— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: AGNC (NASDAQ) · $vol 192M · AGNCP (NASDAQ) · $vol 1M · AGNCN (NASDAQ) · $vol 1M · 0H6E.L (LSE) · $vol 1M · AGNCM (NASDAQ) · $vol 0M · AGNCL (NASDAQ) · $vol 0M · 4OQ1.F (FSX) · $vol 0M

AGNCO NASDAQ

AGNC Investment Corp.
1W: +1.0% 1M: -1.7% 3M: -0.1% YTD: +0.6% 1Y: +0.2% 3Y: +27.4% 5Y: +33.4%
$25.27
+0.04 (+0.16%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±1.2%
$25 $25 $25 $26 $26
NASDAQ · Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage · Tech Score Sell · Power 40 · $9.8B mcap · 383M float · 0.0072% daily turnover · Short 20% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 15Hold: 15Sell: 3Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
5
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. AGNCO receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: ROE (5/5), ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B- B+
2026-07-31 B B-
2026-07-27 B+ B
2026-07-23 B- B+
2026-05-22 C+ B-
2026-05-20 B- C+
2026-04-28 B B-
2026-04-21 B+ B
2026-04-13 B B+
2026-04-10 B+ B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade A+
Profitability
—
Balance Sheet
12
Earnings Quality
74
Growth
77
Value
71
Momentum
73
Safety
0
Cash Flow
64

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-0.86
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
—
—
Ohlson O-Score
-0.92
Bankruptcy prob: 28.5%
Moderate
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 11.3/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: 0.40x
Accruals: 1.2%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. AGNCO scores -0.86, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AGNCO scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AGNCO's implied 28.5% bankruptcy probability is elevated and warrants attention to the balance sheet. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AGNCO receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 11.3/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). AGNCO's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
4.48x
PEG
0.01x
P/S
3.27x
P/B
0.81x
P/FCF
32.58x
P/OCF
32.58x
EV/EBITDA
31.22x
EV/Revenue
38.29x
EV/EBIT
31.22x
EV/FCF
133.43x
Earnings Yield
7.70%
FCF Yield
3.07%
Shareholder Yield
6.07%
Graham Number
$21.55
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 4.5x earnings, AGNCO trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 7.7% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $21.55 per share, 17% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.000
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.587
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
1.227
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.028
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
9.776
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
19.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AGNCO's ROE of 19.4% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 9.78x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.00 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$73.62
Price/Value
0.34x
Margin of Safety
66.26%
Premium
-66.26%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with AGNCO's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. AGNCO actually compounded EPS at 236.9% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. AGNCO trades at a -66% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $73.62, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 4.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1763 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$25.27
Median 1Y
$25.87
5th Pctile
$15.37
95th Pctile
$43.80
Ann. Volatility
