— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 0HA5.L (LSE) · $vol 0M

AJRD NYSE

Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc.
1W: +3.2% 1M: +5.4% 3M: +2.9% 1Y: +36.4% 3Y: +72.6% 5Y: +121.5%
$57.99
Last traded 2023-07-27 — delisted
NYSE · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · $4.7B mcap

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
43.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 20.6%  ·  5Y Avg: 19.1%
Cost Advantage ★
74
Intangibles
25
Switching Cost
38
Network Effect
28
Scale
55
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AJRD shows a Weak competitive edge (43.0/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 20.6% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 4Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2022-12-20 J.P. Morgan — Initiated $58 — +4.4% $55.55
2022-12-19 Jefferies Greg Konrad Initiated $58 — +5.7% $54.89

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 23 Grade D
Profitability
28
Balance Sheet
69
Earnings Quality
33
Growth
25
Value
30
Momentum
15
Safety
80
Cash Flow
8
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AJRD scores highest in Safety (80/100) and lowest in Cash Flow (8/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
3.11
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.03
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.59
Bankruptcy prob: 0.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A
Score: 70.4/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: -0.09x
Accruals: 3.4%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. AJRD scores 3.11, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AJRD scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. AJRD's score of -2.03 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AJRD's implied 0.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AJRD receives an estimated rating of A (score: 70.4/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). AJRD's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
63.03x
PEG
-1.20x
P/S
2.09x
P/B
8.60x
P/FCF
-97.27x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
19.73x
EV/Revenue
2.00x
EV/EBIT
24.95x
EV/FCF
-98.57x
Earnings Yield
1.63%
FCF Yield
-1.03%
Shareholder Yield
0.26%
Graham Number
$12.00
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 63.0x earnings, AJRD is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $12.00 per share, 383% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.713
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.564
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.080
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.963
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
4.280
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
13.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AJRD's ROE of 13.3% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 4.28x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$7.79
Price/Value
7.21x
Margin of Safety
-620.65%
Premium
620.65%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with AJRD's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. AJRD trades at a 621% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $7.79, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 63.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$57.99
Median 1Y
$65.15
5th Pctile
$34.66
95th Pctile
$122.11
Ann. Volatility
36.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
ROE 5.5% 22.6% 52.4% 51.0% 46.2% 28.9% 28.3% 24.7% 21.6% 20.0% 34.0% 27.8% 25.8% 25.4% 37.5% 37.1% 27.3% 20.7% 13.8% 13.3% 13.30%
ROA 0.4% 2.6% 5.8% 6.6% 6.9% 5.4% 5.4% 5.1% 4.8% 4.6% 4.9% 4.9% 5.1% 5.4% 5.4% 6.4% 5.2% 4.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.11%
ROIC 5.2% 20.9% 63.3% 47.8% 47.1% 39.7% 54.7% 43.2% 53.1% 46.5% -69.9% 60.4% 64.4% 70.8% 58.3% 45.8% 32.6% 28.5% 21.9% 20.6% 20.58%
ROCE 8.0% 13.3% 18.9% 20.1% 20.3% 17.3% 12.7% 12.0% 11.3% 10.9% 14.6% 12.9% 12.9% 13.4% 13.8% 15.9% 13.7% 13.2% 10.9% 11.1% 11.07%
Gross Margin 20.9% 19.7% 19.5% 19.1% 21.7% 18.5% 15.2% 17.1% 19.0% 16.3% 19.2% 15.7% 19.9% 18.1% 17.0% 16.7% 11.2% 16.5% 14.9% 13.8% 13.79%
Operating Margin 14.6% 21.7% 12.5% 12.9% 14.7% 11.4% 9.3% 12.0% 13.5% 10.7% 10.4% 9.2% 13.3% 13.1% 11.1% 11.4% 5.3% 12.9% 3.3% 10.5% 10.51%
Net Margin 7.4% 13.0% 5.4% 7.9% 9.1% 6.8% 4.8% 6.6% 7.7% 6.0% 6.4% 3.6% 8.1% 7.8% 6.4% 5.4% 3.1% 2.5% 2.5% 4.9% 4.91%
EBITDA Margin 15.7% 23.0% 14.3% 15.9% 17.8% 14.7% 13.7% 14.3% 15.3% 11.9% 11.9% 8.9% 14.7% 13.9% 12.7% 14.3% 9.6% 11.7% 6.0% 14.0% 13.95%
FCF Margin 8.2% 12.3% 11.1% 15.3% 11.6% 11.3% 11.0% 11.1% 15.3% 12.1% 14.9% 12.2% 9.6% 13.0% 7.4% 7.2% 1.6% -0.6% -4.0% -2.0% -2.03%
OCF Margin 10.1% 14.3% 13.3% 17.4% 13.6% 13.3% 13.2% 13.3% 17.9% 14.9% 17.6% 14.9% 12.0% 14.9% 9.1% 8.8% 3.2% 1.4% -2.2% -0.3% -0.28%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 28.65%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 28.48%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.91%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 16.47%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 14.89%
Cash ROA snapshot only -0.28%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -1.04%
CROIC snapshot only -7.48%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 5.59%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 4.53%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 2.56%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.40%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
P/E Ratio 212.28 38.31 18.43 15.93 19.00 27.07 24.04 23.43 22.77 23.07 27.98 30.46 30.60 25.40 26.59 22.01 27.95 33.86 60.84 61.26 63.033
P/S Ratio 1.01 1.19 1.33 1.36 1.70 1.99 1.71 1.59 1.47 1.44 1.86 1.81 1.86 1.66 1.75 1.53 1.60 1.49 2.01 1.98 2.093
P/B Ratio 9.07 5.97 6.01 5.54 6.25 6.65 5.88 5.08 4.37 4.15 16.50 13.68 11.75 8.95 7.16 6.14 6.07 6.18 8.32 8.05 8.603
P/FCF 12.31 9.70 12.08 8.91 14.70 17.65 15.53 14.41 9.60 11.98 12.46 14.80 19.37 12.81 23.54 21.33 102.27 -235.30 -50.36 -97.27 -97.273
P/OCF 10.00 8.34 10.01 7.81 12.55 14.95 12.98 11.96 8.20 9.70 10.59 12.17 15.54 11.18 19.14 17.40 49.40 106.82 — — —
EV/EBITDA 9.65 8.45 8.20 7.79 9.35 12.26 10.21 9.79 8.91 9.24 12.18 15.14 15.41 12.91 13.06 10.66 12.43 12.37 19.93 19.73 19.731
EV/Revenue 1.04 1.20 1.28 1.35 1.67 1.93 1.58 1.48 1.29 1.28 1.62 1.82 1.84 1.60 1.65 1.48 1.57 1.49 2.02 2.00 2.003
EV/EBIT 14.66 11.35 7.94 7.56 9.08 11.87 13.48 13.05 11.98 12.35 15.96 20.24 20.32 16.64 16.79 13.32 16.52 16.71 25.59 24.95 24.951
EV/FCF 12.63 9.76 11.55 8.85 14.43 17.11 14.35 13.37 8.44 10.58 10.85 14.86 19.09 12.34 22.25 20.58 100.01 -235.54 -50.55 -98.57 -98.571
