ADTN NASDAQ
ADTRAN Holdings Inc.
1W: +1.9%
1M: -8.1%
3M: -27.3%
YTD: -24.5%
1Y: -32.9%
3Y: -7.2%
5Y: -62.2%
$6.88
+0.33 (+5.04%)
After Hours: $6.81 (-0.07, -0.94%)
Weekly Expected Move ±7.0%
$6
$6
$6
$7
$7
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 77% of companies Debt: 31.3% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the third-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 140 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.32 (down 95%), ADTRAN Holdings Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $242.7M against a stock market value of $533.7M.
Distance to default 2.88 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $109.4M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 68.4%; Altman Z 0.92. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.32 (down 95%), ADTRAN Holdings Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $242.7M against a stock market value of $533.7M.
Distance to default 2.88 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $109.4M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 68.4%; Altman Z 0.92. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
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Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
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Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
🌧️
Rainy
-4.6% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-6.0% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
-4.6%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-6.0%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-20.7%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
47%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+1.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-8.6%
55% win
42% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+1.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.5%
55% win
35% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
-1.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-8.3%
30% win
50% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
-0.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-10.5%
45% win
51% vol
May
20yr
💨
+3.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-9.7%
65% win
44% vol
Jun
20yr
🌫️
+3.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-11.5%
45% win
38% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+4.3%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.0%
60% win
46% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
+1.4%
Midterm
☁️
+0.5%
30% win
45% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
-0.8%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.1%
40% win
42% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
-4.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.8%
43% win
47% vol
Now:
+0.6%
Nov
20yr
💨
-3.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-10.1%
45% win
52% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+4.7%
Midterm
⛅
+0.7%
65% win
37% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -20.7%