29.4%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
54
+1.9% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$35,407,407
Rev: $1,912,000,000
Profit / Employee
$30,925,926
NI: $1,670,000,000
SGA / Employee
$1,611,111
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 14.5% 7.0% -8.6% -9.6% -19.9% -13.1% -8.3% 0.4% 4.1% 1.9% 9.2% 5.0% 13.5% 9.6% 5.0% 4.0% 7.9% 15.1% 13.2% 19.4% 19.41%
ROA 2.1% 1.0% -1.2% -1.3% -2.8% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.3% 1.1% 0.6% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 1.6% 1.4% 2.0% 1.99%
ROIC 2.4% 1.2% -1.1% -1.2% -2.7% -1.9% -0.8% 0.1% 0.5% 2.4% 9.6% 5.5% 12.9% 9.6% 5.2% 4.3% 14.6% 2.8% 2.9% 3.4% 3.42%
ROCE 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 26.1% 29.2% 26.9% 26.86%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 30.4% — —
Operating Margin 94.0% 2.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 99.0% 1.1% 95.5% 1.0% 95.2% 96.6% 1.6% 94.4% 84.9% 75.6% 1.2% 2.0% 1.3% 27.1% — —
Net Margin 90.6% 3.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 97.6% 1.2% 92.6% 1.1% 93.6% 94.9% 2.0% 92.0% 79.2% 64.1% 1.2% 1.0% 75.8% -14.1% — —
EBITDA Margin 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 2.0% 1.3% 55.5% — —
FCF Margin 95.7% 1.8% -1.9% -1.8% -76.3% -90.8% -1.1% 2.6% 1.8% -47.0% -14.6% -16.1% -1.9% 8.8% 44.2% 92.3% 67.2% 32.6% 28.5% 28.7% 28.70%
OCF Margin 95.7% 1.8% -1.9% -1.8% -76.3% -90.8% -1.1% 2.6% 1.8% -47.0% -14.6% -16.1% -1.9% 8.8% 44.2% 92.3% 67.2% 32.6% 28.5% 28.7% 28.70%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.72%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 3.07%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.91%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.61%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 3.40%
Cash ROA snapshot only 0.73%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 0.87%
CROIC snapshot only 0.87%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.13%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 71.98%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 1.10%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.97%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 6.42 13.44 -11.04 -9.55 -4.83 -7.66 -13.92 377.41 40.92 87.14 19.88 39.37 15.87 24.32 46.72 65.16 31.63 16.39 18.61 12.99 4.485
P/S Ratio 6.06 12.02 -12.22 -10.52 -5.06 -8.17 -15.62 104.84 32.23 53.81 17.58 31.79 14.54 21.57 37.60 49.65 29.49 13.67 9.21 9.35 3.269
P/B Ratio 0.93 0.98 1.08 1.07 1.19 1.16 1.23 1.44 1.67 1.64 1.74 1.89 1.90 2.15 2.19 2.38 2.32 2.21 2.25 2.30 0.811
P/FCF 6.33 6.53 6.53 5.88 6.63 9.00 14.38 39.73 1777.14 -114.47 -120.11 -196.86 -762.51 244.10 85.11 53.77 43.89 41.92 32.30 32.58 32.578
P/OCF 6.33 6.53 6.53 5.88 6.63 9.00 14.38 39.73 1777.14 — — — — 244.10 85.11 53.77 43.89 41.92 32.30 32.58 32.578
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 16.73 39.17 34.29 31.22 31.216
EV/Revenue 38.98 78.55 -79.16 -70.84 -31.39 -44.51 -104.25 553.57 185.92 52.07 17.08 30.90 14.19 21.12 36.93 48.45 29.05 63.62 44.22 38.29 38.294
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 16.73 39.17 34.29 31.22 31.216
EV/FCF 40.71 42.69 42.28 39.59 41.16 49.04 95.97 209.77 10252.43 -110.75 -116.65 -191.33 -744.26 238.97 83.59 52.47 43.24 195.14 155.13 133.43 133.426
Earnings Yield 15.6% 7.4% -9.1% -10.5% -20.7% -13.1% -7.2% 0.3% 2.4% 1.1% 5.0% 2.5% 6.3% 4.1% 2.1% 1.5% 3.2% 6.1% 5.4% 7.7% 7.70%
FCF Yield 15.8% 15.3% 15.3% 17.0% 15.1% 11.1% 7.0% 2.5% 0.1% -0.9% -0.8% -0.5% -0.1% 0.4% 1.2% 1.9% 2.3% 2.4% 3.1% 3.1% 3.07%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.009
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 2.402
