ADT Smart Money
ADT Inc.
1W: +1.3%
1M: +11.2%
3M: -7.2%
YTD: -14.1%
1Y: -21.0%
3Y: +17.6%
5Y: -10.1%
$6.87
-0.01 (-0.15%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.4%
$6
$7
$7
$7
$8
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 52% of companies Debt: 60.5% of company value Bonds: $170.3M held by 234 funds, 167 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.48 (down 93%), ADT Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $7.69B against a stock market value of $5.02B.
Distance to default 4.91 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $3.96B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 29.6%; Altman Z 0.57. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.48 (down 93%), ADT Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $7.69B against a stock market value of $5.02B.
Distance to default 4.91 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $3.96B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 29.6%; Altman Z 0.57. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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🏦 Institutional Activity
Latest: Q2 2026530
Institutions Holding
-9 vs prior
89.0%
Ownership
-8.76%
84
New
211
Increased
200
Reduced
71
Closed
👔 Insider Trades
25 records| Date | Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Smith Paul Joseph | director | A-Grant/Award | 235 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-01 | Miller Kimberly | officer: evp, cmo & comm. officer | A-Grant/Award | 466 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-01 | Houston Daniel Joseph | director | A-Grant/Award | 235 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-01 | Griffin Tracey R. | director | A-Grant/Award | 235 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-01 | Gartland Thomas M | director | A-Grant/Award | 235 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-01 | Dernberger Todd | officer: evp and chief growth officer | A-Grant/Award | 112 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-01 | Ahmad Fawad | officer: evp, chief oper and cust. off. | A-Grant/Award | 1,904 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-01 | Zarmi Sigal | director | A-Grant/Award | 235 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-01 | Yoon Suzanne | director | A-Grant/Award | 235 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-01 | Winter Matthew E | director | A-Grant/Award | 235 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-01 | Tiedt Danielle | director | A-Grant/Award | 235 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-07 | Tiedt Danielle | director | A-Grant/Award | 210 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-07 | Smith Paul Joseph | director | A-Grant/Award | 210 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-07 | Winter Matthew E | director | A-Grant/Award | 210 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-07 | Griffin Tracey R. | director | A-Grant/Award | 210 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-07 | Houston Daniel Joseph | director | A-Grant/Award | 210 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-07 | Gartland Thomas M | director | A-Grant/Award | 210 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-07 | Miller Kimberly | officer: evp, cmo & comm. officer | A-Grant/Award | 417 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-07 | Dernberger Todd | officer: evp and chief growth officer | A-Grant/Award | 100 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-07 | Ahmad Fawad | officer: evp, chief oper and cust. off. | A-Grant/Award | 1,703 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-07 | Zarmi Sigal | director | A-Grant/Award | 210 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-07 | Yoon Suzanne | director | A-Grant/Award | 210 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-29 | Likosar Jeffrey | officer: pres corp dev & trans. & cfo | P-Purchase | 15,000 | $6.75 | $101K | Filing |
| 2026-05-27 | Gartland Thomas M | director | A-Grant/Award | 26,354 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-27 | Smith Paul Joseph | director | A-Grant/Award | 26,354 | $— | $0 | Filing |
🏛️ Congressional Trades
25 records| Date | Politician | Chamber | Type | Amount | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-04-11 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2016-04-11 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2016-04-07 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2016-04-07 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2016-04-05 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2016-04-05 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2016-02-23 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2016-02-23 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2016-02-23 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2016-02-23 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2016-02-23 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2016-02-23 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2016-02-23 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2016-02-23 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2016-02-19 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2016-02-19 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2016-02-19 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2016-02-19 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2016-02-19 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2016-02-19 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2016-02-19 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2016-02-19 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2016-02-18 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2016-02-18 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2016-02-18 | David Perdue | Senate | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
🏦 Top Institutional Holders
20 holders| Holder | Shares | Value | Date Reported | Filing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STATE FARM MUTUAL AUTOMOBILE INSURANCE C | 133,333,333 | $867M | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 72,164,639 | $469M | +9,407,174 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 49,552,024 | $322M | +3,784,072 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 43,246,525 | $281M | +3,359,237 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 28,106,229 | $181M | -5,440,717 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 26,231,219 | $171M | +3,914,646 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STATE STREET CORP | 20,693,604 | $136M | +1,730,135 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| NORGES BANK | 19,697,105 | $128M | +19,697,105 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INC | 18,917,144 | $123M | +6,317,826 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| ARIEL INVESTMENTS, LLC | 17,858,375 | $116M | -1,616,677 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P. | 17,525,035 | $115M | +1,100,050 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 12,369,869 | $80M | +1,267,799 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| WASATCH ADVISORS LP | 8,427,968 | $55M | +1,382,292 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 7,868,556 | $51M | +2,009,949 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Pacer Advisors, Inc. | 6,763,930 | $44M | +110,670 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Gotham Asset Management, LLC | 6,752,532 | $44M | +5,829,231 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 6,438,156 | $42M | +412,657 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| UBS Group AG | 5,973,802 | $39M | -596,517 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS | 5,697,972 | $37M | +4,944,118 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| FMR LLC | 5,626,638 | $37M | +632,884 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |