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AGMH NASDAQ

AGM Group Holdings Inc.
1W: -8.7% 1M: -23.2% 3M: -41.0% YTD: -64.5% 1Y: -91.6% 3Y: -99.1% 5Y: -99.8%
$0.70
+0.02 (+2.32%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±19.7%
$0 $1 $1 $1 $1
NASDAQ · Technology · Software - Application · Tech Score Strong Sell · Power 25 · $1.5M mcap · 2M float · 18.50% daily turnover · Short 34% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
28.7 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 25.4%  ·  5Y Avg: -60.5%
Cost Advantage ★
49
Intangibles
36
Switching Cost
12
Network Effect
19
Scale
27
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AGMH has No discernible competitive edge (28.7/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 25.4% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Rating Summary
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-09-18 UBS — Initiated $6 — +158.7% $2.23

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
2
ROA
3
D/E
3
P/E
4
P/B
5
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. AGMH receives an overall rating of A. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), P/E (4/5), P/B (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-08-10 None ADDED
2026-07-05 EXISTED None
2026-05-26 S- S
2026-04-01 S S-
2026-03-30 S- S
2026-03-20 A+ S-
2026-03-18 S- A+
2026-03-12 A+ S-
2026-03-02 S- A+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 43 Grade D
Profitability
43
Balance Sheet
85
Earnings Quality
5
Growth
49
Value
75
Momentum
38
Safety
50
Cash Flow
42
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AGMH scores highest in Balance Sheet (85/100) and lowest in Earnings Quality (5/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.39
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
4.22
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.73
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A
Score: 74.9/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: 0.14x
Accruals: 19.4%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. AGMH scores 2.39, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AGMH scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. AGMH's score of 4.22 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AGMH's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AGMH receives an estimated rating of A (score: 74.9/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). AGMH's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-2.80x
PEG
0.04x
P/S
0.07x
P/B
0.03x
P/FCF
1.50x
P/OCF
1.50x
EV/EBITDA
-0.06x
EV/Revenue
-0.02x
EV/EBIT
-0.06x
EV/FCF
-0.53x
Earnings Yield
477.26%
FCF Yield
66.51%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
$80.79
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. AGMH currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful. An earnings yield of 477.3% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $80.79 per share, suggesting a potential 11439% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.794
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.981
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.403
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.718
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.372
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
76.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AGMH's ROE of 76.1% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.37x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$94.52
Price/Value
0.02x
Margin of Safety
97.53%
Premium
-97.53%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with AGMH's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. At an intrinsic value of $94.52, AGMH appears undervalued with a 98% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of -2.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.70
