— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

AGR NYSE

Avangrid, Inc.
1W: +1.5% 1M: +0.9% 3M: +2.0% 1Y: +16.3% 3Y: -14.4% 5Y: -13.4%
$36.02
Last traded 2024-12-27 — delisted
NYSE · Utilities · Regulated Electric · $13.9B mcap · 71M float · 0.979% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
39.4 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: 3.7%  ·  5Y Avg: 2.9%
Cost Advantage
31
Intangibles
30
Switching Cost
59
Network Effect
39
Scale
34
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AGR has No discernible competitive edge (39.4/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. ROIC of 3.7% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 8Sell: 5Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2023-09-20 Mizuho Securities Anthony Crowdell Initiated $39 — +13.2% $34.44
2022-09-19 Wells Fargo — $50 $52 +2 +5.4% $49.32
2022-06-27 KeyBanc Sangita Jain Initiated $40 — -13.3% $46.12
2022-04-28 Wells Fargo — Initiated $50 — +10.1% $45.41

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 40 Grade B
Profitability
33
Balance Sheet
37
Earnings Quality
77
Growth
61
Value
83
Momentum
80
Safety
15
Cash Flow
27
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AGR scores highest in Value (83/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.58
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.40
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.02
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B+
Score: 32.2/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 0.98x
Accruals: 0.0%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. AGR scores 0.58, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AGR scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. AGR's score of -2.40 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AGR's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AGR receives an estimated rating of B+ (score: 32.2/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). AGR's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
17.74x
PEG
0.16x
P/S
1.68x
P/B
0.71x
P/FCF
-5.18x
P/OCF
12.41x
EV/EBITDA
10.66x
EV/Revenue
3.26x
EV/EBIT
18.65x
EV/FCF
-10.77x
Earnings Yield
8.19%
FCF Yield
-19.31%
Shareholder Yield
4.99%
Graham Number
$57.64
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 17.7x earnings, AGR trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 8.2% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $57.64 per share, suggesting a potential 60% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.069
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.688
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.175
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.196
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.274
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
5.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AGR's ROE of 5.7% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.196), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.07 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$111.49
Price/Value
0.32x
Margin of Safety
68.29%
Premium
-68.29%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with AGR's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. AGR actually compounded EPS at 16.6% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. AGR trades at a -68% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $111.49, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 17.7x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$36.02
