AER NYSE
AerCap Holdings N.V.
1W: +3.9%
1M: +2.5%
3M: +1.3%
YTD: +4.1%
1Y: +23.4%
3Y: +162.7%
5Y: +153.7%
$150.05
+2.17 (+1.47%)
Pre-Market: $151.26 (+1.21, +0.81%)
Weekly Expected Move ±2.8%
$138
$142
$146
$150
$154
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 52% of companies Debt: 64.5% of company value Bonds: $1.65B held by 782 funds, 80 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
If the stock fell to about $10.80 (down 93%), AerCap Holdings N.V. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $42.77B against a stock market value of $23.59B.
Distance to default 5.27 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $21.39B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 26.8%; Altman Z'' 1.54. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Total debt $42.77B against a stock market value of $23.59B.
Distance to default 5.27 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $21.39B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 26.8%; Altman Z'' 1.54. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Overview
Chart
Smart Money
Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+15.5% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛅
Partly Cloudy
+3.8% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛅
Partly Cloudy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+15.5%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+3.8%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+4.1%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
39%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+2.9%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.6%
55% win
66% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+2.7%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.8%
65% win
40% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+3.1%
Midterm
⛅
+4.4%
45% win
70% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+9.4%
Midterm
☀️
+10.0%
75% win
48% vol
May
20yr
💨
+12.9%
Midterm
☀️
+8.7%
60% win
43% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
+10.6%
Midterm
☁️
+0.6%
45% win
39% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+12.8%
Midterm
☀️
+9.2%
75% win
38% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+14.4%
Midterm
⛅
+4.7%
55% win
38% vol
Sep
20yr
🌧️
+13.6%
Midterm
⛅
+2.8%
40% win
35% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+15.8%
Midterm
☀️
+6.9%
65% win
39% vol
Now:
+4.6%
Nov
20yr
💨
+17.8%
Midterm
☀️
+13.0%
65% win
65% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+3.9%
Midterm
🌧️
-6.3%
55% win
52% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +4.1%