Median 1Y
$0.11
5th Pctile
$0.01
95th Pctile
$0.99
Ann. Volatility
129.9%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
11
+10.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
—
Profit / Employee
—
SGA / Employee
—
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
ROE -11.1% -14.7% -15.8% -15.6% -8.2% 24.6% 57.5% 1.3% 1.4% 62.1% 45.8% 49.7% 37.3% 2.5% -62.8% -1.6% -85.6% 15.1% 45.8% 76.1% 76.06%
ROA -9.0% -11.1% -11.4% -11.3% -2.9% 7.4% 15.4% 36.1% 31.7% 16.0% 13.2% 14.3% 8.4% 0.6% -14.4% -37.2% -22.2% 3.9% 13.6% 22.6% 22.56%
ROIC -8.4% -21.4% -22.6% -28.6% -5.3% 42.8% 32.2% 1.0% 71.0% 50.6% 37.5% 50.1% 36.8% 5.0% -1.1% -3.0% -70.9% 20.5% 25.2% 25.4% 25.41%
ROCE -9.8% -28.3% -32.0% -31.5% -10.2% 18.7% 42.7% 99.6% 1.1% 91.3% 66.9% 71.2% 87.7% 8.4% -3.7% -10.3% -89.1% 27.2% 35.7% 54.7% 54.71%
Gross Margin 67.6% 36.3% — — 13.4% 18.8% 19.0% 19.0% 19.4% 19.4% 3.5% 3.5% 5.9% 3.7% 44.8% 44.8% 18.2% 18.2% 11.6% 11.6% 11.60%
Operating Margin -8.6% -15.4% — — 7.0% 16.1% 17.6% 17.6% -2.9% -2.9% 59.5% 59.5% -55.1% -55.1% -3.6% -3.6% 70.5% 70.5% -1.6% -1.6% -1.60%
Net Margin -10.2% -21.4% — — 3.8% 12.2% 12.8% 12.8% -2.4% -2.4% 44.0% 44.0% -41.8% -41.8% -3.9% -3.9% 63.9% 63.9% -13.8% -13.8% -13.77%
EBITDA Margin -8.5% -14.8% — — 7.0% 16.5% 17.7% 17.6% -2.8% -2.9% 59.8% 59.8% -54.7% -54.7% -3.6% -3.6% 70.5% 70.5% -1.6% -1.6% -1.59%
FCF Margin 19.0% -31.0% -33.7% -36.9% -62.5% -6.0% -7.9% -8.6% -7.1% -7.3% -6.7% -4.9% -4.2% -2.0% -2.1% -2.0% 6.4% 22.2% 11.5% 4.4% 4.38%
OCF Margin 19.4% -31.0% -33.7% -36.9% -62.5% -5.1% -7.2% -8.1% -6.8% -7.2% -6.6% -5.0% -4.3% -2.0% -2.1% -2.0% 6.4% 22.2% 11.5% 4.4% 4.38%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -2.67%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -1.53%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -5.46%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -52.86%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 21.62%
Cash ROA snapshot only 3.30%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 6.76%
CROIC snapshot only 6.76%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 16.46%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 39.56%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 35.91%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
P/E Ratio -267.59 -290.71 -222.82 -199.23 -317.58 14.94 4.04 1.02 1.80 2.59 2.59 2.11 4.28 71.08 -2.47 -0.36 -2.33 11.75 0.35 0.21 -2.800
P/S Ratio -9005.89 6232.69 5134.49 4970.50 35.45 1.44 0.48 0.13 0.16 0.12 0.14 0.17 0.19 0.39 0.39 0.23 0.89 1.14 0.08 0.07 0.074
P/B Ratio 30.39 89.97 81.48 72.09 57.46 2.11 1.26 0.75 1.43 1.46 1.08 0.96 2.05 2.26 8.52 3.17 1.89 1.68 0.09 0.09 0.028
P/FCF -475.15 -201.01 -152.31 -134.62 -56.76 -23.83 -6.09 -1.49 -2.29 -1.69 -2.15 -3.38 -4.43 -19.44 -18.45 -11.62 13.91 5.15 0.69 1.50 1.504
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 13.92 5.15 0.69 1.50 1.504
EV/EBITDA -317.22 -337.23 -259.01 -230.99 -593.11 7.12 2.86 0.47 1.42 1.99 2.06 1.38 3.40 25.15 -2.80 -0.47 -2.14 6.17 -0.09 -0.06 -0.058
EV/Revenue -8963.73 6233.63 5142.53 4961.99 35.77 0.98 0.47 0.08 0.18 0.13 0.16 0.15 0.22 0.46 0.47 0.35 0.89 1.18 -0.03 -0.02 -0.023
EV/EBIT -309.69 -327.97 -253.02 -226.68 -564.88 7.26 2.90 0.48 1.43 1.75 1.81 1.22 2.71 30.76 -2.73 -0.47 -2.11 6.33 -0.09 -0.06 -0.058
EV/FCF -472.92 -201.04 -152.55 -134.39 -57.27 -16.25 -5.98 -0.95 -2.50 -1.85 -2.41 -3.08 -5.17 -22.44 -22.19 -17.94 13.87 5.29 -0.24 -0.53 -0.530
Earnings Yield -0.4% -0.3% -0.4% -0.5% -0.3% 6.7% 24.8% 97.9% 55.5% 38.6% 38.6% 47.4% 23.4% 1.4% -40.4% -2.8% -42.9% 8.5% 2.9% 4.8% 4.77%
FCF Yield -0.2% -0.5% -0.7% -0.7% -1.8% -4.2% -16.4% -67.2% -43.7% -59.3% -46.6% -29.6% -22.6% -5.1% -5.4% -8.6% 7.2% 19.4% 1.4% 66.5% 66.51%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.036