EV/OCF snapshot only 133.426
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 50.584
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 33.950
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 6.07%
Graham Number snapshot only $21.55
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.017
Quick Ratio 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.017
Debt/Equity 5.20 5.56 6.17 6.41 6.63 5.45 7.36 6.36 8.22 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 8.21 8.59 7.16 7.160
Net Debt/Equity 5.07 5.41 5.94 6.13 6.19 5.15 7.00 6.15 7.96 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.06 -0.03 8.07 8.55 7.12 7.124
Debt/Assets 0.81 0.84 0.83 0.84 0.82 0.83 0.87 0.83 0.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.88 0.88 0.74 0.738
Debt/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.04 31.29 27.28 23.71 23.715
Net Debt/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -0.25 30.76 27.15 23.59 23.594
Interest Coverage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.55 1.14 1.33 1.29 1.291
Equity Multiplier 6.44 6.62 7.43 7.62 8.10 6.58 8.48 7.68 9.39 8.67 8.38 9.21 9.28 9.02 9.55 9.86 9.52 9.29 9.76 9.71 9.707
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.004
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.291
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.005
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.010
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.02 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.028
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 0.18 0.07 -0.05 -0.07 -0.18 -0.13 -0.06 0.01 0.04 0.07 0.18 0.13 0.23 — 194.67 — 0.56 0.24 5950.00 — —
Payables Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DSO 2056 4891 -6870 -5042 -2003 -2816 -6599 31400 8490 4902 2000 2889 1582 0 2 0 651 1528 0 0 0.0 days
DIO — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 0.0 days
DPO — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 —
Cash Conversion Cycle — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 —
Cash Velocity snapshot only 6.755
Capital Intensity snapshot only 39.443
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 22.8% 32.0% -1.2% -1.4% -2.0% -2.3% 22.3% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 2.4% 3.8% 2.3% 2.9% -31.1% -3.5% -28.6% 1.1% 4.1% 5.2% 5.22%
Net Income 10.1% 3.8% -1.3% -1.4% -2.1% -2.6% 21.3% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 2.1% 12.8% 2.8% 4.6% -37.2% -8.9% -27.3% 93.5% 2.1% 4.9% 4.88%
EPS 10.6% 3.9% -1.3% -1.5% -2.1% -2.5% 28.8% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.9% 10.2% 1.9% 3.2% -52.1% -33.7% -44.3% 56.7% 1.6% 4.1% 4.15%
FCF -8.0% -11.8% -18.9% -16.1% -17.7% -34.2% -55.0% -80.5% -99.5% -1.1% -1.2% -1.3% -4.4% 1.7% 3.1% 6.5% 26.2% 6.6% 2.3% 93.4% 93.45%
EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 116.4% 10.3% -1.3% -1.4% -2.1% -2.5% 22.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 2.2% 6.1% 2.5% 3.8% -35.3% -7.4% 36.1% 2.5% 5.7% 7.4% 7.39%
OCF Growth snapshot only 93.45%
Asset Growth snapshot only 19.35%
Equity Growth snapshot only 21.22%
Debt Growth snapshot only 1495.80%
Shares Change snapshot only 14.22%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 7.85%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — — 77.5% — -36.9% -37.4% -8.5% 5.1% — — — — — 2.1% 2.06%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.4% 1.3% — — 67.1% — -2.5% 8.1% 8.08%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — -43.3% -47.2% -21.4% -11.9% — — — — — 2.4% 2.37%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — -9.4% — — — — -25.8% -12.8% -12.83%
