% 15.2% 4.5% 2.9% 9.5% 8.3% 18.7% 23.4% 18.9% 20.8% 13.1% 8.3% 9.6% 4.4% 9.7% 16.4% 16.43%
Gross Profit 5Y 11.8% 10.4% 15.0% 26.2% 33.6% 36.4% 44.4% 42.7% 30.3% 25.0% 16.7% 12.5% 16.3% 19.9% 16.8% 16.4% 20.3% 14.6% 18.7% 15.9% 15.95%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 18.5% -1.2% 15.2% — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — -36.6% — — — — — — -61.7% 4.2% 9.5% 40.4% — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — -6.8% 18.6% 6.6% 0.1% -7.6% — -44.4% -65.1% -65.14%
OCF 3Y — — — — 0.9% -26.4% -65.9% — — — — — -69.4% -32.9% -41.5% -42.6% 15.4% — 23.6% — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — -21.3% -9.4% -26.7% -39.8% -30.8% — -42.4% — —
Assets 3Y 22.3% 23.1% 29.8% 5.1% -2.2% -0.6% 1.2% 1.4% 13.5% 20.6% 14.0% 17.1% 22.7% 21.5% 16.0% 15.3% 15.2% 7.9% 7.8% 8.8% 8.75%
Assets 5Y 29.5% 34.1% 35.0% 11.6% 11.6% 14.3% 15.8% 17.0% 23.1% 22.5% 22.6% 8.1% 7.6% 8.7% 9.7% 10.4% 11.7% 11.6% 8.3% 9.7% 9.70%
Equity 3Y 8.7% 13.0% 21.0% 29.4% 10.9% 10.3% 10.0% 8.9% 16.6% 30.3% 27.4% 27.9% 30.1% 23.2% 15.7% 13.7% 14.6% 5.1% 5.6% 6.3% 6.32%
Book Value 3Y 13.0% 16.6% 24.0% 29.3% 11.1% 10.1% 9.7% 7.9% 6.1% 13.3% 5.6% 5.1% 2.4% -1.6% -12.4% -13.1% -12.8% -19.8% -19.5% -19.2% -19.24%
Dividend 3Y -69.5% -73.3% -76.5% -73.5% -37.3% -41.7% -26.5% -22.2% -44.9% — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.07 0.19 0.22 0.47 0.83 0.71 0.89 0.88 0.91 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.90 0.84 0.81 0.85 0.86 0.76 0.79 0.91 0.906
Earnings Stability 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.20 0.37 0.35 0.40 0.07 0.23 0.25 0.29 0.21 0.34 0.14 0.14 0.12 0.14 0.30 0.31 0.24 0.238
Margin Stability 0.58 0.62 0.45 0.44 0.65 0.64 0.58 0.63 0.74 0.53 0.37 0.46 0.70 0.78 0.76 0.82 0.80 0.80 0.75 0.82 0.816
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — 0.81 0.00 — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend -0.34 0.23 0.30 0.37 0.23 0.13 -0.10 -0.13 -0.20 -0.36 -0.31 -0.25 -0.13 -0.02 0.08 0.07 0.04 -0.27 -0.29 -0.28 -0.284
Gross Margin Trend -0.02 0.01 0.09 0.06 -0.01 -0.05 -0.08 -0.09 -0.10 -0.07 -0.05 0.04 0.11 0.14 0.16 0.09 0.04 -0.03 -0.05 -0.05 -0.055
FCF Margin Trend 0.34 -0.07 -0.22 -0.58 -0.81 -0.62 -0.62 -0.63 -0.78 -0.77 -0.69 -0.47 0.22 0.60 0.68 0.75 0.46 0.03 0.07 -0.00 -0.001
Sustainable Growth Rate — 36.3% 48.7% 51.9% 36.0% 22.5% 2.1% — — — — — — 3.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — 32.1% 48.2% 57.0% 35.7% 20.7% 1.6% — — — — — — 2.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -13.51 1.36 0.80 0.43 0.14 0.33 0.55 1.01 2.41 1.55 1.47 1.36 -0.58 2.37 1.04 1.56 10.84 0.05 -0.06 0.00 0.002
FCF/OCF 0.89 0.85 0.84 0.76 -0.02 0.53 -3.19 2.47 1.43 1.57 1.72 2.65 1.75 3.19 5.48 11.15 3.67 1.00 0.73 -2.18 -2.177
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.005
CapEx/Revenue 9.5% 9.0% 8.2% 6.2% 5.9% 4.1% 6.3% 8.7% 11.4% 17.6% 20.9% 27.7% 1.2% 26.1% 32.9% 41.1% 20.8% 0.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.29%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.027
Accruals Ratio -0.44 -0.09 0.06 0.21 0.23 0.12 0.01 0.00 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.19 -0.22 -0.20 -0.201
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.064
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -0.315
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.03 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 1.5% — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.5% — 0.9% — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio — 1.8% 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 14.5% — — — — — — 16.6% 11.9% 31.9% 2.5% — — — —
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number -0.97 -0.98 -0.99 -0.98 -0.75 -0.80 -0.60 -0.52 -0.78 — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.11%
