ALMS Earnings
Alumis Inc.
1W: -0.9%
1M: -7.3%
3M: -74.8%
YTD: -25.9%
1Y: +47.2%
$6.64
+0.13 (+2.00%)
Weekly Expected Move ±8.0%
$6
$6
$7
$7
$8
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 83% of companies Debt: 4.1% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the second-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 87 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.07 (down 99%), Alumis Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $36.4M against a stock market value of $859.4M.
Distance to default 2.38 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $18.2M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 132.1%; Altman Z'' -2.45. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.07 (down 99%), Alumis Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $36.4M against a stock market value of $859.4M.
Distance to default 2.38 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $18.2M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 132.1%; Altman Z'' -2.45. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
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Last Earnings
2026-08-13
EPS
$-1.11
▼ Miss -44.7%
Revenue
$2M
▼ Miss -54.5%
Next Earnings
2026-11-12
EPS Estimate
$-0.73
Range: $-0.81 - $-0.67
Revenue Estimate
$2M
4 analysts
Estimate vs Actual
Earnings Surprise History
3/13
EPS Beats
2/13
Revenue Beats
23%
EPS Beat Rate
15%
Rev Beat Rate
Wall Street Forward Estimates
Quarterly
Annual
Estimate Revisions
Recent Revisions
| Date | Period | Fiscal Date | EPS Old | EPS New | Change | Rev Old | Rev New |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | annual | 2026-12-31 | $-3.27 | $-3.27 | — | $6,401,200 | $6,401,500 |
| 2026-10-06 | quarter | 2027-12-30 | $-0.62 | $-0.62 | — | $11,780,000 | $11,781,400 |
| 2026-10-06 | annual | 2027-12-31 | $-2.82 | $-2.82 | — | $27,037,956 | $27,038,734 |
| 2026-09-16 | quarter | 2026-03-31 | $-0.74 | $-0.73 | ▲ 0.01 | $2,058,199 | $1,888,200 |
| 2026-09-03 | annual | 2028-12-31 | $-2.03 | $-2.08 | ▼ 0.05 | $163,674,032 | $156,345,911 |
| 2026-09-03 | annual | 2027-12-31 | $-2.80 | $-2.82 | ▼ 0.02 | $27,038,734 | $27,037,956 |
| 2026-09-03 | annual | 2026-12-31 | $-3.25 | $-3.27 | ▼ 0.01 | $6,401,500 | $6,401,200 |
| 2026-09-03 | quarter | 2027-12-30 | $-0.64 | $-0.62 | ▲ 0.02 | $11,781,400 | $11,780,000 |
| 2026-09-03 | quarter | 2027-09-30 | $-0.66 | $-0.65 | ▲ 0.01 | $4,600,000 | $4,600,000 |
| 2026-09-03 | quarter | 2027-06-30 | $-0.68 | $-0.70 | ▼ 0.02 | $750,000 | $750,000 |
| 2026-09-03 | quarter | 2027-03-30 | $-0.69 | $-0.70 | ▼ 0.01 | $750,000 | $750,000 |
| 2026-09-03 | quarter | 2026-12-30 | $-0.72 | $-0.73 | ▼ 0.01 | $1,900,000 | $1,900,000 |
| 2026-09-03 | quarter | 2026-09-30 | $-0.75 | $-0.75 | — | $1,900,000 | $1,900,000 |
| 2026-09-02 | annual | 2028-12-31 | $-2.00 | $-2.03 | ▼ 0.03 | $168,071,075 | $163,674,032 |
| 2026-09-02 | quarter | 2026-09-30 | $-0.75 | $-0.75 | — | $1,900,000 | $1,900,000 |
Earnings Call Transcripts
No transcripts available.