Median 1Y
$34.59
5th Pctile
$22.70
95th Pctile
$52.65
Ann. Volatility
25.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
ROE 4.6% 4.7% 4.6% 4.2% 3.8% 4.4% 4.0% 4.1% 4.1% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.6% 3.5% 3.0% 2.8% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.7% 5.73%
ROA 2.1% 2.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.6% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.3% 2.3% 2.2% 1.7% 1.4% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 2.5% 2.52%
ROIC 3.6% 3.6% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3% 3.5% 3.4% 3.4% 3.3% 3.5% 3.9% 3.8% 3.8% 3.1% 2.7% 2.3% 3.0% 3.3% 3.4% 3.7% 3.74%
ROCE 3.6% 3.6% 3.3% 3.2% 2.5% 2.8% 2.8% 2.7% 2.7% 3.1% 3.3% 3.2% 3.1% 2.4% 2.1% 2.1% 2.7% 3.2% 3.4% 3.9% 3.85%
Gross Margin 38.2% 41.6% 39.0% 39.3% 36.6% 41.9% 36.3% 34.5% 33.0% 34.7% 36.8% 29.7% 30.0% 29.5% 35.8% 28.8% 39.7% 27.1% 18.9% 36.5% 36.49%
Operating Margin 13.4% 18.3% 11.1% 11.2% 13.3% 20.7% 8.9% 8.6% 11.4% 26.5% 12.3% 6.1% 10.1% 10.7% 7.9% 4.5% 19.7% 19.1% 10.4% 12.2% 12.19%
Net Margin 13.9% 13.4% 6.3% 5.9% 9.9% 17.0% 6.6% 6.9% 8.5% 20.9% 10.3% 5.7% 6.8% 9.9% 5.4% 3.0% 17.4% 14.4% 8.8% 9.8% 9.84%
EBITDA Margin 36.6% 31.8% 28.7% 29.6% 27.0% 33.2% 28.4% 25.6% 25.5% 26.5% 28.3% 22.4% 22.9% 23.2% 28.0% 20.2% 33.4% 29.1% 27.0% 32.6% 32.60%
FCF Margin -18.1% -23.4% -17.3% -19.4% -23.6% -19.3% -22.0% -22.8% -20.3% -23.0% -21.5% -20.2% -18.7% -20.5% -22.3% -21.5% -24.7% -25.8% -28.4% -30.3% -30.31%
OCF Margin 25.1% 25.2% 26.4% 23.0% 20.4% 21.6% 19.1% 17.7% 22.4% 21.3% 20.3% 19.0% 13.1% 10.3% 11.9% 11.0% 11.1% 10.5% 9.6% 12.7% 12.66%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.36%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 4.20%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.97%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.85%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 3.74%
Cash ROA snapshot only 2.36%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 3.20%
CROIC snapshot only -7.66%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 14.79%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 12.04%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 0.14%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.10%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
P/E Ratio 18.32 15.31 15.29 20.37 20.35 19.39 22.31 22.91 23.79 19.44 17.52 16.09 17.08 20.72 23.19 20.43 15.17 15.25 13.76 12.21 17.744
P/S Ratio 2.02 1.76 1.71 2.08 1.87 2.01 2.32 2.42 2.41 2.23 2.12 1.88 1.90 1.71 1.68 1.34 1.44 1.64 1.56 1.57 1.677
P/B Ratio 0.84 0.72 0.70 0.85 0.78 0.85 0.79 0.85 0.88 0.83 0.82 0.75 0.78 0.72 0.69 0.56 0.61 0.68 0.68 0.69 0.709
P/FCF -11.18 -7.52 -9.85 -10.71 -7.92 -10.42 -10.58 -10.63 -11.89 -9.69 -9.90 -9.27 -10.14 -8.34 -7.53 -6.22 -5.81 -6.36 -5.50 -5.18 -5.180
P/OCF 8.05 6.98 6.46 9.02 9.18 9.31 12.18 13.65 10.78 10.43 10.45 9.89 14.54 16.58 14.06 12.19 12.98 15.63 16.18 12.41 12.406
EV/EBITDA 10.10 9.38 9.48 10.96 11.55 11.99 10.99 11.85 12.19 12.59 12.11 11.71 12.32 12.20 12.47 11.54 11.04 11.51 11.41 10.66 10.665
EV/Revenue 3.28 3.07 3.03 3.49 3.39 3.58 3.27 3.41 3.45 3.33 3.20 3.01 3.08 2.93 2.98 2.69 2.89 3.22 3.16 3.26 3.264
EV/EBIT 18.48 17.42 18.01 21.96 24.23 23.88 21.88 24.05 25.01 21.21 20.14 19.79 21.30 27.82 30.21 27.84 22.80 21.67 20.43 18.65 18.653