Earnings Yield 0.5% 2.6% 5.4% 6.3% 5.3% 3.7% 4.2% 4.3% 4.4% 4.3% 3.6% 3.3% 3.3% 3.9% 3.8% 4.5% 3.6% 3.0% 1.6% 1.6% 1.63%
FCF Yield 8.1% 10.3% 8.3% 11.2% 6.8% 5.7% 6.4% 6.9% 10.4% 8.3% 8.0% 6.8% 5.2% 7.8% 4.2% 4.7% 1.0% -0.4% -2.0% -1.0% -1.03%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 12.094
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 14.182
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 25.533
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.26%
Graham Number snapshot only $12.00
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Current Ratio 1.60 1.24 1.41 1.45 1.53 1.54 1.63 1.67 1.76 1.75 1.14 1.27 1.35 1.45 1.41 1.35 1.29 1.25 1.43 1.53 1.535
Quick Ratio 1.58 1.21 1.39 1.42 1.50 1.51 1.60 1.65 1.74 1.73 1.13 1.26 1.33 1.43 1.40 1.34 1.28 1.23 1.41 1.51 1.507
Debt/Equity 2.78 1.58 1.48 1.48 1.32 1.20 1.17 1.10 1.00 0.94 2.83 1.91 1.54 1.26 0.94 0.91 0.86 0.66 0.65 0.61 0.612
Net Debt/Equity 0.24 0.04 -0.26 -0.04 -0.11 -0.20 -0.44 -0.36 -0.53 -0.49 -2.13 0.06 -0.17 -0.33 -0.39 -0.22 -0.13 0.01 0.03 0.11 0.107
Debt/Assets 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.27 0.27 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.149
Debt/EBITDA 2.88 2.22 2.12 2.10 2.01 2.29 2.20 2.28 2.33 2.37 2.39 2.10 2.05 1.88 1.82 1.64 1.79 1.32 1.54 1.48 1.479
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.24 0.06 -0.37 -0.05 -0.17 -0.39 -0.84 -0.76 -1.23 -1.22 -1.80 0.06 -0.23 -0.49 -0.75 -0.39 -0.28 0.01 0.07 0.26 0.260
Interest Coverage 4.35 6.27 8.87 9.60 9.72 8.53 6.51 6.35 6.46 6.68 6.99 7.01 7.89 9.35 10.70 12.80 11.28 10.51 9.39 9.02 9.025
Equity Multiplier 10.95 6.29 5.91 5.43 4.89 4.68 4.70 4.44 4.12 4.03 12.42 8.53 7.02 5.90 4.56 4.45 4.30 4.33 4.38 4.11 4.110
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.436
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 11.412
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.824
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.135
Defensive Interval snapshot only 2230.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Asset Turnover 0.84 0.83 0.80 0.77 0.77 0.74 0.76 0.75 0.75 0.74 0.74 0.82 0.83 0.83 0.82 0.92 0.90 0.94 0.93 0.96 0.963
Inventory Turnover 18.28 18.08 20.48 73.98 75.38 57.45 82.96 78.39 87.81 82.69 100.08 111.61 117.81 158.58 180.01 150.63 141.94 148.69 147.77 134.40 134.396
Receivables Turnover 5.34 5.12 6.41 4.63 4.81 4.63 5.56 4.63 5.21 4.47 5.92 4.12 4.78 4.55 5.46 4.14 4.15 4.45 4.41 4.13 4.132
Payables Turnover 15.68 15.62 16.34 13.18 16.47 16.33 14.94 14.27 20.08 17.48 15.03 17.23 19.31 18.25 15.57 19.34 17.06 17.06 13.90 16.55 16.552
DSO 68 71 57 79 76 79 66 79 70 82 62 89 76 80 67 88 88 82 83 88 88.3 days
DIO 20 20 18 5 5 6 4 5 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 2.7 days
DPO 23 23 22 28 22 22 24 26 18 21 24 21 19 20 23 19 21 21 26 22 22.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 65 68 52 56 59 63 46 58 56 65 41 71 60 63 45 72 69 63 59 69 69.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 4.949
Operating Cycle snapshot only 91.1 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 8.082
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.009
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Revenue 5.9% 5.6% 1.0% -3.5% -2.9% -4.5% 4.5% 3.7% 4.2% 7.5% 4.6% 6.4% 7.2% 5.7% 5.6% 5.3% 1.7% 1.1% 2.3% 4.1% 4.08%
