ALIT NYSE
Alight, Inc.
1W: -1.9%
1M: -14.5%
3M: -58.4%
YTD: +348.9%
1Y: +174.0%
3Y: +30.4%
5Y: -19.7%
$8.46
-0.17 (-1.97%)
Weekly Expected Move ±12.3%
$7
$8
$10
$11
$12
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 99% of companies Debt: 90.2% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the riskiest tenth, about 1 in 20 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
On these numbers the stock market already values Alight, Inc. at less than the debt the model counts.
Total debt $2.06B against a stock market value of $223.5M.
Distance to default -1.68 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.01B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 303.4%; Altman Z'' -4.65. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
On these numbers the stock market already values Alight, Inc. at less than the debt the model counts.
Total debt $2.06B against a stock market value of $223.5M.
Distance to default -1.68 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.01B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 303.4%; Altman Z'' -4.65. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Overview
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Chart
Smart Money
Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Dividends
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
⛈️
Stormy
-23.0% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-26.9% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
-23.0%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-26.9%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+348.9%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
43%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛈️
+1.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-12.4%
50% win
42% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
-0.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-7.5%
50% win
72% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
-1.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-9.1%
17% win
55% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
-6.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-21.3%
50% win
57% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
-8.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-23.6%
50% win
60% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
-13.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-37.2%
50% win
2329% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
-15.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-31.5%
57% win
61% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
-18.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-28.0%
29% win
62% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
-22.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-33.0%
29% win
45% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
-23.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-24.2%
14% win
43% vol
Now:
-5.4%
Nov
20yr
💨
-21.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-21.2%
67% win
57% vol
Dec
20yr
🌧️
-0.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-3.2%
50% win
34% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +348.9%