EV/FCF -18.13 -13.11 -17.49 -18.00 -14.35 -18.52 -14.90 -14.98 -17.00 -14.48 -14.94 -14.85 -16.42 -14.30 -13.38 -12.52 -11.71 -12.46 -11.15 -10.77 -10.766
Earnings Yield 5.5% 6.5% 6.5% 4.9% 4.9% 5.2% 4.5% 4.4% 4.2% 5.1% 5.7% 6.2% 5.9% 4.8% 4.3% 4.9% 6.6% 6.6% 7.3% 8.2% 8.19%
FCF Yield -8.9% -13.3% -10.2% -9.3% -12.6% -9.6% -9.5% -9.4% -8.4% -10.3% -10.1% -10.8% -9.9% -12.0% -13.3% -16.1% -17.2% -15.7% -18.2% -19.3% -19.31%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.160
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.837
EV/OCF snapshot only 25.783
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 10.578
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 20.808
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 4.99%
Graham Number snapshot only $57.64
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Current Ratio 0.56 0.55 0.53 0.46 1.23 1.16 1.24 1.17 1.13 0.98 0.89 0.74 0.73 0.69 0.59 0.78 0.65 0.58 0.52 0.51 0.514
Quick Ratio 0.49 0.49 0.46 0.40 1.15 1.07 1.15 1.06 1.03 0.89 0.77 0.61 0.61 0.59 0.49 0.66 0.56 0.50 0.44 0.44 0.439
Debt/Equity 0.53 0.54 0.55 0.59 0.75 0.71 0.41 0.42 0.46 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.48 0.52 0.54 0.57 0.62 0.66 0.70 0.76 0.755
Net Debt/Equity 0.52 0.54 0.54 0.58 0.63 0.66 0.32 0.35 0.38 0.41 0.42 0.45 0.48 0.52 0.54 0.57 0.62 0.66 0.69 0.75 0.748
Debt/Assets 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.30 0.29 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.31 0.32 0.319
Debt/EBITDA 3.96 4.02 4.17 4.49 6.12 5.66 4.07 4.17 4.41 4.51 4.29 4.43 4.75 5.12 5.48 5.84 5.60 5.70 5.84 5.59 5.589
Net Debt/EBITDA 3.87 4.00 4.14 4.44 5.17 5.25 3.19 3.44 3.67 4.16 4.08 4.40 4.71 5.09 5.45 5.80 5.56 5.63 5.78 5.53 5.534
Interest Coverage 3.68 3.64 3.33 3.01 2.80 3.11 3.29 3.36 3.23 3.78 3.96 3.82 3.78 2.66 2.29 2.09 2.58 2.80 2.89 3.13 3.133
Equity Multiplier 2.26 2.26 2.28 2.34 2.49 2.46 2.01 2.04 2.07 2.06 2.05 2.06 2.12 2.13 2.14 2.18 2.24 2.27 2.30 2.37 2.366
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.021
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 5.480
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.010
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.177
Defensive Interval snapshot only 416.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Asset Turnover 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.196
Inventory Turnover 15.68 18.02 16.58 14.95 14.99 16.60 16.24 14.39 14.63 16.63 14.77 12.37 12.60 15.29 13.13 11.60 11.10 12.07 12.80 11.98 11.978
Receivables Turnover 5.70 5.35 6.31 6.26 5.54 5.51 6.35 6.29 5.65 5.17 6.15 6.26 5.27 5.24 6.02 5.92 5.00 5.01 6.32 6.30 6.300
Payables Turnover 3.02 3.43 3.29 2.88 2.64 3.14 3.08 2.81 2.81 3.35 3.53 3.47 2.89 3.87 4.06 3.71 2.79 3.31 3.90 3.58 3.577
DSO 64 68 58 58 66 66 58 58 65 71 59 58 69 70 61 62 73 73 58 58 57.9 days
DIO 23 20 22 24 24 22 22 25 25 22 25 30 29 24 28 31 33 30 29 30 30.5 days
DPO 121 106 111 127 138 116 118 130 130 109 103 105 126 94 90 98 131 110 94 102 102.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -34 -18 -31 -44 -48 -28 -38 -46 -40 -16 -19 -17 -28 -1 -2 -5 -25 -7 -7 -14 -13.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.250
Operating Cycle snapshot only 88.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 58.932
Capital Intensity snapshot only 5.358
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Revenue -2.2% -2.6% -2.7% -2.1% -0.3% 3.4% 4.9% 7.2% 10.3% 9.9% 13.3% 14.7% 13.6% 15.6% 7.9% 6.3% 4.9% 0.3% 7.0% 6.6% 6.56%