Net Income -74.7% 1.5% 15.9% 148.3% 17.2% 1.3% 2.7% -17.5% -24.8% -8.3% -2.3% -7.0% 1.1% 10.6% 4.4% 23.3% -4.1% -32.0% -48.5% -51.8% -51.76%
EPS -75.4% -3.0% 14.8% 137.5% 16.0% 1.1% -0.7% -20.0% -26.1% -7.3% -0.5% -4.2% 0.6% 10.0% 3.3% 16.0% -7.9% -31.1% -47.7% -48.7% -48.71%
FCF 13.3% 1.7% 25.9% 2.3% 36.6% -12.5% 4.2% -25.0% 37.9% 15.1% 41.6% 17.8% -32.6% 13.8% -47.5% -38.2% -83.4% -1.0% -1.6% -1.3% -1.29%
EBITDA 15.0% 41.5% 55.1% 62.9% 61.1% 5.6% 4.0% -9.8% -15.4% -5.6% -10.2% -15.4% -11.9% -4.9% 0.3% 21.5% 7.7% -1.8% -18.0% -23.8% -23.77%
Op. Income 1.1% 98.4% 1.4% 1.1% 82.9% -0.6% -12.0% -21.2% -22.7% -5.3% 1.0% -1.2% 2.0% 7.9% 6.8% 17.6% -4.7% -10.5% -30.4% -33.3% -33.30%
OCF Growth snapshot only -1.03%
Asset Growth snapshot only -5.56%
Equity Growth snapshot only 2.35%
Debt Growth snapshot only -31.41%
Shares Change snapshot only -5.94%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 41.76%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Revenue 3Y 6.3% 6.1% 3.7% 2.9% 4.2% 3.4% 4.0% 2.8% 2.3% 2.7% 3.4% 2.1% 2.7% 2.8% 4.9% 5.1% 4.4% 4.7% 4.1% 5.3% 5.26%
Revenue 5Y 12.9% 10.7% 6.5% 5.2% 3.8% 3.0% 4.4% 4.4% 4.0% 4.2% 4.0% 3.8% 4.8% 4.7% 4.4% 4.0% 3.2% 3.0% 3.6% 3.1% 3.15%
EPS 3Y -13.1% — — — — 1.5% 91.0% 83.6% 45.6% 23.7% — — 1.3% 29.0% 0.7% -3.8% -11.9% -11.1% -18.7% -17.1% -17.09%
EPS 5Y — -17.8% -6.2% -7.7% -2.8% — — — 52.4% — — — — 72.1% 48.3% 47.0% 23.4% 7.5% — — —
Net Income 3Y -12.0% — — — — 1.6% 98.6% 92.3% 51.3% 28.0% — — 1.4% 31.7% 1.5% -1.8% -10.0% -11.7% -19.3% -17.9% -17.90%
Net Income 5Y — -18.7% -3.9% -2.1% 3.9% — — — 56.3% — — — — 79.4% 51.5% 52.2% 27.4% 9.5% — — —
EBITDA 3Y 7.7% 21.1% 25.1% 25.4% 36.3% 26.6% 24.0% 23.2% 16.1% 12.2% 13.1% 7.6% 6.3% -1.8% -2.2% -2.5% -7.1% -4.1% -9.6% -7.8% -7.80%
EBITDA 5Y 38.1% 40.6% 34.8% 31.0% 27.5% 21.7% 18.3% 19.0% 11.3% 12.1% 12.8% 8.5% 13.6% 12.7% 11.4% 14.0% 8.2% 5.7% 3.6% 2.9% 2.88%
Gross Profit 3Y 8.9% 9.2% 12.2% 13.5% 19.5% 20.1% 16.3% 14.0% 9.6% 8.2% 12.4% 10.3% 8.8% 6.4% 3.8% 1.7% -3.6% -3.6% -3.4% -3.0% -3.01%
Gross Profit 5Y 18.6% 19.2% 17.7% 17.0% 17.0% 15.8% 14.2% 14.4% 8.6% 6.5% 8.6% 7.5% 11.2% 12.8% 10.6% 10.6% 5.5% 4.3% 4.8% 3.4% 3.37%
Op. Income 3Y 20.3% 82.1% 1.0% 79.7% 1.5% 70.5% 57.3% 59.0% 42.7% 23.2% 28.2% 18.5% 13.0% 0.5% -1.7% -2.9% -9.1% -2.9% -9.1% -8.1% -8.13%
Op. Income 5Y 53.5% 68.3% 64.7% 55.2% — — 78.4% 1.3% 19.7% 41.6% 48.2% 35.2% 64.3% 38.3% 33.2% 36.1% 23.1% 12.5% 9.4% 5.5% 5.48%
FCF 3Y -0.9% 15.8% 94.9% 1.2% — — 25.4% 18.9% 28.7% 39.4% 22.9% 42.9% 8.3% 4.6% -8.2% -18.3% -46.4% — — — —
FCF 5Y 81.6% — 70.8% — — 49.3% 15.3% 16.4% 12.9% 9.3% 61.3% 54.8% — — 7.9% 4.1% -24.9% — — — —
OCF 3Y -0.2% 15.0% 57.2% 68.6% 85.7% 79.6% 18.1% 11.9% 23.0% 30.9% 19.6% 37.2% 8.7% 4.1% -7.6% -16.3% -35.2% -50.6% — — —
OCF 5Y 28.1% 41.7% 26.6% 48.7% 48.1% 24.2% 11.7% 13.3% 12.2% 10.2% 41.1% 35.2% 44.6% 49.1% 4.7% 0.7% -18.2% -25.8% — — —
Assets 3Y 8.3% 8.4% 7.0% 8.4% 8.4% 10.7% 6.4% 6.7% 6.5% 7.5% 8.7% -0.3% -0.4% -1.8% -0.8% -1.1% -1.1% -5.0% -4.3% -5.5% -5.50%
Assets 5Y 11.3% 7.3% 7.2% 8.1% 8.8% 8.7% 7.1% 7.5% 7.8% 7.8% 7.3% 3.5% 3.5% 3.9% 1.6% 1.7% 1.5% -0.2% 1.0% -0.6% -0.62%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — 1.5% 90.7% 75.3% 67.3% 31.6% 17.9% 15.5% 0.3% 8.2% 5.7% 3.3% -2.5% -2.1% -3.0% -3.01%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — 1.4% 82.1% 68.7% 61.7% 27.5% 14.9% 11.9% -1.7% 7.3% 3.5% 1.2% -1.9% -1.3% -2.1% -2.06%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -85.1% -85.1% -84.4% -81.4% 11.1% 11.14%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Revenue Stability 0.94 0.96 0.94 0.88 0.87 0.79 0.98 0.83 0.83 0.81 0.98 0.82 0.87 0.86 0.99 0.94 0.91 0.87 0.98 0.86 0.858
