— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 0HB7.L (LSE)

AGFS NASDAQ

AgroFresh Solutions, Inc.
1W: +0.0% 1M: +0.7% 3M: +1.7% 1Y: +59.6% 3Y: +63.0% 5Y: -59.4%
$3.00
Last traded 2023-04-06 — delisted
NASDAQ · Consumer Defensive · Agricultural Farm Products · $161.2M mcap · 30M float · 0.522% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
40.2 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: -0.5%  ·  5Y Avg: -4.5%
Cost Advantage
38
Intangibles
66
Switching Cost
26
Network Effect
24
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AGFS shows a Weak competitive edge (40.2/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. Negative ROIC of -0.5% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 4Hold: 2Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 18 Grade D
Profitability
21
Balance Sheet
40
Earnings Quality
44
Growth
31
Value
50
Momentum
34
Safety
15
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AGFS scores highest in Value (50/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.01
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.46
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.01
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 24.4/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -0.48x
Accruals: -7.0%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. AGFS scores 0.01, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AGFS scores 2/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. AGFS's score of -2.46 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AGFS's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AGFS receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 24.4/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-4.62x
PEG
0.16x
P/S
1.00x
P/B
0.47x
P/FCF
12.73x
P/OCF
9.55x
EV/EBITDA
12.24x
EV/Revenue
2.25x
EV/EBIT
-22.40x
EV/FCF
30.08x
Earnings Yield
-21.88%
FCF Yield
7.86%
Shareholder Yield
6.87%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. AGFS currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.982
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
2.112
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.101
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.226
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.526
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-11.9%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AGFS's ROE of -11.9% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.226), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.98 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$3.00
Median 1Y
$2.21
5th Pctile
$0.65
95th Pctile
$7.55
Ann. Volatility
70.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
ROE 6.2% -0.5% -2.2% -8.7% -8.9% -9.5% -9.7% -17.6% -15.7% -14.6% -23.6% -15.1% -9.1% -9.8% -3.3% -2.2% -4.3% -4.9% -6.5% -11.9% -11.94%
ROA 2.4% -0.2% -0.9% -3.6% -3.6% -3.7% -3.8% -7.1% -6.2% -5.6% -8.7% -5.7% -4.3% -4.5% -1.4% -0.7% -2.3% -2.5% -3.3% -4.7% -4.73%
ROIC 6.1% -1.4% 3.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% -0.6% -4.6% -4.5% -3.8% -4.0% 1.4% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 1.6% 1.3% 1.5% 1.1% -0.5% -0.49%
ROCE 6.1% 5.4% 4.4% 0.7% 0.3% -0.4% -1.3% -5.9% -5.6% -4.3% -3.9% 0.3% 2.6% 2.3% 2.1% 3.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% -2.6% -2.58%
Gross Margin 71.7% 68.1% 75.7% 74.9% 70.9% 70.3% 71.6% 77.8% 74.2% 67.7% 74.4% 73.5% 73.5% 67.6% 69.4% 70.5% 70.1% 63.9% 67.4% 65.6% 65.64%
Operating Margin -7.7% -95.3% 26.2% 18.9% -10.3% -82.3% 12.2% -41.5% -8.5% -50.3% 22.6% 18.1% 2.7% -58.4% 15.7% 22.4% 5.8% -44.5% 10.3% 1.8% 1.82%