Net Income 17.6% 27.3% 22.8% 7.0% -17.0% -6.6% -2.3% 11.1% 21.7% 21.2% 32.0% 26.7% 24.6% -16.7% -35.6% -40.3% -10.8% 31.0% 67.7% 1.1% 1.09%
EPS 17.7% 27.3% 22.7% 7.0% -17.0% -6.7% -12.9% -11.3% -2.8% -3.0% 18.4% 26.8% 24.7% -16.7% -35.6% -40.3% -10.8% 30.9% 67.6% 1.1% 1.09%
FCF -287.8% -3.8% -45.5% -29.0% -30.2% 14.7% -32.8% -25.9% 5.2% -30.6% -10.7% -2.0% -4.9% -3.2% -11.9% -12.9% -38.3% -26.3% -36.3% -50.3% -50.31%
EBITDA 6.7% 7.5% 3.5% 3.6% -9.9% -5.7% -2.4% -3.1% 6.4% -2.7% 0.8% 2.3% 0.2% 5.2% -2.7% -3.4% 10.1% 16.6% 24.3% 39.9% 39.88%
Op. Income -11.0% -7.1% -10.8% -16.7% -13.4% -4.1% -1.4% 3.9% 3.0% 11.3% 23.9% 24.7% 24.7% -22.7% -37.1% -37.7% -16.7% 38.7% 67.1% 96.3% 96.27%
OCF Growth snapshot only 22.94%
Asset Growth snapshot only 10.26%
Equity Growth snapshot only 1.63%
Debt Growth snapshot only 33.86%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.03%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -0.03%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Revenue 3Y 1.7% 1.0% 1.5% 1.9% 2.0% 2.3% 2.3% 1.9% 2.5% 3.4% 4.9% 6.4% 7.7% 9.5% 8.6% 9.3% 9.5% 8.4% 9.4% 9.1% 9.14%
Revenue 5Y — — — — 15.0% 6.2% 1.0% -2.6% 3.0% 3.2% 4.5% 5.4% 5.8% 6.3% 5.6% 5.2% 5.1% 5.1% 5.9% 6.4% 6.41%
EPS 3Y 3.6% 3.3% 1.3% -1.3% 15.1% 20.5% 17.9% 12.4% -1.7% 4.8% 8.2% 6.4% 0.2% -9.0% -12.8% -12.4% 2.7% 1.9% 8.5% 16.6% 16.56%
EPS 5Y — — — — 26.7% 11.6% 4.4% -1.2% -2.1% -0.1% 1.4% 1.6% 13.1% 7.1% 4.5% 1.4% 1.1% 4.7% 6.4% 8.5% 8.50%
Net Income 3Y 3.6% 3.2% 1.3% -1.4% 15.1% 20.5% 22.5% 21.1% 5.9% 12.9% 16.5% 14.6% 8.0% -2.0% -6.0% -5.6% 10.6% 9.7% 12.5% 16.5% 16.53%
Net Income 5Y — — — — 26.7% 11.6% 6.8% 3.4% 2.3% 4.5% 6.0% 6.2% 18.3% 12.0% 9.3% 6.1% 5.7% 9.4% 11.3% 13.5% 13.49%
EBITDA 3Y 0.8% -0.1% 0.7% 0.7% 14.8% 17.2% 18.1% 15.7% 0.8% -0.5% 0.6% 0.9% -1.3% -1.2% -1.4% -1.4% 5.5% 6.1% 6.8% 11.4% 11.37%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — 12.4% 4.0% -1.7% -5.4% -0.4% -1.8% 0.1% 0.3% 10.0% 10.5% 10.1% 8.9% 2.4% 3.9% 4.2% 6.8% 6.78%
Gross Profit 3Y 0.0% -0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.8% 1.6% 1.2% -0.4% -0.4% -1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% -0.4% 0.5% 3.8% 1.9% -0.6% 2.2% 2.19%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — 16.2% 6.6% 0.2% -3.9% 0.2% -0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.3% -0.3% 1.5% 1.3% -0.2% 1.4% 1.41%
Op. Income 3Y -5.6% -7.3% -6.4% -8.2% 31.2% 34.5% 33.4% 25.6% -7.4% -0.3% 2.9% 2.6% 3.6% -6.2% -8.4% -6.9% 2.3% 6.0% 9.2% 15.1% 15.11%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — 21.3% 6.9% -1.6% -5.9% -5.6% -3.2% 0.0% 0.1% 23.7% 15.9% 13.1% 9.0% -3.8% 1.2% 2.8% 5.7% 5.72%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y 0.7% -0.4% 1.7% -4.7% -9.9% -9.8% -11.7% -12.2% -4.5% 0.3% -2.3% -5.3% -13.4% -18.7% -16.7% -14.6% -10.6% -14.8% -12.9% -2.5% -2.47%
OCF 5Y — — — — 3.5% -1.0% -8.8% -12.4% 0.0% -1.0% -0.8% -2.6% -10.1% -15.0% -12.0% -12.6% -12.5% -10.4% -12.6% -8.5% -8.46%
Assets 3Y 3.2% 3.3% 3.4% 3.7% 6.1% 6.3% 7.2% 7.0% 7.1% 6.6% 6.3% 6.0% 6.1% 6.2% 6.1% 5.9% 5.2% 6.1% 5.7% 6.3% 6.33%
Assets 5Y — — — — 4.2% 4.3% 4.9% 4.9% 4.8% 4.7% 4.8% 4.6% 5.4% 5.7% 5.8% 5.9% 6.5% 6.7% 6.6% 6.9% 6.85%
Equity 3Y 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.5% 8.3% 8.1% 8.1% 8.2% 8.6% 8.5% 8.3% 8.4% 8.4% 8.5% 8.9% 8.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.13%