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.089
EV/OCF snapshot only -0.530
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only -0.150
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only -0.058
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Graham Number snapshot only $80.79
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Current Ratio 2.57 2.44 2.06 2.06 1.14 1.39 1.34 1.34 1.24 1.24 1.44 1.44 1.12 1.12 0.85 0.85 1.32 1.32 1.93 1.93 1.935
Quick Ratio 2.57 2.44 2.06 2.06 0.96 1.03 1.30 1.30 1.19 1.19 1.32 1.32 1.05 1.05 0.85 0.85 0.64 0.64 1.61 1.61 1.605
Debt/Equity 0.00 0.19 0.28 0.03 0.94 0.06 0.25 0.00 0.27 0.28 0.22 0.00 0.49 0.49 2.27 2.27 0.10 0.10 0.06 0.06 0.061
Net Debt/Equity -0.14 0.01 0.13 -0.12 0.52 -0.67 -0.02 -0.27 0.13 0.14 0.13 -0.08 0.34 0.35 1.72 1.72 -0.01 0.05 -0.12 -0.12 -0.121
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.12 0.14 0.01 0.11 0.02 0.07 0.00 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.14 0.14 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.034
Debt/EBITDA -0.00 -0.73 -0.88 -0.08 -9.64 0.32 0.58 0.00 0.25 0.34 0.38 0.01 0.69 4.76 -0.62 -0.22 -0.11 0.36 0.17 0.11 0.111
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.49 -0.05 -0.41 0.40 -5.28 -3.32 -0.05 -0.27 0.12 0.18 0.23 -0.13 0.49 3.36 -0.47 -0.17 0.01 0.17 -0.34 -0.22 -0.221
Interest Coverage -32.57 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Equity Multiplier 1.23 1.66 1.93 1.93 8.22 3.57 3.88 3.88 4.11 4.11 3.15 3.15 5.02 5.02 16.35 16.35 2.81 2.81 1.80 1.80 1.801
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.227
Cash to Debt snapshot only 2.987
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.977
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Asset Turnover -0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.77 1.30 2.89 3.49 3.39 2.38 1.82 1.90 1.00 0.92 0.58 0.58 0.40 0.60 0.72 0.718
Inventory Turnover — — — — 2.27 2.68 42.67 94.24 53.90 22.29 38.02 29.91 38.93 22.63 17.31 10.72 2.50 1.54 7.01 8.69 8.692
Receivables Turnover -1.97 0.23 0.22 0.20 6.77 24.41 3.38 7.47 5.64 7.63 5.44 4.15 4.34 2.28 2.94 1.75 5.05 3.51 2.56 2.73 2.727
Payables Turnover 31.24 9.42 8.26 4.40 1081.67 4.26 — 7.97 265006.82 7.47 — 4.62 — 2.47 9.02 1.64 6.31 1.45 2.46 3.04 3.044
DSO -186 1597 1631 1784 54 15 108 49 65 48 67 88 84 160 124 208 72 104 142 134 133.8 days
DIO 0 -3223 0 0 161 136 9 4 7 16 10 12 9 16 21 34 146 237 52 42 42.0 days
DPO 12 39 44 83 0 86 0 46 0 49 0 79 0 148 40 223 58 252 149 120 119.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle — -1664 1587 1701 214 65 117 7 71 15 77 21 93 29 105 19 161 89 46 56 55.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 5774.279
Operating Cycle snapshot only 175.8 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 7.474
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.327
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Revenue -1.0% -83.8% -82.6% -80.7% 142.1% 687.7% 1903.5% 4613.8% 48.7% 8.9% 2.5% 19.9% -20.4% -69.4% -70.8% -75.8% -78.2% -71.2% -57.5% -19.3% -19.32%
Net Income 26.9% 23.1% 23.1% 23.2% 53.2% 4.1% 10.8% 24.1% 41.4% 3.9% 62.5% -24.6% -61.5% -96.4% -1.8% -3.0% -2.9% 4.0% 1.6% 1.4% 1.40%
EPS 99.2% 99.6% 22.9% 22.9% 52.2% 4.1% 10.7% 24.0% 33.0% 3.0% 44.0% -33.1% -57.1% -96.0% -1.8% -3.0% -2.9% 4.0% 1.2% 1.1% 1.14%
FCF -1.3% -8.2% -35.7% -19.5% -3.7% -34.0% -3.4% -9.7% -4.7% -10.9% -2.0% 31.3% 52.7% 91.5% 90.8% 90.3% 1.3% 4.1% 3.3% 2.8% 2.80%
EBITDA 49.6% 17.7% 10.8% 6.1% 69.9% 6.1% 16.8% 38.0% 104.8% 3.9% 65.5% -23.5% -59.1% -91.8% -1.6% -2.6% -2.4% 2.0% 1.8% 1.4% 1.44%
Op. Income 54.0% 16.3% 9.2% 0.6% 66.8% 5.9% 16.2% 37.0% 98.7% 3.9% 66.4% -23.4% -59.4% -93.2% -1.6% -2.7% -2.5% 2.6% 1.8% 1.4% 1.44%
OCF Growth snapshot only 2.79%
Asset Growth snapshot only -8.93%
Equity Growth snapshot only 7.27%