Net Margin -33.8% -1.2% 5.1% -4.1% -32.4% -1.1% 6.7% -47.9% -11.0% -82.8% -41.5% -5.9% 21.6% -78.7% 2.0% 4.3% -7.9% -71.3% -9.7% -15.8% -15.77%
EBITDA Margin 22.2% -31.4% 44.7% 38.9% 20.1% -19.0% 37.4% 32.1% 31.1% -10.4% 38.0% 28.6% 70.1% -7.6% 36.6% 41.9% 34.0% -18.9% 27.0% 16.9% 16.95%
FCF Margin 12.6% 4.8% -0.8% -0.6% 2.1% 4.3% 3.9% 9.3% 6.2% 13.1% 15.2% 15.4% 28.5% 27.6% 30.8% 28.9% 16.2% 12.3% 11.5% 7.5% 7.49%
OCF Margin 17.7% 9.0% 2.4% 1.7% 4.8% 7.1% 6.5% 11.8% 7.4% 14.2% 17.0% 16.9% 29.9% 29.3% 32.7% 31.3% 18.7% 14.9% 13.7% 10.0% 9.99%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -9.66%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -11.37%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -3.78%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -2.38%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -0.44%
Cash ROA snapshot only 2.32%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 2.96%
CROIC snapshot only 2.22%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -1.64%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -21.25%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 7.45%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 32.45%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 2.66%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
P/E Ratio 16.23 -172.87 -38.70 -5.63 -5.02 -2.25 -3.92 -2.13 -1.60 -3.33 -1.74 -2.56 -3.16 -3.16 -10.22 -18.96 -5.78 -5.14 -3.31 -4.57 -4.615
P/S Ratio 2.16 2.03 1.74 1.06 0.93 0.42 0.81 0.76 0.50 0.94 0.74 0.73 0.64 0.65 0.69 0.62 0.59 0.55 0.46 0.95 0.995
P/B Ratio 0.91 0.93 0.87 0.52 0.48 0.23 0.40 0.40 0.26 0.52 0.46 0.42 0.25 0.27 0.29 0.45 0.26 0.26 0.23 0.46 0.466
P/FCF 17.12 42.64 -229.12 -164.42 44.83 9.64 21.04 8.16 8.20 7.23 4.89 4.76 2.24 2.34 2.23 2.14 3.64 4.43 4.04 12.73 12.729
P/OCF 12.20 22.68 73.66 62.89 19.50 5.84 12.54 6.46 6.83 6.66 4.37 4.33 2.14 2.21 2.10 1.98 3.15 3.66 3.38 9.55 9.553
EV/EBITDA -24.71 -22.94 -21.48 10.39 10.15 8.19 12.23 12.08 10.52 11.45 7.80 7.75 5.26 5.19 5.68 4.45 5.75 6.14 6.85 12.24 12.243
EV/Revenue 4.24 4.15 3.87 3.13 3.01 2.48 3.23 2.96 2.83 3.24 2.24 2.12 1.93 1.90 2.05 1.80 1.84 1.80 1.82 2.25 2.254
EV/EBIT 13.27 15.59 18.74 93.05 211.63 -133.23 -49.75 -11.21 -11.28 -17.16 -13.17 160.42 16.95 19.21 23.03 12.11 29.59 51.78 295.14 -22.40 -22.398
EV/FCF 33.65 87.18 -508.83 -487.23 145.10 57.53 83.35 31.67 45.91 24.80 14.71 13.71 6.78 6.88 6.66 6.22 11.37 14.62 15.84 30.08 30.079
Earnings Yield 6.2% -0.6% -2.6% -17.8% -19.9% -44.4% -25.5% -46.9% -62.6% -30.0% -57.5% -39.0% -31.6% -31.6% -9.8% -5.3% -17.3% -19.4% -30.2% -21.9% -21.88%
FCF Yield 5.8% 2.3% -0.4% -0.6% 2.2% 10.4% 4.8% 12.3% 12.2% 13.8% 20.5% 21.0% 44.6% 42.7% 44.8% 46.7% 27.4% 22.6% 24.8% 7.9% 7.86%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.163
EV/OCF snapshot only 22.574
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.365
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 6.87%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Current Ratio 2.50 1.95 1.75 2.23 1.98 1.98 2.13 2.66 2.63 2.52 2.65 2.96 3.13 3.18 3.00 3.12 3.21 3.10 2.91 2.39 2.389
Quick Ratio 2.19 1.56 1.55 1.85 1.66 1.58 1.74 2.20 2.14 1.97 2.18 2.49 2.65 2.62 2.57 2.72 2.77 2.50 2.41 2.01 2.007
Debt/Equity 1.02 1.09 1.13 1.12 1.19 1.24 1.23 1.23 1.31 1.37 1.01 0.98 0.64 0.68 0.68 1.12 0.71 0.76 0.78 0.79 0.789
Net Debt/Equity 0.88 0.97 1.06 1.02 1.08 1.13 1.18 1.14 1.22 1.25 0.91 0.80 0.52 0.53 0.57 0.85 0.55 0.61 0.68 0.63 0.627
Debt/Assets 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.46 0.48 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.53 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.38 0.380
Debt/EBITDA -14.10 -13.12 -12.61 7.53 7.76 7.47 9.58 9.67 9.28 8.89 5.74 6.22 4.40 4.36 4.52 3.84 5.02 5.31 5.90 8.88 8.885