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — -37.9% -40.8% -9.4% 4.8% — — — — — 3.2% 3.20%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — -0.1% — — — — -14.0% 2.1% 2.12%
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — 77.5% — -36.9% -37.4% -8.5% 5.1% — — — — — 1.8% 1.79%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.4% 1.3% — — 67.1% — -7.8% 2.2% 2.23%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — 1.9% — -38.2% -39.6% -9.2% 4.7% — — — — — 2.8% 2.81%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.0% 0.3% — — 1.6% — 0.5% 11.3% 11.35%
FCF 3Y — — — — 74.7% 18.0% -11.5% -41.1% -84.0% — — — — -61.8% -44.2% -32.1% -22.4% -13.6% 8.3% 45.9% 45.95%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — -32.5% -23.2% -19.9% -18.8% -17.9% -14.2% -12.6% -12.65%
OCF 3Y — — — — 74.7% 18.0% -11.5% -41.1% -84.0% — — — — -61.8% -44.2% -32.1% -22.4% -13.6% 8.3% 45.9% 45.95%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — -32.5% -23.2% -19.9% -18.8% -17.9% -14.2% -12.6% -12.65%
Assets 3Y — — — — -18.9% -22.9% -8.1% -12.3% -4.3% -4.4% -5.6% 2.0% 9.2% 8.9% 13.0% 18.5% 23.0% 30.5% 21.6% 26.2% 26.24%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — -4.0% -4.9% 2.4% 2.6% 6.4% 7.1% 6.8% 10.2% 10.16%
Equity 3Y — — — — -10.9% -10.7% -7.4% -8.7% -11.4% -9.3% -8.9% -6.7% -3.3% -1.7% 4.0% 8.8% 16.6% 16.3% 16.1% 16.8% 16.77%
Book Value 3Y — — — — -9.9% -12.1% -9.1% -10.7% -14.8% -15.5% -16.9% -16.7% -16.1% -17.5% -13.8% -12.7% -7.4% -6.4% -6.9% -6.3% -6.34%
Dividend 3Y — — — — 0.6% -1.3% -0.3% 0.3% 0.1% -2.1% -3.7% -5.4% -7.5% -9.9% -10.5% -12.5% -13.2% -12.4% -13.0% -14.0% -14.01%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.77 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.11 0.51 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.03 0.25 0.16 0.02 0.02 0.85 0.73 0.29 0.54 0.01 0.02 0.025
Earnings Stability 0.67 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.12 0.48 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.20 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.07 0.37 0.01 0.06 0.056
Margin Stability 1.00 — — — 1.00 — — — 1.00 — — 1.00 1.00 1.00 — 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.87 0.89 0.886
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.96 0.89 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.54 0.91 0.68 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend 0.15 0.05 -0.16 -0.17 -0.31 -0.18 -0.18 -0.03 0.09 0.06 0.18 0.10 0.22 0.15 0.05 0.01 -0.01 0.08 0.05 0.13 0.135
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.25 -0.24 -0.243
FCF Margin Trend -19.53 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -0.32 0.67 0.52 0.14 -0.09 -0.094
Sustainable Growth Rate 6.4% -1.0% — — — — — -11.2% -9.0% -10.5% -3.7% -8.3% -0.1% -4.2% -9.2% -11.0% -6.5% 0.6% -2.0% 4.1% 4.10%
Internal Growth Rate 0.9% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.1% — 0.4% 0.42%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.01 2.06 -1.69 -1.62 -0.73 -0.85 -0.97 9.50 0.02 -0.76 -0.17 -0.20 -0.02 0.10 0.55 1.21 0.72 0.39 0.58 0.40 0.399
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.399
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.234
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Accruals Ratio -0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.03 -0.05 -0.04 -0.02 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.012
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.946
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.505
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 8.7% 8.5% 8.8% 10.0% 10.0% 9.5% 9.3% 8.2% 7.7% 7.4% 7.0% 6.7% 6.4% 5.9% 6.0% 5.8% 5.7% 5.8% 6.2% 6.1% 16.38%