Earnings Stability 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.96 0.82 0.79 0.63 0.92 0.77 0.67 0.67 0.86 0.66 0.59 0.42 0.33 0.14 0.09 0.087
Margin Stability 0.91 0.85 0.82 0.79 0.77 0.77 0.80 0.77 0.84 0.88 0.86 0.86 0.84 0.84 0.87 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.88 0.87 0.872
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.99 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.90 0.97 0.99 0.97 1.00 0.96 0.98 0.91 0.98 0.87 0.81 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.99 — — 0.00 0.23 0.97 0.81 0.72 0.91 0.98 0.93 0.99 0.90 0.96 0.79 0.96 0.62 0.36 0.30 0.302
ROE Trend — — 0.12 0.25 0.16 -0.03 0.13 0.05 0.01 -0.02 0.30 0.17 0.12 0.14 -0.15 -0.05 -0.07 -0.08 -0.29 -0.23 -0.233
Gross Margin Trend 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.02 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.036
FCF Margin Trend 0.05 0.10 0.03 0.09 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.00 0.04 -0.01 -0.04 0.01 -0.06 -0.04 -0.11 -0.13 -0.15 -0.12 -0.117
Sustainable Growth Rate 5.5% 22.6% 52.4% 51.0% 46.2% 28.9% 28.3% 24.7% 21.6% 20.0% 34.0% -68.0% -59.0% -51.8% -74.3% 36.7% 27.0% 20.4% 13.3% 12.9% 12.94%
Internal Growth Rate 0.4% 2.7% 6.1% 7.1% 7.4% 5.7% 5.7% 5.3% 5.1% 4.9% 5.2% — — — — 6.7% 5.4% 4.2% 3.1% 3.1% 3.12%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
OCF/Net Income 21.23 4.59 1.84 2.04 1.51 1.81 1.85 1.96 2.78 2.38 2.64 2.50 1.97 2.27 1.39 1.26 0.57 0.32 -0.66 -0.09 -0.088
FCF/OCF 0.81 0.86 0.83 0.88 0.85 0.85 0.84 0.83 0.85 0.81 0.85 0.82 0.80 0.87 0.81 0.82 0.48 -0.45 1.84 7.17 7.169
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.630
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only -0.028
CapEx/Revenue 1.9% 2.0% 2.3% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 2.2% 2.3% 2.6% 2.8% 2.6% 2.6% 2.4% 1.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 1.8% 1.7% 1.75%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.594
Accruals Ratio -0.08 -0.09 -0.05 -0.07 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.09 -0.06 -0.08 -0.07 -0.05 -0.07 -0.02 -0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.034
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.017
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -0.154
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.3% 10.8% 12.0% 11.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $5.31 $5.19 $5.21 $5.25 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02 $0.03 $0.02 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.4% 3.3% 3.0% 3.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.7% 3.6% 2.7% 2.70%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 2.1% 1.5% 2.6% 0.9% 4.4% — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 6.8% 16.5% 37.5% 3.8% 3.7% 3.3% 3.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 3.6% 15.9% 15.95%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -0.99 0.33 0.334