Net Debt/EBITDA -12.14 -11.72 -11.81 6.88 7.01 6.82 9.14 8.96 8.64 8.11 5.21 5.06 3.52 3.42 3.78 2.92 3.91 4.28 5.11 7.06 7.062
Interest Coverage 1.60 1.35 1.08 0.18 0.07 -0.10 -0.31 -1.33 -1.28 -1.03 -1.08 0.09 0.83 0.77 0.66 1.13 0.50 0.29 0.05 -0.73 -0.734
Equity Multiplier 2.37 2.47 2.58 2.47 2.57 2.60 2.58 2.47 2.51 2.57 2.86 2.88 1.87 1.89 1.92 3.18 1.94 1.98 2.02 2.08 2.078
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.818
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.343
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.205
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.046
Defensive Interval snapshot only 427.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Asset Turnover 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.18 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.24 0.24 0.23 0.226
Inventory Turnover 2.05 1.68 2.54 1.92 2.20 1.76 2.11 1.90 1.85 1.70 1.73 1.79 1.92 1.83 2.02 2.21 2.24 2.08 2.31 2.36 2.364
Receivables Turnover 2.51 4.07 1.95 2.57 2.49 3.91 1.93 2.49 2.68 3.73 2.35 2.39 2.89 4.61 2.51 2.84 3.02 4.73 2.58 2.60 2.597
Payables Turnover 4.36 4.10 3.05 3.69 6.44 4.39 3.57 3.98 3.85 3.18 3.50 2.43 2.92 3.18 3.29 2.67 3.09 3.56 4.00 2.82 2.825
DSO 146 90 188 142 146 93 189 147 136 98 155 153 127 79 145 128 121 77 142 141 140.6 days
DIO 178 218 144 190 166 207 173 192 197 215 211 204 190 200 181 165 163 175 158 154 154.4 days
DPO 84 89 120 99 57 83 102 92 95 115 104 150 125 115 111 136 118 103 91 129 129.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 240 218 212 233 255 217 260 247 238 198 262 206 192 164 215 157 166 150 208 166 165.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 8.705
Operating Cycle snapshot only 294.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 2.979
Capital Intensity snapshot only 4.309
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Revenue 3.5% 6.2% 11.4% 9.3% 6.0% 5.8% -9.8% -5.1% -8.7% -10.5% 2.7% -7.3% -0.3% 1.6% -2.9% 5.3% 2.0% 3.1% 4.5% -2.4% -2.44%
Net Income 1.2% 97.2% 88.2% -2.4% -2.5% -15.6% -3.2% -80.9% -55.9% -37.4% -1.1% 25.8% 36.2% 26.8% 84.7% 88.0% 48.6% 46.4% -1.2% -5.2% -5.23%
EPS 1.2% 97.1% 88.3% -2.4% -2.5% -15.5% -3.2% -80.0% -54.4% -35.7% -1.1% 26.8% 38.4% 27.6% 84.9% 88.2% 48.0% 47.1% -1.1% -5.2% -5.17%
FCF -8.0% -75.2% -1.0% -1.0% -82.5% -4.1% 5.6% 14.8% 1.7% 1.7% 3.0% 53.1% 3.6% 1.1% 96.8% 97.3% -42.1% -53.9% -61.0% -74.7% -74.70%
EBITDA -1.6% -1.5% -1.5% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.3% -22.9% -17.2% -16.6% 11.5% 3.3% 36.2% 31.4% 22.5% 55.8% -11.3% -17.2% -23.0% -55.5% -55.55%
Op. Income 3.9% 14.1% 6.6% -82.3% -85.1% -82.1% -1.2% -6.7% -7.4% -5.8% -3.9% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% -21.0% 15.5% 54.9% -1.4% -1.39%
OCF Growth snapshot only -68.90%
Asset Growth snapshot only -4.76%
Equity Growth snapshot only 45.76%
Debt Growth snapshot only 2.86%
Shares Change snapshot only 1.02%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -24.54%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — 51.6% 31.1% 22.9% 0.6% 2.1% 0.0% 0.2% 1.1% -1.3% -1.2% -1.3% -3.5% -2.5% -2.5% -2.1% 1.4% -1.6% -1.62%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — 25.1% 15.4% 11.0% 0.3% 0.8% 0.4% 1.1% 0.9% -0.3% -0.26%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — -2.1% 21.6% -4.2% -9.4% -7.1% — — — — 7.5% 0.0% -3.2% 1.7% -10.5% -10.55%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 5.1% 23.7% 1.2% -4.1% -5.4% — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — 1.9% 1.4% 1.2% 21.9% 8.0% 0.1% -2.9% -1.0% -4.2% -3.2% -3.0% -5.0% -4.0% -4.2% -4.3% -0.4% -4.6% -4.61%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — 84.5% 64.3% 57.3% 12.3% 3.3% -0.9% -2.2% -2.0% -3.8% -3.75%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — -40.8% -33.2% -36.4% -45.3% 5.6% 16.5% 18.3% — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — -56.1% -41.8% -37.0% -13.4% -24.2% -13.6% -17.2% -4.2% 29.7% 77.2% — — 93.4% 38.9% 45.8% -8.6% -8.58%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — -6.9% 1.2% 2.8% 14.7% 14.4% 3.1% -8.6% -15.3% -15.2% -15.19%