Debt Growth snapshot only -77.83%
Shares Change snapshot only 1.83%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — -72.1% 27.9% 1.3% 2.1% 4.8% 5.7% 9.3% 9.5% 9.2% — 11.8% 11.5% 10.0% 1.1% -4.4% -24.5% -38.3% -38.34%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — 1.6% 1.4% 1.1% 98.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% 1.9% 1.91%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -7.2% -36.2% -43.1% -43.06%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -4.1% -6.0% -16.2% -16.19%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 6.5% -5.8% -18.1% -18.13%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — 1.9% — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — -72.8% -25.4% 44.8% 1.0% 2.5% 3.2% 12.3% 13.1% 13.4% — 5.8% 5.2% 4.5% 95.0% 1.3% -25.6% -42.3% -42.29%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — 98.2% 75.2% 16.5% 17.5% 37.9% 51.1% 2.0% 2.2% 2.6% 2.55%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 6.4% -5.6% -17.9% -17.89%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — 2.6% — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 6.0% — — 88.4% 88.37%
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 5.9% — — 95.8% 95.85%
Assets 3Y — — — -59.9% 45.3% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 91.9% 1.5% 1.3% 1.3% 31.3% -11.8% -22.3% -22.3% -22.31%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — 7.9% 61.6% 61.6% 55.8% 55.8% 33.4% 33.4% 36.1% 36.1% 36.06%
Equity 3Y — — — -29.3% -16.7% 63.6% 90.1% 90.1% 37.0% 37.0% 56.6% 56.6% 20.0% 73.9% 11.8% 11.8% 87.8% -4.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.35%
Book Value 3Y — — — -30.2% -16.8% 62.0% 88.5% 88.5% -72.0% -77.8% 50.3% 50.3% 15.9% 67.7% 7.2% 7.2% 80.0% -7.5% -31.8% -31.8% -31.83%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Revenue Stability 0.97 0.82 0.81 0.93 0.17 0.53 0.57 0.60 0.61 0.68 0.81 0.67 0.60 0.34 0.36 0.27 0.18 0.05 0.04 0.01 0.006
Earnings Stability 0.20 0.90 1.00 0.16 0.12 0.67 0.65 0.48 0.51 0.70 0.82 0.61 0.45 0.28 0.00 0.05 0.01 0.10 0.01 0.01 0.006
Margin Stability — 0.11 0.21 0.37 0.35 0.12 0.20 0.14 0.04 0.59 0.34 0.19 0.07 0.09 0.17 0.11 0.00 0.49 0.51 0.54 0.544
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.89 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.52 0.72 0.11 0.00 — — — 0.00 — — —
ROE Trend 0.04 -0.11 -0.12 -0.11 -0.05 0.36 0.56 0.98 0.94 0.65 0.44 0.27 0.17 -0.32 -3.81 -9.49 -1.44 -0.16 1.77 4.65 4.648
Gross Margin Trend — -0.13 0.03 0.14 — -0.00 -0.06 -0.13 — -0.04 -0.12 -0.23 -0.03 -0.14 -0.13 -0.10 -0.05 0.10 0.06 0.04 0.038
FCF Margin Trend — -30.93 -33.77 -39.29 — 15.72 16.86 18.18 — 15.46 16.83 18.45 0.31 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.12 0.27 0.16 0.08 0.078
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — 24.6% 57.5% 1.3% 1.4% 62.1% 45.8% 49.7% 37.3% 2.5% — — — 15.1% 45.8% 76.1% 76.06%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — 8.0% 18.3% 56.6% 46.4% 19.1% 15.2% 16.7% 9.1% 0.6% — — — 4.1% 15.7% 29.1% 29.13%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.58 1.45 1.46 1.48 5.59 -0.53 -0.61 -0.65 -0.75 -1.51 -1.20 -0.64 -0.98 -3.62 0.13 0.03 -0.17 2.28 0.50 0.14 0.139
FCF/OCF 0.98 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.18 1.09 1.06 1.05 1.02 1.01 0.98 0.98 1.01 1.01 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.139
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.109
CapEx/Revenue -41.7% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.000
Accruals Ratio -0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.13 0.11 0.25 0.59 0.55 0.40 0.29 0.23 0.17 0.03 -0.12 -0.36 -0.26 -0.05 0.07 0.19 0.194
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.547