Net Buyback Yield -10.4% -7.6% -8.9% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% -32.0% -29.6% -28.3% -16.3% -20.2% -20.2% -16.4% -16.9% -0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.11%
Total Shareholder Return -9.9% -7.4% -8.8% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% -32.0% -29.6% -28.3% -16.3% -20.2% -20.2% -16.4% -16.9% -0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.11%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) -0.78 0.70 0.74 0.79 0.80 0.89 1.74 0.69 0.81 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.06 2.81 1.87 -3.05 -0.26 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.11 0.51 0.61 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.84 1.04 1.09 1.11 1.16 1.38 62.51 0.31 0.50 -0.32 -2.92 55.78 20.74 49.85 49.850
EBIT Margin 0.78 1.27 1.38 0.77 0.53 0.30 0.02 -0.08 -0.12 -0.18 -0.17 -0.09 -0.00 0.06 0.08 0.03 0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.008
Asset Turnover 0.45 0.54 0.52 0.60 0.63 0.65 0.60 0.56 0.47 0.45 0.45 0.48 0.44 0.48 0.47 0.47 0.44 0.47 0.47 0.48 0.477
Equity Multiplier 1.55 1.49 1.50 1.43 1.37 1.31 1.29 1.28 1.36 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.35 1.32 1.31 1.32 1.28 1.34 1.34 1.34 1.344
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.26 $1.94 $2.98 $3.27 $2.39 $1.59 $0.16 $-0.32 $-0.45 $-0.68 $-0.59 $-0.37 $-0.08 $0.17 $0.20 $0.08 $0.02 $-1.26 $-1.29 $-1.24 $-1.24
Book Value/Share $5.43 $6.32 $7.63 $7.97 $7.87 $7.82 $7.71 $7.59 $6.78 $6.39 $5.48 $5.41 $5.83 $6.03 $5.13 $5.22 $5.22 $4.03 $4.02 $4.00 $4.00
Tangible Book/Share $5.33 $6.23 $7.55 $7.90 $7.81 $7.77 $7.66 $7.54 $6.43 $6.09 $5.23 $5.17 $5.83 $6.03 $5.13 $5.22 $5.22 $4.03 $4.02 $4.00 $4.00
Revenue/Share $3.85 $4.27 $4.76 $5.42 $5.76 $5.99 $5.97 $5.58 $4.10 $3.40 $2.97 $3.01 $3.02 $3.42 $2.84 $2.92 $2.92 $2.89 $2.93 $2.93 $2.93
FCF/Share $3.09 $2.25 $2.00 $1.07 $-0.01 $0.28 $-0.29 $-0.81 $-1.55 $-1.66 $-1.49 $-1.34 $0.08 $1.30 $1.14 $1.32 $0.83 $-0.07 $0.05 $0.01 $0.01
OCF/Share $3.46 $2.64 $2.39 $1.41 $0.34 $0.52 $0.09 $-0.33 $-1.09 $-1.06 $-0.87 $-0.51 $0.05 $0.41 $0.21 $0.12 $0.23 $-0.07 $0.08 $-0.00 $-0.00
Cash/Share $1.98 $2.25 $3.58 $3.72 $4.35 $4.37 $4.10 $3.60 $2.86 $2.15 $1.65 $1.38 $1.30 $0.37 $0.15 $0.17 $0.17 $0.16 $0.11 $0.02 $0.02
EBITDA/Share $3.45 $5.87 $7.06 $4.62 $3.43 $2.18 $0.47 $-0.11 $-0.34 $-0.44 $-0.32 $-0.04 $0.30 $0.21 $0.21 $0.05 $0.03 $-0.95 $-0.98 $-0.91 $-0.91
Debt/Share $1.06 $0.71 $0.61 $0.57 $0.70 $0.73 $0.69 $0.25 $1.34 $1.20 $1.01 $0.96 $0.53 $0.30 $0.25 $0.25 $0.24 $0.23 $0.22 $0.22 $0.22
Net Debt/Share $-0.93 $-1.54 $-2.97 $-3.15 $-3.65 $-3.64 $-3.41 $-3.35 $-1.52 $-0.95 $-0.65 $-0.41 $-0.77 $-0.07 $0.10 $0.08 $0.07 $0.07 $0.11 $0.20 $0.20
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.913
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 2.484
Piotroski F-Score 6 7 7 6 6 5 5 3 0 1 1 1 6 7 7 6 6 2 4 3 3
Beneish M-Score -4.42 -2.60 -2.15 -1.32 -1.05 -1.83 -2.61 -2.42 -2.45 -2.59 -2.30 -2.53 -2.00 -2.07 -2.25 -2.07 -2.49 -2.81 -3.65 -3.40 -3.404
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.363
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -0.75%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-0.42
EVA snapshot only $-59621750.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 87.52 97.16 97.22 96.86 92.11 95.48 69.20 47.66 40.74 40.48 41.15 47.29 49.98 58.49 61.56 51.91 49.43 37.68 45.98 39.74 39.741
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only -12.165
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 37
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 24

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