Dividend/Share $1.64 $1.64 $1.63 $1.62 $1.62 $1.53 $1.54 $1.54 $1.55 $1.49 $1.49 $1.49 $1.44 $1.40 $1.43 $1.40 $1.44 $1.46 $1.50 $1.51 $1.44
Payout Ratio 56.0% 1.1% — — — — — 30.8% 3.2% 6.5% 1.4% 2.6% 1.0% 1.4% 2.8% 3.8% 1.8% 95.9% 1.1% 78.9% 78.89%
FCF Payout Ratio 55.1% 55.8% 57.6% 58.5% 66.0% 85.8% 1.3% 3.2% 137.3% — — — — 14.4% 5.1% 3.1% 2.5% 2.5% 2.0% 2.0% 1.98%
Total Payout Ratio 77.0% 1.5% — — — — — 30.8% 3.2% 6.5% 1.4% 2.6% 1.0% 1.4% 2.8% 3.8% 1.8% 95.9% 1.1% 78.9% 78.89%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number -0.07 -0.03 0.02 0.07 0.08 0.11 0.14 0.16 0.20 0.23 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.32 0.35 0.36 0.35 0.34 0.29 0.293
Buyback Yield 3.3% 2.8% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 3.3% 2.8% 0.4% -0.1% -5.1% -7.4% -8.8% -7.9% -7.2% -8.0% -7.8% -9.1% -10.0% -9.4% -10.2% -10.6% -8.0% -12.5% -12.1% -7.9% -7.94%
Total Shareholder Return 12.0% 11.3% 9.3% 9.9% 4.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% -0.6% -0.7% -2.4% -3.6% -3.5% -4.2% -4.8% -2.3% -6.7% -6.0% -1.9% -1.87%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.54 0.51 0.38 0.59 0.587
EBIT Margin 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.74 1.62 1.29 1.23 1.227
Asset Turnover 0.02 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.028
Equity Multiplier 6.95 7.02 7.49 7.29 7.11 6.60 7.92 7.65 8.76 7.65 8.43 8.48 9.33 8.86 9.01 9.56 9.41 9.17 9.67 9.78 9.776
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $2.93 $1.43 $-1.67 $-1.71 $-3.36 $-2.09 $-1.19 $0.05 $0.49 $0.23 $1.06 $0.56 $1.42 $0.97 $0.51 $0.37 $0.79 $1.53 $1.31 $1.91 $1.91
Book Value/Share $20.20 $19.58 $17.03 $15.28 $13.66 $13.82 $13.45 $13.14 $11.98 $12.25 $12.18 $11.69 $11.92 $11.01 $10.89 $10.17 $10.83 $11.32 $10.85 $10.79 $10.84
Tangible Book/Share $19.21 $18.58 $16.03 $14.28 $12.67 $12.90 $12.54 $12.26 $11.13 $11.47 $11.43 $10.98 $11.27 $10.42 $10.32 $9.65 $10.33 $10.84 $10.38 $10.34 $10.34
Revenue/Share $3.11 $1.59 $-1.51 $-1.55 $-3.21 $-1.96 $-1.06 $0.18 $0.62 $0.37 $1.20 $0.69 $1.55 $1.10 $0.63 $0.49 $0.85 $1.83 $2.65 $2.66 $2.67
FCF/Share $2.98 $2.93 $2.83 $2.78 $2.45 $1.78 $1.15 $0.48 $0.01 $-0.18 $-0.18 $-0.11 $-0.03 $0.10 $0.28 $0.45 $0.57 $0.60 $0.76 $0.76 $0.77
OCF/Share $2.98 $2.93 $2.83 $2.78 $2.45 $1.78 $1.15 $0.48 $0.01 $-0.18 $-0.18 $-0.11 $-0.03 $0.10 $0.28 $0.45 $0.57 $0.60 $0.76 $0.76 $0.77
Cash/Share $2.73 $2.90 $3.99 $4.26 $5.98 $4.10 $4.90 $2.71 $3.03 $0.77 $0.72 $0.72 $0.63 $0.57 $0.49 $0.64 $0.43 $1.59 $0.44 $0.39 $0.39
EBITDA/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.48 $2.97 $3.42 $3.26 $3.26
Debt/Share $105.11 $108.86 $105.11 $97.92 $90.55 $75.31 $98.99 $83.52 $98.41 $0.12 $0.11 $0.10 $0.09 $0.07 $0.07 $0.06 $0.05 $93.00 $93.22 $77.29 $77.29
Net Debt/Share $102.38 $105.95 $101.12 $93.66 $84.57 $71.22 $94.09 $80.81 $95.38 $-0.65 $-0.61 $-0.62 $-0.54 $-0.50 $-0.43 $-0.59 $-0.37 $91.41 $92.78 $76.89 $76.89
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -0.860
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -5.457
Piotroski F-Score 6 6 3 3 2 3 4 6 4 4 4 4 4 5 3 4 3 4 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score -1.33 — — — — — — — — -4.12 — — — -3.33 -4.00 — -1.81 4.20 9.15 — —
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -0.921
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-92.45
EVA snapshot only $-6707400000.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 11.30 11.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 23.50 23.50 23.50 28.00 42.25 42.25 42.25 49.75 11.30 11.30 11.30 11.300
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -30.950
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000

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