Book Value 3Y 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 4.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% -2.5% 1.1% 1.15%
Dividend 3Y 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% -0.1% -3.8% -5.3% -3.5% -1.7% -0.0% -2.1% -3.9% -5.6% -7.2% -7.2% -7.2% -7.2% -3.6% 0.0% 0.02%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Revenue Stability 0.59 0.45 0.58 0.41 0.72 0.80 0.44 0.45 0.65 0.69 0.72 0.76 0.79 0.78 0.83 0.77 0.78 0.82 0.89 0.93 0.932
Earnings Stability 0.55 0.35 0.14 0.00 0.45 0.43 0.26 0.11 0.24 0.43 0.46 0.50 0.76 0.61 0.38 0.28 0.58 0.58 0.36 0.37 0.370
Margin Stability 0.98 0.97 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.95 0.93 0.94 0.92 0.92 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.91 0.89 0.87 0.89 0.887
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.93 0.89 0.91 0.97 0.93 0.97 0.99 0.96 0.91 0.92 0.87 0.89 0.90 0.93 0.86 0.84 0.96 0.88 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.84 0.76 0.80 0.93 0.81 0.93 0.98 0.89 0.80 0.81 0.72 0.76 0.78 0.82 0.57 0.50 0.89 0.73 0.49 0.29 0.293
ROE Trend 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 -0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.020
Gross Margin Trend -0.00 0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.01 -0.00 -0.04 -0.01 -0.013
FCF Margin Trend -0.13 -0.18 -0.09 -0.11 -0.15 -0.05 -0.07 -0.06 0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0.01 0.03 0.01 -0.01 0.00 -0.05 -0.04 -0.07 -0.09 -0.094
Sustainable Growth Rate 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 0.0% -0.5% -0.7% 0.5% 1.1% 1.5% 2.3% 2.25%
Internal Growth Rate 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% — — — 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 1.00%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.28 2.19 2.37 2.26 2.22 2.08 1.83 1.68 2.21 1.86 1.68 1.63 1.17 1.25 1.65 1.68 1.17 0.98 0.85 0.98 0.984
FCF/OCF -0.72 -0.93 -0.66 -0.84 -1.16 -0.89 -1.15 -1.28 -0.91 -1.08 -1.06 -1.07 -1.43 -1.99 -1.87 -1.96 -2.23 -2.46 -2.94 -2.39 -2.395
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -2.357
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.414
CapEx/Revenue 43.2% 48.6% 43.8% 42.4% 44.0% 41.0% 41.0% 40.5% 42.7% 44.3% 41.8% 39.2% 31.8% 30.8% 34.2% 32.5% 35.8% 36.3% 38.0% 43.0% 42.97%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 2.989
Accruals Ratio -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.087
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.249
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Dividend Yield 4.3% 4.9% 5.1% 4.2% 4.6% 4.2% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 4.1% 4.3% 4.7% 4.5% 4.8% 5.0% 6.2% 5.7% 5.0% 5.1% 5.0% 4.89%
Dividend/Share $1.76 $1.76 $1.76 $1.76 $1.76 $1.76 $1.57 $1.50 $1.58 $1.67 $1.76 $1.76 $1.76 $1.76 $1.76 $1.76 $1.76 $1.76 $1.76 $1.76 $1.76
Payout Ratio 77.9% 75.5% 77.7% 85.4% 93.8% 80.7% 79.6% 81.8% 86.7% 79.1% 75.3% 75.7% 77.3% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 86.6% 76.3% 69.8% 60.7% 60.70%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 77.9% 75.5% 78.2% 85.9% 94.3% 81.5% 79.7% 81.9% 91.2% 82.8% 78.8% 79.2% 77.3% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 87.0% 76.7% 69.8% 60.9% 60.87%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.10 0.16 0.23 0.29 0.22 0.16 0.10 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.050