OCF 3Y — — — -55.8% -42.5% -33.1% -30.1% -13.0% -25.5% -15.8% -17.5% -8.9% 17.8% 46.5% 1.3% 1.6% 53.8% 25.2% 30.1% -6.9% -6.93%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — -5.2% 1.7% 2.3% 11.5% 11.3% 1.2% -8.0% -14.4% -14.5% -14.50%
Assets 3Y 62.5% 61.2% 61.3% -6.0% -6.1% -6.7% -7.4% -5.9% -6.2% -5.8% -6.6% -7.3% -6.9% -7.3% -7.2% -6.6% -6.6% -7.0% -7.1% -4.7% -4.68%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — 31.1% 29.5% 28.9% 28.3% 28.5% -6.2% -6.6% -7.1% -7.2% -5.4% -5.3% -5.4% -6.3% -6.7% -6.69%
Equity 3Y 23.4% 20.8% 19.4% -6.4% -5.9% -5.8% -6.4% -0.9% -0.9% -7.1% -10.8% -12.6% 0.8% 1.4% 2.3% -14.2% 2.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.9% 0.95%
Book Value 3Y 1.3% -0.9% -2.2% -6.5% -6.1% -6.3% -6.8% -1.5% -1.4% -7.5% -11.3% -13.1% -0.8% 0.4% 1.4% -15.1% 1.5% 0.6% -0.7% -0.3% -0.32%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 64.2% 33.7% 17.0% 2.5% -9.8% -9.80%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Revenue Stability 0.91 0.90 0.69 0.73 0.73 0.80 0.69 0.72 0.67 0.67 0.65 0.59 0.56 0.51 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.45 0.06 0.055
Earnings Stability 0.00 0.01 0.19 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.17 0.08 0.04 0.04 0.22 0.02 0.01 0.09 0.06 0.12 0.09 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.108
Margin Stability 0.33 0.33 0.67 0.44 0.47 0.47 0.73 0.90 0.97 0.95 0.96 0.53 0.55 0.56 0.78 0.93 0.97 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.934
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.85 0.50 0.90 0.86 0.89 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.81 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend 0.24 0.15 0.12 0.05 0.03 -0.00 -0.00 -0.17 -0.15 -0.10 -0.20 -0.03 0.05 0.04 0.15 0.15 0.08 0.07 0.08 -0.01 -0.006
Gross Margin Trend 0.34 0.30 0.15 0.03 -0.02 -0.05 -0.05 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.049
FCF Margin Trend -0.22 -0.26 -0.22 -0.17 -0.11 -0.08 -0.10 0.01 -0.01 0.09 0.14 0.11 0.24 0.19 0.21 0.17 -0.01 -0.08 -0.11 -0.15 -0.147
Sustainable Growth Rate 6.2% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate 2.4% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.33 -7.62 -0.53 -0.09 -0.26 -0.39 -0.31 -0.33 -0.23 -0.50 -0.40 -0.59 -1.48 -1.43 -4.86 -9.59 -1.83 -1.40 -0.98 -0.48 -0.478
FCF/OCF 0.71 0.53 -0.32 -0.38 0.43 0.61 0.60 0.79 0.83 0.92 0.89 0.91 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.92 0.87 0.83 0.84 0.75 0.750
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.359
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.542
CapEx/Revenue 5.1% 4.2% 3.1% 2.3% 2.7% 2.8% 2.6% 2.5% 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.7% 1.9% 2.4% 2.5% 2.6% 2.2% 2.5% 2.49%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.087
Accruals Ratio -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.12 -0.09 -0.11 -0.11 -0.08 -0.08 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.070
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.083
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.103