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -33.4% -39.5% -66.7% -40.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -33.4% -39.5% -66.7% -40.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.13 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.64 0.72 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.72 -0.06 0.48 0.61 0.47 -2.97 1.01 0.79 0.794
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.03 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.07 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.85 0.85 0.87 0.76 -5.84 1.90 1.40 1.92 -0.18 0.71 0.98 0.981
EBIT Margin 28.94 -19.01 -20.32 -21.89 -0.06 0.13 0.16 0.17 0.12 0.08 0.09 0.12 0.08 0.01 -0.17 -0.75 -0.42 0.19 0.32 0.40 0.403
Asset Turnover -0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.77 1.30 2.89 3.49 3.39 2.38 1.82 1.90 1.00 0.92 0.58 0.58 0.40 0.60 0.72 0.718
Equity Multiplier 1.23 1.33 1.38 1.38 2.82 3.32 3.72 3.72 4.52 3.87 3.48 3.48 4.47 4.47 4.36 4.36 3.85 3.85 3.37 3.37 3.372
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-2.92 $-2.63 $-2.65 $-2.62 $-1.40 $8.03 $25.75 $60.23 $44.68 $31.86 $37.08 $40.27 $19.18 $1.27 $-30.72 $-79.31 $-36.44 $6.43 $6.70 $11.12 $11.12
Book Value/Share $25.73 $8.49 $7.24 $7.24 $7.73 $56.93 $82.32 $82.32 $56.34 $56.34 $88.94 $88.94 $40.06 $40.06 $8.92 $8.92 $45.07 $45.07 $26.08 $26.08 $24.57
Tangible Book/Share $9.39 $8.47 $7.22 $7.22 $7.71 $56.91 $82.31 $82.31 $56.24 $56.24 $88.84 $88.84 $39.97 $39.97 $8.84 $8.84 $45.01 $45.01 $26.07 $26.07 $26.07
Revenue/Share $-0.09 $0.12 $0.11 $0.11 $12.52 $83.48 $217.47 $481.60 $492.45 $672.87 $670.22 $511.61 $436.83 $229.23 $195.47 $123.99 $95.02 $66.06 $29.39 $35.40 $12.80
FCF/Share $-1.65 $-3.80 $-3.87 $-3.88 $-7.82 $-5.04 $-17.08 $-41.33 $-35.15 $-48.92 $-44.72 $-25.16 $-18.53 $-4.66 $-4.12 $-2.43 $6.11 $14.66 $3.37 $1.55 $-0.81
OCF/Share $-1.68 $-3.80 $-3.87 $-3.88 $-7.82 $-4.26 $-15.73 $-38.87 $-33.37 $-48.14 $-44.32 $-25.72 $-18.89 $-4.61 $-4.10 $-2.45 $6.10 $14.66 $3.37 $1.55 $-0.81
Cash/Share $3.66 $1.53 $1.08 $1.08 $3.29 $41.86 $22.67 $22.46 $7.95 $7.54 $7.72 $7.72 $5.80 $5.80 $4.84 $4.84 $4.78 $2.41 $4.74 $4.74 $0.20
EBITDA/Share $-2.45 $-2.27 $-2.28 $-2.26 $-0.76 $11.49 $35.76 $82.95 $61.96 $45.45 $52.43 $56.26 $28.20 $4.15 $-32.62 $-91.96 $-39.69 $12.58 $9.36 $14.27 $14.27
Debt/Share $0.00 $1.64 $2.00 $0.19 $7.28 $3.68 $20.88 $0.06 $15.28 $15.58 $19.69 $0.31 $19.59 $19.75 $20.21 $20.21 $4.54 $4.54 $1.59 $1.59 $1.59
Net Debt/Share $-3.66 $0.11 $0.92 $-0.89 $3.99 $-38.18 $-1.80 $-22.40 $7.32 $8.04 $11.98 $-7.40 $13.78 $13.94 $15.37 $15.37 $-0.24 $2.12 $-3.15 $-3.15 $-3.15
Per Employee
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Employee Count snapshot only 11
Revenue/Employee snapshot only $4411549.45
Income/Employee snapshot only $1385727.82
EBITDA/Employee snapshot only $1778445.27
FCF/Employee snapshot only $193106.91
Assets/Employee snapshot only $5855695.55
Market Cap/Employee snapshot only $290352.95
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.386
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 5.036
Piotroski F-Score 3 0 1 1 3 4 4 4 6 4 4 3 2 2 3 3 6 8 5 5 5
Beneish M-Score -4.35 — — — 150.72 2054.72 — — 82.18 7.76 -0.36 -0.72 -1.80 -1.44 -1.38 -1.91 -0.70 -0.81 3.21 4.22 4.221
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.729
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 73.00%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $19.54
EVA snapshot only $4845965.37
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A
Credit Score 63.57 69.33 67.79 69.37 58.54 55.24 54.62 68.91 75.15 78.66 77.70 73.37 70.50 48.92 29.95 25.66 51.47 69.42 74.64 74.90 74.895
Credit Grade snapshot only 6
Credit Trend snapshot only 49.233
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 150.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 62
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 61

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