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.22%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1% 0.1% 0.07%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.3% 12.6% 11.9% 12.9% 11.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% -0.0% 0.1% 0.11%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.09 0.35 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.76 0.74 0.73 0.72 0.67 0.68 0.71 0.713
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.77 0.84 0.62 0.65 0.66 0.62 0.83 0.82 0.82 0.83 0.86 0.86 0.87 0.89 0.91 0.86 0.83 0.73 0.61 0.56 0.564
EBIT Margin 0.07 0.11 0.16 0.18 0.18 0.16 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.080
Asset Turnover 0.84 0.83 0.80 0.77 0.77 0.74 0.76 0.75 0.75 0.74 0.74 0.82 0.83 0.83 0.82 0.92 0.90 0.94 0.93 0.96 0.963
Equity Multiplier 13.62 8.74 9.07 7.74 6.69 5.34 5.21 4.87 4.46 4.32 6.92 5.71 5.09 4.70 6.95 5.82 5.31 5.01 4.47 4.28 4.280
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.13 $0.80 $1.72 $2.01 $2.12 $1.68 $1.71 $1.61 $1.57 $1.56 $1.70 $1.54 $1.58 $1.71 $1.76 $1.79 $1.45 $1.18 $0.92 $0.92 $0.92
Book Value/Share $2.93 $5.13 $5.29 $5.78 $6.46 $6.84 $7.00 $7.42 $8.18 $8.66 $2.89 $3.43 $4.11 $4.86 $6.53 $6.41 $6.68 $6.47 $6.72 $6.97 $6.74
Tangible Book/Share $-0.26 $2.07 $2.36 $2.93 $3.65 $4.15 $4.33 $4.82 $5.59 $6.10 $0.34 $0.92 $1.69 $2.46 $4.13 $4.14 $4.44 $4.11 $4.37 $4.64 $4.64
Revenue/Share $26.25 $25.69 $23.79 $23.52 $23.71 $22.90 $24.05 $23.66 $24.28 $24.90 $25.62 $25.93 $25.91 $26.18 $26.78 $25.68 $25.32 $26.84 $27.80 $28.41 $27.87
FCF/Share $2.16 $3.16 $2.63 $3.60 $2.74 $2.58 $2.65 $2.62 $3.72 $3.00 $3.82 $3.17 $2.49 $3.40 $1.99 $1.84 $0.40 $-0.17 $-1.11 $-0.58 $-1.11
OCF/Share $2.66 $3.67 $3.17 $4.10 $3.21 $3.04 $3.17 $3.15 $4.36 $3.70 $4.50 $3.86 $3.11 $3.90 $2.44 $2.26 $0.82 $0.37 $-0.60 $-0.08 $-0.61
Cash/Share $7.45 $7.91 $9.23 $8.77 $9.22 $9.63 $11.32 $10.86 $12.53 $12.35 $14.30 $6.36 $7.04 $7.71 $8.70 $7.24 $6.63 $4.23 $4.13 $3.52 $4.14
EBITDA/Share $2.83 $3.65 $3.71 $4.08 $4.24 $3.60 $3.73 $3.57 $3.52 $3.43 $3.41 $3.11 $3.09 $3.25 $3.38 $3.56 $3.19 $3.24 $2.82 $2.88 $2.88
Debt/Share $8.14 $8.12 $7.85 $8.56 $8.50 $8.23 $8.21 $8.16 $8.20 $8.15 $8.16 $6.55 $6.34 $6.11 $6.15 $5.85 $5.73 $4.27 $4.34 $4.27 $4.27
Net Debt/Share $0.69 $0.21 $-1.38 $-0.20 $-0.72 $-1.40 $-3.11 $-2.70 $-4.34 $-4.20 $-6.14 $0.20 $-0.70 $-1.60 $-2.55 $-1.39 $-0.90 $0.04 $0.21 $0.75 $0.75
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.112
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 4.529
Piotroski F-Score 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 5 5 7 7 6 7 7 7 8 3 5 5 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.64 -2.88 -2.10 -3.26 -2.89 -2.73 -2.54 -2.41 -2.72 -2.48 -3.18 -2.66 -2.57 -2.92 -2.30 -2.63 -1.81 -2.06 -1.94 -2.03 -2.032
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.586
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 22.70%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-9.32
EVA snapshot only $65922408.48
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A
Credit Score 47.33 59.74 63.80 63.96 64.61 69.58 61.72 63.12 65.52 65.35 59.33 64.23 63.49 75.80 73.26 73.75 64.43 67.05 63.48 70.38 70.384
Credit Grade snapshot only 6
Credit Trend snapshot only -3.365
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 150.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 67
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 59

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