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.6% 5.8% 8.5% 11.7% 13.6% 15.2% 16.3% 18.6% 6.9% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.06 $0.12 $0.18 $0.25 $0.27 $0.29 $0.29 $0.28 $0.20 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.5% 13.0% 20.0% 26.1% 29.0% 55.4% 72.0% 74.9% 87.5% 87.51%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.71 1.63 0.83 0.31 -0.17 -0.169
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 5.0% 4.8% 0.0% 5.4% 5.7% 6.8% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -5.4% 5.1% 5.4% 6.4% -0.2% -0.19%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.6% 5.8% 8.5% 11.7% 8.1% 20.4% 21.7% 25.0% 6.7% 6.68%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.11 -0.31 3.11 1.00 0.89 0.88 0.75 0.77 0.71 0.76 1.32 2.10 9.18 7.32 1.48 1.76 1.02 0.86 0.90 0.98 0.982
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.38 0.14 -0.07 -5.58 -14.68 11.24 4.25 1.75 1.78 1.97 1.91 -10.34 -0.19 -0.28 -0.51 -0.13 -1.61 -3.52 -25.10 2.11 2.112
EBIT Margin 0.32 0.27 0.21 0.03 0.01 -0.02 -0.06 -0.26 -0.25 -0.19 -0.17 0.01 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.15 0.06 0.03 0.01 -0.10 -0.101
Asset Turnover 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.18 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.24 0.24 0.23 0.226
Equity Multiplier 2.64 2.47 2.53 2.44 2.46 2.53 2.58 2.47 2.54 2.59 2.70 2.66 2.15 2.19 2.31 3.02 1.90 1.93 1.97 2.53 2.526
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.45 $-0.04 $-0.16 $-0.67 $-0.66 $-0.67 $-0.67 $-1.21 $-1.03 $-0.91 $-1.40 $-0.89 $-0.63 $-0.66 $-0.21 $-0.10 $-0.33 $-0.35 $-0.45 $-0.65 $-0.65
Book Value/Share $8.05 $7.52 $7.18 $7.29 $6.95 $6.65 $6.63 $6.50 $6.20 $5.87 $5.34 $5.35 $7.85 $7.61 $7.49 $4.46 $7.26 $6.76 $6.50 $6.43 $6.58
Tangible Book/Share $-7.08 $-7.38 $-7.37 $-7.09 $-7.17 $-7.21 $-6.95 $-6.19 $-6.20 $-6.26 $-6.54 $-6.35 $-3.33 $-3.58 $-3.44 $-6.12 $-3.10 $-3.32 $-3.32 $-3.23 $-3.23
Revenue/Share $3.41 $3.45 $3.58 $3.59 $3.59 $3.63 $3.23 $3.38 $3.25 $3.21 $3.27 $3.09 $3.13 $3.22 $3.14 $3.21 $3.23 $3.28 $3.23 $3.10 $3.10
FCF/Share $0.43 $0.16 $-0.03 $-0.02 $0.07 $0.16 $0.13 $0.32 $0.20 $0.42 $0.50 $0.48 $0.89 $0.89 $0.97 $0.93 $0.52 $0.40 $0.37 $0.23 $0.23
OCF/Share $0.60 $0.31 $0.08 $0.06 $0.17 $0.26 $0.21 $0.40 $0.24 $0.45 $0.56 $0.52 $0.94 $0.94 $1.03 $1.01 $0.60 $0.49 $0.44 $0.31 $0.31
Cash/Share $1.15 $0.87 $0.52 $0.70 $0.80 $0.72 $0.37 $0.58 $0.56 $0.70 $0.49 $0.98 $1.01 $1.10 $0.84 $1.20 $1.15 $0.99 $0.68 $1.04 $1.04
EBITDA/Share $-0.58 $-0.62 $-0.64 $1.08 $1.07 $1.10 $0.85 $0.83 $0.87 $0.91 $0.94 $0.84 $1.15 $1.18 $1.13 $1.30 $1.03 $0.96 $0.86 $0.57 $0.57
Debt/Share $8.24 $8.19 $8.12 $8.14 $8.27 $8.22 $8.16 $8.02 $8.10 $8.07 $5.37 $5.26 $5.06 $5.14 $5.12 $4.99 $5.17 $5.11 $5.07 $5.08 $5.08
Net Debt/Share $7.10 $7.32 $7.61 $7.44 $7.47 $7.50 $7.79 $7.43 $7.54 $7.36 $4.88 $4.27 $4.05 $4.03 $4.28 $3.79 $4.03 $4.12 $4.39 $4.03 $4.03
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.009
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.149
Piotroski F-Score 6 6 4 5 3 5 4 5 4 3 6 5 6 6 4 5 6 4 3 2 2
Beneish M-Score -2.04 -2.43 -2.44 -2.69 -2.88 -2.65 -2.95 -2.94 -3.00 -3.11 -3.14 -3.01 -3.00 -3.12 -3.01 -2.96 -2.76 -2.61 -2.63 -2.46 -2.455
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.008
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-3.75
EVA snapshot only $-57292430.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 39.13 34.10 33.56 24.73 24.51 22.31 23.24 19.93 20.25 20.12 23.13 29.90 33.42 33.48 34.02 35.94 32.46 31.27 25.98 24.35 24.350
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Credit Trend snapshot only -11.585
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 13
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 12

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