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.01%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 4.3% 4.9% 5.1% 4.2% 4.6% 4.2% 3.6% 3.6% 3.8% 4.3% 4.5% 4.9% 4.5% 4.8% 5.1% 6.2% 5.7% 5.0% 5.1% 5.0% 4.97%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.85 0.90 0.95 0.96 1.02 1.02 1.00 1.06 1.06 0.99 1.02 1.04 1.05 1.25 1.30 1.30 1.20 1.11 1.11 1.07 1.069
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.73 0.73 0.70 0.67 0.64 0.68 0.70 0.70 0.69 0.74 0.75 0.74 0.74 0.62 0.56 0.52 0.62 0.65 0.66 0.69 0.688
EBIT Margin 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.14 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.17 0.175
Asset Turnover 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.196
Equity Multiplier 2.19 2.20 2.24 2.28 2.37 2.36 2.13 2.17 2.26 2.24 2.03 2.05 2.10 2.09 2.09 2.12 2.18 2.20 2.22 2.27 2.274
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $2.26 $2.34 $2.26 $2.06 $1.88 $2.18 $1.97 $1.83 $1.82 $2.11 $2.33 $2.32 $2.27 $1.76 $1.50 $1.38 $2.03 $2.30 $2.52 $2.90 $2.90
Book Value/Share $49.23 $49.50 $49.36 $49.18 $49.12 $49.66 $55.38 $49.27 $49.22 $49.55 $50.13 $49.97 $50.04 $50.40 $50.31 $50.19 $50.74 $51.33 $51.32 $50.99 $53.45
Tangible Book/Share $38.14 $38.41 $38.28 $38.11 $38.07 $38.61 $45.54 $40.46 $40.41 $40.75 $41.34 $41.18 $41.26 $41.62 $41.50 $41.39 $41.96 $42.55 $42.57 $42.24 $42.24
Revenue/Share $20.48 $20.30 $20.28 $20.22 $20.41 $20.98 $18.95 $17.31 $17.99 $18.45 $19.26 $19.88 $20.46 $21.33 $20.79 $21.13 $21.46 $21.38 $22.23 $22.51 $21.48
FCF/Share $-3.71 $-4.75 $-3.51 $-3.92 $-4.82 $-4.06 $-4.16 $-3.94 $-3.65 $-4.24 $-4.13 $-4.02 $-3.83 $-4.37 $-4.63 $-4.54 $-5.30 $-5.52 $-6.30 $-6.82 $-5.31
OCF/Share $5.15 $5.12 $5.36 $4.66 $4.16 $4.54 $3.61 $3.07 $4.03 $3.94 $3.91 $3.77 $2.67 $2.20 $2.48 $2.32 $2.37 $2.25 $2.14 $2.85 $2.38
Cash/Share $0.58 $0.08 $0.15 $0.33 $5.69 $2.62 $4.98 $3.64 $3.80 $1.67 $1.06 $0.15 $0.18 $0.19 $0.15 $0.19 $0.24 $0.39 $0.35 $0.38 $0.24
EBITDA/Share $6.65 $6.64 $6.48 $6.44 $5.99 $6.26 $5.64 $4.98 $5.09 $4.87 $5.10 $5.10 $5.10 $5.13 $4.96 $4.93 $5.62 $5.98 $6.16 $6.89 $6.89
Debt/Share $26.32 $26.68 $27.02 $28.91 $36.69 $35.46 $22.95 $20.79 $22.47 $21.96 $21.88 $22.59 $24.23 $26.25 $27.18 $28.77 $31.51 $34.06 $35.98 $38.50 $38.50
Net Debt/Share $25.74 $26.60 $26.87 $28.58 $30.99 $32.84 $17.97 $17.15 $18.67 $20.29 $20.82 $22.44 $24.05 $26.07 $27.03 $28.58 $31.27 $33.66 $35.63 $38.12 $38.12
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.582
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.428
Piotroski F-Score 6 6 4 4 4 5 5 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 3 4 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.72 -2.76 -2.62 -2.49 -2.37 -2.23 -2.28 -2.24 -2.44 -2.38 -3.52 -2.30 -2.24 -2.54 -2.31 -3.22 -2.49 -2.34 -1.82 -2.40 -2.405
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.024
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 4.86%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-57.76
EVA snapshot only $-2162571428.57
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B+
Credit Score 36.07 35.68 34.64 34.60 36.49 40.74 46.41 43.91 44.87 42.45 40.55 40.08 37.86 30.00 27.25 28.22 28.41 28.42 26.98 32.22 32.218
Credit Grade snapshot only 14
Credit Trend snapshot only 3.997
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 650.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 33
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 29

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms